TROPMET 2015
National Symposium on
"WEATHER & CLIMATE EXTREMES"
15-18 February 2015
Technical Programme
&
Abstracts
Organised by
Indian Meteorological Society, New Delhi
Hosted by
Panjab
University
Chandigarh
Indian
Meteorological
Society
Snow and Avalanche
Study Establishment
(SASE) Chandigarh
Welcome Address
Dear esteemed delegates,
It gives me great pleasure in welcoming all the delegates coming from various parts of the
globe to City Beautiful Chandigarh for TROPMET 2015: NATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
“WEATHER & CLIMATE EXTREMES”. Climate, climatic changes and associated issues
affecting all walks of our life occupy the centre stage today. Addressing these issues is no
longer an option for us but an imperative mission for all of us. This symposium organized by
Indian Meteorological Society (IMS) is an initiative focused towards knowledge sharing,
critical thinking and formulating solutions to climate related issues. The symposium is being
hosted by Indian Meteorological Society, Panjab University and Snow and Avalanche Study
Establishment.
We are delighted at the overwhelming response that this symposium has received from
researchers within India and abroad. During four-day long symposium there will be 108 oral
presentations, 87 poster presentations and 54 invited talks spread over 24 sessions. Apart
from these, there will be 5 special talks, 9 plenary talks and industry presentations.
This symposium will provide a unique opportunity to operational meteorologists,
researchers, planners, hydrologists, agriculturists, disaster managers, instrumentation
scientists and technology developers to exchange their views on the theme. Scholars from
various fields will present their views and discuss on climate change with a focus on
extremes, impacts of climate change on socio-economic sectors, urban environments,
sensitive eco-systems and predictability of weather and climate extremes.
I am sure that deliberations held during the symposium will go a long way in furthering the
cause of research in the field of climate change with special focus on weather and climate
extremes.
On this occasion I humbly acknowledge the support extended by various government
institutions, organizations and individuals in organizing this symposium. Sponsorship from
private industry is also duly acknowledged.
On behalf of organising committee, I wish all delegates a very pleasant and memorable stay
at City Beautiful.
A hearty welcome!
Ashwagosha Ganju
Chairman
Organising Committee
ADVISORY BOARD
Dr. Shailesh Nayak, Chairman, ESSO & Secretary, MoES
Prof. Arun K. Grover, Vice Chancellor, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Dr. L.S. Rathore, DGM, IMD, New Delhi
Dr. Akhilesh Gupta, President, IMS & Adviser, DST
AVM (Dr.) Ajit Tyagi, MoES, Delhi
Dr. S.S Singh, DDGM, IMD, New Delhi
Er. A. B Aggarwal, Chairman BBMB, Chandigarh
Prof A. K. Bhandari, DUI, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Sh. Rajeev Sharma, Finance Advisor, W.C, Chandimandir
Secretary, Revenue, Govt of Punjab
Secretary, Revenue, Govt of Haryana
Dr. K.K. Khandelwal, Principal Secretary, Govt of Haryana
Secretary, Science & Technology, Haryana
Director General, Agriculture, Haryana
Ms. Bhawna Garg, MD, CITCO, Chandigarh Administration
Registrar, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Dr Balwinder S. Sidhu, Commissioner Agriculture, Punjab
Shri Santosh Kumar, Director, Science & Technology, Chandigarh
Dr. Neelima Jerath, Executive Director, PSCST, Chandigarh
Coordinator: Dr. K. J. Ramesh, Secretary, IMS, Delhi
ORGANISING COMMITTEE
Chair
Co-Chair
Convener
Co-convener
Shri Ashwagosha Ganju, SASE, Chandigarh
Prof. Karanjot Kaur Brar, Panjab University,
Chandigarh
Mr. Surender Paul, IMD, Chandigarh
Dr. Ravindra Khaiwal, PGI, Chandigarh
SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Co-Chairs
Conveners
Co-conveners
Dr. L. S. Rathore, DGM, IMD, Delhi
Dr. K.J. Ramesh, MoES, Delhi
Dr. Simrit Kahlon, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Shri S.C. Bhan, IMD, New Delhi
Dr. Vishwa B.S. Chandel, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Dr. M. S. Shekhar, SASE, Chandigarh
Contents
S No.
Chapter
Pg No.
1
Inaugural Programme
(i)
2
Technical Programme
( iii )
3
Plenary Talks
( iv )
4
Panel Discussion
( iv )
5
Invited Talks
(v)
6
Technical Sessions: Short Oral Presentations (SO 1-108)
7
Poster Presentations (1-87)
( xvii )
( vii )
8
Pre-PhD Presentations (1-10)
( xxiii )
9
Abstract Index
1 - 222
National Symposium on
“WEATHER & CLIMATE EXTREMES”
Chandigarh, India
15-18 February 2015
Venue:- Law Auditorium, Panjab University, Chandigarh
INAUGRAL PROGRAMME
15 February 2015
0900 hours onwards
Registration
1000 hrs
Arrival of Chief Guest, Guest of Honour and
other Dignitaries
1000-1005 hrs
Lighting of Lamp, Saraswati Vandana & PU
Anthem.
1005 - 1010 hrs
Welcome Address along with the Introduction
of the Theme of the Conference :
Dr Ashwagosha Ganju, Director, SASE &
Chairman, LOC, TROPMET-2015
1010 – 1014 hrs
Address by Shri Danpat Singh, IAS,
Addl. Chief Secy. Govt. of Haryana
1014 – 1020 hrs
Address by Dr Akhilesh Gupta,
President, IMS, Adviser, Department of Science
& Technology (DST)
1020 – 1030 hrs
Presidential Address: Prof Arun Grover, Vice
Chancellor, Panjab University, Chandigarh
1030 – 1050 hrs
Ruchi Ram Sahni Memorial Lecture by
Prof Ashok Sahni, Professor Emeritus,
Panjab University, Chandigarh
1050- 1100 hrs
Address by the Guest of Honour :
Dr L S Rathore, Director General, India
Meteorological Department, New Delhi
(i)
1100 – 1110 hrs
Presentation of IMS Awards and Release of
Souvenir- Citation read by Dr K.J. Ramesh,
Secretary, IMS
1110 – 1115 hrs
Felicitation and Presentation of Mementos
1115 – 1135 hrs
Inaugural Address : Padma Bhushan
Dr T Ramasami, Former Secretary, Department
of Science & Technology, Government of India
1135 – 1140 hrs
Vote of Thanks: Prof Karanjot Kaur Brar,
Chairperson IMS, Chandigarh Chapter
1140 – 1145 hrs
National Anthem
1145 – 1215 hrs
High Tea & Media Briefing
1215-1355
Pre-PhD Presentations Session for Research
Scholars
1355-1410
Inauguration of Exhibition
1410-1500
Lunch
1500-1630
Special Talks
Prof. J. Shukla, George Mason University, USA
Dr. Bill Lapenta, National Centre for Environment
Prediction, UK
1630-1700
Tea
1700-1830
Special Talk
Prof Ashok Sahni, Professor Emeritus, Panjab
University, Chandigarh
Dr. Frank Marks, Director, NOAA/AOML Hurricane
Research Division, Miami, USA
Dr LS Rathore, DG - IMD, Delhi
1900-2030
Cultural Event
2030
Dinner at ICSSR Complex
( ii )
( iii )
PLENARY TALKS
Venue: Law Auditorium, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Time: 0930-1030 hours
SPEAKER
Day 2 (16 February, 2015)
PT-1
PT-2
PT-3
Dr. Saji Hameed, University of Aizu, Japan
Dr. Akhilesh Gupta, DST, New Delhi
Dr. Simon Allen, SDC, Switzerland
Day 3 (17 February, 2015)
PT-4
PT-5
PT-6
Dr. Balwinder S. Sandhu, Commissioner,
Agriculture, Punjab
Dr. M. R. Bhutiyani, Director, DTRL, Delhi
Er. A. B Aggarwal, Chairman BBMB, Chandigarh
PT-7
PT-8
PT-9
V.U.M. Rao, CRIDA, Hyderabad
Dr D. Behera, PGIMER, Chandigarh
Dr. A Ganju, SASE, Chandigarh
Day 4 (18 February, 2015)
PANEL DISCUSSION
VENUE: Law Auditorium, Panjab University, Chandigarh
Time: 1500-1600 hours
Theme: NEXT STEPS TO DEAL WITH WEATHER AND
CLIMATE EXTREMES IN INDIA
PANELIST
Day 4 (18 February, 2015)
Prof. D. Narainrao
Dr. Akhilesh Gupta
Dr. Ramesh Ramchandaran
Dr. B.S. Prakash
Dr. CBS Dutt
Dr. Vimal Mishra
Dr. V Geethalakshmi
( iv )
INVITED TALKS
DAY 2 (16 FEBRUARY, 2015)
Time: 1415-1545 hours
Venue: ICSSR Hall -1
Dr. M. Mohapatra, IMD, New Delhi
Dr. V. S. Prasad, NCMRWF (Topic: Utilization of INSAT-3D Data for Micro-Burst
Monitoring and Prediction)
IT3
Dr. Someshwar Das, NCMRWD/IMD, New Delhi
IT4
Dr. Kamaljit Ray, IMD, New Delhi
IT5
Dr Rajshree Bothale, NRSC, Hyderabad
IT6
Dr A. K. Mitra, NCMRWF (Topic: Monitoring Rainfall over India Region: Monsoon
and Extreme Events)
Venue: Golden Jubilee Complex
IT7
Mr Rama Krishna, A.P. State Disaster Management Authority, Hyderabad (Topic:
Flood Forecasting System Implemented in AP)
IT8
Mr P.V. Ramana Murthy, A.P. State Disaster Management, Hyderabad (Topic: GIS
based Decision Support System for Cyclone Vulnerability Mapping and
Management)
IT9
Dr. Rakesh Kumar, NIH, Roorkee (Topic: Flood Disaster Risk Management in a
Changing Climate)
IT10
Dr. D. Rajan, NCMRWF, New Delhi
IT11
Dr. Sonu Goel PGI (Topic: unraveling impact of environmental changes on
emerging and reemerging tropical diseases)
IT12
Dr. M. N. Rajeevan, MoES, New Delhi
Time: 1630-1800 hours
Venue: ICSSR Hall -1
IT13
Dr. S. C. Bhan, IMD, New Delhi
IT14
Dr. N. Khare, MoES, New Delhi (Topic: Extremes Events During Holocene Period)
IT15
Dr. Thara Prabhakaran, IITM, Pune
IT16
Dr. D. R. Pattanaik, IMD, New Delhi (Topic: Operational Extended Range Forecast
Activity of IMD and its Applications in Different Sectors)
IT17
Dr. SK Srivastav (Topic: Technological Intervention in Landslide Forecasting)
IT18
Dr. Ajit Tyagi, MoES Communicating risks of natural hazards
Venue: Golden Jubilee Complex
IT19
Dr E. N. Rajagopal, NCMRWF (Topic: Merged Satellite-Gauge Rainfall Data for
Monsoon: Current Status) Talk will be delivered by Dr A. K. Mitra, NCMRWF
IT20
Dr Manmohan Singh
IT21
Prof. Rajesh Gill, Panjab University, Chandigarh
IT22
Dr. Vinayak Sinha, IISER, Mohali
IT23
Prof. Atul Sachdeva, Director, Principal, GMCH, Sector-32 Chandigarh
IT24
Er. G.S Wasan, Director, BBMB, Chandigarh
IT1
IT2
(v)
Day 3 (17 February, 2015)
Time: 1415-1545 hours
Venue: ICSSR Hall -1
IT25
Dr. S.C Sharma, Regional Station, PAU Balowal Saunkri, Nawanshahr, Punjab
IT26
Prof S. K. Dash, IIT, Delhi (Topic: Temperature and Rainfall Extremes in India and
their Future Projections)
IT27
Mr B. P. Yadav, IMD, New Delhi
IT28
Prof. A. D. Rao, IIT, Delhi (Topic: Local Scale Risk Assessment of Storm Surge
Induced Coastal Vulnerability)
IT29
Dr. S. D. Attri, IMD, New Delhi
IT30
Dr. Prashanth Goswami, CSIR-4PI, Bengaluru
Venue: Golden Jubilee Complex
IT31
Dr. A.K. Sahai, IITM, Pune (Topic: Weather and Climate Extremes: Observational
Aspects and Prediction)
IT32
Dr Somnath Baidya Roy, CAS, IIT, Delhi (Topic: Mesoscale Land-Atmosphere
Feedbacks)
IT33
Prof. R.S. Loyal Panjab University Chandigarh
IT34
Dr. V. Bhanu Murty, NRSC, Hyderabad
IT35
Dr. Uma Kumar, AIIMS, New Delhi (Topic: It takes Two to Tango: Air Pollution
Partners with Climate Variability to Promote Auto Immunity & Rheumatoid
Arthritis)
IT36
Er. G Wasan, BBMB, Chandigarh
Time: 1630-1800 hours
Venue: ICSSR Hall -1
IT37
Dr. G. K. Bhat, TARU, Gandhinagar (Topic: Flood Early Warning System in Surat:
Lessons Learnt from Multi-Stakeholder Engagement)
IT38
Prof. Santosh Kumar, SDMC, New Delhi
IT39
Prof. Anil Gupta, NIDM, New Delhi (Topic: Safeguarding from Extreme Events and
Disasters - Recent Lessons and Opportunities)
IT40
Prof. Rakesh Sehgal, PGI, Chandigarh
IT41
Dr. Arti Prasad, Dept. of Microbiology, MLS University, Udaipur
IT42
Dr. Vimal Mishra, IIT, Gandhinagar
Venue: Golden Jubilee Complex
IT43
Dr. Atul Kumar Varma, ISRO-SAC, Ahmedabad (Topic: Operational Hydro-Estimator
(H-E) for High-Resolution Rain Estimation from INSAT-3D and its Present Status)
IT44
Dr. S.C. Kar, MoES-NCMRWF, Noida
IT45
Dr. Anand Sharma, IMD, Dehradun (Topic: Forecasting Challenges of Extreme
Weather events in Uttrakhand Himalayas)
IT46
Dr. Dilip Ganguly, IIT, Delhi (Topic: Can the current climate models be used for
predicting climate extremes)
( vi )
IT47
Prof. Daisy Batish, Panjab University Chandigarh
IT48
Dr. Madhuri Rishi Nee Sharma, Panjab University Chandigarh
Day 4 (18 February, 2015)
Time: 1415-1545 hours
Venue: ICSSR Hall -1
IT49
Mr. V. K. Soni, IMD, New Delhi
IT50
Dr. Subimal Ghosh (Topic: Extreme Precipitation: Understanding Trend and Spatial
Variability at Regional Scale)
IT51
Dr. P. K. Thapliyal (Topic: INSAT-3D Sounder Products and Applications)
Venue: Golden Jubilee Complex
IT52
Dr. Randhir Singh Hooda, SAC, Ahmedabad
IT53
Dr. Jyoti K. Parikh, IRADE, Ahmedabad (Topic: Ensuring Disaster Resilient
Societies- Role of Meteorology and Capacity Building of Local Bodies)
IT54
Dr. Rajesh Sehgal PGIMR Chandigarh (Topic: effect of climate on health with
special reference to parasitic infections.
( vii )
( vii )
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( ix )
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( xii )
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( xiii )
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( xv )
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( xvi )
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( xvii )
Unnikrishnan CK, Abhishek Lodh, Devesh Maurya, Comparison of Unified Model Soil Moisture Analysis with NRSC Derived Soil Moisture and
IMD Observations
Swapan Mallick, John P George, Rajagopal E N
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( xviii )
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( xix )
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( xx )
Ajay Kumar, M S Shekhar, Harish Chand,
Statistical downscaling of WRF model precipitation forecast for western Himalaya
Amreek Singh, Devi Chand, Ashwagosha Ganju
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( xxi )
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( xxii )
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( xxiii )
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