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EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Message from the Chair of the Local Organizing Committee Dear Guest, We are pleased to welcome you to the 8th conference of the Eastern Mediterranean Region of the International Biometric Society (EMR-IBS) at the Convention Center of the Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University located at the heart of Cappadocia region of Turkey. The successful series of meeting of EMR took place in three Mediterranean countries starting in Athens, Greece in 2001, followed by Antalya, Turkey in 2003, Corfu, Greece in 2005, Eilat, Israel in 2007, Istanbul Turkey in 2009, Crete, Greece in 2011, and Tel Aviv Israel in 2013. The meeting will takes place in a modern and newly built congress center of the Nevsehir Hacı Bektaş Veli University. We are thankful to the rector of this university Prof. Dr. Filiz Kılıç for her great hospitality and her support by opening up their facilities at the campus for us to use during the period of conference. The scientific program consists of 19 invited, 90 oral presentations and 52 poster presentations. In addition, 3 preconference short courses are being offered, two full day and one half a day short course. We are grateful to the continued support of executive director Dee Ann Walker helping us with a financial support to bring distinguished lecturer for the short course. Frontier Science Foundation -Hellas (FSF-H) is supporting participation of young researchers in memory of Steve Lagakos who had been great supporter of the EMR, providing 3 awards to students with the best submitted abstracts. At this conference we are also initiating the first memorial session in the memory of Prof. Marvin Zelen of the Harvard University in which the first lecture will be given by Ori Davidov titled "ORDERED REGRESSIONS WITH APPLICATIONS". We are also thankful to the members of scientific committee with contributions into determination of session topics discussed at the conference, as a referee for the decision on the abstracts submitted and president of the EMR Havi Murad of Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Israel And finally we thank to my university, Çukurova University and The Scientific and Technical Research Council of Turkey for providing generous donations and to the team of local organizing committee for their invaluable work, İlker Unal and Yaşar Sertdemir on designing, the maintenance of conference web site and finalizing conference program. The conference is also unique opportunity to experience Turkish Culture and beauty of Cappadocia. A very warm welcome to you. Refik Burgut, chair Ergun Karaağaoğlu, co-chair On the behalf of the local organizing committee 1 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Scientific Committee Yoav Benjamini Tel Aviv University, Israel Elia Biganzoli University of Milan, Italy Annibale Biggeri University of Florence, Italy Refik Burgut Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey Urania Dafni University of Athens, Greece Ori Davidov University of Haifa, Israel Birol Emir Columbia University, USA David Farragi University of Haifa, Israel Laurence Freedman Gertner Institute, Israel Mauro Gasparini Politecnico di Torino, Italy Diklah Geva Beer Sheba University, Israel Guadalupe Gomez University of Catalonia, Spain Mithat Gönen Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, USA Ergun Karaagaoglu Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey Christine McLaren University of California, USA Geert Molenberghs Hasselt Univeristy, Belgium Havi Murad Gertner Institute, Israel Taesung Park Seoul National University, Korea Benjamin Reiser University of Haifa, Israel Howard Rockette University of Pittsburgh, USA Ziv Shkedy Hasselt Univeristy, Belgium Stergios Tzortzios Thessaly University, Greece Maria Grazia Valsecchi University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy Marvin Zelen Harvard School of Public Health, USA David Zucker Hebrew University, Israel 2 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Local Organizing Committee H. Refik Burgut (Chair) Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey Ergun Karaağaoğlu (Co-Chair) Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey Z. Nazan Alparslan Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey Yüksel Bek Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey Atilla H. Elhan Ankara University, Ankara, Turkey İlker Ercan Uludag University, Bursa, Turkey Özlem İlk Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey Zeynep Kalaylıoğlu Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey Erdem Karabulut Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey Anıl Dolgun Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey Yaşar Sertdemir (Secretary) Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey İlker Ünal (Secretary) Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey 3 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Invited Speakers Yoav Benjamini Tel Aviv University, Israel Elia Biganzoli University of Milan, Italy Annibale Biggeri University of Florence, Italy Hamparsum Bozdogan University of Tennessee, USA Birol Emir Columbia University, USA David Farragi University of Haifa, Israel Laurence Freedman Gertner Institute, Israel Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda INSERM & University of Bordeaux, France Mauro Gasparini Politecnico di Torino, Italy Diklah Geva Beer Sheba University, Israel Guadalupe Gomez University of Catalonia, Spain Mithat Gönen Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, USA Ping Hu National Institute of Health, USA KyungMann Kim University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA Victor Kipnis National Cancer Institute, USA Emmanuel Lesaffre Erasmus MC, Netherlands Christine McLaren University of California, USA Geert Molenberghs Hasselt University, Belgium Havi Murad Gertner Institute, Israel Taesung Park Seoul National University, Korea Cecile Proust INSERM & University of Bordeaux, France Benjamin Reiser University of Haifa, Israel Dimitris Rizopoulos Hasselt University, Belgium Howard Rockette University of Pittsburgh, USA Ziv Shkedy Hasselt University, Belgium Stergios Tzortzios Thessaly University, Greece Maria Grazia Valsecchi University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy David Zucker Hebrew University, Israel 4 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Sponsors Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) International Biometric Society (IBS) Cukurova University, Adana, Turkey Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University, Nevsehir, Turkey TUBITAK, Ankara, Turkey Frontier Science Foundation Hellas, Greece 5 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Student Awards Frontier Science Foundation Hellas (FSF-H) is supporting student awards in honor of Prof. Lagakos. There will be 3 awards for students belonging to the EMR, as below 2 for oral presentations and 1 for poster The awards include air travel (economy class) registration fees and accommodation to Suhan Hotel for the days of the conference up to 1000 Euros The winners of student awards in honor of Prof. Lagakos Mrs. Nicole Erler from Erasmus Medical Center Mr. Daniel Nevo from The Hebrew University of Jerusalem Mrs. Loumpiana Koulai from MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge 6 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey General Information Conference Venue The Conference will take place at the Convention Center of the Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University. Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University 2000 Evler Mah. Zübeyde Hanım Cad. 50300 / Nevsehir - TURKEY Tel : +90 (384) 228 10 00 Climate and Clothing In May the weather is nice and warm during the whole day. Mean temperature ranges from 15-25 °C. Country Dialing Code +90 Electrical voltage The voltage in Turkey is 220 volt. Liability and Insurance The organizers have no responsibility whatsoever for injury or damage involving persons and property during the Conference. Participants are advised to carry their own personal insurance during their stay in Turkey. Name badges All participants and accompanying persons must wear the Conference identification badge in a visible place. Entrance to meeting hall, poster and exhibition areas will not be permitted to any person without badge. Official language The official Language of the Conference will be English. Simultaneous translation will not be provided. Tipping For taxi and restaurants the service charge is included in the price. You may add a tip at your own discretion to indicate appreciation of exceptionally good service. 7 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Secretariat Information Registration Desk Location: Convention Center of the Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University. You will be provided with a name badge when you arrive and/or register at registration desk. Opening hours Monday May 11: 08.00-17.00 Tuesday May 12: 08.00-17.00 Wednesday May 13: 08.00-13.30 Thursday May 14: 08.00- 18.00 Friday May 15: 08.00- 13.30 Certificate of attendance Certificates of attendance will be available at the registration desk for all participants. Lunch Lunch buffet will be available upon presentation of conference name badge in NEÜ-USET Tafana Fast Food & Cafe. Wireless Connection Free spot in all the areas of Conference Center. You can connect only with one device. Username and password will be given during conference. Message board Message Board is located in the Conference Center next to the registration desk. Please make sure to remove the message by yourself. 8 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Guidelines for presenters Oral Presentation Information Each contributed oral presentation will be allocated 17 minutes for presentation, with an additional three minutes for questions and session chairs will be instructed to stop any presentations that runover to allow time for the changeover of speakers. Please ensure that you plan your presentation to fit within this schedule. The Chair will warn you when you have five minutes (of the 17) remaining, again with two minutes (of the 17) remaining, and will hold up a STOP sign when you reach the end of your allocated 17 minutes! Please prepare your presentations using either PowerPoint or pdf formats, running under Windows. We recommend that you save your PowerPoint presentation as a PowerPoint Show (.pps) file rather than as a .ppt file, as this format is more transferable between platforms. Please bring your presentation on a USB flash memory. Please arrive at the designated lecture room for your session at least 10 minutes prior to the start of the session, to allow time to check that your presentation is correctly uploaded. You should introduce yourself to the session Chair when you arrive, and expect to stay in that room for the whole session, not just for your presentation. Remember that although all presentations should be given in English, not all delegates have English as their first language, so try not to speak too fast! When answering any questions at the end of your presentation, remember to speak to the whole audience, not just to the person who asked the question. Poster Presentation Information and Guidelines Each presenter is provided with a 90 cm wide by 120 cm height laminated poster board and will be arranged in PORTRAIT format. Please prepare your poster to fit this size. The presentation must cover the same material as the abstract submitted. Posters should be clear and easy to read. Font size should be sufficiently large to allow people to read from one and half to two meters away. Avoid overload - too much information seriously detracts from the overall impact. LESS IS BEST! Posters will be assigned to a poster board number listed in our Conference Program Book (distributed at conference site). Find your assigned poster board to display your poster. Posters must be displayed prior to the scheduled Poster Session and must be taken away at the end of each group session. Remember that the presenting author is expected to be present at the poster during the session in which the poster is included. Remember to include the title, the names of the authors and their affiliations at the top of your poster - you might also like to include a small photo of the presenting author to help other delegates identify who they want to talk to! Do not mail your poster to the conference site as there will not be anyone to accept your presentation at this location. Poster Discussion: Discussions should be held in front of your posters. Poster should be self-explanatory so that you are free to supplement and discuss any points of inquiry. The poster session provides a more intimate forum for discussion than an oral presentation. This becomes difficult if you are obliged to devote most of your time explaining your poster to a succession of visitors. 9 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey Social Events Welcome Reception will take place on Monday, 11th May 2015 from 18:00 - 20:00 at Kızılçukur Vadisi (Red Valley) All participants are invited to attend a special Welcome Reception on Monday at Kızılçukur Vadisi. Please be with us to enjoy the sunset over the valley with combining fine local Turkish wine. Gala Dinner (Turkish Night Show) will take place on Thursday, 14th May 2015 from 19:30 - 00:00. The Turkish Night Show highlights the dance traditions of various regions of Turkey, complete with traditional costumes and of course, exhilarating belly dancers. This lively performance is a great way to enjoy traditional Turkish music, dancing and join in the festivities during audience participation. There are still tickets available for the Gala Dinner! You can buy the tickets at registration desk on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday! Tour to Goreme Open Air Museum will take place on Wednesday, 13th May 2015. The Tour takes you to Göreme open air museum, the most famous tourist attraction in Cappadocia, Paşabağ, Devrent valleys and panorama of Honey (Love) valley, famous local wine factory (TURASAN), pottery houses and gallery of Turkish Sultanite (or Zultanite). There are tickets available for this tour! You can buy the tickets at registration desk on Monday and Tuesday. The cost is 30 Euros including entrance fees to Goreme Open Air Museum, guiding and transportation. 10 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 11-15 May 2015, Cappadocia, Nevsehir, Turkey EMR2015 Conference Program 11 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 11, Monday May 11, Monday Location : NEÜ-USET Tafana Fast Food & Cafe Salon 1 (First Floor) 09:00 – 17:00 Preconference Course I Joint Latent Class Mixed Models with Application with The R-Package “lcmm” Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda and Cécile Proust-Lima, France Salon 2 (First Floor) 09:00 – 17:00 Preconference Course II Bayesian Methods in Follow Up Studies Emmanuel Lesaffre and David Dejardin, Belgium Salon 3 (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 13:30 Preconference Course III Analysis of Transcriptomics Data in Drug Discovery Ziv Shkedy, Belgium Kızılçukur Vadisi (Red Valley) 18:00 – 20:00 Welcome Reception 12 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 12, Tuesday May 12, Tuesday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 09:00 – 10:00 Talk by president of Local Committee Refik Burgut, Cukurova University, Turkey Talk by president of EMR Havi Murad, Gertner Institute For Epidemiology And Health Policy Research, Israel Talk by president of IBS John Hinde, Nui Galway, Ireland 10:00 – 10:30 Coffee Break Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 10:30 – 12:00 10:30 Bayesian Analysis Chair: Laurence Freedman Emmanuel Lesaffre L-BioStat / KU Leuven, Belgium - Invited Talk A Bayesian Multivariate Growth Curve Model 11:00 Zeynep Öztürk Artvin Çoruh University, Turkey Comparisons On Convergence Diagnostic Tests For Bayesian Logistic Random Effect Model 11:20 Kazem Nasserinejad Erasmus Medical Center, Netherlands Prediction Of Hemoglobin In Blood Donors Using A Latent Class Mixed-Effects Transition Model 11:40 Derya Karagöz Hacettepe University, Turkey Detection Of Multiple Outliers In Multivariate Data Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 10:30 – 12:00 10:30 Longitudinal Data Analysis Chair: Urania Dafni Victor Kipnis US National Cancer Institute, United States - Invited Talk Time-Varying Models For Longitudinal Data Measured With Error, With Application To Physical Activity And Sleep 11:00 Denitsa Grigorova Sofia University, Bulgaria Correlated Probit Analysis Of Two Repeatedly Measured Ordinal Outcomes With Application To The Health And Retirement Study 11:20 Diklah Geva Ben Gurion University, Israel Dynamic Model To Study The Association Between Two Longitudinal Measures In The Presence Of Survival 11:40 Zeynep Kalaylioglu Middle East Technical University, Turkey Joint Variance Prior For The Analysis Of Random Effects Models 13 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 12, Tuesday Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 10:30 – 12:00 10:30 Computational Methods Chair: Atilla Halil Elhan Taesung Park Seoul National University, Korea, Republic Of – Invited Talk Model-Based Gene-Gene Interaction Analysis For Multiple Phenotypes In Genetic Association Studies 11:00 Ozlem Ilk Middle East Technical University, Turkey MLE In A Feasible Region Is As Good As Or Better Than The Usual MLE While Estimating Box-Cox Transformation Parameter In Anova 11:20 Fadlalla G. Elfadaly The Open University, United Kingdom On Point Estimation Of The Abnormality Of An Individual Patient's Results 11:40 Bekir Çetintav Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey A New Cost-Efficient Sampling Method By Using Of The Fuzzy Sets In Ranked Set Sampling 12:00 – 13:30 Lunch Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 13:30 – 15:00 13:30 Mixture Models Chair: Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda KyungMann Kim University of Wisconsin-Madison, United States - Invited Talk Marginally Specified Mean Models For Zero-Inflated Count Data 14:00 Youngjo Lee Seoul National University, Korea, Republic of Likelihood-Based Intervals For Unobservables 14:20 Nikos Pantazis Athens University, Greece Using Routine Biomarker Measurements To Predict Time Between HIV Infection And Diagnosis 14:40 Melike Kaya Bahҫecitapar Hacettepe University, Turkey The Importance Of Estimation Methods On Statistical Power Of F-Test Statistics With Adjusted Degrees Of Freedom In Linear Mixed Effects Models For Longitudinal Data Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 13:30 – 15:00 13:30 Survival Analysis – I Chair: Mithat Gonen John Hinde NUI Galway, Ireland - Invited Talk Summarising Censored Survival Data Using The Mean Residual Life Function 14:00 Bella Vakulenko-Lagun Hebrew University, Israel Comparing Estimation Approaches For The Illness-Death Model Under Left Truncation And Right Censoring 14:20 Jonathan Yefenof Hebrew University, Israel Left Without Being Seen-The Disappearance Of Impatient Patients 14:40 Jeremy M G Taylor University of Michigan, United States 14 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 12, Tuesday A Multistate Model For Time To Cancer Recurrence And Death Incorporating A Cured Fraction Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 13:30 – 15:00 13:30 Genomics Chair: Ziv Shkedy Or Zuk Hebrew University, Israel Bayesian Multiscale Hidden Markov Tree Models For Association Analysis Of Functional Data 13:50 Stefan Konigorski Max Delbrück Center (MDC) For Molecular Medicine, Germany C-JAMP (Copula-Based Joint Analysis Of Multiple Phenotypes): A Joint Statistical Model Integrating Multi-Level Biological Data For Genetic Association Analysis Based On Copula Functions 14:10 Seyit Ali Kayis Karabuk University, Turkey Preliminary Expression Analysis Of Global MicroRNA And Biogenesis Pathway In Human Mesenchymal Stem Cells Derived From Periodontal Ligament And Pulp Of Molar And Premolar Teeth 14:30 Tal Galili Tel Aviv University, Israel Deciphering The tRNA Aminoacylation Code 15:00 – 15:30 Coffee Break Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 15:30 – 17:00 Lecture and Reception In Honor of Marvin Zelen Chair : Urania Dafni & Refik Burgut Sponsor: EMR & Frontier Science Foundation-Hellas 15:30 Talks by friends of Marvin Zelen 16:15 Ori Davidov - EMR 2015 Marvin Zelen Award Lecture Ordered Regressions With Applications 17:00 – 19:30 Reception 15 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 13, Wednesday May 13, Wednesday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Data Mining – I Chair: Birol Emir Yoav Benjamini Tel Aviv University, Israel - Invited Talk Selective Inference Of Big Data In Health Informatics 09:30 Yair Goldberg University Of Haifa, Israel Adaptive Parameter Estimation In Multi-Stage Decision Problems 09:50 Sengul Cangur Duzce University, Turkey Comparison Of Fast Regression Algorithms For Model Selection In Large And HighDimensional Data 10:10 Ülger Aydoğan Culha General Directorate Of Highways, Republic Of Turkey, Turkey Classification In High Dimension Low Sample Size Settings With And Without Data Reduction Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Italian-EMR-Spanish Chair: Havi Murad Moisés Gómez-Mateu Universitat Politècnica De Catalunya, Spain Selecting The Primary Endpoint In A Randomized Clinical Trial. A Cardiovascular Case Study 09:20 Davide Paolo Bernasconi University Of Milano-Bicocca , Italy Survival Probability With Time Varying Treatment: Theoretical Quantities And Nonparametric Estimators 09:40 M.Luz Calle University Of Vic - Central University Of Catalonia, Spain Kernel Methods In Genetic Association Studies 10:00 Livio Finos University Of Padua, Italy Conditional Multivariate Score Test In RNA-Seq Data Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Diagnostic and Screening Tests Chair: Ergun Karaagaoglu Fragiskos Bersimis Harokopio University, Greece A Composite Health Related Index's Diagnostic Accuracy Increases When Its Components' Support Length Increases And When Specific Weights Are Assigned To Them 09:20 Naime Meric Konar Hacettepe University, Turkey The Effect Of Correlation Structure Between Diagnostic Tests On Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) And Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) 16 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 09:40 May 13, Wednesday Erdal Cosgun Acibadem University, Turkey Determination Of The Reference Intervals For The Plasma And Urine Amino Acids 10:00 Demosthenes Panagiotakos Harokopio University, Greece Parametric Weibull Survival Model Performs Better On 10-Year Cardiovascular Disease Risk Data Than Semi-Parametric Models 10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Survival Analysis - II Chair: Hamparsum Bozdogan Mithat Gönen Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, United States - Invited Talk Model-Based Concordance For External Validation Of Predictive Models With Censored Data 11:30 Klaus Langohr Universitat Politècnica De Catalunya, Spain Fhtest: An R Package For The Comparison Of Survival Curves With Censored Data 11:50 Tugba Erdem-Aladag Middle East Technical University, Turkey A Joint Model For Recurrent Event Time And Longitudinal Covariates 12:10 Leyla Azarang University Of Vigo, Spain Direct Modeling Of Regression Effects For Transition Probabilities In The Non-Markov Illness-Death Model Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Health Economics Chair: Victor Kipnis Dimitris Rizopoulos Erasmus University, Netherlands - Invited Talk Optimal Screening Intervals For Biomarkers Using Joint Models For Longitudinal And Survival Data 11:30 Mehmet Ali Cengiz Ondokuz Mayıs University, Turkey Evaluation Of Determinants Of Health-System Efficiency For OECD Countries Using Bayesian Stochastic Frontier Analysis And Bayesian Network 11:50 Hamza Erdogdu Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey Bayesian Model Averaging Approach For Estimating Determinants Of Health-System Bayesian Efficiency Across OECD Countries 12:10 Ezgi Çabuk Gazi University, Turkey Determining Homogeneity Of Provinces According To The Health Facilities In Turkey 17 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 13, Wednesday Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Time Series Analysis Chair: Zeynep Kalaylıoğlu Christiana Drake University Of California, United States Missing Data And Imputation In Periodically Correlated Heavy Tailed Processes 11:20 Osman Dag Hacettepe University, Turkey Forecasting Via GMDH Algorithm With Medical Applications In R 11:40 Hanife Taylan Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi, Turkey Accuracy Of Modified Exponential Smoothing Method For M-Competition -111 Series 12:00 Demet Aydın Sinop Üniversitesi, Turkey Robust Estimation Of The Parameters Of The Shifted Gompertz Distribution 12:00 – 13:30 Lunch 13:30 – 19:30 Goreme Tour 18 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 14, Thursday May 14, Thursday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Missing Data Methods and Bayesian Analysis Chair: Emmanuel Lesaffre Havi Murad Gertner Institute For Epidemiology, Israel - Invited Talk Estimating And Testing Interactions Using Multiple Imputation, When Explanatory Variables Are Subject To Non-Classical Measurement Error 09:30 Recai Yucel State University Of New York, USA Impact Of The Non-Distinctness And Non-Ignorability On The Inference By Multiple Imputation In Multivariate Multilevel Data 09:50 Legesse Kassa Debusho University Of Pretoria, South Africa Analysis Of Extreme Rainfall At East London, South Africa Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Survival Analysis – III Chair: Constantin T. Yiannoutsos Hamparsum Bozdogan The University Of Tennessee, United States – Invited Talk Molecular Prediction Of Survival Via A Novel Adaptive Elastic Net For Undersized High Dimensional Data Using Information Complexity 09:30 Clarice Garcia Borges Demétrio Esalq/Usp, Brazil A Competing Risk Model For Discrete Time With Masked Causes And Gaussian Random Component 09:50 Eleni-Rosalina Andrinopoulou Erasmus Medical Center, Netherlands Bayesian Variable Selection With Joint Modeling Of A Longitudinal And Survival Outcome Assuming Different Association Structures Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Epidemiological Methods Chair: Refik Burgut Nuria Perez-Alvarez Technical University Of Catalonia, Spain Disability-Adjusted Life Years (Daly) For HIV-Infected Patients In Spain: Individual Analysis For The Burden Of Disease 09:20 David M Steinberg Tel Aviv University, Israel Frailty Status And The Association Between Air Pollution And Post-Myocardial Infarction Mortality 09:40 Panagiotis Andreopoulos Harokopio University, Greece Gamma & Gamma-Gompertz Smouthing Regression Models Of Mortality Indices 10:00 Candemir Cigsar Memorial University, Canada Comparison Of Outcome-Dependent Sampling Designs For Recurrent Events Data 10:20 – 11:00 Coffee Break 19 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 14, Thursday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Longitudinal Data Analysis and Student Awards Chair: Dimitris Karlis Geert Molenberghs Universiteit Hasselt, Belgium – Invited Talk Handling Negative Correlation And/Or Overdispersion In Gaussian And Non-Gaussian Hierarchical Data 11:30 Daniel Nevo Hebrew University, Israel Accounting For Measurement Error In Genomic Data And Misclassification Of Subtypes In The Analysis Of Heterogeneous Tumor Data. 11:50 Nicole Erler Erasmus Medical Center, Netherlands Multiple Imputation For Incomplete Predictors And Complex Outcomes: Mice Vs. Sequential Bayesian Imputation 12:10 Loumpiana Koulai University Of Cambridge, United Kingdom Estimating The HIV Seroconversion Time Using Biomarkers Of Recent Infection Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Meta-Analysis and Survey Methodology Chair: Stergios Tzortzios Fezan Sahin Mutlu Osmangazi University , Turkey Some Statistical Methods Assessing Publication Bias In Meta Analysis 11:20 Daniel Yekutieli Tel Aviv University, Israel Inferring Predictive Treatment Effects From The Cochrane Collaboration Reviews 11:40 Liat Shenhav Tel Aviv University, Israel Quentifing Replicability In Systematic Reviews: The R-Value 12:00 Aylin Alkaya Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University, Turkey Comparing The Horvitz-Thompson And The Hájek Estimator Of Post-Stratification Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Categorical Data Analysis Chair: Yasemin Yavuz Ayfer Ezgi Yilmaz Hacettepe University, Turkey Confidence Interval For Kappa Coefficient Under Stratified Sampling 11:20 Bahar Erar Brown University, United States Propensity Model Evaluation Of The Effects Of Online Social Network Participation On Promoting Smoking Cessation 11:40 Gokcen Efendioglu Hacettepe University, Turkey Conditional Point Skew Symmetry Model For Square Contingency Tables 12:00 Nilden Tutalar Gazi University, Turkey Comparison Of Inter-Rater Reliability Measurement Methods For Ordinal Scaled Scores 12:30 – 13:30 Lunch 20 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 14, Thursday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 13:30 – 15:00 13:30 Genetics, Genomics, Proteomics and Microarray Data Chair: Geert Molenberghs Ziv Shkedy Hasselt University, Belgium – Invited Talk Integrated Analysis Of Gene Expression, Chemical Structure And Bioassay Data In Drug Discovery Experiments 14:00 Umut Özbek Tisch Cancer Institute, United States – Invited Talk Statistics For X-Chromosome Associations 14:30 Jesse Hemerik Radboud University, Netherlands Exact Testing with Random Permutations Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 13:30 – 15:00 13:30 Computational Methods Chair: Özlem İlk Emre Dünder Ondokuz Mayıs University, Turkey Detection The Factors Effecting Diabet Patients Hba1c Measurements Using Ordinal Logistic Regression And Genetic Algorithm 13:50 Dinçer Göksülük Hacettepe Üniversitesi, Turkey Negative Binomial Linear Discriminant Analysis For The Classification Of RNA-Seq Data 14:10 Elif Acar University Of Manitoba, Canada Conditional Copula Models With Multiple Covariates 14:30 Martin Lysy University Of Waterloo, Canada Comparison And Assessment Of Models For Particle Diffusion In Biological Fluids 14:50 – 15:30 Coffee Break Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 15:30 – 17:00 Measurement Error and Robust Analysis Methods Chair: Taesung Park Laurence Freedman Gertner Institute For Epidemiology, Israel – Invited Talk 15:30 15:50 16:10 Design And Analysis Of Dietary Validation Studies When True Intake Is Modeled As A Time-Varying Process Derya Karagöz Hacettepe University, Turkey Robust X ̅ And R Control Charts Under Skewed Distribution İrem Yılmaz Dokuz Eylül University, Turkey Tests Of Location Equality When Distributions Have Non-Identical Shapes 16:30 Samet Hasan Abaci Ondokuz Mayis University, Turkey A Comparative Study Of Some Estimation Methods In Simple Linear Regression Model For Different Sample Sizes In Presence Of Outliers Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 15:30 – 17:00 Pattern Recognition and Spatial Modeling 21 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 14, Thursday Chair: Recai Yucel 15:30 Ping Hu National Cancer Institute, United States – Invited Talk Predict The False Positive Rate For Lung Cancer Screening Test In The NLST Data Samuel D. Oman Hebrew University, Israel 16:00 16:20 A Case-Study Comparison Of Methods For Factor Analysis Of Spatially Correlated Multivariate Responses Jonathan Rosenblatt Weizmann Institute Of Science, Israel Selective Correlations; Not Voodoo 16:40 Gokmen Zararsiz Hacettepe University, Turkey Statistical Learning Approaches In Diagnosing Patients With Nontraumatic Acute Abdomen Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 15:30 – 17:00 15:30 15:50 16:10 Clinical Trials – I Chair: Guadalupe Gómez Dimitris Karlis Athens University Of Economics And Business, Greece An Adaptive Design For Phase Ii Clinical Trials Xanthi Pedeli Frontier Science Foundation Hellas, Greece Adjusting For Selective Crossover In Randomized Clinical Trials: The Hera Trial Example Yalçın Yavuz Danone Nutricia Research, Netherlands Count Data Analysis In Nutrition Clinical Trials 17:00 – 18:00 EMR Members Meeting 19:30 – 00:00 Gala Dinner – Turkish Night Show 22 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 15, Friday May 15, Friday Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Biometrical Applications in Agriculture Chair: Samuel Oman Stergios Tzortzios University Of Thessaly, Greece – Invited Talk The Philosophy Of Biometry As A Basic Tool For The Improvement Of The Global Biological Research 09:30 Ömer Gülboy Ondokuz Mayıs University, Turkey Determination Of The Most Appropriate Regression Model To Estimate Metabolic Energy Values By In Vitro Gas Production Technique 09:50 Samet Hasan Abaci Ondokuz Mayis University, Turkey Determining Optimal Distance Measure To Classificate Honey Bee (Apis Mellifera L.) Subspecies In Principal Coordinate Analysis 10:10 Cem Tirink Igdir University, Turkey Comparing The Nonparametric Permutation Test And Dunnett Multiple Comparison Test Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Competing Risk Chair: Cécile Proust-Lima Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda Inserm & University Of Bordeaux, France – Invited Talk Joint Models For Longitudinal Data And Semi-Competing Risks With Interval Censoring 09:30 Giorgos Bakoyannis Indiana University, United States Flexible Likelihood Inference For The Cumulative Incidence Function 09:50 Menggang Yu University Of Wisconsin , United States Bayesian Approach For Flexible Modeling Of Semi-Competing Risk Data 10:10 Constantin T. Yiannoutsos Indiana University, United States Impact Of And Correction For Misclassification In Cumulative Incidence Estimation Turkuaz Salon (Ground Floor) 09:00 – 10:30 09:00 Experimental Design and Graphical Methods Chair: Yuksel Bek Fatma Gül Akgül Ankara University, Turkey Estimating The Parameters In One-Way Anova Based On Ranked Set Sampling 09:20 Carla Francisco Universidade Aberta De Lisboa, Portugal Biometrics Authentication: Exploring Links To Combinatorial Designs And Their Applications To Authentication Codes 09:40 Damla Dokuzoglu Middle East Technical University, Turkey Simulation Study For The Application Of Copulas In The Gaussian Graphical Model 10:00 Sıddık Keskin Yuzuncu Yil University, Turkey Generalised Procrustes Analysis And Its Application In Sensory Data 23 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 10:30 – 11:00 May 15, Friday Coffee Break Beyaz Salon (First Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Data Mining – II Chair: Ping Hu Birol Emir Pfizer Inc, United States – Invited Talk Data Mining Applications On Electronic Health Records With Severe Class Imbalance: Identifying Potential Fibromyalgia Patients 11:30 Duygu Aydin Hakli Hacettepe University, Turkey Comparing The Performance Of Oversampling Methods To Solve Class Imbalance Problem 11:50 Seungyeoun Lee Sejong University, Korea, Republic Of Power Comparison Of Modified Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction Methods For The Survival Phenotype For Detecting Gene-Gene Interactions 12:10 Ozan Cinar Middle East Technical University, Turkey A Survey Study Of A Novel Approach For Clustering Genes With Dissimilar Replicates Lila Salon (Ground Floor) 11:00 – 12:30 11:00 Clinical Trials – II Chair: Refik Burgut Guadalupe Gómez Universitat Politècnica De Catalunya, Spain – Invited Talk Planning Clinical Trials With Composite Binary Endpoints 11:30 Hans Hockey Biometrics Matters Limited (Bml), New Zealand Never Fit Sequence – The Design And Analysis Of Multi-Period Clinical Trials 11:50 Emel Dogan Kurtoglu Novagenix Bio Analytical R&D Centre, Turkey Performance Of Hotelling T2 Test In Replicated Crossover Design 12:30 – 13:30 Closing Ceremony – Lunch 24 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 12-13, Poster Group I May 12-13, Poster Group I Poster – I 1 Lidia Raquel De Carvalho University Of The State Of São Paulo-UNESP, Brazil ADJUSTING OF THE LOGISTIC MODEL WITH FIXED, WEIGHTED AND MIXED EFFECTSAPPLICATIONS 2 Tuba Koc Ondokuz Mayıs Üniversitesi, Turkey A Bayesian Approach For Continual Reassessment Method For Phase I Clinical Trials 3 Can Ates Ankara University, Turkey A Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis For Cost-Effectiveness Model Of Oral Antiviral Treatments For Chronic Hepatitis-B Patients 4 Gazel Ser Yüzüncü Yil University, Turkey The Performance Of Multiple Imputation For Different Numbers Of Imputations 5 İ. Safa Gurcan Ankara Üniversitesi, Turkey Comparisons Of The Common Used Growth Models On The Pekin Ducks 6 Gazel Ser Yüzüncü Yil University, Turkey Use Of Generalized Estimating Equations With Multiple Imputation For Missing Longitudinal Data 7 Ufuk Kaya Ankara University, Turkey Comparison Of Different Lactation Curve Models For Ewes 8 Haydar Koc Çankırı Karatekin University, Turkey Feature Selection Approach For Zero Inflated Regression Models Using Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm 9 Serpil Gumustekin Ondokuz Mayis University, Turkey Comparisons Of The Efficiency Of Hospitals In Samsun Using Network Data Envelopment Analysis 10 Doğukan Özen Ankara University, Turkey Determination Of Factors Affecting The Length Of Racing Career In Turkish Arabian Racehorses 11 Aytaç Akcay Erciyes Üniversitesi, Turkey Evaluation Of Meat Consumption Preferences With Analytical Hierarchy Process 12 Mustafa Agah Tekindal Baskent University, Turkey Evaluating Right-Censored Data Through Substitution, Parametric, Semi-Parametric, And Non-Parametric Methods: A Simulation Study 13 Tal Galili Tel Aviv University, Israel The Dendextend R Package For The Visualization And Comparison Of Dendrograms 14 Asli Akilli Ahi Evran University, Turkey Effect Of Normalization Techniques On Artificial Neural Network Performance For 305 Day Milk Yield Prediction 25 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 15 May 12-13, Poster Group I Asli Akilli Ahi Evran University, Turkey Power Analyze Review Of Research Articles In Journals That Publishing At Life Science Field In Turkey 16 Özlem Gullu Ankara Üniversitesi, Turkey Evaluating The Improvement Of Model Performance With The Addition Of Mean Platelet Volume Marker In A Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Model 17 Cengiz Han Acikel Gülhane Askeri Tıp Akademisi, Turkey Evaluation Of Peer Effects On Eating Habit: A Cluster Analysis Application 18 Selcen Yuksel Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Turkey A Simulation Study: Correlation Between An Ordinal And A Continuous Variable, Spearman Or Polyserial? 19 Selcen Yuksel Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Turkey A Simulation Study: Correlation Between Two Ordinal Variables, Spearman Or Polychoric? 20 Urko Aguirre Hospital Galdakao-Usansolo (Osakidetza), Spain Multiple Imputation Is Not Necessary For Performing Analyses In Pre-Post Studies 21 Burçin Öner Gazi University, Turkey Ldl Cholesterol Level In Subjects With Coroner Heart Disease And Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Meta-Analysis Of Prospective Studies 22 Pınar Ambarcioglu Ankara University, Turkey The Evaluation Of The Morphologic Characteristics Of Two Different Mutton Sheep Breeds Using Cluster And Fuzzy Cluster Analysis 23 Aslı Akıllı Ahi Evran University, Turkey Comparison Of Artificial Neural Network And Multiple Linear Regression For Prediction Of Live Weight In Hair Goat 24 Özge Burgut Yeditepe University, Turkey An Explorative Study: Anthropological Method Of Data Gathering 25 Emre Dünder Ondokuz Mayıs University, Turkey A Bayesian Lasso Approach For Modelling Diabetic Disease 26 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program May 14-15, Poster Group II May 14-15, Poster Group II Poster - II 1 Keskin Yüzüncü Yil University, Turkey Using Of Nonlinear Canonical Correlation Analysis To Multiway Data 2 Aslıhan Alhan Ufuk University, Turkey Copula Regression Models 3 Pervin Demir Yıldırım Beyazıt Üniversitesi, Turkey Evaluation The Factors Affecting Common Item Selection To Develop Parallel Test By Using Simulation Study 4 Yasar Sertdemir Cukurova University, Turkey How Useful Are Vital Findings Of Neonates In Predicting Sepsis 5 Legesse Kassa Debusho University Of Pretoria, South Africa Algorithms For Construction Of Optimal Block Designs For Two-Colour cDNA Microarray Experiments 6 Gözde Kuş, Ege University, Turkey Structural Equation Modeling In Educational Research 7 Ebru Turgal Hitit University, Turkey Non-Linear Regression Analysis 8 Ümit Cengiz Uysal Baskent University, Turkey Investigation With Multiple Correspondence Analysis Of The Public Procurement In The Medical Field In Turkey 9 Yusuf Kemal Arslan Cukurova University, Turkey Comparing Different Models On Bayesian Approach To The Diagnostic Tests When There Is No Gold Standard 10 Yusuf Kemal Arslan Cukurova University, Turkey Bayesian Sample Size Determination In Different Conditions 11 Bertan Yilmaz Cukurova University, Turkey Estrogen Receptor Alpha (Esr1) Regulates Aromatase (Cyp19a1) Expression In The Mouse Brain 12 Leman Tomak Ondokuz Mayis University, Turkey Deciding The Repeatability And Reproducibility Of Any Measured Biological Systems By Using Gage R&R Analysis 13 Aytaç Akcay Erciyes Üniversitesi, Turkey The Calculation Of Lethal Dose (Ld50) Using Probit Analysis 14 Ceren Efe Cukurova University, Turkey Three Way Roc Analysis: Theory And Application 15 Gozde Erturk Erciyes Üniversitesi, Turkey Evaluation Of Competing Risks Based On Both Dependent, Independent Real And Simulated Data By Using Self Developed R Program 27 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society EMR 2015 Conference Program 16 May 14-15, Poster Group II Betul Dagoglu Cukurova University, Turkey Is A Statement Of The Design Effect Necessary In Strobe Checklist? (Concordance Of Medline Survey Studies With Respect To Strobe) 17 Duygu Siddikoglu Cukurova University, Turkey Longitudinal Data Analysis In The Modeling Of Unbalanced Repeated Measurements 18 Nazlı Totik Cukurova University, Turkey Dealing With Measurement Errors In Linear Regression Models 19 Özlem Güllü Baskent University, Turkey Measuring The Quality Of Service In The Health Sector Through Servqual Method: The Case Of A Physical Therapy And Rehabilitation Center 20 Meryem Goral Yildizli Cukurova Unıversity, Turkey Proportion Of Cost Of Antibiotic To Total Expenditures For Hospitalized Patients Of Cukurova University Hospital In 2013 21 Selen Begüm Uzun Republic Of Turkey Ministry Of Health, Turkey To Determine The Current Convenient Approaches In Genetic Epidemiology For The Solution Of The Most Frequent Problems 22 M. Sinan İyisoy Necmettin Erbakan University, Turkey Rarely Used/Explained Coding Schemes For Categorical Variables In Multiple Linear And Logistic Regression Models 23 Zeynep Öztürk Artvin Çoruh University, Turkey A Comparison On Feature Selection In Generalized Linear Mixed Model In Using Lasso Approach 24 Özge Karadağ Hacettepe University, Turkey Testing The Trend For 2xk Contingency Tables 25 Naci Murat Ondokuz Mayıs University, Turkey Determination Of Causality In Structural Equation Modeling With Bayesian Network Analysis 28 The 8th Conference of Eastern Mediterranean Region of International Biometric Society
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