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Los Angeles, CA
Apartment
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Metro Analysis
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 1 - Executive Briefing on Metro Conditions
Average Asking Rent $1,480
Average Vacancy Rate 3.2%
●
Up 0.6% from Q2 2013.
●
No change since Q2 2013.
●
Expected to finish 2013 at $1,488.
●
Among the 20 lowest vacancies nationally.
●
Expected to finish 2013 at 3.1%.
Market Overview
A comprehensive examination of the Los Angeles apartment market shows that the largest concentrations of
speculative apartment space are located in the Hollywood/Silver Lake submarket, representing 52,465 units and 6.8%
of the metropolitan inventory, followed by Wilshire/Westlake, with a 5.9% share, and Sherman Oaks/Studio City/North
Hollywood (5.8%). Since Q3 2003, the fastest growing area has been the Downtown submarket, adding 5,791 units
over that period, or 17.7% of total metropolitan apartment completions.
Asking and Effective Rent
Asking rents in California's most populous city climbed by 0.6% during the third quarter of 2013 to an average of
$1,480. In fact, in each of the past four quarters, asking rents have risen, for a cumulative total of 2.2%. Effective rents,
which exclude the value of concessions offered to prospective tenants, rose by 0.7% during the third quarter to an
average of $1,445. Although the majority of the Los Angeles MSA's thirty-seven apartment submarkets contributed to
the metro's recent rent growth, it is useful to point out that the 2.2% asking rent growth rate of the past four quarters
compares unfavorably to the metro's long term performance. Since Q3 2003, the metro as a whole has recorded an
annual average increase of 2.6%.
Competitive Inventory, Household Formations, Absorption
Net new third quarter household formations in the Los Angeles MSA were 6,750. Demand attributable in part to this
pace of household formations contributed to the absorption of 619 units, while new development added 191 units to the
metro inventory; the net effect of absorption and construction dynamics caused the vacancy rate to remained
unchanged. Over the last four quarters, apartment absorption totaled 5,226 units, nearly double the average annual
absorption rate in the market of 2,852 units recorded since Q3 2003. From an historical perspective, the market's third
quarter vacancy rate is 0.7 percentage points lower than the 3.9% average recorded since Q3 2003.
Page 2
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Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 2 - Current Metro Rent Details
Asking Rent by Age
Asking Rent Distribution
Asking Rent Growth Rate Distribution
Low
25%
Mean
Median
75%
High
Low
25%
Mean
Median
75%
High
Before 1970
$1,368
$792
$1,111
$1,490
$1,424
$1,828
$2,934
- 5.0%
- 0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
2.1%
8.1%
1970-1979
$1,323
1980-1989
$1,398
1990-1999
$1,620
$2,206
After 2009
$2,363
All
$1,490
As of November 30, 2013
659
873
680
Number of Properties
2000-2009
Number of Properties
Rent
Year Built
495
261
148
103
47
78
Under $1,061 $1,329 $1,597 $1,865 $2,133 $2,401 $2,669
$1,060 $1,328 $1,596 $1,864 $2,132 $2,400 $2,668 Over
452
452
200
75
Under - 4.8% - 3.2% - 1.6% 0.0%
- 4.9% - 3.3% - 1.7% - 0.1% 1.5%
803
170
168
3.2%
4.7%
4.8%
Over
76
Negative Growth
As of November 30, 2013
1.6%
3.1%
Positive Growth1663
90 days ending November 30, 2013
Section 3 - Rent Growth Comparisons
Asking Rent Growth
Los Angeles
West
United States
Period Ending:
Metro Ranking
Quarterly
Annualized
3Q13
2Q13
3 Year
5 Year
3Q13
2Q13
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
1.4%
2.0%
2.3%
0.5%
0.9%
1.4%
N/A
N/A
15
15
YTD Avg 1 Year
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
3.3%
3.3%
3.1%
09/30/13 06/30/13 09/30/13 12/31/12 12/31/12 12/31/12
59
58
09/30/13
06/30/13
* of 19 regional metros
** of 82 U.S. metros
Monthly Asking Rent Growth Rate Trends
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Los Angeles 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
West 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
United States 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
2012
Los Angeles
2013
West
US
As of November 30, 2013
Page 3
Copyright 2014
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This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 4 - Current Metro Vacancy Details
Vacancy Rate By Age
Vacancy Rate Distribution
Vac. Rate
Low
25%
Mean
Median
75%
High
Before 1970
2.7%
0.0%
1.3%
3.2%
2.5%
4.3%
13.0%
1970-1979
2.8%
1980-1989
3.5%
1990-1999
3.4%
2000-2009
3.8%
After 2009
14.6%
All
3.2%
918
Number of Properties
Year Built
As of November 30, 2013
676
428
207
81
Under 1.7%
1.6% 3.2%
3.3%
4.8%
4.9%
6.4%
62
6.5%
8.0%
24
75
8.1% 9.7% 11.3%
9.6% 11.2% Over
As of November 30, 2013
Section 5 - Vacancy Rate Comparisons
Vacancy Rates
Quarterly
Los Angeles
West
United States
Period Ending:
3Q13
2Q13
3.2%
3.6%
4.2%
3.2%
3.7%
4.3%
Metro Ranking
Annualized
YTD Avg 1 Year
3.2%
3.6%
4.3%
3 Year
5 Year
3Q13
2Q13
4.3%
5.3%
6.1%
4.2%
5.3%
6.1%
N/A
N/A
3.6%
4.2%
4.9%
09/30/13 06/30/13 09/30/13 12/31/12 12/31/12 12/31/12
8
8
20
18
09/30/13
06/30/13
* of 19 regional metros
** of 82 U.S. metros
Monthly Metro Vacancy Rate Trends
5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Los Angeles 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
West 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
United States 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2%
2012
Los Angeles
2013
West
US
As of November 30, 2013
Page 4
Copyright 2014
Reis Services, LLC
This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 6 - Metro Unit Mix Rent Details
Current Metro Average Rents and Sizes
Asking Rent Growth
November
Quarterly
Annualized
Rent
Avg. SF
Avg. Rent PSF
3Q13
2Q13
YTD
1 Year
3 Year
Studio/Efficiency
$1,030
527
$ 1.95
0.6%
- 0.3%
1.5%
3.3%
1.5%
0.0%
One Bedroom
$1,343
739
$ 1.82
0.3%
0.2%
1.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.3%
Two Bedroom
$1,745
1056
$ 1.65
0.9%
0.9%
2.7%
3.0%
1.2%
0.5%
Three Bedroom
$2,182
1316
$ 1.66
- 0.1%
- 0.1%
0.2%
5.2%
2.2%
1.4%
09/30/13
06/30/13
09/30/13
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
Average over period ending:
Asking Rent Comparisons
5 Year
Asking Rent Per SF
$2.00
$2,000
$1.50
$1,500
$1,000
$1.00
$500
$0.50
$0
$0.00
Studio
Los Angeles
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
West
Studio
Los Angeles
US
1 BR
2 BR
US
As of November 30, 2013
Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
Los Angeles
$1,030
$1,343
$1,745
$2,182
West
$1,085
$1,238
$1,497
United States
$1,130
3 BR
West
As of November 30, 2013
Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
Los Angeles
$ 1.95
$ 1.82
$ 1.65
$ 1.66
$1,709
West
$ 2.02
$ 1.62
$ 1.40
$ 1.28
$1,124 $1,332 $1,534
As of November 30, 2013
United States
$ 2.05
$ 1.41
$ 1.19
$ 1.08
As of November 30, 2013
Section 7 - Metro Unit Mix Inventory Details
Metro Unit Mix
3.0%
Average Unit Size (SF)
1,500
12.2%
1,000
39.9%
500
45.0%
Studios
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR +
As of November 30, 2013
0
Studio
Los Angeles
1 BR
2 BR
West
3 BR
US
As of November 30, 2013
Page 5
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Reis Services, LLC
This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 8 - Metro Inventory Details
Inventory By Building Age
Year Built
Percent
Before 1970
30.0%
1970-1979
24.0%
1980-1989
23.0%
1990-1999
6.0%
2000-2009
13.0%
After 2009
5.0%
All
Apartment Stock Traits
Year Built
Size (units)
Distance to Highway (miles)
Distance to CBD (miles)
Distance to Landmark (miles)
Metro
Mean
Median
1977
1975
100
61
0.7
0.5
12.6
11.9
11.2
11.4
Low
1929
21
0.1
1.7
0.7
High
2013
4,200
2.6
29.7
25.8
As of November 30, 2013 Landmark =Coast
100.0%
As of November 30, 2013
Average Metro Lease Terms
Free Rent
(mos)
Expenses %
(Apartment)
0.29
38.3%
As of November 30, 2013
Section 9 - Inventory Growth Comparisons
Inventory Growth Rates
Los Angeles
West
United States
Period Ending:
Metro Ranking
Quarterly
Annualized
3Q13
2Q13
3 Year
5 Year
3Q13
2Q13
0.0%
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.7%
1.0%
N/A
N/A
12
10
YTD Avg 1 Year
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
09/30/13 06/30/13 09/30/13 12/31/12 12/31/12 12/31/12
57
40
09/30/13
06/30/13
* of 19 regional metros
** of 82 U.S. metros
Metro Inventory Growth Rate Trends
%
0.40
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
Los Angeles
1Q12
2Q12
West
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
US
As of November 30, 2013
Page 6
Copyright 2014
Reis Services, LLC
This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 10 - Construction/Absorption Change
Construction and Absorption
Most Recent Three Months
Quarterly
September - November
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
Los Angeles
West
836
7,332
Period ending:
11/30/13
3Q13
2Q13
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
1,013
9,774
191
7,184
11/30/13
09/30/13
YTD Avg
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
619
9,443
1,750
8,840
1,526
9,601
782
7,019
1,074
10,072
09/30/13
06/30/13
06/30/13
09/30/13
09/30/13
Annualized
1 Year History
3 Year History
Con/Abs
Ratio
Los Angeles
West
1,584
17,407
6,453
33,560
Average over period ending:
12/31/12
12/31/12
5 Year History
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
Con/Abs
Ratio
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
Con/Abs
Ratio
0.2
0.5
2,482
17,281
7,399
46,649
0.3
0.4
2,971
22,348
3,315
25,527
0.9
0.9
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
12/31/12
Number of Units
Construction/Absorption and Vacancy
1,500
4
1,000
3
500
2
0
1
Vacancy Rate (%)
Units Built
Units
Absorbed
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2012
Jul
Aug Sep Oct Nov
2013
Vacancy Rate
Construction
Absorption
As of November 30, 2013
Page 7
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Reis Services, LLC
This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 11 - Economic and Demographic Trends
Percentage Change
Los Angeles Economic/Demographic Trends
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
-6.0%
2008
2009
2010
Total Employment
Households
2011
Avg HH Income
2012
Population
Provided by Moody's Economy.com, Period ending 12/31/12
Percentage Change
Total Employment Growth Trends Metro vs. Region & U.S.
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
-6.0%
2008
2009
2010
Los Angeles
West
2011
2012
US
Provided by Moody's Economy.com, Period ending 12/31/12
Percentage Change
Los Angeles Population/Household Growth Trends
0.90%
0.80%
0.70%
0.60%
0.50%
2008
2009
2010
Population
2011
2012
Households
Provided by Moody's Economy.com, Period ending 12/31/12
Page 8
Copyright 2014
Reis Services, LLC
This report has been generated for the exclusive use of Justin Peterson of Reis
The use, distribution and display of this report and any of the information contained herein are subject to the Terms and Conditions at ReisReports.com.
Metro Analysis (Monthly Data)
Prepared by Jim Stein (312-555-1212)
Apartment - November, 2013
Powered by ReisReports. Clearly Objective.
Metro: Los Angeles
Section 12 - Metro Area Map: Los Angeles
Los Angeles Submarkets
1
Chatsworth/Canoga Park
2
Granada Hills/Northridge/Reseda
3
Panorama Hills/San Fernando/Pacoima
4
Woodland Hills/Tarzana/101 West
5
Van Nuys/North Hollywood
6
Sherman Oaks/Studio City/N Hollywood
7
Burbank/North Glendale
8
Tujunga/La Crescenta/Montrose
9
Santa Clarita Valley/Canyon Country
10
Palmdale/Lancaster
11
Pasadena
12
South Glendale/Highland Park
13
Downtown
14
Hollywood/Silver Lake
15
Wilshire/Westlake
16
Beverly Hills/W Hollywood/Park La Brea
17
West LA/Westwood/Brentwood
18
Mar Vista/Palms/Culver City
19
Santa Monica
20
Marina Del Rey/Venice/Westchester
21
Mid-City/West Adams/Pico Heights
22
Inglewood/Crenshaw
23
South/Central LA
24
Hawthorne/North Torrance
25
El Segundo/Hermosa Beach/Redondo Beach
26
West Torrance/Ranchos Palos Verdes
27
Carson/San Pedro/E Torrance/Lomita
28
West Long Beach/Signal Hill
29
East Long Beach/Los Altos
30
N Long Beach/Lakewood/Artesia
31
Paramount/Downey/Bellflower/Norwalk
32
Whittier
33
East LA/Alhambra/Montebello/Pico Rivera
34
Arcadia/Duarte/El Monte
35
Azusa/Covina/Glendora
36
Claremont/Pomona/La Verne
37
West Covina/La Puente/Rowland Heights
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available, but also that you have an entire suite of tools and market commentary at your disposal.
Market Narratives
Exclusive Videos
Email Alerts
Throughout each quarter, you’ll
Generate a comprehensive
You don’t have to check in
receive written analyses on
list of all planned, proposed
constantly with ReisReports
your markets of interest,
and under construction
to monitor whether market
covering supply and demand
projects in our area at
fundamentals have changed.
trends, updates on the economy,
the touch of a button.
When our data is updated for
the latest property sales, and
your market, we’ll let you know
important updates to the new
in an email.
construction pipeline.
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