EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) Analysis of Efficacy of Cash Flows, Capital Expenditure, and Value of Shares Issued from Technology Coefficient in Companies Listed in the Stock Exchange of Tehran Mehdi Sadeghi1 , Farahdokht Ebadi2* 1 Department of accounting ,College of humanities , Zahedan branch, Islamic Azad university, Zahedan, Iran 2 Assistant Professor, Department of accounting ,College of humanities , Zahedan branch, Islamic Azad university, Zahedan, Iran *Corresponding Author:[email protected] ABSTRACT Free cash flows leave great influence on opportunity- seeking behavior of managers. In caes where the company owns a large amount of free cash flow, the manager can invest the surplus funds in different opportunities. Probably, due to the limited,reliable, and efficient investment opportunities, and rapid technological progress, the managers will nvested on cases which either have much less yield than the capital cost of the company, or are rather risky. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of cash flows, capital expenditure and value of shares issued from the Technology coefficient in the companies listed in the Stock Exchange of Tehran. This library study is analytical- causative and is based analysis of the panel data. In this study, the financial data of 107 companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2008 to 2013 were reviewed (642 firms/year).to test the hypotheses and to analyze the obtained results,Spss 20, Eviews 7, and Minitab 16 software were used. The results of the study showed that in case of an increase in the companies’ technology coefficient, there is a direct and meaningful relationship between the companies’ cash flow and capital expenditures. Additionally, the research suggested that due to an increase in their Technology coeffiecient, the proportion of the issued shares and the companies’ accumulated cash flows are directltly and significantly related. KEY WORDS: Cash flows, capital expenditure, issued shares, Technology coefficient, data panel Introduction 1 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) One of the main objectives of each profit unit is to gain profit through investment in new technologies and to maximize the wealth of its owners. Sometimes, in the profit firms or units, the process of gaining profit is performed after the process of acquiring profit if it goes on according to the expectations and no unexpected capital expenditures occurs during this period. In these situations, after deducting all the costs, an amount of money is left as interest income for the company owners and this would be the most important goal for which the firm is founded. Normally, owners and shareholders are expected to receive the full benefit , so they are willing to invest on modern technoogies with lower cost; however, due to inflation in the country and regarding the fact that the directors and shareholders of the company always tend to grow and develop, shares’ distribution among the shareholders in the form of cash seems logical and lack of cash dividend distribution in the form of a dividend share (bonus shares) or any other savings of the company would increase the company's liquidity reserve. In addition, it leads to conducting developmental plansand projects along with growth of the firms’ operations, so each expense would be in accordance with the the firm’s income, and ultimately, it would reduce investment costs through investments in new technologies and it is one of the demands of shareholders and investors. Statement of the problem and choice of research topic Company management has different financial provision sources and uses various ways to provide necessary funds for investment expenses and its operation. Financial provision can be perfomed through share or stock issues, but these are essentially different. Some theories have focusd on the reasons why companies choose certain financial provision ways and how these choices are reflected in the past and future performance of the company (Mahdavi Sabet, Elahe, 2011). Unlike financial leverage, high levels of free cash flow, can be regarded as incentives for opportunistic behavior of managers (Askar et al., 2010). In fact, when the company is faced with a large amount of free cash flow, the rate of opportunistic behavior of managers will increase. Likewise, gradual increase in financial leverage would decrease the amount of cash flow available to managers and therefore, it reduce cash consumption (Mars and Majlov, 1984). Increased proportion of shares issued to a corporate division of capital into smaller components is with respect to management policies and topics related to increased investment also originate from this division which create opportunities to achieve long-term benefits (Almeida and Kamplv, 2010). advancement of technology related to production of goods and services need to 2 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) invest in new systems is also strongly felt (White, 2006). with a staggering increase of technology, transportation, and the related cash flows and cash management were also considered by the mangers and implement policies to achieve long-term goals of the company which is dependent on the adequacy of these variables (steroids, 2002). Importance and necessity of research Investor interest in an institution includes future profits, future cash flows and future cash interest payments (Rahdes et al., 2005). Being aware of these benefits is a must for the investors and they should be informed about both the profit and the future cash flows. In fact, investors seek for earning more profit and cash flows derived from new technologies and the institution in which they have invested, so as to receive cash dividends and decide about on his/ her stock value with respect to the future and other similar investment opportunities (Falvrkr and Peterson, 2006). To estimate the future cash dividends, they need information about future profits, because these profits are considered the main source of information about the company's ability to pay future dividends (Chrykv and scalar, 2011). Moreover, to judge the value of their share values, they require information about their future cash flows, because most stock assessment models are based on the present value of expected future cash flows. Hence, information about profit and future cash flows are considered as two investment benefits is stockholding required by the investors. As far as required information on cash flows is not available, benefit predictions are used as a proper candidate for the cash flows(Haez , 2002). The future cash dividend is paid attention since it has been attempted to contribute the price of the securities to future prifit. Prediction of future cash dividends has an essential role in using numerous stock assessment models. In this regard, Elson believes that distribution of the expected dividends could be considered as a common feature for investment on stocks. He also states that the value of these share stocks is a function of the expected cash profit which is modified acciording to the risk (Htun, 1999). In addition, theoretically, investment incentives would mean that in companies with modifying operation, the leverage would resuce itself, and on the other hand, the future growth opportunities would identify themselves on time, and it would result in decreased debt effect, even if it leads to motivation based on less investment. It is the manager’s duty to recognize the comning growth opportunities in advance and reduce the leverage optimaly and dilute its impact on growth. This leverage contains warnings about investment opportunities, so 3 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) regarding the significance of the issue, it has been tried in the current paper to analyze the effects of cash flows, capital expenditure, and the ratio of the issued shares from the Technology coefficient in the companied listed in the Stock Exchange of Tehran. History of Literature Arab Mazar Yazdi et al (2006) studied the information content of cash flows and engagement by analyzing the relationship between stock returns and earnings and its components. Evidence support a great deal of information content on benefit rather than operating cash flows. The findings confirm information about the relationship between the discretionary accruals and nondiscretionary items. Qalibaf and Naderi (2006) referred to different reactions of people to new information issued by Iran Stock Exchange and the irrationality of their performance, and they studied the reactions of the investors toward the information and news issued in the country’s local boom and recession conditions. They concluded that short- term investors did not express any ecxessive reaction toward these fluctuations. Moradi and Ahmadi( 2011) analyzed the effective factors on investment behaviors of companies in incomplete markets. In this regard, the data of 81 companies listed in the Stock Exchange of Tehran (2001- 2007) was extracted and using the multiple regression model, the pattern of capital expenditure was estimated. The results showed that only the variable operating cash flows had a significant relationship with the changes of capital expenditure. Tehrani Hesarzade (2011) studied the effect of free cash flows and financing constraints on investment of 120 companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange during the period from 2000 to 2006. Their research results showed that the relationship between free cash flows and high levels of investment was directly and statistically significant. However, there is no significant relationship between the restrictions in financing and low levels of investment in the companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange. Adlane and Prysyna (2007) showed that in order to improve the Malaysian stock market liquidity, it is necessary to increase the percentage of free floating stocks of the companies, because foreign investors are not willing to inverst in a market where float of its shares is low. He concluded that increasing the free float and increased liquidity seems to be one of the best ways to attract international investors. Erikson and Witd(2011) indicated that the sensitivity of the cash flows to investment in the qualified marketsis rather due to difficulty of measuring the final investment opportunities and cash flows than just financilal limitations. In such circumstances, the deviation observed between sensitivity of the cash flows and investment may lead to deviations in measurement of the Q error (Q). 4 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) Research hypotheses Given the background and theoretical research, research hypotheses were formulated as follows: 1. there is a significant relationship between the company's cash flow and capital expenditure due to the increase of technology coefficient. 2. there is a significant relationship between the proportion of shares issued and the cash flows stored (accumulated) companies due to the increasing rate of technology coefficient. Analytical framework Generally, the Analytical framework is estimated as follows: AFE 0 i * Independen tVariable H 0 : i 0 the model is not significant H1 : i 0 The model is significant. The research models taken from Richardson (2003) and the modified variants of the research, Kamplv et al (2013), have been estimated as follows: The first model is related to the first hypothesis: Investmenti ,t 0 1QiMKT 2 FundQi ,t 3CashFlowi ,t 4 Issuancei ,t 5 Bubble t ,t 6 ( Issuancei ,t * Bubble t ) 7 CapitalSto ck i ,t 1 8Tecbubblei ,t iinv ,t The second model is related to the second hypothesis: CashSavingi ,t 0 1QiMKT 2 FundQi ,t 3CashFlowi ,t 4 Issuancei ,t 5 Bubble t ,t 6 ( Issuancei ,t * Bubble t ) 7 CashStock i ,t 1 8Tecbubblei ,t icash ,t Methodology The methodology used in this study is a correlative- descriptive research ( in a correlativedescriptive study, the researcher examins the relationships between two or more variables). the method of reasoning is deductive/ deductive. It is deductive because for the theoretical framework and research background, libraries and the Internet articles are used. On the other hand, it is inductive since data gathering included collecting primary data for accepting or rejecting the hypothese. In this study, according to available types of data and methods of statistical analysis, the method of "data panel data" was used to study the effect of cash flows, capital expenditure and value of shares issued by the technology coefficient of the companies, and the predictor variables were 5 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) estimated and discussed from two different aspects. these variables are tested among different companies in the period 2008-2013. Methods and Data gathering tools Data gathering for each type of research is quite important. in order to conduct a theoretical study and a review of the literature in this study, library method is used including taking advantage of books and scholarly articles and dissertations both in Persian and Latin.since the related data of the criteria include lots of accounting figures listed in the companies’ audited financial statements, the current data were extracted manually from data available in the research management sites,The required data from the available financial data in the Islamic research, development, and studies management which depends on the Stock Exchange Organization,www.rdis.ir , codal network, comprehensive information systems www.codal.ir, Iran’s Financial Data Processing Center, www.fipiran.com, and the CDs of the Securities and Exchange. Methods of data analysis Data analysis phase is a multi- phase process in which data provided through gathering tools in the statistical sample are summarized, encoded, classified,finally processed to create the required types of analyses and relationships between the information and test the hypothese. During analysis stage, it is important for the the researcher to analyze the information in the direction of the research’s goal, to answer the research questions, and to evaluate his/ her own research hypotheses ( Hafez nia, 2006). For data analysis and hypothesis testing, the required information will be collected from the financial statements of after gathering the required data of these companies, the research hypothese are analyzed by correlation and regression analysis and data panel statistical method used for companies under examination for a period of six years (2008-2013). first, the initial calculations are conducted in the worksheets of Excel software and dataare prepared for further analysis. Then, in order to perform the final analysis Spss20, Eviews 7 and Minitab16 software are used. Satistical samples of the study 6 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) In the present study, all firms listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange for a period of six years, from 2008 to 2013, are considered as the statistical population of the study. Research sample was selected after applying the assumptions through the elimination method. After applying the hypothese, 107 companies from 19 industries were remained which were considered as the samples taken and their data were analyzed. The features ofthe research examples are as follows: 1) During the period in question(2008), the companies which were accepted by the Tehran stock exchange by the end of 2007 and their names were not deleted from the list till the end of2013. 2 ) during this period, their shares were exchanged actively the Stock Exchange. 3) to enhance the comparability of companies surveyed, their financial period should come to an end in 29 March and there should be any change during the financial period. 4) due to differences in their performance, they should not be a component of financial intermediation firms (investment, holding, leasing and banking and insurance). 5) The required information is available. Test results of second hypothesis using fixed effects Dependent variable:accumulated cash flows- no. of Views: 642 years/ firm equation Pvalue t coeeficient variable Value positive 0/0000 7/9604 0/1607 Variable coefficient positive 0/0267 1/1422 0/5419 Cash flows insignificant 0/5698 27/9806 0/0333 Issued shares ratio negative 0/0321 -1/6875 -0/0183 Tobin's Q negative 0/0235 -1/7173 -0/0082 Profitability of capital expenditures positive 0/0188 1/1146 0/0009 Variable coefficient insignificant 0/2865 1/0669 0/0219 contrast ratio of stock price index published negative 0/0379 -1/3410 -0/1150 Cash capital ratio positive 0/0276 1/6475 0/0063 Technology coefficient 0/8454 variable 25/2949 ( P Value ) )0/0000( 7 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) In considering the significance of the model, due to the fact that the probability of F statistics is >0.05 (0.0000), with a significant certainty of 95% of all models. The model also suggests that the coefficient of determination0.8454% of corporate capital expenditures is explained by the variables in the model. Test results of second hypothesis using fixed effects Dependent variable:accumulated cash flows- no. of Views: 642 years/ firm equation Pvalue t coeeficient variable Value positive 0/0000 7/1529 0/0966 Variable coefficient positive 0/0328 1/5352 1/3977 Cash flows positive 0/0465 -11/2935 0/2159 Issued shares ratio negative 0/0298 -1/6997 -0/0115 Tobin's Q positive 0/0315 1/3168 0/0023 Profitability of capital expenditures insignificant 0/6903 0/3986 0/0019 Variable coefficient negative 0/0464 -1/6806 -0/0103 contrast ratio of stock price index published positive 0/0269 1/0044 0/0611 Cash capital ratio positive 0/0105 1/1885 0/0011 Technology coefficient 0/6046 coefficient of determination 7/0697 ( P Value ) )0/0000( In considering the significance of the model, due to the fact that the probability of F statistics is >0.05 (0.0000), with a significant certainty of 95% of all models. The model also suggests that the coefficient of determination 0.6046 of accumulated cash flows is explained by the variables in the model. Results and test approach of the first hypothesis In the significant analyis of the coefficients and ased on the results, the probability of t coeeicient is less than 0.05 for the variable coefficient of the issued shares (0.0465), so there is a significant relationship between the ratio of the issued shares and the accumulated cash flows with respect to an increase in the technology coefficient by 95%. It is a significant factor in the evaluation of the results, since the probability of t-statistic for the coefficient of variable cash flows is less than 0.05 (0.0267), the result of a significant relationship between 8 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) cash flows and capital expenditures due to the fact that the increased company Technology is at 95 % approved. The first research hypothesis is accepted and it can be expressed that there is a significant relationship with 95 percent of the company's cash flow and capital expenditures due to the increase of technology. The positive coefficient of this variable (0.5419) suggests a direct relationship between cash flow and capital expenditures to increase the company's technology, so that a 1-unit increase in cash flow, capital expenditures would increase technology in companies according to the amount of this increase by 0.5419. these cash flows can be used for predicting the capital expenses of the firms which in turn, after a while, will attract the investors and creditors and will increase the company’s value. Results and interpretation of the Second hypothesis test In the significant analyis of the coefficients and ased on the results, the probability of t coefficient is less than 0.05 for the variable coefficient of the issued shares (0.0465), so there is a significant relationship between the ratio of the issued shares and the accumulated cash flows with respect to an increase in the technology coefficient by 95%. Therefore, the second hypothesis is approved and considering the certainty of 95%, it can be said that there is a direct relationship between the proportion of shares issued and the cash flows of the companies due to increase stacking technology. This positive coefficient (0.2159) represents a direct relationship between the ratio of the issued shares and the accumulated cash flows of the companies in terms of icreased technological coeeficent so that 1 unit increase in the issued shares will increase the accumularted cash flowsby 0.2159. According to the analyses made on the second hypothesis, it can be concluded that there is a direct and significant relationship between the proportion of shares and accumulated cash flows of companies due to the increase of technology coefficient Thus, it can be inferred that increasing the proportion of shares issued could increase the accumulated cash flows of companies due to an increase in the rate of technology coefficient by 0.2159. The issued shares can be used for cash flow forecast. In this case, the managers will accumulate parts of the issued shares in the accumulated cash assets that in the long term, would reduce the probability of bankruptcy. The results of this study confirm with the results of previous studies. Previous research suggests a direct relationship between cash flow and capital expenditure at all levels of companies and focusing on the results of this study, it can be suggested that the rate of technology of the companies affects their capital expenditures, cash flow and equity. The study acknowledges that there is a direct relationship between cash flow, capital expenditure and increased 9 EPHEMERA http://ephemerajournal.com/ ISSN: 1298-0595 Vol.27; No. 4 (2015) proportion of shares issued by companies. This study is in accordance with the results of Fleurus Harris( 2013), Kastrydv (2010), Almeida et al.( 2007), Gordon (2000), Etemadi( 2006), Murad Ahmedi ( 2011), Tehrani and Hesarzadeh (2011) indicating a positive relationship between cash flow and capital expenditure. References 1- Aqaee, Muhammad Ali et al., (2009). 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