Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
Programme – Oral Presentations
Wednesday June 10th
08:00-09:00
Registration
09:00-09:15
Welcome
SESSION:
Mean Sea Level Observations and Processes
09:15-9:45
Keynote talk: The time-mean ocean dynamic topography: How well can we measure, model, and understand it?. Chris W.
Hughes
09:45-10:00
The GOCE geoid in support to sea level analysis. Thomas Gruber
10:00-10:15
On the decadal trend of global mean sea level and its implication on ocean heat content change. Lee-Lueng Fu
10:15-10:30
Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget not detectable over the past decade. W. Llovel, J. K. Willis, F.W.
Landerer, I. Fukumori
10:30-10:45
Synchronization of sea level to oceanic and atmospheric forcing. Francisco M. Calafat
10:45-11:00
Annual sea level variability of the coastal ocean: the Baltic Sea-North Sea transition zone. Marcello Passaro, Paolo Cipollini,
Jerome Benveniste
11:00-11:30
Coffee break
11:30-12:00
Keynote talk: Tide gauge reconstructions and the separation of regional and global mean sea level signals. Mark Merrifield,
Phil Thompson, and Svetlana Natarov
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Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
12:00-12:15
A probabilistic reassessment of 20th century global mean sea level. Carling Hay, Eric Morrow, Robert E. Kopp, Jerry X. Mitrovica
12:15-12:30
Considerations for Estimating the 20th Century Trend in Global Mean Sea Level. Philip R. Thompson, Benjamin D. Hamlington
12:30-12:45
Detecting sea level seasonality in the northwestern Pacific. Xiangbo Feng, M. N. Tsimplis, M. Marcos and F. M. Calafat
12:45-13:00
Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change. Aimée B. A. Slangen, John A. Church, Xuebin Zhang,
Didier Monselesan
13:00-13:15
Detecting anthropogenic footprints in sea level rise. Sönke Dangendorf, Marta Marcos, Alfred Müller, Eduardo Zorita, Jürgen
Jensen
13:15-14:30
Lunch break
SESSION:
Special Session on Mediterranean Sea Level
14:30-15:00
Keynote talk: Status and challenges on sea level monitoring and forecasting in the Mediterranean. Begoña Pérez
15:00-15:15
To what extent can Mediterranean sea level evolve differently from global sea level rise?. Gabriel Jordà, Damià Gomis, Marta
Marcos
15:15-15:30
On the connection between the sea level variability in the Mediterranean and in the Black Seas. Denis Volkov, Felix Landerer
15:30-15:45
Meteotsunamis in the Mediterranean Sea: rare but destructive extreme sea level events occurring under specific synoptic
conditions. Ivica Vilibic, Jadranka Sepic
15:45-16:00
Τsunami impact in the European-Mediterranean region from the antiquity up to the present. Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos,
Georgia Diakogianni, Anna Fokaefs, Antonia Papageorgiou, Ioanna Triantafyllou
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Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
16:00-16:15
Evolution of sea level and other variables on the XXI century: a picture derived from Vanimedat II and ESCENARIOS projects.
Enrique Álvarez Fanjul, Damià Gomis, E. Rodríguez-Camino, Marta Marcos, Gabriel Jordà, R. Aznar, J. C. Sánchez-Perrino, A.
Martínez Asensio, J. Llasses, Elena Padorno, Begoña Pérez, M. N. Tsimplis, F.M. Calafat, Samuel Somot, F. Sevault, F. Adloff,
J. M. Rodríguez
16:15-16:30
Future evolution of sea level extremes along the Mediterranean coastline as produced by the superposition of storminess and
sea level rise. Piero Lionello, Dario Conte, Luigi Marzo, Luca Scarascia
16:40-18:00
Coffee break and Poster session
Thursday June 11th
SESSION:
Modelling Sea Level Changes
09:00-09:30
Keynote talk: Modelling historical and future mean sea level change. Jonathan Gregory
09:30-09:45
Long-Term Internal Variability Effects on Centennial Dynamic Sea Level Projections. Mohammad H. Bordbar Thomas Martin,
Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park
09:45-10:00
Interannual Predictability of North Atlantic Sea Level Dynamics. Robert Fraser, Laure Zanna, Chris Wilson
10:00-10:15
Seasonal coastal sea-level prediction using a dynamical model. John A. Church, Peter C. McIntosh, Elaine R. Miles, Ken
Ridgway, Claire M. Spillman
10:15-10:30
Regional Budgets of Sea Level in the ECCO-Production Release 1 Ocean State Estimate. Christopher G. Piecuch, Rui M. Ponte,
Gael Forget, Ichiro Fukumori
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Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
10:30-10:45
Imprints of oceanic intrinsic variability on altimetric measurements: an OGCM study. Guillaume Sérazin, Thierry Penduff, Laurent
Terray, Bernard Barnier, Jean-Marc Molines
10:45-11:00
A near-uniform fluctuation dominating sea level and ocean bottom pressure variations across the Arctic Ocean and the Nordic
Seas. Ichiro Fukumori, Ou Wang, William Llovel, Ian Fenty, Gael Forget
11:00-11:30
Coffee break
11:30-12:00
Keynote talk: Semi-empirical modelling of sea-level change. Stefan Rahmstorf
12:00-12:15
Pacific sea level trends: internally or externally forced?. Felix Landerer
12:15-12:30
Spatial scales and the detection of externally forced signals in regional sea surface height in CMIP5 models. Kristin Richter, Ben
Marzeion
12:30-12:45
Worst-case scenarios for sea level rise from ice sheet melt. Carmen Boening, Nicole Schlegel, Michael Schodlok, Daniel
Limonadi, Eric Larour, Michael M. Watkins
12:45-13:00
Asymmetry in regional sea level rise projections due to skewed ice sheet contributions. Renske de Winter, Thomas Reerink and
Roderik van de Wal
13:00-14:00
Lunch break
SESSION:
Sea Level Extremes
14:00-14:30
Keynote talk: Sea level variability: from surface gravity waves to mean sea level. Charitha Pattiaratchi
14:30-14:45
Nineteenth Century Sea-level and Extremes on the US East and West Coast. Stefan Talke, David Jay, Patrick Lau, Conrad
Hilley, Lumas Helaire, Drew Mahedy, Ramin Familkhalili
4
Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
14:45-15:00
Storm surge clustering and spatial footprints: How extreme was the 2013-2014 UK storm surge season?. Ivan D. Haigh, Matthew
P. Wadey, Shari L. Gallop, Robert J. Nicholls
15:00-15:15
Regional climate variability in extreme sea levels from satellite altimetry observations over two decades. Melisa Menendez, Philip
L. Woodworth
15:15-15:30
Time varying trends in sea level extremes. Marta Marcos, Francisco M. Calafat, Angel Berihuete, Sönke Dangendorf
15:30-15:45
Cyclone Xaver seen by Geodetic Observations. Leonor Mendoza, Luciana Fenoglio-Marc, Remko Scharroo, Alessandro
Annunziato, Matthias Becker, John Lillibridge
15:45-16:00
Future storm surge levels - the example of Denmark. Kristine S. Madsen, Torben Schmith, Tian Tian
16:00-16:10
The ECRA Collaborative Programme on the Regional Aspects of Sea Level Change. Gianmaria Sannino
16:10-18:00
Coffee break and Poster session
Friday June 12th
SESSION:
Sea Level Extremes
09:00-09:15
Meteorological Tsunamis In The World Oceans: An Overview. Alexander Rabinovich
09:15-09:30
The impact of sea level rise on storm surge water levels and wind waves. Arne Arns, Jürgen Jensen
09:30-09:45
Atmospheric Circulation Changes and their Impact on Extreme Sea Levels and Coastal Currents in Australia. Kathleen L.
McInnes, Frank Colberg, Julian O’Grady
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Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
09:45-10:00
Global Secular Changes in different Tidal High Water, Low Water and Range levels. Robert J. Mawdsley, Ivan D. Haigh,N.C.
Wells
SESSION:
Coastal Impacts of Sea Level Changes
10:00-10:30
Keynote talk: What are the challenges facing quantifying impacts and adapting to global sea-level rise?. Sally Brown
10:30-10:45
Evaluating uncertainties in future coastal flooding occurrence as sea-level rises. Gonéri Le Cozannet, Jeremy Rohmer, Anny
Cazenave, Déborah Idiera, Roderik Van de Wal, Renske de Winter, Rodrigo Pedreros, Yann Balouin, Charlotte Vinchon, Carlos
Oliveros
10:45-11:00
Effects of scale and input data on assessing the future impacts of coastal flooding. An application of DIVA for the EmiliaRomagna coast. Claudia Wolff, Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Daniel Lincke, Christian Marasmi, Jochen Hinkel
11:00-11:30 Coffee break
11:30-11:45 An assessment of extreme sea levels, waves and coastal flooding in the Maldives. Matthew Wadey, Ivan Haigh, Sally Brown,
Robert Nicholls
11:45-12:00 Land subsidence and sea level rise at Lipari island (Italy): implications for flooding scenario. Anzidei Marco, Bosman Alessandro,
Carluccio Roberto, Carmisciano Cosmo, Casalbore Daniele, Chiappini Massimo, Chiocci Francesco Latino, D’Ajello Caracciolo
Francesca, Esposito Alessandra, Fabris Massimo, Muccini Filippo, Nicolosi Iacopo, Pietrantonio Grazia, Sepe Vincenzo, Vecchio
Antonio
12:00-14:00 Lunch break and Poster session
SESSION:
Vertical Land Movements
14:00-14:30
Keynote talk: Considering vertical land motion in understanding sea level change. Guy Woppelmann
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Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change
Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015
14:30-14:45
Combination Results of the Tide Gauge Benchmark Monitoring (TIGA) Analysis Centre Re-processing Products. Addisu
Hunegnaw, Norman Teferle
14:45-15:00
Models of land uplift in northern Europe. Holger Steffen
15:00-15:15
Relative sea level history during the Holocene and models of the glacial isostatic adjustment process: constraints from the
regions of forebulge collapse. Keven Roy, W.R. Peltier
SESSION:
Paleo Sea Level
15:15-15:45
Keynote talk: Sea-level changes during past centuries reconstructed from salt-marsh sediments. Roland Gehrels
15:45-16:00
Holocene relative sea level changes in the Baltic Sea basin: syntheses of geological and archaeological data. Alar Rosentau
16:00-16:15
Sea-level changes in the western Mediterranean during the last 12,000 years: a tool to better constrain the future projection of
sea-level rise. Matteo Vacchi, Nick Marriner, Christophe Morhange, Giorgio Spada, Alessandro Fontana, Alessio Rovere
16:15-16:30
Late Holocene sea-level change in the Falkland Islands: testing the Greenland melt hypothesis. Newton, T. L., Gehrels, W. R.,
Daley, T.J., Blake, W.
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