Marina Gorbis Executive Director INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE @mgorbis [email protected] © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. foresight to insight to action © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 2 two-curve framework © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 3 Paul Baran, On Distributed Communications,1964 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 4 why organization? “The main reason why it is profitable to establish a firm is … the cost of using a price mechnism (transaction costs)…” –Ronald Coase, The Nature of The Firm,1937 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 5 institutions are a technology and this technology is being disrupted … © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 6 two-curve framework institutional production socialstructed creation © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 7 SOCIALSTRUCTING: creating value by aggregating micro contributions by large networks using social tools and technologies © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 8 organizations platforms socialstructed creation © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 9 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 10 socialstructed work: new worker archetypes © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 11 Microworker Work is a string of tasks that shape the rhythm of work in any given day. These workers move in and of multiple microwork platforms © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 12 Platform Maker The “recombiners” – they train, code, and find creative solutions to streamline processes and enable disruption © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 13 Amplified Entrepreneur Work is an adventure for these selfstarters, who reject career ladders and organize work as a series of passion-driven projects © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 14 Dream Builder Balancing jobs and careers that pay the rent with passion projects and big dreams that make the future © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 15 Culture Hacker Hacking culture to break down divisions between work and life, colleagues and friends, profession and family © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 16 socialstructed science: everyone’s a scientist © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 17 lightweight research tools © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 18 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 19 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 20 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 21 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 22 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 23 open science data © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 24 lightweight research tools © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 25 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 26 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 27 crowdfunding platforms for science © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 28 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 29 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 30 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 31 alternative science communities © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 32 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 33 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 34 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 35 © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 36 science was not always done through large institutions © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. 37 two-curve framework when to jump the curve the key innovation challenge is deciding when to shift from the first curve to the second curve… © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. TEN-YEAR FORECAST 2015 ECONOMIES OF THE FUTURE Contact: Sean Ness | [email protected] © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved.