Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Nifty Outlook After a strong surge on Monday, equity benchmarks traded in a narrow range and closed flat on Tuesday. Due to prevailing uncertainty, participants preferred to book profit after the previous session’s rally, which capped the upside in index. Also, investors’ are eyeing development in the parliament and hence keeping cautious approach. Amid all, the market got support at lower levels in response to the statement made by the finance minister Arun Jaitley that the government has initiated a large number of reforms in its first year of governance to encourage investments and the country has the potential to grow at 9-10%. We reiterate our view to uphold stock specific trading approach and avoid high beta counters for short term trades. Besides, traders are advised to maintain balanced approach and keep a check on positions size. As we have mentioned earlier in our posts, the prevailing negative bias would reverse if Nifty manages to sustain above 8500 otherwise selling pressure will resume so plan your trades accordingly. Nifty VWAP Max Call Max Put 8490 8600 8100 Religare Super Ideas News Kotak Mahindra Bank's net profit rose 29.46% to Rs 527.14 crore on 27.26% rise in total income to Rs 3249.08 crore in Q4 March 2015 over Q4 March 2014. The bank approved bonus shares in ratio of 1:1. Mahindra & Mahindra’s total tractor sales in April were down 13 per cent at 18,011 units as against 20,731 units in the same month last year. V-Guard Industries Ltd net profit fell nearly 2 per cent to Rs 20.07 crore on higher tax outgo in Q4 of FY15 from Rs 20.47 crore in the previous quarter. Derivative Ideas : B/S Lot CMP SL TARGET HCLTECH B 250 910915 886 970 Buy/Sell CMP Initiation Range SL Target Duration MAKE BUY 1773.45 1760– 1780 1700 1950 3-5 Days RECLTD BUY 318.75 317 - 320 308 350 3-5 Days FII & DII activity (Rs. in Cr.) Sectors to watch Instrument Scrip FII F &O (Rs. In Cr.) Sector Name Outlook Category Amt MTD YTD TEXTILE STABLE FII 60.53 10574 114219 PHARMA STABLE DII 146.8 7004 50119 OIL N GAS STABLE Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html *FII & DII data of 4th May 2015 Net B/S IDXFUTS 553407 IDXOPT 4902037 STKFUTS 929557 OI 14045.1 6 108551. 15 24496.1 5 1 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Religare Super Ideas Derivative Ideas Marico Kaya Enterprises Limited (MAKE) Rural Electrification CorporatioinLtd. (RECLTD) HCLTECH The stock has broken its multiple resistance placed at 910 levels with good volumes and managed to Sustain above the same. In addition closed above its 100DEMA. Daily momentum oscillators like MACD and RSI showing trend reversal signal. Considering this stock will move upside up to 5-7% in coming session It has witnessed decent profit taking from its recent top i.e. 2308 levels. For past couple of sessions, it has been consolidating with reasonable volume. This indicates accumulation and it seems that the stock is all-set for an upside breakout in the near term. Hence, short term traders can utilize this pause as a fresh buying opportunity. Three week long declining streak seems to halt with the stock forming an upside reversal pattern on daily chart. Currently, it is trading close to its important supports and risk to reward ratio is also quite favorable at current juncture. Strategy: BUY HCLTECH FUT BET 910-915 FOR A TGT OF 970 WITH A SL OF 886 LOT SIZE : 250 Investment Idea Scrip CMP Recommendation Price Target Duration SRTRANSFIN 846.7 1140-1175 1500 9-12 month Shriram Transport Finance Company Ltd. (SRTRANSFIN) Shriram Transport Finance Company (STFC), the flagship company of the Shriram group, is the largest asset-financing non-banking financial company (NBFC) in the country and a holistic finance provider for the commercial vehicle industry. The Company plans to expand its nascent car lending portfolio to cover the entire country, as its core market (financing trucks, buses and tractors) continues to struggle. Of the total US$8bn assets under management, heavy commercial vehicles account for 40 per cent, where growth is expected to revive with the economy. The company is improving rural infrastructure with focus on rural market and expects better demand in the current quarter. Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 2 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Earnings Calendar Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat 1 2 Grasim Industries Ltd 3 4 5 Dabur India Ltd Century Textiles & Industries Ltd Oriental Bank of Commerce ABB India Ltd Canara Bank Firstsource Solutions Ltd NIIT Technologies Ltd 6 Sanghi Industries Ltd KEC International Ltd/India 7 Titan Co Ltd Birla Corp Ltd Hero MotoCorp Ltd 8 Hindustan Unilever Ltd Punjab National Bank Orient Cement Ltd Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd 9 10 11 Bank of Baroda 12 Finolex Industries Ltd Ashok Leyland Ltd Union Bank of India Sobha Ltd 13 Nestle India Ltd Tata Communications Ltd Emami Ltd 14 Asian Paints Ltd Tech Mahindra Ltd 15 NTPC Ltd Bank of India Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 16 17 18 19 Jubilant Foodworks Ltd 20 21 Lakshmi Machine Works Ltd Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd Hinduja Global Solutions Ltd Bajaj Auto Ltd 22 ITC Ltd Mphasis Ltd State Bank of India JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd Colgate-Palmolive India Ltd Cummins India Ltd Engineers India Ltd Gujarat State Petronet Ltd IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd 23 Strides Arcolab Ltd Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 3 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Earnings Calendar Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 India Cements Ltd GAIL India Ltd Rural Electrification Corp Ltd Wed 27 Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd Britannia Industries Ltd JSW Steel Ltd Thermax Ltd Container Corp Of India Ltd Power Finance Corp Ltd Oil India Ltd Prestige Estates Projects Ltd Thu 28 Havells India Ltd Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd Pidilite Industries Ltd Gujarat Industries Power Co Ltd Indraprastha Gas Ltd SJVN Ltd Fri 29 Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd Larsen & Toubro Ltd NMDC Ltd Phoenix Mills Ltd Tata Motors Ltd Crompton Greaves Ltd Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd Bajaj Electricals Ltd Oil & Natural Gas Corp Ltd Voltas Ltd Sunteck Realty Ltd Ashiana Housing Ltd Power Grid Corp of India Ltd Coal India Ltd DLF Ltd Redington India Ltd Sat 30 31 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 4 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Events Calendar Date Time Events Country 05/06/2015 10:30 HSBC India Services PMI India 05/06/2015 10:30 HSBC India Composite PMI India 05/08/2015 05:12 Local Car Sales India 05/08/2015 05:15 Exports YoY India 05/08/2015 05:15 Imports YoY India 05/08/2015 05:15 Trade Balance India 05/12/2015 17:30 Industrial Production YoY India 05/12/2015 17:30 CPI YoY India 05/14/2015 12:00 Wholesale Prices YoY India Team Members Rakesh Tarway [email protected] Ajay Kumar Srivastava [email protected] Ajit Mishra [email protected] Ammolh Paatil [email protected] Swati Saxena [email protected] Manoj M Vayalar [email protected] Munjal Mehta [email protected] Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 5 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 6 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html 7 Religare Morning Digest May 6, 2015 Before you use this research report , please ensure to go through the disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 and Research Disclaimer at the following link : http://old.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html Specific analyst(s) specific disclosure(s) inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 is/are as under: Statements on ownership and material conflicts of interest , compensation– Research Analyst (RA) [Please note that only in case of multiple RAs, if in the event answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) below , are given separately] S. 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