Divergent Descriptions of the JCPOA Framework The political framework for a final deal on Iran’s nuclear program, which will be called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was agreed to after many false starts and extended deadlines by the United States, its international partners and Iran on April 2, 2015. Yet, the various parties to the JCPOA do not appear to be in full agreement about what they have committed to. Both the U.S. Department of State and Iranian Foreign Ministry released their own “fact sheets” describing JCPOA’s parameters while the French government has shown journalists its own version of the deal. These dueling descriptions reveal some major differences that suggest that Iran has a substantially different understanding of what it agreed to—differences that could sink further negotiations toward a comprehensive deal or, if they persist, lead to major difficulties in implementing that deal. Pre-JPA JPA JCPOA (State Dept.) JCPOA (Iran) JCPOA (France) 696 IR-1 1,044 IR-1 for 15 years More than 1,000 centrifuges Unknown 2,710 IR-1 1,044 IR-1 for 15 years Unspecified Unknown 3.5% enriched uranium Non-nuclear medical isotopes for 15 years “Advanced nuclear research” Unknown 9,156 IR-1 5,060 IR-1 for 10 years More than 5,000 for 10 years Use of IR-2m and IR-4 centrifuges allowed after 12 years. 15,420 IR-1; 1,008 IR-2m 15,420 IR-1; 1,008 IR-2m 5,060 IR-1 for 10 years Unspecified Unknown 3.5% enriched uranium 3.5% enriched uranium 3.5% enriched uranium for 15 years 3.5% enriched uranium for 10 years Unknown Enrichment Facilities & Products Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant 696 IR-1 Operating centrifuges 2,710 IR-1 Total installed centrifuges 20% enriched Product uranium Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant 9,156 IR-1 Operating centrifuges Total installed centrifuges Product Areas of Agreement Areas of Disagreement Pre-JPA JPA JCPOA (State Dept.) JCPOA (Iran) JCPOA (France) Unspecified Unspecified Unknown Unspecified Unspecified Unknown Unspecified Unspecified Unknown “Limited” R&D with advanced centrifuges for 10 years. Unspecified number of R&D with unspecified IR-4, IR-5, IR-6, and IR-8 number of IR-4, IR-5, IRallowed for “completion” of 6, and IR-8 allowed. R&D for 10 years. 0 kg of UF6; 162.8 kg processed into U3O8 0 kg for 15 years Unspecified Unknown 9,168 kg stockpile as UF6 despite agreement that new 3.5% UF6 be converted into UO2. 300 kg stockpile for 15 years; how excess will be eliminated remains unspecified. “Iran will be able to use the existing enriched stockpile for producing a nuclear fuel center.” Unknown Installed Removed to IAEA safeguarded facility. Removed to IAEA safeguarded facility. Unknown Activation and testing of reactor not allowed, but construction allowed. Will be modified to “not produce weapons grade plutonium;” spent fuel to be shipped out of Iran; no additional heavy water reactors for 15 year. Will “remain” and be “enhanced” to increase efficiency and decrease plutonium output. Unknown Natanz Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant 328 IR-1 328 IR-1 Operating centrifuges 328 IR-1 328 IR-1 Total installed centrifuges 20% enriched uranium 3.5% enriched uraProduct nium Centrifuge Research & Design • • • • • 164 IR-2m; 178 IR-4; 1 IR-5; 13 IR-6; 1 IR-6s • • • • • 168 IR-2m; 199 IR-4; 1 IR-5; 13 IR-6; 1 IR-8 20% Enriched Uranium 197 kg stockpile as UF6 3.5% Enriched Uranium 7,207 kg stockpile as UF6 Non-operating Centrifuges Installed Arak Heavy Water Reactor Under construction www.bipartisanpolicy.org Pre-JPA JPA JCPOA (State Dept.) JCPOA (Iran) JCPOA (France) Operating Unspecified Unspecified Unknown Occur with greater frequency; still limited to declared facilities. Iran will implement Additional Protocol, grant inspectors access to “suspicious sites,” allow real time monitoring of uranium and centrifuge facilities for 20 – 25 years, and provide early notification of new nuclear facilities. “Iran will implement the Additional Protocol on a voluntary and temporary basis…and…the approval process of the Protocol will be ratified within a specified timeframe.” “Establishment of a guaranteed access mechanism of IAEA inspectors to any suspicious site, beyond AP access measures.” No progress Left for separate “Framework for Cooperation” with IAEA. Iran will implement an unspecified “agreed set of measures” to address IAEA concerns. Unspecified Unknown Not applicable Unfreeze some Iranian funds; suspend sanctions on petrochemical products and precious metals; no new sanctions. Some UNSC sanctions will be lifted and US and EU nuclear-related sanctions will be suspended. After JCPOA implementation, “all” UNSC, EU, and US sanctions will be revoked. Reportedly differs from U.S. document. Immediate Upon Iran addressing “key” concerns. “At the same time as the start of Iran’s nuclear-related implementation work.” Reportedly differs from U.S. document. Tehran Research Reactor Operating International Inspections Limited in time and location; usually occurred every one or two weeks at known facilities. Possible Military Dimension Sanctions Relief Sanctions Relief Timing Not applicable @BPC_Bipartisan @BPC_Bipartisan facebook.com/BipartisanPolicyCenter www.bipartisanpolicy.org
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