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Peace and Conflict: an international interdisciplinary conference
Conflict Research Society &
European Network for Conflict Research
University of Essex, Colchester campus
Monday 16th September (18.00) to Friday 20th September (17.00), 2013
PROGRAMME
Venue (Monday to Thursday): events will take place in the LTB (Lecture Theatre Building) - in the Foyer, and
Rooms LTB 1-7.
Venue (Friday): events will take place in Wivenhoe House
Programme changes, chairing, timing
(1) We suggest you use this detailed programme in conjunction with the Golden Sheet which provides a quick
overview of the programme and also incorporates a few last-minute changes.
(2) Many of you volunteered to chair a session. Many thanks. Please check where you appear in the programme.
(3) The slots in the programme are usually 25 minutes. They start on the half hour or hour, e.g. 9.30, 10.00, 10.30.
They end five minutes before the hour or half-hour, e.g. at 9.55, 10.25, 10.55.
This allows 5 minutes for the set up of the next session and for possible migration between rooms.
Note that the 25 minutes includes time for questions and discussion – say between 5 and 10 minutes.
Conference team
Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, Sara Polo, Zorzeta Bakaki, Belen Gonzalez, Kaisa Hinkkainen, Julianne Krueger,
Katerina Tkacova (Essex); Rania Dimitraki, Steve Pickering, Kate Seaman, Herb Blumberg, Gordon Burt and the
CRS Council (CRS)
Chairs: to be announced
Plenary:
Tuesday:
Wednesday:
Thursday:
MONDAY 16th SEPTEMBER, evening
CRS
18.00
Pre-dinner mingling
LTB Foyer
18.30
.
Informal evening meal on campus
At some time there will be a move from the restaurant to the SU Bar.
Canteen
20.00?
.
Informal evening discussion
Syria … the lessons of history? … morality? … sense, judgment & risk?
Students Union Bar
1
TUESDAY 17th SEPTEMBER, morning
Plenary sessions are in LTB2; parallel sessions are in LTB 1, 3 and 4; lunch is in LTB7 and tea/coffee is in LTB Foyer.
8.30 onwards
Registration
LTB Foyer
9.30-9.45
Welcome
LTB 2
9.45-10.45
Plenary Session
“Human Rights and Democracy: The Precarious Triumph of Ideals”
Todd Landman, University of Essex
LTB 2
9.30-9.45
Programme overview
LTB 2
11.00-11.30 Break Tea/coffee
LTB Foyer
11.30-13.00 Parallel Sessions TuI
TuI Room LTB 1
11.30-13.00
Workshop on Event Data Analysis and the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT) Project
Philip Schrodt, Pennsylvania State University
TuI Room LTB 3
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
“Can Facebook be an Effective tool for Conflict Management?”
Arik Segal, Segal Conflict Management
“Mediation in African Conflicts: Can we Talk about an ‘Africanization’ of Peace?”
Carmen Mboumba Nzamba, University of Paris West Nanterre
“What Might Inclusive Restorative Justice Look and Sound Like?”
Bonita Holland
TuI Room LTB 4
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
13.00-14.00
“Conflict within Indian Communism: A Critique of Naxalism in Postcolonial Perspective”
Pradip Basu, Presidency University, Kolkata
“Is Research on Tyrants’ Personality of Any Use? A Lay Psychological Approach to Understanding Cruel
Tyranny”
Dennis Bury, University of Syracuse, London
“The Role and Relevance of ICT in Combating Crime in the 21st Century: A Case Study of Kidnapping in
South Nigeria”
Folorunsho Olaiya Mayowa, Federal University Oye-Ekiti & Animashaun Rofiah Olateju, University
of Ibadan
Lunch
LTB 7
2
TUESDAY 17th SEPTEMBER, afternoon
14.00-15.30 Parallel Sessions TuII
TuII Room LTB 1
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
“UN Peacekeeping Mechanism as a Conflict Resolution Strategy in Africa: An Appraisal of the Sierra Leone
Crisis”
Paul Boroh, Nigerian Army Peacekeeping Centre
“Evolving UN Security Council Primacy and the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA)
Subsidiarity”
Ricardo Sousa, Institute of Social Studies, Erasmus University Rotterdam
“Pushing the Boundaries of Humanitarian Intervention”
Kate Seaman, University of East Anglia
TuII Room LTB 3
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
“Resources of Love for Politics of Peace”
Roger Mitchell, Lancaster University
“Musicolution: The Impact of Music on Conflict Resolution”
Sarah Rabl, University of St. Andrews
“Reflections of a Creative Genious: Tagore on the Hindu-Muslim Question in India”
Abdus Samad Gayen, Presidency University, Kolkata
TuII Room LTB 4
14.00-14.30
“Poverty in Africa: Assessing the Effectiveness of People Empowerment Scheme for National Development”
Olufade Adenike Olufunke, University of Ibadan
14.30-15.00
“Humanitarianism in Conflict Settings: Rising Above the Fray”
Anaïs Rességuier, University of Paris Descartes
15.00-15.30
Psychological aspects of environmental conflicts II: theory and general principles
Herb Blumberg, Goldsmiths London
15.30-16.00 Break Tea/coffee
LTB Foyer
16.00-16.45 Plenary Session
Cedric Smith Prize
LTB 6
16.45-17.45 Plenary Session
“The Contributions of John Burton, Founder of the Conflict Research Society”
David Dunn, Keele University
LTB 6
18.00
Informal evening meal on campus
Canteen
20.00
Film, Reunion, shown by Steinar Bryn
LTB 2
3
WEDNESDAY 18th SEPTEMBER, morning
(CRS & ENCoRe)
Plenary sessions are in LTB6; parallel sessions are in LTB 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; workshop is in LTB4; lunch is in LTB7 and tea/coffee is
in LTB Foyer.
8.30 onwards Registration
9.00-10.30
LTB Foyer
Parallel Sessions WI
WI Room LTB 1
9-00-9.30
9.30-10.00
10.00-10.30
“The Inbetweeners: Transnational Civil Society and the Power of Diasporas in Conflict Prevention”
Feargal Cochrane, University of Kent
“The Palestinian Youth Movement and Arab Spring (2010-2012)
Ibrahim Natil, Society Voice Foundation
“The Business of Pirate Protection”
Anja Shortland, University of Brunel & Federico Varese, University of Oxford
WI Room LTB 2
9.00-9.30
9.30-10.00
10.00-10.30
“Peacebuilding in the UK and the Growing Risk of Civil Unrest”
Rachel Julian, Leeds Metropolitan University
“The Bare Necessities: Why Mediators and Peace Builders Have a Vested Interest in Preserving Freedom of
Expression and Promoting Participatory Democracy”
Ashok Panikkar, Meta-Culture & Michael Oghia, Meta-Culture
“The Diffusion of Liberal Peace through Development Programmes”
Melita Lazell, University College London
WI Room LTB 3
9.00-9.30
9.30-10.00
10.00-10.30
“Testing the Concept of Radical Disagreement: Civil-Commercial Conflict”
Isabel Phillips, CRS
“Unconditional Spaces: From Soft Skills to Hard Competences”
Birgit Allerstorfer, World Peace Academy
“Inter-Faith Peacebuilding for Faith-Based Development Organisations: Informing Theory and Practice”
Sian Nicholas, Coventry University
WI Room LTB 4
9.00-9.30
9.30-10.00
10.00-10.30
“Do Civil Wars Recur?”
Zorzeta Bakaki, University of Essex
“Economic Interdependence and Third Party Intervention”
Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex; Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, University of Essex & Petros G.
Sekeris, University of Namur
“Coordination Problems and Peacekeeping Effectiveness”
Andrea Ruggeri, University of Amsterdam; Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex
WII Room LTB 5
9.00-10.30
Panel session on “Ethnic Conflict and Group Identity”
David Hugh-Jones, University of Essex; Elisa Cavatorta, King’s College London; Daniel Zizzo, UEA
10.30-11.00 Break Tea/coffee
LTB Foyer
11.00-12.30 Parallel Sessions WII
[11.00-12.30 ENCoRe Management Committee Meeting]
WII Room LTB 1
4
11.00-11.30
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
“Peace Journalism in Mexico (DVD Presentation)”
Jake Lynch, University of Sydney & Annabel McGoldrick, University of Johannesburg
“Peace Journalism: The Emergence of a Field, and its Current Frontiers”
Jake Lynch, University of Sydney & Annabel McGoldrick, University of Johannesburg
“Assessing the Role of the Nigerian Median in Conflict Reportage”
Animashaun Rofiah, Olateju, University of Ibadan
WII Room LTB 2
11.00-11.30
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
“Peace and Human Rights?”
Patrick Burke, University of Westminster
“Rendering Intractable Conflicts Less intractable: The role of Truth and Recognition”
Daniel Schaefer, University of Kiel
“The Crime of Aggression: Current Legal Developments”
Don M. Ferencz, Middlesex University
WII Room LTB 3
11.00-11.30
“Assessing (In)security after the Arab Spring: An Analytic Framework”
John Gledhill, University of Oxford; Brian McQuinn, University of Oxford; April Alley,
International Crisis Group; Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar, Texas A&M University
11.30-12.00
“The Naxalite Movement; Why People become Involved in a Rebel Movement in West Bengal”
Jos Bartman, University of Amsterdam
12.00-12.30
“Testing Machiavelli: Is it Better to Be Feared than Loved?”
M. Rodwan Abouharb, University College London & N. Susan Gaines, University College London
WII Room LTB 4
11.00-11.30
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.30
'Building a coalition of voice and influence for good relations work across England'
Raj Bhari (Talk for a change)
“Teaching Peacebuilding: What might an Ideal Curriculum Look Like?”
Elizabeth Mc Donnell, iFacilitate
“Transformative Conflict Resolution: A Call to Engagement for Scholars and Practitioners”
Sarri Bater, Transformative Agendas and PCA Sri Lanka
Lunch
LTB7
WEDNESDAY 18th SEPTEMBER, afternoon
13.30-15.30 Parallel Sessions WIII
WIII Room LTB 1
13.30-14.00
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
“Disaggregating the Democratic Peace: Regime Type, Territory, Preferences and Interstate Conflict
Erik Gartzke, University of Essex
“Does WTO membership Promote Peace?
Susan Ariel Aaronson, George Washington University; M. Rodwan Abouharb, University College
London & K. Daniel Wang, George Washington University
“Formal Claim of Self-Defense at the UN Security Council: New Data and Empirical Tests”
Atsushi Tago, Kobe University
“Every Story Has a Beginning, Middle, and an End”
Daina Chiba, University of Essex; Nils W. Metternich, University College London & Michael D.
Ward, Duke University
WIII Room LTB 2
13.30-14.00
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
“Cyber Conflict: Scope, Impact, and Restraint in Cyberspace”
Brandon Valeriano, University of Glasgow & Ryan Maness, University of Illinois at Chicago
“Ethnic Heterogeneity and the Economic Effects of Internal Conflict”
Stefano Costalli, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart & Luigi Moretti, University of Padua
“The Dilemma of Group Accommodation in the Face of Civil War: Diffusion, Reputation and Reverse
Causality”
Julian Wucherpfennig, ETH Zurich; Nils-Christian Bormann, ETH Zurich & Aya Kachi, ETH Zurich
“Immigration Policy, Assimilation, and the Undermining of International Power: The US Case”
Tadeusz Kugler, Roger Williams University
5
WIII Room LTB 3
13.30-14.00
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
“The Utopian Vision of Transformative Nonviolence”
Iain Atack, Trinity College Dublin
“Non-violent International Support for Conflict Transformation: Struggling Against the Occupation in
Palestine”
Diego Checa Hidalgo, Coventry University
“Tibetan Self-Immolation as a Tool of Protest: Sacrifice, Nationalism and Defiance”
Chas Morrison, Coventry University
“Nudging Armed Groups: How Civilians Transmit Norms of Protection”
Oliver Kaplan, University of Denver
WIII Room LTB 4
13.30-14.00
<OPEN>
14.00-14.30
“Redefining the Instrumentality of Youths and Elders as a Mechanism for Conflict Prevention and Promotion
of Human Security in Nigeria”
Adeolu Adewumi, 4solutions Multi Consult (4sm) to afternoon
“Can Programmes for Reintegrating Ex-combatants be Implemented in a Participatory Way? Evidence from
Liberia”
Walt Kilroy, Dublin City University
“Context Specific Religious Peacebuilding: A Case Study of Nepal”
Mark Owen, University of Winchester
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00 Break Tea/coffee
16.00-17.45
LTB Foyer
Plenary Session on “The Decline of War”
LTB 6
Winners of CRS Book of the Year award:
Steven Pinker, Harvard University (The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined) & Joshua
Goldstein, American University & University of Massachusetts (Winning the War on War: The Decline of
Armed Conflict Worldwide)
Other panellists:
Erika Chenoweth, University of Denver
Erik Gartzke, University of Essex
Panel chair:
Scott Gates, Peace Research Institute Oslo & Norwegian University of Science and Technology
17.45
Drinks reception & journal launch for IJCER, Oliver Ramsbotham
[IJCER: International Journal of Conflict Engagement and Resolution]
LTB Foyer
18.30
Informal evening meal on campus
Canteen
6
THURSDAY 19th SEPTEMBER, morning
(CRS & ENCORE)
Plenary sessions are in LTB6; parallel sessions are in LTB 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; the workshop is in LTB4; lunch is in
LTB7 and tea/coffee is in LTB Foyer.
8.30 onwards
Registration
LTB Foyer
[8.30-9.00 ENCoRe WG1 Business Meeting]
9.00-10.00
Plenary Session
“Militarized Interstate Disputes”
Glenn Palmer, Pennsylvania State University
LTB6
10.00-11.00 Parallel Sessions ThI
ThI Room LTB 1
10.00-10.30
10.30-11.00
“Time for a Revised EU Sanctions Strategy? Impacts of Sanctions on Health in Syria and Iran”
Erica Moret, University of Oxford
“Refugee Warriors and Other Displaced Groups: Faces of Power and Paths to Peace, between Warfare and
Camp Management”
Silvia Bottega, United Nations University Institute on Comparative Regional Integration Studies
ThI Room LTB 2
10.00- 10.30
10.30-11.00
“Who Goes There? Threat and Displacement Destinations in the Sierra Leone Civil War”
Jake Lomax, University of East Anglia & Adrian Villasenor, University of East Anglia
“Terrorism in Afghanistan: Who Is Targeted, Where and How?”
Kaisa Hinkkainen, University of Essex
ThI Room LTB 3
10.00-10.30
10.30-11.00
“Putting out Fires: When and How Do Governments Intervene in Local Communal Conflicts?”
Emma Elfversson, Uppsala University
“States in Disguise: Material and Ideational Sources of External Support for Rebel Groups”
Belgin Şan Akça, Koc University
ThI Room LTB 4
10.00-10.30
10.30-11.00
“Peacebuilding without a State”
Tim Glawion, King's College London
“Consequences of War and Recovery of Fragile States”
Jacek Kugler, Claremont Graduate University
ThI Room LTB 5
10.00-10.30
10.30-11.00
11.00-11.30
“The Unintended Effects of Foreign Aid: Democracy Assistance and Violent Social Unrest”
Sebastian Ziaja, University of Essex
“Governance, Political Institutions, and Conflict In Contemporary Africa”
Clionadh Raleigh, University of Sussex & Hyun-Jin Choi, Trinity College Dublin
Tea/coffee
LTB Foyer
11.30-13.00 Parallel Sessions ThII
ThII Room LTB 1
11.30-12.00
“Territorial Autonomy in the Shadow of Future Conflict International and Domestic Conflict”
Lars-Erik Cederman, ETH Zurich; Simon Hug, University of Geneva & Julian Wucherpfennig ETH
Zurich
7
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
“State, Ethnic Groups, and the Risk of Violent Conflict Resulting from Environmental Migration”
Fabien Cottier, University of Geneva
“People Power and Palace Revolutions: Nonviolent Transitions and Civil Peace”
Jonathan Pinckney, University of Denver
ThII Room LTB 2
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
“Civilianising Civil Conflict: Militia Forces and the Logic of Violence in Intra-State Conflict”
Govinda Clayton, University of Kent & Andrew Thomson, Queen’s University Belfast
“Audience Costs, Conditional and Across the Ocean”
Tom Scotto, University of Essex
“The Demise of Diplomacy: Explaining the Declining Trend of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars”
Isak Svensson, Uppsala University & Mimmi Söderberg Kovacs, Uppsala University
ThII Room LTB 3
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
“Relationship Dynamics: A Foundational Mathematical Approach”
Gordon Burt, Conflict Research Society
“An Extension of a General Theory of Human Behavior Including Conflict and Cooperation: A Symbolic
Logic Approach”
Sheldon G. Levy, Wayne State University
“Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Peace Science: A Survey Presentation’
Manas Chatterji, University of Binghamton
ThII Room LTB4
11.30-13.00
Workshop Session: “Learn How to Micro-Map Moments of Conflict as Part of Everyday Negotiating Skills”
Steve Potter, International Association for Cognitive Analytic Therapy & Julie Lloyd, NHS
ThII Room LTB 5
11.30-12.00
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
13.00-14.00
“Empowering Activists or Autocrats? Internet and Authoritarian Survival”
Espen Geelmuyden Rød, University of Konstanz & Nils B. Weidmann, University of Konstanz
“Within-Group Behavioral Differences in Violence: Paramilitaries and FARC in Colombia”
Thomas Bassetti, University of Padua; Raul Caruso, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart &
Darwin Cortes, Rosario University
“Food Insecurity and Violent Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa”
Halvard Buhaug, Peace Research Institute Oslo; Tor A. Benjaminsen, Norwegian University of Life
Sciences; Espen Sjaastad, Norwegian University of Life Sciences & Ole Magnus Theisen, Norwegian
University of Science and Technology
Lunch
LTB 7
THURSDAY 19th SEPTEMBER, afternoon
14.00-16.00 Parallel Sessions ThIII
ThIII Room LTB 1
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00
“Military Defection and non-violent campaign outcomes”
Marianne Dahl, Peace Research Institute Oslo & Norwegian University of Science and Technology
“Inside Armed Organizations: What Drives Collective Side Switching?”
Sabine Otto, University of Konstanz
“Intensity as a By-product of Time: Genocide in Armed Conflicts
Belen Gonzalez, University of Essex
“The Spatial and Temporal Clustering of International Mediation”
Tobias Böhmelt, University of Essex
ThIII Room LTB 2
14.00-14.30
"Local Income Shocks and Civil War Violence in Africa"
Hanne Fjelde, Uppsala University
8
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00
“The Manner of Entering and Losing Office in Dictatorships”
Jun Koga, University of Strathclyde
“Bombing to Stop the Killing: Assessing the Impact of NATO’s Intervention in Kosovo on Violence against
Civilians”
Jule Krüger, University of Essex
“Does Electoral Proximity Affect Security Policy?”
Nikolay Marinov, University of Mannheim
ThIII Room LTB 3
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00
“African Solutions to African Challenges: Explaining the Role of Legitimacy in Mediating African Armed
Conflicts”
Allard Duursma, University of Oxford
“Rebels’ Dilemma: Nonviolence vs. Guerrilla War”
Marc V. Simon, Bowling Green State University
“Geography and War"
Steve Pickering, Kobe University
“Choosing Mediation: Disaggregating Civil Conflict Dynamics and the Timing of Mediation Initiatives
Constantin Ruhe, University of Konstanz
ThIII Room LTB 4
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00
“Gender Inequality and Armed Conflict: A Disaggregated Analysis of Northeast India, 1989-2011”
Erica Forsberg, Uppsala University & Louise Olsson, Folke Bernadotte Academy
“Unequal We Fight: The Impact of Economic Inequality Within Ethnic Groups on Conflict Initiation”
Nils B. Weidmann, University of Konstanz & Patrick M. Kuhn, Princeton University
“The Natural Resource Curse Goes Local: Comparing Regional and National
Effects of Resource Extraction”
Gerald Schneider, University of Konstanz & Friederike-Luise Kelle, University of Konstanz
“Inequality, Group Cohesion and Social Conflict in Africa”
Luke Abbs, University of Kent
ThIII Room LTB 5
14.00-14.30
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-16.00
“From War-Time Fragmentation to Post-War Violence: War-Making and State-Making in de facto States”
Kristin Bakke, University College London
“Peacemakers at Risk: A New Dataset on Violence against Third Party Interveners in Sub-Saharan Africa”
Sara Lindberg Bromley, Uppsala University
“When Lanchester met Richardson, the Result was Stalemate: A Parable for Mathematical Models of
Insurgencies”
Niall MacKay, University of York
“The Cost for Peace: The Effects of Military Expenditure on Economic Growth in Western Balkans”
Ourania Dimitraki, University of Essex
16.00-16.30
Tea/coffee
LTB Foyer
16.30-18.00
Plenary Session
The 2013 Lewis Fry Richardson Lifetime Achievement Award
The 2013 award is given to:
Mats Hammarström, Uppsala University & Peter Wallensteen, Uppsala University
LTB 6
18.00
Drinks reception and book launch
LTB Foyer
Lars-Erik Cederman, Kristian Gleditsch and Halvard Buhaig (2013) Inequality, grievances and civil war.
Cambridge University Press.
18.30
Informal evening meal on campus
Canteen
9
FRIDAY 20th SEPTEMBER
(ENCoRe)
Sessions take place in Wivenhoe House.
8.30 onwards
Registration
[8.30-9.00
[9.00-9.30
ENCoRe WG 2 Business Meeting]
ENCoRe WG 3 Business Meeting]
9.30-10.30
Session on “Getting Published”
Lars-Erik Cederman (Associate Editor, International Organization), ETH Zurich
Nils Petter Gleditsch (Former Editor, Journal of Peace Research), Peace Research Institute Oslo
Gerald Schneider (Editor European Union Politics & International Interactions), University of Konstanz
10.30-11.00
Break
11.00-12.00
Session on “Predicting Conflict”
Phil A. Schrodt, Pennsylvania State University
Launch of the Syria Forecast Project
Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, University of Essex & Gerald Schneider, University of Konstanz
“Reproducibility in Practice: A Review of New Technologies”
Jonas Nordkvelle, Peace Research Institute Oslo
12.00-12.30
12.30-13.00
13.00-14.00
Lunch
14.00-14.30
“Non-State Conflict Actors and Patterns of Violence in Intrastate Conflict”
Thomas Wencker, University of Heidelberg
“Refugee Settlement Data”
Heidrun Bohnet, University of Geneva
“How Terrorism Spreads: Information, Emulation, and the Diffusion of Terrorism”
Sara Polo, University of Essex
14.30-15.00
15.00-15.30
15.30-17.00
Concluding ENCoRe Session
CRS Annual Conference: Tuesday 2nd – Thursday 4th September 2014, Leeds University
10