Living Apart, Advancing Together: Noncohabiting Couples and the Gender Gap on the Tenure Track Marta Murray-Close∗ March 20, 2015 Abstract A large empirical literature finds that family migration decisions tend to benefit husbands at the expense of wives and that this gender asymmetry is most pronounced among couples with traditional gender-role preferences. Against this backdrop, a smaller qualitative literature focused on dual-career couples finds that living apart from a spouse or partner, as a means of avoiding the tradeoff between spouses’ careers, is especially beneficial to women. This paper uses data from an original survey of new PhD economists to provide the first quantitative evidence of gender asymmetry in the causes and consequences of noncohabitation. I find that living apart from a spouse or partner predicts tenure-track employment more strongly for women than men in the first year after graduate school and that PhDs with nontraditional gender-role preferences are more likely than other PhDs to live apart. 1 Introduction For men with tenure-track aspirations, marriage is conducive to professional success; for women, it may be an obstacle. Observers of academic labor markets have speculated that marriage harms the careers of PhD women because it constrains them to live in areas where their partners can find suitable employment. In keeping with this observation, a small qualitative literature has found that the couples who live apart view career growth for women as a key benefit of the arrangement. This paper uses data from an original survey of new PhD economists to assess the contribution of noncohabitation to gender equality on the tenure track. Studies of work-family conflict in academia has found that the conflict is more severe for women than for men (Mason and Goulden, 2002, 2004; Wolfinger et al., 2008, 2009; Mason et al., 2009; Goulden et al., 2011). While children are the most important source of work-family conflict, marriage is also a source. Marriage disadvantages women, relative to men, in the competition for tenure-track jobs (Wolfinger ∗ Department of Economics, University of Massachuetts Amherst, [email protected]. 1 et al., 2008), and it increases the probability that women leave the labor force (Wolfinger et al., 2009). Marriage also reduces the probability that women achieve tenure relative to the probability that men do (Ginther and Kahn, 2004). The negative impact of marriage on the career advancement of PhD women may reflect their special vulnerability to dual-career location problems (Kulis and Sicotte, 2002). Given the cultural norm of hypergamy, or women marrying up, women with PhDs are more likely than men with PhDs to have partners whose credentials and career commitment equal or exceed their own (Shauman and Xie, 1996; Astin and Milem, 1997; Schiebinger et al., 2008; McFall and Murray-Close, 2011). The greater tendency of PhD women to have partners with PhDs is especially pronounced in fields where women are underrepresented (Astin and Milem, 1997; Schiebinger et al., 2008). In addition, PhD women may be less likely than PhD men to prioritize their own careers over the careers of their partners, even when they are similarly situated professionally (Schiebinger et al., 2008). More broadly, previous research on the location choices of couples has produced substantial evidence of gender asymmetry in the determinants and consequences of family migration. When choosing a shared location, heterosexual couples appear to prioritize the employment opportunities of men over those of women (Shihadeh, 1991; Bielby and Bielby, 1992; Compton and Pollak, 2007; McKinnish, 2008; Shauman, 2010), and moves undertaken by couples tend to harm the employment prospects of women (Spitze, 1984; Shihadeh, 1991; Boyle et al., 2001; Cooke, 2001; Boyle et al., 2003; Cooke, 2003; Shauman and Noonan, 2007; McKinnish, 2008; Cooke et al., 2009). The tendency of heterosexual couples to prioritize the opportunities of men is evident even in the select group of academic and half-academic couples (Schiebinger et al., 2008). The standard economic model of family migration suggests that husband-centered decision making reflects the superior labor-market position of men (Mincer, 1978). Specifically, this model assumes that couples maximize their joint utility and that it is therefore rational for them to accept economic losses to one partner – usually the wife – when there are offsetting gains to the other. Recently, several studies have challenged this assumption, pointing to evidence that gender ideology mediates the responses of couples to the economic opportunities of husbands and wives. These studies report that husband-centered decision making is stronger among couples who endorse gendered family roles (Bielby and Bielby, 1992; Cooke, 2008) and those with less egalitarian divisions of household chores (Jurges, 2006). In light of this findings, one might expect PhD women to fare better professionally when they live apart from their partners. One might also expect gender traditionalism to deter couples from living apart. In fact, there is some empirical evidence to support the first expectation: the sole quantitative study that combined a measure of living arrangements with a measure of career outcomes for academic couples found that geographic distance from a spouse or partner increased research productivity for women but decreased it for men (Bellas, 1997). With respect to the second ex2 pectation, the authors of some qualitative studies of noncohabitation attribute its rise in the late 1970s to evolving gender roles and a growing commitment to equality between husbands and wives within marriage (Gerstel and Gross, 1982). This paper uses a unique non-convenience sample of PhDs identifying couples who live apart to answer the following questions about noncohabitation: First, does noncohabitation mitigate the gender gap in tenure-track employment in the first year after graduate school? Second, does gender-nontraditionalism encourage living apart, net of other personal and professional characteristics? I find that the answer to both question is yes. Living apart is associated with a statistically and substantively significant increase in the probability of tenure-track employment for women but little to no increase in the probability if tenure-track employment for men. Moreover, PhDs who believe that traditional family roles benefit children and those with a traditional division of household chores are statistically less likely to live apart. These results suggest that, among PhD and half-PhD couples, nontraditional gender ideology may facilitate nontraditional living arrangements that support women’s career advancement. 2 Quantitative data on couples who live apart This paper uses data from the Job Seekers Project, a longitudinal data collection project tracking the personal and professional trajectories of recent entrants to US junior PhD job market in economics. The Job Seekers Project combines information from publicly accessible academic and professional websites with data from a series of web-based surveys to create a detailed dataset for studying the work-family tradeoffs facing early-career PhDs. This paper represents the experiences of PhDs who entered the economics job market as new job candidates during the 2008-09 and 2009-10 academic years. 2.1 Overview of the economics job market The economics job market is highly structured and fairly transparent. Employers who wish to hire new PhDs during a given academic year post most of their job advertisements to a website maintained by the American Economic Association (AEA) between September and December of that year. During those same months, new job candidates post their names, contact information, and CVs to publicly accessible job-candidate websites maintained by their graduate programs, and they submit application packets in response to relevant job advertisements. Most first-round job interviews take place at the Annual Meeting of the AEA in early January. Campus visits begin almost immediately after the conference and are largely complete by the end of March. Most job candidates know the outcome of their job search by the end of April. The Job Seekers Project exploited these features of the economics job market to compile a list sample of new job candidates in 2008-09 and 2009-10, to 3 obtain detailed information about the academic and professional backgrounds of the job candidates, and to field web-based surveys near the beginning and after the end of their first stint on the job market. 2.2 Sampling frame: Postings on job-candidate websites Graduate programs launching new job candidates to the economics job market maintain publicly accessible job-candidate websites on which the job candidates post their names, contact information, and CVs. The programs update these websites each fall, near the beginning of the job-market season. To facilitate access to information about new job candidates, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) posts to their own website (http://www.nber.org/candidates) a list of links to the job-candidate websites of the graduate programs. In December 2008, the Job Seekers Project visited the website of the NBER and followed each link to a job-candidate website of a graduate program located in the United States or Canada. In December 2009, we expanded the sampling frame to include graduate programs located in Europe. At each job-candidate website, we recorded the names and contact information of all listed job candidates. The public posting of job-candidate information by graduate programs is nearly universal in economics. Consequently, we believe the Job Seekers sample includes nearly all of the new job candidates who expected to participate in first-round job interviews at the Annual Meeting of the AEA in January 2009 and 2010. 2.3 Publicly posted data We used information from the job-candidate websites to code several demographic and academic characteristics of the PhDs in our sample. We coded the PhDs as male or female using their first names and, when available, the pictures they had posted of themselves on the websites. To determine the gender most commonly associated with each first name, we used an online resource called Baby Name Guesser (http://www.gpeters.com/names/baby-names.php). Our coding of gender based on this publicly available information matches the self-reported gender of 99 percent of the PhDs who completed one or both surveys. We coded PhDs as having earned their undergraduate degrees in the United States, in Asia, or elsewhere using the educational histories on their CVs. We also used information from the CVs to create indicator variables for having experience as a teaching assistant and having published a journal article. We coded PhDs as having published a journal article if their CV listed a publication in one of the 442 journals included in the 2006 Keele University rankings of economics journals. To characterize the graduate programs from which the PhDs had entered the job market, we created indicator variables for entering from a program in economics, rather than a related field such as business or public policy, and for entering from a program in the United States. Finally, we used the 2009 US News and World Report rankings of graduate 4 programs in economics to classify the programs from which the PhDs had entered the job market as ranked 1-10, ranked 11-30, ranked 31-50, or unranked. 2.4 Web-based surveys We obtained information about the job-market outcomes, personal circumstances, and gender-role preferences of the PhDs in our sample using two web-based surveys. The first survey, a pre-market survey, was fielded in late December, just before the Annual Meeting of the AEA. At the time of the pre-market survey, most job candidates knew whether and with whom they would have first-round job interviews at the conference, but they did not know what would happen in the later stages of their job search. The second survey, a post-market survey, was fielded after the job-market season had ended. The timing of the post-market survey varied slightly across cohorts. We fielded it to the cohort who entered the job market during the 2008-09 academic year in November 2009 and to the cohort who entered during the 2009-10 academic year in August 2010. At the time of the post-market survey, most job candidates knew whether and where they would be working the following year. 2.5 Respondent selectivity The sampling procedures described above produced a sample of 1876 PhDs who entered the U.S. job market in economics in 2008 or 2009. We obtained CVs for 97 percent of those PhDs, pre-market survey responses for 48 percent, post-market survey responses for 33 percent, and both pre- and post-market survey responses for 25 percent. These response rates are comparable to the response rates of typical web-based surveys (Cook et al., 2000). Nevertheless, given that a majority of eligible PhDs did not complete the surveys, the potential for nonresponse bias is a concern. To assess the representativeness of the survey respondents with respect to the population of PhDs entering the job market, I compare the groups using the demographic and academic variables coded from the publicly posted data. These variables are available for a large majority of the population, including PhDs who did not respond to either survey. The first two columns of Table 1 present means of key demographic and academic variables for two samples of PhDs: a “CV sample” comprising the 91 percent of PhDs whose job-market CVs and other publicly posted job-market materials allowed us to code all of the variables in the table, and the subset of the CV sample who responded to the post-market survey. On most of the measures in Table 1, the PhDs who responded to the post-market survey are comparable to the full CV sample; the distributions of gender, field of PhD program, location of PhD program, ranking of PhD program, publishing experience, and teaching experience do not differ substantially between the two samples. In contrast, PhDs who earned their undergraduate degrees in the United States are overrepresented in the sample of post-market respondents, and those who earned their undergraduate degrees in Asia are underrepresented. This response pattern mirrors 5 Table 1: Respondent selectivity: Variable means from publicly-posted job-market materials and post-market survey data. Female PhD in economics PhD from US PhD ranking: 1-10 PhD ranking: 11-30 PhD ranking: 31-50 PhD ranking: Unranked Publication TA experience Undergrad location: US Undergrad location: Asia Undergrad location: Other N PhDs with complete public postings Post-market respondents, unweighted Post-market respondents, weighted 0.312 0.908 0.898 0.277 0.250 0.183 0.290 0.129 0.950 0.358 0.330 0.312 1702 0.300 0.923 0.923 0.298 0.265 0.195 0.242 0.120 0.949 0.491 0.185 0.324 574 0.313 0.918 0.908 0.290 0.240 0.196 0.273 0.106 0.953 0.375 0.319 0.306 574 Notes: The first column presents variable means for the sample of PhDs whose publicly posted jobmarket materials allowed us to assign values for all of the variables in the table. This public-posting sample covers 91 percent of the PhDs in the 2008-09 and 2009-10 job-market cohorts. The second column presents variable means for the subset of PhDs in the public-posting sample who completed the post-market survey. The third column presents variable means for the subset of PhDs in the public-posting sample who completed the post-market survey, weighted to correct for nonresponse bias. the pattern in previous surveys of the economics job market, which have obtained higher response rates from United States citizens (Siegfried and Stock, 1999, 2004). To correct for differential nonresponse based on the observable characteristic of PhDs, I use variables from the publicly posted data to construct nonresponse weights for survey respondents. Specifically, the nonresponse weight for each respondent is the inverse of the response rate in the respondent’s propensity cell, where propensity cells are deciles in the distribution of predicted response probabilities from a logistic regression. To minimize any negative impact of nonresponse weighting on the precision of my estimates, I selected for the logistic regression variables that were related not just to the probability of response but also to the values of key survey outcomes in our analyses (Little and Vartivarian, 2005). These variables included gender, year of undergraduate degree, location of undergraduate institution, location of PhD program, ranking of PhD program, research fields, possession of advanced degrees from outside the PhD program, job-market cohort, and availability of job-market CV. The third column of Table 1 presents weighted means of the same demographic and academic variables as the first two columns. Notably, the weighted proportions 6 of PhDs from the United States and Asia are very close to the proportions in the full CV sample. In the remainder of the paper, all estimates of population parameters have been adjusted for survey nonresponse. 2.6 Variables from survey data The variables of primary interest in this paper are derived from responses to the preand post-market surveys. The structure and wording of the survey questions used to construct some of these variables changed between 2008-09 and 2009-10. In the presentation that follows, I describe the construction of the variables using questions from the 2009-10 surveys. When the questions from the 2008-09 surveys are different, I present those questions in the data appendix. 2.6.1 Tenure-track status I classify PhDs as on the tenure track if they reported at the time of the post-market survey that the outcome of their job search was a tenure-track position at a college or university. 2.6.2 Relationship status I classify PhDs as partnered if they were in a relationship in November of the academic year they entered the job market, were in a relationship with the same person at the time of the post-market survey, and expected at that time to remain in the relationship through March of the following academic year. I classify them as single if they were not in a relationship in November of the academic year they entered the job market. These classification rules group PhDs who entered a relationship after the jobmarket season began with single PhDs on the grounds that those in very new relationships were unlikely to make high-stakes decisions about where to live and work jointly with their partner. The classification rules exclude from both the partnered and single groups PhDs who were in a relationship when the job-market season began but broke up with their partner by the time of the post-market survey or expected to break up by March of the following academic year. I exclude these PhDs from the single group because they may have entered the job market in longstanding relationships and, consequently, may have made high-stakes decisions jointly with their partner. I exclude them from the partnered group because, as explained below, I cannot classify their post-market living arrangement as either living with their partner or living apart. While the precise threshhold dates used to classify PhDs as partnered or single are somewhat arbitrary, these choices affect only a small minority of PhDs because most reported stable personal circumstances. Of PhDs who were in a relationship at the time of the post-market survey, 95 percent had been in a relationship with the same person in November of the academic year they entered the job market. Of those who 7 were in a relationship in November of the academic year they entered the job market, 95 percent were in a relationship with the same person at the time of the post-market survey, and 94 percent expected at that time to remain in the relationship through March of the following academic year. 2.6.3 Post-market living arrangement To determine whether partnered PhDs expected to live with their partner during their first year at their new job, the post-market survey asked the following: On a scale from 0 to 100 where “0” means “absolutely no chance” and “100” means “absolutely sure to happen,” what do you think is the percent chance that you and your husband/wife/significant other will be in the following situations next March? Still in your relationship and living in the same area (i.e., sharing your primary residence or living close enough to each other that you could see each other after work on weeknights). Still in your relationship and living in different areas. No longer in your relationship. PhDs provided their subjective probability of experiencing each outcome. I classify PhDs as expecting to live with their partner if they believed that living in the same area was the most likely outcome of their relationship; I classify them as expecting to live apart if they believed that living in different areas was the most likely outcome. I do not classify the post-market living arrangements of PhDs who believed that breaking up was the most likely outcome of their relationship. 2.6.4 Family circumstances I classify PhDs as parents if they had at least one child by the time of the post-market survey. I classify partnered PhDs as married if they were married to their partner by the time of the post-market survey. The pre- and post-market surveys asked partnered PhDs what level of education their partner had completed and, if the partner was in school, what level of education he or she was pursuing. Response options were a high school degree or less, an associate degree, a bachelor’s degree, a master’s degree, a professional degree, or a PhD. Because few PhDs had partners with less than a bachelor’s degree, I group partners in the bottom three categories together. Similarly, because few PhDs had partners with a professional degree, I group partners with professional and master’s degrees together. 8 2.6.5 Gender-role preferences I employ two measures of gender-role preferences: attitudes toward the traditional breadwinner-caretaker model of the family and, for members of cohabiting differentsex couples, the proportion of household chores performed by the woman. As discussed above, previous research using similar attitudinal and behavioral measures has found that the migration behavior of couples identified as traditional is less responsive than the behavior of couples identified as egalitarian to the employment opportunities of women (Bielby and Bielby, 1992; Jurges, 2006; Cooke, 2008). To assess attitudes toward the traditional family, the pre-market survey asked the following: In many heterosexual couples, women take the main responsibility for the care of the home and children, while men take the main responsibility for supporting the family financially. Do you think this arrangement benefits or hurts men, women and children? For each class of family members (first men, then women, then children), PhDs selected one of the following response options: “benefits,” “hurts,” or “neither benefits nor hurts.” I use responses to this question to construct three measures of gender-role preferences. Specifically, I identify PhDs as traditional with respect to each class of family members if they said the traditional family benefits that class. To determine how household chores were allocated between cohabiting differentsex partners, the pre-market survey asked the following: We are interested in the time you spend doing regular work around the house – for example, cooking, grocery shopping, and doing little repairs. In a typical week, what percentage of this work do you do, and what percentage does you husband/wife/significant other do? I define the division of household chores as nontraditional if the woman did less than half of the chores. A potential concern for studies estimating the effect of gender-role preferences on family migration decisions is the possibility that the preferences are endogenous to the decisions. Jurges (2006) uses a behavioral measure of gender-role preferences, the division of household chores on Sunday, in part because he worries that attitudinal measures are endogenous: couples may report traditional or egalitarian attitudes to rationalize traditional or egalitarian migration decisions and the resulting employment outcomes for husbands and wives. But behavioral measures may also be endogenous if couples adjust their division of household chores when they migrate. While the measures of gender-role preferences from the Job Seekers Project cannot eliminate all concern about endogeneity, they have a unique advantage in this regard: the data I use to construct the measures were gathered at the beginning of the job-market season, before PhDs knew what job offers they would receive and before most could 9 form strong expectations about whether they would live together or apart from their partner the following year. 2.7 Estimation samples This paper uses data from 516 PhDs who entered the job market during the 2008-09 and 2009-10 academic years and for whom we obtained all of the publicly posted and survey data required to construct the variables used in the analyses below. I summarize the tenure-track status of all of these PhDs. I then estimate a series of regression models for the group of primary interest: partnered PhDs. The estimation sample for the first two regression models, which examine the interaction between gender and noncohabitation in predicting tenure-track employment, includes all 368 partnered PhDs. The estimation samples for the third and fourth regression models, which examine the association between gender-role preferences and noncohabitation, are smaller because the survey data used to construct the measures of gender-role preferences are available for only a subset of partnered PhDs. In particular, attitudes toward the traditional family are available for the 138 PhDs who entered the job market during the 2008-09 academic year. Information about the division of household chores is available for the 235 PhDs who lived with a different-sex partner at the time of the pre-market survey. 3 Does noncohabitation benefit women more than men? Descriptive results from the Job Seekers Project are consistent with the idea that personal relationships are more compatible with tenure-track employment for men than for women. Table 2 shows the proportion of single and partnered men and women who secured tenure-track jobs as a result of their first job search. Among single PhDs, whose choices on the job market were not constrained by concern for a partner, women were as likely as men to secure tenure-track jobs: 48 percent of single men and 49 percent of single women were on the tenure track at the time of the postmarket survey. Among partnered PhDs, on the other hand, a gender gap emerges. While both partnered men and partnered women were more likely than their single counterparts to secure tenure-track jobs, women were 11 percentage points less likely than men to do so: 62 percent of partnered men but just 51 percent of partnered women were on the tenure track. The results in Table 2 are also consistent with the idea that geographic concerns contribute to the gender gap in tenure-track employment among partnered PhDs. Among PhDs who expected to live with their partner in the year after the job market, and whose job choices were therefore subject to co-location constraints, women were 13 percentage points less likely than men to secure tenure-track jobs: 61 percent of men but just 47 percent of women were on the tenure track. In contrast, among PhDs who expected to live apart from their partner, women were 7 percentage points more 10 Table 2: Proportion securing tenure-track job. Men Women Proportion N Proportion N 0.476 0.621 0.606 0.688 90 267 221 46 0.489 0.512 0.473 0.756 58 101 87 14 Single Partnered Expected to live together Expected to live apart Notes: Columns 2 and 4 show the total number of PhDs in each gender-partnership category. Proportions are adjusted for survey nonresponse. likely than men to secure tenure-track jobs: 76 percent of women but just 67 percent of men were on the tenure track. Taken together, the results in Table 2 are suggestive evidence that cohabiting relationships harm the tenure-track prospects of women relative to men and that, against this backdrop, noncohabitation benefits women more than men. The gender comparisons in the table, however, do not account for personal and professional characteristics that may differ between men and women and may condition the association between living arrangements and the probability of tenure-track employment. To see why this omission may bias our conclusions about the role of gender in family decision making, suppose that women are less competitive than men as job candidates and must therefore be more flexible about where they live to secure tenure-track jobs. Or suppose that women are more likely than men to have partners with PhDs and are therefore more likely to face binding co-location constraints if they cohabit. Under these circumstances, noncohabitation would predict tenure-track employment more strongly for women than for men, but the result would be due to gender differences in the economic benefits of noncohabitation rather than to gender bias in family decision making. Table 3 shows means of the academic background variables from the publicly posted data and the family-related variables from the survey data, separately for men and women in the full sample of partnered PhDs. With regard to academic credentials, women appear less competitive than men in some respects and more competitive in others. On the one hand, women were less likely than men to have graduated from a PhD program ranked in the top 30 and more likely to have graduated from a program ranked in the bottom 20. On the other hand, they were more likely to have entered the job market with a publication and to have gained experience as a teaching assistant during graduate school. Turning to family circumstances, there are two reasons to believe that women would gain more from noncohabitation than men even if family location decisions treated them equally. First, women were indeed more likely than men to have partners with PhDs, which would tend to increase their relative benefits from noncohabitation. Second, women were less likely than men to 11 Table 3: Means of academic and family variables. PhD in economics PhD from US PhD ranking: 1-10 PhD ranking: 11-30 PhD ranking: 31-50 PhD ranking: Unranked Publication TA experience Undergrad location: US Undergrad location: Asia Undergrad location: Other Married to partner Parent Partner education: Bachelor’s or less Partner education: Master’s or professional Partner education: PhD N Men Women 0.896 0.919 0.344 0.259 0.146 0.251 0.111 0.945 0.447 0.206 0.347 0.746 0.324 0.241 0.439 0.320 267 0.929 0.908 0.279 0.222 0.242 0.256 0.144 0.985 0.391 0.372 0.236 0.714 0.202 0.189 0.258 0.553 101 Notes: Sample is partnered PhDs. Means are adjusted for survey nonresponse. have children, which would tend to reduce their relative costs. To determine whether noncohabitation predicts tenure-track employment more strongly for women than for men, net of gender differences in academic credentials, I estimate a logit model, ln [Pr(T Ti = 1)/Pr(T Ti = 0)] = α0 + α1 N oncohabi + α2 F emalei + α3 F emalei × N oncohabi + Academici α4 , (1) where T Ti is an indicator for tenure-track employment, N oncohabi is an indicator for expecting to live apart from a partner in the year after the job market, and F emalei is an indicator for female gender. The vector Academici contains the academic background variables from the publicly posted data, as summarized in Table 3: field, location, and ranking of PhD program; publishing and teaching experience at the time of job-market entry; and location of undergraduate institution. To control for possible changes in response patterns due to changes in the structure and wording of survey questions over time, Academici also contains an indicator for entering the job market in 2009-10 rather than 2008-09. To determine whether gender differences in family circumstances account for any difference in the relationship between noncohabitation and tenure-track employment that remains after accounting for gender differences academic credentials, I estimate 12 a second logit model, ln [Pr(T Ti = 1)/Pr(T Ti = 0)] = α0 + α1 N oncohabi + α2 F emalei + α3 F emalei × N oncohabi + Academici α4 + F amilyi α5 + F emalei × F amilyi α5 (2) that adds the family-related variables from the survey data. Specifically, the vector F amilyi contains an indicator for being married, an indicator for having children, and indicators for having a partner with a master’s or professional degree and having a partner with a PhD. The omitted category for partner education is a bachelor’s degree or less. To allow for the possibility that family circumstances affect the probability of tenure-track employment differently for women than for men, the second logit model also includes an interaction of each family-related variable with gender. I estimate models (1) and (2) on the full sample of partnered PhDs. I then use the resulting coefficients to estimate the average marginal effects of gender, noncohabitation, and family circumstances on the probability of tenure-track employment, separately for partnered men and partnered women. Table 4 shows these average marginal effects. The first and second columns of Table 4 show the average marginal effects from model (1), for men and women respectively. Comparing the results in these columns with the descriptive results in Table 2, we find that controlling for academic credentials has little impact on the relationship between gender, noncohabitation, and tenure-track employment. The raw proportions in Table 2 suggest that noncohabitation increases the probability of securing a tenure-track job by 28 percentage points for women and 8 percentage points for men. The estimates from model (1) suggest that the comparable effects, net of gender differences in academic credentials, are 25 percentage points for women and 6 percentage points for men. The third and fourth columns of Table 4 show the average marginal effects from model (2). With respect to the relationship between gender, noncohabitation, and tenure-track employment, the results in these columns are almost identical to the results in the first and second columns. Net of gender differences in both academic credentials and family circumstances, noncohabitation increases the probability of tenure-track employment by 24 percentage points for women and 5 percentage points for men. Taken together, the results in Table 4 indicate that neither gender differences in publicly posted academic credentials nor gender differences in measured family circumstances explain why noncohabitation predicts tenure-track employment more strongly for women than for men. While family circumstances do not appear to mediate the relationship between noncohabitation and tenure-track employment for partnered men and women, the estimates from models (1) and (2) suggest that personal relationships have a direct effect on the probability of tenure-track employment and that this effect differs by gender. Consistent with previous findings that marriage is improves the professional standing of PhD men relative to PhD women, the results in third and fourth columns 13 Table 4: Average marginal effects on probability of tenure-track employment. Variable Expected to live apart Female Academic Men Women Men Women 0.055 (0.079) −0.087 (0.062) 0.254∗ (0.154) −0.097 (0.062) 368 267 368 101 0.051 (0.087) −0.096 (0.067) 0.137∗ (0.078) −0.060 (0.074) 0.151∗ (0.079) 0.258∗∗ (0.085) 368 267 0.242 (0.158) −0.127∗∗ (0.061) −0.023 (0.121) 0.058 (0.144) −0.297∗∗ (0.147) −0.160 (0.123) 368 101 Married to partner Parent Partner education: Master’s or professional Partner education: PhD N for coefficients N for marginal effects Academic + family Notes: Standard errors in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.10, ∗∗ p < 0.05. Logit models (1) and (2) were estimated on the sample of partnered PhDs. Average marginal effects were estimated on the subsamples of men and women using coefficients from these models. The dependent variable in both models is an indicator for tenure-track employment. The omitted category for partner education is “bachelor’s or less.” Both models includes controls for field, location, and ranking of PhD program; publishing and teaching experience at the time of job-market entry; location of undergraduate institution; and year of job-market entry. Both also include an interaction of expected living arrangement with gender. The second model includes an interaction of each family-related variable with gender. Estimates are weighted to adjust for survey nonresponse. 14 of Table 4 indicate that married men are 14 percentage points more likely than men with unmarried partners to secure a tenure-track job. Married women on the other hand, are no more likely than women with unmarried partners to secure a tenure-track job. A similar pattern is evident in the relationship between partner education and tenure-track employment: having a partner with a graduate degree increases the probability of tenure-track employment for men but decreases it for women. Compared with men whose partners have a bachelor’s degree or less, men whose partners have a master’s or professional degree are 15 percentage points more likely to secure a tenure-track job, and men whose partners have a PhD are 26 percentage points more likely to do. In contrast, compared with women whose partners have a bachelor’s degree or less, women whose partners have a master’s or professional degree are 30 percentage points less likely to secure a tenure-track job, and women whose partners have a PhD are 16 percentage points less likely to do so. 4 Does gender-nontraditionalism predict noncohabitation? Given that the consequences of noncohabitation differ by gender, do the causes also differ? In particular, are PhDs who express nontraditional gender-role preferences – preferences that may lead them to place greater weight on women’s career opportunities – more likely than other PhDs to live apart from their partner? Table 5 shows the proportion of PhDs who expected to live apart from their partner in the year after the job market. The first column of the table shows the proportion who expected to live apart among PhDs who reported a traditional division of household chores, with the woman performing half or more of the chores, and who viewed the traditional family as beneficial to its members. The third column shows the proportion who expected to live apart among PhDs who reported a nontraditional division of household chores and who did not view the traditional family as beneficial. The results in Table 5 are largely consistent with the idea that nontraditional gender-role preferences facilitate noncohabitation. Among PhDs who adopted a traditional division of household chores, 9 percent expected to live apart from their partner in the year after the job market; among those who said the traditional family benefits women, 4 percent expected to live apart; and among those who said the traditional family benefits children, 2 percent expected to live apart. The comparable figures for PhDs who were nontraditional by these measures were much higher, at 17 percent, 20 percent, and 23 percent. The sole measure by which traditional PhDs were more likely than nontraditional PhDs to expect to live apart was viewing the traditional family as beneficial to men. Among PhDs who endorsed this view, 23 percent expected to live apart from their partner in the year after the job market; among those who did not, just 15 percent expected to live apart. While the results in Table 5 show a positive relationship between nontraditional gender-role preferences and expectations of noncohabitation, the meaning of this re15 Table 5: Proportion expecting to live apart from partner. Measure of gender-role preferences Traditional Proportion Woman did less than half of chores Said traditional family benefits men Said traditional family benefits women Said traditional family benefits children 0.093 0.231 0.038 0.019 N 187 50 16 29 Nontraditional Proportion 0.165 0.149 0.200 0.231 N 48 86 120 107 Notes: Sample for the first measure is partnered PhDs who lived with a different-sex partner at the time of the pre-market survey. Sample for the remaining three measures is partnered PhDs who entered the job market during the 2008-09 academic year. “Nontraditional” refers to members of couples in which the woman did less than half of the household chores and to PhDs who did not view the traditional breadwinner-caretaker family as beneficial to its members. Columns 2 and 4 show the total number of PhDs categorized as traditional and nontraditional by each measure. lationship is not clear. In particular, we cannot determine from the raw proportions in the table whether preferences have a direct effect on expectations or whether they appear to have an effect because they are correlated with other characteristics of PhDs or their partners that have an effect. To determine whether the relationship between nontraditional gender-role preferences and expectations of noncohabitation persists after accounting for measurable differences between PhDs in academic credentials and family circumstances, I estimate two additional logit models. The first model, ln [Pr(N oncohabi = 1)/Pr(N oncohabi = 0)] = α0 + α1 N ontradChoresi + α2 F emalei + Academici α3 + F amilyi α4 , (3) regresses N oncohabi , the indicator for expecting to live apart, on N ontradChoresi , an indicator that equals one for members of different-sex cohabiting couples in which the woman did less than half of the household chores and zero for members of such coupes in which the woman did half or more of the chores. The second model, ln [Pr(N oncohabi = 1)/Pr(N oncohabi = 0)] = α0 + N ontradAtti α1 + α2 F emalei + Academici α3 + F amilyi α4 , (4) regresses N oncohabi on N ontradAtti , a vector of three indicators identifying PhDs who viewed the traditional family as beneficial to men, women, and children. Both models include an indicator for female gender and, with two exceptions, controls for the academic background variables and family-related variable from model (2). The exceptions are as follows: Model (3) excludes teaching experience because it perfectly predicts living apart. Model (4) excludes year of job-market entry because the estimation sample is limited to PhDs who entered the job market during the 2008-09 academic year. 16 Table 6: Average marginal effects on probability of expecting to live apart. Measure of gender-role preferences Marginal effect Woman did less than half of chores 0.118∗ (0.068) Said traditional family benefits men Said traditional family benefits women Said traditional family benefits children N 235 ∗ Marginal effect 0.112 (0.076) 0.035 (0.131) −0.226∗∗ (0.047) 136 ∗∗ Notes: Standard errors in parentheses. p < 0.10, p < 0.05. Logit models (3) and (4) were estimated on the samples described in the notes to Table 5. The dependent variable in both models is an indicator for expecting to live apart in the year after the job market. The omitted category for partner education is “bachelor’s or less.” Both models includes controls for field, location, and ranking of PhD program; publishing experience; gender; marital status, parental status; and partner education. The first model includes a control for year of job-market entry. The second model includes a control for teaching experience at the time of job-market entry. Estimates are weighted to adjust for survey nonresponse. Table 6 shows average marginal effects of the measures of gender-role preferences in models (3) and (4). With respect to two of the four measures, the results in Table 6 tell the same story as the descriptive results in Table 5: members of couples with a nontraditional division of household chores are 12 percentage points more likely than their traditional peers to expect to live apart from their partner in the year after the job market, and PhDs who believe the traditional family benefits children are 23 percentage points less likely to expect to live apart. With respect to the remaining two measures, however, the results in Table 6 are not clearly consistent with the notion that gender-nontraditionalism facilitates noncohabitation: PhDs who believe the traditional family benefits men and those who believe it benefits women are not statistically less likely than other PhDs to expect to live apart from their partner, and the point estimates suggest that they may be more likely. 5 Conclusions Previous studies of the PhD workforce have found that marriage and committed personal relationships harm the professional standing of women relative to that of men. In light of substantial evidence that couples in the general population prioritize the careers of husbands over those of wives when deciding where to live, and given suggestive evidence that PhD and half-PhD couples do the same, observers of academic labor markets have speculated that dual-career location problems interfere 17 with women’s ability to secure and maintain tenure-track employment. This paper uses data from an original survey of new PhD economists to examine a nontraditional solution to dual-career location problems: living apart. Consistent with the idea that living apart places women who would otherwise have subordinated their own careers on equal footing with their male partners, we find that the gender gap in tenure-track employment is substantially reduced among couples who live apart. The second finding of this paper is that gender-nontraditional PhDs are more likely than nontraditional PhDs to live apart from their partner in the year after the job market. Although the relationship between gender-non traditionalism and living apart holds even for PhDs whose partners also have PhDs, we cannot rule out the possibility that nontraditionalism is correlated with unobserved economic characteristics that increase the benefits of living apart. Consequently, we cannot be sure that gender traditionalism exerts and independent causal effect on living arrangements. While it is plausible that couples with nontraditional attitudes feel more comfortable than other couples adopting nontraditional lifestyles, it is also plausible that couples with nontraditional lifestyles adopt nontraditional attitudes as a form of self-justification. 18 6 Data appendix This appendix presents the structure and wording of questions from the 2008-09 preand post-market surveys when these differ from the structure and wording of the corresponding questions from the 2009-10 surveys. Post-market living arrangement The 2008-09 post-market survey asked separately about the expected duration of the relationship and expected living arrangements. With regard to the duration of the relationship, the survey asked the following: What do you think is the percent chance you will be in your current relationship in one year? With regard to expected living arrangements, it asked the following: Will your husband/wife/significant other be living in the same area as you next March – that is, will he/she be living close enough to you that you could see him/her after work on a weeknight? Respose options were “yes,” “no,” and “unsure.” If PhDs said they were unsure where their partner would be living, the survey asked the following: What do you think is the percent chance that your husband/wife/significant other will be living in the same area as you next March? 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