• Vol. I • Issue :12 • Date : 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 • Editor : Devlaxmi Joshi • Asso.Editor : Narendra Joshi • Mobile:9825065387 • •• Address : 115/991, Nirmal Apartment, Telephone Exchange Road, Naranpura, Ahmedabad -380013 • Phone : 27451449 •• INVESTMENT GUIDE 12 ANTARYAMI TECHNICAL VIEW 2 SUMIT BILGAIYAN PENIC & PROFIT 3 NISHES JANI Despite Several negative factors Market may rise further next week The Market at last ended with positive note for coming week. The B.S.E. Sensex rose 677.87 points to 17434.94 in the week ended 16 may4 2008. The Nifty rose 175.10 points to 5157.70 in the week. crores. The Market is likely to be range bound as there is no trigger in near future except monsoon which will start from June Quarter 4 results of the corporate are near to end and were satisfied published so far. India’s industrial production growth dropped sharply to 3% FII were the net seller so far. In the month may till 14 May, they sold share worth of Rs. 529.10 crore while domestic funds sold shares worth Rs. 739.80 in this month till 14 may 2008. FII sold shares worth Rs. 10,887.20 Crude oil prices are hovering at 128 dollar per barrel and analysts forecasting to reach up to 141 Dollar, which is cause of concern for our economy. i n March 2008, slowing from the previous month’s unrevised 8.6%. It was the slowest annual growth since 92.4% Continue on ...3 CHANCES OF FURTHER GAIN BUT RANGEBOUND WEEK Dear Friends, of Indices, BSE Sensex rose 697.87 points or 4.17% to 17,434.94 in the week ended Friday, 16 May 2008. The S&P CNX Nifty rose 175.10 points or 3.51% to 5157.70 in the week. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 137.04 points or 1.96% at 7,129.70 in the week. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 114.62 points or 1.35% at 8,620.26. Previous two weeks we had seen down trend and on Technical Chart , SENSEX forming bear trend called Engulfing on Candlestick pattern, which was encountered this week by turning into BULLISH pattern called PIERSING LINE. Any one who is interested to study candlestick patterns can log to my Email : [email protected] yahoo group. We have uploaded file which will Teach you various candlestick patterns with chart. This week Sensex surged 697 points while Nifty gained 175 points finally closing 17434 and 5157 respectively. If we look at the details Foreign institutional investors (FII) have, so far, sold shares worth Rs 529.10 crore this month, till 14 May 2008. They sold shares worth Rs 10,887.20 crore in calendar year 2008, till 14 May 2008. Domestic funds sold shares worth Rs 639.80 this month, till 14 May 2008.However, we have seen some net buying by Local MFS and FIIS during last few trading sessions. Inflation spike is still a matter of concern for the government. The wholesale price index rose 7.83% in 12 months to 3 May 2008, higher than previous week’s annual rise of 7.61%, government data released on 16 May 2008, showed. It was the highest since an annual reading of 7.93% n 6 November 2004. The annual inflation rate was 5.74% during the corresponding week of the previous year. The government has taken Continue on ...6 Days of high volatility may not be witnessed this week but to hedge the portfolio and remain 50% in cash is advisable…crude may prove cruel!! The week that shall begin this time from 20th May shall be just short and sweet!! The holiday on 19 th May shall in all probabilities be a decisive factor as we shall have very limited scope to defend when we open up on Tuesday 20th May 2008. The week shall have only four days to play and the next week shall again witness the roll over mania!! Though the volume are low and does not give any direction but the put call ratio is definitely indicative of the fact that Nifty does get support at 4950 and sensex at 16750 or little below. The 17 th April 2008 u turn has two repetition and both identical in one manner…the short cover. The fall of rupee to a low of Rs.42.50 shall act as a positive factor for FIIs who of late have withdrawn from Continue on ....11 BULLS EAT INFLATION FOR DINNER. - 16/05/2008. rising inflation figures and are now discounting the fact the rising inflation coupled with poor industrial growth figures have put the Government in a catch 22 situation. If the Government increases the interest rate -SHOBHA t h e n Email : growth will suffer [email protected] and will SHAHENSHAH OF FINANCIAL JUNGLE have to take a came way above expectations, back seat, which it cannot afbulls led the market up. This ford. On the other hand if the Government reduces interest time too, it was no different. rate to boost Industrial growth, Government in CATCH-22 Situ- then certainly the rising inflation will run faster than even ation. It seems bulls have made it a habit and are feeding themselves on inflation as the inflation keeps on rising unabated and the food items keep on getting expensively prohibitive! Last time too, when the inflation figure Bulls have started ignoring the Continue on ...4 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 2 Sumit bilgaiyan is technical & fundamental analyst. He has vast experience in the stock market last 6 years.He is regularly writing article and daily columns in Leading News papers in Gujarat. He also does PORTFOLIO ADVISORY SERVICES. E-mail: [email protected] Mobile-+91 09755261070 Dear Friends, Despite lot of negative catalyst, we have seen Indices gaining loss of previous week. UN has feared slow down of growth in the global economy. Likely GDP growth of 1.8 in the global economies is incumbent only on Asian giants. It is heard in the street that govt intending to relax FDI norms. At one hand Ministry of Finance is brooding upon relaxing P-note relaxations and restoring to the earlier stage , while IT department preparing to issue notice to Ponte traders to cover under Tax net. Don’t you think that coordination is lacking within the various government agencies in theist matter? We have seen net outflow of foreign funds during 2008 after P-note norms have been tightened. However, recent news state that CCEA ( Cabinet Committee of Economic Affairs) is likely to relax norms in the matter, proposing to relax from 1000 crorers from present limit of 600 crorers requiring an approval from CCEA over and above the FIPB nod. Thus, Investment limit for additional approval from CCEA to be enhanced to 1000 Drovers INR from present 600 drovers INR will boost fast investment fron some of the Global giants like Coca Cola, Morgan Stanley etc. It is also heard that govt may hike Petrol diesel rates in coming days. In such a case it would only drive inflation to the more peaks. We have also seen news roaring in the media about mega deal between Bharti and MTN. Godrej making mind to enter into reality sector is one more news.All such positive news are squared off by single issue Like Inflation and crude rates making new heights in the global markets. In such a mixed scenario, we fel that undertone is positive for Indian stock market, but sustainability is a question. Last week Sensesx tumbled 4.5 % and we heard further correctin setting in the market. However this week sensex bounced back again and analyst started talking of more up move. No one has clear ideas where our market is heading. People have weak memory, however, if you note down statement flowing on TV channels, every deay they talk about controversial statements. In the morning they talk about correction, evening they change statement.We shall avoid following such analyst who have nothing to loose in any circumstances. They are not honest To express their ignorance about market. It is things like a misguiding people. Better to accept the fact . It will create good impression amongst viewers. It not necessary that every time you can judge the mood of the market. When you are not clear about trend, you shall accept the fact!!! We think that two factors will decide the trend of the market in next few weeks. First is Inflation. If inflation if under control within the Limit of 6.5 to 7 % and showing down fall, market may gain. Second but not least is global crude prices. They are historical high. However everything has its limit. Recent view of nalysts has feared 137/BBL in next few weeks. But at any point of time saturation is sure to hit the crude speculations. Crude rates have went high so sharply, that once they start falling, fall would be like a crash. We foresee 101-111 BBL rates being Flore at which crude rate may stable in next two three months. This two factors will largely affect the sentiments of the traders. WE would also watch IIP data which will release in next week. If we look at the opinion in general of the market watcher, they opine that Soaring crude oil prices and back home , a lethal concoction of high inflation , firm interest rates, flagging rupee, tighten monitory policy etc may keep stock prices in check for next few days. We believe that this may or may not be depicting sentiments of the market this week. The week that gone has shown major indices rising 4 % in the face of weak Industrial output data and mounting inflation.What was the reason ? single reason being sudden bout of buying by foreign institutional investors ( FIIS ) which tipped the scales in favour of the bulls. Same way we shall think other scenario also. If economic fundamentals continue to worsen, fund flow could dry up. Analyst expect that benchmark 30 share Sensex may trade in a range between 17211-17837 confirming our writers , too. In nut shell, we would advise you to trade with neutral bias with little weekly up side One week market is goes down and in another week market is goes up this type of trend we see in last many weeks and expected this type of volatile trend continue in coming week in last we also see a some volatile trend but in last whole we see a regular uptrend in market in last week sensex rose nearly 697 points and closes at 17434 and nifty up nearly 175 points and closes at 5157 On weekly basis we again see good market but in this midcap & small cap under perform the market on weekly basis on weekly basis BSE MIDCAP INDEX gain nearly 137 points and closes at 7129 and on weekly basis BSE SMALL CAL INDEX GAINED nearly 114 points and closes at 8620 on a week start on Monday we see a high volatile trend market open down but in few hour market goes up an sensex up nearly 123 points and closes on Monday at 16860 on Tuesday taking cuses from global market sensex down nearly 108 points and nifty down nearly 54 points on Tuesday we also see heavy selling pressure coming in midcap and small cap index on Wednesday we again see a nervous start but in last sensex gained nearly 225 points and nifty gained nearly 53 points on Thursday we see a big rally coming in market and sensex gained nearly 375 points and nifty rose nearly 103 points and on last on Friday we see a flat trend and senex gained nearly 81 and nifty rose nearly 42 points for coming week market is again high volatile important resistance for sensex is 17950 above this level next target for sensex Is at 18100 and for coming week important support for sensex is at 17200 below expected some fall in market is volatile for coming week . MARKET TREND FOR THIS WEEK Trend and exit your holdings at the end of the week. Narendra Joshi Assocoate Editor Market is again High volatile for this week if sensex break the important Support of 16500 then we see again big fall in market and for this week important resistance is at 17250 below this level we expected some buying coming in market for this week market is again high volatile For this sensex resistance is at 17540-17705-17820 above this above this level next resistance is at 17950 in down side support is at 17260-17125-17020 below this level next support is at 16840 Market is High volatile for this week. For this week nifty resistance is at 5210-5280-5390 above this level next resistance is at 5420 in down side support is at 5100-5060-4980 below this level next support is at 4520.market is High volatile for this week. STAR OF THE WEEK Niit tech — In volatile market on Friday stock close with positive notes with huge volume expansion also with big gain in last week stock recovers smartly from 130 levels it has has huge potentional to go upto165 in coming week buy at current levels at 151 with a upper target of 166 to 172 above this level next target is at 176 stoploss 130 .Stock is also good for short term investment. Aban off -Buy at current levels at 3880 with a upper target of 3920 to 3980 above 3980 Next target is 4000 with a stoploss of 3680. Cam solu -The stock is looking good for coming week there is upside potentional till around at 66 and very little down side with a strong support 52 keep a tight stoploss of 52 and start covering at 64. STOCK FOR THIS WEEK BUY AT TARGET COMPANY Aban off Jindal steel Great off Sandur man Tamil petro 3880 2400 699 884 19 STOPLOSS 3920 to 3960 2450 to 2500 720 to 740 900 24 to26 3720 2350 658 920 15 F & O STOCK FOR THIS WEEK BUY AT TARGET STOPLOSS COMPANY Aban off fut Bpcl fut Jsw steel fut Great off fut Niit tech fut 3880 358 1110 700 151 C O M PA N Y Eid parryRas pro lami Facor alloyIndsil electro Mro tek 3920 to 3950 365 to 375 1150 to1180 720 to 740 156 to 165 3740 340 1050 675 140 STOCK FOR SHORT TERM BUYAT TARGET STOPLOSS 208 3 11 78 78 225 to 250 4 to 5 14 to 16 95 to 110 90 to 100 For free Daily Intraday, SHORT-TERM , WEEKLY LONG-TERM & F & O RECOMMENDATION Log On to www.thebulleyes.com 185 2 9 60 55 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 3 WEEKLY REPORT CARD [20th to 24rd May 2008 ] THE HEIGHT OF POSSIBILITY! Sensex-11192.46 which was in august 2006 Nifty future-3896.90 which was in April 2007 of the Dow will confirm so at this point I suggest to every one be a day trader and don’t hold any long positions or short positions overnight. GLOBAL MARKET TREND: Mcx gold-8739 which was on august 2008 Us dollar-43.44 which was on April 2007 (Don’t panic on this, this is just result of analysis and it may or may not possible) Dow Jones- index has strong trend line resistance of 13100 if it close above then it will confirm the “inverse head and shoulder “pattern and will fire to 13800. Suggestions/query/comment mails us at [email protected] While support exists at 12916 and below 12702 and there after last hope of 12489. SENSEX-in the last week report support was given at 16571 and index made intra day low of 16546 and rebound towards 17500 levels but index could not cross our resistance of 17515. In the next few days index has strong resistance at 17515 if index close above that levels for 2 consecutive days then index will scale to 18288 and even to 18510. While support exists at 17323 and 17015 below that levels it will slide to 16804 below that 16271. NIFTY FUTURE-what we have written in our last week report –index has strong support of 4933 like of “iron” Monday index has made low of 4923 hardly index stays 4-5 minute below that levels and then re-bound and on Wednesday index has made low of 4932.50 and then re-bound . NASDAQ-support of 2439 was given on Monday index made low of 2446 and rebound and crossed 2500 mark. For the next few days index has strong support of 2508 and 2439 and resistance at 2592 which we will called as “iron “resistance. Nikkei –keep close eye on the resistance of 14569 .two close above will create unexpected buying……….. Two support one of 13612 of “swing” and 13222 of “gap” Hang sang-if index close below two consecutive days then will bled to 23309. While on the upper side “swing” resistance at 27519. POWER OF FREE STOCK IDEA- In the next few days index has strong resistance of 5194 if index close two consecutive days then it will fire to 5308 and above that 5405. Join our free club to get market outlook/ fno/day trading and delivery based call and analysis of global market and commodity market. While support exists at 4933 two close below will slide to 4835 and below to multiple supports to 4621. Type in mobile TABLE OF IMORTANT LEVELS: INDEX Sensex nifty fu SUPPORT 17323/17015 16804 16271 4933 4835/4621 RESISTANCE 17515 18288 18510 5194 5308/5405 JOIN FREESTOCKIDEA AND SEND TO 567673434. EVERY THING IS FREE. Market Summery Conti. from ...1 rise in February, 2002. The wholesale price index rose 7.83 in 12 months to 3 May, 2008, higher than previous week’s annual rise of 7.61%. It was the highest since an annual reading of 7.93 on November, 2004. STRATEGY – Dow Jones again fails to cross and close above 13100 which is our trend line resistance –if Dow closes above 13100 then it will confirm the “inverse head and shoulder” then it will fire to 13800. India’s rupee fell to the lowest level since April 2007 to 42.445 per dollar on 14th May, 2008. Indian market is fully dependant on the us market so let us see how the Dow behave weather on the up side or on the down side because this week there is lots of things and data to come and the move For the near term market likely to range bound and stock specific trades. Investor’s advice to invest in good fundamental stocks at decline and be keeps booking profit at higher level. Brigade â•”Buy at current levels with a upper target of 225 to 234 it has important support is at 200 below this level next support is at 194 if it break the level of 194 then we see some fall in brigade take stoploss of 201. Hydrebad indâ•”looking explosive on chart buy at current levels at 204 it has strong support is at 188 keeping a stoploss of 191 on weekly basis take a target of 214 to 220 above 224 it will zoom upto 238 . Suzlon energy fut â•”Buy at 308 with a target of 315 to 320 with a tight stoploss 295 below 292 expected some bearish trend in suzlon. Ril fut â•“Buy at lower levels considering 2625 to 2610 with a upper target of 2650 to 2665 with a stoploss of 2580. Fundamental Stock Agro dutch industries Based in Chandigarh-based Rs 144 crore Agro Dutch Industries Limited (ADIL), is among the country’s large food processing companies and India ‘s largest mushroom producer. How large? Well they produced around 3000 ton in 1992 and had a mere increase to 50000 ton today. Ok, its not mere, its huge, accounting for about 85% of country’s mushroom production and exports. Did I mention that they are the world’s largest integrated mushroom producer, with an average daily production of 125MTAgro Dutch exports 95% of its production. Of this US accounts for 70%, Israel 20% and other countries like Canada, Mexico, Russia and Taiwan account for 5%. ADIL is also amongst the finest manufacturer of packaging material namely cans.Major productsAgro Dutch Industries Limited operates mainly in two categories namely, white button mushroom cultivation and can manufacturing.Mushroom Cultivation ADIL is located in Punjab , which is arguably one of the most fertile states in India and produces 80% of India ‘s wheat. Wheat straw is the most vital substrate for mushroom growing. Every batch of compost is monitored in exactness for various physical and chemical parameters. The company has 133 climate controlled concrete growing rooms to ensure that mushrooms are available each day. Farm fresh healthy mushrooms, canned everyday, all year round, ensuring unflinching consistency, uncompromising quality, and the highest level of food safety. Continuity comes with a lot of factors in the mushroom cultivation business. These are namely, a perennial supply of the right compost substrate growing round the year -365 days, fresh packing everyday, control over the input quality of cans and an integrated facility. The mushrooms are canned within a few hours of picking. This mean no brine pack╦ always freshly canned mushrooms. The state of the art canning line of the company has been brought in from specialists in Holland , France and Taiwan . The objectives are complete safety. The canning process is controlled by a detailed HACCP program, designed and monitored by Process Authority- International Food Technology. Can Manufacturing The performance of a can is a complex interaction of food constituents, canning practices and storage parameters on one hand and the entire can manufacturing system on the other hand. The can and its contents must be therefore considered together as a unit. Thus, it is truly a package deal. This is what Agro Dutch is, on of India ‘s largest canners and also the finest can makers. Having bought cans from several overseas and domestic can makers, the main endeavor has been to make the right can and reduce the variability from can to can. Generally, the can cost may contribute up to a fifth of the total product cost. So, it really made sense to get the best can available. Although, it is first a can filler and then as a can maker. At the same time the tolerance are plummeting towards zero defects. This necessarily entails right first time, right every time and real time Quality Assurance. The company believes in emphasizing off-line control to an extent whereby the on-line control becomes only a back up. The best of the raw materials, elaborate SQC techniques and process capability studies are used for continuous process improvement. Prime quality tinplate is imported from established names such as Rasselstein , Germany And Nippon Japan . High quality packaging coatings are used from ICI who back it up with expert technical assistance. All this contributes to ADIL’s endeavor to become one of the leading can manufacturers in India . Fundamentally, this company has shown sustained and consistant growth with impressive expansion plans. BUY AT 29 WITH A SHORT TERM TO LONG TERM TARGET 55 STOPLOSS 20 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 4 Lion’s Roar Conti. from ...1 now. This, being an election year, the Government can ill afford to take such a huge risk. Thus the Government can neither afford an interest rate hike to control the inflation nor let the industrial production suffer and let the growth slow down. Therefore the Government, at best, can do what it is famous for, i.e do nothing. DERIVATIVE ANALYSIS. Nifty futures have been adding open interest and the price has been rising. The short covering rally is now aided by more buying in the futures segment. The Nifty Open Interest Put Call Ratio is showing market improvement and is currently at 1.47. The high ratio just infuses more confidence in the market. It indicates good support on the down side. Nifty Puts of strikes 4900 and 5000 have added lot of open interest, indicating good support at these prices. Nifty 5400 strikes have seen lot of call writing and will be difficult to cross. Stocks like Tata Tea, Chambal Fertilisers, SCI, Mahindra Life, Matrix and Hindustan Construction have seen strong addition in open interest with increase in price and in volume indicating long build up. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. Sensex and Nifty have both crossed and closed above strong trendline resistances and thus have started short and medium term uptrend. The long term uptrend is on the verge of turning positive as the Sensex and Nifty are just below the 200dma, which is at 17490 and 5187 for the Sensex and Nifty respectively. For the purists, both Sensex and Nifty have made higher bottoms and let us see if both Sensex and Nifty can register higher tops as well. Sensex has moved up leaving a gap behind between 17079-17014. Sensex has taken strong support at the trendline, from where it had rebounded twice in the past, and now is at 16859. Similarly Nifty had taken support at the trendline from where it has rebounded twice and is currently lying at 4990. On the higher side strong trendline resistance will be at 17543 and 17639 for the Sensex , and for the Nifty, trendline resistance falls at 5251 and 5280. Sensex is aiming for a target of 17942 and 18712, whereas the Nifty is gunning for target of 5403 and 5626. Last Week's Recommendations: It was 100%. On the dot with precision !!! Bharat Forge, ITC, Gitanjali and Nicholas Piramal all reached their higher targets. Recommendations for the Week: Redington 374 SL 361 Tgt 390-413. Tata Tea 947 SL 926 Tgt 969-1014. Nalco 525 SL 511 Tgt 545-567-622. ENIL 430 SL 418 Tgt 456-470-508. Guj NRE Coke 157 SL 152 Tgt 168-174. Interesting formations in the Stocks: 1. Gujarat Alkalies 189. It has given a cup and handle breakout. The indicators are suggesting strong up with targets of 208-241. The targets will be achieved as long as the stock stays above 179. 2. Entertainment Network ENIL 430. Entertainment Network has given strong t r e n d l i n e breakout. It has targets of 470508. Keep Stop Loss of 418 and enjoy the ride. Buy around Rs. 185.00 & sell around Rs. 220.00 for short term. strategy. One is our corporate R&D team which has 600 engineers working on optical media, photovoltaic and other things & 100-plus engineers in Moser Baer Photovoltaic. And thirdly invested in R&D centres abroad which gives us access to latest technologies. New Delhi-based optical storage device maker Moser Baer India expects next-generation optical disc storage media format Blue-ray to be a ‘key factor’ in reviving the growth of the optical business. The optical media business is going through severe pricing pressures due to a difficult supply-demand scenario after the royalty dispute between Philips and Moser’s Taiwanese competitors led to overcapacity. From the pricing perspective, Blue-ray seems poised for growth. There is only one product on the horizon for this format. It’s only Blue-ray now as Toshiba has dropped HD DVD production A dual layer Blue-ray disc can store 50 GB of data, almost six times the capacity of a dual layer DVD & Company was “very well” positioned to capture incremental market share in the Blue-ray segment. This segment is expected to sell 200 million units by 2009. Company have 17%-18% market share in the optical media format & expecting similar market share in the Blue-Ray Business too. optical media business to provide “$70-80 million of cash by next year despite the current pricing environment Meanwhile, Moser Baer’s solar cell unit Photo Voltaic is ready to receive funding of $400 million in fiscal 2009 and to ramp up growth through capacity expansion. Moser Baer Photovoltaic, the solar photovoltaic cell manufacturing arm of optical storage disk maker Moser Baer, is in the final stages of discussions with a few state governments to set up a greenfield manufacturing facility. The company, which is adding capacity to produce 500 MW of solar power by 2010, expects $1.5 billion in revenues from the solar energy segment. The company, which currently has capacity for 40 MW, is doubling it by the first quarter of the next fiscal. By the turn of the decade, it would have capacity for half a billion giga watt of solar power, for which it would have invested close to $1 billion. In order to push for a greater penetration, the company is mulling forward integration by entering into solar farms. The company is also investing in research and development (R&D) to develop nanotechnology-based products like quantum dots which can be used in exterior paint to power buildings. In two-three years, nanotechnology would be a significant source in solar energy & have a three-pronged R&D Company having optical disc business as well as entertainment movie business of cd & dvd diversifying into Power sector .Buy around Rs. 185.00 & sell around Rs. 220.00 for short term. Market talk Inflation for the week ended May 3 is at 7.83% versus 7.61%. The inflation for the week ended March 8 has been revised to 7.78% versus 5.92% (provisional number). The food articles Index is up 0.5%; the fuel and power Index is up 0.8%, while the manufactured products Index is up 0.3%. The figure of 8% could be around the corner for the economy because the present inflation level has been higher than the consensus expectation. I would personally think that trying to get the currency to appreciate or at least prevent it from depreciating very sharply is clearly one option, because as far as commodity prices are concerned, there is a one-to-one correspondence between the exchange rate and the landed cost. it was more of the food prices that went up and that would make it very difficult for monetary policy to bring down inflation. I expects markets to read bearishly into these numbers and the bullishness that came with the credit policy will fizzle out as readings continue to be higher and the market’s concern on inflation will be quite high. In this case he doesn’t rule out a further CRR hike by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) through the rest of the year with a possibility of a 25 bps minimum and even a 50 bps hike. Market close very high in last week due to spurt in Ranbaxy Lab, RELIANCE & Llt, Infosys , tcs . Satayam comp. Watch out for next week Moser baer, K SERA SERA, pnc & rpl Eagle’s Eye Conti. from ...10 per ckt. at 47, Assam Company at 25 & today it has hit upper ckt. At 36.40, Chambal Fert. At 70 & 72 Having faced margin pressure in its core optical storage devices, Moser Baer diversified into solar energy a few years ago and is investing heavily in the sector. It has a facility in NCR (National Capacity Region) and is also setting up a renewal energy SEZ (special economic zone) there. solar energy is a fast-growing sector, with the global market size reaching $12-15 billion by 2010 from about $4 billion expected this year. India would be a significant player though the cumulative capacity is 100 MW currently. and it has touched 80+………. We hope many investors has taken benefit of our recommenda- tions….. To Get Free Intraday Trading and Delivery Calls add our Yahoo ID : par_18_2000 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 5 An Introduction to Japanese Candlestick Charting by Erik Gebhard CONTINUED FROM ISSUE 10 NOTE : DUE TO UNSUFFICIENT SPACE IT COULD NOT TAKEN IN ISSUE 11, SO IT CONTINUE IN THIS ISSUE THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF SOME INDIVIDUAL CANDLESTICK TERMS. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REALIZE THAT MANY FORMATIONS OCCUR WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF PRIOR CANDLESTICKS. WHAT FOLLOWS IS MERELY A DEFINITION OF TERMS, NOT FORMATIONS. · THE BLACK CANDLESTICK — WHEN THE CLOSE IS A CANDLESTICK WITH NO LOWER SHADOW. · SPINNING TOPS — CANDLESTICKS WITH SMALL REAL BODIES, AND WHEN APPEARING WITHIN A SIDEWAYS CHOPPY MARKET, THEY REPRESENT EQUILIB- THE LENGTH OF THE REAL BODY, AND THERE SHOULD BE NO OR VERY LITTLE UPPER SHADOW. THE BODY MAY BE EITHER BLACK OR WHITE, BUT THE KEY IS THAT THIS CANDLESTICK MUST OCCUR WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF A RIUM BETWEEN THE BULLS AND THE BEARS. THEY CAN BE EITHER WHITE OR BLACK. · DOJI LINES — HAVE NO REAL BODY, BUT INSTEAD HAVE A HORIZONTAL LINE. THIS REPRESENTS WHEN THE DOWNTREND TO BE CONSIDERED A HAMMER. THE MARKET MAY BE “HAMMERING” OUT A BOTTOM. · HANGING MAN — IDENTICAL IN APPEARANCE TO THE HAMMER, BUT APPEARS WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF AN UPTREND. · ENGULFING PATTERNS — BULLISH — WHEN A WHITE, REVERSAL FORMATION WHERE THE FIRST DAY OF THE PATTERN CONSISTS OF A STRONG WHITE, REAL BODY. THE SECOND DAY’S PRICE OPENS ABOVE THE TOP OF THE UPPER SHADOW OF THE PRIOR CANDLESTICK, BUT THE CLOSE IS AT OR NEAR THE LOW OF THE DAY, AND WELL INTO THE PRIOR WHITE, REAL BODY. · PIERCING PATTERN (BULLISH) — OPPOSITE OF IS A BULLISH BOTTOM REVERSAL PATTERN. THE FORMATION IS COMPRISED OF 3 CANDLESTICKS. THE FIRST CANDLESTICK IS A TALL BLACK REAL BODY FOLLOWED BY THE SECOND, A SMALL REAL BODY, WHICH GAPS (OPENS), LOWER (A STAR PATTERN). THE THIRD CANDLESTICK IS A WHITE REAL BODY THAT MOVES WELL INTO THE FIRST PERIOD’S BLACK REAL BODY. THE DARK-CLOUD COVER. OCCURS WITHIN A DOWNTREND. THE FIRST CANDLESTICK HAVING A BLACK, REAL BODY, AND THE SECOND HAS A LONG, WHITE, REAL BODY. THE WHITE DAY OPENS SHARPLY LOWER, UNDER THE LOW OF THE PRIOR BLACK DAY. THEN, PRICES CLOSE ABOVE THE 50% POINT OF THE PRIOR DAY’S BLACK REAL BODY. STARS THESE CANDLESTICK FOR- THIS IS SIMILAR TO AN ISLAND PATTERN ON STANDARD BAR CHARTS. · EVENING STAR -- A BEARISH TOP REVERSAL PATTERN AND COUNTERPART TO THE MORNING STAR. THREE CANDLESTICKS COMPOSE THE EVENING STAR, THE FIRST BEING LONG AND WHITE. THE SECOND FORMS LOWER THAN THE OPEN. · THE WHITE CANDLE- STICK — WHEN THE CLOSE IS HIGHER THAN THE OPEN. · THE SHAVEN HEAD — A CANDLESTICK WITH NO UPPER SHADOW. · THE SHAVEN BOTTOM — OPEN AND CLOSE ARE THE SAME OR VERY CLOSE. THE LENGTH OF THE SHADOW CAN VARY. CANDLESTICK REVERSAL PATTERNS JUST AS MANY TRADERS LOOK TO BAR CHARTS FOR DOUBLE TOPS AND BOTTOMS, HEAD-AND-SHOULDERS, AND TECHNICAL INDICATORS FOR REVERSAL SIGNALS, SO TOO CAN CANDLESTICK FORMATIONS BE LOOKED UPON FOR THE SAME PURPOSE. A REVERSAL DOES NOT ALWAYS MEAN THAT THE CURRENT UPTREND/DOWNTREND WILL REVERSE DIRECTION, BUT MERELY THAT THE CURRENT DIRECTION MAY END. THE MARKET MAY THEN DECIDE TO DRIFT SIDEWAYS. CANDLESTICK REVERSAL PATTERNS MUST BE VIEWED WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF PRIOR ACTIVITY TO BE EFFECTIVE. IN FACT, IDENTICAL CANDLESTICKS MAY HAVE DIFFERENT MEANINGS DEPENDING ON WHERE THEY OCCUR WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF PRIOR TRENDS AND FORMATIONS. · HAMMER — A CANDLESTICK WITH A LONG LOWER SHADOW AND SMALL REAL BODY. THE SHADOW SHOULD BE AT LEAST TWICE REAL BODY TOTALLY COVERS, “ENGULFS” THE PRIOR DAY’S REAL BODY. THE MARKET SHOULD BE IN A DEFINABLE TREND, NOT CHOPPING AROUND SIDEWAYS. THE SHADOWS OF THE PRIOR CANDLESTICK DO NOT NEED TO BE ENGULFED. · BEARISH — WHEN A BLACK, REAL BODY TOTALLY COVERS, “ENGULFS” THE PRIOR DAY’S REAL BODY. THE MARKET SHOULD BE IN A DEFINABLE TREND, NOT CHOPPING AROUND SIDEWAYS. THE SHADOWS OF THE PRIOR CANDLESTICK DO NOT NEED TO BE ENGULFED. · DARK-CLOUD COVER(BEARISH) — A TOP MATIONS CONSIST OF A SMALL REAL BODY THAT GAPS AWAY FROM THE REAL BODY PRECEDING IT. THE REAL BODY OF THE STAR SHOULD NOT OVERLAP THE PRIOR REAL BODY. THE COLOR OF THE STAR IS NOT TOO IMPORTANT, AND THEY CAN OCCUR AT EITHER TOPS OR BOTTOMS. STARS ARE THE EQUIVALENT OF GAPS ON STANDARD BAR CHARTS. STARS MAKE UP PART OF FOUR SEPARATE REVERSAL PATTERNS: 1. MORNING STAR 2. EVENING STAR 3. DOJI STAR 4. SHOOTING STAR (INVERTED HAMMER) · MORNING STAR — THIS A STAR, FOLLOWED BY THE THIRD, WHICH HAS A BLACK REAL BODY THAT MOVES SHARPLY INTO THE FIRST WHITE CANDLESTICK. · DOJI STARS — WHEN A DOJI GAPS ABOVE A REAL BODY IN AN UPTREND, OR GAPS UNDER A REAL BODY IN A FALLING MARKET, THAT PARTICULAR DOJI IS CALLED A DOJI STAR. TWO POPULAR DOJI STARS ARE THE EVENING STAR AND THE MORNING STAR. · EVENING DOJI STAR — A DOJI STAR IN AN UPTREND FOLLOWED BY A LONG, BLACK REAL BODY THAT CLOSED WELL INTO THE PRIOR WHITE REAL BODY. IF THE CANDLESTICK AFTER THE DOJI STAR IS WHITE AND Continue on ....7 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 6 Conti. from ...1 a slew of fiscal measures such as ban on export of cement and non-basmati rice, cut in import duty on some items and imposition of export duty on some steel items to rein in rising prices. If we look at the all industries composite till date, figures are as under: DATA TAKEN that of LISTED COMPANIES ON BSE. Operating Profit Margin - Full Year (%) : 20.7 Gross Profit Margin - Full Year (%) : 15.0 P/C Ratio : 16.8 P/E Ratio : 17.6 Dividend Yield - Audited (%) : ******* Price/Book Value Ratio - Latest : 2.84 Total Market Capitalization 15408 Companies : Rs .5794164.20 Cr. P/E forward one year compared to Asian peers still is at higher levels In parity of GDP growth likely to fall around 8.2 for the year 2008-2009. Global Markets: 16-05-208 Most of the Asian Indices end their week with a broader advance taking a clue from after an overnight progress on Wall Street. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 94.28 points to end at 12,992.66 and the S&P 500 index climbed 14.91 points to 1,423.57. The Nasdaq Composite rose 37.03 points to 2,533.73 Nikkei 225 Average of Japan rose as high as 14,392.53 before slipping back to a low of 14,211.26. It ended marginally down by 0.2% at 14,219.48, while the broader Topix index climbed 0.2% to 1,395.87. On the economic front, Japan’s economy grew for the third straight quarter in the January to March period on the back of robust exports and a pickup in private residential investment, beating expectations. The gross domestic product (GDP) rose a price-adjusted 0.8% on quarter, after growing by a revised 0.6% in the October-December period. On an annualized basis, GDP increased by 3.3%, compared with 2.6% growth a quarter earlier. The headline figures were better than the 0.7% on-quarter increase, or annualized 2.8% gain. Japanese machine tool orders rose a revised 0.4% on year in April to Y128.2 billion. The result was above the preliminary reading of 0.3% released earlier this month. In April, orders from overseas rose 8.1% on year to Y74 billion, while domestic orders slipped 8.5% to Y54.2 billion. South Korea’s import prices advanced at their fastest pace in 10 years in April after international prices of crude oil and other commodities soared to record levels. As per the data released by Bank of Korea the import prices surged 31.3 percent in April from a year ago, the steepest rise since May 1998 when prices jumped 31.9 percent. Compared to March, import prices rose 3.8 percent in April, after accelerating 8.2 percent in March from Meanwhile, Japanese consumer confidence fell to a fresh fiveyear low level in April due to worries about a Email : [email protected] weakening economy, employment and wage conditions and rising consumer prices. The consumer confidence index slid to 35.2 in April, hitting its lowest level since March 2003 when it stood at 34.7, and down February, as the won’s depreciafrom 36.7 in March, the Cabinet tion against the U.S. dollar Office said. slowed. Industrial output in Japan fell a revised 3.4% on month in March, worse than the 3.1% decline initially reported two weeks ago, the government said Friday. According to the revised data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry the shipments slipped 3.9% during the month, while inventories gained 0.1%. The March factory-operating ratio decreased 3.5% from the previous month. Chinese stocks in Shanghai were unsettled and moved between positive and negative territories in the aftermath of major earthquake in the Sichuan province recently, while Hong Kong listed stocks advanced after posting declines in the previous two sessions. Shanghai Composite of China slipped 0.4% to 3,624.23, after rising as high as 3,661.07 earlier in the day. The Hang Seng Index advanced 0.7% to 25,693.25 in Hong Kong, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index gained 1.1% to 14,185.98. Shares of BHP Billiton jumped to push Australian indexes higher, after local media reported that China has approached an Australian fund to partner in a multibillion-dollar attempt to buy a 9% stake in the mining giant. Australia’s S&P/ ASX 200-index ended 0.7% up to 5,931 after breaching the psychologically important 6,000point level earlier in the day. Kospi of South korea advanced 0.2% to 1,888.88. However A weaker won against the U.S. dollar pushes Korean companies’ import bills. Prices of raw materials, including crude oil and natural gas, rocketed 58.5 percent from a year ago in April, after jumping 56.4 percent in March. South Korea is the world’s fifth-largest crude oil buyer and relies entirely on imports for its oil needs NZX 50 index of New Zealand added 1.2% to 3,657.20 and Singapore’s Straits Times index added 1.3% to 3,248.55, while Taiwan’s weighted index firmed up 0.4% to 9,197.41. Jakarta Composite Index of Indonasia was up by 0.8% to 2,468.84; Malaysia’s KLSE Composite Index was up by 0.5% to 1,300.67. In the afternoon trading India’s Sensitive Index, or Sensex, gained by 1.7% to 17,412.60 and the broader S&P/CNX Nifty rose 0.6% to 5,143.85 .In Asian currency trading, the U.S. dollar slipped to 104.60 yen from 104.64 yen in New York late Thursday. June crude-oil futures rose as much as 18 cents to $124.30 a barrel in electronic trading, after finishing 10 cents lower at $124.12 a barrel Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Carrying the clues from the Asian markets the European markets opened with a rise. Of national indexes, the U.K. FTSE 100 index climbed 0.4% to 6,277.60, the German DAX 30index rose 0.7% to 7,132.57 and the French CAC-40 index rose 0.5% to 5,083.87. Close : 301 Meanwhile, Italy’s trade deficit widened in March as exports fell more sharply than imports. The trade deficit totaled EUR545 million in March, compared with a deficit of EUR127 million a year earlier. In February, the trade deficit narrowed to EUR408 million from EUR1.87 billion, rebounding from January’s steep decline. In March, exports fell 3.8% on the year and 2.9% on the month. Imports fell 2.5% on the year and 0.3% on the month. Stop Loss: 297 Looking at the day ahead we have power packed data calendar starting with trade balance data for Euro zone preceded by Trichet’s speech. In the evening we have building permits and housing starts for U.S followed by Reuters consumer sentiment index for May. Indian market scenario : As we said at the onset, we believe that next week we can see further up move if Nifty do not slip below support level of 5087 and Sensex sustained above 17157. In above case we can see next Nifty target of 5302-5399 and Sensex target of 1771117988. We also believe that Crude may fall sharply around the level of 137-141/BBL. In such case, our economy would be at ease. Good monsoon can prove to be an catalyst for the Sensex pushing towards 18357 levels which is maximum outer context of the short term target on Fibonacci Chart. The way small and Mid cap stocks are cornered during last few trading sessions, we feel that movements would continue in selective Mid-Cap stocks. It looks that operators are warehousing good mid-cap stocks for prospective FII clients. We advise to take positions in good mid-cap stocks. Target : 308-315 on Tuesday. Weekly target can be 317-335 (2) Reliance : Turning to be a market leader since last few days. Sizable volumes are taking place in this fancy stock. Close : 2635 Stop Loss:2621 Target : 2657-2673 in two days. Weekly target can be 2711-2792 Hold this stock till indices are pulling up. (3) Sunil Hi-tech Interest and boom in power sector has given this stock pack order book positions. At the closing of 289 on Friday, we see good upward move in next few days. Buy this stock for handsome gains Close : 289 Stop Loss :286 Target : 300 in two days and 650 in one year if can cross strong resistance level of 417 (4) MALCO Close : 880. Stop Loss : 877 This stock has reached this level from 701 in few trading sessions. From low of 701 on 29-April2008, this stock made top of 948 on Friday closing finally at 880. Take charge of this stock only if survive above last closing. Else wait to enter at support level of 845-809 for Target around 945-1027 (5) TEXMACO Close : 1629 Stop Loss : 1618 Target : 1691-1753 Weekly Trading Ideas : (6) Escorts China is the largest producer of Aluminum and production facilities at china are said to be disturbed due to recent massive earth quake. Close : 106 Hindalco, Nalco, madras aluminum are the best bid for next few days. High Risk Circuit Candidates : Madras aluminum is candidate for stock split which will improve sentiments further. (1) CAIRN : Moving up since last few days. Still can surge further. Stop Loss :104 Target : 114-121 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Tamilnadu Petro Hyderabad Ind Assam Company Assam Petrochem Rohit Ferro Upsurge Invest MSP Steel Andrew Yule B r i g a d e Cambridge 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 1) ABAN OFFSHORE ( 3889.65 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 3883 and buy with the stop loss of 3876 on the upper side first target is 3897 then Rs. 3906 - 3914 to 3922. 2) ADANI ENTER ( 858.50 ):- In this scrip near term support at 853 and buy with the stop loss of 846 on the upper side first target is 864 then Rs. 869 - 875 to 882 . 6) DR. REDDY ( 650.20 ) :In this scrip near term support at 644 and buy with the stop loss of 639 on the upper side first target is 656 then Rs. 662 - 669 to 678. 10) HPCL. ( 247.20 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 243 and buy with the stop loss of 239 on the upper side first target is 252 then Rs. 257 263 to 268 . 7) EDELWEISS CAP.( 797.45 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 791 and buy with the stop loss of 785 on the upper side first target is 806 then Rs. 818 - 830 to 844. 11) I-FLEX. ( 1398.90 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1391 and buy with the stop loss of 1384 on the upper side first target is 1406 then Rs. 1413 - 1422 to 1428. 8) FINANCIAL 3) BHARAT ELECT ( 1265.10 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1257 and buy with the stop loss of 1251 on the upper side first target is 1272 then Rs. 1280 1292 to 1304. 4) CENTURY TEXT ( 816.15 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 811 and buy with the stop loss of 805 on the upper side first target is 823 then Rs. 830 - 838 to 845. 5) COLGATE PALM ( 445.55 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 441 and buy with the stop loss of 436 on the upper side first target is 452 then Rs. 457 - 463 to 470. Japanish Charting Conti. from ....5 GAPPED HIGHER, THE BEARISHNESS OF THE DOJI IS INVALIDATED. · MORNING DOJI STAR — A DOJI STAR IN A DOWNTREND FOLLOWED BY A LONG, WHITE REAL BODY THAT CLOSES WELL INTO THE PRIOR BLACK REAL BODY. IF THE CANDLESTICK AFTER THE DOJI STAR IS BLACK AND GAPPED LOWER, THE BULLISHNESS OF THE DOJI IS INVALIDATED. · SHOOTING STAR — A SMALL REAL BODY NEAR THE LOWER END OF THE TRADING RANGE, WITH A LONG UPPER SHADOW. THE COLOR OF THE 7 12) L & T ( 2996.35 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 2988 and buy with the stop loss of 2976 on the upper side first target is 3007 then Rs. 3018 - 3032 to 3048. 13) ONGC ( 950.90 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 944 and buy with the stop loss of 938 on the upper side first target is 964 then Rs. 970 978 to 985. TECH ( 1774.20 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1767 and buy with the stop loss of 1760 on the upper side first target is 1782 then Rs. 1790 - 1797 to 1804. 9) FUTURE CAP HOLD ( 544.30 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 538 and buy with the stop loss of 533 on the upper side first target is 550 then Rs. 558 - 564 to 571 . BODY IS NOT CRITICAL. NOT USUALLY CONSIDERED A MAJOR REVERSAL SIGN, ONLY A WARNING. · INVERTED HAMMER— NOT REALLY A STAR, BUT DOES LOOK LIKE A SHOOT- ING STAR. WHEN OCCURRING WITHIN A DOWNTREND, MAY BE A TURNING SIGNAL. BODY COLOR IS NOT CRITICAL. FINAL THOUGHTS AND CREDITS IT IS IMPORTANT TO REALIZE THAT THIS INTRODUCTION IS JUST THAT, AN INTRODUCTION TO CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS. AFTER HAVING READ THIS, YOU WILL HAVE 14) REL CAPITAL ( 1385.20) :- In this scrip near term support at 1378 and buy with the stop loss of 1370 on the upper side first target is 1393 then Rs. 1402 - 1412 to 1422. 15) SESA GOA ( 4285.90 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 4278 and buy with the stop loss of 4270 on the upper side first target is 4298 then Rs. 4312 - 4330 to 4356. MERELY SCRATCHED THE SURFACE OF THE MANY PATTERNS AND VARIABLES THAT CAN GO INTO CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS. NO ATTEMPT WAS MADE TO PROVIDE A THOROUGH ANALYSIS OF EACH AND EVERY PATTERN. IN FACT, MANY FORMATIONS WERE LEFT OUT AS THEY CROSS THE BORDER INTO MORE COMPLICATED ANALYSIS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE OVERVIEW OF CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS, IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT YOU READ THE BOOK THAT IS REFERRED TO BELOW. A LARGE PORTION OF THE MATERIAL IN THIS INTRODUCTION IS TAKEN FROM AN EXCELLENT BOOK CALLED JAPANESE CANDLESTICK CHARTING TECHNIQUES: A CONTEMPORARY GUIDE TO THE ANCIENT INVESTMENT TECHNIQUES OF THE FAR EAST. IN SOME CASES, SENTENCES WERE TAKEN ALMOST VERBATIM, AS THERE In the coming days Oil, Metal, Banking, Reality sectors are expected to move further in this rally. As we have seen that avoiding terrorist blast, inflation data, retail selling market has risen unexpectedly. Market has risen approx. 4.17% in this week. Hence market has ended up near 200 DMA i.e. 17500. If market succeeds to cross over 17500 twice by closing level, it may get room for at least more 1000 pts from these levels. Downward side market has 16500 & 16000 as strong support. Weekly chart of the market seems to be bullish. Stochastic & RSI are bullish but MACD is weak for the daily chart for the Sensex. On the Nifty point of view, if closes above 5200 will get space till 5350 & 5400. NIRAV DESAI - Mo. 09820627454 E-mail : [email protected] In the coming days Oil, Metal, Banking, Reality sectors are expected to move further in this rally. “R” Group may boost the rally ahead. So we are bullish on scripwise buying & suggest some of the strong scrips to buy on decline. Sr. No Scrip Name 1. DLF 2. ICICI Bk 3. Cent Text 4. Rcom 5. Suzlon 6. IOC CMP 649 941 816 601 307 411 SL 635 924 800 590 298 400 RL 678 965/1000 848/856 622 320 428/35 CMP 858 178 118 1451 511 SL 841 170 114 1410 500 Trg 885 190 124/128 1500 535 Delivery Base Sr. No Scrip Name 1. Adani Ent 2. Bihar Tube 3. IB Sec 4 Tata Power 5 Tata Com WAS NO BETTER WAY TO SAY WHAT MR. STEVE NISON, THE AUTHOR, ALREADY SAID. IN HIS BOOK, MR. NISON, COMPLETELY EXPLAINS CANDLESTICKS AND THEIR FORMATIONS, BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY EXPLAINS HOW TO COMBINE CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS WITH TRADITIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT YOU CONSIDER PURCHASING THIS BOOK FROM THE ALTAVEST ONLINE BOOKSTORE. AS TRADERS, WE NEED AS MANY TRADING TOOLS IN OUR ARSENAL, AND A BASIC KNOWLEDGE OF CANDLESTICKS PROVIDES A TRADER MUCH NEEDED AMMUNITION. ALSO REMEMBER THAT NO MATTER WHAT THE TRADING TOOL, NO MATTER HOW ADVANCED OR ANCIENT, IT IS ONLY EFFECTIVE WHEN PUT INTO PRACTICE PROPERLY. THIS IS, OF COURSE, YOUR JOB AS THE TRADER. REGARDS, ERIK L. GEBHARD ALTAVEST WORLDWIDE TRADING, INC. ATTENTION The material contained in the Economic Revolution is based on Fundamental and Technical analysis & other scientific methods and also the knowledge and belief of author. Error can not to be rulled out. The information given is of advisory nature only. The Editor, the Publisher and the Author does not take any consequences arising out of it. All rights reserved. Reproducing to whole or in part of any matter including featurs without permision is not permitted. Letgal jurisdiction is Ahmedabad only. The material given in the Economic Revolution is the views of author only, it not means that Editor is agree with it, so Editor, the Publisher and the printer is not resposible for the contains in writers article. Devlaxmi Joshi Editor, Continue on ...7 The Economic Revolution. 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 8 WEEKLY PREDICTION OF STOCK MARKET FOR 19-05-08 to 23-05-08 During the week Sun will transit from Taurus, Moon from Libra to Sagittarius, Mars from Cancer, Mercury from Taurus, Jupiter from Sagittarius, Venus from Aries and from 20th May from Taurus, Saturn from Leo, Rahu from Capricorn, Ketu from Cancer, Harshal from Aquarius, Neptune from Capricorn and Pluto from Sagittarius. Daily effect of above planetary transit on stock market will be as follow:DATE DAY TREND OF MARKET Astromoneyguru says - Bears may come back in Stock market HINDUSTAN, BINANI CEMENT, BPCL, CELESTIAL LAB, CINEMAX As per Financial astrology 20th also gone as per expectations . booking is always advisable at week of year 2008 represents Crude oil levels moved as per every levels. Investors may inMoon. As per Financial astrol- our predictions . Sudden fall and vest with the view of 30 days in ogy Moon is very famous to rise have been seen in crude oil under mentions stocks . bring highest volatility in world in commodity future market. Important sector watch - Sugar, future market . During this week Auto, software Sun with Mercury, Important stock Jupiter in his own watch TCS, sign, Mars with Cipla, Bajaj Ketu in “ KARAK Hindusthan, “ Rashi .All these ONGC ,matrix combinations and lab, Brigade conjunctions may enteterprize etc show highest volaCommodities tility in world Crude Oil: As per stock market. stars crude oil is Volatility may start from US stock market followed by Euro- Stock Market- As per Astro-tech- expected to show volatility pean and Asian stock market. As nical calculations this week is trend this week. Crude oil resisper stars this week world stock expected to open with volatile tance levels US$ 128 to US$130 market may show volatility with but negative movement. in per barrel and support levels negative movement in US, Eu- world and Indian stock markets USD 124 or 122 per barrel in rope, Asian stock market at the . Profit booking are expected in world future market. Heavy beginning . Some bounce back Banking, Power, heavy engi- down ward corrections is exis also expected at lower levels neering, Oil and gas, Telecom- pected in last two days of the week on Tuesday. As per stars Nifty Level Last two Forex- As per days of the planets British Nifty support levels: (1) 5100 (2) 5050 (3) 4933 week bears Pounds are exNifty Resistance levels (1) 5188 (2) 5233 (3)5277 may show pected to show Investors may trade in Nifty according to these levels again their weakness against strength. US Dollars . My sincere advise to all inves- munications, Pharma, infrastruc- Profit or Loss for You tors either hedge your long po- ture ,real state sector. No big In- Red Alert for those investors sitions or book profit during vestment buying is advised . As who born in March 1978, Sepweek in long positions . Our ad- per Astro-technical Indian and tember 1979 and September vance predictions about Indian world stock market may see 1981, need to be Alert in big stock market and commodities some volatility in last two days trading since stars does not supmade previous week at this web of the week due to influence of port them . site proved correct . Nifty levels planets . Therefore timely profit INDIA, DR.REDDY, ESAB INDIA, ESSAR OIL, ESSAR SHIPPING, FORTIS OBITUARY 19-05-08 20-05-08 Monday Tuesday 21-05-08 Wednesday 22-05-08 Thursday 23-05-08 Friday Holiday. Open with bear trend, rise from 10.08 to 11.59, decline from 11.59 to 12.10, rise from 12.10 to 12.45, decline from 12.45.Bank, paper, information technology, publication, aviation will decline. Open with bear trend, normal rise from 13.05. Information technology, telecommunication, aviation, electric, electronic, will rise. Bull day. All sectors will rise, but glass, rubber, tyre, leather, machinery will rise better. Open with bull trend, decline from 12.09. Tea, coffee, tobacco, oil, Pharma, will decline. DURING THE WEEK THE FOLLOWING SCRIPWILL RISE ADVANTA INDIA, AFTEK, AJANTA PHARMA, AMBALAL SARABHAI, AMFORGE, ANDREW YULE, ARVIND MILL, ASHOK LEYLAND, BAJAJ HEALTH CARE, GARDEN SILK MILL, GLAXO, GTL, GTL INFRA, GUJ AMBUJA CEMENT, GSPL, HUL, IFCI, IFLEX, INFOSYS, KOTAK MAHENDRA, NEYVELILIGNITE, POWER GRID, PRAJ INDUSTRIES, REL ENERGY, SAIL, TATA POWER, TATA TEA, YES BANK. DURING THE WEEK THE FOLLOWING SCRIP WILL DECLINE:ACTION CONSTRUCTION, AONE ORGENIC, BALAJI TELE, BALLARPUR INDUSTRIES, BODAL CHEMICAL, CAIRN INDIA, DHAMPUR SUGAR, DIVI’S LAB., ESSAR STEEL, GAIL, GLAXO SMITH PHARMA, GRASIM, HINDALCO,IDEA, PUNJLLOYD, RIL, RELIENCE, POWER, SBI, TCS. Death is uncertain, Partition of beloved is always painful. May Lord make the deased soul rest in eternal peace. LkiLkt rALËÂLík þ†krý, LkiLkt Ënrík Ãkkðf:> Lk [iLkt õ÷uËÞLíkkÃkku, Lk þku»kÞrík {kÁík: > SHREE GANESHLAL GAUTAMLAL JOSHI BIRTH 02-08-1920 DEATH 15-05-2008 Narendra Ganeshlal Joshi, Devlakshmi Joshi, Nandgauri Joshi, Sneha, Asmi, Rutva & The Economic Revolution Family 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 9 GOOD LONGTERM BET DISH TV Dishtv is India's first direct to home entertainment service that has digitalized Indian entertainment to bring to your home the best in television viewing through the latest in digital technology. It not only broadcasts high quality programmes straight from the satellite to your home, but also gives you absolute and complete control of what you watch and pay for. It is almost like having your own satellite up in the sky. With dishtv you can unleash the true potential of your high-end television set and complete your TV viewing experience with true DVD quality. If you are a connoisseur of good sound then make sure you experience true stereophonic sound effects, which only dishtv can bring to your home. HINDUSTAN CONS Incorporated in 1926 by Seth Walchand Hirachand, Hindustan Construction Company (HCC) is one of the largest construction and infrastructure building company in the country. HCC specializes in the construction of technologically complex & Long-gestation period projects. The Company executes various projects from diversified areas like Hydel, Power, Roads, Bridges, Dams, Barrages, Marine Works, Buildings & Environmental Projects. The company had also undertaken several projects in Bhutan, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Myanmar, Tanzania, Sri Lanka etc. The company also specializes in construction techniques like pre-cast units for industrial structures and jetties, slip forming for tall structures and underground shafts, bridge builders for segmented construction of long-span bridges, three-dimensional computer- VOLTAS LIMITED Voltas Limited, a part of the TATA conglomerate, was incorporated in 1954. It is India's premier airconditioning and engineering service providers. Its operations are organized into four independent business specific clusters viz, Electro-Mechanical Projects & Services, Unitary cooling products for comfort & commercial use, Engineering Agency & Services and others. Voltas is also actively engaged in the procurement and marketing of air conditioners, textile machinery, machine BSE Code : 532839 Current Price : Rs. 53.30 Equity : 42.82 Crore Dishtv takes television viewing to the next level as it supports various futuristic features like Electronic Programme Guide, Parental Lock, Capacity up to 400 channels, Games, Interactive TV, Movie on Demand etc. Dishtv also brings you exclusive National and International channels for the first time in India! You can enjoy all of these never-seen -before channels in uninterrupted viewing without any transmission cuts. Brought to you by a Zee Network Enterprise, dishtv has changed the face of the Indian television home, bringing it at par with the global entertainment industry. BSE Code : 500185 Current Price : Rs. 131.70 Equity : 25.62 Crore aided design technology for bridges, and dredgers for speedy sinking of monoliths, etc. The Subsidiary Companies of HCC are Hincon Technoconsult Ltd, Western Securities Ltd, HCC Infotech Ltd, Pune Paud Toll Road Company Ltd and Hincon Realty Ltd The management guidance for FY2008 order book stands at Rs.12000 cr. as it has submitted tenders for projects worth Rs.5830 cr. and it is L1 in projects of roads, tunnels and bridges worth Rs.4000 cr. The company is pre-qualified to bid for projects worth Rs.7200 cr. Sales and NP for year ended 05 - 06 were 3082.8 Cr. & 108.8 Cr . Sales and NP for latest Quarter 1055.0 Cr & 26.4 Cr. On YOY basis NP has increased by 192 % Dividend during year ended 05 - 06 was 80 % BSE Code : 500575 Current Price : Rs. 167.75 Equity : 33.09 Crore tools, mining and construction equipment and industrial chemicals. Its factories are located at Thane (Maharashtra), Dadra and Sanathnagar (AndhraPradesh). Its offices cover all metros and other major Indian cities. Its overseas offices are located in Abu Dhabi (UAE), Hong Kong and Singapore. It has technical collaborations with international companies like Hitachi (Japan), Standard Refrigeration (USA), Dunham Bush (USA), Hercules (USA), Mitsubishi (Japan) etc. It has six subsidiaries and five joint ventures. The company in spite of rise in input cost has not hike the price of its air - conditioners. Steel, copper and aluminum contribute 70% to the input cost and due to the rise in cost of these inputs by 4% 5% the sales revenues of the AC manufacturers in India have been affected. The company is planning to meet this rise in cost through high volume growth. The domestic room AC market has been estimated at 2 million during the financial year ending March 2008.The company commands 17% of the domestic market share in room ACs, which it plans to increase to 20% by next year which will help company in driving its volume growth. The company with diversified business model and wide range of product line which is directly related to the economic growth is expected to drive its growth as economic growth is going ahead on strong platform and with more and more urbanization and changing demograph- BHEL In India in the energy-related/infrastructure sector, today. BHEL was established more than 40 years ago, ushering in the indigenous Heavy Electrical Equipment industry in India - a dream that has been more than realized with a well-recognized track record of performance. The company has been earning profits continuously since 1971-72 and paying dividends since 1976-77. BHEL manufactures over 180 products under 30 major product groups and caters to core sectors of the Indian Economy viz., Power Generation & Transmission, Industry, Transportation, Telecommunication, Renewable Energy, etc. The wide network of BHEL's 14 manufacturing divisions, four Power Sector regional centres, over 100 project sites, eight service centres and 18 regional offices, enables the Company to promptly serve its customers and provide them with suitable products, systems and services -- efficiently and at competitive prices. The high level of quality & reliability of its products is due to the emphasis on design, engineering and manufacturing to international standards by acquiring and adapting some of the best technologies from leading companies in the world, together with technologies developed in its own R&D centres. BHEL has acquired certifications to Quality Management Systems (ISO 9001), Environmental Management Systems (ISO 14001) and Occupational Health & Safety Management Systems (OHSAS 18001) and is also well on its journey towards Total Quality Management. BHEL has Installed equipment for over 90,000 MW of power generation -- for Utilities, Captive and Industrial users. Supplied over 2,25,000 MVA transformer capacity and other equipment operating in Transmission & Distribution network up to 400 kV (AC & DC). ics the demand for products like air - conditioners, construction equipments, refrigeration equipment, water coolers, freezers etc. are witnessing huge growth. Therefore, company is expected to capitalize its future growth through grabbing these opportunities. The company has emerged from being a consumer appliance company operating in highly competitive arena to one that has expertise in the niche engineering area of electro - mechanical projects and services. This, we believe has the potential to take the company on to a high growth trajectory in the future. Sales and NP for year ended 05 - 06 were 2400.6 Cr. & 129.6 Cr. Sales and NP for latest Quarter 664.8 Cr & 42.4 Cr. On YOY basis NP has increased by 43 % & based on latest quarters NP has increased by 127 % Dividend during year ended 05- 06 was 100 % BSE Code : 500103 Current Price : Rs. 1797.10 Equity : 489.52 Crore Supplied over 25,000 Motors with Drive Control System to Power projects, Petrochemicals, Refineries, Steel, Aluminum, Fertilizer, Cement plants, etc. Supplied Traction electrics and AC/DC locos to power over 12,000 kms Railway network. Supplied over one million Valves to Power Plants and other Industries. BHEL's operations are organised around three business sectors, namely Power, Industry - including Transmission, Transportation, Telecommunication & Renewable Energy - and Overseas Business. This enables BHEL to have a strong customer orientation, to be sensitive to his needs and respond quickly to the changes in the market. BHEL's vision is to become a world-class engineering enterprise, committed to enhancing stakeholder value. The company is striving to give shape to its aspirations and fulfill the expectations of the country to become a global player. The greatest strength of BHEL is its highly skilled and committed 42,600 employees. Every employee is given an equal opportunity to develop himself and grow in his career. Continuous training and retraining, career planning, a positive work culture and participative style of management ? all these have engendered development of a committed and motivated workforce setting new benchmarks in terms of productivity, quality and responsiveness. Sales and NP for year ended 06 - 07 were 17320.7 Cr & 2414.0Cr. Sales and NP for latest Quarter 4964.1Cr & 771.9Cr. On YOY basis NP has increased by 44 % & based on quarter latest its increased by 16% Dividend during year ended 06 - 07 was 245 % 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 10 HPCL, BPCL & ONGC MAY GAIN NEXT WEEK We have boldly told u last week that if index break 16570 then it can touch 16073 and if nifty future breaks 4954 then it can touch 4917…. See what happened in last weekkkk…. Index had breaks 16570 and goes below 16100….Nifty future had breaks 4954 and touched to 4923……. Also for upside we have boldly told u that if it crosses 16947 then it can touch 17259 and if nifty fut crosses 5037 then it can touch 5157…… Then What happened Index touched 17497.36 and nifty future touched 5168.10……. We hope that all investors those who are reading and following our article…may get benefited from this predictions……….. From our Stock future recommendations, Air Deccan has touched 147,BEL has touched 1284, MRPL has touched 94, GNFC has moved like rocket to touch 174, Hind.oil has touched 148, RNRL touched 112….. ment recommendations…. Max india touched 163, Matrix Lab moved like rocket touch 202, BASF has touched 252, Godrej touched 310 and Gwalior chem.,Prime Property,Tulip star, Hatsun Agro,Sky ind has performed well…. From Our Delivery based invest- Look at our previous recommendations… We have boldly told u to buy Cairn in fut at 255 and it has touched 304+, RCOM at 530 & at 577 also and it has touched 602, In delivery , we have told you to buy ASCL at 36 & today it has hit upContinue on ...4 Weekly Trading’s Hot Scripts for Week (19.05.08 To 23.05.08) Sr.No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Name PNB Hotel Leela Nalco Zee BOI Closing Price 559.00 47.45 520.00 237.85 358.30 Stoploss 546 43 503 230 345 Target 1 573 58 532 246 367 Target 2 587 69 546 255 380 Target 3 596 78 557 262 391 BSE Index Prediction for Week (19.05.08 To 23.05.08) Index BSE Closing Price 17434.94 Support 17315 Stoploss 17127 Target 1 17579 Target 2 17675 Nifty Future’s Prediction for Week (19.05.08 To 23.05.08) Index Nifty Closing Price 5148.00 Support 5100 Stoploss 5037 Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 5210 5242 5285 Nifty Future’s Hot Scripts for Week (19.05.08 To 23.05.08) Sr. No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Name Air Deccan Hind.Oil Explo MRPL RNRL Jindal steel Closing Price 137.75 142.45 91.55 110.65 2400.00 Stoploss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 130 135 86 102 2370 154 157 104 119 2458 172 170 116 133 2498 TRADING LEVELS FOR INDISES AND BSE 30 SCRIPT’S FOR 20 MAY 2008 ONLY These are the trading levels for BSC 30 Scrips.These are for 20th May.Tuesday only. According to thisany one can trace long at support and short are resistance level For Delivery Based Investment Hot Midcaps/ Smallcaps for Week (19.05.08 To 23.05.08) Target 3 17903 181 179 123 142 2532 Sr. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Company Bse Name Code ASCL 532853 Nutraplus 524764 Surya Pharma 532516 Super Spinning 521180 Aftek Infosys 530707 Hindustan Copper Zensar Tech 504067 Shrayans Reso 511413 Salzer Elect. 517059 Aptech 532475 Harisson 500467 Hyderabad Ind. 509675 KS Oil 526209 Jupitor Bio 524826 Webel SL 517498 Closing Price 47.00 13.80 112.60 14.15 53.60 513599 149.10 195.70 86.30 247.65 105.10 203.00 76.00 154.65 356.00 Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 60 19 137 24 64 307.00 164 219 109 265 111 217 84 163 388 74 24 154 36 73 337 180 228 130 284 123 229 95 175 414 83 28 166 41 80 358373 197 242 149 307 130 239 102 187 445 CLOSEON MAY 16TH SUPPORT-3 SUPPORT-2 SUPPORT-1 CENTRE RESISTANCE-1 RESISTANCE-2 RESISTANCE-3 Name NIFTY MAY FUTUR NSE NIFTY CASH BSE SENSEX ACC Ltd. Ambuja Cements Ltd. Bharat Heavy Electri Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Cipla Ltd. DLF Ltd. Grasim Industries Ltd. HDFC HDFC Bank Ltd. Hindalco Industries Ltd. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. ICICI Bank Ltd. Infosys Technologies Ltd. ITC Ltd. Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. Larsen & Toubro Limited Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. NTPC Ltd. ONGC Ltd. Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. Reliance Commu. Limited Reliance Energy Ltd. Reliance Industries Ltd. Satyam Compu. Serv. Ltd. State Bank of India Tata Consul. Serv. Ltd Tata Motors Ltd. Tata Steel Ltd. Wipro Ltd. 5152.30 5157.70 17434.94 680.05 110.90 1795.30 851.30 212.50 649.20 2289.80 2766.90 1502.30 203.70 243.70 941.15 1871.15 226.95 270.10 2996.35 662.20 818.95 191.05 950.90 510.70 601.85 1460.60 2635.20 488.15 1704.00 976.15 669.75 890.90 506.15 5044 5059.2 17154 660.98 107.43 1736.30 818.86 205.48 620.70 2229.00 2664.60 1461.20 190.80 235.10 895.10 1789.60 218.76 261.86 2912.70 648.60 791.26 187.60 924.60 478.93 569.95 1404.60 2563.80 465.43 1664.30 931.33 643.75 859.01 489.93 5112.1 5120.2 17335 674.58 109.83 1777.10 840.86 210.38 639.30 2268.50 27736.60 1490.20 199.05 240.40 925.50 1848.00 223.86 267.26 2970.20 658.30 811.06 190.00 942.40 498.58 590.20 1440.80 2608.80 480.43 1689.30 963.03 660.20 878.96 501.43 5140.1 5143.8 17416 682.71 111.16 1800.00 852.43 213.16 648.00 2286.70 2778.30 1507.10 202.65 242.40 940.25 1883.20 225.88 269.83 3001.60 664.10 822.98 191.35 951.70 506.11 598.80 1457.20 2627.40 487.71 1699.60 981.61 667.10 886.98 508.21 5180.2 5181.2 17516 688.18 112.23 1817.90 862.86 215.28 657.90 2308.00 2808.60 1519.20 207.30 245.70 955.99 1906.40 228.96 272.66 3027.70 668.00 830.86 192.40 960.20 518.23 610.45 1477.00 2653.80 495.43 1714.30 994.73 676.65 898.91 512.93 5248.3 5242.2 17697 701.78 114.63 1858.70 884.86 220.18 676.50 2347.50 2880.60 1548.20 215.55 251.00 986.30 1964.80 234.06 278.06 3085.20 677.70 850.66 194.80 978.00 537.88 630.70 1513.20 2698.80 510.43 1739.30 1026.40 693.10 918.86 524.43 5072 5082.8 17235 669.11 108.76 1759.20 830.43 208.26 629.40 2247.20 2706.30 1478.10 194.40 237.10 909.85 1824.80 220.78 264.43 2944.10 654.40 803.18 188.95 933.90 486.46 578.55 1421.00 2582.40 472.71 1674.60 949.91 650.65 867.03 496.71 5208.2 5204.8 17597 696.31 113.56 1840.80 874.43 218.06 666.60 2326.20 2850.30 1536.10 210.90 247.70 970.65 1941.60 230.98 275.23 3059.10 673.80 842.78 193.75 969.20 525.76 619.05 1493.40 2672.40 502.71 1724.60 1013.30 683.55 906.93 519.71 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 Market Outlook Indian bourses after the SEBI had imposed restrictions on Participatory Notes. It is learnt that the FIIs have taken route of Singapore NIFTY and money are pouring there to play in Indian Stock Market and we are deprived of the Foreign Exchange which hitherto were getting into the coiffeur of RBI. The outflow of US $ from India with a space more rapid than perhaps Government thought has certainly given an insight to think again over the ban on PN. If there is any truth in this news or remour than even little ease may drive foreign money in to Indian bourses again. The next result season is far away and there are no fresh triggers which can otherwise boost the participants to take higher risk in Indian Equity market. The much talked about Inflation at 44 months high of 7.83% has put the UPA Government in a bit of a fix. The elections in Karnataka shall have last votes cast this week and the Exit Poll indicates that road shall not be as easy as perhaps Congress thought. If the outcome is against the Congress then Stock Market shall certainly witness a knee jerk reaction but that would be for better since the elections those are forth coming in other seven states shall compel the Centre to become more pro active towards a common man which fortunately includes a small investor in this country. The debacle of ULIP scheme for the first two months in LIC has certainly acted as eye opener that people have started withdrawing from Indian equity market and it has no longer remained a sure shot as was thought since last two or three years!! The vertical fall of Index on 21st and 22nd January 2008 has done extensive damage to the Indian economy in terms of revenue to Government by way of STT, delay in several IPOs and FIIs taking a reverse flight to countries like Brazil Russia and Chile where their comfort level is more than India. We perhaps had Conti. from ....1 little over reacted to inflow of FIIs funds in this country without perhaps realizing that India Stock Market is not the only destination FIIS are dependent on as they several options available world over. The rising crude prices has created more alarm and the unacknowledged rift between Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Petroleum has revealed the truth that the Government cannot afford more burden on their treasuries as the economic and industrial slow down has already surfaced in last two months. The only hope against hope is the forecast of 99% monsoon this year and one does not know whether the prediction is heal the wounds of a possible slow down or just to keep the morale high of people who are fearing the worst to come in few months. As there cannot be a cross check on monsoon’s prediction one has to wait and watch the Rain God’s arrival by end of this month. If something goes wrong and the monsoon is found deficient then in initial stage then it would surely act as a dampener to Indian economy and certainly to Indian Stock Market. Therefore a cautious approach to the Investment proposal would be a better bat than blindly follow the game rules which proved rewarding so far. The diversification shall be the only answer and those seeking the Mutual Fund route for Investment must also invest in Real Estate and Gold ETF to hedge the possible downfall in stock market. The statistics show that money invested in Nifty futures in January 2008 had a negative return of 24% while Gold and Real Estate Funds have given 14% + post January 2008. All said and done the forth coming week shall be next to normal and volatility may be on lower side but taking a long position without corresponding hedging may prove risky. So be careful and remain in cash at least 50% if not more!! 11 WEEKLY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS FROM 19 May TO 23 May 2008 ANURAG GUPTA MOBILE : 9255191643 SYMBOL CLOSE NF APRIL 5152.30 ADLAB FUTURE 680.30 ABB FUTURE 680.30 ACC FUTURE 683.00 BANKBARODA FUTURE297.20 BEL FUTURE 1274.45 BEML FUTURE 1148.20 BHEL FUTURE 1804.20 BOMDYEING FUTURE977.70 BPCL FUTURE 358.95 CANBK FUTURE 235.90 CENTURYTEX FUTURE820.60 CIPLA FUTURE 213.50 DABUR FUTURE 99.70 DIVISLAB FUTURE 1452.90 DRREDDY FUTURE 652.80 GAIL FUTURE 401.50 GRASIM FUTURE 2290.40 HCLTECH FUTURE 297.60 HDFC FUTURE 2765.05 HDFCBANK FUTURE1500.05 HDIL FUTURE 817.55 HEROHONDA FUTURE805.05 HINDUNILVR FUTURE243.55 IDFC FUTURE 169.45 IDBI FUTURE 100.85 IFCI FUTURE 63.05 HINDPETRO FUTURE 248.40 I-FLEX FUTURE 1406.25 ICICIBANK FUTURE 942.35 INDIACEM FUTURE 168.70 INFOSYSTCH FUTURE1852.45 IOC FUTURE 414.00 ITC FUTURE 227.50 IVRCLINFRA FUTURE437.45 LT FUTURE 3006.35 M&M FUTURE 663.25 MARUTI FUTURE 818.40 MTNL FUTURE 104.25 NDTV FUTURE 416.65 ONGC FUTURE 953.35 ORIENTBANK FUTURE211.70 PARSVNATH FUTURE224.00 PRAJIND FUTURE 200.70 PUNJLLOYD FUTURE347.35 PATNI FUTURE 282.55 RANBAXY FUTURE 507.05 REL FUTURE 1457.40 RELCAPITAL FUTURE1388.05 RELIANCE FUTURE 2633.60 RNRL FUTURE 110.90 SATYAMCOMP FUTURE488.60 SOBHA FUTURE 562.10 SBIN FUTURE 1688.80 TATAMOTORS FUTURE669.35 TATAPOWER FUTURE1457.80 TATATEA FUTURE 951.85 TCS FUTURE 979.40 TATASTEEL FUTURE894.60 TITAN FUTURE 1253.60 UNITECH FUTURE 287.85 TATACOM FUTURE 510.60 WIPRO FUTURE 506.35 ZEEL FUTURE 238.20 Email : [email protected] TREND BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH RES2 5326.23 726.57 726.57 746.27 311.37 1348.02 1282.67 1892.53 1065.70 401.65 249.30 878.43 223.43 105.00 1592.10 709.60 440.03 2434.13 329.73 2940.28 1569.12 911.58 886.88 259.18 177.82 106.82 68.82 261.43 1545.42 997.28 181.20 2024.28 460.23 237.27 469.08 3210.78 690.52 870.20 108.55 429.08 1085.92 221.37 237.73 222.17 378.98 341.85 541.35 1593.13 1505.28 2741.67 119.80 541.07 590.00 1759.53 691.78 1547.47 1009.82 1066.00 957.73 1444.20 306.72 532.80 531.05 256.80 RES1 TREND LEVEL 5239.27 5081.13 703.43 668.37 703.43 668.37 714.63 687.82 304.28 294.72 1311.23 1263.22 1215.43 1132.72 1848.37 1779.78 1021.70 941.35 380.30 357.65 242.60 233.30 849.52 800.38 218.47 210.88 102.35 100.30 1522.50 1414.30 681.20 650.60 420.77 404.63 2362.27 2286.13 313.67 298.33 2852.67 2736.33 1534.58 1483.07 864.57 777.78 845.97 785.48 251.37 243.18 173.63 167.82 103.83 99.67 65.93 61.22 254.92 243.23 1475.83 1345.42 969.82 917.53 174.95 163.85 1938.37 1809.18 437.12 416.58 232.38 224.22 453.27 426.13 3108.57 2936.78 676.88 663.87 844.30 804.10 106.40 103.15 422.87 415.68 1019.63 978.32 216.53 209.57 230.87 219.43 211.43 198.22 363.17 340.58 312.20 290.25 524.20 492.65 1525.27 1403.13 1446.67 1343.38 2687.63 2589.32 115.35 108.00 514.83 491.67 576.05 563.05 1724.17 1662.08 680.57 666.78 1502.63 1418.07 980.83 933.02 1022.70 957.50 926.17 873.43 1348.90 1199.70 297.28 284.17 521.70 502.60 518.70 504.45 247.50 233.50 SUPP1 4994.17 645.23 645.23 656.18 287.63 1226.43 1065.48 1735.62 897.35 336.30 226.60 771.47 205.92 97.65 1344.70 622.20 385.37 2214.27 282.27 2648.72 1448.53 730.77 744.57 235.37 163.63 96.68 58.33 236.72 1275.83 890.07 157.60 1723.27 393.47 219.33 410.32 2834.57 650.23 778.20 101.00 409.47 912.03 204.73 212.57 187.48 324.77 260.60 475.50 1335.27 1284.77 2535.28 103.55 465.43 549.10 1626.72 655.57 1373.23 904.03 914.20 841.87 1104.40 274.73 491.50 492.10 224.20 SUPP2 4836.03 610.17 610.17 629.37 278.07 1178.42 982.77 1667.03 817.00 313.65 217.30 722.33 198.33 95.60 1236.50 591.60 369.23 2138.13 266.93 2532.38 1397.02 643.98 684.08 227.18 157.82 92.52 53.62 225.03 1145.42 837.78 146.50 1594.08 372.93 211.17 383.18 2662.78 637.22 738.00 97.75 402.28 870.72 197.77 201.13 174.27 302.18 238.65 443.95 1213.13 1181.48 2436.97 96.20 442.27 536.10 1564.63 641.78 1288.67 856.22 849.00 789.13 955.20 261.62 472.40 477.85 210.20 PLEASE UNDERSTAND BEFORE YOU TRADE TRADING GUIDELINES (or how to trade using this sheet): 1. This model is based on the premise that the TREND LEVEL is the most important price level that decides the intraday trend. Much like how the door or a window hangs by a hinge and sways in the wind, the intraday trend also hangs by this TREND LEVEL and swings because of the demand-supply, volatility and market sentiments prevailing in the market. Hence its importance in intraday trading. 2. Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low. 3. If the market price is stable above the TREND LEVEL, then GO LONG. and book profit near the resistant level (res1 and res2) 4. If the market price is stable below the TREND LEVEL, then GO SHORT. and book profit near the support level (sup1 and sup2) 5. STOP LOSS: Since you are aware of the ‘potential returns’ at the time of initiating an intraday trade (difference between the entry price and profit targets), you should set up an appropriate STOP LOSS around 1% above below of the trade price to protect yourself if the market turns and goes against you. 6. ALTERNATE STRATEGY: If you have already initiated a trade with clear-cut profit targets and a stop loss level, and find during the course of the trading day that the market turns and goes the other way and crosses the TREND LEVEL, then trade again: .For instance, if your first trade was a LONG trade and the market price drops through the TREND LEVEL to lower price levels, then GO SHORT. . And, if your first trade was a SHORT trade, and the market price rises through the TREND LEVEL to higher price levels, then GO LONG. 18-5-2008 to 24-5-2008 12 INTRODUCTION : Shri Antaryami is connected with Stock Market since last many years and giving right guidance to many people among the country and out side the country also. He has great experience and knowledge of the Stock Market and he is counting as a leader analyst in Gujarat. He is connected with Stock Market research and it becomes his profession. Due to personal circumstances, he do not want to share his introduction, but he always remain well wisher of small investors and thinks for them and always catch the opportunity to guide them. It is his pleasure to help and guide small investors. SENSEX – 17434 as on 16/5/08 Dear Friends, Sensex has resistance at 17600Level with highly Volatile Trend; above which other resistance levels are at 17773 In downside support levels are at Market likely to go up further in coming week 17300 levels; below 17160 level, other support levels are at 16821 levels. I am positive for next week above 17600 but be with the trend. Let the market decide further moves. As we are saying from many days Buying is suggested in falls only... and its still a better strategy in the given scenario...Regarding long term positions, it is preferable to remain cautious now...!! If sensex crosses 17800, again then the upper side target is quite high and it may touch 18400 before May 2008!!! One can go for buy at those levels also, but in absence of that its time to book profits. This is a pessimistic outlook but that’s the way we tend to be, in this mar- DIAMOND STOCKS FOR THE WEEK 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Chambal Ferti. : ( 79) : Buy at Rs 76 levels considering minor support of Rs 73 and stoploss of Rs 70 for an upper target of Rs 92 levels. Below Rs. 70 it can slide upto RS 68 and RS 64 levels. Hyderabad ind : ( 203 ) : Operator based buying has been there in this stock. It is suggested to buy at RS 199 with SL of RS 190 for the target of Rs 225; below RS 190 it can fall up to RS 181 levels. If it crosses Rs 228 level than expect non stop rally up to Rs 250 Harrison Met: ( 105 ) : This stock is looking very good to buy at Rs 101 with SL of RS 97 for the target of RS 128 levels below Rs. 96 stock shall witness free fall. Suraj Diamond : ( 74 ) : Buy delivery of this stock at current levels with SL of Rs 70 for the target of Rs 85 level. It is very good for long term position also. Nagarjuna ferti : (49) : Buy at Rs47 with SL of Rs 44 for the target of Rs 58 levels below Rs. 44 it can show further fall. Laxmi energy : ( 255 ) : Technically accumulation in this stock has been at these levels. Buy at Rs 258 with SL of RS 248 for the target of RS 276 levels. It is very good for short to medium term. Mahendra Life : ( 646 ) : Buy at Rs 640 With SL of RS 632 for the target of RS 668 level. It is very good for medium to long term investment. Zuari Ind. : ( 262) : Buy at Rs 255 with SL of Rs 251 for the target of RS 278 levels. It is very good for medium to long term investment. Garware Offshore : ( 243 ) : Buy at Rs 240 with SL of RS 235 for the target of RS 259 levels It is very good for medium to long term investment. Vijay Shanti ( 82 ) : Buy delivery of this stock at current levels with SL of Rs 78 for the target of 94 level. It is very good for long term position also. Volatile Trend, In Downside support levels are at 5126 Levels; below 5099 level, other support levels are at 5050 levels. I am positive for next week above 5195 but be with the trend. Let the market decide further moves. As we are saying from many days Buying is suggested in falls only...and its still a better strategy in the given scenario...!!! ket. NIFTY FO – 5157 as on 16.05.2008 NIFTY FO has resistance at 5195 Level ; above which other resistance levels are at 5228 Level with highly Regarding long term positions, it is preferable to remain cautious now...!! If NIFTY crosses 5300 Level, again then the upper side target is quite high and it may touch 5405 Level before May – 2008...!!! Here is given Some GLODEN STOCKS for the week FUTURE-PLATINUM 1 2 3 4 5 R Com: ( 602 ) : Buy at Rs 600 with SL of RS 590 for the target of RS 625 level below Rs 590 it can show further downfall. Hindalco : ( 204) : Buy at Rs 200 With SL of RS 195 for the target of RS 220 level below Rs 194 it can show further downfall up to Rs 189. Bhel : ( 1796) : Buy at Rs 1800 with SL of RS 1770 for the target of RS 1840-1880 levels below Rs. 1765 it can show further downfall up to RS 1708 Suzlon Energy.: ( 307) : Buy at Rs 305 with SL of RS 300 for the target of RS 325 levels below Rs. 295 it can show further downfall up to Rs. 280 Tata Comm : ( 511 ) : Buy at Rs 505 with SL of RS 485 for the target of RS 540 levels below Rs. 480 it can show further downfall. SMALL SAVING STARS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Nagarjuna Ferti : ( 49 ) : Buy at 46 with SL of RS 44 for the target of RS. 58 . IFCI : ( 63 ) : It is suggested to buy with SL of RS 58 for the target of RS. 72 below at RS 56 it can slip up to RS 52 level. Crossover above Rs. 74 evel will take the stock to Rs 80 Suraj Diamonds: ( 74) : Buy at Rs. 72 with SL of RS . 68 for the target of Rs.82 levels below Rs. 66 it can show further downfall. Sh. Laxmi Cotsyn : (110) : Buy at Rs 105 with SL of RS. 99 for the target of Rs 130 levels . It is very good for long term position also. Mazda Ltd.: ( 70 ) : Buy at Rs .68 with SL of RS 65 for the target of Rs 85 levels below Rs.65 it can show further fall Try to exit long position at every rise
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