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Academic Misconduct Rules (Students) All forms of cheating, plagiarism or collusion are regarded seriously and could result in penalties including loss of marks, exclusion from the unit or cancellation of enrolment. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------- ASSIGNMENT RECEIPT To be completed by the student if the receipt is required UNIT NAME OF STUDENT NAME OF LECTURER Topic of assignment STUDENT ID. NO. RECEIVED BY DATE RECEIVED 0 TABLE OF CONTENT Page QUESTION 1 3 QUESTION 2 7 QUESTION 3 10 3-A 10 3-B 14 3-C 15 3-D 17 QUESTION 4 18 QUESTION 5 18 QUESTION 6 19 BIBLIOGRAPHY 20 1 CASE STUDY: WORKING COMPUTERS INC. GIVEN INFORMATION With Without New Investment New Investment $495 $495 Unit price Operating expenses (% of retail price) 0.26 0.24 Cost of good sold (% of retail price) 0.54 0.60 Tax rate 0.34 0.34 Overall cost of Capital 0.145 Loan $18,000,000 Interest rate 0.12 Increase in Account Payable (a) $3,000,000 Increase in Account Receivable (b) $5,500,000 Increase in Inventory (c) $2,000,000 Chang in Net working capital = (b) + (c) - (a) $4,500,000 Sales Projections (units, in thousands) 2003 With New Investment 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 180,000 150,000 189,000 246,000 264,000 264,000 264,000 Without New Investment 180,000 150,000 102,000 57,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 Depreciation Table Ownership Year Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Loan depreciated as 5-year asset Depreciation of 10 year-asset Total Annual $18,000,000 $56,000,000 Recovery Recovery Annual Recovery Recovery Annual Recovery Allowance ($) (%) Allowance ($) (%) Allowance ($) 0.2 0.32 3,600,000 5,760,000 0.1 0.18 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.07 0.07 5,600,000 10,080,000 7,840,000 6,720,000 5,040,000 3,920,000 3,920,000 7,520,000 9,680,000 2 Ownership Year Year 8 9 10 11 Loan depreciated as 5-year asset Depreciation of 10 year-asset Total Annual $18,000,000 $56,000,000 Recovery Recovery Annual Recovery Recovery Annual Recovery Allowance (%) Allowance ($) (%) Allowance ($) ($) 2006 2007 2008 2009 0.19 0.12 0.11 0.06 3,420,000 2,160,000 1,980,000 1,080,000 18,000,000 Total ($) 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.03 3,920,000 3,920,000 3,360,000 1,680,000 56,000,000 7,340,000 6,080,000 5,340,000 2,760,000 QUESTION 1 In order to prepare the cash flow, the items that should be included/excluded as below No Items Decision Reason a) Included The increase in Account receivable, Account Increase in: + Account Payable Payable and Inventory are the working capital + Account Receivable requirement change, resulted from new investment. + Inventory Therefore, they must be included in investment cash flow at the beginning of the project. It is in ofrder to finance operating cycle of the project at the starting point. This amount of money will be recovered at the end of the project in 2009 b) $18 million and interest Excluded expenses c) d) Depreciation of both It already included in WACC of 14.5%, if it is inlcuded in Cash flow, then it is doublecounted Excluded As they are not cash flow but they are used to $56 million and $18 calculate profit after tax that is a part of net cash million investment flow. Terminal value for division at the and of Included It is cash flow and included in terminal cash flow which appear only at the end of the project. 2009 Using information given and the above explaination on the four items, the Cash Flow for 2 options of With New Invetment (Table 1) and Without New Investment (Table 2) will be as following: 3 Table 1: Cash Flow Table for Bernoulli 2004-2009 (With New Investment) Assumption: $18 million would be invested to Bernoulli division at the end of 2003 No Items 2003 (Year 0) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 74,250,000.00 93,555,000.00 121,770,000.00 130,680,000.00 130,680,000.00 130,680,000.00 1 Initial Investment 2 Working Capital Requirement Change 3 Sales 4 Cost of Goods Sold (40,095,000.00) (50,519,700.00) (65,755,800.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) 5 Operation Expense (19,305,000.00) (24,324,300.00) (31,660,200.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) 6 Less: Depreciation (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 7 Net Profits before Int. & Taxes 7,330,000.00 9,031,000.00 17,014,000.00 20,056,000.00 20,796,000.00 23,376,000.00 8 Less: Tax (2,492,200.00) (3,070,540.00) (5,784,760.00) (6,819,040.00) (7,070,640.00) (7,947,840.00) 9 Net Profits after Taxes & before Int. 4,837,800.00 5,960,460.00 11,229,240.00 13,236,960.00 13,725,360.00 15,428,160.00 10 Add: Depreciation 7,520,000.00 9,680,000.00 7,340,000.00 6,080,000.00 5,340,000.00 2,760,000.00 11 Working Capital Requirement Recovery 12 Terminal Value 161,213,793.10 13 Tax on Terminal Value (54,812,689.66) 14 Operating Net Cash Flow (18,000,000.00) (4,500,000.00) 4,500,000.00 (22,500,000.00) 12,357,800.00 15,640,460.00 18,569,240.00 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 129,089,263.45 Explaination for Table 1: * Item 2: Working Capital Requirement Change = Increase in Account Receivable + Increase in Inventory - Increase in Accounts Payables Working capital requirement change is used to finance operating cycle fund at the beginning of the project and would be recovered at the end of the project when inventory already sold out. * Item 4: Cost of Good Sold = 54% of Sales 4 * Item 5: Opeation Expenses = 25 of Sales * Item 6: Refer to Depreciation above * Item 8: Net profits after taxes & before Int. = (Sales - Cost of Goods sold - Operation Expense – Depreciation) – Corporate Tax * Item 12: Terminal value = Net Operating Income / Cost of Capital = Net Profit before Increst & taxes / Cost of Capital Terminal value = 23,376,000.00 / 14.5% = 161,213,793.10 Terminal value in the cash flow must be deducted from tax on Terminal value (34%) and it only appear at the end of the project. * Item 14: Operating Net Cash Flow = Net Profit before Int. + Depreciation + Working Capital Requirement Recovery + Terminal value - Tax on Terminal Add Depreciation is used to calculate Net profits after tax but it is not cash flow run out of the project, based on a Axiom in evaluating project: cash is the king. Table 2: Cash Flow Table for Bernoulli 2004-2009 Assumption: No investment would be approved to Bernoulli Division No Items 1 Initial Investment 2 Sales 3 2003 (Year 0) 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 74,250,000.00 50,490,000.00 28,215,000.00 23,760,000.00 23,760,000.00 23,760,000.00 Cost of Goods Sold (44,550,000.00) (30,294,000.00) (16,929,000.00) (14,256,000.00) (14,256,000.00) (14,256,000.00) 4 Operation Expense (17,820,000.00) (12,117,600.00) (6,771,600.00) (5,702,400.00) (5,702,400.00) (5,702,400.00) 5 Less: Depreciation (3,920,000.00) (3,920,000.00) (3,920,000.00) (3,920,000.00) (3,360,000.00) (1,680,000.00) 6 Net Profits before Taxes & Int. 7,960,000.00 4,158,400.00 594,400.00 (118,400.00) 441,600.00 2,121,600.00 7 Tax (2,706,400.00) (1,413,856.00) (202,096.00) 40,256.00 (150,144.00) (721,344.00) 8 Net Profits after Taxes & before Int. 5,253,600.00 2,744,544.00 392,304.00 (78,144.00) 291,456.00 1,400,256.00 9 Add: Depreciation 3,920,000.00 3,920,000.00 3,920,000.00 3,920,000.00 3,360,000.00 1,680,000.00 5 No Items 2003 (Year 0) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 10 Terminal Value 14,631,724.14 11 Tax on Terminal Value (4,974,786.21) 12 Operating Net Cash Flow 0.00 9,173,600.00 6,664,544.00 4,312,304.00 3,841,856.00 3,651,456.00 12,737,193.93 Explaination for Table 2: * Item 3: Cost of Good Sold = 60% of Sales * Item 4: Opeation Expenses = 24% of Sales * Item 5: Refer to Depreciation above * Item 8: Net Profits after Taxes & before Int. = (Sales - Cost of Goods sold - Operation Expense – Depreciation) – Corporate Tax * Item 12: Terminal value = Net Operating Income / Cost of Capital = Net Profit before Increst & taxes / Cost of Capital Terminal value = 1,400,256.00 / 14.5% = 14,631,724.14 Terminal value in the cash flow must be deducted from tax on Terminal value (34%) and it only appear at the end of the project. * Item 12: Operating Net Cash Flow = Net Profit before Int. + Depreciation + Working Capital Requirement Recovery + Terminal value - Tax on Terminal Add Depreciation is used to calculate Net profits after tax but it is not cash flow run out of the project, based on a Axiom in evaluating project: cash is the king. 6 QUESTION 2 Continuing the calculation in Question 1, Table 1: Cash Flow for Bernoulli 2004-2009 (With New Investment), we have Table 3 as below No Items 2003 (Year 0) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 12,357,800.00 15,640,460.00 18,569,240.00 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 129,089,263.45 1 Innitial Investment (18,000,000.00) 2 Operating Net Cash Flow (22,500,000.00) 3 Less: After tax Interest Expense (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) 4 After Tax Cash Flow 10,932,200.00 14,214,860.00 17,143,640.00 17,891,360.00 17,639,760.00 127,663,663.45 5 Cumulative Cash Flow (11,567,800.00) 2,647,060.00 19,790,700.00 (22,500,000.00) Explaination for Table 3: * Item 3: Interest expense is the same over 6 years. Interest Expense = 18,000,000.00 * 12% = $2,160,000 pa Interest Expense is not counted for Operating Cash Flow but after being deducted from Tax, it is counted for calculation of Payback Period (PB). After Tax Interest Expenses = 2,160,000 * (1 - 0.34) = $1,425,600.00 pa * Item 4: After Tax Cash Flow = Operating Net Cash Flow - After Tax Interest Expense After Tax Cash Flow will be used for calculation of NPV and IRR. 1/ Payback Period (PP) Payback Period is the exact amount of time required for a firm to recover its initial investment as calculated from Net Cash Inflows (GJF, 2008) Payback period = [Last year with a neigative NCF] + [Absolute value of NCF in that year / Total cash flow in the following year] Looking at Table 3 we have: Payback period = 1 + (11,567,800/14,214,860) = 1.81 years. 7 The Table 3 shows that, the amount received in the year 3 (2006) is 19,790,700 which is greater than the initial investment of $18,000,000. It means that the maximum acceptable payback period is 3 years. Then, the Payback Period of 1.81 years is less than maximum acceptable period of 3 years, the project should be accepted. 2/ Net Present Value (NPV) NPV is a sophisticated capital budgeting technique, found by subtracting a project's initial investment from the present value of its net cash inflows discounted at a rate equal to the firm's cost of capital (GJF, 2008) As provided in the case, discount rate = WACC = 14.5%. Continuing calculation from Table 3, we have the below: Items Operating Net Cash Flow 2003 (Year 0) (22,500,000.00) CF0 NPVWith New Investment 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 12,357,800.00 15,640,460.00 18,569,240.00 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 129,089,263.45 CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 10,792,838.43 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145)2 11,929,947.94 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 12,370,227.00 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 11,238,719.54 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 9,687,630.75 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 57,287,148.14 90,806,511.80 Using the same calculation methods for the option of Without New Investment, we have: Items 2003 (Year 0) Initial Investment 0.00 Operating Net Cash Flow 0.00 CF0 NPVWithout New Investment 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9,173,600.00 6,664,544.00 4,312,304.00 3,841,856.00 3,651,456.00 12,737,193.93 CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 8,011,877.73 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145)2 5,083,460.65 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 2,872,717.43 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 2,235,214.14 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 1,855,404.64 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 5,652,503.52 25,711,718.10 8 Results: * NPVWith New Investment = $90,806,511.80 * NPVWithout New Investment = $25,711,718.10 Thus, NPVWith New Investmnet is greater than 0 and greater than NPVWithout New Investment. As a matter of course, the project should be accepted. 3/ Internal Rate of Return (IRR) IRR is a sophisticated capital budgeting technique. IRR is the discount rate that equates the present value of net cash inflows with the initial investment associated with a project, thereby causing NPV =$0 (GJF, 2008). Using calculator, we have IRRWith New Investment = 77.23% which is greater than the Cost of capital of 14.5%; therefore, the project should be accepted. Recommendation: All the calculation results of PP, NPV and IRR are positive which support the acceptance of the project. I would recommend the Working Computers INc. to go further with investment of $18 million for upgrading Bernoulli Division. 9 QUESTION 3 A. Sensitivity analysis Option 1: If the Unit Sale down 20% and Cost of Capital = 14.5%, we have below Unit Sales and Cash Flow table for Bernoulli 2004-2009 Unit Sales 2004 120,000 2005 151,200 2006 196,800 2007 211,200 2008 211,200 2009 211,200 Table 5 No Items 2003 (Year 0) 1 Innitial Investment (18,000,000.00) 2 Working Capital Requirement Change 3 Sales 4 Cost of Goods Sold (32,076,000.00) (40,415,760.00) (52,604,640.00) (56,453,760.00) (56,453,760.00) (56,453,760.00) 5 Operation Expense (15,444,000.00) (19,459,440.00) (25,328,160.00) (27,181,440.00) (27,181,440.00) (27,181,440.00) 6 Less: Depreciation (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 7 Net Profits before Int. & Taxes 4,360,000.00 5,288,800.00 12,143,200.00 14,828,800.00 15,568,800.00 18,148,800.00 8 Less: Tax (1,482,400.00) (1,798,192.00) (4,128,688.00) (5,041,792.00) (5,293,392.00) (6,170,592.00) 9 Net Profits before Int. 2,877,600.00 3,490,608.00 8,014,512.00 9,787,008.00 10,275,408.00 11,978,208.00 10 Add: Depreciation 7,520,000.00 9,680,000.00 7,340,000.00 6,080,000.00 5,340,000.00 2,760,000.00 11 Working Capital Requirement Recovery 12 Terminal Value 125,164,137.93 13 Tax on Terminal Value (42,555,806.90) 14 Operating Net Cash Flow 15 Less: After tax Interest Expense 16 After Tax Cash Flow 17 Cumulative cash flow 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 59,400,000.00 74,844,000.00 97,416,000.00 104,544,000.00 104,544,000.00 104,544,000.00 (4,500,000.00) 4,500,000.00 (22,500,000.00) 10,397,600.00 13,170,608.00 15,354,512.00 15,867,008.00 15,615,408.00 101,846,539.03 (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) 8,972,000.00 11,745,008.00 13,928,912.00 14,441,408.00 14,189,808.00 100,420,939.03 (22,500,000.00) (13,528,000.00) (1,782,992.00) 12,145,920.00 26,587,328.00 10 1/ Payback Period (PP) Payback period = [Last year with a neigative NCF] + [Absolute value of NCF in that year / Total cash flow in the following year] Looking at Table 5 we have: Payback period = 2 + (1,782,992.00 / 13,928,912.00) = 2.13 years. The Table 3 shows that, the amount received in the year 4 (2007) is 26,587,328.00 which is greater than the initial investment of $18,000,000. It means that the maximum acceptable payback period is nearly 4 years. Then, the Payback Period of 2.13 years is less than maximum acceptable period of 4 years, the project should be accepted. 2/ Net Present Value (NPV) With discount rate = WACC = 14.5%, continuing calculation from Table 5, we have the below: Items Operating Net Cash Flow 2003 (Year 0) (22,500,000.00) CF0 2004 2006 2007 2008 10,397,600.00 13,170,608.00 15,354,512.00 15,867,008.00 15,615,408.00 CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145)2 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 9,231,517.43 7,934,615.80 9,080,873.36 NPV 2005 10,046,038.79 10,228,679.20 2009 101,846,539.03 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 45,197,389.88 69,219,114.45 NPVWith New Investment = $69,219,114.45 is greater than 0$ and greater than NPVWithout New Investment = $25,711,718.10, then the project should be accepted. 3/ Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Using calculator, we have IRRWith New Investment = 66.23% which is greater than the Cost of capital of 14.5%; therefore, the project should be accepted. 11 Option 2: If the Unit Sales keeps the same and Cost of Capital = 14.5% + 3% = 17.5%, the Cash Flow table for Bernoulli 2004-2009 will be as below: Table 6 No Items 2003 (Year 0) (18,000,000.00) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 74,250,000.00 93,555,000.00 121,770,000.00 130,680,000.00 130,680,000.00 130,680,000.00 1 Innitial Investment 2 Working Capital Requirement Change 3 Sales 4 Cost of Goods Sold (40,095,000.00) (50,519,700.00) (65,755,800.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) 5 Operation Expense (19,305,000.00) (24,324,300.00) (31,660,200.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) 6 Less: Depreciation (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 7 Net Profits before Int. & Taxes 7,330,000.00 9,031,000.00 17,014,000.00 20,056,000.00 20,796,000.00 23,376,000.00 8 Less: Tax (2,492,200.00) (3,070,540.00) (5,784,760.00) (6,819,040.00) (7,070,640.00) (7,947,840.00) 9 Net Profits before Int. 4,837,800.00 5,960,460.00 11,229,240.00 13,236,960.00 13,725,360.00 15,428,160.00 10 Add: Depreciation 7,520,000.00 9,680,000.00 7,340,000.00 6,080,000.00 5,340,000.00 2,760,000.00 11 Working Capital Requirement Recovery 12 Terminal Value 133,577,142.86 13 Tax on Terminal Value (45,416,228.57) 14 Operating Net Cash Flow 15 (4,500,000.00) 4,500,000.00 (22,500,000.00) 12,357,800.00 15,640,460.00 18,569,240.00 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 110,849,074.29 Less: After tax Interest Expense (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) 16 After Tax Cash Flow 10,932,200.00 14,214,860.00 17,143,640.00 17,891,360.00 17,639,760.00 109,423,474.29 17 Cumulative Cash Flow (22,500,000.00) (11,567,800.00) 2,647,060.00 19,790,700.00 12 1/ Payback Period (PP) Payback period = [Last year with a neigative NCF] + [Absolute value of NCF in that year / Total cash flow in the following year] Looking at Table 5 we have: Payback period = 1 + (11,567,800.00 / 14,214,860.00) = 1.85 years. The Table 6 shows that, the amount received in the year 3 (2006) is 19,790,700.00 which is greater than the initial investment of $18,000,000. It means that the maximum acceptable payback period is nearly 3 years. Then, the Payback Period of 1.85 years is less than maximum acceptable period of 3 years, the project should be accepted. 2/ Net Present Value (NPV): With discount rate = WACC = 17.5%, continuing calculation from Table 6, we have the below: Items Operating Net Cash Flow 2003 (Year 0) (22,500,000.00) CF0 NPV 2004 12,357,800.00 2005 15,640,460.00 2006 18,569,240.00 CF1 ---------------(1+0.175) 1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.175)2 CF3 ---------------(1+0.175)3 10,517,276.60 11,328,535.99 11,446,706.03 2007 2008 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 CF4 --------------(1+0.175)4 CF5 --------------(1+0.175) 5 10,134,149.67 8,512,471.62 2009 110,849,074.29 CF6 ---------------(1+0.175)6 42,121,601.10 71,560,741.01 NPVWith New Investment = $71,560,741.01 is greater than 0$ and greater than NPVWithout New Investment = $25,711,718.10, then the project should be accepted. 3/ Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Using calculator, we have IRRWith New Investment = 75.58% which is greater than the Cost of capital of 14.5%; therefore, the project should be accepted. Conclusion: Even there are several uncertainties in estimating sales as well as WACC, the Sensitivity analysis above still proves the efficiency of the project. Therefore, the investment in Bernoulli division is recommended. 13 B. Assumption: - Discount of 20% on the Unit Price = $396 - Unit Sales keeps the same. - Cost of Good Sold keeps the same = 54% of Sales - Operating Expense keeps the same = 26% of Sales Table 7 No Name 2003 (Year 0) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 59,400,000.00 74,844,000.00 97,416,000.00 104,544,000.00 104,544,000.00 104,544,000.00 1 Innitial Investment 2 Working Capital Requirement Change 3 Sales 4 Cost of Goods Sold (40,095,000.00) (50,519,700.00) (65,755,800.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) (70,567,200.00) 5 Operation Expense (19,305,000.00) (24,324,300.00) (31,660,200.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) (33,976,800.00) 6 Less: Depreciation (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 7 Net Profits before Int. & Taxes (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 8 Less: Tax 2,556,800.00 3,291,200.00 2,495,600.00 2,067,200.00 1,815,600.00 938,400.00 9 Net Profits before Int. (4,963,200.00) (6,388,800.00) (4,844,400.00) (4,012,800.00) (3,524,400.00) (1,821,600.00) 10 Add: Depreciation 7,520,000.00 9,680,000.00 7,340,000.00 6,080,000.00 5,340,000.00 2,760,000.00 11 Working Capital Requirement Recovery 12 Terminal Value 13 Tax on Terminal Value (18,000,000.00) (4,500,000.00) 4,500,000.00 (19,034,482.76) 6,471,724.14 14 No Name 14 Operating Net Cash Flow 15 Less: After tax Interest Expense 16 After Tax Cash Flow 17 Cumulative Cash Flow 18 Discounted rate 2003 (Year 0) (22,500,000.00) NPV 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2,556,800.00 3,291,200.00 2,495,600.00 2,067,200.00 1,815,600.00 (7,124,358.62) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) (1,425,600.00) 1,131,200.00 1,865,600.00 1,070,000.00 641,600.00 390,000.00 (8,549,958.62) (17,791,600.00) (17,401,600.00) (25,951,558.62) (22,500,000.00) (21,368,800.00) (19,503,200.00) (18,433,200.00) 14.5% CF0 19 2004 CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145)2 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 2,233,013.10 2,510,402.17 1,662,487.99 1,202,708.97 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 922,556.01 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 (3,161,643.17) (17,130,474.93) As shown in Table 7, if the Unit Price is down 20% to $396, providing that all others of Unit Sales, COGS & Operation Expense kept unchanged, the NPV is neigative. When the project proves inefficiencey, it should be rejected. C. Calculate the minimum level of annual unit sales for the Bernoulli product before it would be eliminated. To solve this problem, it is necessary to divide NPV into Fixed NPV and Variable NPV per unit product sold. Fixed NPV include all cash flows that are independent on number of unit products sold. They include (1) Initial Investment (2) Working Capital Requirement Change (3) Depreciation (new and current asset) (4) Terminal value. By which, we have the below Fixed Operating Cash Flow: 15 No Name 1 Innitial Investment 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 (18,000,000.00) 2 Working capital requirement change 3 Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4 Cost of goods sold 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 Operation expense 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6 Less: Depreciation (new and current asset) (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 7 Net profits before Int. & taxes (7,520,000.00) (9,680,000.00) (7,340,000.00) (6,080,000.00) (5,340,000.00) (2,760,000.00) 8 Less: Tax 2,067,200.00 1,815,600.00 938,400.00 9 Net profits before Int. (4,963,200.00) (6,388,800.00) (4,844,400.00) (4,012,800.00) (3,524,400.00) (1,821,600.00) 10 Add: Depreciation 5,340,000.00 2,760,000.00 11 Working capital requirement recovery 12 Terminal value 13 Tax on Terminal Value 14 Operating Net Cash Flow 15 Discounted Rate (4,500,000.00) 2,556,800.00 7,520,000.00 9,680,000.00 2,495,600.00 7,340,000.00 6,080,000.00 4,500,000.00 (19,034,482.76) 6,471,724.14 (22,500,000.00) 2,556,800.00 3,291,200.00 2,495,600.00 2,067,200.00 1,815,600.00 (7,124,358.62) CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145)2 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 2,233,013.10 2,510,402.17 1,662,487.99 1,202,708.97 14.5% CF0 16 3,291,200.00 Fixed NPV (22,500,000.00) 922,556.01 (3,161,643.17) (17,130,474.93) In contrast, the Variable NPV per unit sold include all cash flows that are dependent on number of unit products sold. They include (1) Sale (2) Cost of good sold (3) Operating Expenses (4) Terminal Value. 16 Cash flow of selling one product can be calculated as below: No 1 Name Sales 2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 495.00 495.00 495.00 495.00 495.00 495.00 COGS (267.30) (267.30) (267.30) (267.30) (267.30) (267.30) 3 Operating Expenses (128.70) (128.70) (128.70) (128.70) (128.70) (128.70) 4 Operating income 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 5 Tax on operating income (33.66) (33.66) (33.66) (33.66) (33.66) (33.66) 6 Terminal Value 7 Tax on Terminal value 8 Total 9 Discounted rate 14.5% 10 NPV of selling one product 450.62 682.76 (232.14) 0 65.34 65.34 65.34 65.34 65.34 515.96 Minimum level of annual unit sales before it would be eliminated mean we are planning to sale the number of units at which NPV = 0 In anther words, Fixed NPV + Variable NPV = 0 or (-17,130,475) + 450.62 * Q = 0 Q = 17,130,474.93 / 450.62 = 38,016 units Conclusion Minimum level of annual unit sales is 38,016 units D. The treatment of the Terminal Value as the payment from a perpetuity. Terminal value in the final forecast year, 2009, should be capitalised using that year's Net Operating Income by dividing them by Overall Cost of Capital, essentially treating that year's cash flow as the payment from a perpetuity. Terminal Value = Net Operating Income /Cost of Capital Terminal Value = (Sales - COGS - Operating Expenses - Depreciation) / cost of capital = $161,213,793.10 17 QUESTION 4 My recommendations are as below: The calculation results in Question 3 proves the project's efficiency despite of several uncertainties of unit sales (reduced 20%) and cost of capital (increased 3%). In this case, when the results of PP, NPV and IRR are all positive, I would recommend the Working Computers Inc. to accept the new investment of $18 million in the Bernoulli division. The discount of 20% on the unit price from $495 to $396 makes the NPV is neigative. It means that the project is not efficient anymore. Therefore, the discount on unit price is unacceptable. In case, it is needed, the Management should consider the discount rate which must be lower than 20% to make NPV positive or the project efficient. If the investment in Bernoulli division is accepted, Working Computers may not have money to invest in other division as suggested by Stewart Workman. The purpose of using this $18 million, by Stewart Workmen, is to boost the ailing performance of other parts of the firm. Therefore, in order to efficiently use the money, the Company should have analysis for the investment that suggested by Stewart to make comparision to the project of Bernoulli. The final decision on the use of fund should be based on the analysis results. QUESTION 5 The Price of Selling Bernoulli division should be the Present Value of the future expected Cash Flows generated from the Project. Option 1: Selling price with investment requested Items 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 12,357,800.00 15,640,460.00 18,569,240.00 19,316,960.00 19,065,360.00 129,089,263.45 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 Operating Net Cash Flow Discounted Rate PV 14.5% CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145) 2 10,792,838.43 11,929,947.94 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145)3 CF4 --------------(1+0.145)4 12,370,227.00 11,238,719.54 9,687,630.75 57,287,148.14 113,306,511.80 Bernoulli division should be sold, after making the requested investment, at price of $113,306,511.80 18 Option 2: Selling price without investment requested Items Operating Net Cash Flow Discounted Rate 2004 2005 2006 2007 9,173,600.00 6,664,544.00 4,312,304.00 3,841,856.00 2009 3,651,456.00 12,737,193.93 14.5% CF1 ---------------(1+0.145)1 CF2 ---------------(1+0.145) 2 CF3 ---------------(1+0.145) 3 CF4 --------------(1+0.145) 4 8,011,877.73 5,083,460.65 2,872,717.43 2,235,214.14 PV 2008 CF5 --------------(1+0.145)5 CF6 ---------------(1+0.145)6 1,855,404.64 5,652,503.52 25,711,718.11 In case of no investment to Bernoulli division, it should be sold at price of $25,711,718.11 QUESTION 6 It is essential to overlook the total benefit and cost expected to be brought. To calculate the real impact when making decisions, to analyze the benefits and costs of projects incremental assumption. When the benefit could be high enough to cover its cost, the decision making is turn on the option that can bring more benefit. Must be set and answered questions about the cash flow in case the project is done and vice versa. Besides, when a firm is considering the elimination of a product line or selling a division, it should not only consider the financial factors/profits as mentioned all above but also non-financial factors. For a big firm, the elimination of product line or selling a division may cause affect on its reputation. This can be seen as a bad signal on its financial ability, technology, capacity, etc. This decision of the company can be translated into many different things by competitors and also customers. Always, the competiors try to find your weak points for fighting. Then, if the selling of a division should be carefully considered, if not, it will cause bad troubles to the company. The lose of reputation may cause also bad affects on other products. So, the elimination of product line or selling a division should be carefully considered, if not, the profit gained from the selling is not enough to cover the potential loses./. 19 BIBLIOGRAPHY Gitman/Juchau/Flanagan, 2008. Principles of Managerial Finance, 5th edition. Pearson Education Australia. 20
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