Weekly Dry Bulk Data Week 6, 2015 The Matrix: Illustrative 1, 2, 3, 5, and 10 year period rates for Handysize, Ultramax and Kamsarmax tonnage USD/Day Feb ’15 Handysize 38,000 dwt 1 year 7,500 Chng +/- Jan ‘16 -500 n/a -500 Chng +/- Chng +/- Jan ‘17 High 2015 Average Time Charter Rates Low n/a 8,500 7,500 8,000 8,500 2 year 3 year 8,000 8,500 -250 8,500 9,250 -250 n/a 10,000 0 8,750 9,000 5 year 9,500 0 10,000 0 10,500 -250 9,500 9,500 10,000 0 10,500 0 10,750 0 10,000 n/a 10 year -500 Ultramax 61,000 dwt Source: Baltic Exchange USD/day Handy Supra Panamax Cape Feb. 5 4,666 5,627 3,418 6,719 Baltic Daily Forward Assessment USD/day Source: Baltic Exchange Handy TC Supra 5TC Panamax 4TC Cape 4TC Feb 5,125 5,992 4,425 6,530 Mar 5,500 6,908 5,829 7,770 Q2 15 6,150 7,739 6,961 8,803 Q3 15 6,163 7,733 6,942 10,720 14,440 1 year 8,500 -500 n/a n/a 10,250 8,500 2 year 9,000 -750 9,750 -750 n/a 10,500 9,000 3 year 9,750 -500 10,250 -750 10,750 -1,000 10,750 9,750 5 year 10,250 -500 10,750 -750 11,250 -750 11,250 10,250 Q4 15 6,613 8,583 8,033 10 year 10,750 -500 11,250 -750 11,500 -750 12,000 10,750 Q1 16 6,600 8,092 7,321 8,745 Cal 16 6,725 8,546 8,075 11,700 Cal 17 7,338 8,729 8,592 13,185 Cal 18 7,813 8,812 8,825 14,350 Kamsarmax 82,000 dwt 1 year 7,750 2 year 3 year 8,250 9,000 5 year 10,500 10 year 11,500 -250 n/a 0 9,000 10,000 -250 11,250 -250 12,000 -250 n/a 8,000 7,500 -500 n/a 12,000 -250 8,500 9,750 8,250 9,000 -750 12,250 -250 11,500 10,500 -500 12,500 -250 12,500 11,500 0 Illustrative rates estimated basis Feb. 5 with Pacific delivery. Vessel Prices Market Drivers (million USD) Handysize 35,000 dwt Supramax 56,000 dwt Kamsarmax 82,000 dwt Capesize 180,000 dwt 5 year NB 5 year NB* 5 year NB 5 year NB 13-15 21-23 17-19 26-28 19-21 27-29 36-38 51-53 5 year: Japanese built. NB: Chinese built vessel for 2016 delivery “->” indicates direction compared to last week *Based on Chinese built 64,000 dwt Period Fixtures (1 year and longer) Vessel Transactions (representative) MV 'CIC Pride' 2002 built 171,870 dwt Delivery Qingdao 04/05 Feb - 10/15 months trading redelivery worldwide $10,000 daily. Newbuilding Tsuneishi contracted 2 x 82,000 dwt Kamsarmax bulkers with EFShipping with price and delivery dates not disclosed. Sanoyas contracted 2 x 89,000 dwt PostPanamax bulkers at undisclosed buyers and price and delivery dates not disclosed. MV 'Simon LD' 2014 built 179,816 dwt Delivery China 15/20 Mar - 1 years trading redelivery worldwide based on BCI 4 timecharter average plus 15%. MV 'Norfolk ' 2002 164,218 dwt Delivery Taiwan 26 Feb/07 Mar - 13/17 months trading redelivery worldwide $10,250 daily basis 4.75% total. MV 'Myrsini' 2010 82,193 dwt Delivery Ijmuiden 14/23 Feb - 10/14 months trading redelivery worldwide $8,250 daily. Secondhand M/V Maria V. Livanos (57k dwt blt '11 STX Dalian) sold at USD 18 million to undisclosed buyers with bareboat charter back to sellers. This report is based on our knowledge of relevant market conditions. Our estimates are made on the basis of this knowledge, but other circumstances, or new circumstances, as well as general uncertainty could cause the market to develop differently. We take general reservation for misprints. © All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means) without the written permission of the copyright owner. Likewise, any quoting is prohibited without the written permission of the copyright owner. About a third of China’s iron ore mines have halted production. This could rise as high as 45% by the end of the year if the iron ore price stay below 70 USD/ton. The lower domestic production is supportive for China’s import of iron ore. 52 million tons Chinese capacity was eliminated last year, and 70 million tons is expected this year. China is forecast to import around 1,000 million tons in 2015 compared to 933 million tons in 2014. Port of Hedland exported a total of 36.8 million tons of iron ore in January, up by 30% Y-o-Y, whereof 30.2 million tons were shipped to China, up by 29% Y-o-Y. Iron ore inventories at Chinese ports has declined 4% compared to last week to 97.3 million tons. The Australian Port of Waratah shipped 9.9 million tons of coal in January, up 8% Y-o-Y from 9.2 million tons in January 2014. 2.1 million tons of the coal was exported to China, up by 13% compared to January 2014, were the port shipped 1.8 million tons to China.
© Copyright 2024