February 2015 Innovation in an Industry in Flux – Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 Stratecast Analysis by Tim McElligott Troy Morley Karl Whitelock Operations & Monetization Global Competitive Strategies (OSSCS) Volume 16, Number 2 Frost & Sullivan reports are limited edition publications containing valuable market information provided to a select group of customers in response to orders. Our customers acknowledge when ordering that Frost & Sullivan reports are for our customers’ internal use and not for general publication or disclosure to third parties. No part of this report may be given, lent, resold, or disclosed to noncustomers without written permission. Furthermore, no part may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the permission of the publisher. For information regarding permission, write: Frost & Sullivan 7550 West Interstate 10, Suite 400 San Antonio, TX 78229 United States OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 2 Innovation in an Industry in Flux – Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 Table of Contents Introduction........................................................................................................... 5 Innovation is Essential Now More Than Ever Before .........................................7 What Makes a Stratecast 10 to Watch Company ..................................................8 Year Eight and Going Strong................................................................................ 9 Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 .................................... 11 Amdocs: Policy Management for VoLTE ........................................................................... 11 Centina Systems: Strategic Assurance and Analytics.......................................................... 13 Ericsson and MetraTech: An Interesting Acquisition and Integration .............................. 15 Hewlett-Packard: NFV and API Management ................................................................... 18 Infonova: Enterprise Business Enablement ....................................................................... 20 InfoVista: Service Assurance and Performance Management ............................................ 22 QOSMOS: Deep Packet Inspection and Network Intelligence ......................................... 24 Subex: The Return of a Revenue Leader? ........................................................................... 26 TEOCO: Bridging the Gap Between Operations & Monetization Functions ................... 28 TM Forum: Zero-Touch Orchestration, Operations and Management ............................ 30 One Year Later – Revisiting the 10 to Watch in 2014 ......................................... 33 Alcatel-Lucent: Analytics-Driven Mobile Security and Billing ........................................... 33 Amdocs: Self-Organizing Network (SON) Solution for Customer Experience ................. 33 AsiaInfo: Analytics-Driven Business Support ..................................................................... 33 Cyan: SDN NFV Management and Orchestration ............................................................. 33 Cycle30: Machine-to-Machine Business Management ...................................................... 34 Monolith Software: Unified Service Assurance ................................................................... 34 Nuage Networks: SDN Virtualized Services Enablement ................................................. 34 Omniware Solutions: Contract-Based Billing and Partner Compensation ........................ 34 Redknee: Virtualized Billing and Business Support Management .................................... 35 Shango: Unified Fulfillment - Supply Chain Integration .................................................... 35 The Last Word ..................................................................................................... 36 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 3 Innovation in an Industry in Flux – Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 List of Exhibits Exhibit 1: Seven Years of 10 to Watch ..................................................................................... 10 Exhibit 2: Amdocs: Making a PCRF VoLTE-Ready .............................................................. 12 Exhibit 3: Centina Systems Strategic Assurance Approach .................................................... 14 Exhibit 4: MetraTech Supports Complex GRU Business and Settlement Agreements......... 17 Exhibit 5: Hewlett-Packard API Management ....................................................................... 19 Exhibit 6: Two View of Infonova R6 Ecosystem Enablement Platform ................................ 21 Exhibit 7: InfoVista Service Assurance for the NFV Fabric ................................................... 23 Exhibit 8: QOSMOS Deep Packet Inspection Engine for NFV ............................................ 25 Exhibit 9: Subex Revenue Operations Center......................................................................... 27 Exhibit 10: TEOCO Customer Analytics Suite ....................................................................... 29 Exhibit 11: TM Forum Digital Services Reference Architecture ............................................ 32 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 4 Innovation in an Industry in Flux – Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 Introduction1 For the communications service provider (CSP) global community, 2015 promises to be a year of change for an industry in flux. To be fair, the previous sentence has been true for a number of years, and the level of change seems to only increase. Change isn’t necessarily a bad thing. For the suppliers of Operations & Monetization (O&M)—also known as OSS and BSS—change is driving innovation and growth. But growth will come only to those companies, big and small, which can demonstrate that their innovations satisfy the continually evolving needs of CSPs. The transformation of the CSP global community includes a number of catalysts. Stratecast has been describing many of these for years; yet, their relevance in 2015 remains high. These include: • CSPs continue to be squeezed financially. Data volumes continue their exponential expansion; yet, the carriers’ ability to monetize hasn’t kept pace with the rise. This means that most CSPs, globally, struggle with tightening profit margins. In response: o The importance of Financial Assurance increases. This market, which includes Revenue Assurance, Fraud Management, and Margin Assurance, is growing rapidly. 2 o CSPs are becoming receptive to new ways of doing business. Many new business models include partnerships between the CSP and other enterprises to provide something of value to the consumer that wasn’t previously possible. Partnerships require settlement; and they change what was previously a business-toconsumer (B2C) model, increasingly, into a business-to-business (B2B) to-consumer (B2B2C) model. o As CSPs embrace new possibilities, they are increasingly demanding flexibility in their O&M solutions. They want to experiment; and, if the experiment fails, quickly try something else. Please note that the insights and opinions expressed in this assessment are those of Stratecast and have been developed through the Stratecast research and analysis process. These expressed insights and opinions do not necessarily reflect the views of the company executives interviewed. 2 For more insight, see Stratecast report OSSCS 15-13, Global CSP Financial Assurance: Market Share Analysis, Forecast, and Supplier Assessment, December 2014. To obtain a copy of this report, or any other Stratecast or Frost & Sullivan report, please contact your account representative or email [email protected]. 1 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 5 • The Virtual Network—which Stratecast sees as a blend of Network Function Virtualization (NFV), Software Defined Networking (SDN), and cloud architecture—continues on the path to reality, even as the industry continues to define what the Virtual Network is. While none of these architectures will provide immediate relief to the financial squeeze CSPs feel, CSPs have shown solidarity in their belief that the long-term benefits of flexibility, programmability, cost reduction, and competitive prowess are compelling and achievable. CSPs will undergo much introspection and technical analysis of the architectures in 2015. • As LTE deployments have increased globally, CSPs are looking to drive additional revenue from their LTE networks. Voice has long been the main service offering; data and messaging were add-ons. With Voice over LTE (VoLTE), voice is now an additional component on the data network. This evolution of voice service could be a game changer; but expectations will be high from both consumers and regulators. Will VoLTE finally allow CSPs to retire older voice systems? Will consumers be willing to pay for high-definition voice and/or video calls? The solution suppliers that provide systems, services, and IT infrastructure to CSPs—the O&M suppliers—must stay abreast of the business and technology redefinitions that are now underway. The CSPs are counting on their suppliers to lead them successfully through this extended period of change. O&M solutions will need to perform in a double-duty fashion for several years. First, seamlessly interacting with existing systems and numerous data repositories associated with previously implemented business management and network operations processes. Second, delivering new capabilities essential to operate and manage the needs of new business models, new technologies, new services, and new types of customers. In addressing these needs, some systems will be replaced, others will be augmented, and new ones will be added. This is where a new age of innovation is essential; and, from Stratecast’s perspective, cannot be done by a handful of entrepreneurial startups alone. Continuing from last year, we have expanded our 10 to Watch report to include all O&M suppliers, regardless of size. This is a significant redirection from the past, when 10 to Watch mainly spotlighted smaller suppliers. We have seen innovation come from all sources over the past 24 months, including well-established market suppliers, some of which are featured in this 2015 edition of 10 to Watch. Our reasons for looking at all O&M suppliers are straightforward. While a smaller company may focus on specific or targeted business challenges for a smaller initial base of customers, larger suppliers hear the same needs magnified by many. In response, they commission internal work teams to attend to these needs—or risk losing such customers to the competition. Larger companies OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 6 also commission advanced market strategy teams to prepare for challenges that lie ahead; in many cases, operating them as though they were small entrepreneurial startups in their own right. Regardless of company size, 2015 will see a new era of innovation ushered in by companies that exhibit what Stratecast understands are the foundational attributes of all successful O&M suppliers: agility, alignment with market needs, product reliability, innovation, scalability, differentiation, vision, and strong partnerships with customers and other suppliers. The answer to addressing many of today’s new business problems lies in the right combination of capabilities, from several parts of the global marketplace, in a way that produces results much better than if such assets were delivered independently. This means building ecosystems, and working with partners in ways very different than in the past. We believe that O&M companies will work to solve specific problems with unique technologies and approaches. These companies will take advantage of the most recent advances in interface definitions and computing resources, regardless of delivery model (licensed or virtual), and regardless of market position. Most importantly, Stratecast believes that answers to tough business situations come from a dedicated focus on problems, regardless of the size of the organization addressing them. The 10 O&M companies that Stratecast has chosen as its 10 to Watch in 2015 are focused on meeting critical business challenges and technology enablement functions. These companies are included in our list because they deliver innovative solutions that help CSPs transform operations, address new business needs, and help to improve the customer experience. Innovation is Essential Now More Than Ever Before In the past, when CSPs were focused on delivering only network connectivity at a price point customers would accept, and at a revenue yield that maximized the return on all network investments, the O&M marketplace (then referred to as the OSS and BSS marketplace) was different. Suppliers focused on specific operational functions such as billing, order management, network inventory, or service assurance. While many bemoaned the silo mentality of the CSPs, the communications world, in retrospect, seemed to be a much simpler place than it is now. Today, the O&M world is not so distinct; and, in fact, that is why Stratecast moved away from the term “OSS and BSS”—the lines between the two areas have blurred. Operations & Monetization encompass both the traditional OSS and BSS functions as well as the new areas in which business and network operations management must now play a role. In the introduction, a number of catalysts and resulting transformations were examined at a high level. But the specifics of the changes do not matter for this report. When transformation happens in an industry, innovation is needed to facilitate the transformation. The communications industry is experiencing transformation, in many different areas, and the rate of change continues to increase. Innovation, from many different directions, is the key to the future of the industry. However, before anyone feels bad for this industry, remember the only reason to comment on the number of changes and the increasing rate of change is because the communications industry is being forced to compete in a new world. Do the Apples and Googles of the world bemoan the fact that things have changed? No, they create the change and thrive on it. But the staid and stable CSPs OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 7 have finally opened their eyes and realized that without continual change and innovation, the future might not be as bright as they would like. Staid and stable is not a great business plan, and it’s also not very interesting, nor much fun to cover. Stratecast looks forward to increasing levels of change, expanding innovations, and a bright (and interesting) future for the communications industry. What Makes a Stratecast 10 to Watch Company 10 to Watch companies have developed innovative solutions that address current and business-critical objectives and businessimpacting challenges. These companies come from a wide range of disciplines, business structures, and motivations. Some are small, and others are well-established suppliers in their respective fields. All 10 to Watch companies are organizations with proven solutions through revenue-bearing customer installations. Additional characteristics of a Stratecast 10 to Watch company are: • Market Focused and Aware of What Is Beyond the Horizon – To be recognized in a very crowded Operations & Monetization environment, 10 to Watch companies must be up-to-date on all current business challenges and O&M needs. Such companies, small and large, must always be mindful of how the industry is changing, and what will be critical business requirements 12-18 months from the present. • A Culture of Innovation – A 10 to Watch Company must be innovative—possibly not in every functional area the company may address, but surely within the functional domains for which the company is recognized in this report. Most have fundamentally changed their strategic approach to the market several times in an effort to meet on-going business challenges. These companies must be able to continuously change as the industry or industries they target evolve. 10 to Watch companies rely on their leadership to recognize trends or impending market conditions. With their beyond-the-horizon awareness, these companies adjust to meet those conditions through either organic development or acquisition of assets. When such assets are blended with a company’s existing solutions, they should yield a better approach or improved outcomes to new business requirements. • Support Rapid Change in Business Climate or Technology Approach – 10 to Watch companies recognize that the pace of necessary innovation is accelerating; and thus, solutions to address new business needs, which took several months to over a year to deliver in the recent past, must now be done in dramatically collapsed time frames. • Business Savvy – 10 to Watch companies are attentive to market issues, and understand trends relative to both CSP needs and the competitive landscape. Company executives are constantly talking with current or potential partners, customers, sales prospects, analysts, and consultants. Using their extensive radar, 10 to Watch companies recognize patterns of unmet market needs; and rapidly translate these opportunities into strategic and marketing initiatives. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 8 • Market Savvy – To match the market reputation of an entrenched supplier within a market, geography, or functional discipline, 10 to Watch companies must establish buzz and a viral reputation tied to the business problems they address. Key needs include partnership development, sales leadership, marketing, and communications functions that must be clearly aligned around business problems at hand. This market savviness requires discipline within each organization, from individuals well-connected in industry and financial circles, who are well-spoken, and have a solid knowledge of both the CSP business problems and the solutions offered. • Well-defined, Clearly Differentiated Product Offering – 10 to Watch companies offer products that are not just technically differentiated, but often are geared to address an evolving set of business needs or process inadequacies. Software systems and business expertise tied to the solutions they offer must target a set of pain points regularly experienced by CSPs and data service providers. These solutions must also show an easy-touse approach, appeal to a specific customer audience, instill confidence in a better way to address an existing problem, or satisfy a new business need. 10 to Watch status does not excuse these companies from the usual requirements that CSPs place on their network infrastructure and O&M suppliers, including: carrier-class scalability, product reliability, interoperability, financial stability, ongoing research and development, and partnerships for pre-integration and global support. Year Eight and Going Strong This is the eighth year for this report. Many of the O&M suppliers identified over this period continue to grow and thrive, or have been acquired by larger solution suppliers to satisfy a growing list of business concerns. Stratecast views the 10 to Watch companies as a source of innovation for the industry. There will always be startups that bring new ideas and innovation to market ahead of the mainstream. These companies are important and play a valuable role in the changing communications marketplace. Pockets of innovators within the large O&M suppliers will be challenged to deliver solution strategies for the same new business problems that drive the startup companies. But, many of the larger organizations have the foresight to either apply what they do now in a different way in order to meet the needs of new business challenges, or they acquire the innovative capabilities from other organizations to complement what these suppliers now deliver to a varying number of CSPs and data services providers. Large or small, the classic “1 + 1 = 3 or more” mentality is the driving force of all O&M suppliers in meeting the needs of the expanding communications marketplace in 2015. Exhibit 1, below, summarizes the 10 to Watch companies that have been recognized by Stratecast over the past seven years. Many have been acquired, while others remain viable O&M suppliers for the growing communications market ecosystem. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 9 Exhibit 1: Seven Years of 10 to Watch Source: Stratecast OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 10 Global Operations & Monetization 10 to Watch in 2015 Amdocs: Policy Management for VoLTE Amdocs is a public software and services company, traded on the NASDAQ under the symbol DOX. It is based in Chesterfield, Missouri, with major research and development centers located in Brazil, Canada, Cyprus, India, Ireland, Israel, and the United States. With fiscal 2014 revenues of approximately $3.6 billion—primarily from telecom—and more than 22,000 employees worldwide, it is one of the largest software and services suppliers in the telecommunications market sector. The company offers customer management, revenue management, service fulfillment, and network control products, which Amdocs collectively names as its Customer Experience Systems (CES). Stratecast covers the company from both the operations perspective and from the monetization perspective. What makes Amdocs a company to watch in 2015 is its approach to policy, and particularly, policy in support of Voice over LTE (VoLTE), along with the associated Operations (O&M) functions needed to address VoLTE service offerings. The company’s primary policy offerings include policy-enabled rating & charging and a Policy and Charging Rules Function (PCRF) solution. Both of these solutions support the policy needs associated with LTE services, including VoLTE. The Amdocs Convergent Charging (Turbo Charging) module is the company’s policy-enabled rating & charging offering. Amdocs explained to Stratecast that it makes use of a single real-time charging and balance management support system to handle all types of events (off-line and online); customer types (postpaid, prepaid, and hybrid); services; and lines of business (fixed, mobile, data) across multiple network environments (fixed, mobile, IMS, SS7, and IP-based). The Amdocs Policy Controller provides real-time network, application, and subscriber policy control that allow service providers to manage, measure, and monetize data services and service quality in the network. The solution determines how and under which circumstances subscribers have access to applications and network resources, at the appropriate service quality level. The Amdocs Policy Controller supports relevant 3GPP standards up to R11, and functions as the Policy and Charging Rules Function (PCRF) required in 3G and 4G LTE EPC networks. With a continued push by the industry toward customer service personalization, the Amdocs Policy Controller features a business rules engine with a Web-based user interface, which Amdocs explained will simplify the creation of the complex rules needed to create and modify data service plans and the unique requirements of each CSP. Amdocs explained to Stratecast that, in addition to a centralized business rules engine, the Amdocs Policy Controller provides the following features and benefits: • VoLTE support that goes beyond dedicated Quality of Service (QoS) to include reliability and availability—geo-redundancy, emergency services, and more. • New policy analytics to help CSPs close the loop on the subscriber impact of policies implemented in the network, including QoS, fair usage, roaming patterns and usage, and VoLTE service quality. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 11 • Dynamic metering that supports real-time metering through the standards-based 3GPP Gx interface, including metering multiple traffic flows within an individual user session. Metering can be based on time, volume, application, or a combination of all three, to provide support for differentiated and customized service tiers. Metering thresholds can also be set on a monthly basis, with specific daily limits. • Virtualized policy control architecture that aligns to the ETSI NFV framework. • A comprehensive set of monetization use cases that can be enabled. • Configuration versus code approach to use-case creation and modification that accelerates time to market and reduces total cost of ownership. • Vendor-agnostic approach, enabling interoperability with network equipment vendors and policy enforcement specialists to ensure ease of deployment in mixed vendor environments. • Flexible deployment options including stand-alone PCRF, dedicated VoLTE PCRF, virtualized, or as part of the Amdocs CES suite. As LTE deployments have increased globally, CSPs are looking to drive additional revenue from their LTE networks. Voice previously was the main offer, and data and messaging were add-ons. With VoLTE, voice is now an additional component on the data network. However, the expectations for voice are much higher, from both a consumer and regulatory standpoint. VoLTE is driving a new set of requirements for policy and for PCRF implementations. Exhibit 2 provides a snapshot summary of some of these new requirements. Exhibit 2: Amdocs: Making a PCRF VoLTE-Ready Source: Amdocs OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 12 The Amdocs Policy Controller supports the requirements of VoLTE; but not all deployed PCRFs can make that claim. To address this, Amdocs offers the Amdocs VoLTE Controller, as an adjunct to legacy PCRFs, to support the needs of VoLTE. The Amdocs VoLTE Controller is a derivative of the Amdocs Policy Controller, and can be upgraded to it. The Amdocs VoLTE Controller coexists with legacy PCRFs, and manages only VoLTE traffic. VoLTE has the potential to be a game changer for CSPs, but only if it meets the expectations of consumers and regulators. Amdocs’ approach is interesting, targeting both its existing customers and other CSPs that selected the PCRF assets from a different supplier in the past. To existing customers of the Amdocs Policy Controller solution, Amdocs is stating that they have access to the most current software release that provides extensive support for VoLTE. But even if a CSP chose another PCRF supplier in the past, Amdocs will help them be ready for VoLTE with the addition of the adjunct Amdocs VoLTE Controller. Centina Systems: Strategic Assurance and Analytics Centina Systems, Inc. is a Plano, Texas-based provider of strategic assurance and network performance solutions. Stratecast could have selected Centina Systems as one of its 10 to Watch last year, or the year before, or the year before that. After all, it had plenty of momentum for a relatively new company, which is something we look for in our 10 to Watch. Centina was formed in 2006, armed with solutions for Tier 1 CSPs in service assurance and network performance management. It was fresh. It was new. It was backed by seasoned veterans, and got off to a great start. Unfortunately, the company launched two years before an economic meltdown. Even in great times, Tier 1 CSPs are not eager to entrust their networks or mission-critical software systems to startup companies. They want to do business with companies that will likely be in business for the long haul. They are wary of unproven companies that have not yet shown they can weather a storm. It is now 2015. Centina weathered the storm that hit in 2008. In fact, through this turbulent time, Centina earned a spot in Deloitte’s Fast 500 category as one of the fastest growing companies in North America from 2009 to 2013. Centina has also created a good message for the storm that is about to hit network operations in the transition to the Virtual Network. The company emerged from the storm of 2008 with a solid record of growth, and is wellpositioned with relevant solutions for the storm of 2015 and beyond, which is why Stratecast believes it is now time to watch Centina Systems. As Centina matured its product set, it did not sit around hoping to impress Tier 1 CSPs in the USA, although it attracted its fair share of attention. Centina went out and got the business in the USA and around the world, grew its customer base, proved its systems, and prepared for the future. Here are some examples of business wins over the past few years: • C Spire – a wireless communications provider comprised of Cellular South and its affiliates serving primarily the Southeastern United States • WOW! (Wide Open West) – a US cable MSO/broadband provider with 1 million subscribers OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 13 • TRUE – a Tier-1 broadband service provider in Thailand • Telesur – a wireless and broadband communication service provider in South America • Conterra – a hybrid alternative access providers in the USA • SDN Communications – a business-to-business broadband service provider in four midwest states, with headquarters in South Dakota • Telem Group – the incumbent Caribbean telecommunications provider on the Dutch Caribbean Island of Sint Maarten. In recent years, Centina has also forged partnerships with worldwide telecommunication equipment vendors to resell NetOmnia, such as Fujitsu. Centina is in a very difficult market in terms of competition. It faces entrenched network management and service assurance providers that have grown up with the industry, as well as other smaller vendors that have a few more years under their belts. However, if ever there were an opportunity for growth, the coming transition to the Virtual Network may provide it, not only in managing the NFV infrastructure, but also the Carrier Ethernet networks that will grow and evolve along with it. This is another reason to watch Centina in 2015 and beyond. It is time for the company to make its next move; and Centina hopes to do it with a solution it calls Strategic Assurance. The Strategic Assurance approach is illustrated in Exhibit 3. Centina also plans to increase its global presence across Europe, the Middle East, Southeast Asia and the Caribbean; and expand worldwide partnerships and support for SDN and NFV. Exhibit 3: Centina Systems Strategic Assurance Approach Source: Centina Systems Strategic Assurance is a combination of analytics and network performance management that relies on both business value and operational metrics. Among the capabilities that Centina claims to have infused into its platform, which make it different from traditional service assurance, and better able to support the Virtual Network, the top five are: • Real-time network resource awareness OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 14 • Pre-emptive service assurance with end-to-end service visualization and correlation • User empowerment with simple and scalable architecture • Out-of-the-box network support with plug-ins for over 1000 device types • Management of physical and virtual environments Centina understands that there are three major challenges for service assurance in an NFV/SDN environment, which the company believes it can help CSPs meet. The first challenge is the increase in network complexity and diversity brought on by new control processes, among other changes. This complexity includes the need to simultaneously support legacy and next-generation networks. The next challenge is maintaining service topologies in a dynamic environment where configurations are often changing. This includes both the hardware configuration as well as service chains across networks. Somewhat related is the third challenge, which is the ability to accurately monitor the network state in real time. In addition to the five capabilities mentioned above for Strategic Assurance, Centina is enabling dynamic interactions between service assurance and service orchestration, which will help networks adapt in real-time to network conditions and service modification requests coming from the orchestration platform. No company has all the answers yet for managing and assuring the Virtual Network, but it will be important to watch what approaches emerge in 2015. Ericsson and MetraTech: An Interesting Acquisition and Integration MetraTech was a private software supplier, founded in 1998 and headquartered near Boston, Massachusetts. Stratecast has covered the company for a number of years with interest, and featured Metratech in the 2012 edition of the 10 to Watch report. In July 2014, Ericsson announced its intent to acquire MetraTech; and the acquisition was completed in September 2014. Ericsson is a provider of communications infrastructure, software, services, and media solutions, based in Stockholm, Sweden. It is traded publicly on the Stockholm Stock Exchange and on the NASDAQ under the symbol of ERIC. The company employs over 115,000 people worldwide. Ericsson reported 2013 revenue of approximately 227 billion SEK (U.S. $34.9 billion). (Ericsson has not yet reported 2014 revenues.) The company traces its origins to 1876; and today, continues to offer its network equipment, services, and software solutions to service providers around the world. Ericsson is a leader, by revenue, in most of the segments of CSP end-to-end billing. MetraTech, on the other hand, was/is a much smaller company, with around 140 employees (all of which were part of the acquisition.) In many acquisitions where a big company acquires a smaller company, the smaller company is never heard from again—and it often feels as if they never existed in the first place. It appears that this is not the case here, as the MetraTech product line provides Ericsson with a monetization solution for enterprises, and B2B billing and settlement for CSPs. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 15 The “whys” of this acquisition are what make this combination one to watch in 2015. Stratecast recognized that MetraTech was different from most of the monetization companies covered biannually in our CSP Billing series—and different in a good way. Most of the suppliers in the series (well over 100 in the 2013 edition) focus on the business-to-consumer (B2C) world, where CSPs bill their customers for usage. MetraTech focused on the management of complex businessto-business (B2B), agreements-based billing relationships, which often have a partner or reseller component. As CSPs target cloud, content, and value-added services to the enterprise market, such a capability will be critical. To put the difference into better perspective: in the B2C world, millions of customers are charged exactly the same way for their subscription or usage. In a complex B2B billing relationship, every relationship and every part of that relationship is unique to the contract signed between the entities. Enterprises expect to structure individual agreements with service providers to accommodate discount and commitment terms. As partnerships have become more important to CSPs globally, most of the B2C billing solutions have begun to incorporate some B2B capabilities, including Ericsson’s own billing solutions—which include Ericsson Charging and Billing in One and Ericsson Integrated Policy and Charging. MetraTech, while small when measured by revenue, is a thought leader in how to approach complex billing in communications and in other industries. As an example of this thought leadership (and real-world experience), Stratecast examined a case study of how the São Paulo Brazil airport (International Air Transport Association code: GRU) modernized with the help of MetraTech. 3 The airport, the busiest and largest in Latin America, was moving from government control into private control, with a vision of becoming an “airport city.” The new GRU airport includes a new modern international terminal, as well as partnerships with airline and concession partners that are critical to support key growth and revenue targets for the new GRU operator. The transition to a new billing platform that could handle the complex relationships for a variety of services including aviation, cargo, and concessions, as well as support Brazilian government tariffs, and be delivered in an incredibly short time-frame, all played a part in the selection of MetraTech. MetraTech is also the billing solution for the busiest airport in the world, Chicago O’Hare International, which provided a strong reference. Exhibit 4, below, provides a visual example of these complex business and settlement agreements. MetraTech won the contract, and went live at the airport nine weeks after contract signing, which included time for MetraTech to be certified for airport billing in Brazil by the Brazilian government aviation regulators. Very few solutions suppliers can address the complex wholesale B2B world, and even fewer can do it in a matter of weeks. In 2014, MetraTech followed up its GRU deployment with another win at the second largest airport in Latin America—Rio International Airport—which was accomplished in ten weeks. These three deployments position MetraTech as a leader in transportation billing. The thought leadership and experience in other industries is one reason Ericsson acquired MetraTech. See Stratecast report: SPIE 13-11, Agreements-Based Billing and Settlement Enables Multi-Industry Complex Business Models Including Airport Operations in Brazil, March 22, 2013. 3 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 16 Exhibit 4: MetraTech Supports Complex GRU Business and Settlement Agreements Source: Stratecast Ericsson stated publicly three reasons for the acquisition. MetraTech: • Strengthens Ericsson’s billing capabilities with solution functionality adaptable to the requirements driven by Everything as a Service (XaaS) and Internet of Things (IoT) economy • Provides Ericsson with an enterprise billing solution across vertical industries (MetraNet) and a SaaS billing application (Metanga) • Broadens Ericsson’s software portfolio further with a metadata-based architecture The MetraTech monetization platform, MetraNet, is built on an extensible metadata-driven architecture. Metadata enables a customer to define the structure of the data model, the method by which transactions are processed, and the structure of the interfaces. As a result, MetraNet is industry and business model agnostic, and provides for the rapid introduction of services and pricing plans that can respond to market demands as needed. Billing and multi-party settlement functionality, such as commissioning, revenue sharing and other B2B compensation schemes are also supported on the same platform. This enables partnerships with third parties to be handled with accuracy, transparency, and control. Stratecast believes that the Ericsson acquisition of MetraTech, and subsequent retention of the MetraTech identity, creates a deeply enhanced business management strategy and solution set to be closely watched in 2015. The thought leadership of MetraTech, backed by OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 17 the financial and personnel resources of Ericsson, makes for a very solid business solution proposition. Hewlett-Packard: NFV and API Management Hewlett-Packard (HP) is a global provider of printing, personal systems, software, services and IT infrastructure. The company’s Communications & Media Solutions division is creating the infrastructure and software to help CSPs transition to NFV and SDN. It isn’t as if HP’s Communications & Media Solutions division suddenly woke up in 2014 and found itself sitting in the catbird seat of telecom. It only looks that way. To be where the company is today, in terms of positioning and products for the new Virtual Network, it had to have seen the current trends of NFV and SDN coming early on, and quietly prepared. HP appears to have recognized its potential for leading the communications market in many ways, not just in servers and support software. HP raised some eyebrows when it introduced DataPass in 2011. DataPass is a mobile broadband service embedded on certain HP devices, which offers monthly data packages independent of the mobile service provider. DataPass can be used when Wi-Fi is not available. The service was launched in select countries in Europe in September 2013. By last summer, it was being piloted in more than a dozen countries. However, HP really opened some eyes when it partnered with Fogg Mobile in 2014. Currently, DataPass is in pilots around the world, and makes it possible for CSPs to own the relationship with customers, even when those customers are roaming. DataPass suits MVNOs that are interested in providing more than traditional voice, data, and texting on tablets and other devices. The business model represents a significant shift in the options that mobile data users have for securing services. HP helps provide not just the DataPass service and devices; by virtue of its NFV capabilities, it provides virtual network functions, such as IMS modules and OSS/BSS capabilities. HP’s new model has not gone unnoticed by MVNOs and CSPs, which have engaged HP in discussions about replicating the model for them. Stratecast believes that much positive change and opportunity will stem from HP’s business model. Part of what sets HP’s model apart is how NFV can be applied to enabling a resurgence in the MVNO market, and more efficient support of mobile infrastructure in general. HP focused on addressing an emerging challenge in the Virtual Network, one that stems from a long-standing problem in telecom operations, namely API management. By addressing this challenge, and with the momentum HP built in 2014 in NFV and mobility, Stratecast believes HP is a company to Watch in 2015 and beyond. HP’s OpenNFV program is a multi-vendor approach that allows HP and external partners, such as network equipment providers and software suppliers, to leverage the open NFV reference architecture and HP OpenNFV Labs to create solutions around NFV and SDN. For example, HP recently released new versions of its NFV Director 2.0, which is a virtualized mobile core that includes the HP API Management platform and HP Multimedia Services Environment WebRTC Gateway Controller. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 18 NFV Director also offers a solution for what might prove to be one of the most challenging and contentious areas of the Virtual Network in the coming year: service orchestration. Equally challenging, but less a part of the public hype because it is not new like NFV and orchestration for NFV, is API Management. When open, the application programming interface (API) has enabled significant interoperability and interworking in the communications industry. However, just as often, it has facilitated proprietary technologies that have stifled the kind of open networking that will be required in the new Virtual Network. HP will introduce a virtualized API management platform in 2015. That, alone, will make HP a company worth watching in 2015. Exhibit 5 shows a functional diagram of the HP API Management platform. Exhibit 5: Hewlett-Packard API Management Source: Hewlett-Packard The lower layer of API management shown in the middle section of the diagram above, Network Exposure, is one of the least well-defined elements of the Virtual Network, particularly in SDN. However, network exposure is a lynchpin to enabling the kind of service creation and networked applications the industry has been calling for. Network Exposure opens the network and its critical assets to third-parties and content providers, many of which use open-source software. Existing practices around APIs will not suffice. Until a better solution is found, API management platforms that can support legacy interfaces, as well as interfaces designed for the Virtual Network, will be essential. There are several API management initiatives in play today: GSMA’s OneAPI Exchange (now operated by Apigee); the Open Mobile Alliance API program; RESTful APIs, and vendor-led API programs. Given the drive toward open systems—the SDN controller, for example—it is reasonable OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 19 to question whether or not a single vendor can lead the API platform market. Later in 2015, we should start seeing more definition in this space. It is time for the industry to decide how open it really plans to be; and APIs are an important part of that. If the work around APIs is pushed out beyond 2015, the industry will only be asking for trouble. Infonova: Enterprise Business Enablement For a number of years, Stratecast has discussed a business model known by many as Cross Industry 2.0. 4 This business model allows a CSP to enhance the products from many organizations, in multiple verticals, with those of the communications marketplace, to create new or improved service offers. This model embodies an ecosystem involving partner-suppliers, the CSP, sometimes other external entities, and end-user customers. Yet, to take advantage of the opportunities that are now available, a CSP must fundamentally change its approach to business, from being a provider of technology-based services—voice, data, and bandwidth access—to a horizontally-focused federator of services developed and enabled by companies across multiple industries. Infonova, a wholly-owned subsidiary of BearingPoint Consulting of Europe, is an Austrian provider of monetization and business management solutions for the telecommunications industry and convergent industries. It has a laser focus on support for enterprise business enablement. The company was founded in 1989, and employs approximately 350 people. The Infonova R6 solution is an Ecosystem Enablement Platform (EEP) suite, which Infonova explained to Stratecast is a “Concept-to-Cash” platform. It is shown in Exhibit 6, below. The point of clear differentiation for Infonova is the unique ability to support multi-sided business models in what is known as Cross Industry 2.0. Why is 2015 a year to watch Infonova, since we have been discussing the company and Cross Industry 2.0 for years? The marketplace is now ripe for large telecom operators to become business enablers and deliverers on the promises of virtual service offerings. Stratecast firmly believes that Infonova is one of a very small number of business enablement suppliers that can deliver on the significant number of new business requirements that both virtual networking and virtual services demand. The Infonova R6 EEP is a robust version of perhaps one or two solution offers on the market today that have been touted to address the interactions needed between partners and network operators for the delivery of advanced virtual services. These interactions include partner orchestration, fulfillment, monetization, and management functions. More specifically, the Infonova R6 platform offers front and back office support to satisfy multilayer business models now faced by several CSPs. It includes the ability to address triple and quadplay bundling, tenant-based white label services, wholesale products, and advanced partner models. It is designed to meet the operations needs of existing business models, and new ones, through the flexible aggregation of legacy and content-based services. Infonova R6 addresses the needs of each For more insight into the Cross Industry 2.0 business model, see Stratecast report: OSSCS 14-05, Global CSP Billing Part 1a – 2013 Edition: Market Drivers, Changing Strategies and New Business Models, July 2013. 4 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 20 layer of the Cross-Industry 2.0 value chain, from Customer to Tenant Operator to Primary Operator to Supplier/Partner. Exhibit 6: Two View of Infonova R6 Ecosystem Enablement Platform Source: Infonova Within Infonova R6, the monetization-related functionality specific to horizontal orchestration between multiple enterprises includes: • Billing Data Mediation – Online and off-line mediation for fixed, mobile, and IP networks, as well as support for other industries. • Convergent Charging & Rating – A policy-enabled real-time rating and charging engine, with support for retail billing, wholesale billing, and partner settlement billing. • Bill Calculation/Invoicing/Formatting – Calculates and generates invoices, formats the bill for print or for electronic presentation. • Finance – Handles financial transactions including receivables, payments, disputes, collections, and reporting to external financial systems. • Partner/Supplier Management & Sales Channel Management – Supports partners and suppliers, as well as the sales channel. Stratecast believes that industry suppliers have maneuvered to establish end-to-end operations & monetization solutions that meet the inward-facing business concerns of the CSP community at large. While a great start, the Cross-Industry 2.0 approach goes one step further to meet the flow of customer information and interactive communications between industry entities, in an outwardfacing role, to address the collaborative business needs of enterprise-level customers. Infonova R6 is a good example of how to address this business concern from a single platform, especially as the cloud-based solution concept gains strength within the IT channels of all industries. It is designed to OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 21 work with multiple suppliers, partners and tenant operators that add business value to the service offerings delivered to consumers and enterprise customers. Stratecast looks forward to 2015 being the year that Cross-Industry 2.0 becomes real! InfoVista: Service Assurance and Performance Management The telecom industry is no stranger to the word “dynamic.” It has been a welcome addition to the networking lexicon. Technologies such as dynamic routing and dynamic IP address allocation presented a management challenge when first introduced; but that challenge was met and rendered a net positive for the business. However, when entire networks, the services running over them, the data plans applied and the policies enforced, all become dynamic at the same time—as they will in the Virtual Network, comprised of NFV, SDN and public cloud architectures—the word “dynamic” takes on new meaning. For network planning, performance management and service assurance suppliers, the word “dynamic” is intimidating. It is Stratecast’s contention that one of the most significant challenges of virtual network environments will be the ability to assure end-to-end network and service performance— primarily due to the network’s dynamic nature. InfoVista has taken an aggressive approach to addressing this challenge. Stratecast has named InfoVista as a company to watch in 2015, because of its commitment to this challenge, as well as its focus on planning and designing small cell networks. Stratecast believes that two areas of focus for InfoVista on NFV are particularly important: managing the NFV fabric as a whole, and ensuring the quality of multi-network service chains. Management and assurance are becoming an overlay to the Virtual Network fabric. So, it is fitting, given how NFV and SDN will turn network management upside down, that network management takes on the guise of a management network. Assuring these management networks is a critical part of managing a next generation network infrastructure composed of SDN and NFV technology. Likewise, as the Network-as-a-Service (NaaS) model goes mainstream, assurance suppliers will need to assure the management network, as well as the infrastructure and network services. In October 2014, InfoVista presented a NaaS proof of concept, along with Oracle, which used both NaaS concepts and Carrier Ethernet 2.0 standards to demonstrate how a Carrier Ethernet service could be orchestrated and assured across multiple operators. Information models, flexible service models and standardized APIs are the foundation for a realtime Operations (OSS) approach to managing legacy network technology; they will allow network services to become dynamic, self-service and automatically controlled. Regarding service assurance and performance management, in particular, InfoVista has examined the transition from today’s physical network function-dominated environment to the future of NFV and SDN. In doing so the company has identified five service assurance steps that CSPs will need to address within their Operations solutions as they move to the Virtual Network. The more that InfoVista can demonstrate its ability to support these steps in 2015, the better positioned they will be for the future. The steps are: 1. Managing Virtual Network Functions (VNF) OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 22 2. 3. 4. 5. Managing the Network Function Virtualization Infrastructure (NFVI) Fabric Scaling VNFs Enabling Networking “as-a-Service” Managing SDN & Wide Area Network (WAN) Architectures InfoVista recently echoed TM Forum’s position that the industry needs new information models that enable CSPs to follow the dynamic changes across networks, including dynamic provisioning and service mapping. InfoVista developed a performance assurance maturity model for assuring network and service performance, and quality within virtualized and dynamic networks. The model extends from the initial remit of managing VNFs, to future stages such as managing the NFVI fabric; then, managing VNFs on a vast scale; enabling NaaS; and, ultimately, managing SDN and wide area network (WAN) architectures. InfoVista’s position is that in order to assure the performance of the network function, a solution must assure the performance of the fabric, which includes the compute, storage and network resources that support a distributed NFVI, as is illustrated in Exhibit 7. Exhibit 7: InfoVista Service Assurance for the NFV Fabric Source: InfoVista This blend of assuring network operations infrastructure and IT infrastructure, as well as the services across them, is the management challenge of the coming virtual era. On the planning front, CSPs face a different kind of blend. This blend is more one of physical and virtual than operations and IT. It will occur noticeably in the small cell sector where a large variety of virtual and physical devices will co-exist. Likewise, in the backhaul network, virtualization will make planning more challenging but, at the same time, more malleable and potentially efficient. InfoVista has come to see network planning and optimization increasingly as parts of the OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 23 same function. As small cells proliferate this year, the eyes of the industry and individual CFOs will be on this sector, scrutinizing the margins being realized. On the horizon is 5G; and, according to recent Frost & Sullivan research, this evolution is also expected to translate into a significant densification in the network, and an increasing number and variety of base stations and access points. Densification and diversity are key drivers in the need for efficient planning. QOSMOS: Deep Packet Inspection and Network Intelligence Any supplier with a sound roadmap for NFV and SDN in 2014 is already one-step ahead of most of its competitors, and wellpositioned to lead, or at least gain a little mind share, in 2015. This year will likely be an exciting and turbulent one for those companies seeking to be thought leaders for the next generation Virtual Network. A key component for the Virtual Network to become a reality will be making the network more service aware. A network designed to be as dynamic and programmable as the one the industry is rushing towards needs to be aware of the many service types it is supporting, at any given time, and at any given point in the network. The network must also have the real-time intelligence about those services to create, deliver and monetize the service chains that will be a big part of the service innovation to come. Qosmos announced its strategic roadmap for NFV and SDN back in March of 2014. Its strategy is aimed squarely at these two important components of service awareness. With almost a year to progress on its plan, Qosmos has positioned itself to be a company to watch in 2015. Qosmos is not a traditional OSS company, nor is it a traditional infrastructure provider. Then again, what company is exclusively either in this emerging virtual, software-driven environment? The company has turned its deep packet inspection engine, ixEngine, into a virtual component, and pointed it at the challenge of network intelligence. See Exhibit 8, below. Qosmos first demonstrated its virtualized DPI in February 2014, deploying it within a virtual Evolved Packet Core (vEPC) framework for 4G broadband mobile networks. Qosmos’ products are used by network equipment suppliers, software vendors and system integrators, which embed the company’s technology to extract the application-layer data from the network that is necessary to make the solution service-aware, particularly in NFV and SDN environments. Qosmos’ Virtual DPI runs in a virtual machine and feeds application information and metadata to other integrated components such as service routers, various IMS components, O&M solutions, and analytics engines. Qosmos also has a service chaining module that leverages packet-tagging mechanisms and protocol extensions to convey application identification and metadata in real-time to applications and network functions, both virtual and physical. Using this data, software vendors can dynamically optimize the number and sequence of chained services based on their traffic type. This capability will allow CSPs to realize better resource utilization, and to more easily customize services. The service chaining module will be available the first half of 2015. Stratecast believes the Qosmos approach will play an important role in 2015 because, as reality hits the market this year with regard to the challenge of actually implementing OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 24 Virtual Network architectures, this deep level of network intelligence will be key to maintaining efficiency and data integrity. The Virtual Network will certainly require both; and it will require them from the beginning, not as an afterthought. Exhibit 8: QOSMOS Deep Packet Inspection Engine for NFV Source: QOSMOS Qosmos demonstrated its service chaining module with partner Red Hat, in November 2014, at the OpenStack Summit in Paris. The companies showed that network traffic could be more efficiently and intelligently routed through applicable service nodes. This reduced infrastructure costs and contributed to the creation and delivery of new, differentiated service combinations. The demonstration included Red Hat’s Enterprise Linux OpenStack Platform, Open vSwitch (OVS), multi-core Intel processors, and Intel Ethernet adapters, as well as Qosmos’ Service Aware Module, which is based on its ixEngine DPI engine. France-based Qosmos has been very active globally. The company claims to have signed several Tier 1 network equipment suppliers in Japan over the last year, and has opened an office in Tokyo. As an OEM provider, Qosmos does well when its partners and customers do well. Its customers and partners include several leading equipment makers, as well as new software- and platform-based companies, such as: 6wind, Broadcom, HP, IBM, Napatech, Radisys and Windriver. All are well positioned to capitalize on the data-centric solutions required for the new Virtual Network. More than 60 companies embed Qosmos technology in their products. By virtualizing its DPI solution, Qosmos has made a wider distribution possible. This wider distribution, to the network edge as well OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 25 as backhaul and video/content distribution networks, adds to the data collection capabilities, which, in turn, enhance the intelligence about services. It also says something to the market when a purported enabler of virtualization adopts virtualization itself for its own delivery method. It says, “Do as I do, not as I say.” Subex: The Return of a Revenue Leader? Subex is a public telecommunications software and services supplier, headquartered in Bangalore, India. The company’s shares trade on the Mumbai stock exchange under the symbol SUBEX, and on the London stock exchange under the symbol SUBX. The company reported fiscal year 2014 (ending March 31, 2014) revenues of approximately 3.5 billion rupees (approximately $59 million). Subex started as a wireless network systems integrator and test and measurement company in 1992. Through a series of acquisitions and mergers, including that of Azure in April 2006 and Syndesis in January 2007, Subex now has approximately 860 employees and 300 installations in 70 countries. It has Tier 1, Tier 2 and Tier 3 customers in all regions of the world. The company recently emerged from a long financial struggle that revolved around bonds and debt from its acquisitions and mergers. This period had competitors whispering that Subex may go under or file for bankruptcy, which led to some loss of customers and revenues. The company’s publicly reported revenues reached a high in fiscal year 2011, were essentially flat in fiscal year 2012, and then dropped more than 30% in fiscal year 2013. The good news for Subex was that revenue was up almost 4% in fiscal 2014. Why is Subex a company to watch in 2015? Stratecast believes that Subex is back on a revenue upswing, and 2015 is the year for the company to prove that it will continue to be a significant force in the marketplace, both now and into the future. The company offers the Subex Revenue Operations Center (ROC) portfolio, shown below in Exhibit 9, which includes solutions that Stratecast has previously covered in its Financial Assurance report and its CSP Billing report series. As Subex explained to Stratecast, its customers are now provided with the full ROC platform so that, when needed, any of the various functions shown in Exhibit 9 can be activated, and the processes set in motion with minimal effort. Subex understands that all of these functions are interrelated, and that they deliver business value in different ways, according to the different business priorities of its customers. In fact, much of the growth that Subex continues to experience comes from expanding relationships with existing customers to meet business needs within the other functional domains defined by the ROC platform. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 26 Exhibit 9: Subex Revenue Operations Center Source: Subex In the recently released report on Financial Assurance 5 (which Stratecast defines as encompassing Revenue Assurance, Fraud Management, and Margin Assurance), the following functions were detailed: • ROC Revenue Assurance – The company’s Revenue Assurance solution, which covers all of today’s increasingly complex services and the expanding web of partners and resellers. • ROC Fraud Management – A Fraud Management offering, which the company shared is engineered to eliminate known fraud, uncover new fraud patterns, minimize fraud run time, augment internal controls, and support continuous Fraud Management process improvement. • ROC Credit Risk Management – A Margin Assurance solution, the ROC Credit Risk Management solution allows CSPs to access and mitigate financial risks associated with subscribers throughout their lifecycle—from acquisition, through ongoing use of services, to collections and recovery. • ROC Cost Management – Another Margin Assurance solution, the ROC Cost Management solution collects, collates, and correlates data from switches, inventory databases, billing processes, partner invoices, and financial systems to provide insight about costs. While Stratecast did not include the Subex Network Analytics segment of the company’s ROC platform in the recently published Financial Assurance report, Subex has indicated that it is moving See Stratecast report: OSSCS 15-13, Global CSP Financial Assurance: Market Share Analysis, Forecast, and Supplier Assessment, December 2014. 5 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 27 to bring financial measures to this set of analytics. Stratecast believes this direction will pay off, allowing CSPs to make more informed decisions about their networks based on financial criteria, in addition to technical criteria. Stratecast will revisit this set of analytics for our next report on Financial Assurance. Stratecast covers the remaining two Subex solutions as part of our CSP Billing series: 6 • ROC Partner Settlement – The solution, as Subex shared with Stratecast, allows operators to quickly and accurately settle charges with their network and content partners, and helps operators improve efficiency through light touch and automation, and accurate billing and settlement. • ROC Route Optimization – The solution provides CSPs with tools to manage network cost information and route interconnect traffic appropriately. While it appears that Subex has stabilized its financial picture, the company has some work to do to regain its place on the Financial Assurance revenue leaderboard. Just a few years ago, Stratecast believed Subex to be the leader by revenue. In our last look, a number of Subex’s competitors had climbed beyond Subex on the revenue leaderboard. Stratecast believes that with the evolving communications marketplace pushing CSPs to more significantly engage with partners and suppliers, the need for Financial Assurance solutions is stronger than ever. Stratecast firmly believes that Subex and its Revenue Operations Center portfolio are well positioned to take full advantage of these rising Financial Assurance opportunities. We expect Subex to return to strong growth and improve its leadership position within the Financial Assurance market in the coming months. TEOCO: Bridging the Gap Between Operations & Monetization Functions Stratecast recently completed a market survey of the Financial Assurance segment, which includes the traditional areas of Revenue Assurance and Fraud Management, along with a newer segment: Margin Assurance. 7 Although Stratecast continues to view Financial Assurance as a Monetization (BSS) function—the assurance complement to CSP billing—the lines are blurring; and TEOCO has highlighted this blurring. In addition to its Financial Assurance solutions, TEOCO offers Operations or OSS solutions that inject a financial viewpoint to augment what were previously network operations and engineering decisions. Do these previously distinct Operations areas now have an overlap within the Monetization realm? The answer is a resounding yes! TEOCO is bridging the gap between Operations functions, particularly traditional engineering planning and network optimization, and the business-defining Monetization functions of revenue generation, customer experience, and margin management. Stratecast believes this makes TEOCO a company to watch in 2015. See Stratecast report: OSSCS 15-10, Global CSP Billing Part 6b: Interconnect & Settlement and Partner Management Market Share Analysis, Forecast, and Global Supplier Assessment, August 2014. 7 For a deeper examination of the Financial Assurance market, see Stratecast report: OSSCS 15-13, Global CSP Financial Assurance: Market Share Analysis, Forecast, and Supplier Assessment, December 2014. 6 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 28 Established in 1995, TEOCO is headquartered in Fairfax, VA, with offices in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia Pacific. The company has approximately 1300 employees. TEOCO started with cost management solutions, with a primarily North American customer base; and has grown both organically and via acquisition to offer Financial Assurance, service assurance, network optimization, and telecom analytics solutions to a global customer base of over 300 CSPs. TEOCO’s Customer Analytics suite, as shown in Exhibit 10, provides a customer-centric perspective that merges profitability, quality of experience, and behavioral data together to improve understanding, targeting, and engaging of a CSP’s customer base. This suite of analytics tools is utilized by TEOCO’s Monetization solutions—including its Financial Analytics offering—and, on the Operations side, by its Service Assurance and Network Optimization solutions. Exhibit 10: TEOCO Customer Analytics Suite Source: TEOCO The Customer Analytics suite includes: • Profitability Analytics – This module brings together cost, revenue, and margin analytics to understand the profitability of subscribers, services, devices, rate plans, and other entities, measured from a financial perspective. • Roaming Analytics – By capturing inbound and outbound roaming event data, and enriching that data based on wholesale partner agreements, this product validates settlements with roaming partners, thereby reducing overpayments. In addition, it identifies high roaming subscribers, devices, and geographies to optimize price plans and roaming OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 29 agreements. The solution can identify regions where network build out is more profitable than continued payments to roaming partners. It can also identify roaming fraud; so, in this capacity, the Roaming Analytics module provides Revenue Assurance, Fraud Management, and Margin Assurance, combined. • Behavioral Analytics – Aimed at the marketing department, Behavioral Analytics allows a deeper understanding of the behavior of customers; to aid in targeting marketing campaigns, and to assist in segmenting the customer base to “personalize” pricing plans or services. • Predictive Location Analytics – This module utilizes multiple parameters and data sets, including: location, customer, behaviors, and network context. From this information, Predictive Location Analytics enables CSPs to more appropriately target the content addressed to subscribers, including not just where subscribers have visited, but also where they are likely to go. TEOCO believes its subscriber-level financial analytics provides a “compelling and differentiated” way to augment network, marketing, and customer care activities with customer financial profiles and usage behaviors. By combining key performance indicators (KPIs) on usage, cost, revenue, and margin with KPIs on quality, coverage, and capacity, TEOCO unites service quality and profitability metrics to obtain individual subscriber-level insights. In other words, TEOCO brings a financial perspective into what has traditionally been driven by technology or marketing metrics; and, in doing so, blends formerly “siloed” O&M worlds to deliver its CSP customers with more than was possible before. And that makes TEOCO a company to watch in 2015. TM Forum: Zero-Touch Orchestration, Operations and Management The telecommunications industry evolved for more than 100 years before the TeleManagement Forum came along in 1988. The forum was then called the OSI/Network Management Forum; and is known now as TM Forum. The organization cannot literally be called a cornerstone of the industry, as the cornerstone historically was laid first. Over time, however, the term has evolved, much like TM Forum itself. The cornerstone is not always the first stone laid in a foundation, but it still represents the foundation from which all other stones will be set in reference. That is the kind of operational cornerstone that TM Forum has been to the communications industry for more than 25 years. Its information models, frameworks, and operations maps have provided guidelines and standards by which CSPs around the globe have set a reference upon which to build their operations. The Forum’s work helps set the plumb line for best practices in telecom operations. Stratecast rarely focuses on standards organizations, consortia or other forum-centric organizations in its annual 10 to Watch series. However, the industry is about to be turned upside-down and inside-out by new open architectures such as NFV, SDN and public cloud. As a result, the relevance of operational models and guidelines for traditional telecom networks suddenly look questionable. As the industry increasingly dons the appearance, and even some of the best practices, of IT organizations, it is hard not to ask the obvious: What becomes of the decades-long work of TM Forum to streamline, standardize and optimize telecom operations? OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 30 Stratecast does not believe there can be an out-with-the-old, in-with-the-new approach to operations. Change will be significant for the Forum and its members; 8 however, Stratecast believes there is important, field-hardened work TM Forum can bring forward into the new Virtual Network paradigm. The industry is anxious to move on to ‘the next big thing’; yet, serious consideration must be given to which work from the Forum can facilitate a smooth transition to the future; which should be discarded in deference to new models or more IToriented models; and which should serve out their days supporting legacy networks. These decisions must be made collectively with the Forum’s CSP members, supplier members, enterprise members and other standards bodies, including emerging and sometimes contentious organizations such as the Open Networking Forum, OpenDaylight, and the OPNFV. This exercise in serious internal reflection and outward collaboration is what makes TM Forum such an interesting entity to watch in 2015. TM Forum recognizes the scope of change on the horizon, and has actively been engaging the ETSI NFV working groups, as well as the Next Generation Network Management forum, Metro Ethernet Forum, and 3GPP, in an effort to develop practical guidance for transitioning to the future. This guidance includes new information models, process flows and organizational and cultural changes. To this end, the Forum has also been doing a lot of internal work. It has created a project called ZOOM, or Zero-touch Orchestration, Operations and Management, which will define how to carry forward its work into the new virtual, software-defined world, and help operators identify what OSS components and practices they, too, can carry forward. ZOOM has a strong NFV component to it; but the Forum believes the framework has broader goals, such as creating a service enablement environment with the capability to rapidly compose services, deliver them to the market, and then monetize and manage them end-to-end. The goals are not too different from its long-term mission, but there are many important nuances. This service enablement model must perform in a multitenancy, multi-administrative environment, using unfamiliar new processes from the IT world. In addition to process changes, TM Forum will take a hard look at what a shift to virtualization means to CSPs, organizationally and culturally. The organization has begun developing a common information model and common vocabulary that allows it to help determine which models can be leveraged and which need to change. For example, there currently is no concept for a virtual network function (VNF) in its common information model. Below, in Exhibit 11, is the Forum’s latest reference architecture. TM Forum is organizing its ZOOM initiative around four themes, which it will incorporate into the Frameworx architecture. • DevOps Transformation Framework for the Digital Ecosystem – This framework will identify requirements for developing an approach to hybrid and virtualized operations. It will outline a process for transforming from traditional Systems Operations and Network Operations to a DevOps approach, which is another practice borrowed from IT. DevOps is a methodology for uniting the separate functions of software development (Dev) and production and operations (Ops) into a single, integrated and continuous process. TM Forum currently has just under 1000 member companies comprised of software suppliers, systems integrators, network equipment manufacturers, CSPs, as well as companies in the utility/energy, transportation, healthcare, and government sectors. 8 OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 31 • Blueprint for End-to-End Management – Here is where TM Forum will define the essential requirements for end-to-end management of physical and virtualized services across multiple provider environments. • Operations and Procurement Readiness – Operations and Procurement Readiness will identify the technical, business, organizational and cultural requirements when sourcing agile services in a hybrid environment, throughout the full sourcing lifecycle. • Open Source Direction – TM Forum will deliver a positioning paper on open source for ZOOM/NFV that addresses interoperability and application programming interfaces (APIs). Exhibit 11: TM Forum Digital Services Reference Architecture Source: TM Forum The Forum’s approach to 2015 will be one of pragmatism. The organization explained to Stratecast that it believes people have seen the concepts and heard the arguments for the Virtual Network, and now want practical guidance at a solution level for taking their first steps toward it. They want to know two things, which the Forum believes it can help make clear: How does one begin its transformation, and what is the end game? Answering these questions first is necessary for taking rational steps. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 32 One Year Later – Revisiting the 10 to Watch in 2014 Alcatel-Lucent: Analytics-Driven Mobile Security and Billing Alcatel-Lucent continues to offer its Motive Big Network Analytics solution that made the company one to watch in 2014. Stratecast believes the marketplace continues to be receptive. The solution combines mobile network data with IT and O&M information. It utilizes purpose-built analytics to provide CSPs with turnkey tools to take advantage of this data. The tools include Smart Plan for “agile marketing”; Motive Service View for Mobile, providing analytics-driven customer care; Intelligent Traffic Management with selective traffic optimization; and Motive Security Guardian, a value added service that CSPs can offer their customers to protect mobile phones from viruses and malware. Amdocs: Self-Organizing Network (SON) Solution for Customer Experience Amdocs has a broad portfolio. Largely due to the company’s acquisitions in 2013 of Actix and Celcite, for a combined $250 million, Stratecast focused its 10 to Watch selection on the near immediate implications for Self-Organizing Networks (SON). While Stratecast still believes Amdocs is well-positioned and capable of addressing SON, mobile operators themselves were not quite ready in 2014 to go there. SON is a precision instrument, and, with so much change on the horizon, it was decided by Amdocs, their operator customers, and much of the industry that SON would be approached carefully and incrementally. However, Amdocs ended 2014 with a SON sale to Vodafone Hutchison in Australia. The pause of SON, in general, did not negatively impact Amdocs’ OSS service assurance approach or detract from the value of its acquisitions. Amdocs has leveraged both acquired companies to better address customer experience management and network planning. In 2015, the company plans to leverage them by helping mobile operators with their carrier-grade Wi-Fi efforts. AsiaInfo: Analytics-Driven Business Support AsiaInfo—the company shortened its name from AsiaInfo-Linkage in 2014—was a company to watch in 2014 as it expanded its market presence into Europe, based on the strengths from its customers in China and the Asia Pacific region. At the end of 2013, the company announced its first O&M win in Europe with the Telenor Group, and in 2014 opened an office in Denmark to support this project. In the past few weeks, AsiaInfo announced the opening of an office in Hungary to support European expansion. The company continues to offer a range of solutions, which includes end-to-end billing, customer relationship management, and business intelligence to address its newfound European customer opportunities. Cyan: SDN NFV Management and Orchestration Stratecast selected Cyan as a company to watch in 2014 because of its clear approach to NFV/SDN management and orchestration. It was one of the first companies that came to market with an orchestration platform. Stratecast noted then that it would be worth watching for how much the company could drive the conversation among CSPs, move the early-adoption needle, and leverage first-mover advantage. Cyan certainly drove the conversation with its aggressive participation in industry fora, and its collaborative efforts in proofs-of-concept tied to network virtualization. While carriers have not yet rushed to adopt the technology at the implementation stage, and thereby OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 33 accelerate the early adopter phase, Stratecast believes Cyan still moved the needle in this regard. The move may not be perceptible at this time; it could be that Cyan moved a needle that was pointing at the year 2017 up to 2016 or even 2015 through its education efforts and proof points alone. Cyan also leveraged its first-mover advantage by the sheer amount of exposure the company has received to date. Cycle30: Machine-to-Machine Business Management Stratecast named Cycle30 a company to watch in 2014 for its billing solutions in support of the CSP market, the enterprise market, and the machine-to-machine (M2M) or Internet of Things (IOT) market. Cycle30 continues to offer a full order-to-cash solution for converged CSPs with its Pivot platform. The company focuses on Tier 2 and Tier 3 operators. The same platform provides a monetization and business support solution for the enterprise market that addresses complex contract terms and service level agreements, along with advanced hierarchies and account structures to meet the needs of any business. Cycle30’s Mobius platform provides a device-to-cash solution for the IOT solution providers, which features global connectivity and monitoring, and real-time analytics and diagnostics. Monolith Software: Unified Service Assurance Why Monolith? Stratecast liked Monolith Software’s focus on unified service assurance. It fit nicely with the overall trend in the service assurance space. The company brought in a new CEO in 2010 bent on growing the company. In addition to building its unified architecture, Monolith was quick to embrace an open architecture built on LAMP (Linux, Apache, Maria DB, PERL/PHB), and support for open protocols. It added multi-tenant capabilities, which will be key to operating in a softwaredefined network. Monolith has been making its case for unified service assurance in the NFV and SDN arena; while relocating its headquarters from suburban Chicago to a more technology-oriented corridor in Texas. In the meantime, it partnered with Eirtec to deliver its AssureNow platform to Manx Telecom in 2014. Nuage Networks: SDN Virtualized Services Enablement It would not be an exaggeration to say that Nuage Networks has contributed mightily to parent company Alcatel-Lucent’s resurgence. Stratecast knew, when selecting Nuage for its 10 to Watch in 2014, that the company’s initial focus and impact would be in the enterprise cloud. However, we believed that impact would create sufficient awareness in telecom operations that it would be worth watching. Nuage did not disappoint. After much success in enterprise and cloud networks, Sunil Khandekar, CEO of Nuage Networks, announced in the fall of 2014 that it was time for Nuage to expand its scope to branch networking (SDN in all branches of networks, not just data centers), and help CSPs embrace the cloud and SDN to better address the needs of the enterprise market in this way. Omniware Solutions: Contract-Based Billing and Partner Compensation Stratecast regularly examines the CSP monetization market, and has noted the growing importance of partnerships in new business models emerging within the communications marketplace. The problem is that the end-to-end CSP billing market is dominated by suppliers that focus on monetization in a business-to-consumer (B2C) sense, and not on the more complex monetization OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 34 functions that arise with partnerships, contracts, and reciprocal compensation. Omniware Solutions continues to be one of a fairly small number of monetization suppliers that automate the complex needs of business-to-business (B2B) relationships, where the monetization solution—in this case, Omnibill—must show extreme flexibility and rapidly address changing customer needs relative to service package definition, pricing agreements, and consumption tracking. Flexible B2B systems are critical for the success of data services suppliers and network operators alike. This is especially important in the case where a single operator provides an enterprise with both network bandwidth and hosted services as a consolidated services supplier. Redknee: Virtualized Billing and Business Support Management Redknee made a somewhat unique acquisition in 2013—acquiring a selection of monetization assets from the much larger Nokia Siemens Networks (now Nokia Networks)—making Redknee a company to watch in 2014. Redknee’s publicly reported financials indicate that the acquisition and on-going business was a success: fiscal year 2014 revenues were up over 80% from fiscal year 2013. In addition, several customer wins and contract extensions were reported by Redknee throughout 2014. Shango: Unified Fulfillment - Supply Chain Integration Shango was Stratecast’s long shot, selected for its ambitious supply-chain integration approach to unified communications. Business looked promising in 2013 when Shango won business from TSG Global with its SaaS-based Sourcing and Inventory Tracking service. Shango put together a formidable ecosystem of partners, including Level 3, Onvoy, Windstream and XO Communications. Unfortunately, it hasn’t done much since. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 35 Stratecast The Last Word Innovation comes in all shapes and sizes as the Stratecast Global O&M 10 to Watch in 2015 demonstrates. This year’s list includes a few smaller companies, a few very large companies, and even an industry forum. Our 10 to Watch company selections include, in alphabetical order: • Amdocs: Policy Management for VoLTE • Centina Systems: Strategic Assurance and Analytics • Ericsson and MetraTech: An Interesting Acquisition and Integration • Hewlett-Packard: NFV and API Management • Infonova: Enterprise Business Enablement • InfoVista: Service Assurance and Performance Management • QOSMOS: Deep Packet Inspection and Network Intelligence • Subex: The Return of a Revenue Leader? • TEOCO: Bridging the Gap Between Operations & Monetization Functions • TM Forum: Zero-Touch Orchestration, Operations and Management CSP transformation is an expensive, painful, and time-consuming effort that is never over. The necessary changes will not happen overnight, but CSP transformation is happening, and key solution suppliers are an increasingly important part of it. The vendors named as 10 to Watch in 2015 are innovative, but also embrace solid business and marketing strategies. Each delivers practical solutions that solve pressing problems in open, interoperable ways. This combination of innovation and practicality enable 10 to Watch companies to continue on a solid path of growth and success. Tim McElligott Troy M. Morley Karl M. Whitelock O&M Senior Consulting Analyst Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan [email protected] O&M Strategy Analyst Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan [email protected] Director Global O&M Strategy Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan [email protected] OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 36 About Stratecast Stratecast collaborates with our clients to reach smart business decisions in the rapidly evolving and hypercompetitive Information and Communications Technology markets. Leveraging a mix of action-oriented subscription research and customized consulting engagements, Stratecast delivers knowledge and perspective that is only attainable through years of real-world experience in an industry where customers are collaborators; today’s partners are tomorrow’s competitors; and agility and innovation are essential elements for success. Contact your Stratecast Account Executive to engage our experience to assist you in attaining your growth objectives. About Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan, the Growth Partnership Company, works in collaboration with clients to leverage visionary innovation that addresses the global challenges and related growth opportunities that will make or break today’s market participants. For more than 50 years, we have been developing growth strategies for the Global 1000, emerging businesses, the public sector and the investment community. Is your organization prepared for the next profound wave of industry convergence, disruptive technologies, increasing competitive intensity, Mega Trends, breakthrough best practices, changing customer dynamics and emerging economies? For more information about Frost & Sullivan’s Growth Partnership Services, visit http://www.frost.com. OSSCS 16-02, February 2015 CONTACT US © Stratecast | Frost & Sullivan, 2015 Page 37 For more information, visit www.stratecast.com, dial 877-463-7678, or email [email protected].
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