Admiral Group plc - Why we are successful. Pricing – Peter Marissen 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Pricing We decide which price to charge each customer Mainly pricing analyses focus on how different parts of the portfolio perform relative to each other Decisions are based on claims results and price sensitivity 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Data We ask more questions than other insurers e.g. occupations, licence months We are major users of external data Credit data Vehicle data Demographic data Claims data (CUE) The q quality good y of our data is very yg direct insurer monitoring external data post-sale validation 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Analyses • Emphasis on in-house developed methods • A high level of detail • Use of traditional pricing methods (GLMs) where appropriate • Constant review of rates, and quick implementation of changes 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Ratechanges for 2008 (so far) Q1 2008 4-Jan 4 Jan 7-Jan 7-Jan 11-Jan 11-Jan 16-Jan 16 Jan 23-Jan 25-Jan 29-Jan 29-Jan 31-Jan 1-Feb 6-Feb 8-Feb 8-Feb 13-Feb 15 F b 15-Feb 22-Feb 22-Feb 26-Feb 4-Mar 4-Mar 11-Mar 19-Mar Q2 2008 Voluntary excess TP Only on Confused Confused: Females 3+ vehicles to Admiral GC, MSM & Bell AGP Int all same rates DD +2% on aggregators NCBP on MoneySuperMarket +5% 5% Modifications Lic Years 0-12 for GoCompare OwnUse Standard & MultiCar Scrutiny high premium rule to £4,000 MSM Males to AD from Bell Tesco Compare Live AD & DI TP Only on Go Compare Rule: Unemployed Class of Use MSM Bell Business Modifications for Minis M ltiC Ri MultiCar Risks k vs D Drivers i Age change for Northern Ireland CTM quote for all risks AD & DI Base Rate New Business Right Hand Drive UK residency Base Rate New Business Call Connection Live AD & DI & EL 4-Apr 4 Apr 4-Apr 11-Apr 15-Apr 15-Apr 23-Apr 23 Apr 24-Apr 25-Apr 29-Apr 7-May 19-May 21-May 22-May 13-Jun 13-Jun 18-Jun 18 J 18-Jun 26-Jun 27-Jun Q3 2008 Equal Instalments - 100% Live Base Rate New Business TP Only on BTQ Socio-Demographics Rated Driver Rule Age criteria change Block business use for Delivery Driver LTSB Insurance.co.uk Live AD & DI & BL Bell Business cheapest on LTSB Imports from Confused filter change Price Trials TP Only on IW Retired under age 45 Bell Business Call Connection Live Post Code Town MultiCar Region Bell Business for Call Connection I Imports t from f Confused C f d rate t change h Cover VehAge Value Remove Renewal price trial 15-Jul 15 Jul 15-Jul 16-Jul 18-Jul 22-Jul 24-Jul 24 Jul 29-Jul 29-Jul 1-Aug 14-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 22-Aug 28-Aug 1-Sep EEC License Non-Motoring convictions AGP Direct Internet AD, DI & EL, MSM AD Remove New Business price trial Max Vehicle age Rule Convictions Exotics Voluntary excess Base Rate increase Bell Business for Go Compare Named Driver Lic Years Sex and Age Unemployed by class of use Tracker Base Rate increase 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Philosophy of pricing : what is a good risk? We like everyone – as long as the price is right 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Our approach to new initiatives Some new initiatives focus on specific segments of the market e.g. Northern N th IIreland, l d utility tilit vehicles, hi l exotic ti vehicles, hi l … New initiatives often have a pricing angle that we explore e.g. e g An example is MultiCar Claims – Stuart Morgan 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Why are we successful? 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Because we’re good at handling motor i insurance claims. l i 24/02/2010 14:55:37 More Specifically Getting customers back on the road following a crash Dealing with their liability to third parties 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Customers C t lik like us 91% say they th would ld renew their th i policy li following a claim Sometimes we can’t pay them what they want 24/02/2010 14:55:37 We settle third party bodily injury claims faster than ever 24/02/2010 14:55:37 % BI CLAIMS SETTLED WITHIN 12 MONTH 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Liability scenarios Hit in rear Misleading signals Pedestrians 24/02/2010 14:55:37 We settle 25% of claims without a lawyer getting tti a fee f 24/02/2010 14:55:37 We reserve conservatively 24/02/2010 14:55:37 We’re good at detecting fraud Soft fraud Hard fraud 24/02/2010 14:55:37 People Claims Management over 150 years experience 10% attrition in general staff We laugh a lot Especially at fraudsters UK Operations – Nick Weng Kan 24/02/2010 14:55:37 What does UK operation cover? Sales Sales Customer service Customer services Renewals Opening hours Mon - Fri 8am - 10pm Sat 9am - 5pm Sun 10am - 4pm Outbound Renewals Quality 0800 118 1644 Opening hours Mon - Fri 8am - 10pm Sat 9am - 5pm Sun 10am - 4pm Opening hours Mon - Fri 8am - 10pm Sat 9am - 5pm Sun 10am - 4pm 0871 882 2233 0844 848 0050 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Where are we based? Halifax, NS Cardiff, Swansea Bangalore GMT - 4:00 GMT GMT + 4:30 Sales, Renewals All Customer Service 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Our structure until June 2008 Swansea Sales,, CS,, Renewals Cardiff Shared resources Sales, CS, Renewals Outbound, Quality Sales, CS, Renewals Sales, CS, Renewals 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Importance of aggregators Sales by channel 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% Telephone l h Internet Aggregator 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% H1 07 H2 07 H1 08 24/02/2010 14:55:37 New structure Sales Halifax Swansea Customer service Cardiff Outbound Quality Renewals Bangalore 24/02/2010 14:55:37 What the new structure allowed us to do No change to the culture Manage a portfolio of brands Greater staffing flexibility Find staffing synergies Extend operating hours Etc… 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Discounting Discounting g introduced 19 September p 07 Discounting of ancillary products only Increase ancillar ancillary penetration Capture additional income at renewals stage First renewals coming now 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Discounting example Sale of p policy y is secured Sales person offer first ancillary Then second ancillar ancillary Confused.com – Carlton Hood 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Why we have been so successful Being g first Being focused Being frugal ...and genuinely passionate about what we do 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Being first Confused Confused.com com was not the first price aggregator But it was one of the first to go big on TV... ...benefiting from high TV response rates in early years... ...and higher rates of returning customers today 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Being focused 1st position quote to sale ratio [% ] Confused.com focused on p price comparison for car insurance 16% 14% 12% 10% Relentless attention to the detail of the sales process delivered industry leading conversion rates rates... ..and resulting higher volumes in a single prod product ct area enabled the negotiation of higher revenue / sale from providers... Source: Ebenchmarkers 2008 8% 6% 4% 2% Confused Co used MS SM Go Co Compare pa e Tesco esco 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Being frugal # FTES Part of the Admiral “DNA” transferred to confused.com Management overheads kept to a minimum Clear focus on profitability of every single transaction 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Future success Not only... ...But also Great at a single product Great at multiple products Lowest cost of acquisition Highest cross sell / revenue per customer Fantastic direct response TV Highest brand preference / top of mind awareness First Focused Frugal + Breadth / CRM Brand Right people International Balumba.es – Christophe Sanchez 24/02/2010 14:55:37 The Spanish market Direct Players GWP (m Eur) 14 12 9.8 10 10.6 11.2 11.5 12 2 12.2 12 5 12.5 8.9 8 8 6 4 GWP (m Eur) Market Share Linea Directa Direct Seguros Genesis Fenix Directo Balumba Click Seguros Zurich Connect 644 210 201 56 21 2 new 5,13% 5 13% 1,67% 1,60% 0,45% 0 12% 0,12% 0,01% new Total 1133 9,00% Mutua Mad 1216 9,69% 2 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Market GWP (m Eur) 2005 2006 2007 Direct Players Marketing Spend in first Semester ´08: 08: Eur 36m (+29% vs ´07) 07). Zurich Connect started in May and today represent 17% of the spend 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Balumba : half year results Vehicle count 60,000 at end June ´08 (+258% on June ´07, +27% on Dec ´07) Total premium €13.8m (€6.6m at June ´07) Loss Ratio development by underwriting year Month 2007 2008 A Ancillary ill contribution t ib ti €2.0m €2 0 (€0 (€0.9m 9 att June J ´07). €73.6 per policy (€61.0 at June ´07, increase 21%) 6 149% 107% 12 137% - 2008 Loss Ratio 107% (versus 149% for 2007 at the same point in time) 18 136% - Loss in period GBP 800k (€1.1m) 203 Staff based in Seville 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Balumba: approaching our 2nd birthday So far, far Balumba has proved to be able: To generate leads and acquire business To generate additional income Challenge of year 2/3: Continue with the improvement of the loss ratio 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Balumba: improving the loss ratio (I) Maturity factors: Scale Age of portfolio Market Frecuency for TPL (no BI) by age of policy Frecuency Age of policy <1 year 1 year 2 years 3-4 years 2006 13,45% 12 05% 12,05% 10,45% 9,16% 2007 12,78% 11 53% 11,53% 10,02% 8,86% Avg cost of claims 2006 928 898 876 872 2007 1003 964 934 903 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Balumba: improving the loss ratio (II) Internal factors: Pricing More questions and more data Underwriting quality Claims Approved repairers Proactivity AdmiralDirekt.de – Sita Schwenzer 24/02/2010 14:55:37 German motor insurance market – key facts & figures Key facts Germany versus UK Technical results – German motor insurance 10% Figure (2007) Germany UK Number of private vehicles (in m) GWP private vehicles (in b €) Average Premium private cars (in €) Split of cover (GWP) Non comprehensive Non-comprehensive Comprehensive Market share direct players 37 14 374 26 14 540 50% 50% 11% 89% ~10% 70% Rates evolution and loss ratio 105% 410 100% 400 95% 390 90% 380 85% 370 80% Premium 2000 2001 Loss ratio 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Incl. 7-10% reserve releases and ~ 5% claims handling costs. Source: Munich Re, GDV, Forrester, Psychonomics 0% -5% -10% Average expense ratio 17%, excl. claims handling costs -15% Seasonality of sales 420 1998 1999 % verd. Beiträge 5% • Policy Renewal date is usually Jan 1st, this is a tradition,, not compulsory p y • Motor insurers focus their marketing efforts in Q4 => Key operational challenge for motor insurer 24/02/2010 14:55:37 The internet – an irresistible force E-mail; Search engines; Surfing Information about leisure Visit company / brand sites Buy goods/ services, services e.g. travel; online banking Buy at auction; Download software Buy financial products, e.g. car insurance Immediate 1st y year 2nd y year 3rd y year 4th y year 5th y year Source: Forrester Research/ Analysis of Consumer Technographics 1999-2004. Purchases travel online - forecast (€m) B2C (total, in €m) 80000 20000 60000 15000 40000 2005: €5bn 2011: €19bn 10000 2005: €15bn 2011: €63bn 20000 0 1999 2000 Germany 2005 2008 2011 5000 0 2005 2008 2011 UK Germanyy Source: HDE/Bundesverband Digitale Wirtschaft 2005 UK 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Why Admiral Germany will be successful Pricing • Additional rating factors • Deeper rating factors • Usage of external data • More sophisticated combig factors nation of rating Marketing • Strongly cost driven • More specific targeting of customer segments • Innovate and test Sales • Up-selling • Motivated high performing staff General management Culture • Cost management • Lower staff attrition rates • Customer approach • Flexible IT Claims • Efficiency • Claim control • Active claims management 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Admiral – Milestones a year after launch Achievements so far: Launched a direct insurer in 8 months Acquired over 9,000 customers in peak season, currently at 11,000 customers Identified cheap Marketing channels resulting in low customer acquisition cost Portfolio of products that the customer is familiar with and some product innovations Set up network of external suppliers (aggregators, approved garages) Staff: 100 employees Different work environment, young enthusiastic team Challenges: Further identify y attractive customer segments g Recruiting experienced insurance staff Overcome operational p challenge g of p peak season ConTe.it – Milena Mondini 24/02/2010 14:55:37 Italy is a large profitable market ... 25.0 20.0 15.0 14.3 •2nd biggest market in Europe: £ 17.9b (€ 21.5b) Gross Written Premiums (€ b) 15.9 16.9 19 6 19.6 18.2 20 7 20.7 21.1 21.4 21.6 21.5 85% 10.0 5.0 0.0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 MOD MTPL •highest veichle density: 0.87 per person •high avg. private car premium: £ 398 (€ 479) Underwriting Results Source: ANIA 2007 Exchange rate £:€ = 1:1.203 (Mid-Aug08) 49 24/02/2010 14:55:37 ...with clear ongoing evolution. 3,5% 6,1(1)% Agents Italy is still dominated by tied agents, Direct Others 90,4% Direct Indemnityy / reduced litigation g costs No tied-agents mandates allowed but new regulations aim at increasing number of switchers and price sensitiveness No automatic renewal Stricter transparency requirements Customers education initiatives Authorities restructuring Internet Penetration (2) 60% and online business is growing! +50% Online Insurance % 3,0% 40% 2,0% 20% 1,0% 0% 0% 2003 2007 Source: Forrester Consumer Technographics, Nov 2005 & Online Insurance Forecast 06-11 (1) Include brokers and all insurance products, but car insurance is the main product (2) Estimated on users age 15+ / total country population age 15+ +21% •New aggregators arising •Direct model 2006 2007 awareness increasing by 30%(3) (3) Internal elaboration from focus groups 07 vs. 06 50 24/02/2010 14:55:37 6 direct players but only 1 real direct company … Direct Players Total direct GWP (€ m) % Direct Media invest: 06/07* 8,80% 2.911 8,40% 23% 216 1 90% 1,90% 2 692 2.692 8 00% 8,00% 22% 153 1,30% 2.252 6,80% 20% 102 ‐11% 679 15,00% 29% 13 8,30% 4.191 0,30% , n/a / 248 18,10% 978 6,8% GWP (€ m) 07/06 g% 246 Extrapolation estimate based on real investment jan-jul 06/07 Parent Company 34% Tot. 25% 24/02/2010 14:55:37 ….until May 30th! Low Price Easiness = “ WithY WithYou ” Personal relation Launched on May, 30th 2008! 52 24/02/2010 14:55:37 ConTe.it is innovative across the value-chain … Marketing Competitive independent networks (loss-adjusters, lawyers, doctors) Anti-fraud kit Working on new claims settlement tools Selective scouting / strong partnerships PPP agreements (penalties, rewards) Product Claims Suppliers Management In-house Data Center Edge technologies Partnership with major media (CPS agreements) Direct response and testing approach on alternative media We are different! Pricing Sales IT Payments 3 cover types 1st to offer a named drivers product in Italy up to 10 additional tariff factors Sophisticated and flexible pricing model Lean process. E.g.. g No signature g collection Customer focus service Working g on alternative payment methods and installments 53 24/02/2010 14:55:37 … and on people management Diversity Young motivated talents Focus on development Entrepreneurial E t i l spirit! • 6 nationalities, 10 Italian regions • Multitude of industries and expertise • Diverse senior management team (4 countries) • 90% employees age <=35 vs. insurance industry 23% • Average salary 40% lower than insurance industry average • 55% graduated people vs. insurance industry average 30% • Sales incentives 5 times market average • Intensive, 360° training • Meritocracy and internal promotions • Consultants not call center staff • Proximity and inter-department interactions • Open space, appealing culture and a lot of fun! 54 Questions?
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