Première partie Analyse spatiale Towards the establishment of a green network in the region of Montreal, Quebec. Jérôme Dupras Context: Urban Sprawling Low density space occupation Close dependence on car use Strong spatial demand and important land use changes Loss of natural areas, farmland and fragmentation Land use changes analysis 1994 2010 1: 50 000 1: 50 000 1981 1: 20 000 1966 Scale 1: 20 000 Year Land Use Cover Classes Forests Wetlands Croplands Grasslands Water Urban Unproductive Productive woodland Non-Productive woodland Outdooring Swamp, marsh or bog Cropland Orchards and vineyards Horticulture Improved pasture and forage crops Unimproved pasture and range land Water areas Urban built-up area Mines, quarries, sand and gravel pits Unproductive land – rock and sand Trees Wetlands Row crops Close grown crops Improved grass and legumes Shrubs, bushes and vines Unimproved grassland, reeds, sedges, and mosses Fallow land Water Constructed cover Denuded surfaces Transportation Undifferentiated urban Denuded surfaces Outside study area Forests Outdooring Wetlands Cropland Orchards Fallow land Pastures Water Urban Homes Electric lines Roads Industries Hydroelectric plant Unknown Flooding Other Forests and woodlands Perturbed woodlands Natural area Wetlands Croplands Orchards Fallow land Pastures Water Urban Human infrastructure Extraction Mapping land-use changes Land use cover Forests Wetlands Croplands Grasslands Urban Water Unproductive Total 1966 kha 72.4 1.7 165.8 25.6 64.5 52.6 2.6 385.1 Δ 66-81 % 18.8 0.4 43.1 6.6 16.8 13.7 0.7 100 % - 18.0 - 5.9 - 14.9 71.1 25.9 0.4 100 Land Use cover changes 1981 Δ 81-94 1994 kha 59.4 1.6 141.1 43.8 81.2 52.8 5.1 385.0 % 15.4 0.4 36.7 11.4 21.1 13.7 1.3 100 % - 9.1 6.3 7.0 - 95.7 42.9 1 43.1 kha 54.0 1.7 151.0 1.8 116.1 53.2 7.3 385.0 Δ 94-10 % 14.0 0.4 39.2 0.5 30.2 13.8 1.9 100 % - 3.5 - 5.9 - 12.2 883.3 7.1 1 - 54.8 2010 kha 52.0 1.6 132.6 17.8 124.2 53.5 3.4 385.0 Δ 66-10 % 13.5 0.4 34.4 4.6 32.3 13.9 1 100 kha - 20.3 - 0.2 - 33.2 - 7.8 59.7 0.9 0.8 % - 28.0 - 11.8 - 20.0 - 30.5 92.6 1.7 30.8 Dupras et Alam, 2015 The evolution of ecological connectivity Figure 3. Land Cover Richness and Shannon Index (without urban area). Territorial distr expressed by 3x3km 2 cells. Dupras et al., submitted Evolution of ecological connectivity Figure 5. Absolute Ecological Connectivity change. Figure 5. Absolute Ecological Connectivity IndexIndex change. Dupras et al., submitted A threatened biodiversity SUPPORTING Ecosystem services losses PROVISIONNING Courtesy of A. Gonzalez & M. Mitchell REGULATION CULTURAL Landscape aesthetics Climate regulation ` MAPLE SYRUP Air filtration TIMBER Recration Flood control FOOD Water quality regulation Nutrient cycles Erosion control Soil formation The economic value of ecosystem services Dupras et Alam, 2015 Ecosystem services economic losses Land use cover Forests Wetlands Croplands Grasslands Total 6 1966 288.1 7.9 661.3 69.6 1026.9 Δ1966-1981 - 51.8 - 0.5 - 98.6 49.5 - 101.4 Total Economic Value (x 10 $/y) 1981 Δ1981-1994 1994 Δ1994-2010 236.4 - 21.4 215.0 - 7.8 7.4 0.2 7.6 - 0.5 562.7 39.5 602.1 - 73.5 119.0 - 114.0 5.0 43.3 925.5 - 95.7 829.7 - 38.5 2010 207.2 7.2 528.7 48.3 791.4 Δ1966-2010 -80.9 - 0.7 - 132.6 - 21.3 - 235.6 Dupras et Alam, 2015 How to implement a Green network in order to mitigate these problems? A look on the Greenbelts 2 Greenbelt’s projects Ecological or Political Montreal? MMC development and planning approach • The «Plan métropolitain d’aménagement et de développement»: a 10 years project, 2 years of public consultation, a roadmap based on 3 main objectives • 3 objectives – Planning: Densification – Transport: Transport oriented development – Environment: protection of natural habitats through a Green network • The first financing of the Green network (150M$) was confirmed in 2012 for 5 projects CMM, 2011 FIGURE4.2 SYNTHÈSE DE L’ARRIMAGE ENTRE LESOUTILSDE PLANIFICATION TERRITORIALE QUI FORMENTLE CADRE ADMINISTRATIF ET LÉGAL DE LAPLANIFICATION DE L’AMÉNAGEMENTDUTERRITOIRE Governance challenges Communauté de Montréal, métropolitain gement et de ent : Un grand al compétitif, urable. 184 p. CMM, 2011 Appliying network science to urban planning Courtesy of A. Gonzalez What network for the Montreal’s Greenbelt? Courtesy of A. Gonzalez Solution: a green infrastructure based on ecological network science Protection Natural Corridors Sensibilization and Public Awareness Sustainable Forestry Urban Greening Agroenvironnemental Practices Natural areas accessibility Adapted from FDS, NAQ, 2012 Fondation David Suzuki, 2013 Gonzalez et al., 2013 Designing connectivity Monteregians mountains: biodiversity habitats hubs Natural corridors between the hubs NAQ, 2012 The Greenbelt challenges Experts survey 1. What key characteristics should define a green infrastructure at the ecological, geographical, legal and administrative levels? 2. What should be the priority actions to initiate its implementation? 3. What are the main social, economic and environmental benefits it could bring? 4. What are the main social, economic and environmental disadvantages it could generate? 5. At present, what are the most important opportunities that could help its implementation? 6. What are the biggest obstacles that could hinder or prevent its implementation? 7. What are the administrative, political and legal tools, current or planned, which are most useful for its management? Dupras et al., In Press Some results… Question theme Green Infrastructure’s Characteristics Priority Actions Main Advantages Main Disadvantages Implementation opportunities Implementation obstacles Tools Elements of consensus - Landscape connectivity - Conservation of natural habitats - Respect of private property - Better decision making tools & Policies - Flexible and dynamic regional administrative structure - Communication and public awareness - Legal recognition - Consideration of the economic contribution of non-market ES - Maintaining quality of life - Production of ecosystem services, access to natural environments and better management of natural resources - Brake on the development of their community - Reduction in tax return for municipalities - Increase pressure on the private sector - Actual political context - Programs of acquisition of natural area - Public interest in environmental issues - Lack of political will - Poor overall vision - Disinformation - Development plan of MMC Dupras et al., In Press Conclusions From a cross-sectional analysis of the results, we can drawn four main points in relation to green infrastructure and the situation in the region of Montreal : • New Planning Vision and Required Tools • A Consensus towards Ecological Urbanism, Connectivity and Multifunctionality • The Protection of Nature is (still) an Economic Constraint • Lack of Vision and Political Will Dupras et al., In Press The Greenbelt in action Montreal’s City initiatives Grassroot initiative: «Vers le 22 avril 2017» - 375 000 trees for the 375th anniversary of Montreal Première partie Analyse spatiale Thank you/merci… questions!
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