Stats for Strategy Exam 3 In-Class Practice Questions • Choose the single best answer. Work together with classmates. Check answers with TAs. • Jump to Notebook Topics when a question puzzles! (Use for review as well as practice.) • Use formula sheet in Notebook. Exam 3 Additional Practice Questions are posted online. Disclaimer: These practice questions familiarize you with the style of the exam but actual exam questions cover different content. Practice questions don’t replace homework; they only add value. Questions 1–3. 1. In a study of 2015 model cars, a researcher found that 64% of the variation in the price of cars is explained by the least-squares regression on the car’s engine horsepower. For the cars in this study, cars with less horsepower tended to have lower prices. The correlation is (a) −0.80 (b) 0.36 (c) 0.4096 (d) 0.64 (e) None of the answers is correct 2. In the Tippie College, the dean responsible for scheduling classes notices that demand is low for classes meeting before 10:00 AM or after 3:00 PM and is high for classes meeting between 10:00 AM and 3:00 PM. We may conclude which of the following? (a) There is an association between demand for classes and the times classes meet. (b) There is a positive association between demand for classes and the times classes meet. (c) There is a negative association between demand for classes and the times classes meet. (d) There is no association between demand for classes and the times classes meet. 3. The stores of a large retail chain were divided into three groups. While customers were shopping, Group 1 played pop music, Group 2 played classical music, and Group 3 played hip-hop music. Daily sales were recorded in each store for 30 days. Suppose that, on average, sales were highest in those stores which played pop music, second highest for those stores playing hip-hop, and lowest for stores playing classical music. We conclude: (a) There is a positive association between sales and type of music played. (b) There is a negative association between sales and type of music played. (c) There is both positive and negative association between sales and type of music played. (d) None of the above 1 Questions 4–10. An Iowa City realtor believes that the current value of homes in a certain historic neighborhood in Iowa City is positively associated with the age of the homes— that is, she believes that older homes tend to be worth more because the historic construction and ambience appeal to home buyers. Data from a random sample of 10 homes from the neighborhood which were sold recently are shown in the table. MINITAB graphs and some regression output are shown below. Sales Price (dollars) 126000 142000 107500 110000 94000 Age (years) 39 40 45 42 43 Sales Price (dollars) 99500 78000 55790 70000 53600 Fitted Line Plot Age (years) 24 68 79 80 62 Residuals vs. Fitted Values Sales Price = 155115 - 1178 Age (response is Sales Price) S 140000 130000 40000 20270.5 R-Sq 57.4% R-Sq(adj) 52.1% 30000 20000 110000 Residual Sales Price 120000 100000 90000 80000 10000 0 -10000 70000 -20000 60000 -30000 50000 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 60000 Age Analysis of Variance Source DF Adj SS Regression 1 4432200791 Age 1 4432200791 Error 8 3287160099 Total 9 7719360890 Model Summary S R-sq 20270.5 57.42% R-sq(adj) 52.09% Coefficients Term Coef Constant 155115 Age -1178 SE Coef 19785 359 Adj MS 4432200791 4432200791 410895012 F-Value 10.79 10.79 P-Value 0.011 0.011 R-sq(pred) 31.13% T-Value 7.84 -3.28 P-Value 0.000 0.011 VIF 1.00 Prediction for Sales Price Fit 84453.0 80000 90000 100000 Fitted Value Regression Analysis: Sales Price versus Age Variable Age 70000 Setting 60 SE Fit 6993.74 95% CI (68325.4, 100581) 95% PI (35005.0, 133901) 2 110000 120000 130000 4. Identify the hypotheses to test the realtor’s belief. (a) H0 : β1 > 0 (b) HA : β1 ̸= 0 (c) HA : β1 > 0 (d) H0 : β1 < 0 HA : β1 ≤ 0 H0 : β1 = 0 H0 : β1 ≤ 0 HA : β1 ≥ 0 (e) None of the answers is correct 5. What’s the P -value for testing the realtor’s belief? (a) 0.000 (b) 0.0055 (c) 0.011 (d) 0.022 (e) None of the answers is correct 6. What’s the decision for the hypothesis test of the realtor’s belief at a 2% significance level? (a) Reject H0 (b) Fail to Reject H0 (c) Cannot be determined based on the available information 7. What’s the English interpretation for the hypothesis test of the realtor’s belief? (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) There is not sufficient evidence to show that mean sales price is positively related to age. There is sufficient evidence to show that mean sales price is positively related to age. There is not sufficient evidence to show that mean sales price is negatively related to age. There is sufficient evidence to show that mean sales price is negatively related to age. Cannot be determined based on the available information 8. Calculate a 90% confidence interval for the slope β1 . (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (−1827.5, −527.9) (−1844.7, −510.7) (−1976.7, −378.7) (−2004.6, −350.8) None of the answers is correct to the first decimal place 9. Estimate with 95% certainty the sales price for a 60-year-old home in the neighborhood. (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) ($0 , $100,581) ($35,005 , $133,901) ($0 , $133,901) ($68,325 , $100,581) Cannot be determined based on the available information 10. Estimate with 95% certainty the mean sales price of all 60-year-old homes in the neighborhood. (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) ($0 , $100,581) ($35,005 , $133,901) ($0 , $133,901) ($68,325 , $100,581) Cannot be determined based on the available information (next page blank) 3 4 Questions 11–12. Consider the partial MINITAB output for the regression of a predictor variable x on a response variable y. (Some items are missing!) The regression equation is Y = 349 + 0.590 X Predictor Constant X Coef 349.38 0.5905 SE Coef 18.10 0.2070 T 19.31 2.85 P 0.000 0.006 MS 55034 6762 F 8.14 Analysis of Variance Source Regression Residual Error Total DF 1 57 58 SS 55034 385454 440488 P 0.006 11. What percentage of the variation in y is explained by variation in x along the regression line? (a) 0.6% (b) 12.5% (c) 18.1% (d) 20.7% (e) None of the answers is correct to the first decimal place 12. Find the best estimate of the population standard deviation σ common to all bell curves on the theoretical (population) regression line. (a) 0.21 (b) 8.14 (c) 18.10 (d) 82.23 (e) None of the answers is correct to the second decimal place 5 Questions 13–17. A sample of 30 recently-sold single-family homes in a small city is available for study. We wish to predict y = sales price (in thousands of dollars.) We have information about x1 = assessed value (in thousands of dollars) and x2 = elapsed time between assessment and sale (in months.) Notice that the actual sales price and the assessed value often differ dramatically! The data are shown below. Home 1 2 3 4 5 .. . Sales Price 94.10 101.90 88.65 115.50 87.50 .. . Assessed Value 65.54 72.43 85.61 60.80 81.88 .. . Elapsed Time 10 10 11 2 5 .. . 30 95.90 79.07 12 Refer to MINITAB output and graphs on the following pages. Choose the best conservative model, according to the principles which we discussed in class and using 5% significance. Use this model to answer the following questions. 13. Interpret β1 . (a) Mean sales price increases by $1780 for every $1000 increase in assessed value, when time since assessment is held constant. (b) Mean sales price is not related to assessed value, after accounting for time since assessment. (c) Mean sales price increases by $1750 for every $1000 increase in assessed value, when time since assessment is held constant. (d) Mean sales price increases by $1780 for every $1000 increase in assessed value. (e) Mean sales price increases by $1750 for every $1000 increase in assessed value. 14. Interpret β2 . (a) Sales prices for homes with the same assessed value increase by $368 for each extra month since assessment, on average. (b) The mean sales price increases by $698 for each extra month since assessment, when assessed value is held constant. (c) The mean sales price is unrelated to time since assessment, after accounting for assessed value. (d) The mean sales price increases by $368 for each extra month since assessment. (e) The mean sales price increases by $698 for each extra month since assessment. (continued) 6 15. Estimate with 95% certainty the sales price for a home which has an assessed value of $70,000 and which sells 12 months after assessment. (a) ($67,724 , $82,681) (b) ($68,835 , $120,628) (c) ($69,955 , $83,480) (d) ($74,401 , $79,034) (e) None of the answers is correct to the nearest dollar 16. Estimate with 95% certainty the mean sales price for all homes whose assessed value is $70,000 and which sell 12 months after assessment. (a) ($74,401 , $79,034) (b) ($69,955 , $83,480) (c) ($88,990 , $100,470) (d) ($72,908 , $77,497) (e) None of the answers is correct to the nearest dollar 17. What percentage of the variation in sales price is explained by the predictor variable or variables? (a) 6.4% (b) 92.6% (c) 93.9% (d) 94.3% (e) None of the answers is correct to the first decimal place (MINITAB output and graphs begin next page) 7 Model 1 Analysis of Variance Source Regression Assessed Value Error Total DF 1 1 28 29 Model Summary S R-sq 3.47493 92.56% Coefficients Term Constant Assessed Value Adj SS 4206.7 4206.7 338.1 4544.8 R-sq(adj) 92.29% Coef -44.17 1.7817 Adj MS 4206.67 4206.67 12.08 F-Value 348.37 348.37 P-Value 0.000 0.000 R-sq(pred) 91.15% SE Coef 7.35 0.0955 T-Value -6.01 18.66 P-Value 0.000 0.000 VIF 1.00 Regression Equation Sales Price = -44.17 + 1.7817 Assessed Value Prediction for Sales Price Fit 68.0755 75.2024 80.5475 85.8927 SE Fit 1.45080 1.11993 0.898700 0.724641 95% CI (65.1037, 71.0474) (72.9083, 77.4965) (78.7066, 82.3884) (84.4083, 87.3770) 95% PI (60.3620, 75.7891) (67.7238, 82.6810) (73.1953, 87.8998) (78.6215, 93.1639) Model 2 Regression Analysis: Sales Price versus Time Analysis of Variance Source Regression Time Error Lack-of-Fit Pure Error Total DF 1 1 28 12 16 29 Adj SS 289.6 289.6 4255.2 2626.1 1629.1 4544.8 Model Summary S R-sq 12.3277 6.37% R-sq(adj) 3.03% Coefficients Term Coef Constant 86.36 Time 0.698 SE Coef 4.94 0.506 Adj MS 289.6 289.6 152.0 218.8 101.8 F-Value 1.91 1.91 P-Value 0.178 0.178 2.15 0.077 R-sq(pred) 0.00% T-Value 17.47 1.38 P-Value 0.000 0.178 VIF 1.00 Regression Equation Sales Price = 86.36 + 0.698 Time Prediction for Sales Price Fit 94.7315 94.7315 94.7315 94.7315 SE Fit 2.80187 2.80187 2.80187 2.80187 95% (88.9921, (88.9921, (88.9921, (88.9921, CI 100.471) 100.471) 100.471) 100.471) 95% (68.8353, (68.8353, (68.8353, (68.8353, 8 PI 120.628) 120.628) 120.628) 120.628) Model 3 Regression Analysis: Sales Price versus Assessed Value, Time Analysis of Variance Source Regression Assessed Value Time Error Total Model Summary S R-sq 3.09675 94.30% Coefficients Term Constant Assessed Value Time DF 2 1 1 27 29 Adj SS 4285.85 3996.29 79.18 258.93 4544.78 R-sq(adj) 93.88% Coef -44.99 1.7506 0.368 Adj MS 2142.92 3996.29 79.18 9.59 F-Value 223.46 416.72 8.26 P-Value 0.000 0.000 0.008 R-sq(pred) 92.18% SE Coef 6.55 0.0858 0.128 T-Value -6.87 20.41 2.87 P-Value 0.000 0.000 0.008 VIF 1.02 1.02 Regression Equation Sales Price = -44.99 + 1.7506 Assessed Value + 0.368 Time Prediction for Sales Price Fit 69.7150 76.7174 81.9692 87.2210 SE Fit 95% CI 95% PI 1.41321 (66.8154, 72.6147) (62.7307, 76.6994) 1.12876 (74.4014, 79.0335) (69.9545, 83.4804) 0.941400 (80.0376, 83.9008) (75.3281, 88.6104) 0.794194 (85.5915, 88.8506) (80.6614, 93.7807) Residuals from Model 2 vs. Assessed Value 30 5.0 20 Sales Price Residuals Sales Price Residuals Residuals from Model 1 vs. Time 7.5 2.5 0.0 -2.5 10 0 -10 -20 -5.0 -30 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 60 Time 65 70 75 Assessed Value 9 80 85 90 Answers 1. e 0.80 2. a 3. d Sales is quantitative but Type of Music is categorical. The concepts of positive and negative associations only make sense when both variables are quantitative. 4. c 5. e P -value= 0.9945 6. b 7. a 8. b 9. b 10. d 11. b 12. d 13. c 14. a 15. e ($75,328 , $88,610) 16. e ($80,038 , $83,901) 17. d 10
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