Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 Target Population Likely Georgia Republican Presidential Primary voters Sampling Method The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. IVR: Registered Georgia voters were selected randomly and surveyed on the evenings of March 17th and 18th, 2015 using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: Registered Georgia voters not otherwise available by landline phone were surveyed using their mobile device. Selection & Weighting Unlikely voters and Democratic primary voters (and corresponding determinative questions) were excluded from the final tabulation. The poll was weighted for age, race, and gender according to 2012 presidential primary and presidential election voter statistics. Total Number of Respondents 483 (weighted) Margin of Error ±4.5% (95% confidence) sd ** 1 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 1. What is your opinion of the job performance of President Barack Obama? <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Age Frequency Percent 18-29 Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove 20 4.1 15.0% 12 2.5 31 6.4 Disapprove 416 86.3 Undecided 4 .8 483 100.0 Total 30-44 Race African Hispanic American / Latino 45-64 65+ White 4.5% 3.6% 3.1% 20.0% 2.0% 20.0% 1.4% 5.0% 15.0% 8.2% 2.3% 10.7% 6.3% 40.0% 70.0% 90.4% 86.5% 85.8% 87.8% 20.0% 1.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% Gender Other Male Female Republican 33.3% 6.0% 2.2% 3.7% 13.3% 2.0% 3.0% 1.1% 42.9% 4.1% 4.4% 8.6% 7.3% 28.6% 2.5% 87.6% 84.5% 86.8% 28.6% 87.6% 1.7% 1.1% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 53.3% .9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Political Affiliation 100.0% 100.0% Democrat Independent 5.8% 2 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 2. For whom would you vote if Georgia’s Republican presidential primary were held today? <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Age Race Frequency Percent 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White African American Other / No opinion 49 10.1 15.8% 29.2% 8.2% 4.1% 10.4% 20.0% Bush 53 11.0 15.8% 9.7% 8.2% 14.2% 10.9% Carson 60 12.5 31.6% 15.3% 10.0% 12.4% 12.2% Christie 13 2.6 2.3% 4.1% 2.8% Huckabee 97 20.1 19.1% 21.3% 20.4% Paul 16 3.3 3.6% 4.7% Perry 17 3.5 1.8% Rubio 31 6.4 Trump 17 3.5 26.3% Walker 131 27.1 10.5% Total 483 100.0 100.0% Gender Hispanic / Latino Male Female Republican 7.6% 12.6% 9.3% 13.2% 6.7% 14.7% 6.9% 12.4% 7.4% 20.0% 13.9% 11.3% 12.1% 3.2% 1.7% 3.1% 1.7% 19.1% 21.2% 19.2% 24.0% 3.5% .8% 6.1% 3.9% .8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% .8% 9.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.5% 5.1% 10.7% 1.8% 4.7% 3.7% 2.0% 5.2% 3.1% 5.0% 6.9% 35.5% 26.6% 25.9% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 28.7% 25.1% 27.3% 57.1% 24.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 26.4% 12.5% 40.0% 40.0% 20.0% Other Political Affiliation 13.3% 20.0% Democrat 42.9% Independent 11.6% 3 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 3. Age <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Race Frequency Percent White 18-29 19 4.0 3.9% 30-44 72 15.0 15.1% 45-64 222 46.0 44.5% 65+ 169 35.0 36.5% Total 483 100.0 100.0% African American Gender Hispanic / Latino Male Female Republican Democrat Independent 16.7% 4.4% 3.5% 3.4% 28.6% 4.1% 40.0% 33.3% 19.9% 9.5% 17.7% 14.3% 7.4% 60.0% 50.0% 85.7% 47.8% 44.2% 41.4% 28.6% 60.3% 14.3% 27.9% 42.9% 37.5% 28.6% 28.1% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Other Political Affiliation 4 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 4. Race <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Age Gender Political Affiliation Frequency Percent 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Male Female Republican Democrat Independent White African American Hispanic / Latino 458 95.0 94.7% 94.5% 91.9% 98.8% 94.4% 95.3% 96.9% 57.1% 90.9% 5 1.0 2.7% 1.4% 1.6% .4% .6% 14.3% 1.7% 5 1.0 2.7% 1.4% 1.6% .4% .8% Other 15 3.0 Total 483 100.0 5.3% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7% 5.4% 1.2% 2.4% 3.9% 1.7% 28.6% 5.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 5. Gender <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Age Frequency Percent 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White African American Male 251 52.0 57.9% 69.4% 54.1% 41.4% 51.7% 80.0% Female 232 48.0 42.1% 30.6% 45.9% 58.6% 48.3% Total 483 100.0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Race Hispanic / Latino Political Affiliation Other Republican Democrat Independent 80.0% 40.0% 44.5% 57.1% 73.6% 20.0% 20.0% 60.0% 55.5% 42.9% 26.4% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6 Opinion Savvy – GA GOP Presidential Primary 3.19.15 6. Political Affiliation <REPUBLICAN VOTERS> Age Race Gender Frequency Percent 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White African American 355 73.6 63.2% 86.3% 66.2% 78.7% 75.1% 40.0% 7 1.4 10.5% 1.4% .9% 1.2% .9% 20.0% Independent 121 25.0 26.3% 12.3% 32.9% 20.1% 24.0% 40.0% 40.0% 46.7% 35.5% 13.8% Total 483 100.0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Republican Democrat Hispanic / Latino Other Male Female 60.0% 40.0% 62.9% 84.9% 13.3% 1.6% 1.3% 7
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