SOUTH AFRICAN LISTED PROPERTY REVIEW The SA Listed Property Index (J253) recorded a positive return of 0.04% for the month ended April 2015. The yield to maturity (YTM) on the Long Term Government Bond Index weakened during the month to end the month at 7.96% (7.79% - 31st March 2015). The SA listed property historic yield ended the month at 6.0% excludes Attacq NEPI, Rockcastle and Pivotal (6.0% - 31st March 2015). The SA listed property sector historic rolled yield was trading at a premium spread of 1.95% to the Long term Government Bond yield to maturity at 30 April 2015 (1.79% - 31st March 2015.) Asset Class SA Equities 2 4 SA Cash 1 SA Property SA Bonds 3 MTD YTD 12 months 4.70% 10.82% 17.82% 0.51% 2.05% 6.67% 0.04% 13.74% 38.26% -0.49% 2.49% 11.89% Source: Catalyst Fund Managers, RMB Credit Research Note: 1-SA Listed Property Index, 2-All Share Index, 3-All Bond Index, 4-Stefi SA Equities recorded the highest total return (4.70%) of the four traditional asset classes for April 2015. SA Cash (0.51%), SA Property (0.04%) and SA Bonds (-0.49%) were the next best performing asset classes. For the last 12 months SA Listed Property has recorded the highest total return (38.26%), followed by SA Equities (17.82%), SA Bonds (11.89%) and SA Cash (6.67%). Rebosis and Ascension issued its circulars to their respective unitholders for Rebosis proposed takeover of Ascension Properties. Redefine International reported its interim results for the period ended 28 February 2015, distribution growth per unit was 6.7% compared to the previous comparable period. Vukile raised R1.1 billion and Leaf Capital placed redefine shares valued at R840 million via accelerated book builds. Both transactions were well supported and were oversubscribed. Real Estate fundamentals in South Africa remain challenging, but strong capital markets and lower yields for longer will be supportive of listed real estate performance. In the short term, listed real estate returns are likely to take their direction from capital markets rather than real estate fundamentals. Over the long term, real estate fundamentals will drive performance. . . . . The market saw the conclusion of Growthpoint’s acquisition of Acucap during the month. Pivotal property fund was included in the SAPY on the 20th April in place of Acucap. From a local results perspective Rebosis reported an 8.2% growth in distribution per unit for its interim period ended 28th February 2015. Compiled by: Paul Duncan CFA André Stadler CFA Cape Town Jamie Boyes CA(SA) Zayd Sulaiman CA(SA) Andrew Cattell B.Comm Curwin Rittles CA(SA) Tiffany Jones CA(SA) Mvula Seroto CA(SA) Theodore Frysen CA(SA) Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za MAY 2015 SECTOR SNAPSHOT 30 April 15 RSA Long term gilt (RLRS) 7.96 % Share Market capitalisation COMBINED MARKET CAP WEIGHTED INDEX GROWTHPOINT REDEFINE NEW EUROPE PROP RESILIENT HYPROP ROCKCASTLE CAP PROP ATTACQ RI PLC FORTRESS-B FOUNTAINHEAD VUKILE SA CORPORATE EMIRA SYCOM PIVOTAL FORTRESS-A INVESTEC PROPERTY FUND OCTODEC REBOSIS DELPROP ACCPROP ARROWHEAD B ARROWHEAD A TEXTON IAPF HOSPITALITY-A DIPULA-A ASCENSION-A DIPULA-B TOWER SAFARI FAIRVEST Ascension-B SYNERGY B SYNERGY A HOSPITALITY-B 452 903 780 000 75 665 580 000 47 084 090 000 40 951 480 000 34 039 550 000 29 798 870 000 28 784 920 000 24 249 500 000 18 625 780 000 15 732 340 000 13 978 210 000 11 615 470 000 10 974 590 000 10 080 330 000 9 266 480 000 7 805 130 000 7 503 000 000 7 483 330 000 7 418 100 000 6 690 220 000 5 984 120 000 4 919 680 000 4 597 960 000 4 249 800 000 4 199 210 000 2 960 440 000 2 892 400 000 2 364 840 000 2 125 060 000 1 853 170 000 1 796 940 000 1 619 570 000 1 481 630 000 1 228 850 000 1 106 500 000 797 650 000 566 330 000 412 660 000 Historic Rolled Close yield 2791 1206 14500 9947 12250 3395 1368 2492 1084 2998 999 1907 498 1815 3900 2510 1605 1700 2830 1330 940 665 1008 996 1160 1173 1639 1101 600 931 980 860 205 294 750 1196 286 6.00% 6.2% 6.7% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 3.1% 6.4% N/A 5.7% 2.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 5.1% N/A 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 8.1% 9.4% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 6.5% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 7.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% Premium or Discount of clean price to Average NTAV monthly trade NTAV R`mil 2315 820 6298 6115 8166 1812 1168 1643 755 863 715 1529 381 1650 2876 1572 1619 1405 2409 1177 867 596 686 686 996 917 1118 815 527 792 971 827 160 199 888 1064 1118 51.13% 20.2% 43.0% 129.4% 61.6% 49.3% 86.6% 16.1% 51.7% 39.9% 246.0% 35.6% 21.0% 29.7% 8.8% 35.3% 59.7% -2.1% 17.8% 14.2% 9.1% 4.1% 8.2% 45.1% 43.4% 15.3% 24.8% 44.8% 30.4% 13.0% 13.5% -0.8% 3.0% 26.7% 46.4% -16.6% 11.1% -74.7% 10 938.41 2 838.9 1 930.7 572.7 1 251.3 922.7 338.4 514.2 439.6 247.7 89.7 156.3 252.5 266.4 383.0 17.5 50.0 191.3 157.9 63.2 113.9 80.9 58.4 118.7 115.8 25.6 48.6 57.5 32.1 143.8 29.9 18.5 12.2 9.9 14.6 5.6 19.0 24.7 Debt% 33.19% 31.6% 40.1% 8.3% 31.0% 27.9% 38.4% 26.4% 39.0% 52.7% 73.9% 27.2% 25.2% 29.2% 35.4% 33.7% 49.6% 23.8% 23.2% 34.4% 38.5% 48.2% 39.1% 34.0% 34.0% 34.2% 24.5% 37.0% 38.8% 39.7% 69.5% 36.6% 8.0% 20.9% 67.8% 66.7% 38.3% 93.1% INFORMATION SOURCE AND METHODOLOGY * Catalyst Calculations of effective and see-through gearing Data I-Net Bridge unless stated otherwise Calculations and forecast estimates Catalyst Fund Managers Rolled yield Time weighted current 12 month historic distribution divided by the clean price. NTAV Net Asset Value adjusted for deferred tax and intangibles Debt% Balance sheet long term interest bearing debt / income earning property assets, adjusted for see-through debt where information provided N/A Note the Historic yield was calculated excluding Attacq, Resilient, Pivotal and Nepi. Cape Town Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za 1 MAY 2015 INDIVIDUAL SHARE PERFORMANCE Historic performance for 2015 Individual stock performance SA Listed Property Index (SAPY) Capped Property Index (PCAP) PIVOTAL SYCOM SIRIUS ACSION HOSPITALITY-A INGENUITY REBOSIS IAPF HOSPITALITY-B OCTODEC NEW EUROPE PROP ROCKCASTL DELPROP STENPROP RI PLC ACUCAP FORTRESS-A TEXTON EQUITES SA CORPORATE SAFARI EMIRA CAPCO DIPULA-A ASCENSION-A SYNERGY B TOWER VIVIDEND INVESTEC PROPERTY FUND INTUPROP ARROWHEAD B ASCENSION-B VUKILE ARROWHEAD A GROWTHPOINT SYNERGY A ACCPROP CAP PROP REDEFINE FOUNTAINHEAD LODESTONE MAS ATTACQ PUTPROP FORTRESS-B RESILIENT FAIRVEST DELTA INTERNATIONAL FREEDOM PROP Jan Feb Mar Apr YTD 7.38% 3.16% 2.64% 0.04% 13.74% 6.73% 8.05% 3.40% -7.80% -3.67% 20.79% 1.12% 3.63% -1.26% 32.02% 17.57% 3.50% 8.31% 8.16% -7.69% -0.91% 8.00% 7.63% 14.12% 2.27% 8.79% 1.27% 11.14% 3.52% 6.33% 4.76% 13.38% 10.56% 0.00% 11.45% 6.72% 5.32% 9.35% 13.39% 5.88% 6.58% 10.28% -1.43% 11.37% 6.54% 8.88% 0.00% -3.55% 3.55% 2.56% 16.15% 5.17% 7.41% 2.04% -2.50% 2.91% -2.13% 7.93% 8.46% 3.14% -6.49% 8.14% 1.95% -5.53% -2.99% 0.62% 16.54% 11.79% -5.42% 9.10% 3.38% 1.70% -4.52% 4.46% 12.89% -1.92% 12.38% -4.68% 6.85% -4.68% 5.45% 0.00% 3.88% 0.00% -2.99% -0.76% 0.00% 9.67% -0.15% -1.01% 1.30% 1.69% -5.80% -1.48% 3.86% 1.74% 37.45% 5.26% 1.19% -8.63% 49.78% 8.36% 14.94% 7.45% -2.56% 1.88% 4.62% 4.54% -5.08% -7.76% 1.93% 0.00% -5.04% -0.99% 7.36% -2.88% 2.49% 12.42% 1.12% -6.56% 3.96% -0.09% -2.64% 2.98% -1.57% -0.29% -5.45% 1.36% -0.96% -1.79% 7.19% 3.33% -1.01% 0.00% -1.05% -2.23% 3.97% 4.12% -2.33% 4.63% -0.46% 4.73% 3.69% -0.85% 4.73% 10.04% -4.42% -2.50% 12.75% -4.00% 3.69% 10.93% 11.54% -8.10% -13.16% 0.29% 30.39% 14.33% 10.36% 7.61% 7.55% 7.53% 6.91% 6.73% 5.93% 4.81% 4.66% 4.65% 4.44% 4.26% 3.34% 3.32% 2.56% 1.93% 1.92% 1.63% 1.18% 1.11% 0.61% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -0.06% -0.16% -0.20% -0.34% -0.94% -0.99% -1.12% -1.16% -1.34% -2.29% -2.74% -3.01% 3.73% -3.79% -4.12% -4.17% -4.22% -4.36% -4.65% -8.86% -24.24% 12.22% 44.25% 33.39% 4.75% -1.38% 23.81% 17.59% 7.26% -1.43% 45.65% 20.43% 29.37% 42.45% 8.05% -1.89% 10.05% 13.38% 2.61% 25.14% 15.82% 8.12% 8.86% 8.59% 10.21% -0.36% 18.42% 17.16% 13.69% 0.00% 6.92% 3.38% 9.28% 24.44% 9.54% 8.58% 6.27% 16.09% -5.00% 6.30% 12.71% 18.22% 36.27% -4.77% 13.27% -13.79% 72.78% 20.91% 31.30% -8.16% -37.50% INFORMATION SOURCE AND METHODOLOGY Data Calculations and forecast estimates # Suspended / Delisted / Not yet listed Cape Town Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za I-Net Bridge unless stated otherwise Catalyst Fund Managers 2 MAY 2015 SECTOR SNAPSHOT Ascension Capital and Counties Ascension and Rebosis issued a circular to their respective unitholders that pertains to Rebosis proposed scheme of arrangement to acquire Ascension properties. The swap ratio proposed by Rebosis is 23.549 Rebosis ordinary shares for every 100 Ascension B units held. Rebosis will offer 19.34236 new “Rebosis A” shares for every 100 Ascension A linked units held. Capco advised shareholders that the completion of Earls Court Partnership Limited (ECPL), the investment vehicle established with Transport for London in respect of Earls Court 1 & 2, has occurred following the grant of leases and transfers of land into ECPL. The circulars are available on each company’s website. The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: Name Type Date Volume Price Acucap Gary Yardley Purchase 17 Apr 2015 8 970 £4.07 The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: Gary Yardley Sale 17 Apr 2015 8 970 £4.01 Name Type Date Volume Price Frank Berkeley Sale 30 Mar 2015 37 670 R 56.29 Frank Berkeley Sale 31 Mar 2015 37 801 R 56.34 Arrowhead Arrowhead advised unitholders that a circular to linked unitholders has been issued relating to the following: o o The conversion of the company’s current A linked capital structure to an A ordinary share structure by way of a substitutive share-for-share transaction and, The conversion of the company’s current B linked capital structure to an A ordinary share structure by way of a substitutive share-for-share transaction. Attacq The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: Name Type Date Volume Price Morne Wilken Sale 01 Apr 2015 80 926 R 25.85 Morne Wilken Sale 02 Apr 2015 163 798 R 25.75 Morne Wilken Sale 07 Apr 2015 205 276 R 25.70 PH Faure Sale 09 Apr 2015 4 000 R25.64 Cape Town Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za The following awards of nil cost options were made based on a market value of 402.93 pence per share: Name Exercisable Date Volume Ian Hawksworth 1 April 2018 207 728 Gary Yardley 1 April 2018 186 136 Soumen Das 1 April 2018 152 631 Delta Delta advised shareholders that the board of directors of the Company passed a resolution on 1 April 2015, granting financial assistance to Delta International Property Holdings Limited in the amount of R177,422,700.The financial assistance will be effected by a refundable cash deposit to Standard Bank of South Africa Limited to enable Standard Bank to issue debt funding on behalf of Delta International to the vendor of an asset known as the Vodacom building located in Maputo, Mozambique in order to enable Delta International to continue with the purchase transaction of the Vodacom building. Unitholders were advised of the renewed cautionary regarding Delta’s board of directors’ intention to approach shareholders for approval to exercise the termination clause in its existing asset management agreement with MPI Property Asset Management Proprietary Limited and simultaneously enter into an asset management agreement with a new asset management company. Shareholders were advised to continue exercising caution when dealing with the shares. 3 MAY 2015 SECTOR SNAPSHOT Fairvest Hospitality Fairvest advised shareholders that the company raised R137 million through the placing of 71 802 000 linked units at a price of 191 cents per linked unit. Unitholders were further advised that a circular was distributed to linked unitholders regarding the conversion of Fairvest’s current linked unit capital structure to a share only structure. Refer to the company’s website for further details. Hospitality advised shareholders that City Lodge and HPF Properties Proprietary Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hospitality, have concluded an agreement in terms of which HPF has disposed of its interests in the Courtyard portfolio to City Lodge for a total cash consideration of R80 million. Fortress IAP advised shareholders that it has acquired an asset located in Glendenning, North West of the Sydney CBD. The asset was acquired for AUD 19,170,000 at an annualized yield of 7.66%. The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: Name Type Date Volume Price Bermita Schnaper Sale 02 Apr 2015 36 788 R 31.00 Bermita Schnaper Sale 07 Apr 2015 23 212 R 31.00 Fountainhead Investec Australia Property Fund (IAP) Rebosis Rebosis released its interim results for the period ended 28 February 2015. The company announced a distribution of 52.46 cents per linked unit for the six months, representing a DPU growth 8.2% to the comparable period of 2014. Growthpoint Ascension and Rebosis issued a circular to their respective unitholders that pertains to Rebosis proposed scheme of arrangement to acquire Ascension properties. The swap ratio proposed by Rebosis is 23.549 Rebosis ordinary shares for every 100 Ascension B units held. Rebosis will offer 19.34236 new “Rebosis A” shares for every 100 Ascension A linked units held. The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: The circular is available through on each company’s website. Fountainhead reported its interim results for the six months ended 28 February 2015. The company reported a distribution of 30.60cents per unit, representing a 5.5% increase in distribution growth on the comparable prior period. Name Type Date Volume Price Redefine International Redefine International reported its interim results for the period ended 28 February 2015. The company announced a dividend of 1.60p per share, which is representative of a 6.7% DPU growth to the comparable period. Redefine International advised shareholders that Donald Grant was appointed as the Company’s new Chief Financial Officer, expected to join the company on 3 August 2015. JF Marais Off-market transaction 01 Apr 2015 3 335 R 26.25 LA Finlay Off-market transaction 01 Apr 2015 2 648 R 26.25 JC Hayward Off-market transaction 01 Apr 2015 2 426 R 26.25 HS Herman Off-market transaction 01 Apr 2015 5 144 R 26.25 JF Marais Off-market transaction* 30 Apr 2015 1 748 R 27.25 Safari LA Finlay Off-market transaction* 30 Apr 2015 1 388 R 27.25 The following direct or indirect directors’ dealings occurred: JC Hayward Off-market transaction* 30 Apr 2015 1 272 R 27.25 HS Herman Off-market transaction* 30 Apr 2015 Name 2 697 R 27.25 K PASHIOU Type Sale Date 31 Mar 2015 Volume Price 81 600 R 8.50 * Distribution reinvestment alternative in respect of the special dividend. # Distribution reinvestment alternative in respect of the 2015 interim distribution. Cape Town Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za 4 MAY 2015 SECTOR SNAPSHOT Texton Property Fund Texton advised shareholders that Old Mutual Investment Group (Pty) Ltd on behalf of segregated clients have decreased their holding in the company, such that their total interest in the shares of the company now amounts to 9.48% of the total issued shares. Tower Tower advised shareholders of two acquisition agreements during the month. Evagold Centre, situated at the corner of the Golden Highway and Tiro Street Evaton West, was acquired from Great Lion Acquisitions Proprietary Limited for an aggregate purchase consideration of R110 million, yielding 9.5%. The second agreement related to the acquisition of the entire issued share capital of and claims against HTP Holdings Proprietary Limited, which owns a portfolio of 8 industrial properties valued at R375 million, from HBW Group Proprietary Limited for an aggregate consideration of R190 million, yielding 9.2%. Vukile Vukile announced an accelerated book build during the month, raising R1.1 billion through the issuance of 58 323 798 new shares at a price of R19.00. Of the R1.1 billion of capital raised, R850 million was raised pursuant to the accelerated bookbuild process at R19.00 per share and R250 million was raised by way of placement with the Encha SPV at R18.40 per share in terms of the Encha equity funding platform arrangements as detailed in Vukile’s circular issued on 5 June 2013. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is confidential, privileged and only for the information of the intended recipient and may not be used, published or redistributed without the prior written consent of Catalyst Fund Managers (Pty) Ltd. The opinions expressed are in good faith and while every care has been taken in preparing this document, Catalyst Fund Managers makes no representations and gives no warranties of whatever nature in respect of this document, including but not limited to the accuracy or completeness of any information, facts and/or opinions contained therein. Catalyst Real Estate Financial Services (Pty) Ltd, its subsidiaries, the directors, employees and agents cannot be held liable for the use of and reliance of the opinions, estimates, forecasts and findings in this document. Cape Town Tel: (021) 657 5500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.catalyst.co.za 5 MAY 2015
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