Introduction to panel session
How to leverage competence from oil and gas into renewables? Fornybarkonferansen 28 April 2015 Lars Johannes Nordli, VP Renewable Energy, Statoil Energy Perspectives – The Renewable market Renewable will see the strongest growth Incremental power generation toward 2040 • Power market 2014: Renewables outnumbered conventional capacity addition • Growth rate of 9% p.a. towards 2040* • Wind playing lead role − capacity to expand by almost five times** − ~25% of new power generation added • Offshore to constitute ~20% of global wind power – with accelerated force post 2020 *Source: IEA, Statoil , all figures for 2040 **Source: ExxonMobil Classifi 3 cation: Source: IEA, New Policies Scenario Offshore wind – Global market potential The market opportunity Gross annual capacity addition [MW] • Current installed capacity - 9GW • Potential - 100 GW by 2030 • Capex ~ 3500 bill NOK, OPEX in addition • Key markets − Europe North Sea Basin − China • Emerging opportunity in floating − Japan − US Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance 4 Classification: Internal 2015-02-09 A typical offshore wind project of today • Size: 300-500 MW • Capital Investments: 1.5 - 2 bill EUR • 4 years to develop – 3 years to build • 6 MW turbine − Nacelle at +100 m − >150 m rotor diameter • 100 000 t of steel / 25 000 t eq. mnt • >300 people working offshore • 5000 vessel days, up to 30 vessels • 30 000 offshore lifts – 1500 large lifts • Powering 400 000 households *60 - 80 wind turbines 5 Classification: Internal 2015-02-09 Siemens 6 MW at Dudgeon 6 Classification: Internal 2015-02-09 Playing at our strengths • Large complex projects incl multi contracting interface • Marine operations – key! • Understanding subsurface - linked to load effects • O&M ability – preventive maintenance and offshore operations • Understand technology risks and use • HSE awareness • The resource pool 7 Classification: Internal 2015-02-09 Summary – Offshore wind and O&G sector • Attractive growth market with global perspective • Still early development – ability to position • O&G experience differentiate – seen as valuable partner • Statoil to develop material and industrial position (in whole value chain) • Continue to focus on technology • Norwegian supplier industry can contribute 8 Classification: Internal 2015-02-09 This presentation, including the contents and arrangement of the contents of each individual page or the collection of the pages, are owned by Statoil. Copyright to all material including, but not limited to, written material, photographs, drawings, images, tables and data remains the property of Statoil. All rights reserved. Any other kind of use, reproduction, translation, adaption, arrangement, any other alteration, distribution or storage of this presentation, in whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Statoil is prohibited. The information contained in this presentation may not be accurate, up to date or applicable to the circumstances of any particular case, despite our efforts. Statoil cannot accept any liability for any inaccuracies or omissions. Presentation title Lars Johannes Nordli Vice President E-mail address: [email protected] www.statoil.com 9 Capitalise on lessons learnt - Scira Classification: Internal 2013-06-13 Deciding factors for energy policy – «The energy trilemma» Affordability Security of supply Decarbonisation Job creation 11 Classification: Internal 2014-08-13 Size of wind turbines Source: EWEA 12 Classification: Internal 2014-03-17 Competiveness of Renewable Continued to improve in 2014 Source: IRENA 2014 Classifi 13 cation: Project pipeline Starting to expand our business case Increase Portfolio Current Portfolio Japan North West Europe US 2.3MW Hywind Demo In operation 2009- 317MW 1.11 Twh / yr Sheringham Shoal In operation 2012- 402MW 1.7 Twh / yr 30MW 0,14 Twh / yr Dudgeon Hywind pilot park FID Construction and installation phase 2017 Concept selection 2017- 2020- Dogger Bank 1200MW each project Hywind Commercial Park
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