METHODOLOGY Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll Conducted by Purple Strategies 2016 New Hampshire Presidential General & Primary Election Topline May 2015 Purple Insights conducted 952 telephone (landline & cell) interviews of New Hampshire likely 2016 general election voters, including oversamples of 2016 Republican and Democratic presidential primary voters, between May 2 and May 6, 2015. Respondents were randomly selected from a voter file. Base sample: Base + Oversample: • 500 general election voters (MoE: +/-‐ 4.4 • 400 Republican primary voters (MoE: +/-‐ 4.9 percentage points, at the 95% confidence level) percentage points, at the 95% confidence level) • 400 Democratic primary voters (MoE: +/-‐ 4.9 percentage points, at the 95% confidence level) PRIMARY ELECTION If the 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary were held today and the candidates were: Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Bobby Jindal, Jeb Bush, Rick Perry, Ted Cruz, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum and John Kasich, for whom would you vote? Who would be your second choice? Christie Paul Jindal Bush Perry Cruz Walker Huckabee Carson Fiorina Rubio Trump Graham New Hampshire Poll: May 2015 GOP Primary Voters First Choice Second Choice First + Second (Combined) 7 12 1 11 1 6 12 4 5 3 11 8 1 5 9 2 10 3 4 12 5 3 4 9 4 0 12 21 3 21 4 10 24 8 8 7 20 13 1 1 Santorum Kasich Someone else None of the above Not sure 1 1 1 3 12 If the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joseph Biden, Bernie Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Lincoln Chafee, and Jim Webb for whom would you vote? Who would be your second choice? Clinton Biden Sanders O’Malley Chafee Webb Someone else None of the above Not sure New Hampshire Poll: May 2015 2 2 0 4 6 3 3 -‐-‐ -‐-‐ -‐-‐ DEM Primary Voters First Choice Second Choice First + Second (Combined) 62 5 18 3 1 1 0 3 8 15 26 17 7 2 2 1 9 10 77 31 35 10 3 4 -‐-‐ -‐-‐ -‐-‐ 2 GENERAL ELECTIONS If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? Clinton Walker Not sure If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote? Clinton Bush Not sure If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand Paul, for whom would you vote? Clinton Paul Not sure If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, for whom would you vote? Clinton Rubio Not sure Regardless of for whom you plan to vote, who do you think will be the next President of the United States? Hillary Clinton Jeb Bush Someone else Not sure New Hampshire Poll: May 2015 General Election Voters (including primary voters) GOP Primary Voters DEM Primary Voters 46 40 14 13 75 11 88 4 8 General Election Voters (including primary voters) GOP Primary Voters DEM Primary Voters 44 42 14 8 79 13 89 4 7 General Election Voters (including primary voters) GOP Primary Voters DEM Primary Voters 46 43 11 12 80 8 88 5 7 General Election Voters (including primary voters) GOP Primary Voters DEM Primary Voters 44 42 14 12 76 12 87 5 8 General Election Voters (including primary voters) 33 18 22 27 GOP Primary Voters 10 31 34 24 DEM Primary Voters 65 5 10 20 3