DECEMBER HOW TO PROMOTE COOPERA WITHIN CONFLICTING AND DIVIDED SOCIETIES 1993 TION ? Some thoughts about the transformation of industrial relations in Europe Robert BaYER CEPREMAP, CNRS, EHESS 142, Rue du Chevaleret 75013 PARIS Tél. : (1) 40 77 84 12 -FAX: (1) 44 24 38 57 Contribution to the Conference on "Convergence and Divergence in Economic Growth and Technical Change: Maastricht Revisited, MERIT, University of Limburg, December 10-12, 1992 HOW TO PROMOTE COOPERATION WITHIN CONFLICTING AND DIVIDED SOCIETIES? Some thoughts about the transformation of industrial relations in Europe Robert BaYER ABSTRACT The paper tries to explain why and how can be triggered the transition from one adversarial labour regime to a more cooperative one, since such a change does not seem self-fulfilling. First, a survey of the interpretations by game theory of the emergence of cooperation among capitalists and workers is provided, considering bath coordination games and prisoner dilemma problems. Second, a taxonomy for the various methods for overcoming the hysteresis of prevailing social norms is provided. Third, these methods are checked against the empirical evidence concerning the European countries now experiencing cooperation and a minimum trust. A major concern for future, multiple interactions and intertemporal bargaining, reciprocity more than altruism are shawn to be important and the se features often need to be embedded into a coherent set of institutions. COMMENT FAVORISER LA COOPERATION DANS DES SOCIETES CONFLICTUELLES? Quelques réflexions sur la transformation des relations professionnelles en Europe Robert BaYER RESUME L'article vise à expliquer pourquoi et comment favoriser une transition de relations professionnelles conflictuelles à d'autres plus coopératives, car une telle transformation ne présente pas d'automaticité. Sont mobilisés les enseignements de la théorie des jeux répétés, aussi bien de coordination pure que de type dilemme du prisonier, puis proposées diverses méthodes pour surmonter l'hystérésis inhérente aux normes sociales. Ces résultats théoriques sont confrontés à l'expérience des pays européens au cours des années quatre-vingts. Il ressort que la prise en compte du futur, la multiplication dans le temps des sphères de négociation, la réciprocité plus que l'altruisme conduisent en général à la viabilité de la coopération, d'autant plus facilement que ces principes sont insérés dans un réseau cohérent d'institutions. Mots clés: Coopération prisonier répété -Confiance -Théorie -Jeux de coordination -Dilemme des Jeux -Relations professionnelles du - Europe -Post-Fordisme. Keywords J.E.L. : Cooperation -Trust -Coordination Dilemma -Game Theory -Industrial Fordism. Classification: C72 -074 -J50 -J53. Games -Repeated Relations -Europe Prisoner's -Post- HOW TO PROMOTE COOPERATION WITHIN CONFLICTING AND DIVIDED SOCIETIES? Some thoughts about the transformation of industrial relations in Europe Robert BaYER SUMMARY 1 -COOPERATION AND TRUST: SYSTEMS? 1. Fordism used to require 2. 3. The Il A REOUIREMENT a limited emerging Golden 60'snewareproductive gone -THE 1. Conflicting DOUBLE 2. Are productive labor societies PARADOX cooperation principles experience OF TRUST conflicts principles, necessarily however FOR in bad perceived for PRODUCTIVE in industrial require difficulties NEW economic as more 1 relations. cooperation implementing the .. new 1 4 5 8 8 necessary performance? 12 III -DISTRUST OR THE LIKELIHOOD CONFIGURATION 1. A superior 2. convention, lN INDUSTRIAL based Fordist Defection convention is a dominant to contemporary IV -HOW v GAME 1. Enlarging 2. Changing 4. 3. 5. Change Improving Merge -AN the industrial scope the the the for payoffs the PD preferences game recognition The factors From Reciprocity most interactions role than DILEMMA blocked prisoner's by 14 past dilemma inherent repeated external prisoner's and : a altruism ability more solidaristic competition to possibly ANAL of values State andagents YSIS larger ? games game DO 25 25 29 33 37 38 interventions.. : HOW PERFORM interactions: public FROM dilemma cooperative of andeconomic reciprocity general 15 19 and ARGUMENTS density of be relations COMPARATIVE more Gan EMERGE ? SOME TEACHINGS into THEORETICAl for the future disciplinary localized in future: by INTERNATIONAL 1.VARIOUS Concern 2. 4. 3. strategy CAN COOPERATION THEORY OF A PRISONER'S on RELATIONS trust, THE discriminating 41 41 interventions 44 45 46 VI -COOPERATION OUT OF CONFlICT...A FURTHER INVESTIGATIONS REFERENCES NEGlECTED AREA FOR 47 49 1 1 -COOPERATION AND TRUST: A REOUIREMENT FOR NEW PRODUCTIVE SYSTEMS? During industrial were relations supposed even the if and conflicts could interrupt to time of industrialized distrust and political of trust modern systems. A previous 1), whereas to these challenges have principles, which the the been to Fordist builds conflicting growth, used to require According control production organizational of upon more (A. agree that and flexibility principles were and firms' the Finally, the analyses relations in these at the management of Table emerging for and alternative 1 (see section and derives not 3). a central necessarily in order 1 unbalances disequilibria search were is called cooperation central standardized expertise By to an implement principles. a limited been a management largely part of the Table cooperation under (M. by the first column triggered industrial to a long tradition has twelve 2). these of sociologists efficiency describes by the third the new productive Fordism and continuity cooperation. of organization (see section perceived paper that column price, shift has to be explained. is summarized second are captured whereas successfully workers' work in technology able to function (C. SABEL (1992)) has argued relations, the (1990b)), in delivering factor at competitive specialists Such a paradigmatic principles present argument: obstacle is prominent research industrial more key and voluntary KREPS scientists (1991 )). The argument associated Thus, stijl were limited (D. and the manufacturing (section some economists (1992)), productive countries and a Organization time (1992)) (R. BaYER performance. as goods GRANOVETTER Gare of Fordist considered to deliver nowadays HATCHUEL rarely in order dose contrast, was economic Advanced significant trust to be sufficient from management. 60's, of a quite in industrial in scientific after goods restricted WWII. was the relations management, On one result area within of the side, issue the technical large firms : the of mass :'THE 2 TABLE 1 : THE SHIFT TOWARD NEW PRODUCTIVE PRINCIPLES CALL FOR MORE COOPERA TION AND TRUST THE CHALLENGES FORDISTPRINCIPLES : : OF THE 70's ~1 : Global optimisation Rationalisation of labour is the main target, mechanisation is the means 'C1 : First design and then manufacture and organ1ze work process C2 : Lags and large costs '2 C3 : Loosing touch with choosy consumers, failures in launching ne..; products P3 : Close and long lasting ties between producers and users, capture learning by using effects P4 : High Quality at reasonable costs, via a zero defect obJective at each stage of the production process : Indirect Under-utilisation of eQuipment, large inventories of work of the whole flows in process in passing vation to production and mediated links with consumers via marketing studies and strategies: : PRINCIPLES OF A NEY MOOEL AND 80's , : from innoeffective Low cost for standardised products is the first objective, Qualit y the second one C4 : Ex-post Quality controls cannot prevent a rising defect rate, consumers more select1ve about Quality Mass production for stable and rising demands, batch production for unstable demands: CS : ~5 : Even mass consumers demand become uncertain : the fordist production process appears as rigia!C6: Centralisation of most decisions about ~roduc-, tion in q sp~cial division of a large firm Vertical integration, mit1gated by c1rcles of subcontractors Sluggish reaction ters to local 1 C7 : and unadeQuate Qf h~ad quarglobal and full integraresearch, deveand production Insert the market into the production processl in order get fas~ responses demanc to P6 : Decentralization as far as possible of production decisions within smaller and less hierarchical units P7 : Net working (and joint ventures>, as a method for reaping both specialisation and coordination gains P8 : long run and subcontracting cooperativei: as far asi possible, promote order to technical shocks Given radical innovations. even large firms can no more master the whole techniques needed for their core business Tentative tion of lopment productive 1 : the 70's, bankrupi Facing cyclical demand~ ce : During cies and/or loss of subcontractors are useo comoetence of subcontrac as stabilizing device. tors, now confronted in order to preserve with international comlarge firms'employment J in Joint innovations petition : Divide and specialize at most productive tasKs. main source of productivity increases C9 : Excessive labour division mi~ht turn counterproductlve : rising control and monitoring costs ; built-in rigidit y : Minimi~e general CIO: New techical ooportunities (IT), more competition and uncertain demands challenge most of the previous very specialized tasks Hferarchfcal control and purely ffnancfal fncentfve~ to manufactu re an fmQlicit consent ta po or job content CIl: Young generations,better educated and with rent expectations, Adversarial industrial relations converge towards wage demands . collective agreemenf codifya provisiona1 armistice C12: Firms emplo~ent the reQuired education and on the job training of productlve tasks A accor ding to the BABB GE'~ and TAYLOR's principles 12: ject authoritarian j~10: mana- might be hurt by the lack of CQoperation and an exclusive concern for wage bargaining él ces concession not neA contrari° orovide any for wage- To recompose production, maintenance, Quality control and some management tasks might be more efficient, teçhnically and econolDically 1 P11: differe- gement styles. Too much control becomes counter-' productive cessarily advantage earners P9 : A new alliance between a minimal general education and effective on the job training, 1" order to max1mizé 1ndivt ~ and collect1ve competence Human ressources pol1c1es have to spur workers'competence and commitment and work out Qositive support for firms strategy P12: An expl1c1t and 10ryg term compromise between managers and wage earners i~ needed to reap a general support to th1s model : comm1tment versus good working conditions and/or job tenure$ and/or a fair ~haring ofl modernisation dividends 3 professional skills management. used a tight were might production place in the only minor floor a voice made mechanisms of strict unions mainly job already developed it could to stimulating living. demands 1973. distrust such in order tasks. been in to get the got a say about shop managers and to need a revolution as France the took with between Quite of of management and Italy) (i.e. the exit strategy States). has unions process Thus, was supposed ironically, the or was via market imposition counter-strategy ru les of the game used culture that or social as the technical benefits. by jack change : at the firms but level, trust exception of large firms which a cohesive mechanism. Quite of cooperation in production were often converted Given the virtuous circle of Fordist .but they an unprecedented some had to be enforced, democracy some frustrations.. paradoxically, automatization, few with the possible out to launch quite leadership the social compromise of routinized sinGe the a transition be argued wage this turned penibility and Japan), corporate into extra general have been fighting and political feature, used to generate 1968 unions the leftist capitalist to block a rather accepting and for insufficient Finally, general processes growth, out 50's in the US, and stijl more in the UK. interventions an essential paradoxically turned demarcations some had configuration in the United Of course, rarely new opportunities power, was this by alternative to limit firms' by State some in countries ru les and Industrial 60's via politics for example level. in the and organization, unnecessary floor contraI countries, (Germany strategy shop hierarchical increases. for the was so high that such with and wage but their exceptions along repairs led to significant were compensation management workers (i.e. workers maintenance, at the and usually and consumption. organization, monetary of work challenged 50's: conception, mechanization monitoring but the challenge mass best side, industrialized have relationships, production to often adversarial, ln many unions limited On the other to deliver relations were degree growth, of and finally distrust for example was from helpful in the ri se in standards of 4 2. The Golden 60's are gone This which pattern was 50 successful have been eroding labor relations experienced sectors, and the the previous growth a significant and its quasi disentangle among that structural regime. slowing for the whole expia nations, the demise about organization, a large rise in the cost of contrai, a progressive shift quality, ail these Fordist productive A the international institutional earners forms and give significant to scale goods, but buoyant real market democratic demands. oligopolistic along major with financial transformations drastically increases crisis deregulation calls for new attitudes key for competitiveness production capital deepening, and unbalances of shift the bargaining to managers. labor have (in many to replace wages the survival for the workers of a firm, and redesign power Thus, with in the first away a region is part of a wider and far reaching change. from wage show up in and by extension increasing to a Similarly, the rise countries) exception is more at stake previous of standardized due objective cooperation an acute most and scale. the experienced : more more changes down, have of firms principles, For example, of scope : a and unprecedented mass production curbed limits policy if not ail industrialized strategies. conflicts organizational Ail these regularities. been macroeconomic economic which mix of economies Consequently, to a part differentiation deregulation a genuine tended capture rising configurations any more from countries, jobs changing of many econometric unions difficult about genuine and do not result wage to the shock, technological back the initiative from unemployment, whereas and alterations returns labour are cil environment, of national rate, first these world competition, interest about has manufacturing probably an excessive contribute economy It is quite protests of the consumers the exacerbate down capital- (Table 1). after unpredictible these for the economy. : the workers simultaneously system do breaking real factors decade disequilibria rather in the aspiration trends, the American sinGe each of the story adverse between in productivity, alternative Fordist triggered stability First of ail, down stagnation it finally of of and social drastic decline, of wage earners' than ever, is now which perceived a country. as But this 5 3. The emerging new productive After agree that configuration continue management: the core the blue collar major used to be restricted human brain firms to the which to contrai response to macroeconomic supposes much more internai flexibility market benefit will anonymous to the firms benefit tram the related Clearly from present instance, job, will production firms of loyalty, ability and the which is correlatively in such much quickly the happen under building trust Fordism about a training. Again knowledge to variations level of since large analysis a using to think of the firm. that they is thus future benefits. If for or loose in volume require ln this a force had the expectations if by jack who in the new operated. and The composition flexibility new system, contrary of Symmetrically, is needed muscle their upgrading to competitors than 1). realized new skills by effects Table continuous hurt the firms, of workers' change work in demand of workers. to use train their based inventories and be laid-off cooperation inventories may severely to expertise sell their which of a governance exchange finally to internally disponibility by a careful will ultimately low strikes an implicit cooperation more and a significant and unexpected they global product share increases by workers and the technological employees to respond duration any that have not any incentive not invested system efforts perceive refuse methods would have workers or Firstly, and are induced or market since and they and commitment by doing and if the workers is concerned concessions the they trust and creating than to do the reverse. instead Learning productivity scientific it is most interesting labor be these responsabilities uncertainty of adjustments. only when era. initiative and equipments the quality Fordist For instance, machines of are to be emphazied now to assume Secondly, labor principles cali for more collars. now has progressively up grading previous have and scolars (1991 )). Of course, founding discontinuities of to white system (R. BaYER the performance workers many experts unit cost while principles more cooperation. of productive reduce of economic require and errors, obey Nevertheless, optimization the to constantly new markets. challenge of trials by the most successful systems tram decades a genuine implemented new two principles to that raie of buffers. is a central in work frequent used to Again piece of ~ w ..CI) > CI) w > ~ w c - CI) ~ (.) ~ -Q) CO Q) 0 :) c ..J 0 C) ~ CO -C .~ ~ J: ";j tJ ~ 0 ... . 0 ca '-'-.c ca ~ (.) ro> .c(.) '- 1 .c. 0"0 Q) tJ Q) c: 0 CO ;:. c: =E , ~ w Z CI) 0 u 0 ~ (J w :I: Z 0 E CI) "- > c « (J ~ c.. ~ w Z w :I: ..0 ..- ~ CI) ~ ë 0 u.. 0 ~ ~ u.. w CI) (.) < -J c.. ~ Z C < 00 ~ ..- z 0 ~ ~ ~ C/J w c.. u.. 0 2S 0 0 cc (.) c z < (.) ..- ~ u.. Z 0 (.) ~ <t ~ ~ 0 <t ë (J 0 O;: ~ "C 0 .. c.. -c 0 0 Q):~ ~... :J Q) 6 Q) c: .S C/) 'y'E .-- ca.cC/) ca .-Q) ca= .c c0"-x ln ~ G) c "CO 0 O;;' ca G) c 0 ln -:2~ C ca "'0 c - :E § > "'Q) ~ CI) CI) ca ~ < ... ... .c a> c: .~ cg 0 cg 0 ";:; u c: C- ~ :J E G) ~ ~ 0.. -c 0 ... ln C 0 U ln ln ro ~ E ~ - .c ~ 0 " 0 "'0 ~ -c> c.~ c .c a) 0 CI) ro ro Q)"C O)C Q) "C ~E 0 "+:J 0 "\ c G) cnc. cn E ~ D.u "C a) .~ E~ a) E.E °.Y. C.) ... ...~ 0 ~ C... ...CI) QJ (J ~= Ù:(J c-ë QJ 0 >E CI) 0 ... C Q) 0 u ~"C cg 0 -~ 00. U cg 0 ~-1 c ~ 0 0;:' .c o~ fi) ë 7 the new general paradigm. (1. Da COSTA, of unions, which The were It does mean A. GARANTO (1992)) argument can be extended and incentives to about technology, forces, investigation hierarchical words, authority and which desirability of Fordist of external trade odds could were of products, of competition (Diagram responses to pattern 3), specially a larger competition Previously, whereas when they product might be many informations might counteract partially reputation is needed. these A careful productive systems new cnes working are (Diagram atmosphere of competition, distrust raie in stimulating (1992)). the the demands variability and limited raie of wage technical the configuration of demand, ail these and competitiveness, many in favor of information and not only price, 5ixties, legitimacy and possibly 80's, when triggered the rather growth sophistication upon quality of growth The ln the have given ln the places, 1). about the related orthodoxy. trading is at the fast technologies, a factors a induce at odds with the Fordist 1) competition turn the type any opportunistic But quite ironically, R. BOYER A new virtuous in in while preventing cooperation outbursts methods. previous shift in the sources fast by the play a positive this obsolescence regime via and a poor and foreign (5. BOWLE5, with fiercer challenges they have to exchange trust conf/ict are replaced conflicts, change unionization this diagnosis. methods increases but it clearly cost reduction, contracts a minimum ln other labor of of the other major principles of the emerging confirm Fordist end to subcontractors. demand and organization, : even if sophisticated disruptive would the and qua lit y matter, the long run viability of subcontractors essential to the large firm. Nowadays behavior necessary used to rule under Fordism. used as buffers innovation not supposes is such circle international based and upon quality, national calls for a genuine autonomy some that form of wage of markets wage-labor earners cooperation. even larger corporations product differentiation emerges nexus (see Table at the shop This but is floor more and nations... and this new 1, column level, which likely if the have lost now 8 any significant power losing shares market device in order to This cooperative market. (1992)). stone (M. BaYER, DOUBLE J.P. productive cooperatively detrimental (1993)). superior quite more, however point results term of of firms Fordism. Thus, even the the performances might weil internai about the emergence of (1978), T. SANDLER be one of the corner is then to investigate in economic abstract (for now investigate to to recognize and economic Two is it that intriguing difficulties and social more details see the empirical the favorable actors sure that answers impact to behave conflicts will R. are tentatively since would more lagging of the implementing the alternatives quality and be to implement economies a lot of effort in the new as necessary. productivity, the legs competitive deploy litterature and the notion: of view, perceived to a naïve vision, in goods a large more issues. According should get workers experience therefore and Is it sufficient difficult societies principles, fairly performance? (1991 )), the self interest Still disciplining hard to built. It is time firms, to economic a subtle was ? From a practical be given to these productive of OF TRUST. DURAND convince vast The problem and conversely analysis Conflicting : the threat experience with C. SCHELLING system. of such PARADOX to the of public Th. usually economies is now that trust previous to larger supply (1965), of such a diagnosis. trust, circle is a major countries to be added wisdom is easy to destroy relevance 1. OLSON of emergence The growth employment smaller than upon the of a competitive trust why relations Conventional Il -THE of explain size action virtuous consequently is an interpretation the conditions life, a Fordist elicit workers commitment. might of group collective and industrial This impact to initiate should in promoting countries most to Fordism flexibility these be the more one form would advanced (R. BaYER new principles. challenged or another progressively cnes. deliver An and of post catch international up 9 comparison suggests generated quite : social unequal that the process capabilities to implement and they are somehow From a methodological with a series of international of automatization, in order to capturing the Sweden, partial United ranking complete which (from implementation varies it delivers trom -1 of trust.. new national firms' Germany. new principles) case studies organization, formation productive describe to + 1 five hopefully --to of a suggestive to the manufacturing about but and (West) + + to principles and wage crude, new nor endogenously productive point of view, to the States, related policies a rather proximity the comparisons training deliver is not that automatic, have Table respectively and the nature global index France, Japan, a flavour of each pure Fordism and the then However provisional and not so much surprising for 2 gives along been synthetized enlightening, principles are the synthetic index, such a picture might seem, ranking On the one hand, Japan, West Germany and to some extent Sweden exhibit impressive processes. quite These three distinctive, counteracted institutions since Still designing the more, trajectories, collar policies and/or their this with quality has been built and is continuously upon current strains continuously might or flexible economic this industrial process is been customized be able to get such successes. national, a complex sectoral or firms along definite of production. ln other words, and this is not feature Still more Fordist trust has a positive at ail a fatality are a clear evidence building. been set of hybridation But this of trust show the rejuvenated model has and modernization manufactured helping pattern workers the survival at the cooperation has blue relations bargaining performances. upon the Swedish adjust production of principles impact new deskilling partial and have implementing an industrialization collective a and followed training organizing Consequently, national in countries by active of craftmanship. level. abilities about not : the the need to any country . .. 'PlI: 10 TABLE 2 : THE UNEQUAL ABILITY OF VARIOUS COUNTRIES TO CaPE WITH THE NEW PRODUCTIVE PRINCIPLES : A LACK OF COOPERATION ? cnMTRIES PI J»Nt FRNa PRlfClPW ..5T~ 1 ;1Qb81 oott.tsatt~ E~le ~ev.'1.1ov ~~1sent : : CaQlta1 anQ Inventorlesl dlverst 1~ e~ and 1eatt~ P4 : Hign ~.11t~ at law cost PS : ~ctt" 1\ t)' to VWt'sadeMnd 1 design -F.lrly lw E~~l. : r.ll~ of th. _tll8eftt ..A .~~~{r='lty KEYFEATtME 1 ~~ 1 0 e ln , l 0 ; Mnt of or leI"- .SI;nlflCallt vI. serwlcln; .~I~t ;Cods --Far vlclnq buk ,.t,.. cost or cust~lzed ;oods : shDrt the car Fo11qws tilt old -0.1 wttl. .,~ 8KCI#t t- e~les -ra,r! E.~ e:10... ~st non, or .~1p- to (),a11t~ ~t JCMS_tiR ~al1ty ,..latlv8 casts or tOods and hl;h .E.lstlnq. 8Y~ Ir Mt ve,.~ fast N{T x~ 8g Dtr ru th, rD le Of fa.er na 1 ..,.kett of J8Q&n.s. sUl. .Exlstlrç tcu1t 1" ~p e or syccess 0 RD the sile ec~l~ ,- by Jao.ncSI, Il'a ~Ic .Llalted~, (or .~t~t goods b dlst 1".,. 18, tUcceeo.d cr-câ,lct. .~ pr-cCISS .Irt"CRTNlT goodS tnQ,Scry -1~adltl_llY ..Very ..LE.AOER Ra..[ Ex~ 1- " short_r tMlt 1.ggtngGrgentn- tt~ ~ P3 : us,rstntwraç -[ffDrts ..s t«l Int~,..tt~ t P2 : RD .nd p,.o~ct r -Hlndeed bre.k eYen DOInt autDUt ratto dec11M W[ST ,,~ lliITED STATES SWEDEN .A~oe. the .1~ r .v1~ ~Oc 1nQJst,.,. P6 : P~ctt~ decent,.altzatton 17 , tio1"1 f d'", onta1 Ion wori ne 'p8 : coorand L~-r"\In. ratj~e net 1rç e.~I~ P9 : Rec~s't'~ Pnlc),Ictt~- or -Nat _1ntenance- proç,..-tng (r .Sl;nlrl~.nt pon$,blllt7 Ex~1. , ~ ~~rf: t ,..the,. Ctn,..llz~ 8II\I;e- .Exlstll:o;.t olantl.v.1 th. -Used 0 -Ida "nt .Yes.t r~l~ to be 1'9"- btdd," byantt- tMlst 1.vs. nov t I,r Hot tlca,. .RQlr o( profr,. slcnal ~btlltr subcontr8ctors .Active SIQlIF"ICAHT field ={ ta hlererclltcal barrten PIO: :~e~lj~ud.~lon DUO tt.s rr;1nlng l -Ratll,!" ln kl~ laQerl- ..Act Ive rc1, dlfflcult .Exlsts, Dr --CI1e l'est orpeI't ~ r-.nDOo- tc .uthDrttn ret,..t- tes tOl;l {Ol' rIes ..[xcellRnt snt" C~ltll~ gmcni ROJc,tl~ œ and practlcal 1caml~ d nQ sktlls f SU~y tence and co_l~t x~ t' s~ le_ 0 the cu1ture" .I~rCIT. ~D~rs P12: LC1"; te,.. c~ro.Ise ove" job ter-.jr'i and'or fins good. nge '-SY)ffiE:TJC JtŒX Ca) , -0,375 1 .ln SUOQOrt -.A 8g81nst t\lr"rlOYer absenteta tr-8dltlon ..At 1 18tlons. con Incmtlve \ the natl~al level: c~~ls. over a .. j ntalned ~.;I-(ul ~ lo1Mnt 0,54 Dr ,~er-s8r-t81r-.8nd ~ 1)' lar-;e ~1D)'8eS 0,80 Qrdfr ta rlotlt ~ Ir. 0 rol .C1elr 'or hl;h and "dlla skl11ed WOf't,rs f!nanct8 P'8r-;ln8llyextst 1"9 SIIDr-t ~ sl;nted 18cour 1 ! ..Active t 10(11 r-t 18t t~ -0,50 l.aresslonnlc rlC;9C11,bout MW r tC~I09l ' VlqIS \ vor ~n~ on C'Dlt.l- 1 0,50 1) Obtatned ~ 81gebratC811~ su-atng UD 811 the .plus. .and ..tnus. .and dtvtdlng vtlh the ..KI8U8 scare (12 s 2) en tnde.. b8t~8n 1 (tO8Q1ete support) end -1 (at the oPPOstt. Dr the nev 80681). Sourc. .An but ~t V8r7 St~ fl nQ .!ld \log,..- \lol"ken'~~.- jh'1_1 ,.."cr3ed .~f;~ VWr7e.". OJe ..VERY ,.es. for * llled wners. now- sttl11x1sts ..LM~ r9r ln the IXOC- la 1.." t Df alcr~,1.ctroales t~J car InQlstry subcontracttng .Ye11-k~ rl~ts if nat genen1 E~~le : 1~8Ct -E8ervlna. but. ~t. ve~ st.rong -EHrv caope- ~ 1,1 but ~81o,,'s. .St~tfJCN(f. .T)'pfca1 c.ntra11. ~atlan ln larve flrws use or the rl~e nat1ona1 rwports and 8Ost or the rererencfS ouotfd b~ ~ tn Drdcr to ,.t te.t. 1 11 On the other of Fordist inertia. to science and quite technology goods machines in Germany optimize or Japan the to control functioning and American corporation firms, same labelling than the opposition hierarchical the reluctance to cooperate post Fordist principles, and the every managers confirms self fulfilling the to attributed inherent ARTHUR and public but new quite between electronized United States, on the (1990)). the contrary Within cuts in Japan insiders trust of labor and "Us" and French accross the or Germany, and outsiders is a barrier day experience firms to the behaviors, the of the firm. diffusion of both wage (1988)), propensity to sue probably cornes precisely with a the long restrict first when of foreign (D. of earners and according with to a the area of where competition (1984)), raie of financial " of trust, trust it is the is not always the to capital in the American --,-- ' - ël1U and th us limit the more path returns grlevances it is the of innovations shaping InaUSUlal be conception in productive and simultaneously ln totally increasing underinvestment tradition Gannat very NOBLE trajectory paradox and inertia the the leading are interacting Nevertheless, pression equipment a possible along evolution. manufacture, and Fordist relations: to any technological strategies Here and French industrial infrastructures 1 strong mass are used to control of opportunistic the American organization dependency driving prevalence adversarial manufacturing (B. and of mechanism. Of course, scale "They" between persistence whereas barriers, is used to distinguish finally and the (8. LAZONICK between the reliance and and the and knowledge examples approach the division elsewhere the workers, commitment to the Both in France of equipments according explain are good controls, pragmatic by jack of trust, devices. their of hierarchical do is sharper as control States and France of a more relation Frequently are supposed Clearly, instead and execution are used United the weight industrial principles. conception the Traditionally, adversarial production hand, ë scope more difficult to desirable. Even the sufficient to shift unions 12 strategies from vocal responsabilities to a tentative 2. Are labor conflicts among quasi inexistence Finland, consequently during the At the other experience 80's, 3 : are diverse UK and of performances? with benefits is one of the dose growing quite Switzerland litigation a significant has been a fast The rest of this configuration. At one extreme, poor economic Finland economies whereas management performance? end of the spectrum, seemingly not been bad performers TABLE 3). of strikes, exhibit of this surprising European (Table of some or even at the firm level. bad for economic various propensity our sample. recently have the to conflict the the acceptance explanation necessarily De facto, from toward at the shop f/oor level, paper is devoted respect protests lowest Italy and distrust. Do Not necessarily economy and more they since UK and Italy at ail. HOW CONFLICTING ARE THE VARIOUS OECD COUNTRIES ? * Days lost for 1 000 employers Source: But Accross with Columns a more 14 European growth systematic countries, and real wage. still seem to be a weapon causality (1) and (2) A. FERN ER and R. HYMAN Eds. (1992), Column (3) : N. CRAFTS (1992), p. 396. is needed the intensity Ceteris in obtaining is an open question. medium run strike activity test paribus, and of strikes strikes real wage provided increases. A lot of investigations is rather closely associated by table is positively have p. xiix not hurt correlated growth But the direction suggest with growth 4. that and of in the and more 3 generally the macroeconomic FERN ER, R. HYMAN 80's due external to trade exceptional cause. rapid in (1992)). direction Nevertheless, effect, for workers and of might weil that strike macroeconomic to strike, be the ESPINA was exploitation Europe: activity Ed. growing of the the rise consequence real wage variables since they (A. Finland the Eastern more complete suggest other For example, modernization in Europe unemployment performances (1991), faster has a positive of strikes, of rather and including not its growth and rather been kept constant. in the opportunity of growth equations A. Thus and significant it is rational get higher wages. DISTRUST AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: MITIGATED RESUl TS TABLE 4 : STRIKES, GROWTH AND REAL WAGE INCREASES ARE STlll POSITIVEl y CORRElA TED 14 European countries, 1979-1989 -Correlation matrix (R2) Strikes density 86-90 1 0,29* 0,21 0,49 * * 0,25* Data: Computed tram the statistical appendix tram A. FERNER, R. HYMAN (1992) Method : linear regressions among variables. The correlation indexed by * (confidence level 5 %) or * * (1 %). Nevertheless, adverse slightly consequences, and demands are of increases. underlying even to correlated poor a lesser industrial extent to strike : the activity and similarly, wage economies. Thus, strikes have a more associated with economic boom is stijl improve stagflationary workers and but they their logic actually deliver, the inflation when have two rate since is workers' is higher ambiguous to when unemployment nominal : closely increases, relations concern considered possibly power positively stijl conflicting usually the is significant in more impact than and growth, they the possible, bargaining real wage 14 There stijl prevailing, productivity and real implemented most oriented growth and rather shaky information finally than about the to macroeconomic trom tirms Thus, the configuration, the traded confirmed interesting countries by because and more interpretation bargaining for fuel larger But on the other were be inverse: and an shares, of course intermediate -at least as captured and price stability, of a new growth, market preliminary relations were principles would 4 suggests industrial regime side, and is still an efficient economies the new sophisticated : cooperation to some and these more strikes based on continue to device for bargaining process. Here DISTRUST OR is an be in an intermediate principles the sheltered and trust of conflict, interesting would weapon question an in lagging and firms stijl an efficient theoretical result provide not develop earners concern If this it would would by wage might sectors. investigations, of self interest degree would productivity not so much the pursuit still give a premium a new enjoy The prevalence contemporary sectors because would to employment activity the regime real wage increases. possibly good contrary by Table adverse possible be Fordist then the conclusion synthetised it used to be in the 60's. extracting the would legs unemployment. seem to be detrimental are evidences was on countries On the one side, by strikes- respond If If the previous conflicts and operating, cooperation configuration. paradox. social wage. faster trust a second distrust and completely the emerges to in the be now investigated. III CONFIGURATION agenda of trust noteworthy authority COLEMAN (1990), OF A PRISONER'S is not at ail a new issue to stress of many disciplines. sociology, llKELlHOOD DILEMMA lN INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS The building nevertheless THE For instance and relations Chapters that of trust 5 and 25). this question in modern is again science on top and mathematical have received Similarly, in social on the oriented a lot of attention some historians have (J.S. put 15 forward the role of emergence of when interest self (1991)). trust, market relations becomes Economic under reputation, can overcome highly which (1990a,b), coordination the strong theoretical and and or the private same J. ROBERTS (1992)). quite to a prisoner's reasons explain the NORTH and tried built for example party enforcer Let us start game theory dilemma, why cooperation (D.C. issue order, in encountered force of a third central ties, difficulties the or absence second familly exclusive explored a totally the failure configurations, problem driving conditions tradition conversely have P. MILGROM, simplified from and theoreticians investigate KREPS inherited and then on (D.M. from : first to two a pure show that is not a self implementing convention. 1. A superior convention, based on trust, can be blocked by the past fordist convention. Industrial combine bath partially relations an interest contradictory let us decompose closely related coordinate from are to quite cooperation interests themselves a low trust economies. and workers. different Will it be easy economic to model to sinGe conflict questions, for and high return performance even economic strategy, they due to Just for simplicity two upon a high trust and reduced indeed and a propensity for firms the issue into these in actual complex sake, if they are agents to if they configuration? start Stijl more 1). It might behavior which behavior in the SCHOTTER earners low be convenient is agreed payoff economies to both or firms recurrent Initially, Gan be adopting a convention to by ail members specific (1981). to define a low trust, partners. convince of a society situation in a rather (of conflicting small Imagine that another as "the productivity now and which a coordination society, that convention with observation in specifies game)" both firms equilibrium the regularity A. and wage delivering of more cooperation other a '" 16 INSERT 1 : PARETO EFFICIENCY WITHiN SElFUlllNG 1 -THE DEFINITION A PURE COORDINATION GAME : NOT ANY MECHANISM. OF THE GAME. Imagine the very simple coordination game PLAYER 2 PLA YER 1 Initially the players are coordinated upon the strategy A delivering then bath UA. A new strategy B emerges and is Pareto superior if UB > UA. Will the players spontaneously converge towards this new equilibrium ? Il -AN EVOlUTIONARY STABLE STRATEGY. ln order to translate this two persan game into a N-person game, it is convenient to imagine that agents meet randomly and play a series of two persan coordination games. Let us assume that at time t, p(t) agents play the strategy A ,(1 -p(t)) the strategy B .Then the pay-off of this new gamme is : (1) U(A,p) = p. UA 0 ~ p~ 1 (2) U(B,p) = (1 -p) .UB The second hypothesis is specific to evolutionary games. Following J. MAYNARD-SMITH (1982), imagine that agents change their strategies according to their relative pay-offs. This learning process takes into acount only past strategies and not any forward looking strategy. This departure tram complete rationality may express the cost for collecting and processing the relevant strategies of the other quite numerous agents. Thus : (3) p(t + 1) -p(t) = G[U(A,p) -U(B,p)] G(o) = 0 ; G'(.) > 0 Within such a model, an evolutionary stable strategy (ESS) is such that not any invading alternative strategy will be able to change the prevailing equilibrium. It is clear that any marginal shift out of strategy A will converges toward p = 1 , delivering a payoff UA, as far as p is superior to the threshold value p * (4) p* = UB / UA + UB ua "'" """ " "" "'" '"" '"'" "" '" "" , ~~:::~~m Stable """"econd , i:'1 Equilibrium -THE "" 1 Historical Stable ! ~-- 'fi UA .p Equilibrium * ~ 1 p i 1. :. 1 LlKELY LOCK-IN INTO A PARETO INFERIOR SOLUTION. Thus, the players will be stuck to the old and Pareto inefficient strategy A: the superior strategy will be out of reach of any individual agent, taken in isolation. Only a large coalition, taking at least a proportion (1 -p*) of total population would pro pei the equilibrium towards UB . Even in the absence of any conflict of interest, an old convention, here defined as an ESS, might block the emergence of a new one, however superior for everybody. ~ 17 might exist and be desirable a larger payoff. agents ln an individualistic unable actions, to elaborate will they Evolutionary when for them, applied society and fulfil spontaneously Stable since once implemented, any social adopt Strategy (ESS) to this coordination composed of independent contract this high trust proposed it would binding strategy deliver economic their individual ? The concept by J. MAYNARD-SMITH game suggests a negative of (1982), answer (Insert 1 - Il) ln tact, as most deviants promoting the basically me et quasi have a low number. payoff ln Gannat replaced coordinate multiple situations (1988)) this exist institutional a private inertia or state of interest agency, groups BUCHANAN (M. (1975)) to a frequent This is a possible persist in the innovators equilibria highly and United promoting built upon simplified workers, equilibrium and ail associated there the with Nevertheless simplification cooperation model, is stijl reinforced the two players path trust choice and jack (B. ARTHUR Note Given of the members bureaucrats convention, low trust society-wide is the is not any conflict firms have high this trust. that (J.M. contrary theory why the Fordist result in within strategies the more by now introducing this about asymmetric for is the in this managers the a the stable since, between interest Of course, pessimism striking of interest same stijl interactions, might be blocked by the evolutionary The the strategy. implementation this be strategists (1992)). behavior of managing their up to which returns of the will cannot superior A. ORLEAN those they consequently dependency its practical strategy, and extend high increasing neither and France. trust will the the opportunistic (1965)), cooperation low from explanation States since is an ESS and toward (R. BOYER, in public ott and sinGe the with are in charge found trust to pass the threshold, not derive OLSON argument strategy, converge nor from who strategy technologies does be worse low to be imitated inefficiency, as for conventions the strategists ability trust finally possible for the other will trust in order will equilibria, low low by the adopting strategy, loose the agents as weil trust themselves might are initially exclusively words, who le economic Thus, high and thug other spontaneously agents superior very crude emergence interests of between 18 INSERT 2 : THE lIKEllHOOD 1 -THE DEFINITION OF DEFECTION lN A SINGLE SHOT PRISONER'S DllEMMA GAME OF THE GAME Following R. AXELROD (1984), let us assume that, the two players have simultaneously to choose between two strategies : cooperate or defect. If bath players cooperate, bath do fairly weil and get R, the reward for mutual cooperation, for example 3 units. If one player cooperates but the other defects, the defecting players get the temptation to defect T , while the cooperating player gets the sucker 's payoff S (for example respectively 5 points and 0 point). If bath defect they get P ,the punishment for mutual defection (here 1 point). PLAYER 2 Whatever the stategy chosen by the other player 1 any rational player will defect, sinGe this is a dominant strategy. By symmetry 1 it is clear that the only Nash solution of the game will be (P, P) .This solution is Pareto inferior to the cooperative strategy (R,R) 1 and nevertheless, the self interest of bath rational players is to systematically defect. ProDosition ln the absence of communication, trust and enforcement mechanism, for a one-shot prisoner's dilemma game, individua/ self interest does not de/iver cooperation, which would be desirable for bath players. Il -PRISONER'S DILEMMA IS FREOUENT lN INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS. This configuration, or closely related ones i.e. deadlock, chicken or assurance games, seems to often observed in industrial relations and their relations to macroeconomic activity. Here are some examples. Note that the first figure is the payoff the row player, the second one of the column players. The parentheses are no more needed. 1. Managers versus wage earners within the firm : conflict over wage and effort. WORKERS The dominant solution combines low effort, low wage, which is Pareto inferior or to the high effort, high wage strategies FIRM 2. Two craft or sectoral unions conflicting over relative wages UNION 2 - LOW WAGE Law WAGE HIGH WAGE 0,5 3,3 UNION 1 Both unions will demand high wages and finally both will be hurt by inflation and loss of compe- HIGH WAGE 5,0 1,1* .titiveness 3. During a recession. will firm and workers trade emDlovment stabilitv acainst wace moderation ? WORKERS ln a one shot game, with Jack of trust, it is rational for workers to ask for wage FIRM increases and for the firm cut jobs 19 2. Defection contemporary shared, does Of course, tram not sucker's bath players defect. mutually do the associated trust be joint example if agents unable to cooperation.. (see section of the possible in the long run : low commitment segmented unions (investment sector, low wage run erosion raie in level failed has THATCHER's low strategies...) more productivity (M. pact BROWN government obtained are unable British cooperative of and incarne (1992)). Only of the legal framework the of configuration game relations strategies, from in the been is give a even a myriad strategies exerting policy favor the detrimental approach. be to coordinate Pareto of defection without bath would in industrial side have is by an evolutionary the investment on the other when which for qua lit y and productivity competitiveness, a of cooperation structure of such productive promoting of the abroad, of national bargaining .unless multiplication to the opportunistic commitment sustain on one side, cooperate. as soon as the by the, or are selected persistence but but inferior configuration agreed infra). of a prisoner's and if simultaneously is now steadily IV, the 2, Part III). if the agents learn nor cooperation emergence superior be of cooperative not emerge is exploited (Insert pie to players is intermediate previously the mutual the other equilibrium Pareto any even will to Nash the in significantlymodified firms ta bargaining its distribution, tram spontaneous is out of reach, Thirdly, they only of then the form will agent player size of defection defection the the whereas to those benevolent Secondly, not cooperation. process, inherent modern the benevolence benefit by defecting about advantagous or/and dilemma of upon may take would of the second Firstly, conflict game mutual the pessimism reinforced. enlarge built on cooperation with when feature exploiting are inferior defection The the partners payoffs associated but rational, good remove a convention payoff, might strategies cooperation payoff prisoner's a second the related can earn higher gains introduce cooperation Basically, Consequently, stijl to of opportunistic dilemma. the time but this strategists. they is Of course, likelihood in most industrial relations. It processes. strategy is a dominant from of the manufacturing propelling a long any clear disciplinary Recurrently, tentative guidelines external regulating at the redesign industrial national by the relations 20 INSERT 2 (follow 1) 4. A larae union versus a central bank : the possibility of a stagflationnist configuration. UNION CENTRAL WAGE MODERA TION WAGE INCREASES ACTIVE POLICY 3,3 0,5 RESTRICTIVE POLICY 5,0 BANK j 1.1' The economy will end up in the unsatisfactory Nash equilibrium with stagflation: large wage demands but high employment due to the restrictive policy of the Central Bank 5. A larae firm and its subcontractors : the conflict over price and quality. SUBCONTRACTOR ln the absence of trust and long term ties, the equilibrium will associate low quality with low price LARGE FIRM III -DEFECTION IS AN EVOlUTIONARY STABLE STRATEGY (ESS). let us now suppose that the population considered is composed of two types of agents: a fraction p(t) is cooperative, (1 -p(t)) defects systematically. For the initial and general game, the expected payoffs of cooperation Uc and defection Ud are respectively : Uc (t) = Ud (t) = p(t). p(t) R + (1 -ptt)) T + (1 -p(t)) s .P Given that for a PD game S < P < R < T , it is clear that whatever the proportion of cooperative agents, the self-interest will command to defect systematically. Thus defection is an ESS for any revision function of the strategy of the form : dp 1 dt = F[Uc(t) -Ud(t)] = F [p(t) (R -T) + (1 -p(t) (5 -PI] <0 <0 <0 with any increasing function F such that F(O) = 0 and F' > 0 /' si / -~-- -~---,- ~- Note that Figure 1 exhibits the configuration associated to game 2, section II~S = -2 R=4;P=3. ; T = 6 ; CONCLUSION Even weakening the content of rationality to simply copying the best strategy observed in the past shots does not give any chance to a cooperative solution in the prisoner's dilemma. 21 seems to have perturbated, if not totally destabilized, the strategies of joint defection. It remains rather or quite corresponding in impact economies (Insert the quality nature the strategy from the firm workers would deliver have finally linking order and do is consequently spectrum illustrate performance interest of would of issues the firms the potentially and national (H. and work effort. hired for a in minimizing their interests of the labor and the a low LEIBENSTEIN firms' trust performances dilemma, thug give the would the very for the adopt payoff Nash agreement better incentive lowest will explicit be design the bath reduced Any Clearly, asking Thus, and changing being find. whereas workers. may and/or But ex post the : to market, (1987)). firms effort wages. just to prevent and Once be to ask for a cooperative pay high effort, Similarly this are facing then tram strategy equilibrium. and workers objectives commitment to managers the ideal would the state emerge overcome contracts, have which compensation to the (PD) configuration of a whole compensation opposite and will spontaneous economies examples the minimum defection equilibrium in of labor with loyalty the five For them, the compatible highest least workers work. wage dilemma be representative about of their managers modern distrust conflicts wage, prisoner's 2, part Il). very the following At of that in could relations. devastating fixed frequent deadlock industrial 0 Given to be proven than this schemes structure in of the initial game. 0 If two unions the wage are coexisting of two On the one hand, its sector, associated whereas categories each will be a high the economy of workers, wage demands to foreign in consumer low employment bargaining prices sector. the wages in increases By symmetry, the logical equilibrium, Finally of will emerge. for high nominal and coordinate, competition. the configuration in the second negociate and possibly is submitted in asking of the moderation do not jointly inflation independently the same union has interest benefiting to moderate and if the unions and organizing outcome specially relative wage if 22 among sectors objectives John will of the Maynard be observed firms their products are facing The managers productivity quality interest and equilibrium exhibits profit employment. down in order turn. to convince Thus the by seems to adjustment The hard for firms to sustain low their thug jobs may propose but Again, that they will job make attitude finally the performances firms dilemma benefit a cooperative less intensity. and delivers prisoner's to defect. or tire ail the workers to defend Pareto cooperation. and consequently announce in to respond strategy with workers underlying deadlock bath partners will Of course, main recognized will induce layoff working and emerges. in order in order defection initial ago and this to work employed the workers joint long PD configuration a cooperative and the relations. the self interest in shirking was (1936), earners productivity to turn or need a structural but will finally concerning and down a third will announce Symmetrically, careers industrial everybody redundant. have in British be for wage to keep structure Theory a severe would .contrary General is not present, more This and processes, strategy But if trust constant.. players. KEYNES by promising tram two recurrently 0 When optimal remain Nash for tenure not be fired is altered bath and/or in case into of a distinct configuration 0 Imagine now interactions that the macroeconomic between central bank. wage increases likely in a highly central from the price stability.. conflicting environment. business any equilibrium finally adopt a permissive association. Conversely, demands by announcing may combine to wage high inflation or increases along can the central Nevertheless bargain bank is not that a recession the policy 1 and extract imagines monetary Consequently, of the monetary policy, i.e. a configuration both social partners. outcome monetary restrictive with moderate imagine laxist it could a rather inflation. to combine desirable union of the and an independent economy The wage is the outcome union .but this any nominal accommodation the inflexibility and unique with will wage powerful be ideal for the national along validating discipline without It would bank therefore a large equilibrium to supply, the final triggered Nash by which is worse for in this case, the union might finally learn 23 tram this a more bad experience satisfactory case in Western European 0 Finally, Germany such firm From combine joint cooperative good fair prices, or quality ifs whereas innovative with arm length goods minimum fight for good quality products. prevail with Thus,in low price advantage. competitive WIENERT (1991 )). not and significant at ail cooperation is Quite to any market (1986), (1989)) persist in the refuse to deliver in and display satisfactory a large outcome. outcome. finally worst sample suggests private variety The that of however or social of task may prevail, this allows to cape a with CHESNAIS, H. of inadequate interests which modelling devices theory is (U. WITT unsatisfactory, contract. of social high competitive play a one shot institutional quality PO's configurations : a state evolutionary an quite deliver relationships ln turn conflict in high structural BELL, only But high combination F. Furthermore, any to (G. the by pay the subcontractors evolutions from to to is usually ability that this configuration, enforce side, configuration. economies the a POis respond delivery. confident markets that accept and a larger to emerge under what conditions unsatisfactory quality modern economy. the in other into in getting i.e. a reduced and more in foreign would eager game, long run.. .as soon as the agents societies investigate likely suggests design more if stable demand other the be desirable the outcome necessarily quality, caught it would has interest on the shot but limited exceptional inherent modern a one and poor position change This not a high price-high technical are are On the contrary one may observe better but whereas be in time and distrust, been suggests would just to get automatic. corporation and the large firm price, prices of view, subcontractors relations On one side, at the the dynamism the opposite. might : the to have This is far tram point in order not necessarily or Italy. subcontractors strategies seems (1992))...but Greece wide its strategy This equilibrium a society goods, economy as Spain, and configuration. outcome. (W. STREECK of a more satisfactory a large consequently macroeconomic countries, emergence and adjust may game and But precisely, in order would they might overcome the prisoner's to be to dilemma, 24 INSERT 1 -IT 3 IS NOT : ENlARGING SUFFICIENT TO THE SCOPE FOR FUTURE: FOSTERING COOPERATION. REPEAT THE PD lN ORDER TO A FIRST METHOD INDUCE RATIONAL FOR AGENTS TO COOPERATE. Intuitively, if the same players interact over and over through time, they might recognize their joint interest in cooperation. ln experimental games, this seems to be the case, even if the number of runs is finite and known in advance (R. AXELROD (1984)). But simple models do not confirm these empirical findings. Imagine a finitely repeated game. Purely rational actors should not cooperate. They have to start from the final phase of the game and decide their strategy : for each player, it is clear that her /his interest is to defect at the final stage. So for the previous phase and so on. Thus, solving by backward induction the series of PD, it is optimal to defect at the fast stage, and consequently to any prior node of the game (D. FUDENBERG, J. TIROLE (1991), Ch. 3). Il -IF THE CONDITIONAL PD IS PLA YED INDEFINITEL Y AND IF THE DISCOUNT RATE COOPERATION STRATEGY MIGHT BE A Nash EOUILIBRIUM. R IS HIGH ENOUGH, A Now the game is played indefinitely between two players, who now have three strategies, 1. Tit for Tat : Cooperate until the other player defects and then defect indefinitely. 2. Cooperate on every round, whatever the past strategy of the other player. 3. Defect on every round. The general game defined by insert 2 has now another payoffs, which depends crucially upon the discount rate r. If for example bath players are adopting a cooperative strategy, their total payoffs will be - te = R + rR + r2R ,... + ...,riR,... l = (1 + ri) x R j=O te = R/1-r The same method applied to ail the cases gives the following configuration An infinitely repeated PD : S < P < R < T TIT FOR TAT R/1-r , R/1-r R/1-r , R/1-r R/1-r , R/1-r 5 + P/1-r, T + P/1-r e d Cooperate , R/1-r S/l-r , T/l-r T/1-r , 8/1-r P/1-r 1 P/1-r R/1-r h 9 T + P/1-r , S + P/1-t Three major conclusions 1. Defection DEFECT ~ b a Tit for Tat Defect COOPERATE emerge (T. SANDLER (1992)) at each period (cell il continues ta be a Nash Equilibrium the lack of cooperation is still possible. 2. Tit for Tat (cell a) is another Nash EQuilibrium if the rate of discount compensate any one shot temptation by the other player to defect i.e. if : R/1-r > T + P/1-r > r > 1 -(R-P) / T r is large enaugh ta 3. If the severity of the POis conflict of interest is relaxed into an assurance game (5 < P < T < R), cooperation and tit-for-tat become Nash Equilibriua (ceffs a, b, d, e) : cooperation is more likely along with defection (i). 25 IV HOW CAN COOPERATION EMERGE ? SOME TEACHINGS FROM GAME THEORY, SinGe the (1950), solutions equilibrium in order countries for our that (and incidentally 1. Enlarging the scope sophisticated intuitively, better opportunities On one period and the previous if the players discount the as fûr as systematically puzzling if the deadlock is finite induction investigated defect is side, the will in reaction did and game theorists. abilities of relations, It European to present a of presentation chapter devoted cooperation ? dilemma games. to his in PD relates game bargaining the have interest gives strategy the completion in defecting might and enough become first one of proposed : the player previous for ail indifinitely a high will shots, from the cooperative is at the strategy long run, i.e. (1984) ta any deviation of is repeated of cooperation during date be the optimal for the Tit-for-tat sa and if the game by R. AXELROD player TUCKER a cooperative of cooperation this will strategy This toward (A. to emerge (Insert 3). game On the other 50's The order prisoner's each of them by backward other in industrial in his own repeated then a conditional the unequal how to promote concerns experimentally the of the idea that a multiperiod players, equilibrium. in the are available. have a significant rate, Nash issue: the side, periods. explain which for cooperation by the two back convergence strategies for future: variants the by R. AXELROD's our) central Ouite i.e. results adopted puzzle for by many economists cooperative of the main is precisely final to promote purpose, to generate survey known of this have been searched is interesting brief emergence and cooperate but will strategy. 3. 26 INSERT 4 : CHANGING THE PAYOFF lN ORDER TO ATTENUATE THE CONFLICT OF INTERESTS : A SECOND PATH lN ORDER TO EllCIT COOPERATION 1 -IMMERGING THE PO's GAME INTO A SERIES OF TWO-PERSON GAMES. It is important to check the generality of a PD configuration and examine a broader category of games, one-shot without communication, but which have in common the choice between cooperation (C) and defection (D). One gets the following typology (G. TSEBELIS (1990) : 61-79). PLAYER s 1. Prisoner's ~ dilemma game 2. Deadlock game P R 1 1 T 1 S<P<R<T S R 1 1 S<R<P<T Chicken game 2 P T Il P 5 R 1 1 1 T 1 P<S<R<T 4. Assurance game S P 1 1 T \ l" R 1 S<P<T<R Il -THE PD 18 ONLY GAME WITH A UNIQUE EQUILIBRIUM WHICH 18 NOT A PARETO OPTIMUM. Economists and more generally social scientists are interested in Pareto optimum configurations: a player' s payoff cannot be improved without lowering another player' s payoff. This is a minimalist criterium in order to gauge the efficiency of possible equilibria. ,. For a Prisoner's Dilemma. It has been shown that the only equilibrium (0,0) is not Pareto optimal, as shown by the graph : players would have interest to play (C,C), since they would both gain, which is not the case for (C,D) or symmetrically (D,C) 27 Tit for tat will be a Nash equilibrium compensate defection any one at any period defection is Everything depends or chicken possible result in the games. that in the case of extreme small and individually cumulative purpose, it is not emergence for Of course, the example firms of the it can be in the interest length KREPS, P. uncertainty reputation is finite, MILGROM, about cooperation. be needed No manufacturing J. words, to induce doubt systems strategy a behavior and this (see section V). and feature (for small not stochastic equilibrium. even if the complete may help degree (D. the in sustaining of irrationality to bath players. interaction present of if the (1982)).Thus, benefitial repeated and of their Stijl more, example is WILSON is largely of the groups life a cooperative is finally by the in favor finite game. of one player or some is a interpretative a tit for tat strategy R. This are quite some to the information which continuous Nevertheless, to sustain and For any agent lives forever unending the virtually is outweighted is unknown imperfection that cooperation game that games, are sufficiently argument survive to an ROBERTS the underlying ln other may can sustain provided other outcome. period. use this of agents effects future abstracto play according started. for cooperation not any economic unions, : is game allows cooperation to highly and of completion horizon industrial seems and finally Finally, might result game (Insert 4). The folk theorem repeated in every of cooperation. date variable), incurred straitforward constituents possible loss But the assurance that the players future from of for example to be an equilibrium deviation defect. process variety and the reasons totally consequently agents, from the varies, patience, payoff to to the repeated a significant distant of tit for tat strategy player to of the game. supposes a rather rational : any advantage but for cooperation shows similar once of interests i.e. take into account generalization and rational rate is large enough other solution conflict Again, the to be another holds patient feasible by on the first sequences general the degree temptation continue always This when shot only if the discount help in contemporary in ~~z~ !~~{:,-~-~- 28 .INSERT ~~~"::, ~-- 4 : (Follow 1) ~- ~ 2. ln a deadlock game, (0,0) is the outcome, which is the second preference for each player, but which nevertheless is Pareto optimal. 3. ln the Chicken game, two equilibria can be reached (C,D) and (D,C) and they are Pareto optima. 4. ln the Assurance game, two equilibria can be obtained (C,C) and (D,D) but the more desirable for each player is a Pareto optimum. It might be concluded that : 1. The POis is quite exceptional and theoretically should not be overwhelmingly frequent. Industrial relations might be an exception (see Insert 2 -Il). 2. A POis game can be transformed into an assurance game by lowering the benefit tram defecting while the other player cooperate (T) compared with the benefit of cooperation (R). 3. For example, aState regulation might impose to social partners to negociate and on the contrary forbid or made costly defection. 4. Thus, a mix of private or public regulations can change the initial payoff and foster cooperation. This seems to be rather frequent in industrial relations. III -COMPLETE STRATEGIES OR PARTIAL (ESS) lN ASURANCE COOPERATION OR CHICKEN MAY BE SUSTAINED Assume now that at any time t ,there is a proportion of defecting strategies, which respectively earn: 1 -p(t) U,,(t) = p(t) R + (1 -p(t)) .S Ud(t) = p(t) T + (1 -p(t)) .P AS = F[UC(t)-Ud(t)] Two cases are interesting = F[p(R-T) for our purpose. STABLE p(t) of cooperative strategies, From one period to another, agents observe these relative payoffs learning according to the following adjustment process : dp/dt EVOLUTIONARY GAMES. + (1-p)),(S-P)] and they are selected or 29 their perception course, third this issue will to configuration with bath task and this : how the payoffs. is equivalent the general relations, assurance may structure with cost to admit of defection (1984)). is the But of that a or make Finally a broader prisoner's dilemma then cooperation joint cooperation the second one which have finite may be challenged distribution of games. more frequent of interacting while interests the other for getting If for incompletness cooperation (R. J. AUMAN, players recall of past interactions of other be an equilibrium. or are really solutions, most existing PD extreme It would be social For example, than ln an is an optimum. exclusive. and in industrial games, (see previous cooperates, cooperation instance the rationality irrationality of optima. : it is the are mutually types be : bath are Pareto might while Insert 2) : be inferior to joint cooperation. method about the the four of full rationality. is a doubt prefer investigate by defecting associated there and and cooperation game the gains obtained by ~ ' or if they defection clearly among the same Another defecting of POis Gan rightly to conflicts hypothesis at change (R. AXELROD the other self interest economic the payoff cooperation joint players generality case in which preserving from cooperating, the an empirical game and try to internalize addressed game, the i.e. somehow (INSERT 4) nevertheless Thus, be one player assurance the same intervene the benefits has self interest, is no more party apparent of their seems to players ln be S. SORIN (1989)). might be to approximate relax full (R. RADNER the optimum (1986) or if (D. KREPS & Alii (1982)), other words, required for some the degree emergence of of 30 INSERT 4 (Follow 2) A third equilibrium now exists, but it is unstable. The game will converge toward cooperation if initially the population exhibits a sufficient propensity to cooperate. Thus, the same game might end up in two different equilibrium according to the starting point. History matters : cooperation might be past-dependent. Note that the defection equilibrium is not a Pareto optimum and nevertheless it cannot be overcome if a self adjusting process. This corrects the optimism brought by a purely static analysis (see Il -supra). 2. A chicken game : the ESS is a mix of cooperation and defection. Since now P < S < R < T , the revision process is converging toward the intermediate configuration p. = (P -SI / (R -T + P -SI p Hence the indeterminacy of the static model is removed. Finally the ESS combines in a fix proportion bath defection and cooperation, and it does not depend anymore on the history of the system: the final outcome is only related to the payoff matrix. The initial attitudes concerning cooperation or defection do not play any raie. CONCLUSION: THE FATALITY OF DEFECTION CAN BE PARTIALLY OVERCOME i) by an outside penality to opportunism or subsidy to cooperation ii) ln these new games, path dependency might exist and prevent cooperation (assurance game with individualistic values) or not (assurance game with holistic values i.e. when agents take into account the outcome for the group and not only themselves). 31 Anothe MAYNARD persan avenue SMIT game (1982)). and frequency of def ctionnists for a whole popu ation. informati agents have assumes th the strateg This second which make significant depart quite trac~able An (ESS) if not any invasion equilibrium. Unde the Nash this where the t of interests strategy are more conventional is totally theory tend this looking to last game. processes of forward which approach is a strategies, but it stable strategy results. to an pure evolutionary prisoner's course the game dilemma evolutionary interesting and out of (See previous for other benefits this configuration, stable and ambiguous is not so acute random exists a t reshold between into equilibrium. On th equilibria. a matrix highly contrary, of payoffs, individualistic more holistic, exhibits cooperative Thus, play a raie in the type s me embedded for result to the emerges. joint defection framework proportion e a stable ma very an interesting an evolutionary will and attitudes the game, theo y, the selection cooperation For cost the the games defection (Insert 4.111). For an assurance there The ail the they during dynamic but equilibrium game interactions: return of strategies, Evolutionary the large is a simple looking is able to remove in the is of results This costs past study rational, by deviants 2), But the out this by the distribution forward the higher correspond Insert confli tram to fully equilibrium randomly population. information. learn respect, N- for collecting possible. will into a due to excessive (and more realistic) equilibrium (J. to global allows of theory pure micro-interactions has delivered re out games is inserted once transformed crude cooperation games are selected fully rational simply hY f otheSis eventually unique tram Secondly, players persan the whole n and computing adopt delivers game, to r Iy on a rather that agents among for shifting by evolutionary the two two pl y the related method relevant Firstly, : at each period, population powerful has been proposed the some a path agents, which i.e. group will dependency above distribution industrial society in and joint cooperation initial of outcome Whereas will which, of beliefs finally emerge. relations nurture oriented a systems defection economies may : 32 INSERT 5 : IMPROVING THE RECOGNITION PROMOTING f-- l" :..," i = -1 ABILITIES COOPERATION Il -1 0 L kalJI .1 1 i.e. : A THIRD AVENUE FOR ? .1 1 1-1 t-1 t t+1 k = ~ J-1 The problem IS now to assess under which conditions this localisation of interaction allows a group of t cooperating agent to survive among the rest of defecting agents. It is sufficient to compute the payoff for a cooperating agent at the periphery of the group Uc and compare it with his or (her) immediate neighboor who is defecting. Defectionists D ~~ 1 !- 1 0 -1 Applying C 1 i=O Cooperative agents C 1 L kalJ-11 EIXli).X(j) J-O One gets for the cooperative v j 1 1 t t+1 Defectionists 0 1 1 1 U+(O) = E being the payoff of PO's game agent in O. J=t-i j > D the general formula UO) = For t-1 C W L ka J .R + I J>I ka! .S Jst -w For j < 1 U-(OI = LkalJI. S Jz-1 The total payoff for the cooperating agent located in 0 is Uc(O) + = (ka /1-a) x [(1 -at-1) R (at + 1)5 ] The immediate neighbour at the left, who is defecting gets the following pay off: -œ For j < -1 U-(-ll = LkalJ-11 x P J--2 J-t.-1 For j > 0 U+(-il -L .œ \"" ka(JI x T + J-O L\"" ka(J.II x P J-t. The total payoff for the defecting agent located in -1 Ud(-1) = (ka/1-a) x [(1-at-1) xT + (at + 1)xPJ is quite intuitively, let us assume that each agent at the periphery of the cooperating group will compare the respective return of cooperating and defecting. Ac(t,a) = Uc(O) -Ud(-1) AC(t,a) = (1 -at-1) (R-T) + (1 + at) (5 P) 1) 33 trigger the emergence for technologies with of a cooperative increasing outcome. For social norms as weil as to scale, history returns matters (8. ARTHUR (1988)). Similarly, when an evolutionary unique ESS, defection the the history enough, the this configuration in : this system for of solution combines strategists of solutions concept which prone static a fix a chicken is implemented. proportion new equilibrium but only could tram explain game the why are transformed One observes cooperation does prone not depend relative and at ail tram payoffs. bath strategies one Interestingly Gan coexist within the same economy. Finally, cooperation. State can If the impose cooperative payoff joint logical between dilemma point 3. Improving costs upon for instance concerning including self interest be unions defection passing training, used interact and on the extreme to propritiate contrary yearly the conditions and costs that they The final might of cooperation. configuration.. subsidize negociations, jurisprudence,".."" returns and the emergence order via a PD configuration, under security, and public as a quite in laws enforcing associations bath private appears may and the and business institutions the conflict prisoner's extra unions matrix intervention managers strategies, strengthening build public mitigate After .at least from ail, a of view" the recognition ability of economic agents. ln the one shot game, the players are unable to diagnose cooperation.. whether 34 INSERT 5 (Follow Consequently the size of the cooperating group t accordance with the following adjustment process. dt / dr = F [AC(t,a)] r : time 1) will increase provided that AC(t,a) > 0 , in F' > 0 F(O) = 0 (2) t : size of the group at time C Il -LOCALIZATION CANNOT SalVE THE PRISONER'S DILEMMA. If one specifies the configuration of PD ;.e. 5 < P < R < T , it is clear from equation (1) that the advantage is always ta defecting since R -T < o and (5 -P) < 0, The cooperating group is invaded Localization does not help in promoting sile of the cooperating group and extending cooperation in a pure PD game. A necessary condition is to find t and a such that AC(t,a) = (1 -at-1) (R -T) This can be found in the three following + (1 + at) (8 -P) > 0 cases 1. An assurance game: S < P < T < R Cooperation will prevail if : (1 -at-1) Provided that P -S / (1 + < at) R -T = fIa,t) = (P -S) / (R -TI in order to get a solution to the related equation (3) 35 It has Pareto that inferior a group shown previously outcome could be replaced of cooperative accordance (1992)). been with Thus population, their this strategists required group therefore that to deliver expanding coordination by a more satisfactory were ability could in a pure able to select cooperate a higher and sustaining one, the that a cooperative a provided newcomers (R. BOYER, payoff game A. the in ORLEAN rest of the convention (Insert 5. 111.1). Unfortunately, such dilemma : whatever prisoner's the frontier game of their by exploiting group, their cooperation will are the respect, this argument contemplates modern Note in passing clearly multi-person size temptation returns NORTH than but defect full and the difficulties group, to of of collective also the while the ratio to costs other players the deadlock cooperation, the by for large initial the trust via returns island Under action (1982) depend cooperate Gannat be has been not just gives game views ln the : in a on the PD, higher solved of (1984). a N-person to benefits. this abrasiveness This theme R. HARDIN of (1987) by R. AXELROD game toward at individualistic 5, Il). the a agents", by M. TAYLOR more difficult. echoes prevail tram (Insert prognosis a two-person (1990) invaded the vision erosion optimistic benefit population. and make cooperation game, of the the that the shift tram by D.C. be in line with progressive with the will not "holistic Consequently, and within is more than has an impact surveyed majority the values, shrink does size of the agents to cooperate. progressively which outcome the initial opportunistic propensity agents who an optimistic if the private by local interactions. But, into assurance progressively cooperation viable the contemplated, or invade is higher emerging games. if the payoffs chicken the games, than that various as of defection suppose avenues by mixing localized who le system, cooperation Other of PD are transformed for the definite by third cooperative soon average 5 -III). conditions of Firstly intervention interactions as the (Insert emergence other strategies. party upon may return of Nevertheless, a the payoffs of cooperation can be agents .may refuse to 36 INSERT 5 (Follow 2) a 2. The same condition can be fulfilled for a chicken game i.e. P < S < R < T 3. For a pure coordination game S = 0 , T = 0 and R > P ThenAc(t,a) = R -P -at-1 (R + aP) The smaller a, the more localized the interactions and the greater the possibility cooperation. This is a generalization of R. BOYER and A. ORLEAN (1992). of diffusion of 37 play against developing defectionnists their enforce previous (1989)). others, (1992)). in such TSEBELIS more Secondly, stochastic that Thus the about but sufficiently long, Precisely, schools, which that one families person's feelings be more easily solved interest into fulfiled. Thus (1987)) but if tao which This will strategy Insert many results bodies strategy to altruism .Not (M. may complement either of can games be (G. the infinite or point to the direction of in order diffused to the benefit altruism helps where institutions to teach principles Altruism the among (i.e. a society, more may be helpfull put forward since it sustains unrelented (Insert 5 -Il) only the former leads to a more efficient .This always agents, equilibrium. : a tit for equilibrium and dominated to prefer it penalize of (M. TAYLOR defection be a reason fair since not by opportunistic (1984) if conflict if for efficiency will be invaded of 6) ? initial a long run cooperative would being satisfaction likely, by R. AXELROD is more equilibrium the to a general cooperation the fact will the prisoner's individual is more as of action weil (Insert in transforming such describes by the of cooperation cooperation economy mainly affected back 3 -1), whereas game and bring better of a series and interrelated can be exploited is strongly is finally one specific high, naïve altruists a defection finally ail, some dose of altruism argument into E. out cooperation game games and single gains. be positively satisfied) games finally of in simultaneously information of the duration, or mitigated positive more other repeated is widely intuitively, are the importance might dilemma agents during to self interest. If this other current frequent are designed limited sentiment the interest HIRSHLEIFER erosion of articulated After another. Ouite insert and a public the the defection negative of preferences. are not simply (D. have : altruism and reciprocity. these churches, may density argument formation prevent they (1993)) create in ail the subsequent, 4. Change the preferences the ORLEAN can to they Thus, defectionnists they order Thirdly, (1990)). common in cost A. against a manner by a large recognized. (R. BOYER, ostracism interactions, KANDORI paid memory group RASMUSEN once tat (see by reciprocity defection but it 38 The argument agent values negative negatively altruism and negative negative with made case, defection severe the conflict and evokes contrary in some turn quite a devastating the efficient help out detrimental cooperative want of interest strategy. a rather initial unfriendly ln a pure egoïsm strategy. These the differences prisoner's world one When to maximize of the (i.e. well-being). is again a dominant if agents suggest in the to the equilibrium. enlargement of the some dilemma "à la HOBBES" naïve theories emergence efficiency or even third scope for of trust, of cooperation allow defection...which Reciprocity, will party the is (M. the it development finally seem altruism but in others ruin enforcement future the PD game into a more cooperative has to be explored. has been modelled its payoffs played a series were basically the stylized the and to be tacts communities Similarly, do deploy network and tram long distance of initial incentives, much more game. significantly, any relations historical trade a legal one with investigations of trust was helped but does the trust by kinship, successfull which is based (M. This (D. NORTH some enforcement agents another. demonstration, the implying that has been emerging, capitalism, form arguments, rest of the world, or more of risky contracts in modern necessarily the of the theoretical a very specific not tram without derived enforcement and larger ln ail the previous independent games when the compliance for trust. isolation for the clarity (1991 )). For instance, a basis in total of scattered be satisfactory not fit with tight some an optimal defection systematic A last avenue about enjoy altruism tools. 5. Merge might others becomes to what cases, might that in case of negative (1987)). might, game that are overwhelming Thus, and fact are mixed, agents: more TAYLOR the altruism results other is still reinforced as business on a closely GRANOVETTER (1992)). From a more theoretical closely related compatibility one with and long another, fun viability point of view, in such a way the various that the and not so much their conventions basic issue are is their Gloser proximity to a 39 Pareto optimum interactions between multilayered, work (O. NORTH the related skills This is specially according is not equivalent evidence and power multiperiod and sustainability This play games Just between economic plant network. to stick level network recent between is quite experience different spheres games pro quo. enlightening pact more cooperative a good the Again, games. sinGe it models. ln order G. TSEBELIS of assuming that are embedded the in player these interactions about the possible negociated strategies example societies it emergence (...) determines relations, modern Of course, for the : "Instead these gives of qui formai a political to adopt to promote for reasserting in politics, of games instance, may be an incentive : spanish that of industrial factors For results games organized, by theoreticians, quite sophisticated to the theme and political of explored it shows This but a method so on. they are not the of interdependent of nested the results in order key ingredients surprising the concept of cooperation. level interaction quite Even if arena...and Nevertheless are benefits, are recognized, process are the in a vacuum, order payoff". national permanent in already de facto (1992)). the earners technologies. concession strategy, horizon understand people emergence in a new rights example, welfare bargaining are absent. defection wage, (W. STREECK be modestly has proposed higher of cooperation for and wage independent, of mutual the me has only to layoffs, social in a myriad (1990) some where process unions another of cooperation a lot of complexity, example the payoff relations issues: are formally to say that conflicts bargaining reciprocity for degree for a systematic relative of interacting so in economies some firms, and training, impose to a continuous and maintain scope strategies conflict ln industrial associations, formation bargaining of a previous brings business have a wide duration, (1990)). (A. of at the at the such ESPINA an Ed. (1991)). This models is a good transition about countries exhibit Secondly, what become the issues under one or another about the process more cooperative ? toward review. the teachings Firstly, of the factors which allowed do of ail these the put forward quite more theoretical cooperative by game conflicting theory societies ? to ~ .. w :E: t- 0 ~ 0 -J W X <C ~ 0 t0 2 0 ~ 0 U U <C w ~ <C 0 <CC/) ~w ~~ wt::2 0:;) ~o wU Wo ~O 2U °w ~o a.Z <Co 2~ -<C 20 20 ~- a.w t-O <C:E: W-J O~ O~ U 0 2 CI) ~ ~ ~ z w C w CI) ~ z cr Q.. ~ cr ~ ~ Q) U) E c:.- c: Q) ~. .-E Q)'" II! "1 .c: 0 <.?t: 0 U) U) ~ E 0 .-E >~ -~ .c C 0 C CIl/) Il> --;; E~ Q) <...Il> ... n 0 Q) ...Q) "'oC"a>"C "C"'>Q) ...cg-E U ~ CI -E c c -E~ 0 Q) ~ 0 -g Q) -1/1 ... .= .c ln 0 o.c "3 .~ .~ ~ ~ OUlQj c'-E co>Qj .2~Qj oQja 0'cQjco ln 0 40 C UI - u ~=0 c.CoQj := -> Q) ... o n- Q) ~c CQ 0 ln ~ .-~.~ 0 1/1 (.) rQ) C~ ... 0 0.0 ~ -t) ...CO -=.0 -0 ~ 0 QI ~ QI 0t CO o.c E °ë 0 ëü ~ 0 QI Ü.c0 .- .-.c.S -Co CQlCO OIQIC ...C iij 0.- 1/1 C 0 ,- OIC C 0 0 > > 0.. 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C/) ~ 0 tU « u. w ~ 0 C/) Ln W ..J m ct ..- '0 .c ~ C al .-ln ~ ~ aln al 'u. ... lU lU ai .-, --:J .-al "C N .~ ~CU)U)"CO IUIU:JC~aI~"COOC ~ lU C 0) ln CI) .Q 0 ~ 0 ~ C "0 (J 0. 0 Q) u -.. ~ ;;: - i5 > ln 0 Q) III C Oalcn alcn- Q)~ oc 0";; -la c.- '-, ... .ln 1n.Y. 0 .~ ln ~ 0 .-h ..0 ~ ln 0 tU 0 c: c: c: c:tUc: "' o~O .-tU'- '" 0..'0'"C .c 41 ln ln ... ln 41-> > -10 .-'0 >"ij ~ m 0 E ~ .-~ ";:; 0 c. ZcaillE 0 "'ië -"e c"~ 0 0 u ~ < cv-')cv ~-~ üo- tîc.g. -cv CVCcv ~cv- -al C -0010 I/I"Q; ~ u ";:; 0 ""-c 0) "~ C ~ .-.:Ji. ~ la > ~ .. ~ ... 0 (J S:~ ., .-c .-~ :: ~ >3 0) U) 0)- c C ~ -CI) Co) 0.Q) Q) > 0 O'O'- C "ia c -~ 0 CO) > .~ C:t .-0) "0 ... 0) CI > ~ .c...c: 0) -E c: 0) 0 ~ ~ ... > .c .--ca ftO --lU ::;alOalal 0_'::' o.Q :J...c 0 ... c: Q) III Q) ~ Q.. " "0 ~ "0 ~ ~ c: Q) (g ... C/1 c: c: .-0 1- > ~ ...Q) :0> O;;'~ c 0 > X u ~~ UJë 0 0- Q) "- > -a; cu CI c 0 (g Q) a: Q) 0 .-> -.. .~ :J "C > > CO-Q) .-c c: .c > '5 "aï Q ~ :J 0 .0 ~ "C -~ ~ 0- Q) ';:' -~ .-QI > c: CO X ...ln tU 0.~ QI 0 ~ ~- E .!2 Q).-0 U .IV U .-"C .-C/1 ; 0 "'Q)E Q)"OO :3 .-~ "O~a. > Q) II) .- II) CIl E ;0: G) ~ "0 "0 0 " ... tU aJ Ü ïO ... tU ... 0 0 2 tJ CIl ";:; .~ 10 CIl Q) "C ~ ::iü 0 > Cf) " ln E ~ ;;:: Q) .5 ~ IV ""G 0 q) 0 ... q,':ë ...0 ~ > "C~ ~ E ~.c .cO ...0~.c a: " G) ~- "C 0 -G)-- -CIlc.:§G):2 " u.c> co"g G) ... u CIl E cg ~ 0- '-ru ...~> ~0 JE. .ù U"'O CI) 0 c: 0;; '-Q) u E u -Q)'ru '.-0'0 CI) 0 c: 0- c: al ~ CI) . al 0 Q) (J .c. c.. .0 0 U CI C ~ "'iij O:' ~ 0 Q) Q..r;. ~ U .-X > c " :) Q.~ ln .;:; Q) lU cu m Ü CIl 0 0 a: " Q) 'ü 0 ... Co 'ü -> " ~ ~ "CC/) 10 ~ ~ """ 10 "C .Q > '" .- CI) c 0 ~ Co) ~ g 0.ciO Q).- " ... =' ~ m C C'E m ...~ ~ .-- z- E ... 0 z ... ...c ~ 0 .. O) ... - ~ c- 0) c - ... c '"Z 0 CI uc CI ... CI - CI ... c 10 2 .c~ U< ..jO cClC/I.- CI E C-ln .9 eg':Ë M -:~ca Co 0 .~ 0.~ c .-~ ~ IQ.~ C.) Q)C.)...0 .~ 0 II) C.) z 0 »E 11)...0 c: .s ~.- 01 c "ë m m Q) :J .r:. 0 "': > 0 0 ~ ... ~ > .c "'Q) "C .-~ c: ... ..c.- ~ ~ 0 ... ~ Q. 0 > QI '-> QI 1/1 QI 'c. ... c: " U) 1/) .-:J 0 1/1 0 -->CO c. QI>~ 0 .ct ...CO E O>c.~ 01-0'c: '- ~ U) CO .-.c.cc: N .0 Ul-o> 41 v AN VARIOUS THEORETICAl ARGUMENTS It is clear such few researches their results, very promising the COMPARATIVE INTERNATIONAL section preliminary more (A.E. modest of the likelihood preliminary THE DO indeed assess the empirical factual researches is much assessment counter HOW : ? is very try to carefully legs to derive era for future PERFORM an exercice in game theory stijl present that ANAL YSIS conclusions. : to propose of the various a relevance This ROTH (1992)). : only could of be a The objective a very of crude mechanisms and promoting a continuous cooperation, not devoid of conflicts The empirical researches upon material the has been collected governance transformations of the capital labor (R. BOYER (1988)). flexibility labor relations used in order to substantiate C. ESPING-ANDERSEN (1990), structures (1990), many risky exercice B. (R. of comparitive BOYER (1991)), (R. BOYER (1990)), Of course, this by a series other (C. LANE BRUHNES (1989), or the issue of sources have (1989), J.O. the been IRES (1992), REYNAUD & alii G. ROGERS and W. STREECK (1992)). 1. Concern for the future A superficial and density look suggests interactions, and intertemporal in order explain conflicting to relations industrial sectors explaining BaYER innovation rates. the of rime which This allows factor This via learning with national very (Table a strong already trajectories same by financing feature effects which taken in terms might multiplicity to be dealt runs the between factor factors. from cooperative 5). Basically, interaction been the factors to more a large discount had horizon, configurations, and Japan go along discriminating are the first UK and US for example, contrasted (1991)). that bargaining spectrum Germany industrial interest the societies, as contemporary of interactions: with rather ones, such less conflicting the financial or conversely account of lower and real as important in of governance modes (R. dynamism of explain the (T. MARMEFEL T (1992), B. i.e. 42 INSERT 6 : CHANGING THE PREFERENCES : AL TRUISM ENHANCES COOPERATION. Following M. TAYLOR (1987)) suppose a one shot PD game (see Insert 2) whichis now played by 2 agents who take into account not only their own payoffs, X, and X2, but a combination of bath of them 1,2 = aX. Uj 1 + bX 1 1 J This exhibits two polar cases 1. The pure egoïst has bi = 0 but ai > 0 2. The pure altruist features on the contrary The initial PO's game bj > 0 and (5 < P < R < T) is transformed ai = 0 into PLAYER 2 PLA YER 1 The transformed only if 'Vi game is a PD , with (D,D), the only equilibrium, aS + b.T > ( a1 + b.1 )R (aj+b;lP > ajT+bjS (aj+bjIR > (aj+bjIP 1 and 1 One can derive the following i.e. ai > ai .e and rather intuitive into a chicken bj(R -SI > altruism bj > 0 results : (ai> or Assurance 1 (T -RI bj(T -P) 1 (P-S) aj + 1. ln case of egoism and positive transformed being superior to (C,C) if and 0 , bi > 0), the initial PD game can be game. Thus, altruism improves the prospect for cooperation. 2. Pure altruism (ai = 0 3. Pure negative altruism 1 bj > (ai 0) delivers =0 1 bj < cooperation 0) gives as the equilibrium defection as the strategy. dominant strategy 1 which is now pareto optimal. 4. Ego;sm and negative altruism (ai> 0 , bj < 0) delivers defection as the solution, CONC:LUSION : CHANGING THE PREFERENCES ABOUT THE OUTCOME OF THE INITIAL PD GAME HAS TWO CONSEQUENCES. 1. Positive altruism 2. Negative altruism makes more likely cooperation, which might not be pareto optimal, makes defection a pareto optimal strategy 43 LUNDV ALL (1992) long term strategies, the organization bath the 60's, cyclical on the from opportunity the opened Under since national, of allows Furthermore, correlated recent powers business with into today of the relations, are more frequent Mutatis emergence interactions. and in favor is is size of the games of related ln bargains advantage upon games. France, unions "lois could are ta these rarely morrow. bargainings the in a loosely which AUROUX" be Stijl do interact of a cooperative of argument France is not and the approach to objectives of the than cooperation. mutandis, and jack and the divided of in increase level of most ln spite partners routines (1992)). an This and unrelated national governments distrust of 2). bargaining. level representatives and pro- laws spectrum against at the local bodies, STREECK a series concession dense (W. work by social in one of these associations the centralization stratregies industrial the a and firms the Diagram Germany would for a whole sectoral fragmented trading a defection strategy 4 and between which were generally Table of social which and stijl are do cooperation. at and multi-scope contrast just to cooperation rate has to be seized for arrangements regional, and (see variety Consequently, between organized the a large countervailing interactions 80's were into multiperiod respect, by a Tit-for-tat system firms engage the search retaliated the about a games bargaining rate in the 60's, induced conflicts by a low interest this pie to be shared. more, until practices real interest contrary, ln Germany, organizing into effective automatically order to continuously striking. and intertemporal agents This seems is enlarged, between not 60's of the future to concerning 3) : PD repeated (1984). this opportunity have contracts. (Insert chance and by R. AXELROD low or even negative general, place...quite argument give a better innovations of labour that the shadow interactions help in transforming on banks and process and the nature provided Multiple quite in product again the terminology During based for the theoretical cooperation mention systems of the firms nice confirmation induce : financial stability UK and US exhibit of cooperation. most of the factors Highly sophisticated inhibiting financial markets give a premium (US) and a structural exit strategy conflicts managers violent relations. blocking management 2. Reciprocity policy which of the German driven to country But when values, the reasons of the collapse be resilient of repeated might which open opens a concern means these room to deliver solidaristic new of an Consequently, relations ingredient year between for distrust contracts in is somehow an adversarial approach configurations hints models (Insert 3). The solidaristic accross skills and sectors) to technological generations concern This for distribution Tit-for-tat efficiency of extra and services is one OECD of the and which without the principles of has proven to accordance One incarnes. and to a lesser strategy in games. for the weil being of others... the goods and individualistic this relations under behaviors, dilemma for among more .and industrial organized opportunistic prisoner's be the are horizon. success group adopted looked model. the German districts an impressive has been eroded.. of this impressive to have wage strategy, be unrelentless leadership a nice implemented to an altruisitic level should has experienced equilibrium a multi-period more superiority the industrial over teachings of three at the national on the contrary, Italian far is another years seems to belong policy the cooperative Quite reciprocity, continuous and Swedish of wages cooperation This extend prevalence negociations. may induce theoretical recent for and implemented. countries. the earners more than solidaristic values. until the very this distance of wage issues. (i.e. the low dispersion according few mobility induce during the bargaining of the previous in Sweden usually are qui pro quo and A comparison confirmation there the social a continuous ; a large expressed sinGe Finally, termism of unions of the voice and workers: industrial most weakness instead Gan be to short of the quality By contrast, necessarily are the material with the reasons of improvements, altruism only supplying the counterpart of values. Nevertheless, why some countries the distribution of beliefs facing the same issue, and attitudes may explain finally give either a cooperative 45 solution if solidarity values is sufficiently are ruling. explaning factor (1992)). Some with Austria, Sweden), towards a cooperative density international could this researches suggest evolution endowment equilibrium. organization crisis, the two from in union densities (G. CORNEO values and attitudes values the systems pushed has pushed very old founding relations English speaking toward process. evolved low unions Facing quite principles. (Germany, industrial in many bargaining have that individualistic is a possible On the contrary, of when this may have of individualistic loose be an heritance or defection more conventional initial a long legacy and recent for the diverging ln countries countries, diffused, the differently same and this Values are part of path exhibit the coexistence dependency mechanisms. Interestingly of cooperation against a and areas than large differ tram at a society the abstract levels. wide Again, first cultural of consent significantly groups. defection purely manufacturing rural 3. From localized which If the example designing and changes, then a local dilemma If on the then assembling convention surprising contrary, more acute conflicts a interventions. that the resilience coordination issues of are between problems, This success and stability of the interactions stable. of interests centralized and institutionalize Gan be evolutionaru goods ln in a quite at more to public and Italy. level response lasting itself in smaller France in and relations and enforce. mainly products the express enforced do organize suggest concerns should at a national public instance, industrial between is up to the nature issue Italy to implement districts evidence than large corporation, efficiently is expressed is difficult For solidarity some differences comparisons is a counter firms Third Whereas to general this cooperation. is easier to contrai strategy actors. districts. again is more industrial interactions the Italy. reciprocity economic of systems For example, solidarity The international explanation of reciprocity in Italy, of a local cooperative expia nation explain whereas of reciprocity, and Northern the national strategies cities, level, By contrast many may be easier in smaller this could country, way, principle enough, many market is a possible Italian generating cali for collective fast for industrial a prisoner's interventions, 46 the implementation associations or development goods of fuies State. The expenditures, are more of the game, supply of provided basically vocational the provision adequately and legal training, of transportation in societies enforcement research and sufficiently by other and collective rich in institutions and public interventions. Thus For instance, a private the Japanese much more firms. But the success cooperation of high wages, induced an adhesion of asymmetric spectrum unions and diffusion business nexus desperately partners, last case sufficient should imposed upon vocational ail these of factors vocational dominated reminds us that to implement 4. The disciplinary more to a kind training... level to cooperation : by a : incentives to joint organization by training, help the French the into State has really succeeding among weaker by an omnipresent public interventions are largely to cooperation without organized wide of of the stakes. are embedding By contrast, loosely the disease interventions social State. necessary but This not and trust raie of competition. to recall exposed to foreign competition, that the more The defense of national less conflictual opened economies, severely have usually be induced, via possible dramatic crises, to design and implement more cooperative promoted according in labor cooperation It is interesting (1982)). area has partners associations : the depressed at a society social in British as in Japan solve of an inducement tried to copy German often strategies, informations, are in manufacturing is not at the heights strategies. relations of rather be reformed success regulation. used to prevail not necessarily of interdependent industrial than of management of new technologies, a tight since the sharing does example of constraints regularly, relations to management which to a public in UK have succeeded in the context But this is a good equivalent to the sa me configuration job tenure of workers totally labor of the Japanese Germany negociate in capital relations, the extrapolation whole transplants cooperation. industrial is never is not related promise British order industrial prosperity strategies (J. KATZENSTEIN in an ocean of competition, has relations and unions have been obliged to 47 take into account the Switzerland, Austria, continental economies, example France, domestic economic Sweden, and outcome of mechanims firm, impact powerful of cultural logical outcome framework turned VI of into such imposed size countries, used for of the to REDONDa will allow OUT OF CONFLlCT...A their attitudes, might with just be the tradition. due within large tradition NEGlECTED is out of the business partially mix between as a if conpetition as the Japanese cooperation of this original But along manufacture, each attitudes of cooperation society but the Within shirking to change competition a traditional efficient (1992)). be driven the emergence of is not an hazard configuration. firms or accepted be the consequence this will be induced interplay why -COOPERATION By contrast, policy be to diffuse dilemma workers the could inefficient an impressively The demands. : the contrai monetary that (F. VEGA Consequently, enlighten competition. would job. such a strategy of suggests value the more and th us the unemployed to get another to this category. or even medium autonomy to a prisoner's strong, of their in wage bargaining. modelling sufficiently do belong to adopt a relative Evolutionary response consequences such as US, Canada, more room for manoeuvre rational social Norway had legs incentive market the and to This could be organized corporations and rationality. AREA FOR FURTHER INVESTIGATIONS. The present analyses deliver some provisional conclusions. 1. The current the shift principles concern from for trust a Fordist which cali for in industrial labor more regime loyalty relations and firms' and may partially organization commitment earners. industrial relations may play some raie in such a lock-in. derive towards from the from new wage- 48 3. Some game theory analyses which are observed overcome. Enlarging regulation, promoting recognition abilities in the suggest that area industrial of the concern multiple more than ail these prisoner's relations are taxing defection for the future, reciprocity of agents, the pure altruism, mechanisms dilemma not easy via State improving may explain to the the viability of cooperation. 4. These factors observed among markets France illustrates markets, 5. for, inherent sophisticated civil wars, what process and world conflicts institutions or major which are contradictory and consequences. The late Scandinavian ironical floor currently lagging in : cooperation and quietly Is not this teaching behind, instances, uncertain democracy indeed than smoothly ln many large model, Japanese designed pushed solidarity. a purely (impatient firms, State financial circumscribed neo-institutionalists The day they process, has more is not as smooth major have specially been devoid the German firms.. structural designed of .all these been engineered after of most emerging work as crises, are at the origin as not are to via for the more for competitiveness conflict ? a unintended councils, the examples are harsh conflicts by social scientists. a chance in the search and turmoils to conditional of cooperation. suggest. conceived consent. and financial The better that with of cooperation political manufacture shop unions theoreticians nice formalizations State configuration with the mergence of emergence patient suggest associated States between may run than difficulties game currently and thug cooperation. long The United at odds to the in the configurations and Germany, to Sweden bargaining ...) seem quite looking the the infrequent contrary of efficient cooperation. 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