AGENDA Nineteenth Annual George Mason University Conference on Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling June 9-10, 2014 Conference Chairs: Zafer Boybeyi, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA Joseph Chang, Homeland Security Studies and Analysis Institute, Falls Church, VA Lecture Hall, Room #1 George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA Last updated: 6/1//2015 DAY 1 (June 9) Session 1-Health Effects and Meterological Inputs for Consequence Assessments Chair: Tom Spicer, University of Arkansas 8:20 AM 8:30 AM 8:50 AM 9:10 AM 9:30 AM 9:50 AM 8:30 AM Welcoming remarks TBD TBD 8:50 AM IDA Assessment of Various Toxic-load-based Toxicity Models Using Data from the 2012 DTRA-sponsored ECBC/NAMRU-D Rat HCN Toxicology Experiment Jeffry T. Urban, James B. Silva, Nathan Platt, and Ivo K. Dimitrov Institute for Defense Analyses 9:10 AM Health-Effect Hazard Areas for Airborne Contaminant Agents Jay Boris and Gopal Patnaik Naval Research Laboratory 9:30 AM Impact of Meteorological Uncertainty on Source Estimation in Complex Coastal Terrain Donald D. Lucas, Matthew Simpson, Gardar Johanesson, Philip Cameron-Smith, and Ronald Baskett Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 9:50 AM Definition of Typical-day Dispersion Patterns as a Consequence of a Hazardous Release Stefano Alessandrini, Joshua Hacker, Francois Vandenberghe, and Richard J. Babarsky National Center for Atmospheric Research 10:20 AM COFFEE BREAK Session 2-Modeling Studies and Aerosol Effects Chair: Steve Hanna, Hanna Consultants 10:20 AM 10:40 AM Verification of a Plume Rise Model Against Laboratory Simulations of a Highly Buoyant Plume Stefano Alessandrini, Enrico Ferrero, Domenico Anfossi, and Luca Delle Monache National Center for Atmospheric Research 10:40 AM 11:00 AM Emergency Planning for Railroad Transportation of LNG Bryant Hendrickson, Claudio Marsegan, and Filippo Gavelli GexCon 11:00 AM 11:20 AM From Paris to London, Post Accidental Dispersion Modelling of a Single Point Source Release: The Lubrizol Case Study Jean-Marc Lacome, Frédéric Tognet, Marc Durif, Frédérik Meleux, Laurent Letinois, Emmanuelle Boulvert, Martine Ramel, Patrick Bodu, Augustin Colette, Bertrand Bessagnet, and Laurence Rouil INERIS, France 11:20 AM 11:40 AM Land-sea Interaction and Related Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Processes in the Urban-Coastal New York City Metropolitan Tal Meir, Julie Pullen, Alan F. Blumberg, and Teddy Holt Stevens Institute of Technology 11:40 AM 12:00 PM Investigation of Aerosol Effects on the Arctic Surface Temperature during the Diurnal Cycle: Part 1 Total Aerosol Effect Eric Stofferahn and Zafer Boybeyi 1 George Mason University 12:00 PM 12:20 PM Investigation of Aerosol Effects on the Arctic Surface Temperature during the Diurnal Cycle: Part 2 Separating Aerosol Effects Eric Stofferahn and Zafer Boybeyi George Mason University 12:20 PM 1:30 PM LUNCH BREAK Session 3-Special OFCM Session Observations and Modeling of Aerosols and Tracers: Potential Impacts for Two Governmental Programs Chair: Jeff McQueen, NOAA/NWS 1:30 PM 1:40 PM 2:00 PM 2:20 PM 2:40 PM 3:00 PM 1:40 PM OFCM session introduction Jeff McQueen and OFCM ATD staff National Weather Service, NOAA 2:00 PM The Joint Polar Satellite System Initiative and Use of Satellite Data for Aerosol Modeling and Assimilation Shobha Kondragunta National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, NOAA 2:20 PM Wild Fire Smoke Emission and Smoke Forecast Modeling Susan O’Neill USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station 2:40 PM TBD TBD Defense Threat Reduction Agency or DOE 3:00 PM Introduction of HABIT v1.2 (Control-Room Habitability) Casper Sun Nuclear Regulatory Commission 3:30 PM COFFEE BREAK Session 4-Special OFCM Session Observations and Modeling of Aerosols and Tracers: Potential Impacts for Two Governmental Programs Chair: Daniel Meléndez, NOAA/NWS; Col. Paul Roelle, US Air Force 3:30 PM 3:50 PM 4:10 PM 4:30 PM 4:50 PM 5:30 PM 3:50 PM The Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Initiative: Improved Aerosol Modeling Ivanka Stajner National Weather Service, NOAA 4:10 PM Aerosol Modeling and Data Assimilation at NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office Arlindo DaSilva Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA 4:30 PM Navy Global Aerosol and Data Assimilation Systems Annette L. Walker US Navy 4:50 PM NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory’s Aerosol Modeling Capabilities Ariel Stein Air Resources Laboratory, NOAA 5:30 PM Discussion, Future Needs, and Science Priorities Jeff McQueen, Daniel Meléndez, and Paul Roelle Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology DAY 1 ADJOURNS 2 DAY 2 (June 10) Session 5-Jack Rabbit II Field Experiment Chair: Joseph Chang, HSSAI 8:30 AM 8:50 AM 9:10 AM 9:30 AM 9:50 AM 10:10 AM 8:50 AM Jack Rabbit II: Experimental Large-Scale Chlorine Release Trials for Improved Modeling and Emergency Response Shannon B. Fox Chemical Security Analysis Center, DHS 9:10 AM Jack Rabbit II Test Program - Dissemination and Near Source Working Group Preparation Tom Spicer University of Arkansas 9:30 AM Propagation Speeds and Mean Concentration from Radial Releases of Dense Gas Clouds Pablo Huq University of Delaware 9:50 AM Deposition Following Accidental Releases of Chlorine from Railcars Steven Hanna, Joseph Chang, John Hearn, Bruce Hicks, Shannon Fox, Mark Whitmire, and Michael Sohn Hanna Consultants 10:10 AM Noise Analysis and Automated Signal Floor Determination of UV Canary and Jaz UV-VIS Sensor Data Obtained During the Jack Rabbit I Field Tests Mark Quigley and Ron Meris Sage Management 10:40 AM COFFEE BREAK Session 6-Jack Rabbit II Field Experiment Chair: Shannon Fox, Chemical Security Analysis Center, DHS 10:40 AM 11:00 AM A Fast CFD Model Aeolus for Simulating Flow and Dispersion in Urban Areas and Complex Terrain Akshay A. Gowardhan Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 11:00 AM 11:20 AM Application of the SCIPUFF Urban Canopy Model to the Jack Rabbit II 10T Release Richard Babarsky US Army 11:20 AM 11:40 AM Integral Model Predictions of Chlorine Dispersion for the Proposed Jack Rabbit II Experiments Simon Gant, Bryan McKenna, Maria Garcia, Rachel Batt, Henk Witlox, Jan Stene, and Graham Tickle Health and Safety Laboratory, UK 11:40 AM 12:00 PM Planning Wind Tunnel Experiments to Model the Jack Rabbit II Tests Tom Spicer University of Arkansas 12:00 PM 1:10 PM LUNCH BREAK Session 7-European Modeling Initiatives Chair: Ian Sykes, Sage Management 1:10 PM 1:30 PM 1:50 PM 2:10 PM 1:30 PM Good Practices for CFD Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling within the Framework of Risk Assessment and Specific Scientific Challenges Jean-Marc Lacome and Benjamin Truchot INERIS, France 1:50 PM Progress on UDINEE (Urban Dispersion International Evaluation Exercise) Steven Hanna, Stefano Galmarini, Miguel Hernández-Ceballos, Thomas Mazzola, and Joseph Chang Hanna Consultants 2:10 PM Description of the COST Action ES1006: Evaluation, Improvement and Guidance for the Use of Localscale Emergency Prediction and Response Tools for Airborne Hazards in Built Environments B. Leitl, S. Trini-Castelli, K. Baumann-Stanzer, P. Armand, S. Herring, T. Reisin, J. Moussafir, and all COST contributors Aria Technologies, France 2:30 PM Model Evaluation in the COST Action ES1006: Protocol, Data and Results for the Michelstadt and CUTE Model Evaluation Exercises S.Andronopoulos, F. Harms, K. Baumann-Stanzer, S. Trini-Castelli, P. Armand, M. Nibart, J.Moussafir, and all COST contributors 3 2:30 PM 2:50 PM Aria Technologies, France 2:50 PM Model Evaluation in the COST Action ES1006: Data and Model Results for a Real Accident, the AGREE Model Evaluation Exercise G. Tinarelli, K. Baumann-Stanzer, C. Gariazzo, J-M Lacome , J. Moussafir, and all COST contributors Aria Technologies, France 3:20 PM COFFEE BREAK Session 8-Imprvements in Modeling Techniques Chair: Zafer Boybeyi, GMU 3:20 PM 3:40 PM 4:00 PM 4:20 PM 4:40 PM 5:00 PM 3:40 PM Improved Repeatability of Multithread SCIPUFF Ian Sykes Sage Management 4:00 PM Improved Description of Droplet Size Effects on Secondary Evaporation in SCIPUFF Ian Sykes and Irene Shatova Sage Management 4:20 PM Real-Time Chemical Plume Models as a Part of Virtual Training Systems Adam Moses, Keith Obenschain, Jay Boris, and Gopal Patnaik Naval Research Laboratory 4:40 PM Development of the Parallel Momentum Conserving Version of the SWIFT/Micro-SWIFT Simplified Flow Model-First Results and Applications O. Oldrini, J. Moussafir, M. Nibart, P.Armand, and C.Duchenne Aria Technologies, France 5:00 PM The EMERGENCIS Project : Coupling a Massively Parallel Implementation of the PMSS Model over the Paris Area with Nested Indoor Simulations with Code_Saturne CFD Model and CONTAM P.Armand, C.Duchenne, S. Perdriel, O. Oldrini, J. Moussafir, M. Nibart, and C. Olry Aria Technologies, France DAY 2 ADJOURNS 4
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