UNITED NATIONS COUNTRY TEAM COMMON COUNTRY ASSESSMENT for SERBIA & MONTENEGRO Belgrade, October 2003 TABLE OF CONTENTS BACKGROUND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 1. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 2. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW OF SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Medium-Term Prospects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Fiscal Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 BASIC CONCEPTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 2.a) HUMAN DEVELOPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 The Human Development Situation Viewed from a Human Rights Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Poverty and Human Rights in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 The Right to Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 The Right to Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Health Status of Children and Women . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 The Right to Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 The Right to Housing in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 The Realization of Children’s Rights in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 Participation of Youth in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 Disabled Children in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42 The Right to Social Protection in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43 The Right to Gender Equality and Women’s Human Rights in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46 CHALLENGES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47 RESPONSES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52 2.b) GOVERNANCE AND THE RULE OF LAW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .63 SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .63 Democratic Accountability and the Rights of the Citizen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64 Reforms in Governance and the Rule of Law in Serbia and Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66 CHALLENGES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67 Strengthening the Rule of Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69 Reform of Public Administration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70 Problems of Participation and Social Inclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71 Enhancing the Role of Civil Society . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73 RESPONSES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75 4 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 2.c) SECURITY OF PERSONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Security Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Organised Crime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Human Trafficking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82 Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .83 Instability in Southern Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .83 Juveniles in Conflict with the Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .84 CHALLENGES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 Security Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 Organised Crime and Human Trafficking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .86 Eliminating Illegal Small Arms and Light Weapons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .86 Recovery in Southern Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Juveniles in Conflict with the Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 RESPONSES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Security Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Organised Crime and Human Trafficking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .88 Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89 Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89 Small Arms and Light Weapons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90 Instability in Southern Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90 Juveniles in Conflict with the Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91 2.d) ENVIRONMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93 SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93 The Ecological State – The Special Case of Montenegro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 CHALLENGES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .96 RESPONSES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .98 Millennium Development Goals and the Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100 3. PROPOSED AREAS OF COOPERATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .105 Priority Area 1: Institutional Reform/ Public Administration Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .105 Priority Area 2: Judicial Reform & The Rule of Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .106 Priority Area 3: Sustainable Local Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .106 Fiscal and economic parameters to future priority areas of cooperation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .106 Epilogue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107 4. ANNEXES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .109 List of the UN Country Team . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .132 5. SOURCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .133 6. LIST OF ACRONYMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .135 Table of Contents 5 6 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Common Country Assessment (CCA)1 of the United Nations System in the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro is a major tool for the implementation of Secretary General’s Reform Programme for the United Nations system launched in 1997. The purpose of the assessment is to establish a common analytical foundation for use by agencies of the UN system to plan their activities in support of national priorities, with a focus on the Millennium Declaration and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). By adopting a human rights-based approach to its analysis of human development, the CCA aims to add value to the work already undertaken in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers for both Serbia and Montenegro, (PRSPs) and to highlight a number of issues where it feels further attention is merited by policy-makers, and where the support of UN system agencies can make a worthwhile contribution over the years to come. For these reasons, the CCA strategic analysis covers the following main areas: Human Development, Governance and the Rule of Law, Security of Persons, and, Environment. Human Development A human rights-based approach provides a vision of what human development should strive to achieve based on the values, principles and standards embraced in the UN Charter, the 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights, and the legally binding international human rights treaties and conventions that have been ratified world wide (including by Serbia and Montenegro, see Annex). This approach uses the human rights principles and legal norms as a coherent framework for conducting a comprehensive analysis of the conditions of poverty and for defining goals and objectives that strive to ensure accountability and specific results in poverty reduction efforts. Thus, this CCA is guided by the following human rights principles: universality, equality and non-discrimination, participation and inclusion, and accountability. Over the course of the last decade, the severe political and economic crisis and series of regional armed conflicts have affected the well being of the society and damaged economic prospects in Serbia and in Montenegro. These conditions also caused a sharp decline in human development indicators. The phenomenon of poverty in Serbia and Montenegro is also a reflection of failures to protect and fulfil human rights over the ten-year autocratic era, leading in turn to development failure - in other words, to citizens’ inability to pursue and attain the goals they value and to claim their rights and entitlements. Shortfalls and gaps in the realisation of economic and social rights – to education, to adequate food, to health, to decent work, to adequate housing – have made people increasingly vulnerable to human poverty during the last decade. Serbia and Montenegro face several challenges as they strive to advance and accelerate human development. In this regard, it is important to ensure that the social indicators are maintained. Rising inequalities, bigger income poverty gaps across population strata and across geographical regions are closely linked with disparities in the health status, educational level and accessibility to other basic social services. Special attention must be given to ensure that relatively all children that are born will all be healthy, well nourished, and receive a good quality education. One of the biggest challenges is the persistence of social and cultural exclusion and gender inequality, which serves to contribute to women’s poverty, with elderly rural women and single mothers and their children constituting the most vulnerable. Finally, the limited empowerment of people as “rights holders” that can claim their civil, political, economic, social and cultural rights, constitutes a barrier to human development. Consequently, one of the challenges to be addressed is the lack of people’s participation in the design and implementation of policies and programmes intended to empower and support the socially excluded and marginalized. Governance and the Rule of Law Governance is the exercise of political, legal, economic and administrative authority to manage a country’s affairs. Effective democratic forms of governance require transparency, accountability, public participation, and respect for the rule of law. In Serbia and Montenegro, the state apparatus has become dilapidated at various levels during the decade of conflict and misrule, and is now being restored through constitutional and administrative reform. Each republic is engaged in constitutional revision and alignment with the union Charter. The role of the State, and issues of regionalisation in Serbia remain to be addressed. The separation of powers between the leg- 1 The CCA does not cover Kosovo, which is under separate UN administration, in conformity with UN Security Council Resolution 1244 Executive Summary 7 islature, the executive, and the judiciary seems accomplished in form, but not yet completely in function. The Parliament still lacks the sophistication required of a modern European state, and needs to develop citizen trust, transparency and robust democratic oversight of the government, its finances and its services. The executive branch is de-professionalized and depleted, but capacity building is underway. Montenegro has a strategy for public administration reform, but Serbia has yet to adopt one. The security sector needs significant investigation and reform, and effective democratic parliamentary and civilian government oversight, in the defence arena at union level, and in the internal security area at republic levels. The judiciary continues to struggle with internal corruption, ineptitude, political and criminal interference, discrimination, and an enormous backlog of cases before the courts, incurring such delays as to frustrate effective access to justice, and the equitable rule of law. establishing functional democratic institutions and strengthening the role of civil society. Thus, it is clearly an imperative to focus on building a foundation that involves: reforming the constitution, amending legislation, reorganizing and building the capacity of state institutions, and developing policies that adequately respond to the transition to a market society, but also take into account the needs of the poor and excluded members of society. There is a need to help each government develop a vision for public service reform, promote a professional civil service and develop and implement a public administration reform strategy to revitalise public institutions. The development of institutional capacity, according to European benchmarks of good governance is highly relevant to the process of adequate preparation for European Union membership of Serbia and Montenegro. The root cause of the insufficient presence of a democratic and human rights culture and tradition is due in part to the limited understanding and practice on the part of high officials and politicians of the use of mechanisms, processes and institutions for consultation, dialogue, and accountability. There is also a lack of strong civil society pressure to introduce participatory mechanisms, which is itself a result of the country’s limited liberal democratic experience. The public’s attitude to NGOs can also be traced back to the country’s authoritarian past. It appears that the general public is to some extent suspicious of the motives and character of NGOs. A primary challenge for representative democracy is to find ways to ensure that civil society organizations play constructive roles in generating legitimate demands, articulating social needs around which public policy can be made, demanding transparency and accountability, monitoring government policy-making and policy implementation, including enabling people to participate actively in society, and ensuring that ordinary citizens are motivated to be active in civil society. The legacy of the preceding decade is still manifest in the functioning of the security sector, in the magnitude of organised crime and human trafficking, and in the recently stabilised unrest in southern Serbia among ethnic Albanians. The challenges of impunity and corruption add to the difficulties of redressing these legacies. The inherited weakness of civilian control over the military poses a risk to democracy and the stability of government. A process of downsizing the military has begun but has lacked sufficient transparency. Disarmament has not so far been a priority, and political will for the reform of the military has been weak; civil society pressure in this respect has been limited. Corruption is a widespread phenomenon in the country, and is perceived by the population as one of the top three problems followed by crime and high prices. Thus, there exists a direct relationship between public sector corruption on the one hand, and on the other non-transparency and impunity in governance, lack of effective rule of law, a weak legal system, a poor administration of justice, the existence of organized crime and limited development of the civil society sector. Serbia and Montenegro are undergoing a period of transition and continue to face the challenges of 8 Security of Persons Another legacy of the 1990s was the growth and implantation of organised crime. Serbia and Montenegro continue to receive and cooperate with investigative missions deployed under the auspices of the UN Security Council in connection with clandestine activities that breach UN sanctions. In addition, there is persuasive evidence that the Balkan region is playing a key role in human trafficking and that Serbia and Montenegro and neighbouring countries continue to be used by traffickers, both as a destination and as a major route and stepping-stone predominantly to Western Europe. Moreover, the scarce existing data suggests that this is a phenomenon of increasing proportions, particularly in regard to women and young girls. Another concern is in relation to the phenomenon of small arms and light weapons (SALW). The widespread availability of weapons results from the legacy of conflicts in the region. The large-scale production of small arms and light weapons in the past, com- Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro bined with the lack of legislative controls and the weakness of customs and border controls, has exacerbated the problem, with weapons still readily available on the illegal arms markets. Organised crime and the related drugs, small arms, and human trafficking further impact on human rights and the security of persons. They are also major factors behind the widespread corruption in the judiciary and public administration, and thus distort markets and undermine the rule of law. The Environment In Serbia and Montenegro degradation of the environment and natural resources, following rapid industrial development after World War II, intensified again during the 1990s, which was characterized by economic sanctions and conflict. During that period there was (i) lack of investment in cleaner technologies and in environmental protection, management and monitoring, (ii) uncontrolled exploitation of natural resources, and (iii) use of low quality energy sources encouraged by low energy prices. The NATO intervention in 1999 damaged key military and industrial installations and considerable quantities of toxic chemicals were released in the air, soil and water, posing immediate threats to human health and the environment. As a result, four “environmental hotspots” were identified in September 1999. Presently, most environmental pressure in Serbia and Montenegro comes from urban areas and their industries, causing immediate environmental health risks to urban populations. Overall, there is a need for improvement of basic monitoring and enforcement capacities whose development has been restricted by low public sector environmental expenditures. Limited monitoring and reporting of environmental quality represent serious obstacles to the development of comprehensive environmental plans and strategies and will hamper efforts to achieve and monitor the MDGs for environment. In line with requirements of a Stabilization and Association Agreement in preparation for EU accession, Serbia and Montenegro will need to ratify a number of key international environmental agreements as well as establish the proper management systems for their implementation. Harmonization with EU environmental legislation will also necessitate higher expenditures. In addition, inter-ministerial coordination mechanisms for sustainable development need to be strengthened and environmental principles adequately integrated in the socio-economic development programmes and plans of Serbia and Montenegro. Civil society participation in environmental planning and management should be stronger as well. Executive Summary 9 10 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro BACKGROUND The former Yugoslavia was a founding member state of the United Nations in 1945, and according to the Constitution it became the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY) between 1974 and 1992. Four decades of relative prosperity followed after World War II, with high levels of human, scientific, and economic development. It was exceptional in the socialist bloc in developing a mixed economy and its citizens enjoyed relative freedom of movement. It participated actively as a donor in international development cooperation, and many Yugoslavs were leaders in international organizations and in various technical fields. It was also a leading member of the nonaligned movement. But the SFRY disintegrated in the early 1990s, the moment of greatest historical opportunity for postcommunist transition and European integration. The break-up of the SFRY and the ensuing decade of tragic Balkan wars led to the emergence of the new states of Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Slovenia, and the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia; each gradually accepted as new member states of the United Nations. The residual Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (FRY), consisting of the two republics of Montenegro and Serbia, came into being in 1992. However the FRY’s claim to be the unique successor state of the SFRY was not accepted by the international community, and it remained effectively excluded from the United Nations. Between 1991 – 1996 the UN Security Council imposed a set of sanctions on FRY in accordance with its resolutions comprising an arms embargo, comprehensive economic trade sanctions and banned financial, scientific, technical and cultural cooperation. After the signing of the Dayton Peace Accord, all UN sanctions were lifted in October 1996. Several years after the Dayton Accords which settled the conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and which imposed several obligations on the FRY, a new conflict erupted, this time within the FRY itself in the province of Kosovo. This led to countrywide destruction of key infrastructure by NATO bombing, and an eventual military deployment by NATO in Kosovo. In accordance with UN Security Council resolution 1244, in 1999 Kosovo was placed under the direct administration of the United Nations, whilst respecting FRY sovereignty over it. A separate UN mission, UNMIK, now administers Kosovo pending a resolution of its final status. In response to FRY’s policies during the escalating crisis in Kosovo, in 1998 a new set of sanctions were imposed against Serbia by the USA and EU, including an arms and oil embargo, a ban on all investment, cancellation of preferential trade status, freezing of assets in the banks, and ban on trade with all Serbian enterprises excluding those who could prove disassociation with the regime. Those sanctions were lifted in late 2000 after the fall of the Milosevic regime. The Kosovo conflict, amongst many other tragic consequences, led to the displacement of a large number of persons, initially ethnic Albanians who then returned, and subsequently ethnic Serbs, Roma, and other groups, many of who remain internally displaced in other parts of Serbia and Montenegro. The FRY also continued to host a large population of Croatian and Bosnia and Herzegovinian refugees of mainly Serb ethnicity. A majority of the refugees have opted to take SCG citizenship and to integrate. However, a significant number remain in a very vulnerable condition, and unable so far to exercise their right of return. In October 2000, the internationally isolated Milosevic regime was overthrown through massive peaceful protests following defeat in a democratic election. A new government was sworn in at Federal level, followed by a new democratic government in Serbia in early 2001. The FRY, abandoning its claim to be the unique successor state to the former SFRY, joined the United Nations on 1 November 20002, in effect as a new member state. The first meeting, in July 2002, of the presidents of Bosnia, Croatia and FRY since the wars of the 1990s at a summit in the Bosnian capital, Sarajevo, saw agreement reached to strengthen regional cooperation. Whilst largely symbolic, the meeting had huge historic value and was seen in the Balkans as an important moment. The UN Observation Mission also left the disputed peninsula of Prevlaka, after FRY and Croatia reached a temporary agreement on Prevlaka. In August 2002 over 70,000 people went to the polls in south-eastern Serbia’s first local elections since a peace deal ended more than 15 months of civil conflict. Two ethnic Albanian mayors were returned from 2 See UN General Assembly resolution A/RES/55/12 of 1 November 2000. Background 11 the three municipalities. The region has benefited from a significant UN system-led international aid package. For one third of 2002 the Serbian Parliament did not sit due to a disagreement about mandates amongst the DOS (Democratic Opposition of Serbia) coalition (of 18 parties), which had overseen the democratic changes since the overthrow of the Milosevic regime in October 2000. The Federal Parliament saw a continued boycott by political forces during 2002. Government gridlock and the consequent lack of an interlocutor, at Federal and Serbian levels, for much of the year, seriously hampered dialogue with external partners on a number of issues, including access to some World Bank and other donor funds. The EU-brokered Belgrade Agreement on the restructuring of relations between Serbia and Montenegro, signed on 14 March 2002, was the first step towards the restructuring of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. Following on the Belgrade Agreement, a UN-sponsored Strategic Round-Table on Governance Transition was held in mid 20023, bringing together the country’s top leadership at federal and republic levels with a panel of eminent international advisors, thus effectively contributing to widening the public debate on the nature and thrust of constitutional reforms. Follow-up included government steps to manage the transition and the strengthening of capacity building in key institutions; especially those that would inherit significant devolved responsibilities under the new decentralization policies. The Constitutional Charter for the looser state union of “Serbia and Montenegro” to replace the FRY under the terms of the Belgrade Agreement was finally adopted in December 2002. After two years of progressive reforms and following almost a year of EUbrokered negotiations, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia was thereby transformed into a looser State Union of Serbia and Montenegro in early February 2003. Under the new Constitutional Charter adopted in December 2002, the State Union conducts international relations as a single country and is represented by one President and five ministries (foreign affairs, defence, international economic relations, internal economic relations, human and minority rights). There are currently four active legislatures on the territory of the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro (excluding Kosovo), i.e. the Parliament of Serbia and Montenegro, the National Assemblies of the Republics of Serbia and Montenegro respectively, and the Assembly of Vojvodina; active legislatures also exist at the local level. All the assembly members are directly elected, except those of the State Union Parliament who are elected by the Members of the republican chambers. The new State Union of Serbia and Montenegro on 7 March 2003 elected a new State Union President Svetozar Marovic, replacing former FRY President Vojislav Kostunica, and the new Union Council of Ministers have taken office. In Montenegro successful local elections were held in May 2003. Montenegro elected a new President, Filip Vujanovic in May 2003. On the other hand, the fruitless elections4 held to determine the next President of Serbia should serve as a warning of the fragility of the democratisation and reform processes so far. Serbia still has no elected President, with the Speaker of the National Assembly instead acting, although elections have now been called for 16 November 2003. The Serbian Constitution is meanwhile being revised. Within this context, the judicial and security sectors are faced with major restructuring, and the consequences of the delay in proceeding become only too apparent on 12 March 2003 when the Serbian Prime Minister was assassinated, affecting both the credibility of attempts to ensure effective democratic and civilian oversight, as well as the fight against organized crime and corruption. For six weeks from mid-March 2003 a state of emergency was declared in Serbia. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Serbia and Montenegro notified the UN Secretary-General of its derogation from certain human rights obligations. The UN/OHCHR office in Belgrade worked intensively with the authorities to ensure that the derogation provisions, ten in all, remained consistent with international standards5. Among the 1,000 or so who remain detained, UN/OHCHR and OSCE have found conditions to be inconsistent with international standards. The International Commission of Jurists has also communicated to the authorities its reservations about non-respect of international standards in relation to the independence of the judiciary. It is widely per- 3 This Strategic Round-Table was organized at the request of national leaders and after consultations with the EU and other internation- al partners. 4 Two attempts were made to elect a President of Serbia. Both failed due to the turnout being below the stipulated 50% of registered voters. 5 In particular, in relation to General Comment no. 29 of the Human Rights Committee, and the relevant provisions dealing with states of emergency, of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (article 4), and the International Convention against Torture (article 2). 12 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro ceived that personnel changes are urgently needed. A clean-out is already underway, initially on the basis of age criteria, and specific cases of corruption that are coming to light. By some accounts, the current crisis is symptomatic of the disconnect between the rapid pace of economic reforms and the weaker pace of law, judicial, and socio-political reforms including an effective separation of powers between the legislative, the judiciary and the executive, as well as for effective democratic civilian control of the security forces. Recognizing the risks of systemic instability, democratic leaders have called for a reuniting of democratic forces to overcome recent divisions so as to protect the gains of democratisation and recent reforms. Such political cohesion will be essential to move forward the legislative backlog pending before Parliament, which is key to structural and sectoral reforms. The mixed record of compliance with ICTY obligations, combined with clandestine arms trading with Iraq and Liberia (in breach of Security Council resolutions), risked exposing FRY in late 2002 to the opprobrium of the international community, or worse, a slide back to international pariah status with renewed international sanctions. However, following the advent of the State Union in early 2003, and the dramatic events of March 2003, a new determination seems to have emerged to fully meet ICTY obligations, be more transparent with the Western partners and move forward with the reform of the Army. It is worth noticing that lately, the Prosecutor of the ICTY decided to consider ceding in the future to the jurisdiction of the State Union certain cases, once the country adopts adequate legislation on war crimes trials and develops the necessary capacity. This is a defining moment for Serbia and Montenegro. Today, as recent months have shown, democracy in Serbia and Montenegro appears strong enough to not only survive, but to thrive. As for the future, there is no question that the major anchor for further reforms seems to be the widespread and deep-felt aspiration to join the European Union. The EU prospect hangs out there as the ultimate litmus test for normalisation and completion of regional and international integration. The question is: does Serbia and Montenegro have the institutional strength to engage in new contractual obligations on the road to EU accession? It is not yet a member of the EU, but has been a new member of the UN for the past (almost) three years. How well has it fulfilled its obligations of membership in the UN, and what does this tell of its readiness to undertake new binding international commitments? Background Serbia and Montenegro has acceded to the six core UN human rights treaties that FRY had ratified. In 2003, Serbia and Montenegro demonstrated its readiness to assume its reporting responsibilities under these treaties by completing long overdue reports under the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights and the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights. In both Serbia and Montenegro, inter-Ministerial committees have also begun work on reporting to the Committee Against Torture (CAT), the Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW), the Committee on the Rights of the Child (CRC) and the Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination (CERD) with an ambitious plan to complete reports to these treaty bodies by the end of 2003. Of importance here is not only the submission of overdue reports, but also the extent to which the Government uses this as an opportunity to systematically review its legislation and practice against international standards. Equally important will be the readiness of the Government to implement the recommendations of the treaty bodies when the reports are reviewed. There is no question now of Serbia and Montenegro’s commitment to the Millennium Declaration, to the upholding of human rights, to the pursuit of the Millennium Development Goals. And expressions of formal adherence to UNSCR 1244 as well as for full compliance with obligations to ICTY are frequent. However, performance paints a mixed picture of limited success and great effort in some quarters, earnest support by some leaders, mixed with a pattern of political wrangling, less-than-full compliance, delays and opportunities lost, and singularly weak and sometimes ineffective institutions.There would seem, apart from perhaps the overall EU prospect, to be little common vision as to what the future of this country should be. The need for a process of capturing national aspirations, forging political consensus, and driving a national vision, could never have been greater than now. What role then should the UN system and its agencies, funds, and programmes play in helping shape the country’s future? The answer to this question will form the basis for the UN Development Assistance Framework to be developed in the latter part of 2003. This present Common Country Assessment should provide the basic analysis that will underpin the choice of future main areas of cooperation. As Serbia and Montenegro proceeds towards greater European integration, meeting European norms and 13 standards, it will also increasingly fulfil its role as a member state of the UN. Conversely too, improved performance in respecting international obligations enhances prospects of EU accession eligibility. A crucial horizon for the UN system in the country must be the day when Serbia and Montenegro engages as a full contributor to the work of the UN worldwide, including as a donor, and when UN operational activities can be successfully concluded – under circumstances that the EU, IFIs, the Stability Pact and the UN system in partnership with others will have contributed to achieving. This document has adopted the following nomenclature: “Serbia” refers to the “Republic of Serbia”, “Montenegro” to the “Republic of Montenegro”, and “Serbia and Montenegro” means the State Union of the two republics. The analysis of Serbia and Montenegro in this document does not include the UN-administered province of Kosovo. 14 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro INTRODUCTION After the downfall of the Milosevic regime in October 2000 the UN system, in consultation with the national authorities and external partners, began a shift away from a humanitarian focus to a longer-term developmental one, based on the needs for structural reform and institutional capacity-building rooted in the principles of good governance that had been widely adopted internationally during the decade of Yugoslav isolation. Much has been achieved in almost three years of democracy since the ousting of the Milosevi? regime. The visit of the UN Secretary-General to Serbia and Montenegro in November 2002 signalled a recognition of progress made since the democratic changes of October 2000, and encouragement for further efforts to meet international obligations, advance European integration, and continue the path of socio-economic reforms, as well as to address the issue of durable solutions for war-affected persons. However, many stumbling blocks remain. Many state institutions are weak, depleted of expertise, and in need of restructuring and capacity development. Public administration reform is essential, and should initiate new forms of public-private partnerships, especially in the area of service delivery. A new approach to the role of the state must be further strengthened whereby government provides the legal and regulatory framework, but does not necessarily hold direct ownership or exercise operational control over large parts of the economy. Many economic reforms are making good headway, with currency stabilisation and macroeconomic stability restored and the successful privatisation of internationally attractive holdings yielding growing inward investment. But poverty levels are dramatic and a serious potential source of rising discontent particularly since it is associated with rising unemployment. Social gains from the early reforms are not yet evident enough to the majority of citizens. For the first year in over a decade, no United Nations Humanitarian Appeal was launched for the Balkans in 2003, indicative of the normalization of the subregion. However, there are residual needs for refugees and IDPs. Also, marginalized and vulnerable groups such as the Roma and other minorities Introduction experiencing discrimination require the focused attention of the national authorities and international partners. A positive measure was the adoption of the Law on Minorities and the ratification of the European Convention on Minorities. The quest for durable solutions for the special plight of refugees and IDPs has led several UN agencies to co-sponsor the development of an overall strategy by the Government. However its implementation is still work in progress, and the Government and UN agencies remain focused on this important national issue. Effective implementation of Security Council Resolution 1244 on Kosovo, and determination of its final status, will provide an impetus to concrete action for the IDP population. The improvement of bilateral relations with neighbours, especially Croatia, will also enable progress for refugee return, although property rights remain difficult to exercise. A Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) process has begun in both Serbia and Montenegro. The approach taken is that poverty is multi-dimensional and includes not only insufficient income, but also a lack of livelihood opportunities, inadequate shelter and inadequate access to social protection, health, educational and public services. The PRSP will be one of the main frameworks for the international community’s assistance in dealing with poverty, vulnerability and social exclusion in the country. The FRY had been excluded from global partnerships for development in the 1990s and could not benefit from them. Now grants and concessional loans, the writing off of a large share of foreign debt, financial support from the IMF and loans approved under IDA conditions, and expected increases in FDI are all coming on-stream. During 2002, donor funding has shifted markedly from humanitarian assistance to normal development cooperation, and also from grants to loans, and in terms of overall volume there is a general downward trend. The shock of the Djindjic assassination has served as a wake-up call about the fragility of the transition, and the risk of premature donor disengagement. The recent influx of post-humanitarian international assistance had in many instances led on to new forms of parallel and complementary bilateral cooperation as donors establish a more solid presence on the ground in the country. This has taxed the coordination capabilities both of donors and of government, although it is hoped that the competition it often generates promotes higher standards of programme performance, and not wasteful duplication 15 of effort in a country that has been resource-starved for too long. Within the country, many have called for speedier disbursements by donors and a reduction in red tape. In early 2003, the authorities requested donors to speed up disbursements and increase budgetary support. Trading partner countries were also requested to reduce tariffs. Donor conferences were held in December 2000 and June 2001. The oft-postponed 3rd Donor Conference is now scheduled for late 2003. Both government and donors have drawn attention to the need for substantial institutional reform. International partners, such as the EU, EBRD, the Council of Europe, the World Bank, have reassured the country of steadfast support towards European integration. Some have expressed the view that a consistency of approach and message is now of paramount importance. Within this context, UN system activities accounted for over US$ 100 million in 2002. In all, about 700 UN system international and national personnel are engaged today in supporting these activities in Serbia and Montenegro (excluding Kosovo). The scale of this assistance6 during the early post-humanitarian transition is a vigorous affirmation of the role and effectiveness of multilateral development cooperation, and an expression of confidence in the reform efforts now underway. Uncertainties until early 2003 about the future of the then-Federal (FRY) administration, reflected in the radical restructuring of relations between Serbia and Montenegro and the advent of the looser State Union, meant that in 2001-2002 the major share of UN agencies’ efforts were focused at the working level on the two constituent republics and their governments and institutions. In March 2002, following the Government’s lead in launching the Serbian PRSP process in which the Millennium Development Goals are addressed, UNDP engaged in helping the establishment and facilitating the work of the Civil Society Advisory Committee (CSAC). The CSAC was established in December 2002 and consists of representatives of trade unions, NGOs and CBOs (Community Based Organisations). UNICEF, UNDP and UN/OHCHR constitute the core UN agencies representing the UN country team in the Development Partners Advisory Committee (DPAC), which also includes INGOs, and multi/bilateral donors. UNHCR has also been involved, advocating for the inclusion of refugees, IDPs and Roma in the PRSP process. The consultation process started in mid February 2003 and so far the CSAC and DPAC provided valuable inputs. The Common Country Assessment of the United Nations System in the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro is a major tool for the implementation of Secretary General’s Reform Programme for the United Nations system launched in 1997. The purpose of the assessment is to establish a common analytical foundation for use by agencies of the UN system to plan their activities in support of national priorities, with a focus on the Millennium Declaration and the MDGs. Both the Serbian and Montenegrin governments have expressed their full partnership in the CCA/UNDAF process, following meetings which the Resident Coordinator had with the late Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic (Serbia) at the end of January, and his successor – Prime Minister Zoran Zivkovic, and Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic (Montenegro) during February 2003. At the level of the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs designated a focal point to participate in the process, and the Ministry of International Economic Relations has also actively participated. Preparation process. In Serbia, the CCA process coincided with the preparation of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) prepared by the Government of Serbia in partnership with the World Bank. The CCA preparation benefited from a first draft of the PRSP, which was made public in mid-May 2003. At that time the PRSP preparation process was beginning in Montenegro and it is expected to be completed in Autumn 2003. The CCA relies extensively on draft PRSPs from both Montenegro and Serbia. The CCA preparation also benefited from the several studies and analyses produced by a variety of national and international institutions, as well as Government policy and strategy documents. The process of preparation has drawn considerably on the 6 A Compendium of UN System Activities in Serbia and Montenegro is being issued in tandem with this CCA, as a companion volume. It lays out a wealth of diverse activities undertaken by the UN system in FRY. The UN Country Team of agencies funds, programmes, and other UN and associate bodies comprises 13 different UN related entities: UNICEF, UNDP, UNEP, FAO, WFP, WHO, UNHCR, UN/OHCHR, UN/OCHA, UNLO, UNMIK/Belgrade, UNICTY and IOM. The World Bank, IMF, and IFC are customarily invited to attend UNCT meetings. In March 2002, the Secretary-General appointed the first UN Resident Coordinator. 16 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro work already done at national level in monitoring of the Millennium Development Goals. During its preparation the CCA has made use of participatory methods such as causality analysis and small workshops within the UN Country Team (UNCT). The UNCT in Serbia and Montenegro is preparing a CCA for the first time. Early in 2003, the UNDP Resident Representative and UN Resident Coordinator, the Representative of WHO and a staff from UNICEF, attended a training session in Tarrytown, New York. Upon their return a UNCT staff retreat was held to prepare the CCA process. In order to identify and analyse the key issues five thematic groups were established in mid-March 2003. These were: Human Development, Human Security, Rule of Law, Governance and Institutions, and Environment. A core support team composed of international and national staff from UN agencies was assigned to facilitate the work of the theme groups, compile inputs and drafts and prepare elements of a working document for an international consultant who would quickly review the draft before presentation to the Readers’ Group of external agencies’ regional staff. The CCA preparation process did not benefit from any other external assistance except that of consultants who helped with the writing and editing. tance framework (UNDAF) for Serbia and Montenegro, for 2004 and beyond. This will chart out the main areas where the combined strength of the UN system can best be brought to bear in facilitating and supporting sustainable human development change in the country in the years to come, complementary to the efforts of other actors and in full partnership with government at all levels, including with civil society. The UNCT earnestly hopes that this will enable and promote the achievement of the global United Nations Millennium Development Goals and other targets subscribed to by Serbia and Montenegro. In addition, two stakeholders’ workshops were held, in Belgrade on 15 July and in Podgorica on 8 August respectively, to present the draft CCA and to obtain feedback from a wide range of partners, including in the Government, in civil society, in academia, and amongst other members of international community. Several subsequent written submissions were received from various ministries at the level of the state union and from each republic government, as well as from other partners, to provide information and data and/or to share analyses or institutional or stakeholder perspectives. Scope. The CCA exercise has adopted a human rights-based approach and life-cycle perspective where appropriate, with special reference not just to the MDGs, but also to the other salient elements of the United Nations Millennium Declaration7 and the Millennium Roadmap8. These are of special importance to this country’s stability, recovery, and international integration at this time. Follow up. The UN Country Team will use this common country assessment (CCA) in the second half of 2003 to develop a common UN development assis7 See “United Nations Millennium Declaration” , UN General Assembly resolution in document A/RES/55/2 of 18 September 2000. 8 See “Road map towards the implementation of the United Nations Millennium Declaration – Report of the Secretary-General”, UN General Assembly document A/56/326 of 6 September 2001. Introduction 17 18 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 2. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS • Security of persons • Environment. MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW OF SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO The UN Country Team in Serbia and Montenegro (SCG) has adopted the view that SCG has a number of distinctive features that warrant a tailored and perhaps unique approach to the CCA/UNDAF exercise. In the first instance, SCG’s situation is characterized as a post-crisis environment with an over-hang of specific international obligations such as in relation to ICTY, or pursuant to the Dayton and Kumanovo Accords, or in relation to UN Security Council Resolution 1244. The presence of some members of the UNCT in SCG is largely intended to support cooperation in specific areas that relate to such accords and resolutions. This lends a special importance to other aspects of the UN Millennium Declaration, beyond the parameters of the eight Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). In fact these other elements of the Millennium Declaration, such as peace and security, governance, the rule of law, and human rights, must be considered as essential foundations for the nurturing of an enabling environment in which to sustainably address the challenge of the MDGs. Furthermore, whilst the MDGs have an over-riding importance both for the country and for the UN system presence here, they must be contextualised somewhat differently in each of SCG’s two republics, namely, in Montenegro, and in Serbia. The UNCT also recognizes that the PRSP processes underway in both Serbia and in Montenegro are addressing the gamut of MDGs in an increasingly holistic albeit not exhaustive way. In fact, each PRSP lays an important foundation for deriving meaningful future anti-poverty programmes, and inter-related other development activities. By adopting a rights-based approach to its analysis of human development, the CCA aims to add value to the work already undertaken in the PRSPs, and to highlight a number of issues where it feels further attention is merited by policy-makers, and where the support of UN system agencies can make a worthwhile contribution over the years to come. For these reasons, the CCA strategic analysis covers the following main areas: • Human development • Governance and the rule of law Strategic Analysis Armed conflicts, international sanctions, and trade shocks resulting from the break-up of the SFRY led to a 50 percent output decline over 1990-1993, and a sharp increase in unemployment and poverty. A slow recovery ensued in 1994 after the end of hyperinflation, but the re-imposition of international sanctions, supply disruptions, and the destruction of physical infrastructure related to the Kosovo crisis produced a severe output contraction in 1999. High inflation and under-investment depleted the capital stock and led to erratic growth and high structural unemployment. These problems were magnified by distortive fiscal, monetary, and structural policies. Production and trade were hampered by exchange rate misalignments, an inefficient external tariff regime, an adverse business environment, and chronically high inflation. Resources were diverted from productive uses through loss-making public enterprises, unaffordable social programs, and bloated government. The public finance system was undermined by extensive quasifiscal activities. High-level corruption further turned funds away from vital economic and social goals. The renewed transition to market economy and democratic society in Serbia and Montenegro (SCG) started with the establishment of the new Serbian Government in January 2001 and sometime earlier in Montenegro. The legacy of 1990s – devastated industry, chronic inflation, collapsed banking sector, destroyed infrastructure, emigration of professionals, decline in personal incomes, growth of informal sector etc.; created difficult initial conditions for the new reformist Serbian Government. By 2000, recorded per capita GDP had fallen to about one half of its 1989 level. Large domestic and external debts were accumulated, with the latter reaching around 133 percent of GDP in 2000. Poor economic performance adversely affected living standards of the vast majority of the SCG population. In Serbia, the most recent surveys (conducted in preparation for the PRSP) show that 10.6% of population lives below the poverty line. These data also show a clustering of the population just above the poverty line, indicating that many families could easily fall into absolute poverty as a result of small income shocks. The increase in poverty during the 1990s was fuelled by deterioration in social protection, education and health services, as available financing fell below existing entitlement levels. In the 19 same period unemployment was permanently increasing, in both the formal and informal economy. The effects of poor economic management were compounded by international sanctions from 1992 to 1996 and again from 1998 to 2000. In breaking with this difficult legacy, the former Federal Yugoslav and Republican governments have followed a two-pronged approach combining stabilization measures with the first steps in an agenda of structural reforms aimed at initiating the delayed transition. Motivated by the need to manage hidden fiscal liabilities, the authorities’ key instrument for macroeconomic stabilization has been the adjustment of fiscal deficits towards levels financeable from noninflationary sources. This policy shift has been supported by initial reforms of public financial management and the tax system, and through progress in adjusting or freeing prices to contain quasi-fiscal risks in the form of losses of key state enterprises. In parallel the National Bank of Serbia (previously the National Bank of Yugoslavia) led a tight monetary policy mainly reflected in a stable exchange rate. These tighter macroeconomic policies were supported by an IMF programme for FRY approved in December 2000, followed by a Stand By Arrangement (SBA) for US$249 million equivalent approved in June 2001. In May 2002, the IMF Executive Board approved a three-year arrangement for FRY (SCG) under the Extended Arrangement of US$829 million equivalent spanning the period through end-March 2005. Such an arrangement was a prerequisite for implementing the 66 per cent debt reduction negotiated with the Paris Club in November 2001, which cuts SCG’s debt by 51 percent upon approval of the Extended Arrangement, and by a further 15 per cent upon its successful completion. Extended Arrangement macroeconomic objectives include: (a) achieving GDP growth of 5 per cent in 2003-05; (b) reducing Serbia’s inflation from 39 percent in 2001 to 5 percent in 2005; and (c) reducing SCG’s current account deficit (before grants) from 9.7 percent of GDP in 2001 to 7.9 percent in 2005. The second pillar of the governments’ strategies was an initiation of structural and institutional reforms across a wide front. In Serbia, reform of the financial sector, the establishment of transparent procedures for privatisation of state and socially owned enterprises, and improvements in the tax regime and liberalization of foreign trade policy, have combined to provide a basis for stimulating near-term growth and creating the basis for a sustainable supply response. Legal and judicial reforms, as well as those in public expenditure management, taxes, and customs are backed by an anti-corruption strategy for improving governance and institutions. This was also supported by eliminating the main sources of quasi-fiscal deficits (primarily in the energy sector). Significant social sector reforms included major changes to key parameters of the pension system and noticeable improvements in the regularity of pension payments. These changes placed the pension system on a more sustainable basis. The Montenegrin government began implementing reforms in the late 1990s, with significant technical and financial support from the EU and USAID. The effects of these reforms were limited by the negative impacts of other factors (the Kosovo conflict, unresolved relations within the Federation, and regional issues), as well as by the limited internal capacity to implement these policies. This early programme of macroeconomic reforms in Montenegro was based on two pillars: (i) the gradual introduction of the German Mark as the sole legal tender (later replaced by the euro), and (ii) substantial donor financing to cover the fiscal and external deficits. Beginning in 2001, the second pillar was changed by a move to more sustainable levels of external of financing, which in turn required renewed and concerted fiscal adjustment. By removing an important source of outside pressure, the political changes in Serbia produced a more conducive environment for deeper structural reform in Montenegro. Key areas of recent progress include fiscal reform (e.g. introduction of VAT, measures on both expenditures and revenues side aimed to decrease deficits, production of more realistic budgets, introduction of a treasury system, and increased transparency), the privatisation programme (mass voucher privatisation was completed during the past two years - with almost 90 per cent of the population participating, and there is now a renewed focus on the privatisation of “strategic” companies, banks and hotels through tenders), moving energy tariffs towards cost-recovery levels, and completing the legal framework for the enterprise and financial sectors. Recent Economic Developments. Strong implementation of these government programmes largely supported by the IFIs (international financial institutions) and other donors, has brought visible progress, while laying the foundations for a sustained recovery and improved living standards. In Serbia, twelve-month inflation declined from 115 per cent at the end of 2000 to 39 per cent at the end of 2001, and further to 14.8 per cent at the end of 2002.9 Planned inflation for 2003 is around 9 per cent (Dec/Dec). Despite a formal managed float, the nominal exchange rate of the 9 Underlying inflation, net of the effects of adjustment of administered prices, is below 10 per cent per year. 20 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Serbian dinar to the euro (previously DM) has remained broadly stable and unified since December 2000 until end of 2002. During the first half of 2003 the dinar depreciated by 6 per cent against the euro. FRY’s official foreign reserves reached US$2.3 billion at the end of 2002 (3.4 months’ of projected imports), exceeding IMF programme targets. At the same time personal savings in foreign currencies reached US$800 million. Real GDP has rebounded from a decline of about 16 per cent in 1999, growing by 5.5 per cent in 2001 and around 4 per cent in 2002, though industrial production stagnated in 2001 and showed only a modest recovery of 1.7 per cent in 2002. Services and agriculture have recorded faster growth rates in the last two years. Even though the business climate was severely damaged by the assassination of the Serbian Prime Minister, privatisation – both through tenders and auctions, is accelerating. The most significant cases of privatisation are of the two largest tobacco producers which brought more than US$ 600 million of privatisation receipts. Important was also the sale of oil-retailer Beopetrol (total value of the business is more than US$ 200 million). In Montenegro, real GDP has recovered slowly from the 9 per cent contraction of 1999 (which reflected the impact of the Kosovo conflict). Montenegro recorded growth of around 4 per cent in 2000, and about 2 per cent during the last two years. This growth has been fuelled by three sectors: trade, transport and construction. At the same time, industrial production is stagnating near its 2000 level (growth in 2002 was 0.6%). Inflation has decreased from 24 per cent in 2001 to a still substantial 9.4 per cent in 2002, despite having the euro as its legal tender. Montenegro recently started the implementation of the VAT system, which may bring some structural near-term effects on prices so the projected inflation for 2003 would be 9 per cent. The cash-based consolidated fiscal deficit (before official grants) for SCG increased from 1 per cent of GDP in 2000 to an estimated 5 per cent in 2002. For 2003 the consolidated budget deficit is projected to be on the level of 4.5 per cent of GDP. This is because the expenditure savings from the structural reform programme were initially outweighed by the more realistic budgeting of commitments (i.e. lower accumulation of arrears), and the bringing on budget of some quasi-fiscal activities (e.g. through higher energy prices and explicit subsidization which contained the losses of state-owned power companies). More recently, the deficit has been impacted by an increase in debt service payments and the coming on stream of some donor-financed public investments. The increase in fiscal deficit has been managed in a man- ner consistent with stabilization due to the strong inflow of donor funding since 2000. Despite this good progress, the fiscal position remains fragile. Medium-Term Prospects Growth prospects. Robust growth in SCG in 2000 and 2001 was primarily driven by one-off rebounds from earlier shocks. Under the assumption of continued decisive stabilization and reforms and substantial support from donors and creditors, real output is expected to grow at a slightly lower but more sustainable annual rate of around 4 per cent from 2002 onwards. Near-term growth is expected to be driven by exports, a more vibrant SME sector, successful implementation of the privatisation process, improved balance in the energy sector, and greater donor financing of investments. These factors are expected to outweigh the contractionary near-term impact of further fiscal adjustment and the remaining transitional recession. Medium-term growth will also be driven by greater productivity and enhanced financial intermediation, the entry of new firms, large state-owned enterprises’ restructuring, infrastructure rehabilitation and investments in new productive capacity. The GDP growth rate for 2003 is lower than originally projected and is projected to be between 3.5 and 4.5 per cent. The limited domestic sources of budget financing and the reduction in external financing to more sustainable levels will require a phased reduction in fiscal deficits. In such a difficult setting, counterpart funding from donors will work to ensure that the overall fiscal adjustment is not excessively abrupt. Fiscal Considerations Since December 2000, a stabilization programme supported by the IMF has been in place. In both Republics, reforms affect both the revenue side (simplified tax structure, more efficient revenue administration), and the expenditure side (improved budget management, reform of the pension system, phasing out quasi-fiscal activities). The new Laws on the Budget System (LBS), adopted by Montenegro in 2001 and by Serbia in early 2002, outline further stages of reforms.9a Fiscal reforms are continuing and aim to ensure medium-term sustainability, while quasi-fiscal activities are being phased out. The need to sustain the momentum of reform is dictated by the upward pressure on public expenditure driven by the social costs of adjustment, the depletion of public capital stock, and 9a For further information on this analysis see the World Bank “Public Expenditure and Institutional Review”, 2003 Strategic Analysis 21 the resumption of external debt servicing. Interest on debt is rising steeply in both Republics, due to the normalization of their relations with external creditors. Sustainability cannot be enhanced by a further increase in overall tax rates, since this could damage growth. Consolidation is attainable only via resolute cuts of policy over-commitments. Fiscal adjustment must be expanded beyond the budget system to the broader public sector, which harbours declining, but still large quasi-fiscal deficits. Structural reforms of the social safety net and the health care system must continue to ensure their sustainability. In both Republics, social protection systems are under massive strain from the short-term impacts of restructuring and price liberalization on citizens' incomes and the rise in the number of beneficiaries due to refugees becoming citizens. The health system is facing similar pressure coupled with structural inefficiencies and a lack of accountability and monitoring mechanisms. Serbia has taken initial steps to curb spending on pensions, but both Republics need to implement systemic reforms to contain the fiscal pressures emanating from the pension system. Public wage expenditures are above the regional averages in both Republics, and in Montenegro their level is among the highest in the region – even if wages per capita are amongst the lowest in the region. Of particular relevance is the need to elaborate and implement an effective public sector reform of employment and wage policy. Too many people are earning too little at the cost of the state. The state needs to pay less people more in order to create incentive structures for recruitment, retention, and professionalization in the public service, and to ensure quality services to all the people. Budget subsidies to inefficient public enterprises have declined over the past few years in Montenegro, and are now low, but in Serbia they remain above regional averages and rising. Spending on maintenance and investment is clearly insufficient to properly maintain the core public assets of both Republics. Cuts in capital spending are still being used to balance the budget in a time of adversity. This is now beginning to change. Defense spending has been declining, but is still at more than twice the CEE average, and is not aligned with a security strategy appropriate to today’s threat environment, which needs to be developed. Civilian and democratic parliamentary oversight is essential to ensure that effective reforms and modernization are transparent and affordable, and that the interests of state security and human security converge. Strong internal and external audit functions are key to the smooth functioning of the public spending system, assuring integrity in public services and strengthening the credibility of the government. Within the government, strong internal audit should be the key means of management control. Through internal audits, the government is assured that it has procedures and systems in place to minimize the potential for fraud, waste, and abuse of public resources, and that these procedures and systems are operating. At the same time, there exists a need for an independent external audit institution that could safeguard the usage of public funds and the quality and credibility of reported fiscal data. In less than two years since the democratic Government of Serbia assumed power, it has made impressive strides in addressing the daunting legacy of past public expenditure management practices. Measures were taken to bring diverse extra-budgetary taxes on budget, while enhancing the efficiency of the tax system. Budgetary arrears have been reduced, public sector wages were kept relatively constant, and the build-up of contingent liabilities was arrested. In 2002 reforms accelerated under the new Law on the Budget System. More recently, a Public Procurement Law was passed, based on good international practice, and a Public Procurement Agency (PPA) established. Last but not least, the government has demonstrated commendable progress in tackling corruption: it has formulated a national anticorruption strategy and has put in place an institutional framework to deliver it. A nongovernmental Anticorruption Council has been established to advise the Government and monitor the implementation of its strategy. First steps were made to tackle corruption in ten large public enterprises, through a special unit9b within the Ministry of Finance and Economy (MOFE) dedicated to monitoring their financial performance. BASIC CONCEPTS The United Nations is founded on the principles of peace, justice, freedom and human rights. The global conferences of the last decade that culminated in the Millennium Assembly reaffirmed that democracy, development, security and respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms are interdependent and mutually reinforcing. In his 1997 Programme for Reform, the Secretary General called on all entities of the UN system to mainstream human rights in their various activities and programmes within the framework of their respective mandates. The Integrated Guidelines of 22 May 2002 for the Common Country Assessment (CCA) and United Nations Development 9b The Public Utilities Restructuring Unit, supported through the Capacity Building Fund (CBF). 22 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Assistance Framework (UNDAF) place strong emphasis on the commitments, goals and targets of the Millennium Declaration and other international conferences, and on the international human rights instruments. The human development paradigm places people at centre-stage of development and seeks to expand choices for all people – women, men and children. The purpose of human development is to create an enabling environment in a peaceful and pluralistic society in which all human beings lead long, secure and creative lives in dignity and can enjoy their civil, cultural, economic, political and social rights. In other words, the essential choices for people are leading a long and healthy life, acquiring knowledge, and having access to resources needed to ensure a decent standard of living. Human development also encompasses other choices ranging from political, economic and social freedom to opportunities for being creative and productive, enjoying self-respect and all human rights. Closely associated with human development and human rights is the notion of human security – so central to Serbia and Montenegro’s future prosperity and progress. In the words of Kofi Annan, Secretary General of the United Nations: “Human security in its broadest sense embraces far more than the absence of violent conflicts. It encompasses human rights, good governance, access to education and health care and ensuring that each individual has opportunities and choices to fulfil his or her own potential. Every step in this direction is also a step towards reducing poverty, achieving economic growth and preventing conflict. Freedom from want, freedom from fear and the freedom of future generations to inherit a healthy natural environment – these are the building blocks of human, and therefore national, security.” Human development is not sustainable where the rule of law and equity do not exist. Human development and human security are endangered by such factors as slow economic progress, political instability, ethnic, religious or sexual discrimination, social and economic displacement, growing violence, increasing criminality, and the spread of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The impact of all these factors is increased human poverty and deprivation. Human rights, refers to those rights that have been recognized by the United Nations and are protected by international legal instruments. The 1986 UN Declaration on the Right to Development proclaimed Strategic Analysis that development is a human right. Nowadays, in the United Nations discourse, human rights and human development are understood as sharing a common vision and purpose, and as interrelated and mutually reinforcing for achieving social progress. Human rights are not only premised on liberties and freedoms, but also on the principles of universality, equality and non-discrimination, equitable access to public resources, participation, accountability, and justice. Poverty, as defined in the widest sense, and not just limited to income poverty, is itself recognised as a violation of human rights since it denies a wide range of rights, which are necessary to securing a quality of life commensurate with human dignity. At the same time, chronic discrimination, inequalities and social exclusion exacerbate poverty. In this CCA a human rights-based approach has been applied in assessing the human development situation in Serbia and Montenegro and is reflected in the analysis throughout the document. A human rightsbased approach provides a vision of what human development should strive to achieve based on the values, principles and standards embraced in the UN Charter, the 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights, and the legally binding international human rights treaties and conventions that have been ratified worldwide (including by Serbia and Montenegro, see list in Annex2). This approach uses the human rights principles and legal norms as a coherent framework for conducting a comprehensive analysis of the conditions of poverty and for defining goals and objectives that strive to ensure accountability and specific results in poverty reduction efforts. Human rights are backed by state obligations. This means that once a State has adopted a particular international convention or treaty, it is obliged to promote and protect the human rights covered by the convention. In examining the human development situation in Serbia and Montenegro, this CCA is guided by the following human rights principles: • Universality – Human rights are inherent to every man, woman and child simply by virtue of being human. Universality also means that every State has a duty to respect and protect all human rights, civil, cultural, economic, political and social contained in the international human rights instruments. • Equality and Non-Discrimination – men, women and children must enjoy equal rights and opportunities, including access to public resources, without discrimination as to race, sex, religion, ethnic origin, or other distinction. • Participation and Inclusion – all people should have active, free and meaningful participation in 23 public life, in the decisions that affect their lives, and in development and its outcomes. • Accountability – By voluntarily accepting the obligations in the human rights conventions and treaties, the State and all its actors have a duty to respect, protect and fulfil human rights, and to take steps towards their progressive achievement by undertaking legislative, administrative, judicial and other measures. Even where available resources are inadequate, the obligation remains to strive to ensure the widest possible enjoyment of the rights under the prevailing circumstances. The principle of accountability in a human rightsbased approach requires treating beneficiaries of development as “rights holders” entitled to claim their rights, and all the actors that have the obligation to fulfil human rights as the “duty bearers”. Consequently, the approach focuses on the capacity of both rights holders and duty bearers to claim their rights on the one hand, and to fulfil their obligations on the other. The Human Development Report 2003 has emphasised that the Millennium Goals, human development and human rights share a common motivation.10 It points out that achieving the Goals will contribute to the realization of human rights as recognized in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and other instruments. It further underscores the following: • Recognizing that the targets expressed in the Goals are not just development aspirations but also claimable rights has important implications. • Viewing the Goals in this way means that taking action to achieve them is an obligation, not a form of charity. • This approach creates a framework for holding various actors accountable, including governments, citizens, corporations and international organizations. • Viewing the Goals through a human rights framework increases understanding of the policies and institutional reforms required to achieve them. • The full realization of economic, social and cultural rights requires far more than achieving the Millennium Development Goals. But achieving the Goals is an important step towards that end. 2.a) HUMAN DEVELOPMENT SITUATION The Human Development Situation Viewed from a Human Rights Perspective In Serbia and Montenegro, post-conflict and economic stabilisation policies have helped restore some degree of political stability, reduce ethnic conflict and kick-start economic growth. But increasing insecurity, rising unemployment, widening inequalities and simmering social tensions threaten the fragile stability in the country. While traversing along the traditional path of furthering economic growth alone may seem expedient, it risks having enormous negative impacts on the situation of human development and the enjoyment of human rights in the country. The social reform process including capacity and institution building is critical to accelerate the transition phase. Simultaneously and urgently needed are more direct interventions that place people at the centre of reforms, restore confidence in democratic governance and political processes, promote greater economic and social cohesion, and reinstate a sense of security. Fighting poverty and improving the social protection system for the most disadvantaged and socially excluded groups and ensuring their equal access to employment, health and education are the human development imperatives of these times. An estimated 8.304 million people currently reside in Serbia and Montenegro (7,498,000 in Serbia11 and 660,000 in Montenegro.) There are also an estimated 375,500 refugees and 201,700 internally displaced people from Kosovo living in Serbia. In Montenegro, as well, there are 13,500 refugees and 29,400 internally displaced persons from Kosovo. Figures for both refugees and displaced persons are under review in 2003. The country’s population, both domiciled as well as refugee, is characterised by ageing, smaller families, and declining numbers in rural and remote areas. This is especially marked in Southeast and Western Serbia, and in rural parts of Montenegro. On the other hand, minorities (like the Roma and Albanians) show different demographic characteris- 10 Human Development Report 2003, UNDP publication p.28 11 For details on source of data see Annex 1 -Indicators 24 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro tics. They are relatively young populations (62 per cent less than 25 years of age with a high dependency ratio)12 with larger size families. Decreasing birth rates and increasing death rates have resulted in a negative natural population growth of 8 percent.13 In Montenegro, the trend is declining, although the estimated population growth rate remains positive (10.3 per cent). Demographic Trends According to the current age structure, Serbia has one of the oldest populations in Europe and the world (see Annex 1a*). Population growth rate in Serbia is another critical indicator depicting demographic collapse. Regionally, all 46 municipalities in Vojvodina have negative population growth rate, where 7 (15%) of them have critical over – (negative) 7 rate (Zitiste, Irig, Novi Knezevac, Plandiste, Nova Crnja, Secanj and Coka). The average population growth rate in central Serbia (117 municipalities) indicate that 17 municipalities have barely positive rate (0.11-2.80), while 5 municipalities (in Sandzak and in southern Serbia**) have “strong” over + 7 rate (Sjenica 7.26, Novi Pazar 10.72, Bujanovac 11.96, Tutin 12.55, and Presevo 20.33). 20 municipalities in central Serbia (17%) have critical over - (negative) 7 rate, where 8 municipalities (in southern and in eastern Serbia) stand out with over – (negative) 10 rate (Babusnica, Bela Palanka, Gadzin Han, Dimitrovgrad, Knjazevac, Knic, Razanj and Crna Trava***). The graphs depict shrinking birth rates and increasing mortality rates in both Serbia and Montenegro. In Serbia, since 1992, mortality rates are higher than birth rates, which results in negative trends in population growth rates. * “Census 2002: Intensive Aging of the Population ion Serbia”, Goran Penev, Center for Demographic Research – Social Science Institute, Belgrade, 2003 ** All Bosniac/Albanian ethnicity *** All Serb ethnicity *Source: Indicators Framework (see Annex 1) The reasons for the low birth rates are many and include relative poverty and the low quality of birth and pregnancy experienced by many mothers and fathers. War and sanctions are regarded to have been additional factors influencing fertility decisions.14 As Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen has observed in many other countries, when infant mortality decreases and the education of women increases, particularly of middle income and higher income, the fertility rate decreases. These factors also lead to the ageing of the population, which poses difficulties for the country to sustain when it has become poorer (see Annex 1: yearly per capita income is relatively low and was estimated at 1,136 US$ in 2002). Human development suffered a series of major setbacks during the decade of the 1990s. During the ten–year autocratic rule of Slobodan Milosevic, the country plunged into a severe economic and social crisis. The collapse of the market of former Yugoslavia in the early 1990s, sanctions of the UN Security Council against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and a severe crisis during the last decade of the 20th century led to a significant decline in economic activity. About one–third of the population was poor and as many people lived slightly above the 12 “The Roma in Serbia – Social Position of the Roma in Serbia” by Aleksandra Mitrovic and Gradimir Zajic, published by Council for Human Rights of the Center for Anti-War Action, Belgrade, 1998, p. 19 & 31 13 Federal Statistical Office data - 2002 14 Country Health Profile for the FR Yugoslavia - WHO internal document - September 1999. Strategic Analysis 25 poverty line. The middle class shrank and an extensive migration also of very well educated people started. Millions were forced to enter the gray economy so as to survive. In 2000, despite some economic revival, the level of real GDP was less than half of what it was in 1990 and well-educated professionals are still not able to work at the level of their preparation. Many large enterprises ceased to operate and industrial output declined. The hardest hit were the metal manufacturing industry and state–owned infrastructural enterprises including power plants, railways, roads and public transport. The economic and social conditions of large sectors of the population of Serbia and Montenegro deteriorated as income poverty spread, particularly among the poorest and most vulnerable groups such as the elderly, refugees and internally displaced persons, Roma and rural population. Shortfalls in income are not the only indicator of the impoverishment in people’s lives during this period. Non-income dimensions such as the undermining of human dignity and the growing sense of helplessness and insecurity in the face of larger socio-economic forces are perhaps the most keenly felt aspect of deprivation across all social groups. The phenomenon of poverty in Serbia and Montenegro is also a reflection of failures in protecting and fulfilling human rights over the ten year autocratic era, leading in turn to capability failure. In other words, the inability of citizens to pursue and attain the goals they value and to claim their rights and entitlements. Shortfalls and gaps in the realisation of economic and social rights – to education, to adequate food, to health, to decent work, to adequate housing – have made people increasingly vulnerable to human poverty during the last decade. Nevertheless, the most visible manifestations of the turbulence generated during the decade of transition in Serbia and Montenegro, have been the sharp decline in real incomes, the dramatic increase in levels of poverty and declines in standards of living. High inflation has contributed to sharp declines in real incomes. Even in 2001, the process of price liberalisation in Serbia continued and prices of electricity and utilities were gradually increased, leading to a relatively high level of inflation. However, in the second half of 2001, inflation showed a declining trend that continued into 2002. Wages, salaries and pension benefits were also severely affected in Serbia by the depreciation of the free-market exchange rate of the Dinar in relation to the German Mark by 100 per cent during 1999-2000. As a result, despite the recent economic revival, real GDP in Serbia in the year 2002 was less than half of what it was in 1990. 26 Poverty and Human Rights in Serbia and Montenegro MDG Box #1 Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Target: 1 Reduce by half the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a day. The PRSP in Serbia set both a consumption poverty line and a food poverty line. According to the assessment of the PRSP, 10.6 per cent of people live below the poverty line. Target 2: Reduce by half the proportion of people who suffer from hunger. The PRSP assessments for both Serbia and Montenegro found that hunger was not present. However, this was concluded based on a baseline household survey that did not include Refugees, IDPs and Roma. Evidence of increased malnutrition and stunting in children under five in the past decade1, and anecdotal data challenge this assumption. 1 Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey, UNICEF, 2000 In addressing poverty within a human rights context, the Global Human Development Report 2000 stressed that economic growth should be pro-poor and that budgets would need restructuring to ensure adequate and non-discriminatory expenditures for primary human concerns. The Report recommended expansion of the political space to ensure broader participation of the population and the elimination of all forms of discrimination, which was recognized as exacerbating social exclusion. In this CCA we understand that there are many dimensions of poverty measured by the levels of consumption, employment and income, housing, educational achievement and health. Securing human rights helps to protect people from the negative impacts of poverty and enables them to have a better chance to develop with dignity. People living in poverty suffer a denial of their economic rights such as the right to adequate housing, food and clothing, and to social security. The effect of poverty on children’s rights to survival and development is especially critical, since this causes lifelong damage Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro to children’s minds and bodies; turning them into adults who perpetuate the cycle of poverty by transmitting it to their own children. Poverty can also inhibit a person’s capacity to enjoy other rights since the poor are more likely to be at risk of having their civil and political rights violated as well. It is of utmost importance that Serbia and Montenegro comply with the human rights instruments they have ratified, especially during this critical phase of transitions, including the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, the Convention on the Rights of the Child and the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women. Also regarded as extremely poor and vulnerable are refugees, internally displaced persons (IDPs) and the Roma population, which compared to the other groups are the poorest, have often more children and less access to social services. Most Roma children do not go to school so poverty and exclusion is passed on to the next generation. The human rights-based approach stresses that even in times of severe resource constraints the rights of the vulnerable members of society must be protected through inclusive policies and the provision of low-cost programmes. Over the course of the last decade, the severe political and economic crisis and series of regional armed conflicts have also affected the well being of the society and damaged economic prospects in Serbia and in Montenegro. These conditions caused a sharp decline in human development indicators. In assessing the profile of poverty and living standards in both Serbia and Montenegro it is necessary to recognize at the outset that there are a number of new policies being introduced pursuant to far reaching economic reforms. These reforms aim to promote economic growth and raise living standards. Nevertheless, it is evident that additional reforms are needed in order to address a large public sector wage bill, heavy dependence on donor assistance and the inefficiencies in state-owned enterprises.15 There is concern that the current policies are being implemented with inadequate information regarding the numbers and characteristics of the poor. Consequently, a number of studies and household surveys were conducted over the last two years to provide a better profile of the poor for policy makers with best available data, particularly in light of the preparation of the 2003 Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for Montenegro and for Serbia. Serbia Presently, an estimated 10.6 per cent of the Serbian population lives below the poverty line of US$2.40 per day, but there is a cluster barely earning more so that a one-quarter upward shift in the poverty line income equivalent increases the percentage of the poor to 20 per cent. In other words, the lowest decile of the population lives in poverty and the second decile lives very close to poverty. In all, close to one fifth of the population lives a precarious and vulnerable existence. This does not include IDPs, refugees, the Roma or those people living in collective centres, a great majority of whom would, a priori, fall below the poverty line. Counting these vulnerable groups, some 25-30 per cent of the population of Serbia probably lives in poverty or severe vulnerability. Of those who are employed, industrial workers are among the poorest category with 45.5 per cent below the upper poverty line, followed by farmers. If the upper poverty line is applied, government employees and traders also join the ranks of the poor.16 The overall incidence of poverty increased gradually during the latter half of the 1990s, but has fallen since 2000. However, in 2002, the depth of poverty in the lowest decile was more severe than earlier, reflecting a transition economy, which needs to rebuild its social safety nets. The Serbian draft PRSP projects a halving of those living in poverty by 2007. Not unexpectedly, the incidence of poverty in Serbia is twice as high in rural areas as in urban areas. More and more people are relying on subsistence agriculture for survival, which tends to place unsustainable pressures on natural resources in rural areas. War and insecurity, and now poverty, have led to an accelerated migration to the cities and a growing number of urban families have also moved into the ranks of the poor. In the cities there are areas of extreme poverty and unhealthy living conditions. In particular, southern Serbia had double the poverty incidence of the country as a whole, as well as the greatest depths of poverty. Western Serbia is also relatively disadvantaged. Together southeast and western Serbia, with 14 per cent of the population, contain 25 per cent of those living below the poverty line. There is a higher percentage of elderly in these economically depressed areas. As in several other countries of Eastern Europe, the highest percentage of poverty occurs in the youngest and oldest age groups – households with children 15 Living Standards in Montenegro, 2002 16 Sources of information and the data come from the Serbian PRSP, when the poverty line is expressed in consumption terms, unless otherwise noted. Strategic Analysis 27 and pensioners have an above-average poverty index. The risk that children 7 to 14 years are poor is 20 per cent higher as compared with the population average. This is of great concern especially since the family carries 50 per cent of the education costs (see further under section on Education). Human development and the possibility for a person to be able to exercise his or her rights are directly conditioned by the level of his or her education. A tendency where children have less education than their parents has to be prevented. Almost one in five people in Serbia is over 65 years of age, and the poverty incidence among them is 14.8 per cent, the depth of their poverty is much greater than the average, and their poverty risk is 40 per cent higher than the population average.17 Almost a quarter of the total number of the poor, particularly in urban areas, are over 65 years. Poverty is most present among elderly two-members households,18 who make up 12.2 per cent of the total number of poor households; 67 per cent of elderly two-person households are poor. Examined regionally, elderly persons in southeast Serbia have the lowest standards of living. Support through family monthly allowance and child allowances are an important source of income for poor families. Nearly 60 per cent of the recipients of such assistance live below the poverty line, of whom over one-third fall in the ‘extremely poor’ category. The categories of population in Serbia that are at greater risk of poverty are: 1. uneducated population; 2. unemployed and dependent persons; 3. elderly people (65+) and children between 7 and 14 years of age; 4. households with five or more members; 5. elderly one and two member households, particularly in rural areas; 6. agricultural pensioners, particularly in rural areas; 7. population of rural areas of southeast and western Serbia. Montenegro Currently, consumption poverty affects about 9.4 per cent of the population, mainly those who live below the poverty line, which is defined by 107 Euros per person per month (the cost of the full minimum sub17 18 19 20 28 sistence basket). Also, there are important pockets of poverty concerning Roma and IDPs. There are some age groups in the Montenegrin society that are more likely to be poor in comparison to other age groups which includes the elderly and to some extent children under 16 years of age.19 Pensions represent the main form of social security but are considered too low for maintaining the minimum standard of living. More than 60 per cent of the poorest live in households with pension income. The level of poverty is highest in the northern region of Montenegro, which is mountainous and least populated, as well as the least developed, indicating that there are strong disparities that make certain areas poorer. The most populated and industrialized is the Central region, whereas the coastal area is the most developed with tourism as its main economic activity. Other factors reveal the profile of the poor in Montenegro. The following examples serve to illustrate: • The poor spend the largest portion of their expenditure on food, about 60per cent of their resources, followed by housing. • The household survey conducted in Montenegro indicates that over 80per cent of the households own their dwelling, but about 20per cent pay rent. Rental expenses represent about 17 per cent of the household budget.20 • About one in five adults, is not working and 13per cent of the population lives in dwellings without running water or bathroom. • Available data shows that about 5per cent of the adults in Montenegro are regarded as “education poor” due to not having attended secondary school, nor currently attending school. The Right to Work Box #1 Article 6 of the International Covenant of Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (IESCR) provides: 1. The State recognizes the right to work that includes the right of everyone to the Living Standard Measurement Survey in Serbia, World Bank, 2002 Elderly households are defined as households whose members are all over 65 years of age ibid, at p. 20 Household Survey #7, p. 50 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Serbia opportunity to gain his living by work that he freely chooses or accepts, and will take appropriate steps to safeguard this right. 2. The steps to be taken by a State Party to achieve the full realization of this right shall include technical and vocational guidance and training programmes, policies and techniques to achieve steady economic, social and cultural development and full and productive employment under conditions safeguarding fundamental political and economic freedoms to the individual. The right to work is fundamental because it is also a key to the enjoyment of many rights of the individual. The economic crisis, international sanctions and continued conflicts in the region over the last decade resulted in a near collapse of the formal sector in the Serbian and Montenegrin economies. The sharp decline in economic activity and the extremely low rate of capacity utilisation led to a steady fall in the number of those employed in the formal sector and a rise in actual unemployment. Many are now engaged in the gray economy, which, according to some estimates, amounts to approximately 40 per cent of GDP. This not only deprives the state from collecting much needed revenues, but likewise makes a large portion of the population vulnerable, as they remain outside the social protection net. The formal labour market in Serbia is featured by the following facts: a relatively low level of employment of the population; high unemployment rate and its trend of continued growth; high hidden unemployment; low share employment in the private sector; low wages; and low mobility of the labour force. The unemployment rate is not only an important determinant of poverty and social exclusion, but also a major factor influencing social and political stability. Estimates of unemployment tend to vary. In 2000, the official unemployment rate was 27 per cent. Hidden unemployment or false employment was estimated to be an additional 20–24 per cent. In 2001, there were an estimated 640,000 redundant workers in the socialist and state sectors, one half of them in industry. By this calculation, the rate of total unemployment in Serbia stands between 45 per cent and 49 per cent. Some surveys place Serbia’s unemployment rate at around 30 per cent (double or triple the rate in neighbouring countries). However using ILO definitions for international comparability, the unemployment rate is estimated to be between 8.4 per cent and 11.9 per cent. The difference most likely reflects the pervasive grey economy and income tax evasion. While overall economic growth was positive in 20002002, the economic transition’s structural changes caused overall employment to fall by 1.6 per cent in spite of employment growth in the private sector of 21.4 per cent. In Serbia, unemployment among young people, 19 24 is over 50 per cent. The weakening of education systems over the past decade has probably led to young people often having inadequate qualifications to enter the workforce. The majority has expressed a wish to emigrate.21 In 1998, the share of young people aged 15–34 in the total number of unemployed was very high at 76 per cent, and the share of the age group 15–24 was higher (40 per cent) than that of the age group 25–34 (36 per cent). Two years later, in 2000, the share of young people aged 15–34 declined slightly. In 2001, this decrease continued. The share of young people aged 15–24 was 28 per cent and the share of the age group 25–34 was 36 per cent of the total number of unemployed. *Source: Indicators Framework (see Annex 1) In 1998, 22 per cent of unemployed people had to wait up to one year before getting a job, 32 per cent waited from one to three years, and 46 per cent had to wait for more than three years. In 2000, the share of unemployed persons waiting for employment up to one year declined to 18 per cent, the share of those 21 Youth opinion poll, UNICEF 2001 Strategic Analysis 29 waiting from one to three years rose slightly, while the share of unemployed persons waiting for more than three years increased to as much as 50 per cent. However, the greatest rate of unemployment is among the Roma population, with 80 per cent or higher officially unemployed. job are not regarded as jobless in the same report.22 The following were the key findings regarding the employment situation and labour market in Montenegro based on the information gathered through a series of population surveys conducted in 2000 and 2001: Many of the poor are unable to exercise their right to employment and enter the workforce due to age, health problems, disabilities and physical vulnerability, which are conditions that can lock people in the cycle of poverty and prevent them from taking a more pro-active role in society. In this context it may be necessary to examine further whether there exists any other distinctions, exclusions, or preferences, be it in law or in administrative practices, which have the effect of discriminating against certain persons or minority groups. • The labour force was estimated at 72 per cent of the adult population with 27.7 per cent classified as inactive population. • Taking into account all forms of employment including formal, informal and multiple, the employment rate stood at 86 per cent. • The level of unemployment of 14 per cent in 2001 was regarded as high for a country with very low unemployment benefits (this employment rate identified is considerably lower than the one reported by the official statistics, which was estimated at 19 per cent in March 2001). • The unemployed constitute primarily young people in their late twenties. • The mean age of inactive population was 54 years with 51 per cent pensioners. Pensioners accounted for 27 per cent of those involved in informal activities. • Unemployment levels were found to be higher in the central and northern regions. There is overall a lack of employment opportunities, especially in rural areas and an increase in the grey economy. The expansion of employment opportunities is constrained by the non-availability of capital, inadequate political commitment of the authorities in private sector development, deficient property laws, and the insecure status of privately owned small and medium enterprises. A considerable volume of hidden unemployment has been created in the agriculture sector by the fragmentation of family-owned farms. Since workers on privately owned farms are not registered as workers, they are invisible in statistics and are not covered by official surveys. Moonlighters, or workers in the gray economy, are not formally recognised as workers because their employers do not pay taxes on their wages or social insurance contributions as required by law. They are therefore not eligible for pensions or any other worker benefits, which are among their economic and social rights. Montenegro Throughout the 1990s, official employment figures in Montenegro sharply declined. According to official data, the unemployment rate reached approximately 40 per cent in the last quarter of 2000. This figure, however, did not account for the large share of the labour force involved in unrecorded or informal activities. According to a UNDP report on the situation of employment and the labour market, the official statistics in Montenegro classify the population into three groups: the active population, the population with personal income and the supported population. The labour force is not included as a distinct category, and it is regarded as traversing both groups of active and supported population. People who perform any paid By the end of 2000, close to one third of the Montenegrin labour force (89,000 people) worked in the informal economy. Although the employment trends provided by official statistics reveal a substantial decline over the last decade, it has been widely recognized that there are weaknesses in the statistical methods applied in calculating the unemployment rate. This is because it is based on registered employment and unemployed and does not include those people engaged in jobs in the informal economy. Surveys that have been carried out recently focused on informal and multiple types of employment in order to assess better the employment status and labour market in Montenegro. Some conclusions have been drawn from the analysis of unrecorded employment. First, is that about one third of those employed do not have an employment contract and therefore their employment is unrecorded. The implication is that for those who engage in unrecorded employment as their main source of income, they are consequently deprived of pension, health insurance and other benefits. At the same time, unrecorded activities and income are not declared to the tax authorities, depriving the Republic of substantial revenues. Recent legislation passed which requires that employers must pay a special tax for hiring workers who are not 22 Employment, Labour Market and Standard of Living in Montenegro, p. 5 30 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Montenegrin citizens and imposes steep fines for violations discriminates against IDPs from Kosovo and against refugees; it makes it much more difficult for them to gain employment precisely at the moment when humanitarian assistance to these groups is being cut back. Three main characteristics were identified as influencing employment status in Montenegro: gender, education and age. There is evidence of a pattern of discrimination whereby men are more likely than women to hold the higher paid jobs. Furthermore, statistics show that women are less likely than men to find jobs. As of March 2001, the share of women in the category of inactive population reached 64.7 per cent. There is strong evidence to suggest that gender is a significant variable in the selection of staff in both public and private sectors, and that women are paid 20-30 per cent less than men with the same level of education in the private sector. There is also an important correlation between the level of education attainment and the employment status, meaning that those with primary education or no education are mainly the ones included in the categories of inactive population, unemployed, or engaged in informal activities. Age, is the last characteristic that was found to influence employment status with unemployed persons found to be predominantly in their late twenties. Moreover, a large portion of the unemployed has completed secondary school. Enabling young people to participate in the labour force and become productive members of Montenegrin society should be a regarded as a major priority and represents a key challenge. It needs to be underscored that tens of thousands of educated young people have left the country in the past decade.23 The Right to Health N.B. As challenges in the Health sector are common for both republics, this chapter does not draw a separate line between the two. MDG Box#2 Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Target 1: Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five On the national average, child mortality is low and declining in Serbia and Montenegro, although still below European standards. There are regional variations between different groups of population. Child mortality rate is likely to be much higher in excluded families. MDG Box#3 Goal 5: Improve maternal health Target 1: Reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality Few women die in labour or in childbirth. However, the quality of pregnancy and/or birth experience can be very poor. The number of terminations of pregnancies is very high and is increasing in the gray health sector. Box #3 The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights provides in Article 12, the right of everyone to the enjoyment of the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health. The Convention on the Rights of the Child has a similar provision in Article 24, which stipulates that State Parties should ensure that no child is deprived of his or her right of access to health care services. The Health System in Serbia and Montenegro was designed in the 80s to provide universal coverage for the entire population based on compulsory health insurance and decentralised provision of health services, with a high responsibility of local communities (municipalities) for planning, prioritising and financing primary care, which had a gate-keeping role to the system. Although the organisational infrastructure remained in place in the 90s, the autocratic regime used the health system to fully centralise (control) all segments of the society and to strip the local community of its autonomy and participation in decision-making. The current situation regarding the lack of participation and existing policies that are not aimed at the poor population is a legacy of the previous ten years. Health sector reform has started from re-defining (or defining) a health policy that will ensure that basic services relevant to the widest health problems and with the highest impact are available to all – but at the same time, keeping in mind the financial constraints. 23 Brave New Generation, UNICEF Belgrade publication, 2002, p.19 Strategic Analysis 31 Health care to the population is provided by state and private health sector. Both Serbia and Montenegro have a well-developed state health infrastructure, consisting of over 300 institutions, systematized in three levels of health care protection –primary, secondary and tertiary level. Instead of preventive, primary health care centres developed curative practices with a number of specialised services. There has been a lack of appreciation of the concept of family as the basic health–care unit and a neglect of non–institutional forms of health care. A lack of proper development planning of secondary and tertiary health care protection network that was not following the epidemiological trends and population needs has led to the creation of an institution network unfit for the needs of the population. While some wards are empty, others are flowing. Such a system is inefficient, often using incentives creating a wrong message (e.g. payment based on the number of days spent in hospital, which creates a perverse incentive for long treatment), working in a bureaucratic manner, functioning passively, putting the beneficiaries in a very passive role – that of aid-recipients. All those factors, in addition to poor infrastructure and lack of mechanisms for ensuring accountability have an effect on deterioration of state services’ quality. The private sector, which is poorly regulated, is expanding. There is a strong public perception that these services are of a better quality, less time-consuming, and could provide all necessary inputs on the spot. This is also reflected in utilisation data, for example – according to a household survey in Montenegro,73 percent of respondents indicated they use both private and public health services and 27 per cent use only the public services.24 The private sector has not yet been included in the compulsory state system of health insurance, and private health insurance does not yet exist. * A government-owned, compulsory Health Insurance Fund (HIF) receives contributions from those insured and their employees, which represent the main sources of funding of the health system. Revenues of the Health Insurance Fund (HIF) have decreased significantly over the past 12 years due to evasion of contribution payments and the high costs of administration reducing the ability of the state to ensure the right to health services. The allocation of health services costs in social product of Serbia in 2001 was 7.6 per cent of the Serbian Budget, with US$ 82 of expenditure per capita. *Source: Indicators Framework (see Annex 1) A huge deficiency of HIF assets, caused by current expenses (60-80 per cent of assets used for salaries of health workers) has led to low salaries, lack of investment into infrastructure and equipment. A weak human resource policy and continuous ‘inflow’ of new personnel have additionally burdened these funds. All aforementioned has jeopardised accessibility, essentially established principle of health services and brought us to huge discrepancy between the rights defined and limited assets necessary for practicing the rights. The result was a shift of the economic burden to the people with increased out-of-pocket payments for medicines, laboratory services and informal payments to providers. Poor people who are sick are affected most. Household surveys confirm that the “current public health system is not equally open to everyone; it prefers some groups, those with money or social influence and power and discriminates against others.”25 In light of this, it is evident that the right to health should be protected and promoted, as well as regarded as a social responsibility. Although the health system of Serbia and Montenegro is basically set on the same foundations, there are some differences. The basic differences are in the level of development of Source: Indicators Framework (see Annex 1) 24 Household Survey No. 6 published by the Institute for Strategic Studies and Prognoses, and the Center for Entrepreneurship and EconomicDevelopment (CEED), 2003 p.37 25 ibid, p.38 32 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro human resources – number of staff and level of education of health workers (smaller in Montenegro), as well as in development of specialised services of health care protection (significantly more developed in Serbia). Also, outreach services for remote areas are ill-developed in Montenegro, especially due to the geographic set and mountain areas, which aggravate the accessibility to population in rural areas. Smoking and usage of alcohol in general population and among young people brings concerns. There has also been an increase in drug use among young people (cannabis and synthetic drugs).26 Drug usage and risky sexual behaviour are related issues. Sex in return for money or some other benefit has increased in the last decade. This has been reported among boys as well as girls. An increase in human trafficking, where around 10 per cent of victims are under 18, will also act as a regional pathway for the spread of the epidemic.27 Health status of the population The free and universal access to health system during the past several decades undoubtedly contributed to the improvement of the health status of the population, as seen in a steadily decreasing trend of infant mortality and mortality from contagious diseases and an increase in life expectancy. These positive trends slowed during 90s, due to the cumulative effects of political and economic crisis: increased poverty, influx of refugees, NATO bombing, environment pollution, life-style changes in the population (for example, increased smoking, alcohol and drug use, and high risk sexual behaviour). Between 1990/91 and 2000/2001 life expectancy for men in Serbia slightly increased (69.4 – 70 years), while life expectancy for women decreased from 74.9 to 74.2 years. In Montenegro the figures are 71.4 years for males and 76.5 years for females. Analysis of morbidity and mortality data in the past decade show that Serbia and Montenegro have entered a new epidemiological transition. More than half of the population died from cardio-vascular diseases. The second leading cause of deaths was malignant diseases, the third cause was “ill-defined conditions” and the fourth injuries, poisoning and accidents. Like many countries of southeast Europe undergoing socio-economic transition, Serbia and Montenegro is facing an increased burden of noncommunicable diseases related to high risk behaviours e.g. smoking (approximately 35 per cent of all deaths are related to smoking habits), alcohol, food insecurity and inadequate nutrition. Levels of violence, rape, and domestic violence are high and underreported at all ages, and are discussed further in the section on gender and in the chapter on human security. Infant deaths are broadly categorised into three groups 28: I Communicable, peri-natal and nutritional conditions, II - Non-communicable diseases and III Injuries, the proportions of deaths attributable to these groupings is as follows: I - 2.26 per cent, II - 93.7 per cent and III - 3.96 per cent. Analysis by age distribution is shown in the table below. The highest burden of illhealth is in the labour-productive age groups and is in the group of non-communicable diseases. In the group of adolescents and youth (aged 15 - 24) a significant place of ill-health and related mortality is due to injuries (53.8 per cent of all deaths in this age group). MDG Box #4 Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria and Other Diseases Target 1: Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS HIV/AIDS is still low but likely to rise sharply, especially among teenagers and young people. It is estimated that there are 10,000 people living with HIV/ AIDS in Serbia and Montenegro. Target 2: Halt and begin to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases Malaria does not exist in Serbia and Montenegro. Tuberculosis appears to be falling but remains a serious issue for vulnerable groups and the poor. In Serbia and Montenegro deaths caused by cancer, cardiovascular and other noncommunicable diseases are high. Smoking is a major contributing factor. 26 Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS among Especially Vulnerable Young People in Serbia, RAR 27 Trafficking in SE Europe regional report 2002 28 Serbian Burden of Disease Study - draft report part one - Belgrade, May 2003 Strategic Analysis 33 Among communicable diseases, the major threat to the country due to the present risk factors is HIV/AIDS. The HIV/AIDS surveillance system is rather poor in the country, however it is estimated that some 10,000 people are currently HIV positive in Serbia and Montenegro (Montenegro estimate 400). The AIDS mortality rate (calculated as deaths per million inhabitants) has fallen from 8 in 1995 to 3 in 2000, however reported data are so small these figures are difficult to interpret. Although the epidemic in Serbia and Montenegro is still in an early stage, there are all factors present for a rapid increase in the next 3 – 5 years. The reported number of AIDS cases in Serbia and Montenegro is 1,126 (33 registered in Montenegro), cumulative to December 2002,29 with the majority of cases occurring in people aged 20-39 years (transmission of HIV occurs some years before the development of clinical AIDS and therefore affects predominately young people). Especially vulnerable young people such as sex workers, drug users and men having sex with men (MSM) are in particular risk for HIV; 57 per cent of IV drug users share needles. In Serbia, only 60 per cent of sex workers and 42 per cent of MSM use condoms regularly, while in Montenegro the figures are 34.5 per cent and 30.6 per cent respectively. In Montenegro, transmission of HIV/AIDS in relation to profession is dominant among sailors, workers in tourism and catering.30 A total of 10 AIDS cases are reported due to Mother-tochild transmission. Although the Government has initiated several activities for public education on HIV/AIDS, there is still a lot of room for action with adolescents and young people and for health information campaigns in less-developed regions. Another public health threat is considered to be tuberculosis infections (TB). Intensive cross-border movements, the existence of 680,000 refugees and internally displaced people (with several outbreaks of TB in collective shelters for refugees and IDPs during the past years) and the impoverishment of the population underline the size of population at risk and the high potential for rapid increase of disease. In 2001, the total number of TB cases registered was 2,713 representing a TB notification rate of 35.6/100,000 of the population. The mortality rate was 2.9 per cent (131 cases). Health Status of Children and Women The infant mortality rate (IMR) for both Serbia & Montenegro in 2002 was 9.6 (9.5 in Serbia and 10.4 in Montenegro) per thousand live births.31 Improvements in child survival have been made possible by reducing deaths due to easily preventable diseases (acute respiratory infections, diarrhoeal disease, vaccine preventable diseases). The low IMR also reflects prior investments in health and maternal education together with a generally good level of maternal nutrition, the relatively small number of births, the level of antenatal, delivery and postnatal services, and the already high level of social development achieved in 1990. The decline in child mortality rates has not been continuous it increased in 1992 and 1993, and again in 1996 corresponding with peaks of the economic crisis and an influx of refugees. Though it is likely that the official figure for IMR underestimates deaths by at least 30 per cent32, IMR has been declining steadily in Serbia since 1999 when it was almost 40 percent higher. In Montenegro, the similar decreasing trend has been interrupted recently with the unexpected increase in 2001, when IMR of 14.6 was noted. Although IMR is lower than in central and eastern European countries33 and is not much higher than in many industrialized countries (IMR of 6 per thousand)34, available information suggests wide differentials. There are accentuated regional variations in IMR and also between different population groups.35 For instance, the IMR among the Roma population is reportedly much higher than the national average. Deliveries without skilled assistance, is one important cause for the higher IMR among the Roma population. Access to health care in general is a problem; even immunisation rates among Roma children are very low. Analysis of IMR shows that three out of four deaths under the age of one year occur in the first month of life.36 37 This can be closely linked to the quality of perinatal and birth services. The main causes of death are perinatal conditions, congenital anomalies, unexplained causes, respiratory diseases, and circulatory diseases. Further reductions in infant mortality will require improved treatment of children in the first week of life, as this is when nearly 70per cent of infant deaths occur. Particular atten- 29 Report on trend of Morbus HIV in FR Yugoslavia (1985-31/12/2002), Federal IPH, February 2003 30 Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS in Especially Vulnerable Young People in Montenegro, prepared by the Institute of Public Health in Montenegro, February 2002, p.7 31 Of 78,435 live births in Serbia in 2002. 32 This estimate is based on World Bank Macedonian perinatal mortality project. There were 78,435 live births in Serbia in 2002. 33 Central and eastern European countries average 35 deaths per 1000 births. 34 Ten Years of Child Rights in Yugoslavia, UNICEF Belgrade 2001 35 The rate ranges from 9.5 in the province of Vojvodina to 10.4 in Central Serbia. 36 Assessment of Infant Mortality and peri-natal mortality - by Helen Lefevre, WHO Belgrade - 2001 37 Annual report 2001, Republican Statistics Institute 34 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro tion will need to be given to perinatal conditions and congenital anomalies which together account for over 75per cent of the infant deaths that do occur. Immunisation programmes achieve high coverage levels of above 90per cent in Serbia, or around 89per cent in Montenegro. However, as UNICEF and Institute of Public Health repeatedly capture large numbers of children who were not immunised, there is a concern that those figures do not represent the accurate data. Last year for example, in the course of the project Immunization of Marginalized Population, some 7,000 children up to age of 15 were found to be not even registered in the health system in four regions of Serbia. The Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) carried out in 2000 found that prevalence of malnutrition had increased in the country. The prevalence of moderate and severe underweight had risen from 0.5 to 1.9per cent. Moderate and severe wasting38 had risen from 1.7 to 3.7per cent and stunting39 from 2.1 to 5.1per cent. The rural prevalence of malnutrition was generally higher than in urban areas. Higher levels of wasting and stunting tended to be associated with lower levels of maternal education. Only 10.5 per cent of children aged less than four months are exclusively breastfed. The practice is better in Montenegro, but still there is a lot of space for improvement. Iodine deficiency disorders (IDD) have historically been a significant public health problem. More than 650,000 people suffered from endemic goitre 50 years ago. A nation-wide survey conducted in 1999 found no evidence of iodine deficiency disorders among school children in the Republic of Serbia. The similar results were shown in the recent survey in Montenegro. The elimination of IDD has been achieved by universal salt iodisation. Unlike IDD, anaemia is considered to be a significant public health problem. In the MICS 2000, it was found that 29per cent of children under age 5 have iron-deficiency anaemia. The proportion is more pronounced in earlier ages, reflecting a timely complementary feeding poor introduction of the right kinds of complementary foods and perhaps the mother’s own anaemic state during pregnancy and breast-feeding. The same survey also found that 27per cent of women aged 15-49 suffered from iron-deficiency anaemia. The great majority (99 per cent) of births takes place in hospitals or health centres and are attended by skilled professionals40. There is a rise in the numbers of children born to single women – from 14 per cent in 1991 to nearly 20 per cent in 1997. The maternal mortality ratio for women of childbearing age in Serbia and Montenegro was 10.31 per 100,000 live births in 2001, which is one of the lower figures for CCEE countries. Although few women die in childbirth or from pregnancy related causes (averaging between 10 and 20 cases a year), it must be noted that this average figure conceals inequalities across regions and communities. The Constitution of 1974 of the SFRY provided in Article 191 the notion of “responsible parenthood” stating that, “it is a human right for every person to freely decide on the birth of children; a similar provision is provided in the 1992 Constitution. However the indicators show that reproductive health and rights of women and men are endangered. The overall use of contraceptives remains low – with 41 per cent of married or in union women of childbearing age using no method of family planning41. While access to standard contraception methods is problematic, there is high rate of abortions performed in both private and public clinics. Since 1996 there was a decrease in the number of safe and medically supervised abortions (from 125 per 1000 live births in the 1980s, to 90 per thousand live births in the first half of the 1990s) and an increase in the numbers of illegal abortions in private clinics (due to the perception of the clients that they will be treated with more dignity and respect in the private sector) which do not always meet professional standards. In 1994, for example, the Federal Public Health Institute reported that 857 cases of complications following abortion had to be treated in medical institutions. In 1995, the number of such abortions had almost doubled. Records also show that more than 80 per cent of women seeking abortion are married and over 25 years old, indicating that economic rather than social constraints are the underlying cause. Of young women between 15-24, 40 per cent report being pregnant at least once of whom one in five have had one or more abortions, and only 40 per cent have ever visited a gynaecologist.42 Another major issue that contributes to the rise in number of abortions is the fact that there is no pre or post abortion psychological counselling available. 38 “Wasting” refers to children whose weight is low in relation to their height. This indicator represents short-term nutritional status. 39 “Stunting” refers to children who are short for her/his age. This can reflect the accumulation of effects of past episodes of inadequate consumption, illnesses or poor feeding practices that either last for long periods or were frequent. 40 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, published by UNICEF, 2000 41 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, UNICEF publication 2000 42 A Brave New Generation, UNICEF Belgrade publication, 2002, p. 19 Strategic Analysis 35 Box #4 The Convention on the Rights of the Child refers to the necessity of the State to protect children before as well as after birth. Although abortion is legalized and common in many countries, there is no universal international consensus on the acceptability of abortion as a method of family planning, let alone any universal recognition that it constitutes a so-called human right. There is in fact no UN system policy adopted to support such a practice. On the contrary, there are UN member states which have enshrined constitutional or legal provisions to prohibit and criminalize abortion, and to uphold the right to life of the unborn child.1 Legislation exists in some countries to uphold the accountability of persons to protect the right to life of the unborn child, and to prohibit actions (such as alcohol or substance abuse2 or harmful behavior) that a pregnant woman or any other person might take to end the pregnancy. 1 The Irish Constitution, Article 40.3.3 upholds the right to life of the unborn. 2 Environmental project no. 589 of the Danish Environmental Protection Agency addresses exposure and susceptibility to chemical substances in the case of children and the unborn child. The concept and use of the term “child” is used to cover embryonic and foetal periods as well as post-natal. The human rights-based approach requires focusing in particular on whether certain vulnerable groups are provided with the same level of medical care within the same health system as other members of society, and on the capacity and ability these groups have to demand their rights. It is evident that the health status of the poor and other vulnerable groups is particularly at risk as the current system fails them. Since the routine health information system does not provide disaggregated data, it is necessary to identify differences in health status between the “haves” and “havenots”. Results of surveys indicated differences in utilization of health services by different population strata (domicile, refugees, IDPs)43 access to care, utilization of health services between the three strata, with IDPs being worst off. In light of this, reduction of the inequalities in the health status of vulnerable groups and ensuring access to health care for all citizens should be regarded as a major national goal. The overall responsibility for the health system in a country that was previously shared between federal and republic authorities has now been shifted to republic levels (with the few exceptions that are still being discussed, like joint reporting on communicable diseases etc.). Health sector reform has started with re-defining (or defining) of a health policy that will ensure basic services relevant to broadest health problems, that has the highest possible impact, and that is available to all – while keeping in mind the financial constraints. The Right to Education Box #5 The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights provides in Article 13, the right of everyone to education, which shall be directed to the full development of the human personality and the sense of its dignity, and shall strengthen the respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms. Education shall enable all persons to participate effectively in a free society, promote understanding, tolerance and friendship among all nations and all racial, ethnic or religious groups, and further the activities of the United Nations for the maintenance of peace. Similarly, the Convention on the Rights of the Child recognizes the right of all children to have access to education in Article 28. As stated earlier, the Union of Serbia and Montenegro is a State Party to both the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights and the Convention on the Rights of the Child, and has signed the Education For All Declaration. Thus, it is bound to comply with these international treaties and ensure the progressive realization of their provisions. In fact, there is also a strong national legal basis, which guarantees equal access to education, and entitles national minorities to education in their own language, and stipulates that primary education is compulsory. As stated in the Human Development Report 2003:44 “Full realization of the human right to education requires more than achieving universal literacy and primary education. It also requires that people participate meaningfully in public decisions about education. And it requires that measures for achieving education-related goals be equi- 43 “Health status, health needs and utilisation of health services of adult population in Serbia in 2000” - Institute of Public Health of Serbia 44 Human Development Report 2003, UNDP, p. 28 36 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro table – not disadvantaging vulnerable groups or entrenching gender discrimination.” The present educational systems in Serbia and in Montenegro reflect the success of the socialist concept of “education for all”, which aimed to deliver free and compulsory education to all children between 7-15 years of age. There was almost universal enrolment in primary education, education in most minority languages was provided at all levels and the school system had a widely developed network of schools, a large cadre of trained teachers and an institutional framework for supervision. Private education exists in all levels, from pre-school to tertiary, but is very small in scope. In many respects, education in Yugoslavia was far more progressive, liberal and open, than in other communist countries and quality and efficiency of education was high. MDG Box #5 Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education Target: Ensure that all boys and girls complete a full course of primary schooling Achievement levels in education are high in Serbia and Montenegro. However, it is worth noting that the brain drain of the last decade has deprived the country of its most educated people. Serbia and Montenegro has achieved high enrolment rates. However, dropout rates are high, especially among the Roma population and other excluded groups. A major concern for Serbia and Montenegro is the quality of education, especially in the light of continuing low investment in the education system. Exclusion of the most vulnerable groups, such as Roma and children with disabilities, has also been identified by the PRSPs as a major concern. In 1991, roughly two thirds of the population had completed primary education; 32 per cent had completed secondary education and 8.9 per cent of the population had completed junior-colleague or university-level education. The older population and rural population were a majority among the uneducated population. Women were less educated than men; for example 40 per cent of women did not complete primary school, while 14.33 per cent had no education whatsoever. A significantly high number of people without qualification reflects the age structure of the country, given that the population in Serbia and Montenegro is relatively aged. The illiteracy rate in 1991 was 6.7 per cent, but higher among women (10.7 per cent). Gender differences were less pronounced among younger population (under 40 years).45 According to some surveys and the data from 2002 census in Serbia the situation today is very much the same. Only a minority of children attend pre-school education in Serbia and Montenegro. There are 1688 preschool institutions, 4094 primary schools, 517 secondary and 135 post secondary schools and university faculties and academies in Serbia and Montenegro, with over 800,000 primary and 350,000 secondary school students.46 The vast majority of schools are state-run and financed out of the Republican budgets. There are a few private pre-schools, secondary schools, colleagues and universities, which offer more facilities than government schools, but there is no data on the quality of education in these. Although the governments and the international community have invested in reconstruction of educational institutions, the conditions of the buildings and equipment remain poor. Today, Serbia and Montenegro have about 80,000 trained primary and secondary school teachers and another 17,000 pre-school workers in place that are mostly women.47 Teachers have god initial qualifications – according to regulations even the teachers at lower levels must have a university degree. However, advanced training institutions have not been set up because of the shortage of financial resources and low priority in the national policy. As a consequence, many teachers have limited skills and experience in modern methods of classroom management, interactive and participatory teaching methods and monitoring of learning achievement. There is a high outflow of teachers from the education system into other jobs. All this have contributed to a significant drop in the quality of education as a whole. There is also a shortage of teachers in ´marketable´ subjects such as English, mathematics and information sciences. The problem is particularly acute in rural areas – where as many as 50 per cent of the 45 Comprehensive Analysis of Primary Education in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, UNICEF 2001 and Federal Bureau of Statistics, 1990/1991 and 1998/1999 school years 46 Federal Bureau of Statistics, 2000/2001 school year 47 Federal Bureau of Statistics, Belgrade, 2001, No. 2287 Strategic Analysis 37 teachers are not qualified or trained in these subjects. Curricula and syllabi have remained unaltered for the last two decades and are inappropriate to the changed socio-economic conditions and new national priorities. A school curriculum reform has started with the aim to replace the outdated school curriculum. However, the low wages and poor working conditions of teachers re taking its toll with strikes becoming more frequent, particularly in Montenegro. Despite the high number of buildings, access to education is still not ensured to all students. Since the network of schools was developed in the early 60s, the distribution of schools does not correspond to the present demographic composition of the population. Consequently, some schools run up to four shifts, while others, especially small rural schools, have few pupils48 working in multi-grade classes. The teachers in these schools are often under-qualified to educate the students coming from socially and educationally deprived families. Some children walk anywhere between two to eight kilometers to attend school. 49 Thus, school attendance is an issue due to lack of transportation, shortage of teaching staff, and the low level of education aspirations. The situation today shows that the school network is bipolar with 35 per cent of large schools with multi-shift system that accommodate 85 per cent of all students, and small rural schools with very few students dislocated from the central schools. Another difficult situation is in regard to the pre-school institutions, which are inaccessible for children in remote rural areas and overcrowded in the cities and small towns. The number of primary and secondary schools is declining or stagnating, due to migration and depopulation of some areas while the number of post-secondary schools and faculties is gradually increasing. In the present educational system the reported data on enrolment rates are high and show no disparities for primary education in regard to the general population. (But these numbers should be interpreted with caution50 especially taking into account the problems of Roma children with access to education, which is discussed later). There are no disaggregated data on basic education indicators, but some studies and assessments show significant disparities socially, territorially, regionally and gender based. Official gross enrolment rate is 98.31 per cent and the drop out rate is 0.62. However, the net enrolment is much lower, and the drop out rate in primary education is estimated at about 15 per cent (17 per cent among girls). Many drop out after fourth grade, since they are unable to travel the distance to upper primary schools. The drop out rate is particularly high among the rural population, Roma, children with disabilities and displaced people. Eighty per cent of dropouts among Roma population are girls.51 The current key limiting factor in education in the country is its quality. The assessment of learning achievements showed that more than 60 per cent of students do not master even half the essential of basic curriculum necessary for continuation of education. As a result of the socialist period, the education system is centralized, with an extensive infrastructure that does not correspond to the present composition of the population. The outdated curriculum, more teacher than child centered, inadequate school conditions, poor teaching aids and material supplies and lack of adequate textbooks are some of the main features of existing education systems in Serbia and Montenegro. The lack of motivation among teachers and professionals who are underpaid and the pupils´ low interest in school are consequences of the long lasting crisis. In other words, the current education system does not correspond to the needs of children and youth. Serious problems that children face, such as medical and dental care, drug abuse, violence, early sexual relations, family disorders and social crises should be also taken into account and recognized by the schools, in order to include preventive programmes in the curricula. Access to education is particularly limited for children with disabilities, the reasons being the absence of an adequate system of inclusive education or special education when required, and the lack of qualified teachers. Only about 30 per cent of children with disabilities are covered by primary education, 15 per cent of which are enrolled to one of 85 special schools, while others are attending mainstream schools. Due to a lack of special assistance they dropout before reaching any level of qualification. Among the most educationally deprived are Roma children. In both Serbia and Montenegro, the great majority of Roma children are not enrolled in primary schools, notwithstanding the laws, which provide that the right to education is to be achieved on the basis of equal opportunity. Furthermore, the law prescribes that all children including those belonging to minorities shall equally enjoy this fundamental right. However, only 27 per cent of Roma complete primary 48 Report on Optimisation of School System. UNICEF and Education Forum 2002. 49 The Report on the Optimisation of the School Network, UNICEF –Education Forum, 2002 50 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, UNICEF 2002 51 Comprehensive Analysis of Primary Education in the federal Republic of Yugoslavia, UNICEF 2001 38 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro education. As a result, 80per cent are completely and functionally illiterate.52 Language barrier, child labour, lack of parents´ awareness, poor living conditions and early motherhood contribute to considerable school dropout rate (78per cent). Only 17 per cent have secondary education and 0.2 per cent have higher education. Roma children come to school, educationally and socially unprepared. The schools, the teachers and the communities often reject them and there is little knowledge, understanding and respect for their culture. Almost 80 per cent of children in special schools in Serbia are Roma; yet only 15 per cent of children with special needs are enrolled in these schools. This is a classic case where it is necessary to identify all those actors in the system that have the duty to ensure that all children in Serbia and Montenegro enjoy their right to education and to assess their capacity to fulfil their obligations in this regard. Regarding post-secondary education, every year a significant number of students, some 60per cent of secondary education graduates enter higher schools or university. A key issue is in regard to the quality of higher education, efficiency of studying and irrelevance of qualifications gained to the labour market requirements. The average length of studying is over 7 years, and only about 26per cent of enrolled ever graduate. This is again attributed to using old teaching methods, outdated curriculum and textbooks that do not meet international educational standards. A majority of the graduates find it difficult to find employment that is linked to their degree. Serbia Little connectivity exists between the education system and the labour market in Serbia.53 This is particularly evident in secondary education and vocational schools, which are characterised by a high number of generic subjects, fewer vocational and even less highly specialized vocational subjects or practical work experience. The same applies to the adult education system, which is highly marginalized and unharmonized with labour market requirements. Structural unemployment is characteristic of the Serbian labour market and problems have resulted from the system’s inflexibility. Resources flowing to the education sector in Serbia have been declining over the past ten years culminating in 2000, when it reached its lowest level at 3 per cent of GDP. Total education spending as a percent- age of GDP in 2001 was 3.18 per cent, out of which 1.41 per cent was spent on primary education. The total public expenditure for education in 2000 was lower by more than 70 per cent in comparison with 1990 (it fell from US$ 889 million in 1990 to US$ 247 million in 2000). The expenditure per student (at the annual level) declined from US$ 554 in 1990 to US$ 148 in 2000, in secondary education from US$ 788 to US$ 188, and in two–year post–secondary and university education from US$ 1,498 to US$ 350. This decline shows a direct correspondence to the decline in GDP by almost 68 per cent between 19902000. The graph above shows investment trends falling for all levels of education. At the same time that public investment in education has declined, the costs for the families to have children in school have increased. The households have to make substantive contributions to cover schooling costs such as for textbooks, school supplies, small school repairs, transportation etc. The average cost per student/household in 2001/2002 was USD 120, about 50 per cent of the public spending.54 In addition, 18 per cent of families spent USD 22/month for private tuition. For poorer families with several children it is difficult to cope with these expenditures. The children are the most disadvantaged children with increased drop out rates, and with human and probably economic poverty carried over to the next generation. Thus, if investments are not made to guarantee a good quality education for all, human and economic poverty will persist or increase. The next generation of adults will not be as well equipped as the adults of today and the country will be less prepared to take on the future challenges in a competitive European environment. 52 Sources: “Matica Romska” and the PRSP for the Republic of Montenegro 53 Serbian draft PRSP 54 Household Expenditure survey, Strategic Marketing and Media Research Institute, in press 2003 Strategic Analysis 39 Montenegro Public expenditure nominally increased from 5.6 per cent of GDP in 2001 to 7.3 per cent in 2003, although in real terms the increase is insignificant and is inadequate to cover fully the required budget for the education system. Education system expenditure for the last three years was only 70 per cent of the needed budget. Of this 54.5 per cent is spent on elementary level education, 20.7 per cent on high schools and vocational education, and 14.5 per cent is spent on science and the university sector. As in Serbia, there is a lack of trained teachers in the education sector, a weakness leading to a non-profitable, under-trained and uncompetitive workforce. It is important to note the correlation between the level of education and the employment status; which is another way of addressing the interrelationship of the right to education and the right to work. Recent surveys show that out of those employed, 16.1 per cent hold a university degree, 66 per cent have a secondary school level education and 12.2 per cent hold an associate degree. Some 21.6 per cent of those surveyed with a university degree work in public administration (army and police) and 21.6 per cent are employed in the education sector. The educational level of the workforce in Montenegro appears to be inadequate for today’s market economy especially as compared to the average level in EU countries. This is a result of various factors faced by the education system which include: inappropriate teaching organization and conditions for teaching, insufficient effort by both teachers and students, unfavourable student enrollment structure, lack of adequate textbooks, and unsatisfactory assessment criteria. In addition, socioeconomic and demographic changes in the population due to an increase in urban migration have caused a shortage of space and overcrowded schools that must operate with double and triple shifts.55 Regarding gender distribution, 52.8per cent of university degrees are held by women and 47.2per cent are held by males. Despite the large number of women holding university degrees, many do not find employment that is linked to their degree and many remain unemployed. A larger number of men pursue an associate degree with 60.5per cent held by males and 39.5per cent by females. Recommendations for conducting reforms in the educational sector are many and some of them are already planned.1 These include: • Introducing a higher quality approach to teaching and learning; • Improving the physical conditions of classrooms and schools; • Developing an understanding of the determined reform methods; • Financing education and making more efficient use of the current fund; • Increasing the capacity of teachers through training for professional development • Decentralizing the current administrative structure in the educational system; • Establishing private educational institutions; and, • Relocating or rezoning educational institutions according to regions. 1 Household Survey # 6, p. 41 The Right to Housing in Serbia and Montenegro Although the right to housing is mentioned in legislation as a social responsibility to provide assistance to people in need, there does not exist an effective institutional framework to make this a reality. In fact, over the last decade there have not been any legislative or policy changes in relation to housing. The growing need for adequate housing resulted in immense illegal construction forming many new unplanned settlements. In addition to the need for new housing, the secondary housing market is not developed and regulated due to the underdeveloped banking sector and the non-existence of a mortgage lending system. The rental market is also not regulated and there is practically no available public rental stock with regulated rents. As a result of the general impoverishment of the population, the existing housing stock is poorly maintained, which calls for serious investment in refurbishing and upgrading. Lack of available housing limits mobility, which in turn affects unemployment. It is common for several generations to live in the same apartment, due to lack of other options. Roma, refugees and IDPs face the highest levels of housing insecurity. 65per cent of all Roma settlements are built illegally and are categorized as slums or unhygienic dwellings, and Roma are threatened with eviction. It is estimated that 80per cent of Roma live in poor settlements – 70per cent of households are without water and 85per cent have no sewage. 55 Household Survey #6, p. 39 40 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro The Realization of Children’s Rights in Serbia and Montenegro It is said that the true measure of a nation is in how it treats its most vulnerable members. Serbia and Montenegro ratified the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC) and thus has a commitment to take all appropriate legislative, administrative and other measures to implement the human rights Box #6 Significance of the Life-cycle Approach and Human Rights-based Approach for Children and Adolescents: Key Issues Using the life cycle approach to address child rights offers a very useful way for advancing human development in Serbia and Montenegro. It helps to analyse how the rights of children at different stages of their lives are respected by their family, society and government institutions and how they are able to exercise their rights in relation to their evolving capacities. Applying a human rights approach means identifying all the actors in society that are the “duty bearers” and therefore responsible for fulfilling the rights of all children to health and education services and for ensuring their protection from all forms of discrimination, exclusion, exploitation, abuse and neglect. It further requires an assessment of the capacity of all duty bearers, be it the family, the school, the social services, the municipal authorities and others to fulfil their obligations or be held accountable. Building the capacity of duty bearers in order that they may be able to respect, protect and fulfil the rights of all children should be seen as a major priority. Early Childhood 0-3 and 4-6 years of age: The persistence of disparities in child survival in different regions and among different population groups is an important aspect of child survival that needs immediate attention. Equally important is to pay special attention to children with disabilities. Despite years of effort, the IMR remains unacceptably high. Much of this has to do with the overall economic condition of the Roma population, the low levels of education among them, the inadequate access to good quality health care, the efficacy of health services, and the limited opportunities for employment and participation in political life. The limited opportunity that young children below the age of six years have to acquire early childhood education is another major concern. Strategic Analysis treaty. An assessment of the situation of children and adolescents consists of examining the conditions in the areas of health, education and overall well-being of this age group which, according to the CRC includes children and adolescents below the age of 18. It also means assessing the extent to which children and adolescents are able to enjoy all their human rights throughout the life cycle as recognized in the CRC. Many of the issues related to School age children 7-14: These eight years constitute a critical phase in children’s lives when they get the opportunity to attend regular schooling. While schooling is universal in Serbia and Montenegro and, technically speaking, all children attend primary schools, much needs to be done to improve the quality of education. School infrastructure needs improvement, as does the curriculum to make it more relevant and meaningful to children. Higher investments are needed in secondary schooling as well, so that all children get the same opportunity to acquire good quality education. Adolescents age 15-18: The period of adolescence is significant for children to acquire life skills and gain a strong awareness of their human rights. Children in this age group are particularly vulnerable to the threat of HIV/AIDS. Almost one third of girls in Serbia and Montenegro and two thirds of boys have sexual relations before age 16. Greater exposure to different aspects of reproductive rights and sex education are therefore important. Challenges for this age group lie in several areas: access to vocational education, exposure to risk behaviours, the adequacy of preventive and health promotion programmes, access to youth friendly health services and opportunities for decent employment in the upper ages. Considering that a person is still in intensive formation at this age, special considerations are given to young people in conflict with the law. A juvenile justice law covering these rights is currently being drafted in Serbia. (Also, see Juveniles in Conflict with the Law under Section on Security of Persons) Youth age 18-25: Generating of employment opportunities is also of paramount importance for this group. Over one-third of the unemployed have been looking for a job for more than one year. In Serbia, forty percent of job seekers fall in the 15-25 year age bracket, which has an unemployment rate three times higher than the overall figure. 41 the extent to which children and young people enjoy their civil, political, economic social and cultural rights could be effectively addressed by adopting a life-cycle approach. The life-cycle approach brings into sharp focus the priority interventions needed at each stage of a person’s life (See Box below) and it helps to identify the specific rights that are not being respected or fulfilled. national effort to gather and analyse data on youth is necessary to provide a solid base for youth and policies and programmes. The meaningful participation of youth in society can be defined as taking part in and influencing processes, decisions and activities that affect them. “Meaningful participation requires a safe and supportive environment that enables young people to make choices based upon full information and that increases their connectedness to their social surroundings. It means having an active role in family matters, school, health services, community life and government.”57 Youth in Montenegro Adolescents age 15-18: For this age group there is a need to promote healthy life styles and child friendly services available for adolescents. It is also important to promote the participation of adolescents in all aspects of decision-making that affects their lives including within the family environment, the school and community, which would contribute to their full development as active and responsible citizens of a pluralistic and democratic society. In addition, their meaningful and active participation would contribute to the advancement of human development in Montenegro. Presently, there is no specialized capacity that is dedicated to youth. * See Annex 1a Participation of Youth in Serbia and Montenegro Youth are young people aged 15-25 and make up about 13.7 per cent of the total population in Serbia and about 15.9 per cent in Montenegro.56 For the most part, the current generation of youth over the past decade have remained isolated and their whole world changed while they were growing up. The key areas in the lives of young people are: participation in society, employment, health and effective response for young people in need of special protection. One critical fact regarding youth in Serbia and Montenegro is the limited availability of data, which is not disaggregated from the rest of the population, particularly for girls and young women, and especially excluded and marginalized groups such as minorities and the disabled. A consistent and coordinated There is concern about the increasing drug use among adolescents and youth between the ages of 15-25. According to research conducted by the Red Cross and the Institute for Public Health in 2001, among this age group, it was estimated there were 6.7 per cent occasional drug users, and 1.2 per cent were estimated as addicted drug users. In 2001 there were at least 14 cases registered as hospitalised for drug abuse while in 2002 this figure was reduced to a total of 9 cases. The decline in the cases of drug users hospitalised is more likely attributed to the lack of appropriate treatment available. The registered cases were from the psychiatric clinics in Podgorica, as there is no one institution that provides treatment and rehabilitation services for drug addiction. More reliable data is also needed in this regard. There are not accurate records of drug users, or any preventive treatment programmes available. Thus, the only alternative for adolescents and youth is to seek help in the psychiatric clinics, which treat all mentally ill 56 ibid, p. 25 57 ibid, p. 33 42 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro patients. There is no adequate training offered to medical staff in order to treat the problem effectively. Compounding the problem is the fact that drug abuse is not regarded as a priority by the health sector. In addition, in a traditional society like Montenegro, drug abuse can lead to stigmatisation and for the most part, youths and their families are left to cope on their own. There are figures related to adolescents and youth in Montenegro that indicate they are having sexual relations at an early age.1 Yet, there are no school programmes that promote safe sex and contraception, nor counselling services for promotion of healthy lifestyles among adolescents and youth. In this regard, there is a need for coordinating peer education programmes that should be provided by the school system in close collaboration with local NGOs with a view to establishing the cooperation of parents and civil society. 1 Brave New Generation, published by UNICEF Belgrade, p.69 Disabled Children in Serbia and Montenegro The Constitution of Serbia and Montenegro guarantees special protection for persons with disabilities. Disabled children and youth are entitled to material support, career assistance and other benefits. In 1993, the Government of FRY estimated there were 142,700 disabled children. Currently, only a small percentage of disabled children receive professional therapy. A large number of institutionalised children with mental disabilities in Serbia are living in two institutions that also care for disabled adults with disabilities (Kulina and Staminca), and children and youths are also mixed with adults, even in sleeping areas. Although these institutions provide the basic needs, they are overcrowded and the living conditions are poor.58 The social stigma attached to children with disabilities, the lack of adequate services and the disparities in the provision of services between rural and urban areas indicate that this is another area of concern since disabled children are likely to be chronically excluded and discriminated against.59 Although there are no official data, it is estimated there are about 18,000 children, adolescents and youths up to age 25 with disabilities in Montenegro.60 58 59 60 61 Generally, disabled children are stigmatized in Montenegrin society and frequently hidden by their families. In fact, the lack of accurate data on children with disabilities is partially caused by the stigmatization and discrimination against such children and their families, including children living with HIV/AIDS. There are no systemic solutions for prevention of disabilities such as early detection, registration, categorization, early treatment and rehabilitation. There are four schools for pupils with different disabilities nevertheless, they have limited access to education. This is largely due to the tendency to exclude disabled children and the lack of readiness by many teachers, pupils and parents to accept them, as well as the inadequate school conditions. According to the existing legislation, children with disabilities are not allowed to attend mainstream pre-school education. Regarding primary school children with disabilities, this is regulated by a separate law, which has the effect of contributing to their being further isolated from mainstream education and other children. As many as 500 children with disabilities have been placed in separate classes within the regular primary schools in the large towns of Montenegro.61 Presently, a Categorization Multidisciplinary Commission reviews disabled children at primary school age within one day using IQ tests, in order to determine whether the child should be placed in mainstream education or sent to a special school. The structure, composition and operation of the Commissions are based on an outdated medical model of disability and the diagnostic procedures used are not adequate checks to protect children from misdiagnosis. Moreover, some children are diagnosed late and miss the opportunity for early intervention. Along with a growing awareness of the need to reform the social care system, acknowledgement of these problems has prompted a reconsideration of the role and function of the Commissions. The Right to Social Protection in Serbia and Montenegro Box #7 The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights provides in Article 9, the right of everyone to social security, including social insurance. Brave New Generation, published by UNICEF Belgrade, p.79 ibid, p.80 Source: Parents’ Association for Children with Disabilities, a network from 21 municipalities. Ministry of Education of Montenegro, Annual Report 2002 Strategic Analysis 43 The social protection systems of Serbia and Montenegro have been extensively analysed by their respective PRSPs. Given that increasing unemployment and poverty have been central features of the transition period in Serbia and Montenegro, it is not surprising that a large number of families rely on social welfare to enable them to meet their basic needs A large number of people rely on extended family networks and remittances from abroad, work in the gray economy, some on scavenging and some on social welfare to meet part of their needs. In the past ten years of economic and political crisis, allocation priorities of the available funds have changed, leaving a sparse budget for the social welfare sector. The situation was much worse prior to the appointment of the new government in January 2001. Assistance to poor families and individuals was designed to enable them to achieve a minimum level of social security. This included direct allowances, accommodation for children without parental care, support for people with disabilities to live by themselves, assistance to the aged and particularly to vulnerable families. In Serbia, these systems operated until 2000 through job security and protection of workers from dismissal, ensuring low prices for essential goods such as bread, flour, sugar, electricity and public utilities, payment of welfare benefits including children’s allowances and humanitarian aid from international agencies. The number of citizens receiving welfare benefit is low, and is almost insignificant relative to the number of poor people in the country. During the 1990s, the number of families receiving welfare benefit continued to decline. The decline in the number of recipients of welfare benefits in Serbia and Montenegro did not result from a decline in poverty, but from restrictive criteria applied by the social welfare system and the inability to finance even that modest assistance. In 2001, the number of recipients of welfare benefits rose by about one–fourth, primarily because benefits were being paid regularly and had increased in real terms. Under the prevailing circumstances, it would be relevant to identify whether there are any specific groups in the population that do not enjoy the right to social protection at all or to a lesser degree than the majority of the population. The social welfare system in Serbia and Montenegro has a caseload of approximately 160,000 children, including 10,000 who have been deprived of parental care, out of which 2,000 are placed in institutions and 2,000 live with foster families62. Despite the encouraging achievements and firm commitment to reform the social protection system in the last couple of years, the system continues to reflect general deterioration of socio-economic conditions, and the government is left with huge challenges in coping with its social caseload. The child protection system is based on outdated and inappropriate standards and working methodologies. For vulnerable children entitled to support and assistance from the Government63, such as those deprived of parental care, those with disabilities, and those at risk or in conflict with the law, placement in institutions is the most common response. Community-based forms of care and other opportunities for their social integration are critically scarce. The need to develop adequate child protection policies, legal and administrative frameworks, which are in accordance with international norms and standards, has gradually made its way and figures as a priority in the reform agenda. (As stated in both Montenegrin and Serbian PRSP: The main goals of reforms undertaken in the social sector are the de-institutionalisation and development of alternative forms of social protection, the definition of the role of different sectors and their inter-linkages (health care, education, employment, police, judiciary), involvement of different stakeholders in the sphere of service provision (primarily those from the NGO sector), and greater reliance on day-care, instead of institutional placement in the great majority of cases.) The Right to Gender Equality and Women’s Human Rights in Serbia and Montenegro MDG Box #6 Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women Target: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015 On the whole, a high degree of gender equality has been achieved in primary and secondary education. Girls are over-represented in tertiary and higher education. However the gender gap is widespread in the employment areas, where 62 source: PRSP section 3: More efficient Social Protection 63 Whereas there is no official definition of Children in need of special protection measures in Serbia and Montenegro, legislation does exist that defines which categories of children require support and assistance from the state – specifically, children living without parental care, children at risk within their own family, children living in dysfunctional families, children with behavioural problems, children in conflict with the law, children placed in foster care or in adoption, children with disabilities and child victims of domestic violence. 44 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro women are concentrated in low-paid jobs and rarely reach managerial positions. Women also earn less than men. The most striking gender disparity is the low participation of women in the public and political life. The number of women elected to a public office is very low. Women parliamentarians represent only 10%. Serbia and Montenegro ratified the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW), which recognises that discriminatory practices are an obstacle to the equal participation of women in all aspects of life and to the development of society. Yet, despite the emphasis during the socialist era on employment and productive work as both rights and duties for all citizens, the perception of women’s roles in Serbia and Montenegro, as in many other countries, continues to follow a patriarchal stereotype where women are seen primarily as wives and mothers. Marriage and family continue to dominate women’s lives, while men continue to be seen as breadwinners, despite the fact that male employment has declined during the transition, placing more and more women in the position of primary earners. As in many other parts of the world, women are burdened with almost total responsibility for the “care economy,” even as they struggle to earn enough to sustain their families. Serbia There are several indications that gender equality, which was guaranteed in the past through policies that ensured equal access to education, health care, employment and social benefits to both women and men is eroding due to the prevailing economic and social conditions. In terms of adult literacy rate, women are disadvantaged with 88.9 per cent for women in Serbia, as opposed to 97 per cent for men.64 This figure is much higher in rural and older women. Girls are still at a disadvantage in their opportunities to develop their abilities, which is reflected in the chapter on education. Currently, despite their high levels of education and professional qualifications, women in Serbia enter the labour market on unequal terms. Transition has affected the labour market in several ways. Levels of female employment have sharply declined (16.7 per cent in Serbia between 1991 and 2000) during the transition. However, data for 2000 show women accounting for 42.8 per cent of the workforce in Serbia – an apparent increase over pre-transition levels. The increased share of women in the total labour force is an outcome of the fact that male employment was affected even more adversely during the period of economic collapse, which saw the closure of several heavy industries traditionally dominated by men. Breastfeeding either at work or in public is not acceptable and this further restricts women in work choices. The Survey of the Living Standard of the Population (SLSP) points to the unfavourable economic status of women. For example, over 40 per cent of women over 15 years of age do not have a regular personal income. Women workers earn an average of 15 per cent lower wages than men, and 10 per cent less than their male counterparts for the same job. This underpayment is more pronounced in sectors such as education, health and social insurance, where women are present in large numbers. Gender differences in pay are visible across all classes and categories of employment, and have widened in the last five years. Women are underrepresented in managerial positions and in the political decision-making bodies. Their presence in political life has shown a decline and is lower than any other country in the region. Women represent 52 per cent of the electorate but merely 6.7 percent of elected representatives at all levels are women and only 5.6 per cent in the Union Parliament. However, they are better represented in the judiciary and in traditional sectors such as education and health care. The increasing criminalization of society in the years of transition is further hindering women’s participation in public life. There was an increase of 19 per cent in the number of rapes reported between 1992/93 and 1996. In 1997, the number of reported rapes declined, although it is not clear whether this is due to a real decline or under-reporting because of women’s lack of confidence in police procedures and the justice system. Awareness of the personal and professional costs involved in reconciling the demands of these oftencontradictory roles is a factor influencing the decision to marry and start a family. According to the 1991 Census, two-thirds of the adult population were married, and surveys show that women themselves place a high value on marriage. Nevertheless, the situation may be changing. There has been a declining trend in the number of marriages since 1971, with an increase in the average age at marriage. Many young people cite the lack of a regular job and the housing problem as the main reasons why they choose to delay marriage and childbearing. Even within marriage, women in Serbia are also choosing to have fewer children 64 Draft Human Development Report for Serbia 2003, at page 74 Strategic Analysis 45 increasingly later in life. This should also be seen as a response to material insecurity and social turmoil. During the 1990s, a change in the age structure of the childbearing population is evident, with an increase in the average age at the birth of the first child, from 2024 years to 26.5 years. This is reinforced by a decline in the birth rate for women at the optimal age (25-29) and an increase in childbearing by older women (3039 years). There is much less of a decline in birth rate for minority women. The incidence of childbearing by adolescent girls also shows a decline, unlike in many other countries in transition. This requires further studies. A decline in fertility was visible even before the transition. It had fallen below replacement levels already in the 1980s. This trend has intensified in the last decade, due partly to the postponement of marriage and partly to the shrinking numbers of women in the childbearing age range. Nevertheless, an additional obstacle for women that hinders the enjoyment of their human rights is also attributed to the limited reproductive choices available to them. This is caused in part by the general lack of public information on birth control, and the inadequate supply of conventional contraceptives. As noted earlier, women in Serbia have a high rate of abortion, and there has been a rise in the numbers of children born to single women, which is a group that is more likely to become socially and economically disadvantaged. Moreover, there are no institutional mechanisms to protect the rights of single mothers.65 Both Serbia and Montenegro are believed to have high but underreported domestic violence, primarily against children and women, but also against elderly people. Child abuse and neglect is particularly underreported, and a category for this does not even exist, for example. in centres for Social Welfare cases records. Even though there are still no official statistics on domestic violence, the fact that there are over 30 women’s organisations and NGOs, all formed over the last decade, that have domestic violence at the centre of their agendas is an indication of the seriousness of the problem. The draft PRSP concurs with this conclusion and indicates that the prevalence of domestic violence has reached “dramatic scales in Serbia.” Gender-based violence impairs or nullifies the enjoyment by women of their human rights and fundamental freedoms such as the right to life, the right not to be tortured or subjected to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, and the right to equality in the family. It is also regarded as discrimination within the meaning of Article 1 of the CEDAW. States Parties to the CEDAW have the duty to ensure that laws against domestic violence give adequate protection to all women, and respect their integrity and dignity, and appropriate support services should be provided to the victims. Another issue of concern is the lack of protection in regard to the trafficking of women and children. There is evidence of a growing sex industry run by criminal networks that operate along the borders with Western Europe. The current laws are inadequate in regard to this criminal offence and, among other things, do not provide adequate protection programmes for witnesses and victims (additional information regarding trafficking is provided under the chapter on Security of Persons). Montenegro Montenegrin society can be characterized as both patriarchal and traditional and with a strong preference among most families for male children. As in Serbia, women are generally perceived as mothers, wives and daughters. According to the last available census, which was conducted in 1991, women make up 51 per cent of the population in Montenegro. Estimates vary according to the source, but out of those unemployed, a majority are women. However, women do make up 40 per cent of the legal workforce and it is estimated that they make up about 60 per cent of the gray economy. Although many women are employed and pursue professional opportunities, as a rule, they are more limited than men when it comes to education and employment. Although according to the law, women enjoy equal status, in practice this is not the case. Women are generally paid lower salaries than men for doing the same job. It is also rare to find a woman holding a high level position both in the private and public sectors. Studies indicate that there are patterns of discrimination against women because for example, they are unable to get certain management positions and very few become members of Parliament, despite their skills and knowledge.66 Another indication is the fact that many qualified women end up with lower paid jobs that do not correspond to their level of education. Many women in rural areas are unable to further their education due to traditions and customs that lead them to marry and start their families after completion of primary and secondary school. In Montenegro it is estimated that about 14.7 per cent of the households 65 Draft Human Development Report for Serbia 2003, page 79 66 Household Survey # 5, p. 30 46 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro are managed by women. Furthermore, women heads of households are less educated with 33.8 per cent of them having only a primary education and many have not had any form of education at all. From these factors it can be concluded that most of these women and their families fall into the category of the poor and most vulnerable group in the Montenegrin context. Domestic violence is being addressed increasingly in Montenegro and a number of NGOs focus on this issue. Currently there is public discussion taking place regarding a proposed criminal law dealing with domestic violence, among other issues. According to SOS Telephone for Women and Children, Victims of Violence, a local NGO, the problem of domestic violence in Montenegro is of concern. Domestic violence includes: physical and psychological abuse (25.5 per cent) and physical, psychological and economic (22.4 per cent). According to the Ministry of Interior, 10.8 per cent of all the cases reported related to disturbing the peace in public places were found to be related to domestic violence. Between 1997 and the year 2000, SOS reported 1, 778 calls with complaints of domestic violence, or 445 per year. About 39 per cent of the cases involved women between the ages of 16 and 25. SOS provides a list of what is regarded in Montenegrin society as acceptable patterns of behaviour among men. Included among them are: • Men are expected to be the “boss” in the family; • Strong preference for male children; • Women are destined to raise the children; • Regardless of the price, women have a duty to keep the family together; • Women fear their children will be left without a father if they file for divorce; • It is accepted for husband to beat their wives if they are doing something wrong; • Usually it is considered that only bad wives experience domestic violence. Through the same SOS survey, it was revealed that children are also direct victims of violence and are being psychologically affected by the abuse being committed against the mothers. Out of the reported cases of violence, 17 per cent of the children were reported as psychologically affected, 13 per cent were physically abused, and 15 per cent were being abused by an alcoholic father.67 SOS indicates that a majority of Montenegrin society considers it acceptable to beat children if they do something wrong, including some 47 per cent of women, mainly mothers who were found to agree. There are a number of organizations and groups that deal with victims of domestic violence in Montenegro including women NGOs, Ministry of Interior, Centers for social work and health organizations, as well as the courts. CHALLENGES Serbia and Montenegro face several challenges as they strive to advance and accelerate human development. In this regard, it is important to ensure that the social indicators are maintained. Special attention must be given to ensure that the relatively few children that are born will all be healthy, well nourished and all receive a good quality education. Reducing inequalities: One of the biggest challenges is the persistence of inequalities and social, economic and cultural exclusion. On average, Serbia and Montenegro score well according to the Human Development Index (HDI)68, which measures life expectancy at birth, educational attainment and GDP per capita. In 1999, the country reported a life expectancy at birth of 72.9 years, an adult literacy rate of 93 per cent and a combined gross primary, secondary and tertiary enrolment ratio of 69, and a GDP per capita of PPP US$ 2,920. Nevertheless, there are wide regional disparities in Serbia in terms of human development (with the Human Development Index varying from 0.638, which is equivalent to that of Gabon – an under-developed African country, to 0.799, which is equivalent to Latvia – an EU-accession country). For instance, according to recent estimates, the value of the HDI for Raski Okrug (0.638) is almost 20 per cent lower than Grad Beograd Okrug (0.799). A major challenge is reducing gender inequality, which serves to contribute to women’s poverty. According to draft PRSPs, based on the experience of other countries in transition, and in view of the increasing poverty in Serbia and Montenegro, elderly rural women and single mothers and their children are the most vulnerable. In addressing gender inequality and its relationship to women’s poverty it is necessary to promote and support effective measures (legislative, administrative, judicial or other) to overcome discriminatory attitudes and practices, to disseminate information about the need for reducing gender 67 Domestic Violence, published by SOS Telephone for Women and Children Victims of Violence, 2003 Podgorica p. 60, 69, 130 and 33 68 Although HDI statistics have not yet been derived for Montenegro, the differences are estimated to be relatively small, and the much smaller weight of the Montenegrin population in the overall Union of Serbia & Montenegro means that the HDI figures for Serbia can be understood to closely reflect the picture for SCG overall. Strategic Analysis 47 inequalities, to analyse and monitor gender inequality, and to support women’s cooperatives and entrepreneurship. Box #8 HDI Ranking and values for 25 counties of Serbia County HDI Score 1. GRAD BEOGRAD OKRUG 0.799 2. SEV. BACKI OKRUG 0.784 3. JUZ. BACKI OKRUG 0.779 4. NISAVSKI OKRUG 0.774 5. SEVER. BANAT. OKRUG 0.769 6. ZAJECARSKI OKRUG 7. SRED. BANAT. OKRUG 8. ZAPAD. BACKI OKRUG 9. PIROTSKI OKRUG 10. JUZ. BANAT. OKRUG 0.767 0.759 0.759 0.747 0.744 11. SUMADIJSKI OKRUG 12. MORAVICKI OKRUG 13. SREMSKI OKRUG 0.743 0.735 0.733 SERBIA 0.733 14. KOLUBARSKI OKRUG 15. POMORAVSKI OKRUG 0.725 0.725 16. RASINSKI OKRUG 17. BRANICEVSKI OKRUG 18. BORSKI OKRUG 19. PODUNAVSKI OKRUG 20. TOPLI?KI OKRUG 0.714 0.713 0.688 0.686 0.686 21. MACVANSKI OKRUG 22. ZLATIBORSKI OKRUG 23. JABLANICKI OKRUG 24. PCINJSKI OKRUG 25. RASKI OKRUG Source: Serbia HDR 2003 0.678 0.677 0.669 0.643 0.638 Tackling poverty: Poverty is one of the main root causes and obstacles to human development in Serbia and Montenegro. It is also among the root causes of exclusion. Rising inequalities, bigger income poverty gaps across population strata and across geographical regions are closely linked with disparities in the health status, educational level and accessibility to other basic social services. Underlying factors accounting for poverty are lack of investment in the social sectors, inadequate resources, poor structures and weak capacities. An important challenge to human development in Serbia and Montenegro is to identify the hidden 48 regional pockets of underdevelopment and exclusion and to define and implement more inclusive public policies. For example, the risk is high that poor children whose parents have lost their source of income during the transition to a market economy may grow up excluded and not have an opportunity to enjoy their rights to health and education. In light of refugee and internally displaced persons, as well as the Roma population being the most vulnerable and the poorest, and showing different demographic characteristics, they require different policies and strategies in order to reduce the disparities in their development. The disintegration of the country into two Republics also affected the system of data collection and analysis. Thus, besides the accuracy, the quality of available data is also an issue in tackling poverty. One of the challenges in assessing the situation of the poor in Serbia and Montenegro is the need for reliable and accessible data provided by a statistical system that can collect, process and analyze information on living standards. The need for developing data systems for poverty monitoring has been identified as an immediate necessity. The limited empowerment of people as “rights holders” that can claim their civil, political, economic, social and cultural rights, constitutes a barrier to human development. Consequently, one of the challenges to be addressed is the lack of people’s participation in the design and implementation of policies and programmes intended to empower and support the socially excluded and marginalized. In this regard, a much more central place of children, adolescents and youth in national policies is necessary, including in poverty reduction strategies; and the systematic and high quality participation of young people and children in decision-making on issues affecting them. Improving health: The absolute priority is the reform of the health care system. The main objectives are reorganization, capacity building, improving the legislation and arranging the system in accordance with European standards. The weaknesses of the legislation, public health and primary health care system, the lack of medical equipment and modern skills have been recognized. Improving the health status of the population, particularly of the most vulnerable groups, is another major challenge. This means equitable and equal access to health care for all citizens of Serbia and Montenegro. Another consideration is the fact that deprived and vulnerable groups often lack access to pertinent health information, which hinders their capacity to claim their right to health services. Thus, advocating for inclusive public health policies, better access to Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro individual health services with more investment in the preventive health services, and education of mothers is needed in order to ensure better health in early childhood and a healthy start in life. In regard to children’s health, special attention to better nutrition and an increase in the low rate of exclusive breast-feeding to six months is also desirable. Tackling HIV/AIDS: Currently only passive reporting on HIV/AIDS exists and there is a high level of stigma and discrimination of people living with AIDS. Major steps toward correcting the situation were made by establishing multi-disciplinary committees for AIDS and putting all necessary drugs on the reimbursable drugs list for patients (making antiretrovirals available free of charge). The causes of the low birth rate in the country have not been sufficiently analysed. Further research is needed on reproductive rights and the availability of birth control methods as an alternative to abortion. There is also a need to improve the patient centred approach in the birth experience, in place of the earlier “medicalised” approach. There is no national review of either peri-natal, infant or maternal deaths, which makes it difficult to advocate for policy and practice changes or to make recommendations on prevention. Prevention of HIV/AIDS transmission clearly needs to be targeted at teenagers and young people, and at vulnerable groups including sex-workers, IV drug users and homosexuals. The epidemic is still at an early age, but risk factors are very present and numbers could escalate rapidly. Targeted and outreach services for these groups do not exist and they experience discriminatory attitudes in accessing regular services.69 It is evident that there is a large gap in the present health care system between what the law provides as entitlements for beneficiaries, and the ability of the system to render the services and essentially to fulfil these rights. This is an important issue that needs to be further examined in order to determine the persons who should be covered by the compulsory health insurance. More centres for confidential HIV testing and pre and post-testing are needed. Investments in the health and educational sector are also necessary to improve the surveillance and reporting system, as well as to design health education programmes that aim to reduce the stigma of people living with AIDS, especially children and young people. Programmes should also aim to reduce the prevalence of risk behaviour such as unsafe sex, I.V. drug use, and sharing of needles and syringes. Improving the control of non-communicable diseases is a major challenge in improving the population’s health. Non-communicable diseases form the highest proportion of the country’s maladies and almost 70 % of deaths can be related to unhealthy life-styles such as smoking tobacco, alcohol consumption, an unbalanced diet, and sedentary lifestyles. It is necessary to support efforts for the creation of healthy settings and an enabling environment which will promote the choice of healthy life-styles. The Government of Serbia has initiated a Tobacco Control Strategy which needs to be further supported. Integration of health promotion and prevention into all levels of health services, particularly into primary care together with providing evidencebased treatment and cures to the whole population for the most common illnesses are essential in order to ensure equitable access to services and improved health for all sectors of the population. Integration of health promotion and prevention within the health services for children and the young is important for tackling the non-communicable diseases epidemic in the country, reducing excess mortality and morbidity and ensuring healthier lives and thus contributing to the human development of the population of Serbia and Montenegro. As to tuberculosis, which is regarded as a public health threat, in addition to the need for more accurate registration of cases and reliable data, ensuring proper treatment is another challenge. Treatment guidelines and drug regimens according to recommended short-course chemotherapy are already in the plan, and the procedures are already established throughout the country. But unfortunately, correct treatment has been hampered by a lack of continuous drug supply. Since systematic cohort evaluation of treatment is not available, it is impossible to estimate what effect this irregular provision of drugs has had on the cure rate of the country. According to WHO, nothing is as dangerous and as detrimental to a tuberculosis programme as irregular drug supply, and assurance of a continuous and well-controlled supply of drugs is needed. Full control of the use of anti-tb drugs is necessary to prevent development of MDR-TB. MDRTB is not a large problem in Serbia and Montenegro so far, but it is impossible to say what the future situation will be without proper drug control being established soon. The Government must establish measures to prevent uncontrolled distribution and sale of tb-drugs over the counter, with as well as without prescription. 69 Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS among Especially Vulnerable Young People in Serbia Strategic Analysis 49 Improving the quality of education: For school-aged children, efforts should focus on ensuring access to primary education and on reducing the dropout rates, especially for Roma children and other vulnerable groups. Access to primary education can be impaired due to legal registration issues, and the lack of financial resources to purchase textbooks and affordable school transportation. Minority language education and intercultural understanding and respect, remains a challenge, as there is no agreed Roma language, which could be used for textbooks, and there are few trained Albanian teachers. The education of children with special needs and their greater involvement in the educational system is another challenge, in order to ensure that all children in Serbia and Montenegro enjoy their right to education. The quality of education, in terms of its content and teaching methods, and its relevance in the modern world, as well as in relation to the needs of the community, is also a top priority. Promoting respect for cultural diversity in a pluralistic society should be included in the educational curricula. The informal kindergarten, pre-school and primary education sector have grown in the last three to five years, which is largely donor driven, but covers much of the outreach and special needs education sectors. Presently, there is no adequate planning for incorporating these projects in the mainstream when donor funding decreases, but there are more organized approaches to check quality and recommend projects to donors. 70 Weakening of the education system has led to young people being less able to enter the workforce. The developmental challenges for young people are in several areas: access to vocational education, exposure to risk behaviours and adequate preventive and health promotion programmes, access to youth friendly health services, and opportunities for decent employment. Programmes for adult literacy, also known as second chance education, are full of children who have dropped out of school but they serve neither children nor adults properly. These programmes are in need of review and the overall approach is in need of reform. Increased public and private investment is crucial in the educational sector to quality of tertiary and higher education, in order to prepare students for the market economy of today. In sum, to ensure the progressive realisation of the right to education, several challenges need to be met regarding equal access, quality of education including revision of the curricula and teacher training, as well as the need to increase the allocation of public resources to the education sector. The orientation and the steps of the reform process in the social sector that began in early 2001 have gained clarity and coherence in the second half of 2003.71 There have been marked successes in some areas (such as developing a consultative and participatory mechanism concerned with the main directions of the reform, reform of pension provisions, developing the strategy for transforming institutions for children, establishment of the Social Innovation Fund, development of a participatory mechanism, etc.). However, overall reforms have yet to make a major impact on the quality of services in demand, service delivery and professional competency. One of the major challenges resides in coordinating and ensuring cross fertilisation of findings and results achieved in each of the 7 strategic reform projects (see the section on Responses for their listing). Another challenge in reforming the entire social protection sector resides in the inter-linkages and in the different speeds at which administrative, regulatory and normative measures get revised and/or developed. Finally, there is a need to harmonise the proposed reforms measures, if they are to inform the development of a social protection policy for the country. Ensuring the right to housing: Ensuring shelter for all is a major challenge in Serbia and Montenegro. As in other post-socialist countries, there is a need to develop a broad housing policy that includes a mortgage lending system and for the low-income population, a social housing system. The latter should include a step-by-step establishment of instruments, institutions and financial and management of modalities, both at central and local levels. Protecting women’s and children’s rights: In regard to domestic violence, there are numerous challenges. Public awareness is low, since the problem is still seen as a private matter in which neighbours and police are reluctant to intervene. The few official agencies dedicated to coping with family violence have inadequate resources and are limited in their activity by social pressure to keep families together at all costs. Women and children who endure abusive relationships are often forced to continue living with the perpetrators. The difficulty in finding alternative even temporary accommodation (there is only one women’s shelter in Serbia and one in Montenegro), lack of economic independence, lack of community support and services and fear of censure are the main contributing factors. Generally, there is a lack of policy response, the absence of clear regulations, adequately trained 70 Catalogue, projects in schools, Ministry of Education of Serbia 2002 71 see the Government of the Republic of Serbia website: www.srbija.sr.gov.yu 50 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro police (there is no trained police unit to provide protection or assistance to female victims of sexual or other violence), and judicial procedures to deal with cases of violence. There is no recognition of domestic violence as a crime and an infringement of women’s human rights. The absence of a strong legislative framework and the negative attitudes of the official machinery, particularly the police, judiciary and the health system, make it difficult for women to break the silence, seek protection, protest or obtain redress. An additional challenge is that the wider and professional public are not very aware of children’s rights and there is limited cooperation between the competent services and institutions. Legal sanctions intended for cases of abuse and neglect of children are very weak. There is no systematic monitoring and recording of abuse and neglect cases and professionals working with children lack specialized knowledge and competences. Strengthening civil society engagement: Civil society organisations have been established in Serbia and Montenegro and many are regarded as strong actors in the movement for democracy. Included among them are NGOs, student groups and youth organisations. These organisations can play a leading role in promoting economic and social policies and legislative reform that are pro-poor and based on human rights principles and values. However, the capacity of these organizations needs strengthening before they can become effective. The lack of a defined constituency, low level of accountability to stakeholders other than donors, a weak community base and uneven management skills have been listed as impediments that NGOs must overcome to achieve their full potential. Government services continue to grapple with the extent of NGO involvement in social service delivery. A considerable donor-led NGO sector is facing collapse as donors withdraw. NGOs channel much of the donor resources, provide direct humanitarian assistance and also support many innovative programmes, such as pre-school and support programmes for Roma children and outreach social work teams. Their funding is likely to decline. As yet, there is no clear concept of how successful development pilot projects will continue in a local model. On of the key challenges is to build a solid and active civil society. Thus, solutions should focus on: • enhancing government and civil society’s understanding of human rights and its interrelationship with human development; Strategic Analysis • facilitating public spaces for participation of the civil society; • identifying rights-holders (or beneficiaries) and building their capacity to claim or advocate for their rights and to participate in decision making processes that affect their lives; • identifying duty bearers (state and non-state actors) and building their capacity to fulfil their obligations and overcome the constraints; • supporting the establishment of mechanisms for redress that guarantee rights and for monitoring of all human rights - civil, political, economic, social and cultural. Poverty reduction strategies should empower the rights-holders to participate in the decision-making processes and this requires a strong civil society. Capacity building of the most marginalized and excluded is possible through civil society organizations and by creating public spaces for active and meaningful participation. Initiatives such as poverty hearings and participatory poverty assessments that reflect the views of the socially excluded also help duty bearers – which may include state and non-state actors – to respond more effectively. Thus, such initiatives have great potential and merit support. RESPONSES The Governments of Serbia and Montenegro show a firm commitment towards reform, with varying degrees of success so far in education, health and social protection. Both republics have formulated basic principles for reform and an extensive process of drafting new legislation is ongoing in both republics. However, there is a backlog of legislation waiting to be passed through parliament. The process of developing the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP) in Serbia and in Montenegro is about to be completed. In both Serbia and Montenegro, consultations were held at the regional and the national level, in order to ensure that the voices of the people are included into PRSP. The approach taken in both PRSPs is that poverty is multi-dimensional and includes not only insufficient income, but also a lack of livelihood opportunities, inadequate shelter and inadequate access to social protection, health, educational and public services. It further requires paying particular attention to all human rights, vulnerability and social exclusion. As part of the PRSP process, UNICEF in collaboration with the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) are undertaking participatory research in Serbia and Montenegro regarding the perception that children have on poverty in accordance with different age groups. 51 To date, implementation of the Serbian Government’s National Strategy for Resolving the Problems of Refugees and IDPs has been slow due to ambitious budgets and inadequate funding. The Government is proceeding with the closure of collective centres outlined in the Strategy, which may leave some individuals more vulnerable for an interim period. Refugees and IDPs are being included in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper. The PRSPs recognize that adopting a human rights approach will also help to protect and promote the rights of the poorest and most vulnerable in society. For example, having adopted a rights approach has already drawn attention to the need for immediate steps to address the severe problems of the Roma population, particularly the children. Such strategy does not exist in Montenegro. Federal Ministry of Health, Labour and Social Welfare on March 24, 1999. The plan stated that Serbia and Montenegro was to conduct a tuberculosis programme according to the DOTS-strategy (Directly Observed Treatment short-course), recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO), and the International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease (IUATLD). The Ministry had appointed a Central team for the Programme and a scientific support committee. Since then, the Ministry of Health of Serbia has reaffirmed its commitment to WHO DOTS strategy and the country has applied to the Global Fund in May 2003. There are ongoing activities for preparation of a project proposal for tuberculosis for Montenegro. Health Sector Reform Process in Serbia The release in late 2002 of the first strategy for Roma people in Serbia & Montenegro72 paved the way for a Roma Education Strategy for Serbia, currently in preparation. Children with disabilities face particular barriers in education, with many of them either placed in institutions or kept at home. A review of the categorization process for disabled children is underway with recommendations to make the process more inclusive, less medicalised, and to promote earlier intervention. Many Roma children are labeled or treated as learning disabled (even when they are not) so that as a result of this process they are marginalised even more. The Ministry of Education in Montenegro has been promoting the right of all children to receive an education without discrimination. The Ministry has been involved in the education of Roma children and is willing to support other initiatives that aim to contribute to the integration of Roma children in the formal education system. Efforts are being undertaken by UNICEF in collaboration with the Ministry of Education to raise the capacity of parents, teachers and other professionals in order to be able to educate disabled children adequately along with other children within the school system. The Serbian health system is slowly progressing towards health care reform, but is still not client-oriented or patient-centred. The announced reforms are aimed at correcting the effects of the country’s decade-long isolation, which affected health workers both in terms of updating technical knowledge and in keeping pace with the “democratisation” of health. A plan for a National Tuberculosis Programme (NTP) for Serbia and Montenegro was sanctioned by the In February 2002, the Government of Serbia adopted a health policy document and established the cornerstone of health sector reform in Serbia. The same year, the founding principle of the reform was established: equal access to health care with the focus on most vulnerable population groups, beneficiaries put into the centre of the system, sustainability and decentralization. Short-term (for the period of 3 years), mid-term (4-7 years) and long-term (over 8 years) development directions have been defined as well as the methods of their implementation. The strategy paper and the action plan in which the Millennium development are accepted as long-term developmental priorities by the year 2015 have been developed. The indicators for monitoring and implementation of the goals have been defined. The new Laws on Health Care, Health Insurance and the Chambers have been drafted and publicly debated, but have not been passed by the National Assembly yet. Due to political situation, most of these laws will probably be pending for some time and will be further modified. Health Sector Reform Process in Montenegro “Health services policy in the Republic of Montenegro up to the year 2020” was adopted by the Montenegrin Government in January 2001. The document has been created in accordance with the WHO declaration adopted in the 51st meeting of the General Assembly of WHO in May 1998 and the documents on health poli- 72 National Strategy for the Integration and Empowerment of the Roma (Draft), Federal Ministry of Ethnic Minorities, December 2002 52 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro cy of the European region of WHO ’21 goal for 21st century’ adopted in the 48th meeting of the Regional Committee of WHO for Europe in September 1998. Ministry of Health of Montenegro drafted the Law on Health Care and the Law on Health Insurance, but they were not accepted by The Parliament of Montenegro in 2002. The new MoH will prepare the new, revised proposals to the Parliament and the work on the development is planned to begin by the end of 2003. After October 2000, Serbia has embarked upon an era of profound changes. It has opened up a process of internal reforms and international integration. In the process, education became a national priority, which should provide a powerful impetus for its economic recovery, democratic transformation and integration into the international community. In order to fulfil this mandate, education policy in Serbia focuses on: • Improving the quality and efficiency of education for all, in order to supply the new Serbian economy with highly skilled labour force and human resources for social development; • Restructuring the education system in terms of governance and inclusiveness, in order to provide a democratic framework for the development of education that takes into consideration local needs, appreciates diversity and is able to respond to upcoming challenges. In order to achieve these goals, the Ministry of Education and Sports of Serbia has developed a Strategy and Plan of Action: “Quality Education for All – a Way Toward a Developed Society” in January 2002. It was followed by an intensive consultative process and capacity building, adjusted to the needs of reform preparation and the process of implementation. The Amendments to the Law on Primary Education were adopted in April 2002, and Amendments to the Law of Secondary Education were adopted in September 2002. The Strategy of the Reform of Higher Education was developed during 2002; the new Law on Higher Education has been drafted and is to be adopted in autumn 2003. The new System Law on Education (primary and secondary) was adopted in June 2003, providing legislative framework for curricular reform. Primary education has been extended to 9 years to also include compulsory pre-primary education for at least six months before entering primary school. The curricular reform Strategic Analysis started in the first grades of elementary schools in Serbia in September 2003. Education reform in Montenegro started in 1990 and is described in the “Book of Changes”. This is an integral strategy for education from pre-school to the tertiary level. According to The Book of Changes of the Education System of the Republic of Montenegro, published in 2001, the reform of education system in Montenegro should be based on a devised strategy that should incorporate the following aspects: 1. Decentralization of the system, which implies greater participation of local communities, citizens and parents in all changes in the sphere of education; 2. Equal opportunities for all children, through inclusive policy at all levels of education, to the purpose of ensuring equal rights for different disadvantaged groups, such as the disabled, the ethnic minorities, etc; 3. Providing for choices that suit individual abilities; 4. Introduction of European standards; 5. Application of a quality system; 6. Human resources development/capacity building (pre-service and in-service teacher-training); 7. Lifelong education; 8. Flexibility, in terms of diversified curricula; 9. Respect for diversity; 10. The new legislation, regarding accessibility, equity, quality and efficiency, which creates the institutional framework. Since early 2001, the core of the social protection reform in Serbia resides in 7 strategic projects of the Ministry of Social Affairs. The focus and results of these projects so far has been on upgrading professional standards and work procedures for social workers, strengthening their preventive and outreach capacities; promoting and providing incentives for the development of alternative forms of care (family and community-based) as the first choice for children and other segments of population in need of protection, transforming residential institutions into open structures, and developing protocols for institutions ensuring the highest possible standards of care and protection. A Social Innovation Fund has been established in the Ministry of Social Affairs in Serbia. This is an innovative and promising initiative, which aims to support projects at the community level that will contribute to the reform and which will link civil society, governmental services and communities. A similar fund for other social sectors could be considered. 53 The shift from federal to republic level of the main vital registration systems took place in early 2003, but gaps remain and capacity in Montenegro is especially weak. There is a need for a better and disaggregated data collection system to enable development indicators to be tracked more accurately. Efforts in this regard have intensified in 2003 with the PRSP process in both Serbia and Montenegro, and initiatives such as the National Plan of Action for Children in Serbia. the poorest of the poor. Thus, a human rights approach to human development means concentrating primarily on those sectors of society that are the most disadvantaged and marginalized. Regarding domestic violence, there are some important developments that are noteworthy. The recent revision of the family law in Serbia has made it easier to prosecute a perpetrator. In March 2002, the federal Criminal Code was amended to make spousal rape a criminal offence. However, few victims of spousal abuse filed complaints with the authorities. Police education programmes are underway and in some municipalities there are dedicated and trained police officer to respond to assistance in domestic violence including rape. • Intensify efforts and investment in the economically depressed areas where the poor seem to be concentrated in order to create a balanced development, redress regional disparities and implement more inclusive public policies • Invest in policies that directly benefit the poorer segment of the population: Roma, Pensioners, children, female-headed household • Carry out an in-depth analysis of the root causes of the persisting low birth rate and create the condition for reversing this trend • Ensure adequate nutrition, health and education for the few children that are born • Improve access to Health and Education of the most excluded segment of society, such as Roma, disabled children, refugees and IDPs • Emphasis job and employment creation as a priority for all economic and social policies. • There is a need to develop adequate child protection policies, using legal and administrative frameworks that are in accordance with international norms and standards • Reform and develop the capacities of the relevant institutions to be able to face up to these challenges Over 30 women’s and children’s organisations and NGOs, all formed over the last decade, have domestic violence at the centre of their agendas. The first large national meeting on this issue to bring together national and international experts, professionals and NGOS was held with UNICEF and SCF support in 2003. Regarding housing, a National Housing Policy in Serbia is being drafted and its finalisation is not certain at the moment. Efforts to ensure housing for lowincome groups (mainly affordable self-owned) are present at both central and local levels. There are mainly programmes of subsidized loan intervention. The housing problem of refugees and IDPs, who represent the largest group with housing needs, generates present activities related to development of a future social housing system. In the latest state/city programmes the targeted beneficiaries are public servants, Roma and employees, whereas, small projects for refugees are mainly funded by international donors. Presently, this is oriented towards the delivery of basic housing in order to shelter refugees moving out from Collective Centres. This is the primary goal of the National Strategy for Solving the Problems of Refugees and IDPs in Serbia. Human Development - Concluding points: Analysing the Human Development situation in Serbia and Montenegro, the following can be summarized as key challenges requiring immediate action: In conclusion, the dramatic increases in the levels of poverty in Serbia and Montenegro have had a serious impact on the ability of citizens to enjoy their rights to education, to adequate food and housing, to health and to decent work, among others. The situation of pervasive poverty that has emerged is exacerbated by the large number of refugees and internally displaced persons and socially excluded groups who constitute 54 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Strategic Analysis 55 56 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Strategic Analysis 57 58 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Strategic Analysis 59 60 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 2.b) GOVERNANCE AND THE RULE OF LAW SITUATION The Millennium Declaration makes a direct link between the elimination of poverty and good governance, including the protection of human rights. Governance is the exercise of political, legal, economic and administrative authority to manage a country’s affairs. It is the complex mechanisms, processes and relationships and institutions through which citizens and groups articulate their interests, exercise their rights and obligations and mediate their differences. It is the rules, institutions, and practices that set limits and provide incentives for individuals, organizations and firms. The separation of powers between the legislature, the judiciary and the executive is essential to achieve this. Governance embraces all of the methods, formal and less formal, that societies use to distribute power, manage public resources, and mediate differences. Effective democratic forms of governance require transparency, accountability and public participation. The rule of law - based on the separation of powers - provides the fundamental legal framework of governance so that checks, balances, and controls, function and the judiciary is shielded from undue pressure. In the late 2000, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) emerged from several decades of authoritarian rule. The last decade was particularly characterized by over-centralized economic and political decision making and very limited popular participation in the running of the country’s affairs. The consequent corruption, neglect of human rights, secrecy and general incompetence left a weakened and discredited governance apparatus. The Country’s key institutions were undermined, as they were subjected to political manipulation and corruption by an inept and criminalised elite. Institutions were dilapidated and had lost their influence as they were depleted of expertise. Many of the best educated and most qualified fell victims to conflict or discrimination, or fled to the swelling ranks of the Diaspora. In October 2000, the FRY initiated a comprehensive set of reforms aimed at introducing democratic governance, strengthening the rule of Governance and the Rule of Law law and revitalising and adapting the country’s central and local public administration to a market economy, and the prospect of European integration. The state, civil society and the private sector comprise three major pillars of governance in a democratic country. In Serbia and Montenegro, the state apparatus has become dilapidated at various levels during the decade of conflict and misrule, and is now being restored through constitutional and administrative reform. Civil society played a key role in bringing autocratic misrule to an end and in fostering a more democratic era, however, although NGO activity remains vibrant, it is hampered by certain systemic features of society that are proving difficult though not impossible to change. The private sector is small, and contaminated with the residue of interests built from war profiteering and the nexus between organized crime and autocracy. However, macroeconomic stability has been restored, even if much remains to be done to accomplish economic harmonization between the two republics. The privatization process in Serbia is attracting increasing FDI, and SME development is increasingly robust. As the judicial and administrative environment improve, a more broad-based and better-regulated private sector will undoubtedly emerge and provide significant scope for public-private partnerships, e.g. in the area of service provision. The state itself, whether at state union or constituent republic levels, is undergoing profound transformation. Each republic is engaged in constitutional revision and alignment with the union Charter. The role of the state as such, and issues of regionalisation in Serbia remain to be addressed. The separation of powers between the legislature, the executive, and the judiciary seems accomplished in form but not yet completely in function. The Parliament still lacks the sophistication required of a modern European state, and needs to develop citizen trust, transparency and robust democratic oversight of the government, its finances and its services. The executive branch is de-professionalised and depleted, but capacity building is underway. Montenegro has a strategy for public administration reform, but Serbia has yet to adopt one. The security sector needs significant investigation and reform, and effective democratic parliamentary and civilian government oversight, in the defence arena at union level, and in the internal security area at republic levels. The judiciary continues to struggle with internal corruption, ineptitude, political and criminal interference, discrimination, and an enormous backlog of cases before the courts, incurring such delays as to frustrate effective access to justice, and the equitable rule of law. 61 Democratic Accountability and the Rights of the Citizen citizens, diminish the dept of economic and social recovery and exacerbate poverty and exclusion. The weaknesses besetting the political class can contribute enormously to the obstacles that citizens face in trying to exercise their political rights. Whilst political divisions and debate are normal in a democratic society, overall protracted political incoherence that gridlocks the parliamentary process or prevents needed reforms can become a major factor in the effective denial of the full enjoyment of the rights of the citizenry. The current extent to which such systemic governance problems affect Serbia and Montenegro is reflected in various situational assessments, but also in the several recent opinion polls and surveys of public attitudes and perceptions of the effectiveness of reforms. This consequential denial of rights can be aggravated by several systemic factors that arise from political negligence or from explicit political or administrative behaviour: 1) to create and maintain social cohesion through the promotion of social equity and distributive justice, including preventing exclusion; 2) to ensure an efficient management of state affairs and an efficient allocation of public spending, including taking into account the need to assist the poorest and most vulnerable segments of society; and, 2) to ensure the legitimacy and transparency of government policies. • Failure of parliamentarians to adequately represent the interests of citizens and inability to negotiate political compromise, agreement or consensus; • Effective exclusion, including via gross underrepresentation, of women, minority and disadvantaged groups; • Protracted delay in creating a legalized enabling environment for the flourishing of civil society by enabling the legitimization of NGOs and their activities; • Formal or arbitrary restrictions on the freedom of the independent media, or political interference or manipulation thereof; • Failure to implement or enforce reform legislation, due to weak administrative, regulatory, policing, or judicial capabilities; • Abuse of justice through weakness or corruption of the judiciary and court administration, and failure to prevent impunity in the disregard or breach of the law; • Abuse of power through the exercise of conflict of interest, corruption and the misappropriation of state assets, or criminal activities under the inadvertent cover of state institutions; • The clandestine and covert continuation of illicit international trade (including in armaments) and human trafficking, and the breach of UN sanctions against third parties/countries. All of these factors are present still in Serbia and Montenegro, to greater or lesser degrees. Whilst earnest reforms are underway, still more are required to deal adequately with the risk that the continued persistence of these phenomena poses. Delays in dealing decisively with these negative legacies will hamper the full enjoyment of the political rights of Public institutions, particularly in the country’s transition context, have the following three key roles: One root cause of the inefficiency of the public institutions is the fact that the country is emerging from a period of history where governance institutions, capacities, practices and culture were very much moulded by the authoritarian regimes in power. Another is that transition processes are complex and extremely demanding in terms policy-making and implementation capacity. Public institutions do not have appropriate human and organizational capacities or adequate financing, in the face of a multiplicity of new challenges, and this limits their ability to take on their new role of public service. Considerable progress has been made over the last three years in terms of legislative reforms and the strengthening of institutions at the republican level, but enormous challenges remain. A public opinion survey on the accountability of public institutions suggested that in Serbia “the state has very little confidence in the people and the people do not have much confidence in the state and its institutions. .... no state institution, apart from the army, manages to attract the confidence of the sample” ”73. The public institutions are generally seen as inefficient and lacking the competence to deal effectively with the affairs of the State and the problems of the people. The above survey also noted that “The irresponsible trifling with, first of all, state institutions at all levels, inevitably leads to the further erosion of their credibility in the people’s perception.”. According to a public opinion survey conducted in February 2003 in 73 Mihailovic, Srecko (2002). Serbian Citizens in Contact with Institutions in Transition.(p.2). 62 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Serbia, only 33 per cent of the population trusted the Parliament, 36 per cent trusted the Judiciary, and 37 per cent trusted the Government74. Montenegro opinion polls reveal similar results.75 The two recent presidential elections in each republic were invalidated76 due to a surprisingly low turnout of the electorate (below 50 per cent of voters) for a country just emerging from authoritarian rule. Opinion polls show that people are not disillusioned with politics but rather with party politics and political leaders. Seven out of ten people believe that politicians are ignoring the real problems. In both republics, there is still a limited trust in the parliamentary institution, one of the pillars of the democratic state. It seems the political parties and Parliament are insufficiently performing the role of intermediaries between citizens on the one hand and the creation of a national vision based on effective national institutions on the other. Party politics and political confrontation appear to obscure the real issues facing society. Citizens say they are becoming disillusioned as to the capacity of politicians to solve their problems. Despite the emphasis during the socialist era on employment and productive work as both rights and duties for all citizens, the perception of women’s roles is still influenced by patriarchal stereotypes inherited from the past, hence their limited participation in the political structures of the country, including high ranking positions in the public administration. The de facto absence of vulnerable groups including the Roma from political participation is notable. In the case of Roma, their limited participation in all aspects of governance is evidently related to discrimination, their low educational attainment and their limited capacity to organize and lobby for their rights. While women have traditionally played an active role in society and are active in political organizations they are not well represented in the political structures of the country77. This is also the case of ethnic minorities, particularly the Roma and the Albanians78. The Roma are subject to chronic discrimination on the part of the staff of public institutions, which limits not only the number of Roma civil servants, but also their access to public services, including social services. While the Serbian and Montenegrin socio-economic transition inevitably involves social tensions, these can be mitigated by ensuring better dialogue with the citizenry and greater popular participation. However, a heritage of the past is the premise that it is the citizen’s duty to serve the interest of the state and not the other way around, and the public administration is not able to make this adjustment overnight. The root cause of this is insufficient presence of a democratic and human rights culture and tradition. There is therefore limited understanding and practice on the part of high officials and politicians of the use of mechanisms, processes and institutions for consultation, dialogue, and accountability. There is also a lack of strong civil society pressure to introduce participatory mechanisms, which is itself a result of the country’s limited liberal democratic experience. The public’s attitude to NGOs can also be traced back to the country’s authoritarian past. Today more than 20,000 non-governmental organizations (NGOs) operate in Serbia and Montenegro. In addition, there are 19,000 ‘old type’ organizations established prior to the introduction of pluralism in 1990. NGOs played an active role in supporting political changes in the country and in the assistance to vulnerable groups, particularly during the time of chronic humanitarian crisis. Nevertheless, their support base is still very weak. It appears that the general public is to some extent suspicious of the motives and character of NGOs. Only one percent of the Serbian population is engaged in civil society organization activities79. Corruption is a widespread phenomenon in the country, and is perceived by the population as one of 74 Medium Index-Gallup International published in Politika News Paper on 17 April 2003. 75 Baseline Survey conducted by the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs in Montenegro, May 12, 2003 76 The invalidation of the vote was due to the provisions of the electoral laws in the two republics. The electoral law in Montenegro has now been amended, and a Presidential election successfully held, while amendment is pending in Serbia 77 There are only 10 women in the 178-seat Federal Parliament and 27 women in the 250-seat Serbian Parliament. There are only 6 women in the 75-seat Montenegrin Parliament. There are four women in the Serbian Cabinet. 78 There was one minority person in the Serbian cabinet and one minority person in the Union cabinet. Ethnic Albanians are underrepresented in the Union and republic governments. Few members of other ethnic minority groups are involved at the top levels of government or the state-run economy. Two representatives of Ethnic Albanian parties are members of the Montenegrin Parliament, while Roma have no representatives. While ethnic Albanians took control of local government in two southern Serbian municipalities and partial control in a third, the highest position achieved by a Roma is that of deputy mayor in Kragujevac. 79 Public opinion poll carried out by Center for Policy Analysis (CPA) in June 2002 Governance and the Rule of Law 63 the top three problems. In a public opinion poll80 conducted in the summer of 2002, the 1500 respondents concluded that the real problems of Serbia are “low standards of living (71 per cent), the fight against corruption and crime (58 per cent) and development of the economy (52 per cent)”. In Montenegro, 45 per cent of citizens believe that poverty is the most important social problem while 42 per cent feel that the biggest problem is posed by corruption, followed by crime and high prices.81 According to the results of a regional study82, the Serbian respondents believed that the greatest corruption is among customs officers (79 per cent), followed by doctors (70 per cent), police (67 per cent), lawyers (62 per cent), politicians (59 per cent), businessmen (58 per cent), judges and tax officers (57 per cent) and municipal civil servants (51 per cent). Similar results are revealed by opinion polls conducted in Montenegro.83 Corruption impacts not only the functioning of the market system and discourages investment (particularly foreign), but also distorts the functioning of the political and judiciary systems and undermines the rule of law. There is a demonstrated relationship between corruption and low growth. Also, corruption leads to the denial of the rights of the poor in that it discriminates against them in their access to services. There exists a direct relationship between public sector corruption on the one hand, and on the other nontransparency and impunity in governance, lack of effective rule of law, a weak legal system, a poor administration of justice, the existence of organized crime and limited development of the civil society sector. Reforms in Governance and the Rule of Law in Serbia and Montenegro Serbia and Montenegro are undergoing a period of transition and continue to face the challenges of establishing functional democratic institutions and strengthening the role of civil society. Thus, it is clearly an imperative to focus on building a foundation that involves: reforming the constitution, amending legislation, reorganizing and building the capacity of state institutions, and developing policies that adequately respond to the transition to a market society, but also take into account the needs of the poor and excluded members of society. After a decade of armed conflict in the region, and now transition to the new state union, both Serbia and Montenegro face a huge challenge of redefining tasks and responsibilities of different departments for public policy and administration. Consequently, they also need to re-allocate functions and build the capacity to perform them, particularly in terms of policy advice and management skills. Therefore, there is a need to help each government develop a vision for public service reform, promote a professional civil service and develop and implement a public administration reform strategy to revitalise public institutions. The development of institutional capacity, according to European benchmarks of good governance is highly relevant to the process of adequate preparation for European Union membership of Serbia and Montenegro. CHALLENGES Strengthening the Rule of Law International obligations concerning the rule of law arise primarily from the international human rights treaties adopted by the United Nations to which the 80 Mihailovic, Srecko; Gredelj, Stjepan; Stojiljkovic, Zoran (2002). Prevaricating Politicians Centar za Proucavanje Alternativa/Centre for Policy Studies (CPA/CPS). Public Opinion Poll (Belgrade, July 2002). 81 Public opinion poll conducted in June 2003 by the Damar agency for the Center for Democracy and Human Rights and reported in V.I.P. on 20 June 2003. 82 Centar za Proucavanje Alternativa/Centre for Policy Studies (CPA/CPS),(2002). Corruption in New Environment. Public Opinion Poll on Corruption – Survey on Citizens on Corruption – 7 countries in South Eastern Europe. Special Focus on Serbia and Montenegro, supported by USAID, Catholic Relief Services (CRS), and Freedom House. (12 pages). 83 See public opinion poll conducted in June 2003 by the Damar agency for the Center for Democracy and Human Rights and reported in V.I.P. on 20 June 2003. 84 The 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees and its 1967 Protocol; the International Covenants on Civil and Political Rights and on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (1976); the two (2) Optional Protocols to the Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (2001); the International Convention against Torture (1992), The Convention Against Racial Discrimination (1969) and Convention on the Elimination Against all Forms of Discrimination on against Women (1982); the Convention on the Rights of the Child (1991). The two (2) Optional Protocols on Children in Armed Conflicts and on the Sale of Children have been signed, but not yet ratified, at the end of 2002. The country is now member of the Council of Europe (since 4 April 2003) and party to the European Convention for the protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms. 85 The 1951 Convention relating to the Status of refugees and its 1967 Protocol; the International Covenants on Civil and Political 64 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro State is already party84 that include the principal international human rights instruments85. A number of European treaties can or will be added as they are signed and ratified. Such treaties form part of the legal framework of Serbia and Montenegro and of the State Union. The recently adopted Charter on Human and Minority Rights and Civil Liberties incorporates many of the rights and freedoms elaborated in the corpus of international human right law into domestic law while Article 16 of the Constitutional Charter of the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro states that “ratified international agreement and the generally accepted rules of international law shall have precedence over the law of Serbia and Montenegro and over the law of the member states.” However, there are still key issues of compatibility of international legislation with national legislation and practice. As noted earlier, Serbia and Montenegro has begun fulfilling its obligation to report to the UN treaty body committees and will now need to establish national mechanisms for monitoring how the country abides by its commitments and how it implements them. Of prime importance here will be the effective functioning of the national institutions being created under the republican laws – a human rights protector in Montenegro and a people’s advocate in Serbia – and the independent functioning of the Courts. Serbia and Montenegro is bound to co-operate with the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY)86 in dealing with serious violations of the international humanitarian law – genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity that were committed in the Balkan conflicts of the previous decade. Only limited progress has been made to create conditions where the Government has the capacity to address these issues effectively at the national level. For a variety of complex reasons, few of the perpetrators of this category of crimes have been brought to justice in the national courts. 87 The capacity and willingness of the State to address these issues is a barometer of the pace and quality of the reform in the judiciary, police and armed forces. There was simply a lack of political consensus to deal with these issues combined with remnants of the Milosevic’s regime still active in the Army and police, which reflected in the slowness and reluctance to comply with ICTY requests and orders. A sobering conclusion from the assassination of Serbia’s Premier Djindjic in March 2003 was the recognition of the link between war crimes and criminals of the past and the activities of organised crime at present, and the infiltration of these elements into important positions of power. A new determination seems to have emerged to move cooperation forward in some areas. The Prosecutor of the ICTY has recently expressed her readiness to consider to refer some of the war crimes to the national courts of the State Union once the country adopts adequate legislation on war crimes trials and develops the necessary capacity, or alternatively to assist the local prosecutions in the cases initiated by national courts. War crimes proceedings are one of the challenges that the judiciary in Serbia and Montenegro will face over the following years. Since the ICTY focuses its efforts on military and political leaders, the main responsibility for trying middle and low-level perpetrators of war crimes falls on the national judiciaries. In order to be able to tackle this issue effectively, Serbia and Montenegro, need to take a number of steps including the opening of investigations, amending legislation where necessary (e.g., to provide adequate witness protection), improving judicial cooperation with neighbouring states and ensuring fully the impartiality and independence of the judiciary. Concrete progress in this respect will be a serious indication of political will on the path to the truth and reconciliation with neighbouring countries. A failure to make significant progress will necessarily have a negative impact on international economic relations and therefore the country’s development and poverty alleviation. Following the creation of the new State Union, there are indications of a positive reassessment of co-operation with the ICTY and decisive attempts to purge the key institutions of corrupt and compromised officials. Although much is yet to be done, two related developments are important. The first is the Law on the Suppression of Organised Crime and the second is Rights and on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (1976); the two Optional Protocols to the Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (2001); the International Conventions against Torture (1992), Racial Discrimination (1969) and Discrimination against Women (1982); the Convention on the Rights of the Child (1991). The two Optional Protocols on Children in Armed Conflicts and on the Sale of Children have been signed and ratified. The country is now member of the Council of Europe (since 4 April 2003) and party to the European Convention for the protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms. 86 See Security Council Resolution 808 (1993) creating the ICTY and Resolutions 827 (1993), 1166 (1998), 1329 (2000) and 1411 (2002), which the ICTY Statute was adopted and amended. 87 For example, the bodies of nearly 950 ethnic Albanians from Kosovo have been discovered in mass graves around Serbia, including 694 bodies exhumed in Police/Army premises at Batajnica in the suburbs of Belgrade. Almost no progress has been made to identify and prosecute the perpetrators. 88 Law on Organization and Competence of State Organs in Proceedings against Perpetrators of War Crimes. Governance and the Rule of Law 65 the law that establishes special national courts to deal with war crimes against humanity.88 However, full cooperation to the satisfaction of the ICTY and UN Security Council has yet to occur. For the rule of law to be effective, there must be a clear separation of powers between the judiciary, the executive and the legislative branches of government. A legacy of the authoritarian regime that prevailed in Yugoslavia in the 1990s was the erosion of this separation of powers with all power concentrated in the hands of a few people who effectively controlled all three branches of government. Throughout the 1990s, the judiciary, armed forces, police, parliament and other instruments of power were manipulated to serve the minority interests of the former regime. This legacy led to an inefficient and corrupted judiciary and police force, a manipulated “media”, the development of a criminal sub-culture and impunity for serious human rights violations and war crimes. One stated objective of the new authorities, when they came to power in October 2000, was to restore the rule of law and build up safeguards against the exertion of undue influence or pressure. While important reforms are currently underway, this continues to be a serious challenge. Serbia Since 2000 the Serbian Government has been reforming the legislative process, trying to promote more transparency and broad-based debate. Still, long debates over the Constitutional Charter coupled with party disputes affected the efficiency of the Parliament’s work, which has delayed the adoption of around 50 important laws89. The lack of consistent frameworks whereby legislation is drafted, adopted and promulgated can lead to contradictions and inconsistencies. The present process of legislative reform continues to develop in an ad hoc, rather than a coordinated framework. The functioning of the parliamentary institution is hampered by inadequate institutional structures - such as a functioning committee system - that promote open debate and greater accountability. The work of Parliament is instead characterized by great reliance on expert staff. Parliament also has a very important function to check the executive power of government through various means that have not so far been used in Serbia and Montenegro, viz., questioning members of government, holding hearings, conducting investigations, establishing parliamentary commissions of inquiry. A strong justice system allows for an effective access to justice, in its broad sense. An independent judiciary is a cornerstone for the fight against corruption and organised crime, and an essential element of a democratic state 90. The court system in Serbia and Montenegro has many deficiencies. Chronic delays and large backlogs greatly undermine the rule of law, and frustrate citizens and companies. Discretionary interventions have enabled selective prosecutions and convictions. The unreliability of the court system and corruption are major disincentives to business development and foreign investment and have a direct impact on the country’s economic and social recovery and poverty alleviation. It is important that the rights of investors and creditors should be protected, and not only those of debtors. While the Serbian judiciary has received a considerable amount of training from many actors since 2000, there has not yet been any evaluation of the overall impact. The problems of judicial independence are a symptom of more profound problems that still need to be addressed before the rule of law can be adequately guaranteed. A number of fundamental laws that will be key to improving the independence of the main actors of the justice system still need to be passed. In addition, there are problematic issues related to the budgetary autonomy of the judiciary, the protection of judges and prosecutors, the conditions of work of judges, the relations between the police and the judiciary, and oversight within the judiciary. Montenegro Like Serbia, Montenegro is currently drafting a new Constitution that aims to be in harmony with the one for the Union of Serbia and Montenegro. With a view to improving the judiciary and law enforcement system, the Government is also carrying out major reforms in order to modify many of the procedural and fundamental laws that form the basis of the entire legal system including a new Criminal Code and Criminal Procedure Code. It is expected that such reforms will result in major changes that will directly affect the work of judges, prosecutors and law enforcement officers. A new law was adopted that establishes the independence of the judiciary and recognizes the separation of powers between the executive, legislative, and judiciary, and is in line with international standards. The 89 Commission of the European Communities, Commission Staff Working Paper: Serbia and Montenegro, Stabilisation and association Report 2003, Brussels, March 2003. 90 UNDP, “Programme Formulation for Judicial Capacity Development”, 2003. 66 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro law further establishes an Appellate Court and an Administrative Court that are expected to start functioning in 2004. These laws are being adopted for the first time in Montenegro since they were previously exclusively the responsibility of the federal state. Information technology is also being introduced in the courts. While these developments reflect positive steps taken by the government in transition, authorities are aware that most of these changes will greatly affect employees of the judicial system and will required intensive capacity building. For example, there will be an immediate need to train judges, prosecutors, and police officers on the implications of the new Criminal Code and Criminal Procedure Code. In Montenegro, since 2002 the appointment and removal of judges and prosecutors takes place only upon recommendation of the High Judicial Council (HJC) composed of judges, prosecutors, professors and community members. This insulates the judiciary from the danger of being fired, and placing unqualified political appointees in the courts. However, there is no mechanism to review the performance of sitting judges and prosecutors that would allow for the removal of those who are overtly politically motivated, or are incompetent or corrupt. Establishment of the rule of law further requires respect for the principle that no one is above the law; the practice of impunity for political, business and criminal elite has to be eliminated. Reform of the Montenegrin Constitution, enactment of several crucial new laws, and various training courses for civil servants are important steps to a society based on the rule of law. Although constitutional, legislative and administrative reforms are necessary, they are not enough to eliminate a pattern of impunity. The need for additional legislative reform has been pointed out by Government and citizens alike that were recently surveyed.91 A majority of respondents indicated relative confidence in state institutions, the new government and its reform plans. Respondents chose economic growth and job creation as the most important economic reform goals. When asked to rate the reform laws in order of importance, at the top of the list was the Law on the Protection of Human Rights and Freedoms. Reform of Public Administration The reform of the State Union Administration (including its downsizing and transfer of staff to republican administrations) is awaiting implementation of the new Constitutional Charter. This process involves the downsizing of the former Federal Administration, the transfer of staff to the republican administration and the strengthening of the new Union Administration. This is assessed by some experts as a problem of ‘state-building’ comparable to the process in newly independent states in the region involving the urgent need to define the executive functions of government at different levels from the State Union to the municipal levels, and the allocation of those functions to ministries and agencies in an efficient and productive manner. Until it is clear where function and authority lies it will be very difficult to ensure the accountability and transparency of the country’s administrative structures. While the reforms should eventually lead to a reduction of the size of the central administrations in each republic, these administrations have the challenge of conducting the reforms process, formulating policies, preparing laws, privatising, and reforming key sectors such as health, education and the pension system. All assessments of the public administration in Serbia and Montenegro point to a weak organization, inadequate structure, limited policy making and implementation capacity. This has a direct impact on the services provided notably by the heath and education systems, which directly impacts on human development. The ministries and agencies of central government have acquired many functions that are out of place in a modern democratic society, while they lack others vital to such goals. The accountability of public administration in terms of public resources management is weak. For instance, public expenditure functions and the control functions are not clearly separated. There is a general lack of coordination among line ministries due to the inherited culture of “fiefdoms”, where each unit in a given ministry is a “stand alone” entity. In some cases, the functions brought together in new ministries contain serious duplications resulting from different laws and operating under different accounting procedures. There is a lack of vertical and horizontal communication within and between line ministries. Public services are still operating without adequate management of human resources. Human resources in government are not managed as a homogeneous Civil Service system. There are no adequate rules and regulations relating to entry to government service. Appointments and promotions have been more easily made according to political allegiance or loyalty. The poor salary and remuneration system is a major disin- 91 Baseline Survey conducted by the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs in Montenegro, May 12, 2003 Governance and the Rule of Law 67 centive and cause of corrupt practices. The motivation for work is low and discipline and punctuality suffer since many must seek income from additional, usually grey, employment. The public administration is also characterized by ingrained habits and attitudes from the authoritarian past (mistreatment of citizens, corruption). ipalities have not yet developed a capacity for participatory management. A low intensity of social capital in local communities may also be a factor. However, it must be noted that many municipalities have actively cooperated with NGOs in the implementation of various projects directed at vulnerable groups and for poverty reduction or prevention. After the establishment of a separate Serbian Ministry for Public Administration and Local Government in June 2002, a national strategy paper was ready in October, which established a clear separation of competencies and co-ordination between the existing institutions. But the new Ministry does not yet seem to have sufficiently established its relationship with the rest of the government and other external stakeholders, and has not yet become the leading actor it needs to be. In Serbia, the new Law on Local Self Government provides for greater decentralization of authority. Also, municipalities have been given the right to raise loans, collect several republican taxes, and a portion of receipts are re-distributed back to them. Despite this, it is estimated that the municipalities still do not have adequate financial autonomy and thus do not yet have sufficient incentives to improve their management systems and be more proactive in local development and the encouragement of investment. Local governments continue to receive subsidies decided at the centre under criteria, which may need greater transparency. Even though the municipalities have been given the right to raise loans, they do not have adequate financial autonomy. Fiscal decentralisation is yet to be introduced in Montenegro. The credibility of a Government is closely linked to its capacity to develop and implement policies, regulations and laws, which address key concerns of the population, and this necessitates outreach in policy development. That requires a strengthening of transparency in decision-making processes and in the management of public funds. The country is a major recipient of international assistance. Donor funds of about $ 1,350 million were in the pipeline in 2002. But it is expected that the volumes of aid will decrease over time. While no assessments of the effectiveness of aid have been made, it is believed that foreign assistance could be more strategically oriented, particularly when declining flows are expected. The issues related to structures and capacities, which were discussed in relation to the central administration, are also applicable to the local administrations. The Draft PRSP for Serbia finds that the municipal administration is organized in an obsolete manner, and operating with an inadequate capacities, poor equipment and outdated methods of work. This is a serious issue given the recent Serbian Law on Local Self Government passed in February 2002, and the set of decentralization laws, which are in preparation in Montenegro. This lack of capacities means that in many municipalities there are currently no local development initiatives, except those under donor-funded projects. Problems of Participation and Social Inclusion There is limited citizens’ participation in local decision-making and in dealing with local problems. Despite the favourable legislative framework, munic- In this period of transition, it is the primary role of the State to ensure that the vulnerable populations are protected and able to participate in all social and economic activities without discrimination. As a result of the turbulence of the past decade, various categories of persons in Serbia and Montenegro find themselves in particularly precarious situations. Among them are refugees and IDPs, migrants, minorities, Roma, juveniles, the elderly, the disabled, and women. The vulnerability of these groups to further marginalization and violations of their basic rights is likely to become more acute over the next five years in the face of economic restructuring and the termination of humanitarian assistance programs. The initial effort made by the former Federal Government in December 2002 (Federal Ministry for National and Ethnic Communities) to deal with the Roma issue is the “Draft Strategy for the Integration and Empowerment of the Roma”. The Strategy recommends measures to include Roma affairs in the ongoing reform process. Given the political will to deal with the issue, once the Strategy is adopted, the issue of its implementation will remain since the executive power lies within the republican governments both in Serbia and Montenegro. A law against discrimination of minorities has yet to be enacted. The legal prohibitions that do exist in existing national laws do not provide for effective remedies and are rarely, if ever, invoked.92 Roma in most cases 92Human Rights Watch, Briefing Paper, Human Rights Concerns in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, July 11, 2002. 68 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro do not lodge criminal charges against the police because of lack of awareness about their rights, fear of reprisal and the practice of undue delay in processing such cases.93 the statelessness instruments94 and subsequent amendments to the existing law on citizenship would make it possible to prevent statelessness at birth among the refugee and IDP populations. The Law on Municipal Self-Government in Serbia also refers to the protection rights of national communities and ethnic groups, but does not provide any guaranteed elective representation. Instead, it provides for the establishment of a Council for interethnic relations whose work is regulated by the decision of the municipal assembly. In Montenegro a Draft Law on Local Self-Government similarly has no guarantees of minority representation. Serbia and Montenegro is a State party to the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees and the 1967 Protocol. However, no legislative or institutional framework has as yet been put into place to implement the obligations deriving from the Convention. Persons in need of international protection and willing to seek asylum on the territory or Serbia and Montenegro have so far no opportunity to do so, and the adoption of a Refugee Law in accordance with international standards is a crucial step. The adoption of relevant refugee legislation within a one year-period is one of the obligations undertaken by Serbia and Montenegro for accession to the Council of Europe. Unlike refugees, IDPs face many more hurdles in organizing their lives in displacement. A large number of IDPs have difficulty in obtaining personal documents in Serbia and Montenegro and establishing residency in Serbia, which is directly associated with the ability to access social welfare and health services. These practices are due to administrative procedures by ministries, most notably the Interior Ministry, which may be sometimes attributed to a certain lack of political will on the part of the authorities in Serbia and Montenegro. IDPs must be recognized as full citizens with all the rights that this status implies and must not be subjected to discrimination. They should have the same access to the Courts as other citizens have; procedures should be put into place to facilitate their access to necessary documentation; they should enjoy the right to freedom of movement and choice of place of residence. Roma IDPs are particularly vulnerable and existing negative practices relating to the registration of children at birth should be redressed, in accordance with the Convention on the Rights of the Child and domestic legislation. The UN Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement should continue to serve as a useful legal framework within which IDP issues can be addressed by a wide range of local and international actors, in a principled yet practical way. For refugees from the former Yugoslavia, a specific regulation to complement the 1992 Law on Refugees should be drafted to enable the cessation of refugee status (and subsequent deregistration) of the refugees who have found a durable solution in a country – whether through repatriation, resettlement of local integration. This provision should include procedural guarantees, in particular, the right to appeal the decision that withdrew refugee status. The ratification of The persistence of such systemic weaknesses in the functioning of the institutions of the State constitutes a threat to the successful implementation of the reform process, the provision of an enabling environment for investment and economic activity, quality services to the public, poverty reduction and human development. The limited culture and capacity for consultation and dialogue on the part of the political class in the both republics suggests that political parties themselves lack effective internal mechanisms and processes to promote dialogue, exchange, transparency and accountability. This in turn may affect the ability of the country’s political class to articulate a limited number of clear and credible platforms, which could gather greater popular support, and contribute to mobilize adherents around a limited number of societal projects and/or approaches to reform. Enhancing the Role of Civil Society A primary challenge for representative democracy is to find ways to ensure that civil society organizations play constructive roles in generating legitimate demands, articulating social needs around which public policy can be made, demanding transparency and accountability, monitoring government policy-making and policy implementation, including enabling people to participate actively in society, and ensuring that ordinary citizens are motivated to be active in civil society. The majority of NGOs in Serbia and Montenegro are at an early stage of development and require support to strengthen their capacities to be 93 “Draft Strategy for the Integration and Empowerment of the Roma”, Ministry of National and Ethnic Communities, December 2002. 94 1954 Convention relating to the Status of Stateless Persons; 1961 Convention on the reduction of Statelessness; 199? European Convention on Nationality. Governance and the Rule of Law 69 competent intermediaries between civil society and the public administration. Capacity limitations include: weak institutional capacity in strategic planning and project management; poor outreach capacities, including campaigning and lobbying; limited networking among NGOs; lack of initiatives directed at strategically important government policies; limited transparency in their activities and finances; lack of mainstreaming of inter-ethnic issues and gender issues in NGO operation. These capacity constraints partly explain the still limited NGO participation in the policy debate and the formulation/discussion of policies at the central level. There are a number of active women, Roma, IDP and Refugee NGOs and NGOs representing the disabled95, and in the last two years there have been initiatives to strengthen the role of women in political and economic domains at the national level. However, according to representatives of these NGOs, the authorities are insufficiently receptive to their views. The legal status of local NGOs in Serbia is currently addressed by a law dating from 1989. A new law prepared jointly by the Federal Ministry of Justice and civil society representatives has not yet been adopted by the Serbian Parliament. The tax regime for NGOs severely affects their work and solvency, particularly in Serbia96. The issue is serious since many face collapse as outside donors withdraw, which endangers many innovative programmes targeting vulnerable groups. One of the first positive steps taken by Montenegro was to demonstrate its willingness to cooperate with the non-governmental sector by enacting a new law in 1999 regarding NGOs. In accordance with European standards regarding NGOs, the law provides minimal conditions for their establishment and registration and ensures their freedoms and rights that are compatible with international civil rights. As a result of the law, which has been characterized as liberal and stimulating, by the year 2003 nearly 2000 local and international NGOs were established in Montenegro. Thus, the number of registered NGOs includes 1,811 associations, 54 foundations, and 72 international NGOs that focus on a wide range of issues such as democracy and human rights (73), environment (59), vulnerable and minorities (141), youth (42), women (37), the development of local communities (51) and others.97 However, it has been estimated that merely 10per cent of the local NGOs are carrying out their work on a regular basis, with as many as 686 local NGOs functioning with different levels of activity.98 Out of those NGOs that are actually permanently active in Montenegro, most of them are located in Podgorica. While this may be regarded as a good beginning, NGOs are limited by inadequate financial and human resources and lack of infrastructure. Most of the active NGOs are largely supported by foreign donors. The State is provides yearly funding of 300,000 Euros for NGOs; however, it is not always consistent in the release of the funds. Collaboration between NGOs and the private sector is a new concept that is being considered since international donations are expected to decline in the near future. The Government of Montenegro envisages a comprehensive analysis of existing legislation affecting NGOs in order to favour effective government-NGO partnerships, including adequate tax exemptions, tax deductions for businesses and individual contributions to NGOs. It should be noted that there are positive trends between both private and state media and the nongovernmental sector that need to be encouraged since such cooperation will enhance the role of civil society. Thus far, numerous articles, TV and radio shows have affirmed a positive media climate for NGO activities. Another important trend is the initiative taken by some NGOs to become more involved in the legislative process by contributing projects with a view to reforming legislation. The readiness and willingness of the State to accept this proactive role of NGOs remains to be seen. In all, in addition to the lack of financing, the major issue concerning NGOs in Montenegro is their lack of capacity. There are a large number trade unions in the country, including three major ones, and a number of employers associations but social dialogue is characterized by a lack of mutual confidence, shared rules of the game in industrial relations, non-agreement on the sequence of reforms and the distribution of costs and benefits of the transition, general lack of organization, capacity, experience and democratic tradition. The general problem is lack of harmonization of interests among the social partners accompa- 95There is a network of 300 women’s NGOs in Serbia, which mainly focus on activities at local level. There are in Serbia around 100 Roma NGO organizations, 50 refugee and IDP NGOs and 150 NGOs representing the disabled (no data was available for Montenegro). 96 EU Stabilization and Association Report 2003, page 10. 97 The Non-government Sector in Montenegro, 2002, produced by the Center for Democracy and Human Rights, Podgorica, p.6 98 Directory of NGOs in Montenegro 2002, Center for Development of NGOs (CRNVO) 70 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro nied by the increase in social tensions and dissatisfaction. On the whole trade unions have limited power. Employer organizations are still relatively weak due to the fact that the privatisation process is still in its early stages, and because most business leaders and private businesses were closely linked to the former regime. The Social and Economic Councils established by the Government of Serbia are still at an early stage of their development in building up trust and cooperation between the various groups and representatives. Collective bargaining remains at a rudimentary level. As a result of the damage caused by a decade of armed conflict and serious human rights violations there is a need for a solid framework of separation of powers and the rule of law. An independent judiciary must become reality and acquire strength and credibility. An effective and coherent set of laws needs to be completed through an inclusive legislative process, which is transparent and based on public consultation. The laws of the country must also be rooted in international standards and conventions, particularly those relating to human rights in all their dimensions, and a national mechanism for monitoring how the country abides by its commitments should be created. Public institutions are not functioning adequately and are not yet able to provide a proper enabling environment for business activity and quality services to citizens. In particular, corruption distorts the functioning of market mechanisms and delays the processes of economic and social recovery. Gender imbalances and minority discrimination are features of the country’s governance difficulties. The country has democratic institutions in place, but democratic processes show imperfections due to the limited capacities to establish and implement democratic mechanisms and processes and the fact that heads of state institutions often do not discharge their full responsibilities for policies, budget and management. Ten years of centralized rule have prevented the development of a democratic tradition. Structural change alone is not sufficient for the establishment of a new system of governance and integrity. The key to building a system of democratic governance and public integrity is a sustainable civil society demand for transparency and accountability at all levels of government. It requires public involvement and influence over the development and implementation of policies that affect the lives of citizens. Civil society organizations can articulate social needs around which public policy can be made and they can operate as a crucial element in a system of public accountability, provided they possess the Governance and the Rule of Law capacity to monitor, evaluate the implementation and the outcome of government policy and the delivery of public services. RESPONSES There is strong political will at the highest level to reform the country’s governance system. In February 2003 Serbia and Montenegro adopted a new Constitutional Charter that establishes the distinction of the executive, judicial and legislative powers. It will be up to the republics’ Constitutions to establish provisions relating to the judiciary, the organisation of the judiciary, constitutionality and legality. Preparations for the constitutional revisions in Serbia and in Montenegro are ongoing. The reform of the Union administration (including its downsizing and transfer of staff to republican administrations) is awaiting the full implementation of the Constitutional Charter. In February 2002, a Law on Protection of Rights and Freedoms of National Minorities was passed, giving Roma the status of national minority for the first time. It stipulates specifically that the authorities of Serbia and Montenegro will pass legal acts and take measures with the aim of improving the position of persons belonging to Roma national minority. It also provides for the establishment of a Roma National Council with the authority to represent the Roma community in the use of language, education, information and media in the Roma language and culture. It is more a consultative than a self-administration body. In regard to the cooperation with the ICTY, important steps have been taken, such as the adoption of the Law on Organization and Jurisdiction of State Organs in Processing War Crimes. The role of the Special Prosecutor was also introduced. In addition, Serbian courts are processing war crimes from Strpce, Sjeverin, Ovcara, Batajnica and others. As in other transition countries, the Serbian Parliament has also passed a Law on Lustration (The Accountability for Human Right Violations Act). It is very important from the perspective of social cohesion and defence of human rights to remove from public functions officials who have violated human rights. The law covers a period from 1976 and will be applied over the next 10 years. The reformist Serbian Government that took office on 25 January 2001 launched a comprehensive reform programme to achieve objectives in economic development and social justice, and to counteract corruption. Enhancing the efficiency, effectiveness and accountability of public administration was a key element of the overall reform programme. 71 As already indicated, the establishment of a Serbian Ministry for Public Administration and Local Government in June 2002 and the subsequent formulation of a national strategy paper are positive steps in the direction of reform by this ministry has not yet become the leading actor it needs to be. The Council for State Administration has had a largely advisory role, with little effect on systemic public administration reform. The Agency for Public Administration Development (APAD) has launched overlapping initiatives, but with little coordination with the Council or with other actors. With a view to improving state institutions and embarking on a process of wide-ranging public administration reform, the Serbian Prime Minister has announced the intention to form a new State Administration Reform Council, “a political body for strategic decision making, [whose] members would be exclusively members of the Government, … and the Prime Minister himself”. A Draft State Administration Reform Strategy is expected by October 2003, and the Prime Minister has suggested that the UNDP and multi-donor-supported Capacity Building Fund be transformed into a strategic vehicle for state administration reform. The Montenegrin Government recently adopted a Strategy for the Reform of the Public Administration. A draft new Law on Public Administration envisaging harmonization with EU standards is currently in preparation in this republic. The introduction of the Serbian Law on Local Self Government in February 2002 is perceived as one of the steps needed to change the previous centralised system. The law introduces important innovations in line with Council of Europe recommendations: widening of municipal competencies, direct election of mayors, establishment of new institutions, special institutes for human rights and minority protection, some financial decentralization (collection of revenues from business, leased and immovable property, prizes in lotteries), and limitation of undue interference by central authorities. In Montenegro, a set of laws on local government has been drafted and is in the process of approval. The Government has set itself as an objective to have a democratic and decentralized professional local government system that practices good local governance with and for citizens and builds opportunities for local economic development (Economic Reform Agenda for Montenegro, 2003). The key goals of the Government include: decentralization, democratisation of communities, strengthened self-management, professional and accountable local government and 72 improved quality of public services. The Government of Montenegro plans a gradual transition to fiscal decentralisation. The Economic Reform Agenda for Montenegro recommends the creation of an InterMinisterial Council charged with harmonizing fiscal policy reforms across different levels of government. In Montenegro, the Government plan envisages a comprehensive analysis of existing legislation affecting NGOs in order to favour effective GovernmentNGO partnerships, including adequate tax exemptions, tax deductions for business and individual contributions to NGOs. In Serbia, a Social and Economic Council was established in 2001, to bring together unions, employers and the state in a tripartite arrangement, with local Social and Economic Councils being established since early 2002. The Government of Serbia has adopted the fight against corruption as one of its high priorities. It has adopted a number of anti-corruption measures, and the Law Amending the Criminal Code of the Republic introduced the new chapter devoted to corruption as a criminal act. In 2002, the Government established the advisory Anti-Corruption Council, which proposed a set of laws on conflict of interest, free access to information, political party financing, behaviour of civil servants, drafted in line with international standards by legal experts and the NGO, Transparency International (TI). Twenty-six regional anti-corruption offices have been opened throughout Serbia manned by police, public prosecutors and state security officials. In addition the budget process is being reformed towards more transparency and detail, while a public procurement law and a law to establish a special court for organised crime have been prepared (The Law on the Organization and Jurisdiction of State Organs in the Suppression of Organized Crime). The reform of the judicial system in Serbia has led to a set of new laws passed in 2001, some of which were changed by further amendments in July 2002 subsequently ruled to be unconstitutional. The new Government of Montenegro set as one of its priorities for 2003 the reform of the judiciary. Since the new Law on Courts has been already adopted, the preparations for several other laws are undertaken and their adoption is pressing: a new criminal legislation (Criminal Procedure Code and Criminal Code), a Law on Public Prosecutors, a Law on Execution of the Criminal Sanctions, a Civil Procedure Law, and a Statute of the Courts. A set of four judiciary laws, although most welcome, were adopted without public discussion and were Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro amended several times. Furthermore, the coming into the force of certain articles of these laws, mainly those related to organizing the judiciary system (the courts of appeals, administrative courts, the Supreme Court as court of cassation) is once again postponed to 1 January 2004. The judiciary appointment and dismissal mechanisms are regulated by the Law on Judges (20 March 2003 amendment), as well as by the Law on the High Judicial Council. The Judicial Reform Council is an advisory body to the Government, which launched the strategy for the judicial reform. In Serbia, a Judicial Training Center (JTC), under the Ministry of Justice and the Association of Judges, has been established, supported by the Governments of the Netherlands and Sweden/Sida through UNDP. The JTC has developed and implemented demanddriven curricula and provides research capacities to support this training. Beneficiaries of the project are Judges, Prosecutors and Deputy Prosecutors, Judicial Trainees and support staff in courts and prosecutor’s offices. One of the objectives is judicial professionalization through legal regulations, training and establishment of a code of ethics. A Judicial Training Center exists also in Montenegro, and aims to institutionalise training programmes primarily for judges and for court administration. It was established in June 2000 by the Association of Judges of Montenegro, the Ministry of Justice, and the Fund for an Open Society Institute, together with COLPI (Constitutional and Legislative Policy Institute) and ABA CEELI. A draft Law on the “Peoples’ Advocate”, a type of Ombudsman, is awaiting adoption by Serbia, which aims to promote and protect human rights and freedoms against violation by government actions or by the public administration and other agencies exercising administrative authority. In Montenegro the Law on the “Protector of Human Rights and Freedoms” has been adopted but awaits implementation. The donor community is actively supporting these reform efforts. The European Agency for Reconstruction (EAR) has been one of the key players in supporting good governance and institution building as well as civil society development in both republics. Local governance is supported essentially by the USA, with a few major programmes such as the Community Revitalization through Democratic Action programme and the Local Government and Reform programme. administration through the UNDP-supported Capacity Building Fund (CBF). UNHCHR is actively involved in strengthening human rights and the rule of law. The UNDP National Human Development Report, and the World Bank supported PRSP, provide important analytic underpinnings to the reform process. The ILO supports a project aimed at promoting tripartite social dialogue as a tool of sound governance and a sound legal system for the regulation of the labour market. Governance and the Rule of Law – Concluding points: As the transformation of Serbia and Montenegro to a democratic society takes on different challenges: reforming the constitution, amending legislation, reorganizing and building the capacity of state institutions, developing policies that adequately respond to the transition to a market economy while also taking into account the needs of the poor and excluded, the key immediate priorities centre around: • Ensure accountability and transparency of administrative structures through defining the executive functions of government at different levels, from the State Union to municipalities, and the allocation of those functions to ministries and agencies. • Capacity must be added to public administration for policy making while administrative overlap must be eradicated and human resources better managed, all of which will greatly increase efficiency. • Municipal administrations must be reformed as they are organized in an obsolete manner and use outdated methods of work. Municipalities should be given greater financial autonomy, which will create greater incentives to improve management systems. • Nurture an inclusive policy making environment whereby the capacity of civil society is developed to generate demands for and accountability for efficient and responsive public services. • An independent judiciary must become reality and acquire strength and credibility in order to fight corruption and organized crime. • The laws of the country must be rooted in international standards and a national mechanism for monitoring how the country abides by its commitments should be created. A large and growing number of bilateral and multilateral donors are supporting capacity building in public Governance and the Rule of Law 73 74 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Governance and the Rule of Law 75 76 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 2.c) SECURITY OF PERSONS in all its segments, and creation of appropriate mechanisms. Nevertheless, this is a process that demands time and significant effort that will require continued strengthening. Organised Crime SITUATION Security Sector The end of military conflict in Kosovo in 1999 and the overthrow of the Milosevic regime in October 2000 opened the way to democratisation and the construction of normality and peace. However, the legacy of the preceding decade is still manifest in the functioning of the security sector, in the magnitude of organised crime and human trafficking, and in the recently stabilised unrest in southern Serbia among ethnic Albanians. The challenges of impunity and corruption presented in the previous section add to the difficulties of redressing these legacies. The March 2003 assassination of Serbian Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic and ensuing but short-lived state of emergency highlighted these challenges and the importance of rapidly reforming the security sector. At the Federal/Union level, the inherited weakness of civilian control over the military poses a risk to democracy and the stability of government. A process of downsizing the military has begun but has lacked sufficient transparency. Disarmament has not so far been a priority, and political will for the reform of the military has been weak; civil society pressure in this respect has been limited. Several scandals involving the military have shaken the country in the past two years and revealed the military’s intrusion into the political and economic spheres: for example, the arrest by the military of Serbian Vice-President Momcilo Perisic and a U.S. diplomat in March 2002; the “Pavkovic Affair” involving the sacking of the Chief of General Staff in June 2002; and the illicit sale of weapons to Iraq and Liberia, in breach of UN sanctions, revealed in October 2002. At the Republic level, the legacy of the police being misused for the benefit of a small group of people in power alienated it from its function of providing security and protection for citizens. Its use for political purposes included the unlawful arrest of political opponents and ordinary citizens, resulting in very low public confidence in this institution. After the democratic changes in Serbia in 2000, efforts were invested in strengthening of the civilian oversight of police, Security of Persons Another legacy of the 1990s was the growth and implantation of organised crime. In order to finance wars and maintain strong security structures, the former regime developed mechanisms to divert revenues from the state and from the state-controlled trade, banking, and productive sectors. The establishment of these mechanisms was done with the complicity, and eventually the criminalization, of elements of the uniformed forces, the bureaucracy and the political elite. The Milosevic regime’s connections with a number of criminals were used to recruit and build paramilitary units outside the regular military and police structures. These units were then deployed as irregular forces to do much of the ethnic cleansing in the wars in Croatia, Bosnia and Kosovo. Many of these war veterans with criminal records, access to weapons and links to extremist nationalist elements later converted themselves into powerful criminal groups, with continued links to elements of the uniformed forces, public administration and the political world. They are involved in various forms of illegal trafficking, including of humans, drugs and small arms and light weapons, to Western Europe and other Balkan countries, and indeed in the egregious breach of UN sanctions imposed on other countries. Much if not most of this criminal activity is undertaken with the connivance and collaboration of organised criminal networks active elsewhere in the Balkans and beyond. Serbia and Montenegro continues to receive and cooperate with investigative missions deployed under the auspices of the UN Security Council in connection with clandestine activities that breach UN sanctions. Human Trafficking The UN definition for trafficking of persons is provided in Article 3 of the Palermo Protocol to Prevent, Suppress and Punish Trafficking in Persons, Especially Women and Children, supplementing the UN Convention Against Trans-national Organised Crime adopted by the UN in 2000 and ratified by Serbia and Montenegro as follows: “The recruitment, transportation, transfer, harbouring or receipt of persons, by means of threat or use of force or other forms of coercion, of abduction, of fraud, of deception, of the abuse of 77 power or of a position of vulnerability or of the giving or receiving of payments or benefits to achieve the consent of a person having control over another person, for the purpose of exploitation. Exploitation should include, at a minimum, the exploitation of the prostitution of others or other forms of sexual exploitation, forced labour or services, slavery or practices similar to slavery, servitude or the removal of organs.” The trafficking of human beings, a gross violation of human rights, has become a global trade in which women and children are traded like commodities and sexually exploited. Despite an extensive literature on the subject, the lack of reliable data makes it difficult to estimate the extent of the problem, to monitor the situation over time and to identify the trends. Much of the information available has been provided by the non-governmental organizations that are tackling the problem through a wide range of activities, including assisting the victims themselves. Nonetheless, there is persuasive evidence that the Balkan region is playing a key role in this trade99 and that Serbia and Montenegro and neighbouring countries continue to be used by traffickers in human beings, both as a destination and as a major route and stepping-stone predominantly to Western Europe.100 Moreover, the data that does exist suggests that this is a phenomenon of increasing proportions, particularly in regard to women and young girls. Latest estimates suggest that 200,000 victims of trafficking are transiting annually through the Balkan region and that 90 per cent of foreign migrant sex workers in the Balkans are victims of trafficking.101 In most countries trafficking has close linkages with HIV/AIDS, as the majority of girls and women who are trafficked into prostitution have comparatively little negotiation power with regard to condom use. Assessing the size of the problem in terms of HIV/AIDS prevalence among trafficked girls and women and evaluating their access to effective treatment, care and support while rescued or still in captive could add value to those programmes that assist victims. Trafficking strengthens the financial base and influence of criminal groups, which form an interlocking system of mutual protection and constitute a parallel centre of power in the country. According to one recent report: “The nexus of nationalist elements in Serbia’s police, army, political elite, state security and organised criminal gangs is the single greatest threat to regional Balkan security.”102 The assassination of Serbian Prime Minister Djindjic in March 2003 illustrates the threat posed by these groups not only to the country’s security but also to security and the rule of law in the region. The continued existence of criminal structures impacts on the image of the country and constitutes a powerful disincentive for badly needed foreign investment. South-eastern Europe, including Serbia and Montenegro, is a bridge between the Middle Eastern and Central Asian drug producers and the lucrative Western European market. During the wars in Croatia and in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the drug route from Asia was temporarily cut off but was re-established after 1995. With the lifting of sanctions, the overthrow of the Milosevic regime and the stabilization now beginning, there is a growing increase in road haulage vehicles passing through the territory of Serbia and Montenegro, which reopens the potential for the transit of illegal drugs. Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW) The 1997 Report of the UN Panel of Governmental Experts on Small Arms provides the following definitions: small arms are weapons used for personal use whereas, light weapons are designed for use by several persons serving as a crew.103 Small arms include revolvers, pistols, rifles, submachine guns, assault rifles, light machine guns and others. Light weapons include heavy machine guns, hand-held under-barrel and mounted grenade launchers, portable anti-aircraft guns, portable anti-tanks guns, recoilless rifles and others. The widespread availability of weapons results from the legacy of conflicts in the region. The large-scale production of small arms and light weapons in the past, combined with the lack of legislative controls and the weakness of customs and border controls, has exacerbated the problem and weapons are still readily available on the illegal arms markets. A full quantitative analysis of the SALW problem is 99 It should be noted that, while trafficking is often a trans-border phenomenon, it can also occur within a country and does not neces- sarily mean crossing an international border. 100 UNDP (2003) National Human Development Report (NHDR), Serbia (Draft) (Gender in Transition, World Bank 2002 box on page 80). 101 Trafficking in Human Beings in South-eastern Europe - Current Situation and Responses, UNICEF, 2002 102 ICG Balkan Report (No. 141, 18 March 2003) 103 United Nations,A/52/298/, 27 August 1997 78 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro presently not possible due to the paucity of operational data on illegal weapons holdings, illicit trafficking routes and systems or the detailed operation of the illegal weapons market, although estimates have been made.104 Organised crime and the related drugs, small arms and human trafficking further impact on human rights and the security of persons. They are major factors behind the widespread corruption in the judiciary and public administration, and thus distort markets and undermine the rule of law. Their presence also fuels petty criminality. There appear to be several factors that have encouraged the trend for civilians to possess such weapons, particularly the aftermath of armed conflicts in the region, the unresolved conflicts that remain in the neighbouring states, the growth in organized crime and a general culture of violence and illicit gun use.105 The former Yugoslavia was a major weapons producer during the Cold War. When the tensions from the Cold War subsided, the weapons industry continued to produce for new external markets that proved to be highly lucrative and consequently the production of light weapons increased. In light of the threatening and complex situation created by an established gun culture, the challenge is how to provide citizens and communities with a secure and safe environment. Government authorities and civil society groups have a role to play in raising community awareness of the dangers of small arms and light weapons and in educating the public in order to eradicate the propensity for violence which derives from this culture. Efforts to assure the security of citizens in Serbia and Montenegro in this area could be integrated with other programmes that aim, for example, to strengthen governance institutions and enhance the capacity of the policy or the judiciary. A number of countries around the world have adopted measures and taken the initiative to tackle directly the illicit sale of and misuse of SALW through, for example, strengthening export controls and collecting and destroying the surplus of SALW.106 Instability in Southern Serbia The recent insurgency in southern Serbia, which was brought to a peaceful end in early 2001, was a consequence of the discriminatory policies of the Milosevic regime towards ethnic Albanians, and the ensuing ethnic conflict in Kosovo. The legacy of human rights abuses and ethnically exclusionary policies in the Balkans caused ethnic strife in this part of Serbia, as well as some population short-lived displacements, and fuelled this insurgency movement among ethnic Albanians. The disadvantaged environment in southern Serbia also offers a favourable ground for organised cross-border crime, illegal trafficking of persons, drugs and small arms and light weapons. It is a particularly convenient transit route for trafficking between the Middle East, Asia and Western Europe, using the main highway E 75 and being geographically located adjacent to the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and Kosovo. Illicit activities provide financing not only for criminals, but also for extremist and separatist elements. Criminal elements are alleged to utilize intimidation within and across ethnic groups to promote instability and fear, in order to maintain the conditions in southern Serbia in which their illicit businesses can operate. Continued discoveries of weapons caches in the former Ground Safety Zone (a buffer strip between Serbia proper and Kosovo) indicate that large numbers continue to circulate, in addition to high levels of individual possession within both ethnic Albanian and ethnic Serb communities of the area. The psychological impact of war and the continued circulation of a large number of military weapons have strengthened the widespread culture of violence. The main cause is to be found in the recent history of the country. Tensions are exacerbated by the widespread poverty, lack of opportunities and limited perspectives for improvements. In addition, southern Serbia is characterized by legacy of a particularly weak civil society, with a limited culture of interaction with local authorities and a history of mistrust among the various ethnic and religious communities. The language problem often constitutes a further source of friction. A certain degree of social exclusion of minorities has led some groups to militate for armed conflict and secession. Furthermore, the economy in southern Serbia has recently been characterized by the lack of private investment, low capacity to undertake entrepreneurial activities, absence of credit facilities, high unemployment, emigration of skilled talent and lost marketing outlets and above all, the widespread grey economy. 104 The Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Republic of Serbia estimated at the recent NATO Parliamentary Assembly seminar in Belgrade, 22 March 2003, that 60-70,000 illegal weapons were held within the Republic of Serbia; another estimate suggested to SEESAC on 26 February 2003 that the illegal weapons holdings in the Republic of Montenegro could be in the region of 40,000. 105 Small Arms and Light Weapons in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, by Ian Davis, published by Saferworld, 2002 p. 11 106 Supra, p. 8 Security of Persons 79 Data from 2000 indicates that municipalities in the south have the lowest national ranking in terms of income per capita. Output in the agriculture and livestock sectors has declined with the political crisis and economic stagnation, and are further affected by the loss of legal access to markets in Kosovo. There is a particular concern regarding opportunities for young adults, since a large number of them (including several thousand ex-combatants) have never entered the workforce. Years of low public and private investment have resulted in the highest unemployment rates in Europe - only 6,000 people out of the 55,000 population of Bujanovac are currently employed, while 60 per cent of the working-age population in Presevo is without a job. Under current economic reforms it is estimated that 30,000 jobs have already been lost in southern Serbia as a result of the privatisation process. As a result of actions taken in 2001-2002, there have been gradual improvements in municipal representation, local infrastructure, human security and interethnic relations. However, widespread poverty and weak governance (especially with respect to the rule of law) continue to prevail, yielding potential for further instability. A number of factors could trigger greater conflict, especially the unresolved situation of Kosovo, and the continued activities of separatist movements in the Balkans. Juveniles in Conflict with the Law Another area that needs to be addressed regards juvenile offenders, although in light of the statistics available it is difficult to accurately determine the current situation and identify trends. While two different departments within the Federal Statistical Institute collect data relevant to juveniles, no comprehensive database is available. Since the Serbian Ministry of the Interior stopped collecting police statistics during the “war years,” no reliable statistics are available regarding police apprehension of juveniles. Thus, only general crime statistics are available and their reliability is in question. The majority of juvenile crime is committed against property and includes stealing, burglary, robbery and armed robbery, embezzlement, general theft, and car theft. Given the financial hardship that has fallen on so many families in Serbia and Montenegro, many children are therefore lured into or tempted to commit such crimes. For some children, the money they receive from property crimes is likely to buy drugs, which many legal professionals observed is an increasing problem. The age of criminal responsibility in both Serbia and Montenegro is 14; below this age children are assessed by a centre for social work. Thereafter, they may be placed under an educational order and sent to one of three “homes for the education of children.” These homes are in Knjazevac where between 40 –50 children ages 7-14 years are held. There are also two Institutions for Education for ages 14-18 years – the one in Belgrade holds on average between 50-70 children and in Nis 30-35 children. Above the age of 14, children are then taken through the adult criminal system. There is one correctional institution in Serbia and none in Montenegro. In Krusevac, the centre holds on average about 75 children ages 14-18 years plus another 120 young people over 18 years of age. There is a single juvenile prison in Valjevo that holds on average 150 young people out of which 10 are children under the age of 18. In all these institutions conditions are poor, particularly in Krusevac. The general consensus of the legal professionals who work in juvenile crime is that they are definitely seeing a change in the nature of juvenile crime. While actual criminal incidents are not increasing in significant numbers, the types of crimes are more serious and the nature of the juvenile offender is changing. Although no data is available to support this consensus, some troubling statistics have emerged to support the premise that the difficult conditions of the last decade have changed the nature of juvenile crime in the country. For example: • In 1998, the unemployment rate for youth ages 15-24 was 61.1 per cent, 42.6 per cent higher than overall unemployment. • The suicide rate among males, ages 15-24 slightly increased in the last ten years, a sign of “wider depression and stress.107” • The juvenile crime rate is “much higher than the total crime rate.”108 • Juvenile homicide rates in 1998 had more than doubled the total homicide rate from 1989. • Juveniles in Serbia and Montenegro have become more involved in the drug trade and drug related crimes.109 107 “Young People in Changing Societies, A Summary, ”Regional Monitoring Report, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence, Italy, No. 7 Summary, 2000, p..5 108 “Young People in Changing Societies, p.86 109 Supra, p.91 80 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro CHALLENGES internal accountability (in particular concerning sanctions for abuse of office). Security Sector Organised Crime and Human Trafficking In the security sector, the immediate challenge is to strengthen civilian control of the uniformed services, meaning over the armed forces at the level of the state union, and over the police in each member republic of the union. Such control must include civilian bureaucratic oversight of financial management, and parliamentary control and reporting on budgets and expenditures. This will put the military and police under proper civilian supervision and at the service of the public and national interests, as expressed through parliamentary democracy. In fact, much of this can be achieved by actually enforcing review and control mechanisms already available to the respective Parliament and strengthening the bureaucracy’s support for the relevant Parliamentary Commissions. However, there is a need to review the legal texts relating to which civilian authorities the military owes its allegiance, in order to remove ambiguities. The military of Serbia and Montenegro is to be downsized, but is lacking employment opportunities in a general environment of rising unemployment. There is a need to create social programmes for redundant officers, non-commissioned officers and civil servants working for the SCG armed forces. The issues of re-training, job creation and accommodation are particularly acute. An effective police force is a critical factor for the country’s economic recovery and the alleviation of poverty. The police, together with the customs administration and the ministry of finance, is a key player in the fight against organized crime, the grey economy, corruption and a variety of economic crimes such as tax evasion, the illegal flow of money and shady business transactions. The police force has a key role to play not only in establishing an enabling environment for the security of persons but also an enabling environment conducive to investment and profitable legal business activity, by ensuring equal compliance with the rule of law and the prevention of economic crime. Due to the prevailing social and economic circumstances, the police force, like the rest of the public service, requires more highly educated and specialized staff, especially uniformed police and detectives. Also, the police suffer from low inter-service and inter-entity cooperation, as well as mechanisms for The problem of organised crime needs to be understood and addressed in a broader context. Economic and social development, the rule of law (including proper functioning of the judiciary), and democratic governance are essential for long-term solutions to the problems of organised crime and trafficking. The social problems within Serbia and Montenegro are the result of many contributory factors110 such as growing poverty, unemployment, exclusion, and lack of opportunities. These are not only the result of the country’s historical past but are also fuelled by the transition process itself and the related deficiencies in the social sectors. The condition of women plays a determining role in the existence of human trafficking, including labour market exclusion of women, low wage employment, prostitution, women’s economic non-sustainability, lack of awareness of human rights, gender discrimination and domestic violence. Trafficking has a regional dimension and efforts need to be better coordinated with neighbouring countries. Implementation of the rule of law is poor because of a lack of capacities and resources; in particular, there has been disorganization and a prevalence of corruption in institutions such as the border police, the immigration services and the customs services. For instance, the units created to fight organized crime have been under staffed and under resourced lacking access to modern methods of policing. The customs service has almost no access to equipment to assist in the examination and search for contraband at land borders. Lack of capacity and modern equipment impedes not only national efforts, but also international cooperation and intelligence sharing. In regard to human trafficking, the existence of inadequate legislation, and its weak enforcement is evident. In July 2002 the Montenegrin Criminal Code was amended to make trafficking in persons a crime but many additional elements need to be incorporated into the legal framework — such as a witness protection programme and procedures permitting the giving of testimony via video link. In the Criminal Code of Serbia and of the former FRY, human trafficking is not a specific criminal offence; trafficking is covered by a section which pertains to slavery and transportation of human beings. Moreover, as the lack of reliable data 110 Source: Problem Tree Analysis, including possible Data Sources:Ministry of Defence, Ministry of Interior,OSCE,ICRC,Red Cross of Serbia and Montenegro,Survey on Spouse Homicide (Montenegro),USAID opinion poll on gun culture, Small Arms Survey Regional Studies,Saferworld Regional Studies,BICC Regional Studies,SEESAC initiated surveys,SEESAC Database (under development) Security of Persons 81 has been one of the reasons authorities give for failing to adequately address the problem, the collection and exchange of information is an important challenge and a precondition to effectively protecting the public by creating awareness and to fight this crime. Eliminating Illegal Small Arms and Light Weapons The continued illegal possession of small arms and light weapons among the civilian population, combined with the lack of legal economic opportunities, feeds on the widespread “gun culture” which is a particular concern in southern Serbia. This will be difficult to attenuate until levels of criminality have been significantly reduced and the perceptions of insecurity among the civilian population have been overcome. This challenge is particularly acute because of deficiencies in weapons management processes (security and safe storage), and inertia in the destruction of surplus weapon stocks. Government accounts are not sophisticated enough to show that, whilst the weapons may have some financial value, the costs of security and storage for those weapons far exceeds any physical value over a period of time. Weapons destruction is expensive, and to date little progress has been made towards the development of specific projects; these will inevitably require extensive international donor support. Recovery in Southern Serbia The highly sensitive nature of the crisis in southern Serbia and its regional ramifications requires the continued and sustained attention of both the Government and the international community to maintain the momentum for a return to social, political and economic recovery. Peace and stability in southern Serbia are important not only for that part of the country but also for Serbia and Montenegro as a whole and for the peace and stability in the region. So long as investors perceive the Balkans as a zone of instability and conflict, rapid improvement of the peoples’ standards of living and sustainable human development is jeopardized. In recent times, southern Serbia has suffered from a failure to adequately deal with inter-ethnic issues, the biggest weakness being previously exclusive and discriminatory policies and practices and educational system, which did little to promote pluralism of thought, of cultures, and of language. Today, its problems are aggravated by the weak institutional capacity of local authorities and a long culture of centralised authoritarian rule. The former regime 82 systematically reduced the powers and resources of local government in retaliation for opposition victories in the 1996 municipal elections. The resulting over-centralisation, exacerbated by effects of conflict, sanctions and economic collapse, has left the municipal level of government in a state of depleted capability. Overstaffing, poor equipment, lack of capacities (particularly participatory management skills) characterize the local administrations. The municipal governments as they currently exist, even after the introduction of the new Law on Local SelfGovernment, do not form a firm basis upon which a decentralized, democratic governance system could be built. These shortcomings must be addressed if there is to be durable peace and prosperity in the area. Juveniles in Conflict with the Law Regarding juvenile offenders, legislative reform and services are both needed to bring them in line with international standards. Thus, legislative frameworks and services should provide for programmes that promote the principle of reintegration and for day-facilities that are separate from the existing institutions. There is a need to revise the laws regarding juveniles that come into conflict with the law and in particular the provisions that are relevant to the sentencing measures for children; they should provide alternative sentencing measures. In addition to reforming legislation and services, emphasis needs to be placed on ensuring that children and adolescents who become juvenile offenders benefit from programmes that focus on their rehabilitation and inclusion into society. RESPONSES Security Sector Serbia and Montenegro is embarked on an effort to fundamentally reform the organs of state security, notably the Ministry of Defence and the armed forces. At both Union and the two Republics level, it is realized that unless and until all military, paramilitary, police and security units are brought under proper civilian oversight, the stability of the state will be at risk. In March 2003, the Supreme Defence Council announced the creation of a Committee to coordinate reforms in the Army of Serbia and Montenegro with a priority to join Partnership for Peace and improve the working conditions and the material position of military staff. A primary task of the Committee will be to surmount the lack of strategic documents for the reform of the system and enhanced civilian control, including lack of a National Security Strategy, a Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Defence Doctrine and a Military Doctrine. The Ministry of Defence set a deadline of six to eight years to complete the transformation, including the reduction of the military from the current 77-78,000 to around 50,000. Considerable donor support is anticipated to follow early bilateral contracts and assistance, as well as UNDP support to change management and public administration reform in the Ministry. In regard to the police and security services, reform of the Serbian Ministry of Interior has been stepped up. A new organizational structure was created last year, whereby the Security–Information Agency was placed under civilian control. A State Security Council has been established which reviews the activities of State Security Department. Guidelines for further reform of the police and for the modernization of the Ministry of Interior have been defined by the Government. In Serbia, the growing trend of criminality of 2001 and earlier years was not only stopped in 2002, but the number of crimes dropped by 22 per cent, primarily as a result of lower rates of theft, car theft and aggravated theft. Homicide cases dropped from 205 to 166. The reduction of overall criminality was the result of the improved organization of the Interior Ministry, as well as more efficient policing including better equipment and street presence. Organised Crime and Human Trafficking Since the overthrow of the Milosevic regime, the Government of Serbia has taken considerable steps to deal with the problem of organised crime and trafficking. Processes of reform, decriminalisation, and personnel changes in the Ministry of Interior were initiated. A Directorate for Suppression of Organised Crime was established in 2002 and Five Regional Intelligence Centres were established to collect intelligence on organized crime. Other significant organisational reforms include the establishment of the Administrative Office to Fight Against Organised Crime, as well as the Gendarmerie. In July 2002, 33 specialized anti-trafficking units were established within Serbia. world figures are in hiding and a number of government officials have either resigned or are under investigation. The country has signed a number of international conventions including the United Nations Convention against Trans-national Organised Crime together with additional Protocols including- the Protocol for Prevention, Eradication and Punishment of Trafficking in Human Beings. With regard to human trafficking, there have been specific responses in both Serbia and in Montenegro. In this regard, it is important to note that human trafficking is manifesting itself in different guises in the region especially following many local and internationally organized police operations. With the closure of many establishments which had facilitated trafficking and the sexual exploitation of trafficked victims, the trade is seeking alternative ways of operating which are less visible and harder to trace. It is therefore important that the trends are followed and that the outreach to victims is further strengthened. Several UN agencies and NGOs are actively involved in the fight against trafficking, particularly through regional programmes aimed at promoting cooperation among the countries. UNODC launched in 2001 a major regional project called “Intelligence Led Policing”, involving training in intelligence awareness, criminal intelligence analysis and the provision of equipment. The International Organization for Migration (IOM) implements a regional technical assistance and capacity building programme intended to strengthen co-operation, security and stability in South-Eastern Europe through improved migration management practices throughout the region. IOM also supports integrated cross-regional programmes to prevent, assist and protect the migrants who fall prey to traffickers. Other non-governmental organizations have been responsible for most of the assistance provided to victims of trafficking including lobbying for legislation, running shelters, SOS hotlines, counselling, and other types of help. Serbia The efforts of the Government of Serbia to fight organised crime were stepped up following the assassination of Prime Minister Djindjic in March 2003. Until his assassination, political consensus to deal seriously with the organized crime problem had been lacking. During a six-week state of emergency, over 11,665 people were detained, and by mid-May 2003, 3,560 charges were filed against 3,946 people for 5,671 offences111. A number of prominent under- In Serbia, a National Coordinator for the Combat of Human Trafficking was named within the Ministry of Interior whose responsibility it is to coordinate intragovernmental activities on the Republic level. An Anti-Trafficking Team was established as a successor to the former Federal mechanism, which brings together a broad range of actors including all relevant ministries as well as members of the judiciary; non- 111 Interview of Serbian Interior Minister of 17 May 2003, reported in V.I.P. Daily News Report of 19 May 2003. Security of Persons 83 governmental organizations; and international organizations. The National Coordinator in Serbia has also developed a national plan to combat trafficking, under which Special Police Teams have been formed within the Ministry of Interior and which have begun to receive specific training about how to combat trafficking and provide assistance to victims. Prosecution of trafficking cases is the weakest point of the anti-trafficking efforts in Serbia. In early 2003, the Office of the Special Public Prosecutor was established by the Law on Organization and Competence of Government Institutions in the Suppression of Organized Crime with a mandate to prosecute organized crime for which the minimum sentence is four years of imprisonment according to Articles 2 and 4 of the Law. This covers human trafficking when it is an act of organized crime. As well, in April 2003, Anti-Trafficking legislation inspired by the Palermo Protocol was introduced into the Serbian Criminal Code112. This is the first significant step toward the criminalization of trafficking. Once the legislation is fully implemented, key players will have a more reliable basis for combating traffickers, but as in many other countries of the region, implementation will be the real challenge. Non-governmental organizations have been the driving force behind research, lobbying legislative changes and assistance to victims of trafficking through SOS telephones, shelters, referrals, counseling and other types of assistance. Non-governmental organizations have also achieved a good level of cooperation with the Ministry of Interior particularly the police in various trafficking cases. It is reasonable to expect that other members of the Serbian AntiTrafficking Team will become more active as the Team mechanism evolves. These are all commendable steps, but much remains to be done, particularly with respect to providing adequate protection of victims and witnesses. It will also be necessary to monitor the judiciary in the application of the new antitrafficking legislation. Montenegro In 2001, the Government of Montenegro appointed a high-ranking public official to be the first National Coordinator for the Combat of Human Trafficking, whose mandate includes coordination of governmental activities and participation in regional and international cooperation. The advisory mechanism established in Montenegro to assist the National Coordinator is the Anti-Trafficking Project Board, which has to date been facilitated by the OSCE. It includes representation from the Ministry of Interior, the National Coordinator for Gender Equality, international organizations (UNOHCHR, UNICEF, IOM, CoE) and non-governmental organizations including the women’s shelter A National Plan of Action does not exist but the Project Board has developed a project overview document which sets out all planned activities. Special Police Teams have been established in Montenegro and there has been considerable effort invested in training the police and raising awareness about trafficking with the public in general. Although Montenegro was at the forefront of efforts to introduce the crime of human trafficking into its criminal code, Montenegro too has had a poor record with respect to the prosecution of trafficking cases. This was brought into sharp focus by a high profile case in which a Moldovan trafficking victim gave testimony to an investigating judge against four suspects, including a high official, but no indictments were filed and the charges were dropped for “lack of evidence”. The case also brought into focus the weakness in the Montengrin legal system including the lack of a witness protection program and the failure of the system to maintain the confidentiality and integrity of the investigation process. It also became clear that the mission and the functioning of the Project Board and the mandate of the National Coordinator needed to be reviewed and that the media in Montenegro, which constantly sensationalized and politicized the case, needed to be educated about and encouraged to practice responsible journalism. Additionally, non-governmental organizations, which have been responsible for most of the assistance provided to victims of trafficking (running the shelter, managing the SOS hotline and providing counseling and advice to victims) as well as engaging in engaging in lobbying for legislative and policy reform, will need support. The monitoring of human trafficking cases will be as crucial in Montenegro. Small Arms and Light Weapons The recent Serbian weapons amnesty113 (26 March9 April 2003), combined with a concerted security effort against organised criminal networks, is an encouraging political and practical measure to try to suppress illicit small arms and light weapons. Citizens surrendered 47,852 pieces of firearms and mines, explosive devices, over two million pieces of ammunition and almost 7,600 spare parts for firearms. As many as 34,917 requests for legalization of firearms were also submitted. Work is ongoing to 112 Memorandum of the Serbian Ministry of Internal Affairs, 29 July 2003 113 Presidential Decree announced on 25 March 2003 in Sluzbeni Glasnik Newspaper, Republic of Serbia No 31/749. 84 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro develop national legislation for export controls 114 and to amend the current law 115 on internal weapons registration; although tax issues may complicate the legal registration system. Nevertheless, the challenges of implementation and enforcement remain. A national weapons amnesty is also taking place in Montenegro (12 March - 12 May 2003). It is intended that the appropriate legislation then be enacted. 116 Although there are no official linkages between the two amnesties, the synergies are obvious. The South Eastern Europe Clearing House for the Control of Small Arms and Light Weapons (SEESAC) is a joint UNDP/Stability Pact Initiative combating the proliferation of small arms and light weapons. Instability in Southern Serbia To redress the situation in southern Serbia, in April 2001 the Joint Federal and Serbian Governments’ Coordination Body for Presevo, Bujanovac and Medvedja published a document, which has subsequently come to be known as the “Covic Plan”, named after the Deputy Prime Minister who led joint government efforts to negotiate with local leaders, resolve the simmering conflict and restore peace and security. This sets out a series of social and political policies and measures, together with a list of infrastructure projects, which the government proposed to implement once peace was achieved with ethnic Albanian insurgents based in the Ground Safety Zone (GSZ). A peace agreement for the negotiated disbanding of the so-called Liberation Army of Presevo, Medvedja, and Bujanovac (known by the initials UCPMB) was implemented in May 2001. The Covic Plan articulated a strategy to redress grievances about past neglect and discrimination and, with the strong support of the international community, to invest in the repair and renovation of the neglected infrastructure. Besides progress in security of the area, former Federal and Serbian Governments, with the support of the international community, have made efforts to create a stable political environment as a background for socio-economic growth. Other recent achievements include: fewer complaints and prompt Serbian government action on human rights abuses; progress in the formation of a multi-ethnic police force; the establishment of facilities to assist the return of IDPs from Kosovo; compensation for war-damaged property; and local elections in Presevo, Bujanovac and Medvedja municipalities in July 2002 based on the recent Serbian Law on Proportional Representation. Through the elections, ethnically diverse communities have been given representation and fair access to local authorities and political structures. More than 60 per cent of voters turned out, demonstrating their commitment to a political process of change. For the first time in the history of the region, senior Albanian leaders who stood on conciliatory political platforms were elected to key positions in the new municipal administrations. The international community contributed greatly to the stabilization of the area through municipal development, job creation, rehabilitation of infrastructure, promotion of inter-ethnic dialogue, and humanitarian support. Following an extensive UN Inter-Agency Needs Assessment Mission in February 2001, the donor community has invested over US $ 30 million to bring peace and stability in Southern Serbia. This support originated from the EU/EC, the World Bank, Norway, Sweden, USAID, OSCE, NATO, several international and local NGOs and several UN agencies. Part of the UN agencies’ support to Southern Serbia was channelled through an Inter-Agency Support Office (IASO) hosting a number of programmes, including FAO, UNHCR, UNOHCHR, UNICEF, OCHA and UNDP programmes. IASO was administered by UNDP and was operational from June 2001 until December 2002. The UNDP supported and EAR funded Rapid Employment Programme aimed at providing temporary employment and incomes to the local population through engagement in intensive public works designed to rehabilitate basic infrastructure. The Southern Serbia Municipal Improvement and Recovery Programme supported by UNDP and funded by the World Bank as well as several bilateral donors addressed the issues of municipal development, economic recovery and social rehabilitation. A successor programme funded by EAR has now been launched by UNDP. Juveniles in Conflict with the Law The inter-ministerial Council of Child Rights in Serbia has highlighted juvenile justice as a priority area of concern. This first round table on this issue bringing together government, international agencies and civil society was held in March 2003, at which 114 Law on Production and Trade of Weapons and Military Equipment. 115 ‘Weapons and Ammunition Act’, 1992, (amended through 1998). This is among the most stringent arms legislation in the region. 116 The Government of the Republic of Montenegro has concluded that the current ‘Weapons Law’, 1990, (Amended 1993), is no longer adequate. They have drafted a successor law, but there are international and national concerns that the consultation process has been too short. Security of Persons 85 the revision of the juvenile justice code was discussed, adoption of a revised code is expected by the end of 2004. A draft code has been prepared with extensive inputs from the Child Rights Centre. Security of persons – Concluding points: Much effort needs to be invested in order to deal with a long legacy of corruption and decade of conflict. The following are the immediate challenges ahead: • Strengthen civilian control over the uniformed services and develop a democratic oversight of financial management, and parliamentary control and reporting on budgets and expenditures of these services. • Reduce levels of criminality and perceptions of insecurity among the civilian population that result in the proliferation of small arms and light weapons. • Address the problem of organized crime and its concomitant problems, like human trafficking, in a broader context where emphasis is placed on economic and social development, strengthening the rule of law (including the proper functioning of the judiciary), and promoting democratic governance are the basis for long-term solutions. • The highly sensitive nature of the crisis in southern Serbia and its regional ramifications requires the continued and sustained attention of both the government and the international community to maintain the momentum for a return to social, political and economic recovery. Peace and stability in southern Serbia are important for the entire region. • Legislative reform and services for juvenile offenders are needed to bring them both in line with international standards. Emphasis must also be placed on ensuring that children and adolescents who become juvenile offenders benefit from programmes that focus on their rehabilitation and inclusion into society. 86 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Security of Persons 87 2.d) ENVIRONMENT SITUATION Degradation of the environment and natural resources in Serbia and Montenegro, following rapid industrial development after World War II, intensified again during the 1990s, which was characterized by economic sanctions and conflict. During that period there was (i) lack of investment in cleaner technologies and in environmental protection, management and monitoring, (ii) uncontrolled exploitation of natural resources, and (iii) use of low quality energy sources encouraged by low energy prices. The NATO intervention in 1999 damaged key military and industrial installations and considerable quantities of toxic chemicals were released in the air, soil and water, posing immediate threats to human health and the environment. As a result, four “environmental hot spots” were identified by UNEP/UNCHS in September 1999. In terms of the UN Millennium Declaration, biodiversity and forests in Serbia and Montenegro are not immediately at risk, but agricultural practices and continued unsustainable natural resource management practices could have serious impacts once economic development takes off again. Agricultural land comprises 58 per cent of the Serbian territory out of which 83 per cent is arable. The economic importance of agriculture has increased following the economic crises and decline of other sectors, and now accounts for 22 per cent of GDP. Thirty-seven percent of total land in Montenegro is agricultural land, largely pasture, arable land amounting to only 13 per cent of this. The run-off of fertilizers and pesticides is low due to the low levels of use. Indicators for agricultural environmental impact (such as the level of soil contamination, use of fertilizers and pesticides) show that, except for areas with intensive large-scale agricultural enterprises, environmental pollution from agricultural production is not very high. However economic development in Serbia and Montenegro will certainly increase the use of agricultural inputs. In Serbia, 5 per cent of the territory is designated by law as a protected natural area, while in Montenegro 88 7 per cent of the Republic’s territory is under a protection regime. Despite the National Parks’ relatively good condition, most of them suffer from inadequate funding and have very weak institutional and management capacity. Forests cover some 27 per cent of Serbia’s territory and 50 per cent of them are state owned. Forestry generates only 0.5 per cent of Serbia’s GDP. In Montenegro, forests occupy 54 per cent of the territory and forest fires represent the biggest threat with an average of 0.34 per cent of forest cover being lost annually. Pressure on biodiversity in Serbia and Montenegro is highest in forests and sensitive ecosystems (wetlands, swamps, steppes, forest-steppes, sands, continental salt-springs, high-mountain habitats). Unsustainable tourism in mountains and around the Skadar Lake National Park in Montenegro, as well as poaching, represent additional threats to biodiversity. The marine ecosystem is threatened by use of trawl nets that completely damage the seabed where used. Illegal fishing through the use of explosives also poses a great threat to marine ecosystems. Currently, poaching is a serious problem in land and the environmental inspection and park management staff is too weak in number and capacity to efficiently prevent and control illegal hunting. As a result, economic opportunities are reduced in natural resource dependent rural communities, and the risks from forest fires, infestation and diseases have increased. Traditional lifestyles of rural populations are endangered and tourism opportunities are lost. Degradation and loss of forest cover in Serbia and Montenegro has increased in the last decade, mainly due to unsustainable forest management practices, forest fires and pest infestations. A low efficiency and level of forest monitoring and control has lead to uncontrolled livestock grazing and increased illegal logging, often by rural poor who make a living from it or use wood as a fuel. It also results in an uneven distribution in the intensity of logging as differential transportation costs and a relatively low road density in forest areas has led to over-utilization of the accessible forest, while underused forests are not maintained and become prone to forest fires and insect infestations. Inappropriate afforestation practices have resulted in high forests accounting for only slightly more than a half of all forest areas, and in certain cases this has impacted on the frequency of forest fires. Very little effort has been made to reverse this negative trend and to re-invest in the rehabilitation of forest resources. The afforestation rate decreased annually by 12 per cent due to lack of financing, and there has been a sharp drop in silvicul- Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro tural operations and in regeneration activities (i.e. tending, cleaning, thinning, etc). All this directly contributes to lower forest quality and its poor health. There are indications that privately owned forests are often fragmented and not well managed. Still, no environmental impact assessment is being carried out in harvesting areas. Most environmental pressure in Serbia and Montenegro comes from urban areas and their industries, causing immediate environmental health risks to urban populations. Montenegro is not heavily industrialized, yet industrial plants cause serious environmental concerns. The high concentrations of particle matter and sulphur dioxide in industrial and urban areas in Serbia and Montenegro often exceed the permitted maxima. This contributes a higher incidence of respiratory illness, diseases of the circulatory system and premature mortality. The low air quality stems from inefficient combustion in households, thermal power plants, district heating plants (Serbia only) with systems without intensity regulators in households, as well as aged and uncontrolled motor vehicles using low quality fuels and emitting high quantities of lead and sulphur. Furthermore, inefficient and outdated industrial plants, often located in the vicinity of urban settlements, lack adequate treatment facilities and are poorly maintained. The daily concentrations of classic pollutants in urban areas in Montenegro are in general within WHO guideline values. Trends for smoke and sulphur dioxide pollution remain within limits, while 30-minute concentrations of specific pollutants are quite often exceeded. Serbia and Montenegro do not produce ozone-depleting substances, and do not have systematic data reporting in place for greenhouse gases and heavy metal emissions. Coal continues to dominate Serbia’s primary energy mix (renewable energy sources are practically nonexistent), whereas hydropower is the main energy source in Montenegro although it has had a constant deficit in electricity generation since 1980. Energy use in Serbia and Montenegro per GDP unit was three times higher than the OECD average in 1999 mainly due to inadequate pricing policy and poor infrastructure causing transmission loss. Hazardous wastes from industries in Serbia and Montenegro are disposed or stored in uncontrolled ways at landfills and industrial sites causing health hazards to urban settlements and factory workers. Agricultural soils contaminated by toxins through polluted ground water and/or particle settlement from the air, are threats to food safety and livelihoods. Industrial wastewaters pollute waterways. In both Environment republics, mine tailing ponds with dams risk collapse, and overloaded ash deposits at thermal power plants are ecological “time bombs”. A problem both in Serbia and Montenegro is that municipal waste collection in rural areas is practically non-existent and waste is burned and disposed of in illegal dumpsites, often along rural roads or riverbanks creating sanitary risks. Most landfills are small and do not meet sanitary standards. Low and fixed tariff collection rates at the municipal level are major barriers to modernizing waste management practices. The development of public sewerage systems has lagged behind the development of water supply systems; a major part of the population use septic tanks causing microbiological pollution of shallow aquifers. Most central wastewater treatment facilities are old, dilapidated or not working at all, e.g. Belgrade has no treatment facility. Only 15 per cent (or 2.1 m3/s) of total collected wastewaters are treated in Serbia. In Montenegro, 39per cent of the total population is connected to the public sanitary system. Wastewater treatment in Montenegro relies on two filtering systems, which are only partially in use. Sewage is another key problem on the coast. The Bay of Kotor has no sewage network; all houses or groups of houses have their own outlets and discharge directly into the sea. There are no wastewater treatment plants and the outlets along the coastline are in bad condition. In addition, there are problems as well with all aspects of waste management. Low quality and shortage of drinking water increasingly affects populations in smaller cities and rural areas, and to a lesser extent those of the major urban centres. Supply and quality of piped drinking water in small urban areas in Serbia have deteriorated in recent years due to lack of sufficient management and reinvestments, whereas rural communities continue to rely on uncontrolled private wells or piped community systems of which 90 per cent do not meet bacteriological standards. A consequence is an increased number of water-borne diseases (especially shigellosis) and a higher incidence of diarrhoeal diseases among children with school children being at particular risk. The basic causes of urban environmental health risks are weak legislative and regulatory frameworks, inadequate institutional management and financial/fiscal systems, and lack of public awareness as well as to the overall economic situation. There is a lack of environmental planning and management as well as awareness within industries. No economic incentives or effective legal requirements for cleaner production and improved environmental management are in place. 89 The urban poor are particularly vulnerable as they are least able to move to cleaner and safer areas. In Serbia the urban workforce is largely employed by polluting industries, with no alternative employment available, low wages and declining social services. Urban poor, notably the Roma, make a living from scavenging waste dumps without any training or protection on the handling of waste. Uncontrolled leakages from landfills and improper incineration pose health hazards to nearby urban poor settlements. Urban slums, mostly populated by refugees, Roma and IDPs, face unhygienic conditions and the occupants lack the resources to purchase bottled water. Public awareness ought to be promoted in the field of human and environmental rights. The Ecological State – The Special Case of Montenegro With the two UNESCO World Heritage sites, a RAMSAR protected wetland area and four national parks as well as a variety of natural attractions, many of which have not yet been developed, Montenegro has the necessary pre-conditions for capitalising on its natural resources for sustainable development. In preparation for the 1992 Earth Summit held in Rio de Janeiro, in 1991 the Parliament declared that Montenegro would become the first “ecological state.” A year later, this statement was enshrined in the Constitution. While this was a progressive step to take, little was done to make it a reality. Two important measures were taken with the adoption of the Environment Law in 1996 and the Regulation on Environmental Impact Assessment in 1997. The law introduced environmental management but was never implemented due to the weak capacity of the Ministry. The law provides main principles and identifies needs that include: the polluter will be held accountable and pay for damages, the need for environmental impact assessment, the need for data transparency and others. Some improvements were achieved in environmental monitoring and efforts were made to improve the public’s access to information in this regard. It should be pointed out that the 1997 Regulation on Environmental Impact Assessment provides for the right of the general public to be consulted in the decision-making process. In addition, the law on environment mentioned above states in Article 42 that “non-governmental ecological organizations and associations represent the organized public participation in decision making for environment,” however, it does not indicate how this can be accomplished. 90 There are a number of environmental concerns in Montenegro. In addition to the lack of political will to make significant changes, there is a lack of capacity, a lack of legal solutions and a lack of adequate resources to address the problems. Although Montenegro is not heavily industrialized, nevertheless, the low level of industrial technology and the lack of proper maintenance of most of the industrial plants have caused serious environmental concerns. The most critical example of industrial pollution in Montenegro is the huge aluminium production plant KAP constructed by the French in the 1970s, but based on 60s technology and never updated. The plant is economically important for the generation of exports and hard currency, but gives rise to major environmental concerns not least because of its location close to the capital Podgorica. The steelwork Boris Kidric in Niksic is another large, heavy industry with significant environment impact. This factory operates practically without any filters or scrubbers and consequently emits a range of heavy metals, noxious gases and particulate matter. It should be pointed out that common for almost all industries in Montenegro is the lack of proper treatment of wastewater, which is discharged either directly into the rivers or the sea via municipal sewage systems that have no proper or effectively operating treatment. Municipal waste collected in all 21 municipalities is disposed of at uncontrolled disposal sites without any separation or treatment. There are about 20 registered landfills for municipal solid waste. None of these is properly constructed or operated, nor do any of the disposal sites meet sanitary standards. Unregulated development of the towns along the coastline is contributing to a number of environmental problems. Urbanization and infrastructure construction are the main threats to coastal and marine ecosystems. Development of tourist facilities and housing are not accompanied by adequate protection measures, such as wastewater management. Although no accurate figures are available, estimates are that 30,000 housing units have been built illegally in the coastal zone over the last ten years. Even though percentage of population with pipe water is high, the coastal area experiences regular water shortage. Energy use intensity is estimated as very high in Montenegro, mainly due to low energy efficiency and subsidised prices for some energy sources. Energy efficiency among non-industrial consumers is also very low, as there is generally a lack of incentives and lack of market for energy efficient appliances and technologies. In short, the level of energy consumption is disproportionate to the size of the economy and income levels. Montenegro’s current energy producing capacity is insufficient to meet its needs, due in Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro part to the enormous energy requirements of two antiquated metal processing facilities.117 It currently spends approximately 48 million USD a year importing 1,500 GW of power, which represents almost one third of its energy needs. Although natural preconditions exist, renewable energy sources are used to a very limited extent, and by European standard the use of solar energy is very low. Neither law nor tax incentives exist to encourage more use of solar energy CHALLENGES Overall, there is a need for improvement of basic monitoring and enforcement capacities whose development has been restricted by low public sector environmental expenditures. Limited monitoring and reporting of environmental quality represent serious obstacles to the development of comprehensive environmental plans and strategies and will hamper efforts to achieve and monitor the MDGs for environment. The formulation and adoption of a National Environmental Action Plan in Serbia, foreseen for 2004, will require further strategic analysis and environmental information gathering systems and above all implementation/enforcement capacities. In line with requirements of a Stabilization and Association Agreement in preparation for EU accession, Serbia and Montenegro will need to ratify a number of key international environmental agreements as well as establish the proper management systems for their implementation. Harmonization with EU environmental legislation will also necessitate higher expenditures. Inter-ministerial coordination mechanisms for sustainable development need to be strengthened and environmental principles adequately integrated in the socio-economic development programmes and plans of Serbia and Montenegro. Civil society participation in environmental planning and management should be stronger. Crosscutting environmental issues are not adequately addressed by the two republican governments and the lack of coordination mechanisms is evident. The current devolution from federal to republican level is an additional, if temporary, problem underlining the need for further capacity building to institutions with a range of new responsibilities. In general, the 100 NGOs operating in the environmental protection field are still insufficiently involved in decision-making processes, while direct private sector involvement in environmental protection is limited as is the promotion of environmental protection in the business community through eco- nomic incentives. In terms of the education agenda there seems to be little inclusion of topics such as public health and environmental issues, apart from in key subjects such as biology118. Weak monitoring and reporting regimes hinder proper analysis of problems and pose limits to good environmental governance. Also, the enforcement of environmental impact assessments is weak. There is no integrated permit system for the use of natural resources, and exploitation-pricing policies are inadequate. Charges for municipal services are so low that quality is poor and infrastructure deteriorating fast. Public sector expenditure on environmental institutions appears to be less than one percent of GDP; this places Serbia & Montenegro significantly below most transition countries where annual environmental expenditures average about 2per cent of GDP. The current expenditure level is not sufficient to cover the basic monitoring and enforcement functions of the competent authorities. Pressure on forests and sensitive ecosystems could become critical if unsustainable agricultural and natural resource management practices continue. Therefore the development of sound strategies for sustainable agriculture and natural resource management is a must. That would relieve pressures on forests and sensitive ecosystems which result from: (i) unsustainable foresting, hunting/poaching, fishing and use of improper application of pesticides and herbicides which poison wild life; (ii) land degradation by mining notably open-cast lignite and copper ore mines; (iii) expansion of agricultural lands to marginal lands, drainage of swamps and marshes; (iv) water, soil and air pollution; (v) urbanization, expansion of urban areas and tourism development in zones of particularly vulnerable ecosystems; (vi) fires, floods, accidental spills and discharges of harmful substances by industry or during transportation. In the forestry sector depleted stocks and lack of investment pose substantial structural problems. Without needed investments and structural reforms, forestry in Serbia will not give its potential economic, environmental and social benefits to society. Improving the management of forests, grazing and agricultural lands, and irrigation water will result in increased productivity and farm incomes, and yield environmental benefits in terms of reduced pressures on natural resources. Improvement of utilization and maintenance of irrigation, drainage and flood control system is also a future challenge. There is concern that continued inappropriate utilization and mainte- 117 Kombinat Aluminium Podgorica, (KAP) and Niksic Steel Plant consume over half of Montenegro’s current energy requirements 118 “Education for Agriculture, Rural Development and Food Security In Serbia”, Report submitted to FAO Rome, September 2002. Environment 91 nance of irrigation, and drainage and flood control systems, will increase flood risks, agricultural land degradation (approx. 80 per cent of agricultural land is endangered by erosion), desertification, water depletion and pollution, and have adverse long-term impacts on wetland preservation. The current finding of higher poverty levels in rural areas of south-eastern and western Serbia119 coincide with the fact that these areas are highly dependent on the quality of natural resources. Land degradation as a result of overgrazing and deforestation is likely to be a significant cause of increased poverty in such regions. Economic incentives need to be developed urgently to change attitudes to environmental conservation. Currently, there is an extremely low level of fines for environmentally unfriendly activities, and abuse of utility services. The charges for natural resources do not reflect the economic costs of extracting and sustainably managing them. Power plants, mines, metallurgical and chemical industries that are expected to remain the main polluters in the foreseeable future should be particularly encouraged to switch to cleaner technologies, introduce/rehabilitate treatment facilities and/or introduce good housekeeping practices in order to improve quality of environment, especially in urban areas. The privatisation process started in 2001 offers a good opportunity to introduce adequate environmental audits and protection measures as well as to regulate environmental liability issues. Old vehicles and low quality fuels can only gradually be phased out in Serbia and Montenegro. In the medium term low-grade lignite fuelled power plants will remain the main energy source in Serbia, and many households in Serbia and Montenegro will remain dependent on electricity for space heating. Industrial, medical and domestic hazardous waste will continue to pose problems due to accumulated quantities improperly stored or handled, unless appropriate waste management strategies and implementation capacities are developed. Rehabilitation programmes for large industrial areas contaminated by hazardous waste need to be established, and the capacities of municipalities to deal with uncontrolled landfills, illegal dumpsites and ever growing per capita waste production need to be strengthened. Municipalities must revise tariff, tax and management systems, as well as invest in public goods, in order to provide good quality municipal services on a selffinancing basis. Adequate water management strategies should be developed in order to improve water quality, decrease the risk from industrial, urban and agriculture pressures, and to prevent degradation of wetland area biodiversity. Also, Integrated Coastal Zone Management needs to be developed in order to preserve biodiversity in coastal area. Investments in public water supply infrastructure and wastewater treatment facilities, and improvements in self-financing and management of water utilities (already under gradually implementation), would improve public drinking water quality and sanitary conditions, and improve access to basic sanitary services for slum dwellers. RESPONSES Reforms in the environmental sector in Serbia started along with democratic changes in October 2000. The new Government of Serbia, by adopting 6 national environmental priorities120, expressed its political will to lead Serbia towards environmentally sustainable development, while Montenegro confirmed its commitment to the right to a healthy environment by adopting the “Developmental Directions of Montenegro, the Ecological State”121 with longterm strategic directions for environmental, economic and social aspects. In September 2002, the Montenegrin Government relaunched the Sustainable/Ecological State Strategy at the World Summit for Sustainable Development in Johannesburg. These are positive developments that are being followed up and the Government has been taking steps to strengthen its cooperation with the UN system to face the many challenges aforementioned. There is a clear political interest in developing sound and efficient environmental management systems in Serbia & Montenegro, which is party to over 50 international environmental agreements. In May 2002, Serbia established the new Ministry for Protection of Natural Resources and Environment, 119 PRSP for Serbia (Draft) 120 National Environmental Priorities of Serbia: Institutional building and legal system development and enforcement; Monitoring upgrade and accidental response environmental system management; Environmental hot spots remediation and technology development; Waste, hazardous waste & wastewater management; Protected areas, biodiversity, nature and environmental protection; Environmental Education. 121 In 1991, the Parliament declared Montenegro an “Ecological State: A year later this statement was enshrined in the constitution. 92 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro with wide responsibilities122 related to the protection and sustainable use of natural resources (air, water, soil, minerals, forests, fish and wild flora and fauna). Also, moving the Directorate for Forestry, with all its responsibilities123, from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management to the Ministry for Protection of Natural Resources and Environment, illustrated Serbia’s commitment to sustainable use of natural resources. The Ministry of Agriculture and Water Management of Serbia retained responsibility for agricultural land and water management. In Montenegro, the Ministry for Environmental Protection and Physical Planning is the main competent authority for the environment. It is responsible for the implementation of the Law on Environment and its subsidiary regulations; this includes environmental protection, air, noise and vibration, nature conservation and parks, inspection and enforcement, and international cooperation. The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management is responsible for soil, forests and water. The Ministry of Health has responsibilities for the environmental aspects of public health. In regard to inter-sectoral and inter-ministerial cooperation in environment, Montenegro established the National Council for Sustainable Development, which includes representation at the highest levels of all key ministries, specialized institutes, academia, business entities and the NGO sector. In July 2002, the Serbian Ministry for Protection of Natural Resources and Environment and the Montenegrin Ministry of Environmental Protection and Physical Planning agreed to cooperate on environmental protection and to establish a coordinating body to carry out environmental activities which require a state union response in terms of International commitments but for which the execution, monitoring and enforcement rest within institutions at the Republic level. A draft new environmental law for Serbia complying with EU regulations is awaiting approval since June 2002. The Ministry for Protection of Natural Resources and Environment has produced a ”Report on the State of the Environment in 2000 and Priorities in 2001+ for Serbia” listing a set of priorities. Furthermore, plans to develop a National Environment Action Plan are being discussed, and several Local Environmental Action Plans have already been developed. As from November 2002, Montenegro publishes the annual Environmental Status Report. More recent assistance by donors has focused on capacity building in the form of support towards harmonizing the legislative framework with EU legislation, support to the Serbian Ministry for Protection of Natural Resources and Environment in the preparations for establishing an Environmental Protection Agency – this process will commence in Montenegro in June 2003 -, and support to formulation of LEAPs in selected municipalities. Support to environmental monitoring management systems has been also provided by the donor community, as well as support to water supply infrastructure for a number of municipalities. There is a need to develop education programmes and curricula in the field of environment/agriculture. While the country is not a signatory to the Aarhus Convention on access to information, public participation in decision-making and access to justice in environmental matters, the Serbian Ministry for Environment is developing environmental legislation through a project that focuses on EU directives124, including linkages to the Aarhus convention. In Montenegro, the Regulation on Impact Assessments adopted in 1997 defines the right of the general public to be consulted in the decision-making process, and non-government representation is included in the National Council for Sustainable Development. The UN Convention on Biological Diversity was ratified in May 2002, and development of a national strategy and action plan for implementation of Convention is being prepared. In its Spatial Plan Serbia also aims to increase the percentage of protected natural area from 5per cent to 10per cent of the territory by the year 2010, while Spatial Plan of Montenegro envisages expansion from 7per cent to approximately 12per cent. The Sava Basin Initiative figures under the Stabilization and Association process with the EU which was launched by the Regional Environmental Reconstruction Program (REReP) aiming to address environmental problems that threaten the present and future well-being of the citizens of south-eastern 122 Article 20 of the Law on Ministries of the Republic of Serbia. 123 Responsibilities related to policy of forestry, development and use of forests and the wild animals, implementation of measures for the protection of forestry and the wild animals, control of seeds and the plants in forestry, and others stipulated by the Law on Ministries of the Republic of Serbia. 124 Financed by the support of the Republic of Finland, “EU Directives in Focus - Development of Environmental Legislation in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, 2002”. Environment 93 a Memorandum of Understanding with the Serbian Agency for Privatisation. Europe. An important goal of the REReP is to improve environmental management in the region, thereby also reinforcing the role of local government and civil society in decision making. The Convention on Cooperation for the Protection and Sustainable Use of the Danube River was ratified by Serbia and Montenegro, as the then-FRY, on 23 January 2003. Another area of immediate assistance by donors after October 2000 has been support to the Ministry of Mining and Energy in rehabilitating the energy sector and the introduction of higher electricity prices in order to improve the sector’s efficiency. So far, the main focus of past international assistance has been on the clean up of the worst environmental impacts of the 1999 bombing in Pancevo, Kragujevac, Novi Sad and Bor. The bombing’s environmental consequences were assessed by international community, and a portfolio of priority clean-up projects was developed and is currently being implemented with international support. UNEP is actively involved in the clean up works of the above four hotspots through the “Clean Up of Environmental Hotspots” programme implemented in partnership with UNOPS. It focuses on the protection of groundwater and drinking water resources, preventing pollution to reach rivers, reducing health risks to factory workers and preventing immediate risk from storage of hazardous wastes. Millennium Development Goals and the Environment Ensuring environmental sustainability is one of the eight UN Millennium Development Goals (MDG) that were adopted at the Millennium Summit in September 2000. The seventh MDG aims to “integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources; halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water; and significantly improve the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers by 2020.” Indicators related to this target include forest coverage, biodiversity protection, per capita energy use, CO2 emissions, access to water, access to sanitation and security of tenure (Box A1). The fourth MDG, which aims to reduce the under-5 mortality rate and the infant mortality rate, is also related to the environment given the strong relationship between child health and availability of clean drinking water and sanitation. The privatisation process, which started in 2001, offers a good opportunity to introduce adequate environmental audits and protection measures as well as to regulate environmental liability issues. In regard to that, Serbian Ministry for Environment has signed Box A1: MDG 7: Ensure environmental sustainability Targets Indicators Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and program and reverse the loss of environmental resources • Change in land area covered by forest • Land area protected to maintain biological diversity • GDP per unit of energy use • Carbon dioxide emissions (per capita) Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water • Proportion of population with sustainable access to an improved water source Have achieved, by 2020, a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers • Proportion of population with access to improved sanitation • Proportion of population with access to secure tenure [Urban/rural disaggregation of several of the above indicators may be relevant for monitoring improvement in the lives of slum dwellers] Source: http://www.worldbank.org/data/mdg/About_the_goals.htm 94 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Table A1: Concentration of air pollution in Serbian cites 3 Station SO2 Beograd Novi Sad Nis Subotica Sabac Zrenjanin Kragujevac* Krusevac Uzice Smederevo Pancevo Bor Cacak Lucani Ivanjica Kraljevo Vranje Kikinda Leskovac 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 2 10 7 21 30 26 6 10 2 3 19 20 17 21 40 62 45 11 10 8 7 34 17 9 6 243 41 103 1 0,19 2 7 151 3 4 6 82 19 63 42 131 µg/m3) Average annual concentration (µ Soot** NO2 PM 57 29 9 9 9 8 41 7 5 45 77 27 16 16 12 14 15 21 47 85 58 23 17 18 20 21 15 20 32 5 1 8 2 5 5 11 9 5 4 3 36 32 8 3 5 11 28 5 9 22 20 17 8 34 13 11 12 0 9 - 199 312 146 180 173 156 169 244 88 111 212 211 221 237 272 141 466 137 151 183 199 244 183 154 225 806 349 100 152 81 129 192 157 111 354 81 89 354 349 *Kragujevac: - average value of PM for 10 measured places **Soot is mainly elementary carbon, transformed during incomplete combustion processes and additional chemicals to particulate matter - :: - not measured; ∅ : - no measurement above limits PM: - Particulate matter Source: Directorate for Environmental Protection, “Report on the State of the Environment for 2000”, Ministry of Health and Environmental Protection of the Republic of Serbia Environment 95 While statistics indicate a very large part of the FRY population had access to safe drinking water in 2000, there are unsatisfactory trends in both quality and coverage and service, especially to rural areas and urban slums. Similarly, 99.6per cent of the FRY population is reported to live in a household with sanitation services of some kind, however the majority of rural households have septic tanks, many of which have been found to be improperly designed and situated. Urban slums, mainly populated by refugees, Roma and IDPs, do not have access to safe sanitation facilities. Problems in access to safe drinking water and sanitation endanger threaten to reverse the positive trend in decreasing child mortality rates since 1990s. The deficiencies in service are mainly caused by poor financing and management of public utilities, which need to be reformed. Figures A1 and A2 indicate the trend in FRY emissions from 1990 to 1999. Air pollution emissions, in particular SO2 and NO2, declined slightly in the first two years of the 1990s. In subsequent years they rose again to surpass 1990 levels in 1998, but dropped substantially in 1999. Most of the drop was in energy related emissions and was caused by NATO bombings, which interrupted electricity production. Data on subsequent years are not available. As the tables indicate, the main sources of SO2 and NO2 emissions are energy generation plants (80-88per cent), and to a much lesser extent, industry (3-14per cent) and general consumption (9per cent). Coal burning and inefficient technology are the most important factors leading to high emissions from energy plants. The role of industry appears to have increased relative to general use in the 1990s for both pollutants. Figure A1: SO2 Emissions by Category of Source Source: FRY Hydro-Meteorological Institute Figure A2: NOx Emissions by Category of Source Environment – Concluding points: In the fact of the Environmental degradation which intensified during the 1990s, and the lack of investment in cleaner technology and environmental protection Serbia and Montenegro are having to put take the environmental challenges seriously. The following are the immediate actions that Serbia and Montenegro need to take: • Serbia and Montenegro need to ratify a number of key international environmental agreements as well as establish proper management systems for their implementation. • Integrate environmental principles in socio-economic development programmes plans of Serbia and Montenegro. • Strengthen civil society participation in environmental planning • Development and implement sound strategies for sustainable agriculture and natural resource management. The forestry sector must be reformed and investments made in Serbia’s forests, otherwise forestry in Serbia will not give its potential economic, environmental and social benefits to society. • Economic incentives need to be developed to change attitudes towards environmental conservation. Power plants, mines, and other polluting industries should be encouraged to switch to cleaner technologies, introduce/rehabilitate treatment facilities and introduce good housekeeping practices that will improve environmental quality. • Old vehicles must be gradually be phased out in Serbia and Montenegro. • Adequate water management strategies should be developed in order to improve water quality, decrease the risk from industrial, urban and agricultural pressures, and to prevent degradation of wetland area biodiversity. Also, Integrated Coastal Zone Management needs to be developed in order to preserve biodiversity in coastal areas. • Investments in public water supply infrastructure and wastewater treatment facilities, and improvements in self-financing and management of water utilities (already under gradual implementation) are needed to improve drinking water quality and sanitary conditions, and improve access to basic sanitary services for slum dwellers. Source: FRY Hydro-Meteorological Institute 96 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Environment 97 PROPOSED AREAS OF COOPERATION Proposed key areas of cooperation for the United Nations system with the national authorities in Serbia and Montenegro in the next five-year programme cycle have been identified and prioritised, based on the findings of the CCA and national priorities contained within the PRSPs and the MDGs, through an extensive and on-going dialogue between the UN system and Governments, civil society, donors, other international organisations and additional stakeholders. Starting from their critical participation in the thematic groups which produced the analysis in each of the CCA’s four chapter areas, stakeholders’ views and that of the UN system converged over a 6month period extending from March to September 2003. Convening two stakeholder workshops, one in each republic of Montenegro and Serbia, at an early stage of the drafting process, enabled the wide variety of stakeholders to have substantial input into the analysis and mould the debates from an informed national, in addition to, the international perspective. The CCA was undertaken concurrently as the two PRSPs for Serbia and for Montenegro were being written. The coincidental timing facilitated a timely cross-fertilisation of views and, whilst not replicating either of the PRSPs, ensured the CCA was able to draw upon the research and data presented. Due to the upheaval in SCG in the 1990s and the dearth of quality and exhaustive work in these areas, this process was of particular consequence and importance to the shaping of the CCA. In the extended process of drafting the CCA and reaching consensus on the text, analysis and data, the UN Country Team met regularly at heads of agency level to review progress made by the thematic working groups. Such regular exchanges of views led to the heads of agency themselves endorsing the stakeholder consensus that the key areas of intervention in the next programme cycle for the UN system would revolve around: • Supporting the implementation of the PRSP through promoting pro-poor policies; 98 • Capacity building for institutional reform; • Promoting social inclusion for excluded groups; • Promoting the rule of law and access to justice; • Addressing regional disparities and promoting community empowerment and local development. Important factors considered when prioritising the proposed key areas of cooperation were the various comparative advantages held by the UN system agencies in the developmental sphere to develop and strengthen national capacity. To this effect, the work on the CCA was guided by the Millennium Declaration, which is of utmost relevance to the SCG context and the Millennium Development Goals. From the analysis in section two of this CCA, the UN system, government representatives and the stakeholders in SCG have selected the following priority areas. These priority areas represent the framework for coordinated development activities in SCG where the different UN agencies will combine to contribute their expertise in the provision of policy advice, technical cooperation and service delivery. Priority Area 1: Institutional Reform/ Public Administration Reform In the last 3 years, the UN system has striven to promote an enabling environment for the creation of professional public institutions capable of servicing people and based on principles of democratic governance, participation, equality and sustainability. Strategies for public administration and institutional reform should be supported while ensuring equitable access of vulnerable groups to basic public and communitybased services and capitalizing on private/public partnerships. Inclusive policy processes should be particularly highlighted in strengthening national capacities and policies in the health, education, employment and social welfare institutions. Reducing poverty and achieving the Millennium Development Goals will depend on a highly professional civil service and on a set of effective institutions capable of responding to people’s needs, including the most vulnerable. Support to data collection and data analysis through improved quality of information systems, planning and management is vital. The UN Economic Commission for Europe conducted a global assessment of the statistical system of the FRY in November 2001-March 2002, under a joint mandate with EUROSTAT. The assessment highlighted the many deficiencies and incongruencies in official statistics at Federal and both republics levels, as well improvements that were then underway. This study, and subsequent changes such as those brought about Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro by the constitutional restructuring under the new state union of SCG, provide an important backdrop to the efforts that must now be made to indigenize the MDGs and adopt nationally-relevant targets and indicators for each MDG goal, and to develop modernized statistical capabilities that can support realistic planning, monitoring and reporting, and enable properly-targeted institutional strategies. about environmental degradation issues and to mitigate the negative effects of environmental hazards, especially affecting the poor and other vulnerable groups, including by mainstreaming environmental issues within the education system. Within this framework, the UN system should support the governments of Serbia and Montenegro in the implementation of their respective strategies and continue to improve the capacity of institutions to carry out reforms in a coordinated manner and through promotion of human rights. Effective public expenditure reforms depend on difficult strategic choices. There is a need to be realistic in selecting the goals of reform. Both Republic governments have inherited distorted fiscal systems and ineffective budget management practices. Both need to pursue interrelated goals of sustainability, allocative efficiency, and accountability of public expenditure systems, as institutional and public administration reform, judicial reform and sustainable local development are pursued.125 Priority Area 2: Judicial Reform & The Rule of Law Judicial reform is essential for fulfilling human rights, reducing poverty and promoting economic development. To promote and uphold human rights, the UN system should collaborate in SCG to create the conditions for promoting a justice system for all, based on an accessible, independent and efficient judiciary, a functioning ombudsman system and alternative dispute resolution mechanisms. Special attention should be paid to strengthening capacities to prevent and respond to all incidents of gender-based and child-targeted violence. This includes a functioning governmental and non-governmental system for prevention of and responses to domestic violence. The empowerment and engagement of civil society was deemed crucial for influencing and improving the governance process both in the reform of institutions as well as the Justice system. Priority Area 3: Sustainable Local Development Stemming from the startling regional disparities that exist in SCG, and recognising the needs for promoting sustainable growth and more equal distribution of income and investment, the UN system is in a favourable position to promote partnerships based on social responsibility and sustainable local development. These will be established between central, local, private and public entities to promote sustainable local development and healthy livelihoods with a special emphasis on community empowerment, targeting of disadvantaged areas, effective environmental management systems and the mobilization of domestic resources as the engine for growth. Once again the role of public institutions and that of civil society is highlighted as key to raise awareness Fiscal and economic parameters to future priority areas of cooperation Bold measures are needed to rationalize public spending in order to raise its allocative efficiency. Up to now, the allocation of public funds in both Serbia and Montenegro has been both inflexible and inefficient, due to a large non-discretionary component, which comprised public sector wages and interest on debt. Social entitlements - the largest component of consolidated government spending – has also been rigid. All public sector policy decisions should be made with reference to their medium-term fiscal implications. Budget formulation needs to acquire a strategic dimension. Both Governments are reforming budget formulation, but they are still at an early stage. Significant challenges remain in establishing a framework of policies and priorities to guide the allocation of public resources, in determining revised standards and norms for public service delivery, in developing capacities for monitoring budgetary performance, and in specifying planned outputs and outcomes of the budgetary expenditure. Up to now, the Republics’ budgets have not been comprehensive and decisions have been made without a clear picture of the overall public finance position, leading to sub-optimal budget outcomes. Related to both comprehensiveness and the absence of a multiyear perspective is the fact that policy is not integrated with the budget. In several sectors policy commitments exceed the resources available as laws that set policies and norms do not reflect the availability of resources. Unless this is addressed, the conditions for effective institutional reform and progress towards the Millennium Development Goals will not be achieved. 125 For further information on this analysis see the World Bank “Public Expenditure and Institutional Review”, 2003 Proposed Areas of Cooperation 99 Further improvements are most pressing in two areas of public expenditure reform: institutional arrangements and the stewardship of resources. The key institutions for budget execution that determine whether the Government's budget and policy are implemented and fiscal targets are met are under construction, but will require time to mature. These key institutions are a well-developed Treasury, including cash management and commitment control functions to assure that targets are met and policies are implemented, and a robust, systematic audit of public accounts to assure accountability. Such institutional reforms and fiscal discipline are essential for the sustainability of the social and economic recovery process, and a necessary foundation for the sustainability of future UN system cooperation in the priority areas of institutional and public administration reform, judicial reform and the rule of law, and sustainable local development. Only in this way can the full spectrum of the Millennium Development Goals be achieved, and the social inclusion dimensions of eventual integration into the EU be accomplished. takes full advantage of its proximity to and aspirations for accession to the European Union. This will require substantial enabling changes in the policy, institutional and investment environment – a process that is already underway, but continues to need sustained support from the international community. Epilogue In Serbia, economic progress since the 2000 elections has been extensive, with major liberalization of prices, foreign trade, and foreign exchange; tax reform; improved privatization and bank restructuring regimes; enhanced transparency in the budget process; and reductions in the gray economy and smuggling. In Montenegro, with technical and financial assistance from donors, economic reforms went further in some areas, while in others implementation has been less rapid. Both governments view sustainable and accountable public finances as the keystone for broader market-oriented reforms, strong growth and poverty alleviation outcomes, and successful reintegration into the European and global economic structures. They are also needed for meaningful public administration reform and sustainable capacity building. Effective governance, judicial reform and rule of law will also be essential for macro-economic and fiscal stability, and to enable sustainable local development. These are the priority areas that UN system agencies in SCG will collaborate on. Serbia and Montenegro stand ready to pursue a path towards a knowledge-based economy126, but the benefits that may accrue must be broadly spread if development is to be equitable and if access is to be guaranteed for all. The challenge to SCG is to capitalize on its rapid but incomplete economic reforms and highly-developed human resource base, and leap-frog its use of ICT in a liberalizing market economy that 126 See Towards a Knowledge-Based Economy – Country Readiness Assessment Report, UNECE, 2002. 100 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 4. ANNEXES EXPLANATORY NOTES TO INDICATORS FRAMEWORK • Selected indicators framework attempts to follow the CCA Guidelines for the Millennium Declaration and Conference Indicators. In those cases when such data were not available, other appropriate indicators were selected and available data presented. • The source for all contextual indicators (Demographic and Economy Indicators) and the majority of MDG indicators is based on data and documents provided by the Federal Statistical Office and Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. • All other sources used when official statistics could not provide data are noted in the footnotes below the relevant table. • The UNDP National Officer from Podgorica Office added some data for Montenegro, and sources are quoted below the table. • Selected years for data are 1990, 1995, 2000, 2001 and 2002, representing significant years of the situation development in Serbia and Montenegro. • 1990 – A year prior to ex Yugoslavia break-up and the crisis. • 1995 – The middle year of the crisis period, prior to Dayton peace agreement and removal of the sanctions. • 2000 – The year representing inherited situation after the Kosovo crisis, bombing campaign and a year when the old regime was changed. • 2001 – The year when the new government introduced the reform process. • 2002 – Last year, and at the same time year of the Census in Serbia. However, many of the Census and other data are not processed and not available yet. • Latest Census in Serbia was in 2002. Previous Census was in 1991. New Census in Montenegro is still pending. • Due to the complex structure of the state union, data is presented for Serbia and Montenegro jointly (SCG) and than segregated for the republic of Serbia (S) and the republic of Montenegro (CG) as appropriate. • It should be noted that further regional segregation of data would be useful in the analysis of the specif- Annexes ic indicators, trends or groups. Those specificities are elaborated in the narrative section of the CCA. • There is no processed segregated data for ethnic groups (Roma). • GDP figures for 2001 and 2002 are only estimates, as well as other data calculated in relation to GDP. • Presented data on gray (informal) economy reflects information from the available ad hoc surveys and estimates. • National Statistics monitored poverty in 1995 and 2000 based on the “Household Consumption Survey”. In 2002 for the purpose of preparation PRSP separate surveys were done in Serbia and in Montenegro. Presented data reflects the results of those surveys, but different indicators do not allow comparisons. • Poverty surveys in 2002 did not include especially vulnerable groups (Roma, refugees, IDPs). 101 102 ANNEX 1 INDICATORS Contextual Indicators 1. Demographics (Annex 1) 1990 SCG S 8,542 7,898 0.00 Birth rate 1995 SCG S SCG S 644 8.432 7,797 635 8,342 7,688 -1.00 +9.00 -1.00 -3.00 +17.00 -9.00 11.69 11.45 14.56 11.35 11.06 14.95 Death rate 10.47 10.83 6.11 11.72 12.05 Population 0-19 (%) 26.62 26.15 32.39 25.26 Population over 65 (%) 11.15 11.35 8.75 Total fertility rate 1.727 1.725 Life expectancy at birth 72.30 Male Female Population size in 000 (ex. Kosovo)* Population growth rate Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Number of refugees in 000*** Number of IDPs in 000*** CG 2000 S CG SCG 654 8,326 7,668 658 8,304 7,498** -11.00 +14.00 -5.00 -7.00 +15.00 -7.00 -8.00 +10.30 9.94 9.59 14.04 10.48 10.23 13.43 10.73 10.50 13.28 7.76 13.12 13.53 8.27 12.54 12.91 8.25 13.31 13.72 8.54 24.73 31.75 23.68 23.18 29.59 23.39 22.90 29.17 22.30** 13.88 14.20 9.99 15.77 16.15 11.32 16.04 16.42 11.62 16.54** 1.785 1.692 1.870 1.952 1.472 1.436 1.851 1.550 1.529 1.790 72.12 75.57 71.89 71.75 74.11 71.56 71.40 73.66 72.15 72.06 73.91 69.54 69.36 72.38 69.93 69.83 71.42 69.42 69.30 71.05 70.08 70.01 71.37 75.08 74.93 78.21 74.79 74.58 78.43 73.71 73.50 76.27 74.21 74.21 76.45 325.1 296.8 28.3 500.7 477.5 23.2 483.8 469.4 14.4 389.0 375.5 13.5 - - 234.9 204.0 30.9 228.5 196.3 32.2 231.1 201.7 29.4 - - CG 2002 SCG 99.6**** CG 2001 S CG 660 * Population size is calculated based on the mid-year estimate, a common statistical methodology done each year. Data presented is from the Federal Statistical Office Publication “Saopstenja”, no. 041, 3 March 2003 ** Census 2002, Serbian Statistical Office ***UNHCR data. ****Significant inflow of refugees was registered from 1992, IDPs from 1999. Note: 2002 missing demographic data is calculated from the vital statistics and has not been published yet Annexes 2. Economy 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 Macro-economy SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG (estimate)* SCG (estimate)* GDP per capita (US$) 2,696 2,764 1,859 1,449 1,483 1,030 1,035 1,042 1,268 1,092 1,136 -6.7 -6.1 -15.9 -52.0 -52.1 -49.8 2.6 -0.2 49.4 5.5 4.0 130% 119% GDP growth rate (related to previous data) External debt (US$) as GDP % Ratio of foreign trade over GDP 57.6 % Sanctions 62.9% 74.1% Export of goods /services as GDP % 19.3% Grey (informal) economy % of GDP 31.6** 40.8** 34*** 26***** 40-50 **** * GDP figures for 2001 and 2002 are only estimates, as well as other data calculated in relation to GDP. **”Analysis of the grey economy in FRY”, Economic Institute, 1997 (data for 1990 is actually for 1991) *** “Serbia – standard of living monitoring”, Strategic Marketing and Media Research Institute (SMMRI), OCHA, Belgrade 1999 ****”Income and Expenditures in Montenegro”, Economic Institute, OCHA, Podgorica, 2000 ***** “Grey Economy in Serbia”, “Bulletin G17”, Number 36-37, January 2003 1990 Public Expenditures SCG 1995 S CG SCG 2000 2001 S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG Social welfare budget as % of GDP 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.30 0.30 0.26 0.96 0.88 2.17 1.54 1.46 2.63 Social welfare budget spending per capita in US$ 2.40 2.45 1.61 4.33 4.37 3.82 9.96 9.15 22.43 16.52 15.75 28.34 Heath budget as % of GDP 5.5 5.6 3.1 7.4 7.8 0.5 4.0 4.1 2.1 7.3 7.6 2.5 147.42 151.54 84.11 107.02 113.43 6.95 41.12 42.37 21.94 78.28 81.61 27.37 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.5 5.7 3.2 2.7 11.1 5.7 5.2 13.5 106.94 106.25 117,56 66.32 65.31 82.12 33.11 27.76 115.14 61.77 56.34 145.08 Health budget spending per cap. US$ Education budget as % of GDP Education budget spending per cap. US$ 103 104 V.1 MDG Indicators Framework Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Target: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than 1$ a day 1990* SCG Proportion of population below $1 per day Poverty gap ratio S 1995* CG SCG 2000* S CG SCG S 2002 CG SCG S** CG 14.1 28.9 36.5 14.5 9.4*** 1.0 4.1 3.1 3.5 1**** *”Poverty in Serbia and Reform of Governmental Support for the Poor”, Center for Liberal-Democratic Studies, 2001 Based on National Statistics “Household Consumption Survey (APD)”, 2000 **”Survey on the Living Standards of the Population”, SMMRI, June 2002 Results from this survey were used for the PRSP in Serbia. *** In Montenegro the absolute poverty line is defined below 107 EUR per person per month (“Living Standards and Poverty in Montenegro 2002”, Institute of Strategic Studies and Prognoses (ISSP) and World Bank **** Household survey 7”, (WB and ISSP) June 2003 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Poverty Indicators Serbia* Financially Vulnerable (poverty line 5,507 YUD/89 US$) Poor (poverty line 4,489 YUD/72 US$) Poverty Index Poverty Gap Poverty Severity Poverty Index Poverty Gap Poverty Severity Urban 16.0% 3.3% 1.1% 7.8% 1.5% 0.5% Rural 25.1% 6.1% 2.3% 14.2% 3.2% 1.1% Total 20.0% 4.6% 1.6% 10.6% 2.2% 0.8% *”Survey on the Living Standards of the Population”, SMMRI, June 2002 Results from this survey were used for the PRSP in Serbia. Annexes Poverty Indicators Total households Montenegro* Total income less than 50% of median income (58. 5 € per person/month) 17.4% Total income less than 40% of median income (46.8 € per person/month) 10.0% Food expenditures/total expenditures ratio –equal or grater than 75% 16.4% *”Household Survey Report 6”, Institute for Strategic Studies, November 2002, used (among other sources) for the PRSP in Montenegro Target: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger 1996* 2000** SCG S CG SCG S CG • Weight for age – 2SD 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.9 1.9 2.1 • Weight for age – 3 SD 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 Percentage of children, aged under five, with moderate or severe malnutrition, year 2000 Stunted children (moderate-severe)** • National average SCG 5.1% • Refugee and IDP children in collective centres 17.2% * “Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey I, UNICEF, Belgrade, 1996 **“Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey II, UNICEF, Belgrade, 2000 105 106 Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education Target: Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling 1990 Net enrolment ratio in primary education (age 7-14) Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 5 Adult literacy rate * (over age 10) Population growth rate (Annex 2) * Census 2002) 1991 1995 2000 2001 2002 SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG 95.36 95.32 95.71 98.05 98.19 96.78 99.22 99.38 99.70 98.31 98.53 96.28 99.9** 96.3**** 93.9 94.2** 90.9 94.7 98.0** 94.2 96.0 96.8** 96.6 96.9** 96.4**** 98.5** 96.8**** 93* 94* 94.1*** 0.00 -1.00 +9.00 96.55* -1.00 -3.00 +17.00 -9.00 -11.00 +14.00 -5.00 -7.00 +15.00 -7.00 -8.00 +10.30 (data for SCG in 1991 includes Kosovo) and Census 2002 for Serbia ** Annual Bulletin “Saopstenja za osnovne skole”, Serbian Statistical Office (1990, 1995, 2000, 2001, official statistics based on Census 1991 ****Annual Review, Ministry of Education and Science of Montenegro, 2001, 2002 ***Montenegro Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women Target : Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005 and to all levels of education no later than 2015. Eliminate discriminatory practices in employment. Equitable access to political institutions. 1990 SCG Ratio of girls to boys in primary education Ratio of girls to boys in secondary education Ratio of girls to boys in tertiary education Share of women in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector Proportion of seats held by women in national parliaments S 1995 CG SCG S 2000 CG 2001 SCG S CG 93.4 SCG S 2002 CG SCG S CG ***** 94.1 94.2 92.9 94.9 94.9 94.2 94.5 95.2* 94.7 95.3* 93.4 97.45 100.1* 91.7 100.9 102.7* 98.5 101.8 108.9* 104.0 100.9 104.5* 103.7 102.5 95.1* 92.1 120.2 113.8* 109.2 112.8 116.3* 115.0 114.6 119.2* 40.1 40.2 38.8 42.1 42.3 39.0 43.8 43.9 42.8 44.2 44.4 96.6 125.7* 42.6 … … … **** 1.6** 4** 5.1*** 5.6*** 10.8 10.4**** *Annual Bulletin, Serbian statistical Office ** ”Human Development Report”, UNDP, 1995 *** Council of Europe data **** Latest elections held for republican parliaments ***** Annual Review, Ministry of Education and Science of Montenegro, 2002 Annexes Goal 4: Reduce child Mortality Target: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five Mortality rate 1990 SCG 1995 S CG SCG 2000 2001 S CG SCG S CG SCG 2002 S CG SCG S CG Under-five Mortality rate 18.3 18.3 18.3 15.5 15.7 13.8 12.7 12.7 12.5 12.2 11.8 15.7 10.9 10.9 11.2 Infant Mortality rate Proportion of children vaccinated against Measles, Mumps and Rubella (MMR) according to schedule (12 – 18 months) 16.4 16.4 16.6 13.7 13.8 12.1 10.7 10.6 11.1 10.6 10.2 14.6 9.6 9.5 10.4 84.8** 86.0* 90.8** 90.5* 83.0* 92.0** 87.0** 89.0*** * FRY Public Health Institute data used in “Ten Years of Child Rights in Yugoslavia” 1990-2000, A Review, UNICEF ** Statistical Year Book of the Institute of Public Health of Montenegro, 2001 *** Annual Report on Immunisation, Institute of Public Health of Montenegro, 2002 Goal 5: Improve Maternal Health Target: Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the Maternal Mortality ratio 1990 SCG Maternal Mortality rate Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel 1995 2000 2001 S CG SCG S CG SCG S CG SCG S 12.2 11.05 21.32 11.49 12.46 0.00 8.44 9.49 0.00 10.31 98.31 98.31 98.27 98.71 98.70 98.82 98.79 98.75 99.11 98.90 2002 CG SCG S CG 8.92 22.63 …. …. …. 98.82 99.53 …. …. …. 107 108 Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and other diseases Target: Have halted by 2015, and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS Condom rate use among high risk groups (2002*/** Serbia Montenegro Injecting drug users 17.0 25.0 Sex workers 60.3 34.5 Men having sex with men 41.5 30.6 15* NA Condom use growth rate 1997-2000 Condom use among married women and women with partners*** Age 15-19 22.6 Age 20-24 20.9 Age 25-49 17.0 Rural 14.0 Urban 20.6 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Total number of registered AIDS cases 1,126**** 33***** HIV positive (WHO estimate in 2001) 10,000* (Montenegro est.) 400** 30* 30** Percentage of women of the total HIV positive cases* * ”Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS among Especially vulnerable Young People in Serbia”, UNICEF, November 2002 ** ”Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS among Especially vulnerable Young People in Montenegro”, UNICEF February 2002 *** Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey II, UNICEF, 2000 **** Draft of the Situation Analysis of the Republican AIDS Strategy, Republican AIDS Commission (Serbia), August 2003 *****Annual Report on Communicable Diseases, Institute of Public Health of Montenegro, 2002 Annexes Target: Have halted by 2015, and begun to reverse, the incidence of tuberculosis* 1990 No. cases Active TB cases (prevalence) 10,530 New TB cases (incidence) 4,149 1995 Rate No. cases Rate 9,054 39.6 4,169 Percentage of BCG vaccinated newborns*** Percentage of BCG vaccinated newborns in Montenegro**** 2000 97.2 38.5 2001** No. cases Rate 7,534 70.9 4,139 38.9 97 98 98.0 92.0 No. cases Rate 2,713 35.6 95.0 *FRY Statistical Year Book 2000, data presented for the whole country, not segregated by republics **Data obtained from WHO, Belgrade *** FRY Public Health Institute data used in “Ten Years of Child Rights in Yugoslavia” 1990-2000, A Review, UNICEF, 2001 **** Annual Reports on Immunisation, Institute for public Health of Montenegro Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability Target: Integrate the principles do sustainable development into country policies and programmes and reverse the loss of environmental resources 1991 Proportion of land area covered by forest SCG S 32.3 29.9 Land area protected to Maintain biological diversity (%)* Energy Intensity (koe/GDP unit)** CO2 emissions (ton/capita)** 1996 CG 49.9 1999 SCG S CG SCG 28.5 25.5 50.1 28.6 3.0 5.0 0.56 0.84 3.6 3.4 2001 S CG 25.6 50.1 SCG S CG 54*** 4.7 0.78 * Report on State of Environment in 2000 and priorities in 2001+ for Serbia, Republic of Serbia/ Ministry of National Resources and Environmental Protection, June 2002 **“Breaking with the past”, Report No. 22267-YU, World Bank FRY, July 2001 *** PRSP draft, 23 July 2003 – they used UNICEF research from 2000 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey II, FRY 2000 **** National Capacity Self Assessment in Serbia and Montenegro – proposal for GEF Funding ***** Use of commercial energy was 1.536 koe per capita with net imports of 37% - PRSP draft, 23 July 2003 7.14**** 1.536***** 109 110 Target: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water Target: Integrate the principles do sustainable development into country policies and programmes and reverse the loss of environmental resources 1991* SCG Proportion of the population using drinking water piped into dwelling or yard ** CS 78.7 81 1996 V 91 2000 CG SCG CS V CG SCG 76.3 76.7 78.6 92.0 85.9 86.6 CS V CG 83.9 92.9 91.1 Percentage of unsafe central water supply systems with over 20% physical/chemical contamination*** 45.1 45.7 38.8 43.8 43.0 50.0 Percentage of central water supply systems with over 5% microbiological contamination of drinking water*** 30.7 29.9 38.8 43.2 41.7 55.5 84.0 88.3 Target: By 2020, to have achieved a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 Million slum dwellers Country Target: Reduce the number of homeless people Proportion of population using toilet facility linked to a sewage system or septic tank in the dwelling** 62.6 64.1 Proportion of households with adequate housing e.g. with at least essential services: sanitation, safe drinking water, electricity 70 66.1 73.4 74.4 82.5 87.3 91.3 Comment: UNHCHR insists on inclusion of this indicator in future monitoring Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro * 1991 Census data. ** 1996 and 2000 “Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey” (I and II), UNICEF, 1996 and 2000. For Serbia data given for Central Serbia (CS) and Vojvodina (V) separately ***Health statistical Yearbook, FRY, Belgrade, 1997 and 2000 Goal 8: Develop a Global Partnership for development Target: Address the special needs of the least developed countries (Official Development Assistance ODA) SCG External Debt in US$ billion * 2001 2002 2003 2004 11.9 11.2 9.5 10.2 Proportion of SCG exports to developed countries** 2000 2001 2002 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 2003 * The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate, “Country Report Serbia and Montenegro”, EIU, London, May 2003 ** World Bank data, Office in Belgrade 88.8 Annexes 2000 2001 2002 2003 (estimate) ** 152.79 556.30 785.93 1000.98 International Assistance to Serbia* Total disbursement Humanitarian 116.16 (76%) 307.46 (55.3%) 92.94 (11.8%) 38.12 (3.8%) Development 36.63 (24%) 248.84 (44.7%) 692.99 (82.2%) 962.86 (96.2%) Grants 152.79 (100%) 525.59 (94.5%) 504.23 (64.2%) 353.34 (35.3%) 30.7 (5.5%) 281.70 (35.8%) 647.63 (64.7%) Soft Loans *All amounts in € millions (source: Serbian Ministry of International Economic Relations - DACU database), June 2003 ** Estimates from September 2003 Target: In co-operation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable, essential drugs in developing countries Self sufficiency in basic prescription drug production* 90% Self sufficiency in specific medicaments (insulin and cancer drugs)* 10% Import of medical supplies, laboratory consumables and reagents* 40% *”Assessment of the Pharmaceutical situation in FRY”, WHO, Belgrade, 1999 111 112 Target: In co-operation with the private sector, Make available the benefits of new technologies, especially IT 1991 1995 2000 2001 2002 Telephone lines per 100 people 28.5 29.1 30.1* Serbia 24.1 26.5 Montenegro 35.7* Mobile phone network (% population coverage ) Serbia and Montenegro* Number of mobile phone subscribers per 1000 people* Serbia 311.76 Montenegro 538.46 % of households PC owners in 2003** 1997 40 1998 60 2000 90 Serbia 22% Montenegro 20% % of population Internet users* Serbia and Montenegro 7% No. of Internet users growth rate (per year) from 1996-2002* Serbia and Montenegro 150% 2001 94 2002 - Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro * “Towards a Knowledge Based Economy -Yugoslavia – Country Readiness Assessment Report”, UNECE, New York and Geneva 2002 ** GFK Center for Marketing Research Survey, Belgrade, 2003 Goal: Creation of full employment Target: Universal access to paid employment 1990 SCG Employment to population of working age ratio Unemployment rate 1995 S CG SCG 44.5 44.9 39.3 17.1 16.7 22.9 2000 2001 S CG SCG S CG 41.2 31.9 33.7 41.9 42.6 33.4 23.4 22.9 30.1 26.5 25.6 37.4 SCG S CG SCG S 42.0 42.8 33.2 42.2 43.1 32.3 27.5 26.8 36.6 29.6 29.0 37.6 Informal sector employment as % of total employment % of women in total unemployment 2002 17* 59.7 60.0 56.8 57.7 57.6 58.9 57.1 56.9 58.6 56.5 56.2 CG 25%** 59.9 55.7 * “Challenges in Implementing the Reform Agenda: One Year After the Democratic Breakthrough”, UNDP FRY/Serbia, 2001 ** Data calculated based on the survey “Informal Economy and unprotected labor in Montenegro”, Association of Independent Trade Union of Montenegro, February 2003 … … Annexes Target: In co-operation with developing countries, develop and implement strategies for decent and productive work for youth 1990 Unemployment rate of 15-24 year olds SCG 69.4 S 1995 CG SCG S 2000 CG SCG 64.0 S 64.3 2001 CG 61.0 SCG 59.1 S 58.9 2002 CG 60.2 SCG 58.0 S 58.0 CG 59.0 113 ANNEX 1A Population Age Pyramid – Serbia* Serbia population breakdown by age* 1991 Age M F 95+ 707 142 90-94 4204 7542 85-89 11092 19842 80-84 37317 63361 75-79 94552 152786 70-74 167178 220106 65-69 209580 250826 60-64 207676 236108 55-59 186571 202614 50-54 281306 290047 45-49 309769 311784 40-44 263071 268757 35-39 240552 245457 30-34 237553 238894 25-29 253636 250930 20-24 261232 251197 15-19 253353 242298 10-14 225451 214379 5-9 203059 191537 0-4 175748 166587 unknown 22323 26607 3,645,930 3,852,071 2002 Montenegro population breakdown by age 1991 Age M F 95+ 385 589 90-94 755 1201 85-89 1434 3001 80-84 1941 3674 75-79 4887 7903 70-74 9348 12289 65-69 12119 14545 60-64 15039 17559 55-59 12789 14536 50-54 17343 18429 45-49 22338 21508 40-44 24147 22895 35-39 24900 23357 30-34 25563 23371 25-29 25797 24767 20-24 26837 25405 15-19 26967 25788 10-14 26098 24631 5-9 23661 21797 0-4 23110 21571 325,458 328,816 2000 Age pyramids reflect the aging trend of the population and shrinking birth rates both in Serbia and Montenegro. * “Census 2002: Intensive Aging of the Population in Serbia”, Goran Penev, Center for Demographic Research – Social Science Institute, Belgrade, 2003 ** Calculated in the Federal Statistical Office based on vital registration – mid-year population estimate, unpublished 114 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro ANNEX 2 Thematic Indicators: Status of Ratification and Reporting Obligations under International Human Rights Instruments Treaty Signed Ratified Entry into Force Succession or Accession Last report produced Next report due 1. International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) 8/08/67 2/06/71 3/01/76 Succession: 12/03/01 Entry in Force: 27/04/92 2nd report: 19/11/98 E/1990/6/Add.22 June 2002 2. International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) 8/08/67 2/06/71 23/03/76 Succession: 12/03/01 Entry in Force: 27/04/92 4th report: 5/03/1999 CCPR/C/YUG/99/4 December 2001 ICCPR-Optional Protocol 1 (Individual Complaint) 14/03/90 Receipt of Inst.: 6/09/01 6/12/2001 Receipt of Inst.: 6/09/01 ICCPR-Optional Protocol 2 3. Convention on Elimination of Racial Discrimination (CERD) Accession Entry in Force: 3/09/2001 No reporting required 15/04/66 2/10/67 4/01/69 Succession: 12/03/01 Entry in Force: 27/04/92 11-14th reports: 24/07/1997 CERD/C/299/Add.17 15th & 16th: 1998, 2000 17/07/80 26/02/82 28/03/82 Succession: 12/03/01 3rd report: 14/10/98 CEDAW/C/YUG/3 (4th & 5th: 1995, 1999) New Deadline: April 2002 Succession: 12/03/01 Entry in Force: 27/04/92 1st report: 20.01.98 CAT/C/16/Add.7 2nd & 3rd: 1999, 2000 Succession 1st report: 21.09.94 CRC/C/8/Add.16 (2nd & 3rd: 1998, 2002) New Deadline: March 2003 Individual Complaints: State declaration under art. 14 accepting competence of the Committee: Entry into force: 27/06/2001 4. Convention on the Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW) No reporting required 16/12/02 CEDAW-Optional Protocol (Individual Complaint) 18/04/89 9/10/91 6. Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC) 26/01/90 3/01/91 CRC-Optional Protocol Children in Armed Conflict October 2001 CRC-Optional Protocol Sale of Children October 2001 5. Convention against Torture (CAT) Individual Complaints: State declaration lodged under art. 22 recognizing competence of the Committee received: 12/03/2001; Entry into force: 27/04/1992 Annexes 2/02/91 10/10/02 115 116 Conference/Country Goal: Universal ratification of international human rights instruments Target: Acceding to all international human rights instruments and avoiding resort to reservations, as far as possible 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Status of ratification of, reservations to, and reporting obligations under, international human rights instruments including new European standards (CCA) See the attached Chart (Annex 3). As at June 2003 reports under ICCPR and ICESCR are at last stage of approval before presentation to the UN Treaty Bodies N/A N/A Status of follow up to concluding observations of United Nations human rights treaty bodies (CCA) CAT: Compliance with confidential inquiry procedure required and partial compliance with decisions on individual cases at June 2003 N/A N/A Montenegro Comment Montenegro Comment Target: Implementation of international human rights standards 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Existence of a National mechanism to check compatibility of national legislation and practice with international standards Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Existence of a National mechanism to monitor how the country abides by international HR commitments Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Existence of credible independent ombuds-institution (s) N/A As at June 2003, draft Law on establishing the “People’s Advocate” is awaiting adoption by Parliament Law on “Protector of Human Rights and Freedoms” adopted by Parliament July 2003 Operation in dealing with complaints received by ombuds-institution (s) N/A Indicator to be added upon creation of institution Indicator to be added upon creation of institution Existence of a National Human Rights Action Plan per cent of compliance with ITCY requests and orders Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Annexes Country Goal: Restore Separation of Powers between the executive, the legislative and the judicial authorities Target: Effective mechanism of balance, checks and controls between powers and effective coordination within criminal justice system 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Provisions into the State Constitutions establishing a distinction between judicial, executive and legislative powers Yes. State Union Constitution adopted in February 2003 Serbian Constitution being drafted Montenegrin Constitution being drafted Existence of qualitative analysis of judicial decisions shown to be independent /objective of political constraints Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Coordination and controls within the criminal justice system to ensure its effectiveness and operation in an equitable manner and end impunity Improvement necessary Improvement necessary Improvement necessary Laws/regulations and oversight mechanisms to ensure professionalisation of police and armed forces By June 2003 mechanisms under development By June 2003 mechanisms under development Law on Police under consideration in Parliament. First draft of Criminal Procedure Code completed. Comment Country Goal: Coherent legislative framework Target: Legislative reform that is transparent and based on public consultation 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Number of public consultations related to each Draft law Data not available Data not available Public comment period for most laws Number of Memoranda submitted by national NGOs related to each Draft law Data not available Data not available NGOs proposing participation Existence of effective and transparent parliamentary committees for drafting legislation and overseeing its implementation Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Well-defined and transparent law-making process Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Comment 117 118 Country Goal: Independent Judiciary Target: Protection of the Judiciary from influence and pressure 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Existence of effective legal guarantees for independent judiciary including independent tenure, appointments and dismissal procedures Better legal guarantees essential Better legal guarantees essential Better legal guarantees essential Existence of budgetary autonomy of the justice system Improved autonomy required Improved autonomy required Improved autonomy required System of oversight within the judiciary Enhanced system needed Enhanced system needed Enhanced system needed Law on Courts enacted: Law on Prosecutors in draft Conditions of judges: adequate remuneration, physical protection of judges and prosecutors Improved conditions required Improved conditions required Improved conditions required Comment Conference/Country Goal: Fair administration of justice Target: Effective legislative framework, law enforcement, prosecution, legal profession, and fair trials in conformity with international Standards Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Existence of procedural guarantees for fair trial Stronger guarantees required Stronger guarantees required Stronger guarantees required Number of complaints on administration of justice as received by national mechanisms (ombuds-institution) N/A N/A HR Protector not yet appointed Number of complaints on administration of justice as received by international mechanisms (i.e. UN & European treaty bodies) Data not available Data not available Data not available Availability of free legal assistance and access to justice for all, including vulnerable people throughout the country Non-existent Non-existent Insufficient. Court appointed lawyer in some cases Recognition in law of the right to seek judicial remedies against state agencies/officials Non-existent Non-existent Non-existent Comment Annexes Country Goal: Enabling administrative environment Target: Efficient, transparent and accountable public institutions 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Receiving and giving bribes Existence of separation between public expenditures and control functions Existence of a homogeneous civil service system The Law on Public Administration enacted in July, 2003 Existence of an effective system of donor assistance prioritization and coordination Existence of transparent mechanisms for allocation of subsidies to municipalities Existence of fiscal decentralization Law on Local Self-Government and Law on Funding of the Local Self-Government July, 2003 Comment 119 120 Conference/Country Goal: Strengthened democratic institutions and popular participation Target: Free and fair elections and democratic government 2002 Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Comment Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro Periodicity of free and fair parliamentary elections (CCA) 4 years 4 years 4 years Number of registered voters (estimates for the 2000 elections) 6,862,514 6,377,420 485,094 Recognition in law of the rights to freedom of expression, association and assembly Yes Yes Yes Gender composition of Government (per cent) - 4 women in Cabinet 1 women in Cabinet Gender composition of Municipal Parliaments (per cent) - 6.5per cent 4.8per cent Gender composition of Parliament (per cent) 9 women in 126 seat Parliament 27 women in 250 seat Parliament 7 women in 77 seat Parliament Ethnic composition of Government (per cent) 1 minority in a 5 member Council of Ministers 1 minority in Cabinet 2 minorities in Cabinet Ethnic composition of Mayors (per cent) - 20 minorities in total of 161 municipalities 12 minorities in total of 21 municipalities Ethnic composition of Parliament (per cent) 82 Serbs from S, 10 Serbs from CG, 19 Montenegrins, 3 Hungarians 1 Bosniac, 1 Muslim, 10 Others No. of independent NGOs/CSOs operating in the country 5,300* 1990** 2000 registered**** 686 active No. or per cent of NGOs/CSOs Representing vulnerable groups (minorities, refugees and IDPs, disabled) 231** 141 (20per cent)***** No. or per cent of NGOs/CSOs representing women 98** 37 (5.4per cent) No. of NGOs active in human rights issues 165** 73 (10.6per cent) Existence of independent broadcasting and print media 28 radio/16 TV stations (ANEM members)*** 12 radio/4 TV stations (UNEM members)****** Number of independent radio/TV stations (per cent) per cent of independent print media According to Independent association of Journalists of Serbia (NUNS) it is impossible to say which media are independent. 70per cent (7 out of 10) private print media in Montenegro are members of Association of Independent Print Media, according to Mont Press *Registered in the Federal Ministry for Justice according to the Law on the Associations of Citizens, Social and Political Organizations from 1990. This register is still active in the absence of NGO legislation in Serbia and does not include organizations from Montenegro where NGO legislation was adopted in 1999. ** NGOs in Serbia and Montenegro Directory, (active organizations) Center for the Development of Non-Profit sector,(www.crnps.org.yu), Belgrade 2003 *** ANEM Alternative Network of Electronic Media (www.anem.org.yu), Belgrade 2003. ANEM is considered as association of independent electronic media in SCG **** Center for the Development of NGOs (www.crnvo.cg.yu), November 2002 ***** Report on non-government sector in Montenegro, Center for Democracy and Human Rights (www.cedem.cg.yu), December 2002 ****** UNEM Association of Independent Electronic Media in Montenegro (www.unem-cg.net) Annexes SECURITY OF THE PERSON Conference/Country Goal: Improved drug control Target: Measurable results in reducing trafficking and abuse of illicit drugs Serbia & Montenegro 2001 2002 Serbia 2001 Montenegro 2002 Seizure of illicit drugs (CCA) 2001 2002 3,927 Prevalence of drug abuse Conference/Country Goal: Improved crime prevention Target:Eliminate/significantly reduce violence and crime Serbia & Montenegro 2001 2002 Serbia Montenegro 2001 2002 Number of intentional homicides per 100,000 inhabitants (CCA) 2.74 2.22 Aggravated theft per 100,000 inhabitants 529 354 Auto theft per 100,000 inhabitants 95 64 2142 2187 1018 police actions and 72 offenders charged 343 police actions and 48 offenders charged Number of confiscated illegally possessed firearms (Art. 33 Weapons and Ammunition Act) Number of police actions against women traffickers and number of offenders charged 2001 2002 Conference/Country Goal: Improved crime prevention Target:Eliminate/significantly reduce violence and crime Serbia & Montenegro 2001 2002 Serbia 2001 Montenegro 2002 Number of complaints of extra-judicial executions (CCA) Domestic violence against women Domestic violence against children Number of complaints filed against the work and conduct of police officers 2192 Number of reported rape cases 116 101 Number of kidnapping cases 36 36 2001 2002 121 122 Conference/Country Goal: Integration of Sustainable Development Principles Target: Integration of Sustainable Development (SD) into national policies and/or programmes (data sources *, **, ***, ****) Indicators Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro Resolution on Environmental Protection Policy (1993) Resolution on Biodiversity Conservation Policy (1993) National Spatial Plan (1996) Declaration on Ecological State Montenegro (1991) National Spatial Plan (1997) 0.01 (1998) 0.03 (2001) 0.23 (2002) 0.095 (1998) 0.069 (2000) 0.09 (2001) - Inter-Ministerial Coordination MoU MPNRE – MEP (2002) National Council for Sustainable Development (2001) - National SD Committee No Yes - National Agenda 21/Strategy for SD No No No (2004?) No 110 (1998) 59 - SD in National Policies/Plans/Strategies* - Sectoral Strategic EIAs. - public expenditures on environmental protection (per cent of GDP) Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 176 (?) - NEAP - Number of Environmental NGOs Comment Target: Integration of SD into local policies and/or programmes Indicators Serbia & Montenegro Serbia Montenegro - SD in Local Plans/Strategies - Local Agenda 21 - LEAPs (adopted LEAP/in the make) (Serbia: Subotica (03), Nis (01) , Kraljevo, Vrnjacka Banja, Zrenjanin (03), Pirot, Lucani, Krusevac, Vracar, Barajevo, Rakovica, Kragujevac, Pancevo, Bor (03)) Montenegro: Kotor ) 0/1 (1999), 0/2 (20000); 1/6 (2001); 1/12 (2002); 4/11 (2003) No No 0/0 (1999); 0/1 (2000); 1/5 (2001); 1/11(2002); 4/10 (2003) 0/1 (1999); 0/1 (2003) Comment Annexes Target: Integration of SD in enterprises Indicators - Number of ISO 14001/EMS Certified Companies Serbia & Montenegro Serbia 20 (2002) - Green Investments * “Environmental Performance Review”, UN Economic Committee Department of Environmental Policy, 2003 ** ”Report on State of Environment”, Federal Secretariat for Labor, Health and Social Welfare, July 2002 ***Regional Environmental Center (REC), Office in Belgrade **** UNEP Office in Belgrade Montenegro Comment 123 United Nations Nations Unies Office of the Resident Coordinator in Serbia & Montenegro List of the UN Country Team Chairperson of the UNCT: Francis M. O’Donnell, UN Resident Coordinator128 UNDP Resident Representative129 UNCT core participant representatives and heads of agencies/offices: Dario Carminati Ann-Lis Svensson Juliette El Hage Lars Bjorkman Gordon Biggar Laurie Wiseberg Christopher Gascon Luigi Migliorini Lisa Buttenheim Dejan Mihov Paul Hebert* Jelena Marjanovic Ligia Ramirez Roeland Kortas Igor Khalevinski* Representative, Area Representative Dep. Res. Representative Sr. Emergency Coordinator Emergency Coordinator Officer in Charge Chief of Mission Head of Mission Head of Office Head of Office Head of Office Authorised Officer Head of Office Programme Manager Head of Office UNHCR UNICEF UNDP WFP FAO UNOHCHR IOM WHO UNMIK/Belgrade UNICTY OCHA OCHA UN-Habitat UNEP UNLO * present during the initial stages of the CCA process International Financial Institutions : Rory O’Sullivan Joshua Charap Roberto Albisetti Country Manager Resident Representative Chief of Mission World Bank IMF IFC More details of the work of the UN Country Team can be found at www.un.org.yu 128 as UN RC, Mr. O’Donnell also represents OCHA, UNIC, UNAIDS, UNFIP. 129 as UNDP RR, he also represents UNCTAD, ODCCP, UNEP, UNIFEM, UNFPA, UNOPS, UNCHS, FAO, UNESCO, UNIDO. 124 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro SOURCES • Household Survey No. 7, published by the Institute for Strategic Studies and Prognoses (ISSP), USAID and the World Bank, 2003 • Human Development Report 2000, UNDP publication • Human Development Report 2003, UNDP publication • Annual Report for 2001, Republican Statistics Institute • Baseline Survey, produced by the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs in Montenegro, 2003 • Brave New Generation, UNICEF Belgrade publication, 2002 • Catalogue of Projects in Schools, Ministry of Education of Serbia, 2002 • Country Health Profile for the FR Yugoslavia, WHO Internal Document, Sept. 1999 • Comprehensive Analysis of Primary Education in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, UNICEF and the Federal Bureau of Statistics, 2001 • Domestic Violence, published by SOS Telephone for Women and Children Victims of Violence, Podgorica, 2003 • Education for Agriculture, Rural Development and Food Security in Serbia, Report produced by FAO, Rome, Sept. 2002 • Employment, Labour Market and Standard of Living in Montenegro, UNDP publication, Podgorica, 2002 • Federal Republic of Yugoslavia Environmental Sector Review, World Bank, Sept. 2003 • Health Status, Health Needs and Utilisation of Health Services of Adult Population in Serbia in 2000, Institute of Public Health of Serbia • Human Rights Watch, Briefing Paper, Human Rights Concerns in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, 2002 • Income and Expenditures, OCHA publication and of the Economics Institute in Belgrade, 2000 • Living Standard Measurement Survey in Serbia, World Bank 2002 • National Human Development Report for Serbia, (Draft) 2003 • National Strategy for the Integration and Empowerment of the Roma, (Draft) Federal Ministry of Ethnic Minorities, Dec. 2002 • Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for Montenegro, (First Draft, August 2003) • Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for Serbia, (Second Draft, July 2003) • Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS in Especially Vulnerable Young People in Montenegro, produced by the Institute of Public Health in Montenegro, 2002 • Rapid Assessment and Response on HIV/AIDS among Especially Vulnerable Young People in Serbia, RAR, UNICEF Belgrade publication 2002 • Report on the Causes of Poverty and Civil Society – Recommendations for the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper in Montenegro, UNDP publication in cooperation with the Catholic Relief Services 2003 • Report on Macroeconomics and Health, WHO 2002 • Household Survey No. 5, published by the Institute for Strategic Studies and Prognoses (ISSP), and European Commission Food Security Program and Chesapeake Associates, 2002 • Household Survey No. 6, published by the Institute for Strategic Studies and Prognoses (ISSP), USAID and European Commission Food Security Program and Chesapeake Associates, 2003 Sources • Report NGO Sector in Montenegro, produced by Center for Democracy and Human Rights, Podgorica, 2002 • Report on Optimisation of School System, UNICEF and Education Forum, 2002 125 • Report on the State of the Environment for 2000, Ministry of Health and Environmental Protection of the Republic of Serbia • Report on the Trend of Morbus HIV in FR Yugoslavia, Federal Institute of Public Health, 2003 • Roma in Montenegro, published by The Beginning, a network of Roma NGOs in Podgorica, 2003 • Serbian Cities in Contact with Institutions in Transition, Mihailovic, Srecho – 2002 • Serbia and Montenegro, Stabilisation Association Report, EU, 2003 and • Small Arms and Light Weapons in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, Davis, Ian –published by Saferworld, 2002 • Strategy for the Integration and Empowerment of the Roma, Ministry of National and Ethnic Communities, (Draft) Dec. 2002 • The Book of Changes of the Education System of the Republic of Montenegro, published by the Ministry of Education and Science of Montenegro, 2001 • Ten Years of Child Rights in Yugoslavia, UNICEF Belgrade publication, 2001 • Trafficking in Human Beings in South Eastern Europe – Current Situation and Responses, UNICEF 2002 • Victims Trafficking Balkans, published International Organisation of Migration, 2001 by • Young People in Changing Societies, A Summary, Regional Monitoring Report, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre - Florence, Italy, 2000 126 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro 6. LIST OF ACRONYMS CAP UN Consolidated Inter-Agency Appeal CBF Capacity Building Fund CCA Common Country Assessment CCEE Countries of Central and Eastern Europe CG Montenegro CSAC Civil Society Advisory Committee DFID United Kingdom Department for International Development ECHO European Community Humanitarian Office EAR European Agency for Reconstruction EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EU European Union FAO Food and Agricultural Organisation FRY Federal Republic of Yugoslavia GDP Gross Domestic Product HDI Human Development Index HDR Human Development Report HPD Housing and Property Directorate IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency ICTY International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia IDPs Internally Displaced Persons IFC International Finance Corporation IFI International Financial Institutions ILO International Labour Organisation IMF International Monetary Fund INGO International Non-Governmental Organisation IOM International Organisation for Migration MDGs Millennium Declaration Goals NGO Non-Governmental Organisation List of Acronyms 127 OCHA Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs OSCE Organisation for the Security and Cooperation in Europe PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper SALW Small Arms and Light Weapons SDC Swiss Development Corporation SEED South-East Europe Enterprise Development SEESAC South Eastern Europe Clearinghouse for the Control of Small Arms and Light Weapons SFRY Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia SCG Serbia and Montenegro UN United Nations UNCHS United Nations Centre for Human Settlements UNCT United Nations Country Team UNDAF United Nations Assistance Framework UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNEP United Nations Environment Programme UNHCR United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organisation UNLO United Nations Liaison Office UNMIK United Nations Interim Administration in Kosovo UNODC United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime UNOHCHR United Nations Office for the High Commissioner for Human Rights USAID Aid Programme of the United States of America WB World Bank WFC World Fit for Children WFP World Food Programme WHO World Health Organisation WTO (Tourism) World Tourism Organisation 128 Common Country Assessment For Serbia & Montenegro
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