6 April 2015 C asianbondsonline.adb.org Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets onsumer price inflation in Indonesia stood at 6.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in March, up slightly from 6.3% y-o-y in February, amid relatively high price hikes in processed food and utilities. In the Republic of Korea, consumer asiandbonsonline.adb. asiandbonsonline.adb.org price inflation eased to 0.4% y-o-y in March from 0.5% y-o-y in February: four out of 12 expenditure categories in org asiandbonsonline.adb.org the Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded price decreases in March, led by transport. In Thailand, the CPI fell 0.6% y-o-y in March, after posting a 0.5% y-o-y drop in February, due to falling transportation costs. The Republic of Korea’s merchandise trade surplus reached a record monthly high of US$8.4 billion in March. Exports of goods fell 4.2% y-o-y to US$47.0 billion and merchandise imports fell 15.3% y-o-y to US$38.6 billion in March. Meanwhile, the Republic of Korea’s current account surplus stood at US$6.4 billion in February, lower than the surplus of US$6.6 billion in January, but higher than the surplus of US$4.5 billion in February 2014, according to The Bank of Korea data. Thailand’s current account surplus amounted to US$3.5 billion in February, higher than the previous month’s surplus of US$2.5 billion, but lower than the surplus of US$4.2 billion in February 2014, according to Bank of Thailand data. Manufacturing activity in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) rebounded in March as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector inched up to 50.1 from 49.9 in February. Meanwhile, Singapore’s PMI stood at 49.6 in March, reflecting a contraction in its manufacturing sector. A PMI above 50 reflects an expansion in manufacturing activity. Industrial production in Japan contracted 2.6% y-o-y and 3.4% month-on-month (m-o-m) in February, based on data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry. In the Republic of Korea, industrial production fell 4.7% y-o-y, but grew 2.6% m-o-m in February, according to Statistics Korea. Manufacturing production in Thailand expanded 3.6% y-o-y and 1.7% m-om in February, per data from Bank of Thailand. Hong Kong Telecommunications (HKT) priced a US$500 million 10-year bond at a coupon rate of 3.625% last week. The bond was rated Baa2 by Moody’s Investor Service and BBB by Standard and Poor’s. Meanwhile, Grand China Air (Hong Kong) priced a US$300 million 2-year bond at a coupon rate of 5.5% last week. Asia Bond Monitor March 2015 read more 10-Year Selected LCY Government Security Yields Markets Close of 3 April 2015 basis point change from Latest Closing Previous Day* Previous Week* 1-Jan-15* US EU Japan PRC Hong Kong, China India Indonesia Korea, Rep. of Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Viet Nam 1.84 0.19 0.37 3.58 1.41 7.74 7.38 2.09 3.87 4.17 2.15 2.64 6.51 -7.28 0.00 2.70 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -2.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.80 -0.50 -12.26 -1.30 -0.70 -8.40 -3.90 -9.00 -3.30 -1.00 -8.31 -5.70 -12.26 -1.30 -0.70 5.00 5.00 -8.40 -3.90 5.305.30 -9.00 -3.30 -1.00 -8.31 -5.70 0.00 0.00 -33.23 -34.70 3.90 -7.00 -48.40 -14.30 -44.40 -52.00 -28.10 30.17 -13.29 -9.10 -71.80 Selected Government Security Yields Benchmark Yield Curves - Local Currency Government Bonds 2-versus-10 Yield Spread Chart Policy Rate versus Inflation Rate Charts Credit Default Swap Spreads & Exchange Rate Indexes Selected Debt Security Issuances Selected Asia Data Releases Siam Cement in Thailand raised THB30 billion from a dual-tranche debenture sale last week: a THB15 billion 3-year debenture carrying a coupon rate of 3.75% and a THB15 billion 4-year debenture at 3.9%. The bonds were rated A(tha) by Fitch Ratings (Thailand). Land and Houses in Thailand issued a THB7 billion 3-year debenture at a coupon rate of 2.81% and a THB1 billion 5-year debenture at 3.31% last week. The bonds were rated A+ by TRIS Rating. Government bond yields fell last week for all maturities in the Republic of Korea and Malaysia and for most tenors in Hong Kong, China; Singapore; and Thailand. On the other hand, yields rose for all maturities in the PRC and Indonesia, and for most tenors in the Philippines. Meanwhile, yield movements were mixed in Viet Nam. Yield spreads between 2- and 10-year tenors widened in Singapore while spreads narrowed in Hong Kong, China; Indonesia; the Republic of Korea; Malaysia; the Philippines; Thailand; and Viet Nam. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..……………..…… 1 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ………………………………………………………………………..…………………………………………………....... Summary Text of News Articles asiandbonsonline.adb.org Consumer Price Inflation Rises in Indonesia, Eases in the Republic of Korea, Turns Negative in Thailand in March ........................................................................................................................................ Consumer price inflation inched up slightly in Indonesia to 6.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in March from 6.3% y-o-y in February. The inflation rate for processed food rose the most at 8.3% y-o-y, while housing and utilities gained 7.6% y-oy. On a month-on-month (m-o-m) basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% in March, after declining 0.4% in February. Bank Indonesia targets inflation to range between 3.0% and 5.0% for 2015. Consumer price inflation in the Republic of Korea remained low in March; inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slipped to 0.4% for the month from 0.5% in February, according to Statistics Korea data released last week. The low y-o-y rate of increase in the CPI was largely due to decreases in four out of 12 product categories in the index, with the biggest drop felt in transport prices. In Thailand, the inflation rate was negative for the third consecutive month in March, with the CPI decreasing 0.6% y-o-y, driven by falling transportation costs, according to data from the Ministry of Commerce. Between February and March, the CPI inched up 0.2% m-o-m. For inflation trends in Indonesia, refer to this link: http://asianbondsonline.adb.org/indonesia/data/marketwatch.php?code=policy_rate_and_inflation_trends For inflation trends in the Republic of Korea, refer to this link: http://asianbondsonline.adb.org/korea/data/marketwatch.php?code=policy_rate_and_inflation_trends For inflation trends in Thailand, refer to this link: http://asianbondsonline.adb.org/thailand/data/marketwatch.php?code=policy_rate_and_inflation_trends The Republic of Korea’s Merchandise Trade Surplus Reaches a Record High in March; Thailand’s Current Account Surplus Up m-o-m, Down y-o-y in February ........................................................................................................................................ The Republic of Korea’s merchandise trade surplus reached a record monthly high of US$8.4 billion in March, buoyed by a relatively sharper fall in imports than in exports. Overseas shipments fell 4.2% y-o-y to US$47.0 billion in February and merchandise imports plunged 15.3% y-o-y to US$38.6 billion. Thailand’s current account surplus amounted to US$3.5 billion in February, up from the previous month’s surplus of US$2.5 billion but lower than February 2014’s surplus of US$4.2 billion, according to Bank of Thailand data. The country’s merchandise trade surplus stood at US$2.6 billion in February, up from US$1.4 billion in January but down from US$3.9 billion in February 2014. The monthly increase stemmed from a lower m-o-m drop in merchandise exports vis-à-vis imports: merchandise exports decreased 0.5% m-o-m to US$17.1 billion while merchandise imports dropped 8.1% m-o-m to US$14.5 billion. The y-o-y decline was on the back of a 6.0% y-o-y fall in merchandise exports and a 1.6% y-o-y increase in imported goods. The PRC’s Manufacturing Activity Rebounds in March; Singapore’s Manufacturing Sector Contracts in March; February’s Industrial Production Down in Japan, Mixed in the Republic of Korea, Up in Thailand ........................................................................................................................................ Manufacturing activity in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) rebounded in March, as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 50.1 from 49.9 in February. Industrial production in Japan was down in February, with its PMI contracting 2.6% y-o-y and 3.4% m-o-m, based on data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry. The shipments index fell 3.1% y-o-y and 3.4% m-o-m in February. In contrast, the index for inventories climbed 7.3% y-o-y and 0.5% m-o-m. In the Republic of Korea, industrial production exhibited a mixed performance in February per Statistics Korea data released last week. On a y-o-y basis, industrial production contracted 4.7% for the month—amid a 4.8% y-o-y fall in manufacturing production—following a 1.7% increase in January. On the other hand, industrial production expanded 2.6% m-o-m in February—led by a 2.8% y-o-y hike in manufacturing production—after recording a 3.8% m-o-m decline in January. ………………………………………………………………………………………..……………………………..……...… 2 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…....... Summary Text of News Articles asiandbonsonline.adb.org The PRC’s Manufacturing Activity Rebounds in March; Singapore’s Manufacturing Sector Contracts in March; February’s Industrial Production Down in Japan, Mixed in the Republic of Korea, Up in Thailand (cont…) ........................................................................................................................................ Singapore’s PMI fell below the 50-point threshold for the fourth month in a row in March to a reading of 49.6, indicating a generally contracting manufacturing economy. The continued weakness in overall PMI was due mainly to lower new orders and new export orders in March. Meanwhile, the electronics PMI returned to a generally expanding condition with the reacting at 50.1 in March due to an increase in new orders. Manufacturing production in Thailand improved its performance in February. According to data from the Bank of Thailand released last week, the country’s non-seasonally adjusted Manufacturing Production Index rose to 171.9 in February from 169.1 in January on a 1.7% monthly increase, and rose 3.6% y-o-y in February after recording a 0.8% yo-y decline in January. The Bank of Thailand reported that the improvement in manufacturing during February was driven by inventory investment and increased production of hard disk drives. Hong Kong Telecom Prices US$500 Million 10-Year Bond; Grand China Air Prices US$300 Million 2-Year Bond; Siam Cement Raises THB30 Billion from Dual-Tranche Bond Sale ........................................................................................................................................ Hong Kong Telecommunications priced a US$500 million 10-year bond at a coupon rate of 3.625% last week. Investors in Asia bought 79% of the bonds while the rest went to investors in Europe. The bond was rated Baa2 by Moody’s Investor Service and BBB by Standard and Poor’s. Grand China Air (Hong Kong) priced a US$300 million 2-year bond at a coupon rate of 5.5% last week. Proceeds from the bond sale will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes. Siam Cement in Thailand raised THB30 billion from a dual-tranche debenture sale last week: a THB15 billion 3-year debenture carrying a coupon rate of 3.75% and a THB15 billion 4-year debenture at 3.9%. The bonds were rated A(tha) by Fitch Ratings (Thailand). ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..………. 3 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Selected Government Security Yields Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org 3-Month Selected LCY Government Security Yields Latest Closing Markets US EU Japan PRC Hong Kong, China India Korea, Rep. of Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand 0.01 -0.15 0.00 3.15 0.07 8.31 1.71 3.20 2.34 1.03 1.76 basis point change from Previous Previous 1-Jan-15* Day* Week* -2.54 0.00 -2.54 -2.54 1.20 1.10 1.20 -11.50 -1.80 -0.20 -1.80 0.20 12.00 10.00 10.00 -51.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.30 0.00 -4.30 -36.20 -1.30 0.00 -1.30 -16.30 2.67 0.00 2.67 -3.33 8.00 0.00 8.00 35.50 -0.30 -0.23 -0.30 -28.27 Close of 3 April 2015 10-Year Selected LCY Government Bond Yields Markets US EU Japan PRC Hong Kong, China India Indonesia Korea, Rep. of Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Viet Nam Latest Closing 1.84 0.19 0.37 3.58 1.41 7.74 7.38 2.09 3.87 4.17 2.15 2.64 6.51 basis point change from Previous Previous 1-Jan-15* Day* Week* -7.28 -12.26 -12.26 -33.23 -1.30-1.30 0.00 -34.70 -0.70-0.70 2.70 3.90 5.00 -5.00 5.00 -7.00 -8.40 0.00 -8.40 -48.40 -3.90 0.00 -3.90 -14.30 -0.10 5.30 5.30 -44.40 -9.00 -2.50 -9.00 -52.00 -3.30 -3.30 0.30 -28.10 -1.00-1.00 0.00 30.17 -8.31 0.00 -8.31 -13.29 -5.70 0.80 -5.70 -9.10 0.00 -0.50 0.00 -71.80 Close of 3 April 2015 EU = European Union, LCY =local currency, PRC = People’s Republic of China, US = United States. Source: Based on data from Bloomberg, LP. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 4 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Benchmark Yield Curves – LCY Government Bonds Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org US EU 1.8 Yield (%) Yield (%) 2.3 1.3 Japan 0.9 1.5 0.6 1.1 Yield (%) 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 0 0.3 0.00 5 10 15 20 25 30 -0.1 0 -0.3 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 4 8 12 20 24 28 32 36 40 Time to maturity (years) Time to maturity (years) 27-Mar-15 16 32.00 Time to maturity (years) 03-Apr-15 0.7 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 China, People’s Rep. of 27-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 20-Mar-15 Hong Kong, China 3.6 27-Mar-15 20-Mar-15 Indonesia 1.9 8.2 8.0 1.5 3.2 7.8 Yield (%) Yield (%) Yield (%) 3.4 1.1 0.7 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.8 0.3 6.6 3.0 -0.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 6.4 0 2 4 6 Time to maturity (years) 03-Apr-15 27-Mar-15 8 10 12 14 16 0 3 6 9 Time to maturity (years) 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 Korea, Republic of 27-Mar-15 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 Time to maturity (years) 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 Malaysia 27-Mar-15 20-Mar-15 Philippines 4.5 5.5 2.4 4.2 4.5 2.0 1.8 3.9 Yield (%) Yield (%) Yield (%) 2.2 3.6 3.3 1.6 3.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 27-Mar-15 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 0 3 6 9 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 27-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 20-Mar-15 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.5 15 18 27-Mar-15 Thailand 3.0 12 21 24 27 Time to maturity (years) Time to maturity (years) Singapore 20-Mar-15 Viet Nam 7.5 7.0 Yield (%) 2.8 2.3 2.6 2.0 Yield (%) Yield (%) 2.5 1.5 0 Time to maturity (years) 03-Apr-15 3.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 2.4 2.2 6.5 6.0 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.8 1.8 0.5 1.6 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 5.0 4.5 0 2 4 27-Mar-15 8 10 12 14 Time to maturity (years) Time to maturity (years) 03-Apr-15 6 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 27-Mar-15 16 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time to maturity (years) 20-Mar-15 03-Apr-15 27-Mar-15 20-Mar-15 EU = European Union, LCY = local currency US = United States. Source: Based on data from Bloomberg. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 5 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... 2- versus 10- Year Yield Spread Chart Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org US EU 3-Apr-15 Japan 27 -Mar-15 20 -Mar-15 China, People's Rep. of Hong Kong, China Indonesia Korea, Rep. of Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Viet Nam 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 basis points EU = European Union, US = United States. Source: Based on data from Bloomberg LP. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 6 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Policy Rate versus Inflation Rate Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org China, People’s Rep. of Hong Kong, China India 12 6 6 11 5.35 4.60 4 Inflation Rate 10 1-year Lending Rate 4 9 8 Inflation Rate 7.75 7 2 2 HKMA Base Rate 0.50 0 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Repurchase Cut-off Yield 6 1.40 Inflation Rate 0 Jan-12 The PRC uses the 1-year lending rate as one of its policy rates. Source: Bloomberg LP. 5.11 5 4 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Jan-12 The Hong Kong Monetary Authority maintains a Discount Window Base Rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. Indonesia Jul-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Feb-15 The Reserve Bank of India uses the repurchase (repo) cutoff yield as its policy rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. Korea, Republic of 10 Jul-13 Malaysia 5 5 9 c 4 4 8 Overnight Policy Rate 7.50 7-day Repo Rate 3 7 BI Rate 6.38 6 2 5 Inflation Rate 3.25 3 1.75 1 Inflation Rate 2 1 4 0.40 Inflation Rate 3 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 0 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Bank Indonesia uses its reference interest rate (BI rate) as its policy rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. The Bank of Korea shifted its policy rate from the overnight repurchase (repo) rate to the 7-day repo rate in March 2008. Source: Bloomberg LP. Philippines Thailand Overnight Reverse Repo Rate Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Bank Negara Malaysia uses the overnight policy rate (OPR) as its policy rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. 16 1-day Repo Rate 3 4.00 4 Jan-13 20 4 5 0.10 Jul-12 Viet Nam 5 6 0 Jan-12 Prim e Lending Rate 12 2 1.75 9.00 8 3 Inflation Rate 2.50 2 1 Inflation Rate 4 0 Inflation Rate -0.57 1 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Bangko Sentral uses the Philippine overnight reverse repurchase agreement rate as one of its policy instruments. Source: Bloomberg LP. -1 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 The Bank of Thailand replaced the 14-day repurchase rate with the 1-day repurchase rate in January 2007 as its policy rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. 0.93 0 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 The State Bank of Viet Nam uses a benchmark prime lending rate as its policy rate. Source: Bloomberg LP. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 7 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Credit Default Swap Spreads and Exchange Rate Indexes Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org Credit Default Swap Spreads — Senior 5-Year* 350 China, People's Rep. of Indonesia 300 Korea, Rep. of Japan Malaysia Mid spread in basis points 250 Philippines Thailand 200 Viet Nam 150 100 50 * In US$ and based on sovereign bonds 0 Jan-13 Source: Bloomberg Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Exchange Rate Indexes (vis-à-vis US$, 2 January 2007=100) 130 130 China, People's Rep. of Indonesia 120 120 Korea, Rep. of Malaysia 110 110 Philippines 100 100 Thailand Singapore 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 Jan-08 Aug-08 Mar-09 Oct-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-11 Mar-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Jan-14 Sep-14 Viet Nam Source: AsianBondsOnline calculations based on Bloomberg data. 50 Apr-15 ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 8 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Selected Debt Security Issuances (30 March – 3 April 2015) Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org Markets Auction Date HK 31-Mar ID KR Type of Security Average Yield (%) Coupon (%) Amount Offered (LCY billion) 92-day Exchange Fund Bills 0.03 32.29 182-day Exchange Fund Bills 0.06 11.00 3-month Treasury Bills 5.40 1-year Treasury Bills 6.11 9-year Treasury Bonds 7.44 8.38 19-year Treasury Bonds 7.78 8.38 30-Mar 91-day Monetary Stabilization Bonds 1.77 1-Apr 2-year Monetary Stabilization Bonds 1.71 63-day Treasury Bills 1.77 31-Mar Amount Issued (LCY billion) 32.29 11.00 1,000.00 1.71 10,000.00 2,000.00 3,900.00 3,100.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 2,500.00 2,500.00 1,500.00 1,500.00 4.00 4.00 0.60 MY 30-Mar 7.5 year Treasury Bonds 3.80 SG 31-Mar 28-day MAS Bills 0.18 0.60 81-day MAS Bills 0.71 4.80 4.80 20.00 TH 3.80 30-Mar 28-day Treasury Bills 1.75 20.00 31-Mar 91-day Bank of Thailand Bonds 1.75 30.00 30.00 1.76 30.00 30.00 182-day Bank of Thailand Bonds LCY = local currency, MAS = Monetary Authority of Singapore. Sources: Local market sources and Bloomberg, LP. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 9 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... Selected Asia Data Releases (7 – 13 April 2015) Tip: Zoom-in on the table using the Acrobat zoom tool asiandbonsonline.adb.org Economy and Variable Philippines CPI y-o-y, % MAR Japan Current Account JPY billion FEB Philippines Exports y-o-y, % FEB Republic of Korea 7-Day Repurchase Rate % 9-Apr People’s Republic of China CPI y-o-y, % MAR People’s Republic of China PPI y-o-y, % MAR Malaysia Industrial Production y-o-y, % FEB People’s Republic of China Exports y-o-y, % MAR People’s Republic of China Trade Balance US$ billion MAR Japan PPI y-o-y, % MAR Release Date 04/07 04/08 04/08 04/09 04/10 04/10 04/10 04/13 04/13 04/13 Historical Data 02/14: 4.1% 03/14: 3.9% 01/15: 2.4% 02/15: 2.5% 01/14: –1,586.1 02/14: 607.7 12/14: 187.2 01/15: 61.4 01/14: –3.0% 02/14: 11.6% 12/14: –3.0% 01/15: –0.5% 03/14: 2.50% 04/14: 2.50% 02/15: 2.00% 03/15: 1.75% 02/14: 2.0% 03/14: 2.4% 01/15: 0.8% 02/15: 1.4% 02/14: –2.0% 03/14: –2.3% 01/15: –4.3% 02/15: –4.8% 01/14: 3.1% 02/14: 6.7% 12/14: 7.4% 01/15: 7.0% 02/14: –18.1% 03/14: –9.2% 01/15: –3.2% 02/15: 48.3% 02/14: –22.6 03/14: 8.0 01/15: 60.0 02/15: 60.6 02/14: 1.8% 03/14: 1.7% 01/15: 0.3% 02/15: 0.5% Recent Trends Consumer price inflation in the Philippines rose to 2.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in February from 2.4% y-o-y in January. Japan’s current account surplus declined to JPY61.4 billion in January from JPY187.2 billion in December. Merchandise exports from the Philippines contracting 3.0% y-o-y in December. fell 0.5% y-o-y in January after The Bank of Korea’s Monetary Policy Committee decided on 12 March to reduce the 7-day repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 1.75% in order to support economic grow th amid low inflationary pressures. Consumer price inflation in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) inched up to 1.4% y-o-y in February from 0.8% y-o-y in January. The Producer Price Index (PPI) of the PRC fell 4.8% y-o-y in February follow ing a 4.3% y-o-y drop in January. Industrial production grow th in Malaysia slipped to 7.0% y-o-y in January, dow n from 7.4% y-o-y in December, on the back of slow er grow th in manufacturing production. Exports from the PRC recovered strongly in February, posting 48.3% y-o-y grow th after contracting 3.2% y-o-y in January. The PRC reported a trade surplus amounting to US$60.6 billion in February, almost the same level as the surplus posted in January. Japan’s PPI rose 0.5% y-o-y in February follow ing 0.3% y-o-y grow th in January. Source: AsianBondsOnline , Bloomberg LP, and Reuters. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 10 ASIANBONDSONLINE asianbondsonline.adb.org DEBT HIGHLIGHTS ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....... News Articles: Sources for Further Reading Tip: Click on link to open a new browser (Acrobat Reader 8); for older versions right-click to open a new browser) asiandbonsonline.adb.org Consumer Price Inflation Rises in Indonesia, Eases in the Republic of Korea, Turns Negative in Thailand in March Indonesia Update: Inflation Up, Manufacturing Activity Contracts Indonesia Investments (1 April 2015) Hong Kong Telecom Prices US$500 Million 10-Year Bond; Grand China Air Prices US$300 Million 2-Year Bond; Siam Cement Raises THB30 Billion from Dual-Tranche Bond Sale Hong Kong Telecom wires up $500m bond FinanceAsia (30 March 2015) Consumer Price Index Statistics Indonesia`(1 April 2015) Grand China Air debuts $300m bond FinanceAsia (31 March 2015) Consumer Price Index in March 2015 Statistics Korea (1 April 2015) Consumer Price Index and Core Consumer Price Index: March 2015 and first quarter of year 2015 Ministry of Commerce (1 April 2015) SCC184B and SCC194A are registered with ThaiBMA on April 1, 2015 ThaiBMA (1 April 2015) The Republic of Korea’s Merchandise Trade Surplus Reaches a Record High in March; Thailand’s Current Account Surplus Up m-o-m, Down y-o-y in February S. Korea’s trade surplus widens to record high on shrinking imports YONHAP News (1 April 2015) Press Release on Economic and Monetary Conditions for February 2015 Bank of Thailand (31 March 2015) Table Attached to Press Release on Economic and Monetary Conditions for February 2015 Bank of Thailand (31 March 2015) Balance of Payments (Summary) (US$) Bank of Thailand (31 March 2015) The PRC’s Manufacturing Activity Rebounds in March; Singapore’s Manufacturing Sector Contracts in March; February’s Industrial Production Down in Japan, Mixed in the Republic of Korea, Up in Thailand Chinese Manufacturing Gauge Rebounds in March After Stimulus Bloomberg (1 April 2015) Indices of Industrial Production Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry`(30 March 2015) Monthly Industrial Statistics, February 2015 Statistics Korea (31 March 2015) March PMI contracted further at 49.6 – The electronics index returned to expansion at 50.1 SIPMM Academy (2 April 2015) Press Release on Economic and Monetary Conditions for February 2015 Bank of Thailand (31 March 2015) Table Attached to Press Release on Economic and Monetary Conditions for February 2015 Bank of Thailand (31 March 2015) Disclaimer: AsianBondsOnline Newsletter is available to users free of charge. ADB provides no warranty or undertaking of any kind with respect to the information and materials found on, or linked to, the AsianBondsOnline Newsletter. ADB accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of the material posted or linked to in the publication, or the information contained therein, or for any consequences arising from its use, and does not invite or accept reliance being placed on any material or information so provided. Views expressed in articles marked with AsianBondsOnline are those of the authors and not ADB. This disclaimer does not derogate from, and is in addition to, the general terms and conditions regarding the use of the AsianBondsOnline website, which also apply. ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 11
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