Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
Target Population
Likely Georgia Republican Presidential Primary voters
Sampling Method
The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.
IVR: Registered Georgia voters were selected randomly and surveyed
on the evenings of March 17th and 18th, 2015 using an interactive
voice response system.
Mobile: Registered Georgia voters not otherwise available by landline
phone were surveyed using their mobile device.
Selection & Weighting
Unlikely voters and Democratic primary voters (and corresponding
determinative questions) were excluded from the final tabulation. The
poll was weighted for age, race, and gender according to 2012
presidential primary and presidential election voter statistics.
Total Number of Respondents
483 (weighted)
Margin of Error
±4.5% (95% confidence)
sd
**
1
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
1. What is your opinion of the job performance of President Barack Obama? <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Age
Frequency
Percent
18-29
Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Somewhat
Disapprove
20
4.1
15.0%
12
2.5
31
6.4
Disapprove
416
86.3
Undecided
4
.8
483
100.0
Total
30-44
Race
African
Hispanic
American
/ Latino
45-64
65+
White
4.5%
3.6%
3.1%
20.0%
2.0%
20.0%
1.4%
5.0%
15.0%
8.2%
2.3%
10.7%
6.3%
40.0%
70.0%
90.4%
86.5%
85.8%
87.8%
20.0%
1.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Gender
Other
Male
Female
Republican
33.3%
6.0%
2.2%
3.7%
13.3%
2.0%
3.0%
1.1%
42.9%
4.1%
4.4%
8.6%
7.3%
28.6%
2.5%
87.6%
84.5%
86.8%
28.6%
87.6%
1.7%
1.1%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
53.3%
.9%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Political Affiliation
100.0%
100.0%
Democrat
Independent
5.8%
2
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
2. For whom would you vote if Georgia’s Republican presidential primary were held today? <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Age
Race
Frequency
Percent
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
African
American
Other /
No
opinion
49
10.1
15.8%
29.2%
8.2%
4.1%
10.4%
20.0%
Bush
53
11.0
15.8%
9.7%
8.2%
14.2%
10.9%
Carson
60
12.5
31.6%
15.3%
10.0%
12.4%
12.2%
Christie
13
2.6
2.3%
4.1%
2.8%
Huckabee
97
20.1
19.1%
21.3%
20.4%
Paul
16
3.3
3.6%
4.7%
Perry
17
3.5
1.8%
Rubio
31
6.4
Trump
17
3.5
26.3%
Walker
131
27.1
10.5%
Total
483
100.0
100.0%
Gender
Hispanic
/ Latino
Male
Female
Republican
7.6%
12.6%
9.3%
13.2%
6.7%
14.7%
6.9%
12.4%
7.4%
20.0%
13.9%
11.3%
12.1%
3.2%
1.7%
3.1%
1.7%
19.1%
21.2%
19.2%
24.0%
3.5%
.8%
6.1%
3.9%
.8%
2.4%
3.7%
3.6%
3.5%
4.5%
.8%
9.5%
5.3%
6.5%
6.4%
6.5%
5.1%
10.7%
1.8%
4.7%
3.7%
2.0%
5.2%
3.1%
5.0%
6.9%
35.5%
26.6%
25.9%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
28.7%
25.1%
27.3%
57.1%
24.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
26.4%
12.5%
40.0%
40.0%
20.0%
Other
Political Affiliation
13.3%
20.0%
Democrat
42.9%
Independent
11.6%
3
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
3. Age <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Race
Frequency
Percent
White
18-29
19
4.0
3.9%
30-44
72
15.0
15.1%
45-64
222
46.0
44.5%
65+
169
35.0
36.5%
Total
483
100.0
100.0%
African
American
Gender
Hispanic /
Latino
Male
Female
Republican
Democrat
Independent
16.7%
4.4%
3.5%
3.4%
28.6%
4.1%
40.0%
33.3%
19.9%
9.5%
17.7%
14.3%
7.4%
60.0%
50.0%
85.7%
47.8%
44.2%
41.4%
28.6%
60.3%
14.3%
27.9%
42.9%
37.5%
28.6%
28.1%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Other
Political Affiliation
4
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
4. Race <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Age
Gender
Political Affiliation
Frequency
Percent
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Male
Female
Republican
Democrat
Independent
White
African
American
Hispanic /
Latino
458
95.0
94.7%
94.5%
91.9%
98.8%
94.4%
95.3%
96.9%
57.1%
90.9%
5
1.0
2.7%
1.4%
1.6%
.4%
.6%
14.3%
1.7%
5
1.0
2.7%
1.4%
1.6%
.4%
.8%
Other
15
3.0
Total
483
100.0
5.3%
100.0%
100.0%
1.7%
5.4%
1.2%
2.4%
3.9%
1.7%
28.6%
5.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
5
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
5. Gender <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Age
Frequency
Percent
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
African
American
Male
251
52.0
57.9%
69.4%
54.1%
41.4%
51.7%
80.0%
Female
232
48.0
42.1%
30.6%
45.9%
58.6%
48.3%
Total
483
100.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Race
Hispanic /
Latino
Political Affiliation
Other
Republican
Democrat
Independent
80.0%
40.0%
44.5%
57.1%
73.6%
20.0%
20.0%
60.0%
55.5%
42.9%
26.4%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
6
Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15
6. Political Affiliation <REPUBLICAN VOTERS>
Age
Race
Gender
Frequency
Percent
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
African
American
355
73.6
63.2%
86.3%
66.2%
78.7%
75.1%
40.0%
7
1.4
10.5%
1.4%
.9%
1.2%
.9%
20.0%
Independent
121
25.0
26.3%
12.3%
32.9%
20.1%
24.0%
40.0%
40.0%
46.7%
35.5%
13.8%
Total
483
100.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Republican
Democrat
Hispanic /
Latino
Other
Male
Female
60.0%
40.0%
62.9%
84.9%
13.3%
1.6%
1.3%
7