This article was downloaded by: [Solberg, Harry Arne] On: 12 February 2010 Access details: Access Details: [subscription number 919251819] Publisher Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 3741 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Sport in Society Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713634841 European club football: why enormous revenues are not enough? Harry Arne Solberg a; Kjetil K. Haugen b a Trondheim Business School, Trondheim, Norway b Department of Economics, Molde University College, Molde, Norway Online publication date: 12 February 2010 To cite this Article Solberg, Harry Arne and Haugen, Kjetil K.(2010) 'European club football: why enormous revenues are not enough?', Sport in Society, 13: 2, 329 — 343 To link to this Article: DOI: 10.1080/17430430903523036 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17430430903523036 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf This article may be used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material. Sport in Society Vol. 13, No. 2, March 2010, 329–343 European club football: why enormous revenues are not enough? Harry Arne Solberga* and Kjetil K. Haugenb Trondheim Business School, Trondheim, Norway; bDepartment of Economics, Molde University College, Molde, Norway Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 a This essay discusses why many European football clubs have experienced financial problems, despite earning high revenues. The fact that European football clubs are win maximizers make them more aggressive when competing for talented players than professional teams on other continents. So-called eyes of a needle, such as promotion, (avoiding) relegation and qualifying for international tournaments strengthen the cost push effects. Due to the free movement of labour, any regulations have to be implemented simultaneously across the whole of Europe. Achieving such unilateral agreement in 52 national leagues is difficult. European football has a history of powerful clubs that are not favourable to regulations that can reduce their advantages. A game-theory approach illustrates the mechanisms that lead European clubs to spend more resources than they can afford. Additionally, this part offers a new and hopefully interesting explanation, besides objective function differences, when it comes to understanding micro differences between US and European sports. Introduction It is well documented that European football clubs can generate enormous revenues. During the 2005/06 season, Real Madrid, Barcelona and Juventus each earned more than e250 million, while 16 clubs made more than e100 million.1 Table 1 documents high revenues also among the average clubs in the ‘big-five’ European football leagues. Despite this pattern, many football clubs have struggled with severe financial problems, as illustrated in Table 2. In the period from the 1997/98 to the 2003/04 season, the Italian Serie A clubs had an aggregate operating loss of e955 million.2 Before the start of the 2002/03 season, 23 clubs (2 in Serie A, 6 in Serie B, 15 in Serie C) were facing possible exclusion from their respective leagues due to financial problems. In an attempt to reduce the financial problems, several Italian clubs offloaded star players. In addition, many players accepted a reduction in salaries during this period.3 The clubs in the French League 1 had an aggregate operating loss of e404 million from the 1996/97 season to the 2004/05 season.4 However, due to regular export of players, these deficits were not as devastating as for the Italian clubs. Since 1998, more than 50% of the French internationals have played for foreign clubs. With few exceptions, English Premier League clubs have avoided financial difficulties. This, however, has not applied to the lower divisions. From 1999 to 2004, 22 out of 72 clubs in the Football League (the three leagues below the Premier League) were put under administration.5 For the period from 1992/93 to 2005/06, the clubs in the *Corresponding author. Email: [email protected] ISSN 1743-0437 print/ISSN 1743-0445 online q 2010 Taylor & Francis DOI: 10.1080/17430430903523036 http://www.informaworld.com 330 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen Table 1. Average revenues in the ‘big-five’ European football leagues (e-million).6 Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 English Premier League Italian Serie A German Bundesliga Spanish Primera Liga French Ligue 1 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 84 63 58 39 32 98 65 61 42 35 98 64 59 47 33 99 67 69 52 35 100 70 66 58 46 division below the Premier League, (currently named the Championship) alone had a cumulative operating loss of e760 million.7 The majority of the German Bundesliga teams have been quite ‘healthy’ in economic terms. The exceptions have been Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04, who have been hit by severe problems. This is a paradox since both have attracted very high attendances – even from a European perspective. During the 2003/04 season, Borussia Dortmund had an average audience of 74,000 – a capacity utilization of 90%. Schalke attracted 56,000 spectators on average during the same season, a capacity utilization of 93%. Indeed, Dortmund avoided bankruptcy by buying its stadium back from a consortium of investors that were willing to renounce interest payments of several million Euros.8 Football clubs in smaller European football nations have also experienced financial difficulties. In 2003, the combined debt of the 12 Scottish Premier League (SPL) clubs amounted to £186 million. This was £32 million higher than the clubs’ combined annual turnover. At one point during the 2003/04 season, a quarter of the SPL clubs were in administration.9 Benfica, the Portuguese champion in 2001, registered net losses of more than e37 million. This was more than 40% of the total for the entire first division. Its costs for the season were double the club’s income.10 Norwegian elite clubs have also been hit by difficulties, despite a strong growth in revenues from gate receipts and TV rights. From 1998 to 2007 gate attendances increased by 100%, and the TV rights deal commencing in 2005 represented a growth of almost 400% from the previous deal. Nevertheless, in 2007, 10 of the 14 elite clubs had an operating loss, which in total amounted to NOK80 million.11 Indeed, five years earlier similar problems initiated a discussion on whether smaller nations, such as Norway, could afford to have a professional football league.12 ¨ rebro from In 2004, the Swedish Elite Licence Board (ELB) decided to relegate O Allsvenskan (the Swedish elite league) due to financial problems. At some point, Helsingborg, the winner of Allsvenskan (the Swedish elite league) in 1999, risked the same destiny, but was saved by extra funding from the city of Helsingborg. Winning Table 2. Aggregate operating profit/loss (e-million).13 England: Premier League England: Division 1 England: Division 1 – 3 Germany France Italy 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 121 2 20 2 65 100 2 98 2404 180 2113 2160 138 261 2265 216 2 51 2 75 52 2 102 2 234 234 2 61 2 83 65 2 15 1 200 2 77 2 106 72 37 21 Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Sport in Society 331 Allsvenskan qualified them to UEFA’s Champions League, which dramatically increased the revenues the following year. The direct CL-revenues amounted to SEK52 million, a figure that was uncommon in Swedish football at that time. As an illustration, it accounted for 12% of Allsvenskan’s total revenue during the whole season, while Helsingborg’s total revenues accounted for 21% of Allsvenskan’s total revenues. Despite this, the club almost broke its financial neck in the following years. The Champions League adventure increased their ambitions, but also the cost. Star players were recruited, and the organization enhanced. This, in turn, increased the salaries considerably. Unfortunately for Helsingborg, they have never (up to 2008) qualified to the Champions League since the 2000 season. After the CL-adventure, the revenues dropped considerably, i.e. by 41% from 2000 to 2001. This reduction, however, was not reflected in the costs as Table 3 illustrates.14 These examples have illustrated that even the highest revenue generators in European club football can run into financial difficulties. There are few other industries – if any – where firms of so few employees can generate such enormous revenues as the football industry. This paradox, namely that sports clubs with enormous revenues operate at the brink of bankruptcy, has been a European phenomenon. Although teams in other continents also have been affected by financial problems, these have neither occurred as often nor been of the same extent as in Europe. The main purpose of this essay is to provide more insight into the reasons for this and, of course, whether it is possible to solve the problems. Economic theory will be applied to identify the mechanisms that put the clubs in to such difficulties. We also discuss whether Europe successfully can adopt the regulations that have helped North-American teams to avoid such problems, for example the Salary Cap. Theoretical context: the objective and market behaviour of European football clubs The objective of a football club will influence its policy of recruiting players and hence also the revenues and costs. Literature in Sports Economics has distinguished between two alternative objectives: profit maximizing and win maximizing. There has been some consensus that North American clubs behave like profit maximizers, whereas in Europe, Australia and other continents some kind of utility maximization seems to be the objective.15 Sloane considers European soccer clubs as utility maximizers where the utility function of club owners also includes sporting performance.16 According to Vrooman, European club owners are willing to sacrifice some financial return in order to achieve better sporting performance.17 It would probably be more correct, however, to regard these two regimes as polar cases where the behaviour of North American teams is closer to profit maximizing, while the behaviour of European teams is closer to win maximizing, but that teams on both continents emphasize both objectives.18 Table 3. Helsingborg’s revenues and costs the years surrounding their participation in UEFA’s Champions League.19 Revenues Cost Operating result One year before CL participation Year of CLparticipation One year after CLparticipation Two years after CLparticipation Three years after CLparticipation 60.4 58.8 2.0 109.0 88.6 19.5 64.3 81.320 2 7.9 59.5 77.4 218.5 63.3 64.0 26.0 Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 332 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen Figures 1a and 1b use a framework known from production theory and show how much talent a club operating in these two alternative regimes will hire. This presentation is based on Ke´senne, which presents the revenues of a club as a function of the market size (M) and talent (L).21 In this context, M is assumed to be constant. The equations are presented in the Appendix. We call this club X, which is explained in the footnotes. Figure 1a measures its total revenues (Rx) and total costs (Cx) along the vertical axis, while Figure 1b measures the marginal-revenues (MRx), average revenues (ARx) and the talent costs (Wx). The horizontal axes measure talent (Lx) in both figures. Note that in this context, talent is not identical with players. Talent is unequally distributed among the players. A player with many talents is more productive in terms of point- and revenue-generating than one who is less talented. Hence, the most talented players will have the highest salaries. The club will improve its sporting performance by hiring more talent, and hence also increase its revenues. However, the figures illustrate that the growth rate in revenues is diminishing. A profit-maximizing club will hire talent until its marginal revenues equal the unit cost, i.e. at Lx1. A win-maximizing club, however, will operate on ‘break-even’, which is at point Lx0. Hence, it will hire more talent than a profit maximizing club. However, at this Figure 1a and b. (a) Total revenues and costs from recruiting talent; (b) Marginal revenues, average revenues and unit costs from hiring talent. Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Sport in Society 333 Figure 2. Factor market equilibriums for clubs operating in profit-maximizing and win-maximizing regimes. point (Lx0), it has no safety margin. Hence, unexpected reductions in revenues or cost increases will cause a deficit if it is impossible to offload talent (L). In reality, some win-maximizing clubs sometimes hire more talent than Lx0. Funding from wealthy supporters can enable them to operate at a level where the costs exceed the revenues. Indirectly, the decisions of European football clubs are not only influenced by the formal owners of the clubs, but also by the supporters, who often are regarded as the ‘social owners’ of the clubs. Although the supporters have no formal power they nevertheless can influence a club’s decisions by their numbers and by being well organized. In general, the supporters are not concerned about the club’s financial condition unless it affects the ability to hire talent. When clubs are under-performing, they often demand new players, irrespective of whether or not the club can afford it. If the supporters are overlooked, the clubs will risk negative publicity. This, in turn, can reduce the attendances and hence also the revenues from the media and sponsors. To avoid such problems, some clubs might find themselves forced to recruit more talent than they actually can afford, i.e. adopt a solution to the right of Lx0 in Figures 1a and 1b. In recent years, many football clubs have been exposed to unforeseen reductions in revenues. The bankruptcies of Premiere and ITV-Digital (the German and British pay TV broadcasters) early in this century represent two such examples. Both incidents caused severe difficulties, respectively for the German Bundesliga clubs and the English Football-League clubs.22 In cases of revenue reductions, a club operating in a win-maximizing regime will have to cut W or L (or a combination) to avoid deficit. In reality, however, it can be difficult to effect either of the alternative strategies. After the Bosman ruling, long-term contracts became common in European football. Many clubs regarded contracts over periods of three to five years as a safety net that prevented players from disappearing too early. On the other hand, long-term contracts can also become a financial burden if players under-perform or negative shifts in demand occur. Players on long-term contracts are unlikely to be willing to reduce their salaries. To persuade them to move to another club, the selling club may have to offer compensations. Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 334 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen A multi-club perspective In general, a professional football club will earn more revenues the more successful it is. Studying the objectives of the clubs before the start of the season leaves the impression that each and every club aim to perform better than the previous season. This, however, is impossible due to the ‘zero-sum game nature’ of team sports tournaments. If one club climbs on the ladder, then another club has to move down along the same ladder. The most effective instrument to improve the sporting performance is to requite more talent. However, achieving success in football tournaments can be very costly due to the high salaries of the players. Table 4 documents a very strong growth in salaries over a ten year period in the elite leagues in the big five football nations and Sweden.23 In real life, clubs are operating in multi-club environments and not solely as presented in Figure 1a and b. We now introduce a two-club regime, which of course (still) is a simplification compared to the reality in European football leagues, where the number of clubs usually is in the region of 12 to 20. Despite this, a two-club model can illustrate the main reasons for the financial problems of European club football. Figure 2 illustrates the equilibrium solutions in the input markets in the two regimes. The equilibria will be at the point where ARx ¼ ARy in a win-maximizing regime, and at the point when MRx ¼ MRy in a profit-maximizing regime. We now see that the wage rate will be higher in a win-maximizing regime than in a profit-maximizing regime. Hence, European football clubs not only hire more talent than the professional teams in North-America, they also pay more per unit of talent. From Figure 2 we can also read that the aggregate profit of the two clubs will be higher when they operate in a profitmaximizing regime than in a win-maximizing regime. The logic behind this is easy to understand. At Lwm, the marginal revenue in club Y is higher than in club X; MRy . MRx. Hence, the aggregate revenues will increase if we transfer talent from club X to club Y. Summarizing the findings in Figures 1a, 1b and 2 has shown us three major differences between the two regimes. If we stick to the assumptions that European football clubs are win maximizers, while North American professional teams are profit maximizers, we can conclude that: 1. European football clubs recruit more talent than the North American teams. 2. The wage rate in European football will be higher than North American team sports, other things being equal. 3. The aggregate profit will be lower in European football than in North American team sports, other things being equal. Table 4. Salary costs European leagues (e-million). England Italy Spain Germany France Sweden 1995/96 2000/01 2005/06 Growth whole period 250 256 175 187 161 6.3 822 868 491 447 414 16 1,235 806 739 578 541 22.2 383% 222% 322% 209% 236% 200% Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Sport in Society 335 A game-theoretic approach In previous paragraphs, we have discussed various explanations for why football clubs may suffer economic problems – even if revenues are enormous – through traditional (general equilibrium-based) economic arguments. In this section, we will demonstrate that a game-theoretic approach may strengthen such arguments, and even shed some added light into the difference between win- and profit-maximization. Hence, we now focus on the direct competition between clubs and the effects we can infer through simple game models involving player transfers. Consider that the two clubs, X and Y are facing the decision of buying a new player. We assume that a buying decision is made, so the option of not buying is closed. The new player may be expensive (EP) or cheap (CP)24 and the costs (cE and cC, cE . cC )25 for buying the players, are exogenously given. The exogenously given costs (may) indicate that the two teams buy players from different markets. The two teams compete against each other, either for a given qualifying match, or for a series of matches (a league). We furthermore assume that the teams are equally good and that a certain premium or revenue R,26 is related to winning the match (or league) – a loss yields no revenue. The assumption of a single match or a league indicates a win/lose situation. Hence, if both teams are equally good, the probability of winning equals a half for each team. Finally, we assume that buying an expensive player (EP) leads to an increase in the winning probability of 1ð1 . 0Þ. We also assume (to simplify) that both the two expensive players as well as the two cheap players are clones (that is – they are equally good). Now, assuming that both teams maximize expected profits and must make the buying decision simultaneously (or without information on the competing clubs choice), the above situation may be summed up in the two-player simultaneous complete information game of Figure 3. The values in the double matrix of Figure 3 may need some further explanation. As both teams initially are assumed equally good, a coordinated buying decision will not alter this fact. Hence, in the (EP, EP) and (CP, CP) cases, both teams are still equally good and the probability of each team beating the other is 12. Then, expected revenue is 12R and Figure 3. A simple profit-maximizing buying game. 336 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen expected profits are Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 1 R 2 cE 2 or 1 R 2 cC 2 In the situation without coordination (EP, CE) or (CP, EP), the team buying the expensive player (choosing EP) gets a probabilistic advantage equal to 12 þ 1. As a consequence of the assumption of a win/loose situation, the probability of a win for the other team (choosing CP) must be 1 2 (12 þ 1) ¼ 12 2 1. This explains the remaining parts of Figure 3. Given these assumptions, it is straightforward to study the win-maximization (game) option – as indicated by Figure 4 containing winning probabilities for both teams. Recall that, initially, both teams were assumed equally good leading to a winning probability of 12 for both. Adding either both expensive (Ep) or cheap (Cp) players made no difference – hence an unchanged strength relationship between the teams. However, in the situation where one of the teams buys expensive while the other buys cheap, the team buying the expensive player gains the probabilistic advantage of 1. It is easy to analyse these two games. Starting with the simplest in Figure 4, computing best reply correspondences are done as indicated by circles and squares of Figure 4.27 As Figure 4 indicates, a unique pure Nash equilibrium exists where both teams buy the expensive player (i.e. EP, EP). Hence, the win-maximization strategy guarantees that both teams (through competition) choose the expensive player option. The other game (Figure 3) is a little bit more involved, but still easily analysed. This game contains two possible unique pure Nash equilibria – determined by the following inequalities: either or 1R , cE 2 cC or 1R . cE 2 cC 28. In the first case, this Nash equilibrium is (CP, CP) – both teams choose the cheap player. In the second case, the opposite occurs; both teams choose the expensive player (EP, EP). Immediately, we observe the difference between win- and profit-maximization. In the first case, the expensive solution is always chosen. However, in the profit maximization case, both possibilities are open. This may serve as a game theoretic way of explaining why a profit maximizer may choose less expensive players. At the same time, we observe Figure 4. A win-maximization game. Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Sport in Society 337 that profit maximization does not guarantee a cheap solution. In addition, we observe the Prisoner’s Dilemma character of this game (given 1R . cE 2 cC ), as the ‘cheap’ (CP, CP) outcome is preferable (by both agents) compared to the game theoretic prediction of (EP, EP). Finally (and interestingly), we observe that it is perhaps not necessarily the difference in objectives (profit or win maximization) that separates European football from US teams sports, as the value of R plays the role it does. If (by example) RUS p REurope it is perfectly possible that both these Nash equilibria may exist; one in US and the other in Europe – leading to inexpensive choices in US and expensive choices in Europe. The differences in, for instance, relegation/promotion between US/Europe may be serving as an example on strong differences in the R’s. Promotion will usually increase the revenues significantly, while relegation has the opposite effect. The huge revenues involved in playing and advancing in tournaments like Champions League – likewise. Hence, we have shown that the difference in objectives does make a difference. However, equal objectives may still lead to different player-buy-strategies (as well as salary strategies) if the revenues involved differ enough between the two continents. Obviously, our choice of game models involves (extreme) simplification. Still, it is relatively easy to relax some of these simplifying assumptions allowing for unequal teams as well as unequal player characteristics. The game-theoretic approach illustrates the dilemma many European football clubs are facing. If all of them adopt an aggressive (going for the expensive and good players) strategy, the result will be too high wages. If all of them adopt a moderate strategy, for example because the clubs agree to collude, costs can be held under control. If one (or some few) adopt a moderate strategy, while the others follow the aggressive strategy, the former one(s) will have lower costs. Such a strategy, however, may have a long-term negative effect. Firstly, they will risk being overtaken by the clubs that adopt aggressive strategies. This in turn, can reduce their revenues on a medium and long-term basis, both from gate receipts, sponsors and sale from TV rights. The worst scenario is relegation, which can reduce next year’s revenues considerably. This explains why many clubs find it difficult to both achieve sporting success and at the same time cover the costs. It is also important to have in mind that the choice of strategy also will influence the costs of the other clubs, as was illustrated in the ‘down-left’ and ‘up-right’ columns in the ‘gametheory’ figures. If some adopt a moderate strategy, as Team X does in the ‘down-row’ and Team Y in the ‘right-column’, this will reduce the competition, and hence also the costs of the other teams, compared to the situation where all teams adopted an aggressive strategy. This illustrates how the teams can become captured to adopting an aggressive strategy. The dynamics discussed in this section is illustrated in Table 5, which shows the sporting and financial ranking in the Scottish Premier League for the 2000/01 season. The better the clubs performed, the worse was the financial result. The aggregate loss amounted to £48.2 million – of which 60% belonged to the top two clubs (Celtic and Rangers). The only club with a positive profit, St Mirren, finished at the very bottom and was relegated. The relationship among football clubs is different from the relationship among other companies that belong to the same industry. This partly has to do with the uncertainty of outcom/competitive balance phenomena, issues that are well covered in the sport economic literature.29 In his famous article, Rottenberg (1956) argued that the interest in the sport, and hence the total attendance and revenue, will be greater the closer the competition between the competitors is.30 According to Fort and Quirk, professional sports leagues are classic examples of business cartels.31 However, sports leagues differ 338 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen Table 5. Sporting and financial ranking Scottish Premier League (2000/01 season).32 Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Celtic Rangers Hibernian Kilmarnock Hearts Dunfermline Dundee Aberdeen Motherwell St Johnstone Dundee United St Mirren Ranking – operating profit Operating profit (£-mill.) 11 12 5 3 10 8 7 9 4 2 6 1 2 11,190 2 17,531 2 1,990 2 0,853 2 3,776 2 3,026 2 2,505 2 3,220 2 1,462 2 0,339 2 2,370 þ0,054 from other cartels in one important and paradoxical respect, since they are in the business of selling competition, leading to what Neale termed ‘the peculiar economics of professional sports’.33 Unlike any conventional industry, clubs must combine together to produce a product. Thus, they also have an interest in upholding the economic health of their rivals. It is in all teams’ own interest to ensure that none of them become too dominant. Therefore, leagues use a variety of mechanisms to protect the collective interest in upholding uncertainty of outcome/competitive balance. This includes various forms of cross-subsidization of the smaller clubs by the larger clubs. Such a philosophy does not correspond with basic principles in other industries where companies at each level along the value chain would prefer to be the sole supplier (monopolist) or buyer (monopsonist). This would provide them with more market power than if they had to compete with rivalling companies. The importance of upholding the competitive balance has allowed sports clubs to establish cooperations that would be in violation to anti-trust policy in other industries. Another factor that makes European football different from other industries is the trade of players and the consequences this can have. The drawing power of football clubs varies enormously, which also reflects the distribution of revenues. This has initiated a pattern where the rich clubs buy up the most talented players from the ‘less rich’ clubs. For the latter group, the revenues from selling players have an important source. Indeed, many of them base their activity on regular sale of talented players to wealthier clubs. Such trade, however, can also make them vulnerable if the sale dries up. If those at the top of the ‘food chain’ run in to financial problems, this can affect those further down the chain. Indeed, one reason why many Norwegian clubs were affected by financial problems during the first years of this century could be that foreign clubs lost interest in buying Norwegian players.34 Can European club football regulate itself out of the problems? The game theory section illustrated the mechanism behind the growth in wages, and hence also the need to establish regimes that regulate the costs. Sports leagues outside Europe have applied various forms of regulations to keep the teams in a healthy financial condition. One such instrument is the Salary Cap. A hard cap is a maximum wage level, while a soft cap allows clubs to exceed this level. The Salary Cap can be effectuated both as a per-player limit as well as a total limit for the team (or both).35 The major objective is Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Sport in Society 339 to keep the overall costs down, but it can also prevent the wealthiest teams from becoming too dominant, as it reduces their ability to recruit all the top players. Over the years, a number of teams have been fined for breaking the regulation, for example by a reduction in points. However, although Salary Cap has worked effectively on other continents, it will be difficult to introduce in Europe. While North-American and Australian team sports (only) operate in a one-league system within their respective sports, European football club football has more than 50 leagues. These leagues compete fiercely with one another for the (best) players. The free movement of labour within the European Union and the European Economic Zone has added fuel to this competition. Hence, any major regulations of European club football, for example the Salary Cap, require them to be introduced simultaneously. Not surprisingly, it has proven difficult to achieve such universal agreements across Europe. It will take a powerful governing body to effectively introduce and keep the regulations. UEFA does not have the power to enforce any regulations upon the national football associations. Furthermore, regulations such as a Salary Caps are unlikely to be embraced by the wealthiest clubs, since they reduce their market power relatively to the other clubs, which particularly applies to any forms of hard cap. Another hindrance is that wealthy supporters can help the clubs to evade the regulations by illegally remunerating the players. It can be difficult to prove such irregularities. If some clubs suspect others of breaking the rules, this can in itself reduce the incentives to comply with the regulations. The promotion and relegation system in European football can further complicate the implementation of a Salary Cap. A club with a payroll close to the top division’s cap might be relegated and then find themselves significantly over the second division cap. Likewise, a promoted club might have to face the challenge of quickly finding players who it could then pay under a higher cap. Many football associations have introduced control mechanisms aimed at keeping the clubs in a healthy financial condition. This includes various forms of cost regulations where those clubs that do not meet the requirements are punished, for example by relegation, withdrawing or loosing the licence. Anecdotal evidence has indicated that these efforts may have paid off in terms of adjusting the behaviour of the clubs. However, due to free movement of labour within Europe, the effectiveness of such regulations relies heavily on simultaneous implementation in all markets. If domestic regulations go further than in rivalling leagues, the best clubs will find it difficult to compete internationally. This has been illustrated in France, which has had stricter regulations than any of the other ‘bigfive’ football nations. In addition, footballers in France are also taxed more heavily than in most of the other leagues. This policy has reduced their ability to compete internationally with clubs from England, Spain and Italy.36 French club football has not been as successful as the national team. The question for the future is whether France will keep its regulatory systems intact.37 Financial support from wealthy supporters Many European clubs have been supported financially by wealthy supporters, including the local public sector. One such example occurred when the city of Helsingborg offered their local football club a loan of SEK20 million, and later transferred it to a gift.38 Another example was in Spain, when Real Madrid, the Spanish giant, was able to cancel a debt of nearly e300 million, after persuading Madrid City Council and the Autonomous Community of Madrid to sell the Ciudad Deportiva ground for e480 million. Another 340 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen example on a smaller scale is Sporting de Gijon, which sold its Mareo Football School and its brand name to the City Council for e12 million in 2001.39 These three examples relate to situations of clubs that otherwise could have gone bankrupt. Receiving such support does not represent a problem in it self. The problems can arise if the clubs get used to being saved so that it reduces their cost discipline, for example so that they spend more on hiring players than they can afford. Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Bonus salaries This essay has illustrated that European club football needs better cost control to prevent the financial difficulties we have observed in recent years. However, it has also illustrated the need to tie the costs and revenues. One solution is to replace fixed salaries with bonus salaries. However, to effectively improve the financial results, it is absolutely necessary that the salaries correlate with the revenues. It is not enough to tie the salaries to performance. Indeed, if improved sporting performance is unable to trigger an increase in revenues, then bonus salaries can even worsen the financial result. The clubs may have a hard job persuading the players to accept bonus clauses instead of fixed salaries. Risk aversive players are unlikely to embrace the proposal. Hence, the chance of bonus salaries being accepted will be influenced by the distribution of market power between the players and the clubs. The fiercer the competition for the players, the better cards they have when negotiating with the clubs. The better cards the players have, the more difficult it will be to persuade them to accept bonus salaries. The problems of replacing bonus salaries with fixed salaries illustrate a conflict between individual and collective rationality. The revenues of a club can vary significantly over the years. For many clubs, TV rights fees have become the most important revenue. Although the long term trend has been a growth, one also finds many exceptions – even on the most popular products. In addition, other factors which influence the revenues of the clubs can also fluctuate. European club football has many needle eyes which do not have room for all that try to pass. Those that fail to pass, for example by missing out on qualifying to international tournaments or by being relegated, can find it very difficult to cover the costs. If so, the club might be unable to remunerate its players. Hence, in the end the players may be forced to accept reductions in salaries against their will, even if their contracts guarantee fixed salaries. Conclusions This essay has discussed why many European football clubs have experienced financial problems, despite earning high revenues. These problems have not only been due to low revenues or high costs – but also to lack of correlation between the revenues and the costs. The fact that European football clubs are win maximizers make them more aggressive when competing for talented players, than professional teams on other continents. This can explain why professional leagues outside Europe to a greater extent have avoided such financial problems. The game-theory approach has illustrated the mechanisms which put European clubs into situations where they spend more resources than they can afford. Additionally, this part offers a new and hopefully interesting explanation besides objective function differences when it comes to understanding micro differences between US and European sports. Leagues on other continents have applied various regulations that have held the costs under control. Such regulations, for example the Salary Cap, are difficult to introduce in Sport in Society 341 Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 Europe. Due to the free movement of labour, they have to be implemented simultaneously across whole Europe. Achieving such unilateral agreement between more than 50 national leagues has turned out to be difficult. In addition, European football has a history of powerful and wealthy clubs, and these will not be favourable towards any regulations that can reduce their advantages. Another alternative is to replace fixed salaries with bonus salaries. This, however, will transfer risk from the clubs to the players. Therefore, the clubs may have a tough job convincing the players that the instrument is absolutely necessary. As for the other regulations, their success will depend on whether they are introduced simultaneously across Europe. This shows that the problems are not (necessarily) due to too low revenues or too high costs, but due to lack of correlation between the revenues and the costs. What is missing is mechanisms that tie the costs to the revenues. Notes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Deloitte, Annual Review of Football Finance. Ibid. http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/europe/2164106.stm. Deloitte, Annual Review of Football Finance. Buraimo, Simmons and Szymanski, ‘English Football’. Deloitte, Annual Review of Football Finance. Ibid. Frick and Prinz, ‘Crisis? What Crisis?’. Morrow, ‘Scottish Football’. Barros, ‘Portuguese Football’. http://fotball.aftenposten.no/eliteserien/article117919.ece. Source: http://e24.no/naeringsliv/article1995579.ece. Deloitte, Annual Review of Football Finance. See Carlson, ‘Insolvency’, for a thorough description of these two cases. Fort, Sports Economics; Fort and Quirk, ‘Cross-subsidization’; Fort and Quirk, ‘Owner Objectives’; Vrooman, ‘A Unified Theory’; Ke´senne, ‘League Management’; Ke´senne, ‘Competitive Balance’; Sloane, ‘The Economics of Professional Football’; Szymanski, ‘Income Inequality’; Rottenberg, ‘The Baseball Players’ Labour Market’. Sloane, ‘The Economics of Professional Football’; Vrooman, ‘A Unified Theory’. Gratton and Solberg, Economics of Sport Broadcasting. Source: http://www.svenskfotball.se/t2svff.aspx?p=288436. Of which SEK 15.7 million refer to Champions League participation in 2000. Ke´senne, ‘League Management’. Gratton and Solberg, Economics of Sport Broadcasting. Source: Deloitte, Annual Review of Football Finance; Carlsson, ‘Insolvency’. SEK 100 ¼ e10.39 (September 2008). That is, EP, CP are the possible decision variable values for any team. cE and cC can be viewed as total team costs (both possible sign on fees as well as salaries) for a relevant time horizon. The point is of course that team costs after adding an expensive player should be larger than after adding a cheap player – cE . cC As the above costs where defined as total costs, it is obviously reasonable to view the revenue R as total revenue over the same relevant time horizon. Note that we have chosen not to let R be a function of buying choice. In practice this could be relevant – after all David Beckham sells more shirts than Mister Nobody. However, in order to keep analytic complexity down we have deliberately chosen this simplification. Still, the modelling framework makes such a relaxation tractable. Best reply correspondences are optimal choices for each player as a function of all possible strategic choices for the opponent. They are shown as circles for team X and squares for team Y in Figure 4. A Nash equilibrium can then be popularly defined as all «intersections» between best reply correspondences – i.e. all subsquares with both a circle and a square in Figure 4. 342 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 H.A. Solberg and K.K. Haugen The third option of 1R ¼ cE 2 cC involves an infinite number of Nash equilibriums in pure and mixed strategies and is not discussed further here due to its extreme unlikeliness. See Ke´senne, The Economic Theory, for a detailed overview. Rottenberg, ‘The Baseball Players’ Labour Market’ Fort and Quirk, ‘Cross-subsidization’. Pearson correlation: 2 0.643, significant at 0.024 level. Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers, The PricewaterhouseCoopers Financial Review. Neale, ‘The Peculiar Economics’. http://www.aftenposten.no/nyheter/sport/article754427.ece. See Ke´senne, The Economic Theory, for more details. Bolotny, ‘Football in France’. See Gouguet and Primault, ‘The French Exception’, for a thorough discussion on this matter. Carlson, ‘Insolvency’. Garcı`a and Rodrı`guez, ‘The Economics of Soccer’. Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 References Barros, C.P. ‘Portuguese Football’. Journal of Sports Economics 7 (2006): 96 – 104. Bolotny, F. ‘Football in France’. In Handbook of the Economics of Sport, edited by W. Andreff and S. Szymanski. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2007. Buraimo, B., R. Simmons, and S. Szymanski. ‘English Football’. Journal of Sports Economics 7 (2006): 29 –46. Carlsson, B. ‘Insolvency and the Domestic Juridification of Football in Sweden’. Soccer and Society. Forthcoming. Deloitte. Annual Review of Football Finance. Manchester: Deloitte & Touche LLP, 2007. https://www.deloitte.co.uk/RegistrationForms/PDFs/DeloitteFootballMoneyLeague2007.pdf. Fort, R. Sports Economics. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, Pearson, 2003. Fort, R., and J. Quirk. ‘Cross-subsidization, Incentives, and Outcomes in Professional Team Sports Leagues’. Journal of Economic Literature 33 (1995): 1265– 99. Fort, R., and J. Quirk. ‘Owner Objectives and Competitive Balance’. Journal of Sports Economics 5 (2004): 20 – 32. Frick, B., and J. Prinz. ‘Crisis? What Crisis? Football in Germany’. Journal of Sports Economics 7 (2006): 60 –75. Garcı`a, J., and P. Rodrı`guez. ‘The Economics of Soccer in Spain’. In Handbook of the Economics of Sport, edited by W. Andreff and S. Szymanski. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2007. Gouguet, J.J., and D. Primault. ‘The French Exception’. Journal of Sports Economics 7 (2006): 47–59. Gratton, C., and H.A. Solberg. The Economics of Sport Broadcasting. London: Routledge, 2007. Ke´senne, S. ‘League Management in Professional Team Sport with Win Maximizing Clubs’. European Journal for Sport Management 2 (1996): 14 – 22. Ke´senne, S. ‘Competitive Balance and Revenue Sharing: When Rich Clubs Have Poor Teams’. Journal of Sports Economics 5 (2004): 206– 12. Ke´senne, S. The Economic Theory of Professional Team Sports – An Analytical Treatment. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2007. Morrow, S. ‘Scottish Football – It’s a Funny Old Business’. Journal of Sports Economics 7 (2006): 90–5. Neale, W.C. ‘The Peculiar Economics of Professional Sports’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 78 (1964): 1 –14. PricewaterhouseCoopers. The PricewaterhouseCoopers Financial Review of Scottish Football Season 2000/01. Glasgow: Pricewaterhouse Coopers, 2002. Rottenberg, S. ‘The Baseball Players’ Labour Market’. Journal of Political Economy 64 (1956): 243– 58. Sloane, P.J. ‘The Economics of Professional Football: The Football Club as a Utility Maximiser’. Scottish Journal of Political Economy 17 (1971): 121– 45. Szymanski, S. ‘Income Inequality, Competitive Valance and the Attractiveness of Team Sports. Some Evidence and a Natural Experiment from English Soccer’. Economic Journal 111 (2001): F69– 84. Vrooman, J. ‘A Unified Theory of Capital and Labour Markets in Major League Baseball’. Southern Economic Journal 63 (1997): 594– 619. Sport in Society 343 Appendix The equations 1 and 4 present the revenues of club X and Y as a function of L (talent) while the equations 2, 3, 5 and 6 present the marginal and average revenues. Equations 7 and 8 show that the costs increase proportionally with L. Equation 9 shows that all talent available is being distributed between the two clubs. 1. Rx ¼ ax Lx 2 bx L2x 2. MRx ¼ ax 2 2bx Lx 3. ARx ¼ ax 2 bx Lx 4. Ry ¼ ay Ly 2 by L2y 5. MRy ¼ ay 2 2by Ly 6. ARy ¼ ay 2 by Ly Downloaded By: [Solberg, Harry Arne] At: 23:56 12 February 2010 7. Cx ¼ W*x Lx 8. Cy ¼ W*y Ly 9. L ¼ Lx þ Ly Setting MRx ¼ MRy gives us equation 10 which is the equilibrium equation for the clubs operating in a profit maximum regime 10. ax 2 2bx Lx ¼ ay 2 2by Ly while ARx ¼ ARy gives us equation 11, which is the equilibrium equation for clubs operating in a win maximum regime. 11. ax 2 bx Lx ¼ ay 2 by Ly Abbreviations: M ¼ Market size L ¼ Talent W ¼ Costs per unit of talent C ¼ Total costs R ¼ Total revenues
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