Transportation Industry Job Demand and Skills Data and Implications for Workforce Development Xinge Wang Transportation Learning Center April 8, 2015 This draft information is confidential and not for public viewing, dissemination or distribution. The work reported herein was supported with funding from the Department of Transportation through a contract under the Advancing Career and Technical Education in State and Local Career Pathways Systems project, Contract Number (ED-VAE-12-C-0068) as administered by the Office of Career, Technical, and Adult Education, U.S. Department of Education. However, the contents do not necessarily represent the positions or policies of the Department of Transportation or the Office of Career, Technical, and Adult Education or the U.S. Department of Education and you should not assume endorsement by the Federal Government. Six Transportation Subsectors • • • • • • Trucking Transportation Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation Air Transportation Highway Construction and Maintenance Rail Transportation Maritime Transportation 2 Data Analysis • Current industry employment and demographics • Projected industry and occupational job openings • Net job growth • Separations (retirement, turnover, and other exits) • Job openings by career area • Top occupations by long-term projections and recent online job postings • Wage and entry requirements of high-demand jobs • Geographic “hot spots” • Labor supply from educational programs 3 Transportation Overview (A) Trucking and Transit take up the largest share of transportation’s 4 million workers. Maritime 164k Rail 4% 273k 7% Trucking 1.7M 42% 4 million + Employed in Transportation Highway 500k 12% Air 625k 15% Transit 817k 20% 4 Transportation Overview (B) 55% of transportation workforce is 45+, 9% more than national average. Transit and Rail have the highest % of older workers. <25 25-44 45-54 55-64 >65 Transportation 5% 40% 29% 19% 5% Trucking 5% 41% 30% 19% 5% Transit 4% Air Highway Rail Maritime All US Industries 6% 33% 28% 41% 8% 5% 7% 10% 23% 32% 44% 38% 28% 27% 44% 44% 12% 18% 3% 16% 4% 26% 27% 23% 18% 17% 3% 4% 6% 5 Transportation Overview (C) Women are highly underrepresented in transportation, particularly Highway, Rail, Trucking and Maritime 6 Transportation Overview (D) African-Americans and Hispanics underrepresented in higher paid and skilled transportation jobs White Generally Higher Wages, Skills & Career Potential Black or African American Aircraft pilots 88% Highway maintenance 57% Laborers 56% 10% 1% 16% 8% 64% Bus drivers All US Workforce 6% 74% Truck drivers Vehicles cleaners 9% 77% Aircraft mechanics 9% 15% 19% 27% 18% 43% 14% 23% 21% 68% Asian 3% 5% 4% 81% Bus and truck mechanics Generally Lower Wages, Skills & Career Potential Hispanic or Latin American 33% 11% 1% 9% 2% 2% 3% 3% 16% 6% 7 Transportation Overview (E) Growth and separations will generate 4.6 million total job openings in ten years, 1.2 times the current workforce 2014 2012-22 Projections Growth 0.4 M Actual Employment Separations 4 Million 4.2 Million 2012-22 Total Projected Job Openings: 4.6 Million or 1.2 x 2014 Employment 8 Transportation Overview (F) Trucking and Transit will generate the most projected job openings Estimated Job Openings due to Industry Growth Estimated Job Openings due to Separations Growth & Separations 2 Million 1M 0.7 M 0.5 M 0.3 M Trucking Transit Air Highway Rail 0.2 M Maritime 9 Transportation Overview (G) Across the six modes, growth and separations together will create hiring needs 1 to 1.3 times the current workforce size Estimated Job Openings due to Industry Growth Estimated Job Openings due to Separations Growth & Separations 132% 12% 125% 11% 120% 12% 121% 114% Transit Maritime 106% 4% 106% 12% 105% 8% 108% 102% 94% 97% Trucking Air Highway Rail 10 Transportation Overview (H) Heavy Truck Drivers, Bus Drivers, Laborers, Taxi Drivers and Highway Maintenance Workers will have the largest projected 2012-22 job openings Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,225,280 School or Special Client Bus Drivers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers 330,700 264,210 Transit and Intercity Bus Drivers 200,530 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs 194,110 Highway Maintenance Workers Flight Attendants 141,010 96,210 Construction Laborers 89,990 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 86,850 Projected Total Job Openings (Growth and Separations) 11 Transportation Overview (I) Future transportation job openings will be concentrated in frontline operations and maintenance (92% total) 12 Transportation Overview (J) Net transportation job growth in all but two states; North Dakota - highest % growth 13 Transportation Overview (K) Highest number of projected transportation job openings in NYC, Dallas, LA, and Houston 14 Transportation Overview (L) Many high-demand transportation jobs offer above national median wages and career pathways/ladders potentials $140,000 Top 20 Jobs in Transportation Subsectors by Projected Total Job : Median Wages vs. Edu/Work Exp./Training Requirements for Entry Annual Median Wages $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 Size of the bubbles represents total job openings 2012-2022 $60,000 National Median Wage $34,750 $40,000 $20,000 $0 Little/No Some Medium Considerable Edu/Training Requirements for Entry Extensive 15 Transportation Overview (M) Projected annual job openings are 68% larger than annual completions of related educational programs across selected transportation job groups Projected Annual Job Openings Related Educational Program Annual Completions 27,680 % Shortfall 23,040 86% 59% 67% 38% 14,080 9,461 9,430 97% 33% 11,920 8,684 5,610 3,829 3,747 3,071 337 Dispatchers and Cargo Agents Bus and Truck Mechanics Airline Pilots Aircraft Maintenance Rail Transportation Workers Captains, Mates and Ship Engineers 16 See the full detail in the Transportation, Distribution and Logistics Competency Model www.CareerOneStop.org/CompetencyModel
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