• Vol. I • Issue :16 • Date : 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 • Editor : Devlaxmi Joshi • Asso.Editor : Narendra Joshi • Mobile:9825065387 • •• Address : 115/991, Nirmal Apartment, Telephone Exchange Road, Naranpura, Ahmedabad -380013 • Phone : 27451449 •• INVESTMENT GUIDE 12 ANTARYAMI TECHNICAL VIEW 2 SUMIT BILGAIYAN ASTRO MONEY GURU 8 MAJOR AJAY JAIN LONG TERM/INVESTORS GLOBAL CUES DICTATE KEEP AWAY FROM THE MARKET NEAR TERM TREND MARKET RECOVERED FROM LOWER LEVEL The market moved both ways last week. On Monday it fell sharply, almost alarmingly, and after that it stabilized on some firm measures by the gove r n ment to control inflation. It seems that the market may move in narrow trading range of first in4450-4650, and if it stallment that touches 4650,it may face falls due on 15 June strong resistance and may 2008,which will give a clue on come down again to test the expected Q1 June 2008 num4450 levels again. FII s were net seller since JanuContinue on ...2 Higher inflation, soaring crude prices and continuously heavy selling by FII in Indian Market and weak global cues drag equity market and extend losses for fourth week in a row. BSE & NSE Nifty both lost nearly 2.5% in the week ended 13 June 2008.Sensex closed at 15189.62 and Nifty at 4517.10. In the middle of the week sensex and Nifty hit their lowest level of the 2008, with sensex hitting a low 14645.13 and Nifty 4369.80. BEARS RULE SUPREME - 14/06/2008 Last week we were very clear that the Bears would dominate the markets and would continue to do so in the near foreseeable future. Our prediction was very accurate, also the Sensex took support just near our support that we mentioned at 14677 but not before just making a new low of 14645and Nifty made a low of 4369. the market. Even takeover of Ranbaxy did not boost the market as a whole, but it did cheer up the pharma sector. Fear is ruling supreme; everywhere there are only negative news flowing. Here one would do well to remember the Great In- All negative forces -SHOBHA like rising Email : crude price, i n f l a t i o n [email protected] rate, hardening inter- SHAHENSHAH OF FINANCIAL JUNGLE est rate and vestment Guru, Mr.Warren BufFII outflows combined their fet, who says that the best time forces together to bring down Continue on ...10 ary 2008, FII dumped shares worth Rs. 5321.50 crores in June 2008 till 11 June. In the calendar year 2008 till 11 June 2008 they sold shares worth R. 20690.90 crores. Market men will also watch corporate advance tax payments for the Investors who have a long term portfolio should try and keep away from the market for some time to come as in the sentim e n t driver market that is there tod a y , some wrong decision may be taken. The traders can look into stock specific movements and can take advantage of many opportunities that may arise during the weak. MARKET APPEARS BOTTOMED OUT – BUT BOTTOM FISHING IS TILL AWAY The fourth consecutive week of downfall may be for a halt for sometime as the crucial Nifty level of 4500 and Sensex level of 1500 have not been breached in spite of the hike in Repo rate by R B I on Thursday and seven year high inflation published on Friday. Both these are extremely negative as increase in Repo rate signals the fear Government has about inflation going to double digit and most banks under are pressure to increase the interest rate and deposit rate to maintain the attractions. The official figures published by R B I indicates that Banks have raised fresh deposits of Rs. 61507 crores during May while corresponding lending is just Rs. 43,303 crores leaving a surplus of Rs. 28000 cores on which interest has to be paid. Thanks to high volatil- ity and nervousness in Stock slacken the demand further and Market which have forced Inves- hence it is very much unlikely tors to park their that major banks would resort to this action until the loan demand spurt post monsoon. But with data t be released next Friday on inflation are creating headache from now to the Govmoney ernment as the increase in a t Petrol, Diesel and LPG prices safe shall be reflected and blame h a game numbers shall now be no v e n longer available to present ruli n ers. So far the statistics were in stead favour of NPA and against NDA of risking it to a negative return. but with 8.75% inflation it has crossed the boundaries beyond Well most demand is from Oil and forth coming elections in companies to buy crude from two states end this year includoverseas market due to spiraling ing Rajasthan would pause a oil prices while the demand from greater challenge. The Gujjar other sources are still very slack protest which has already made according to SBI chairman Mr. both Centre and State pretty unO P Bhatt. Therefore any increase in interest rate shall only Continue on ...8 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 2 Sumit bilgaiyan is technical & fundamental analyst. He has vast experience in the stock market last 6 years.He is regularly writing article and daily columns in Leading News papers in Gujarat. He also does PORTFOLIO ADVISORY SERVICES. E-mail: [email protected] Mobile-+91 09755261070 Still Hanging Sword of intrest rate hike Market is in very crucial condition, heavy pressure of bad news from all round makes it difficult for the bulls to carry long positions. Inflation data of 7 year high @ 8.75% & still there is expectation of moving upward due to negative movement of crude for economy. RBI rose Repo rate by 25 bps to 8%, in response to that many banks are rising lending rates they also have to rise deposit rate otherwise they may not be able to attract deposit & may loose business, this may result in fall in business of Housing, Auto, Banking etc for short term. As repo rate is not directly connected with the monetary movement in the market, so any further rise in interest rates may not be a wonder. On the technical side market has nearest support of 15000, & NIRAV DESAI - Mo. 09820627454 E-mail : [email protected] crucial support @ 14500. So as Nifty has nearest support of 4495 & crucial support @ 4445. On the upper side if market closes twice above 15300 may test 15800 & 16000 soon. Whereas Nifty if closes above 4640 then only positive to test 4791. Till the rise may be taken as a pullback phase & F&O traders may adopt sell or short strategy at every rise of ?Mandi?. Market people are scared of every unexpected next day opening, & that?s why intraday concept is spreading. We request members to avoid intraday trading in this kind of volatile market. We recommend some of the strong delivery base scrips to buy only on decline for the investors to hold for more than a week. Contact us for more in-depth study of market Sr. No Scrip Name 1. Zuari Ind 2. NIIT Tech 3. Aztec Soft 4. Chennai Petro 5. Guj Alkalies CMP 258 142 72 337 188 SL 245 135 70 328 180 RL 277/290 160 76/78 360 198/204 Buy Adani Ent if closes above 810 for Trg of 858 Buy Asian Elect if closes above 126 Trg 145/151/163 Buy Bombay Rayon if closes above 345 for Trg of 365 Risky buy for long term ACC, Aban, Union Bank, Tata Elexi. SPLITS DECLARED IN LAST FEW DAYS Company Name Ratio* XSplit Date AIAEngineering 10:02 NA JM Financial 10:01 NA Camlin 10:01 NA Plethico Pharmaceuticals 10:01 NA Camlin 10:01 NA Apollo Sindhoori Capital Investment 10:01 NA Hatsun Agro Products 10:02 NA Gemini Communications 5:01 NA MIC Electronics 10:02 NA Madras Aluminium Company 10:02 NA Tricom India 10:02 NA Sona Koyo Steering Systems 2:01 NA Sesa Goa 10:01 NA Motilal Oswal Financial Services 5:01 NA Cals Refineries 10:01 NA PTL Enterprises 10:02 NA T Spiritual World Limited 2:10 NA Uma Petro Products India 10:01 NA MARKET TREND FOR THIS WEEK Continuously market goes in negative direction in last week we again see fall in market continuously rise in inflation and weak global cues are also give the bad effect and expected this type of trend continue in coming week on weekly basis sensex down nearly 382 points and closes at 15189 and on weekly basis nifty down nearly 110 point and closes at 4517 this week we also see a heavy selling pressure come in midcap and small cap stock on weekly basis bse midcap down nearly 121 points and closes at 6228 and on weekly basis bse small cap index down nearly 114 point and closes at 7581 on week start on Monday we see a weak market and at the end sensex down nearly 506 points and closes at 15066 on tuesday we again see a high volatile trend but at end sensex down nearly 176 and closes at 14889 after two days continuously fall in market we see recovery on wednesday sensex up nearly 296 points and nifty Thursday we see again a high volatile trend but at the end market end flat sensex up nearly 64 points on Friday we again see high volatile and sensex down nearly 60 point and close at 15189 points coming week market is again high volatile important support for sensex is 14600 below this level next target for sensex Is at 14100 and for coming week important resistance for sensex is at 15800 above this level expected some recovery in market is positive . MARKET SUMMERY Conti. from ...1 bers from corporates. top Indian At present market sentiment is week amid of high crude oil, inflation etc. but for the medium to long term valuation an attractive and one can chore stock for their own and can invest at every decline. For the next week 14800 is the major support and one can invest at this level for moderate return in short term. Market trend for this week STAR OF THE WEEK Market is volatile for this week if sensex break the important support of 14600 then we see again fall in market and for this week important resistance is at 15800 above this level we expected again some recovery for this week market is positive. Hind rectifier— In negative market on Friday stock close with positive notes with huge volume expansion also with big gain in last week stock recovers smartly from123 levels it has has huge potentional to go upto 169 in coming week buy at current levels at 149 with a upper target of 165 above this level next target is at 169 stoploss 135 .Stock is also good for short term investment For this sensex resistance is at 15240—15390—15560 above this above this level next resistance is at 15800 in down side support is at 15080-1492014800 below this level next support is at 14600 Market is positive for this week. For this week nifty resistance is at 4550-4590-4620 above this level next level next resistance is at 4720 in down side support is at 4470—4445—4410 below this level next support is at 4350 .market is positive for this week. COMPANY Ranbaxy Tech mahindra Sel mcl Fcs soft Vaibhav gem Pstl (532791) —Buy at current levels at 320 with a upper target of 338 above 342 Next target is 350 with a stoploss of 300. Soft bpo global—The stock is looking good for coming week there is upside potentional till around at 273 and very little down side with a strong support 260 keep a tight stoploss of 262 and start covering at 290. STOCK FOR THIS WEEK BUY AT TARGET 566 584 788 810 572 589 to 595 96 105 55 62 to 65 STOPLOSS 552 864 558 89 49 F & O STOCK FOR THIS WEEK COMPANY BUY AT TARGET STOPLOSS Rajesh expo fut 86 92 80 bhel fut 1561 1582 to 1590 1535 hpcl fut 186 200 175 reliance capital fut 1130 1150 to 1180 1100 C O M PA N Y STOCK FOR SHORT TERM BUYAT TARGET Eid parryRas pro lami 177 2 EAFLE’S EYE Conti. from ...3 target 562……..We have told to buy Harrison on 19.05.08 at 105 & target given 123 ….& Many more scripts ……….All given targets achieved in very short span of time and all were performed very very well in volatile and –ve markets also………….. Even Many of our Future stocks had done well also……..What else u want from us ?????........... During Last week we have given Anu’s lab at 264 to our 200 to 240 4 to 5 STOPLOSS 160 2 all paid clients for delivery and it has touched 339 in a week……...........Our paid clients are long in SEL MFG from Rs. 453 and they had booked the proft at 570+…………....... Paid services includes Intraday cash, Intraday future calls, BTST,STBT, Positional future calls, Delivery based short-medium term calls, Sure Shot Intraday and Future calls…………….Contact us on 099740 36583 or on yahoo messenger : par_18_2000 after market hours only. 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 3 Our Delivery Calls Chambal Fertiliser and SEL MFG both r on heavy heavy fireeeeeee…inspite of volatile and negative markets……….Both delivery calls had been outperformed and given superb profit in very short term. This both scripts have proved that “where ever index goes our scripts performs “………….If u r reading our article “ EAGLE’S EYE “ regularly u can also feel the same……….Since Last many weeks we are trying to give our best efforts and informations which can help you to take best decision through which u can earn huge,handsome and safe profits…. above 15971 and nifty future has to close above 4734…………Both has failed to cross the said levels………….Also we have told if not crosses above levels then in down side index can touch 14883 and nifty future can touch 4476….both levels achieved during the week……………… Last week we have clearly told that for bull run or upside index has to close From our future stock’s recommendations….Grasim, Suzlon, IF CLOSES ABOVE 15338 THEN IT MAY TOUCH 15573,15972 SL 14747 NIFTY FUTURE IF CLOSES ABOVE 4523 THEN IT MAY TOUCH 4591,4680 SL 4333 Sterlite, HCC, BEML,Ultratech,Mphasis had performed well initially………… Dear, Right now market is too volatile and in negative bias……so we are giving more concentration on delivery based short term reco’s onlyyyy…. Just see on 21.04.08 we have told u to buy delivery of Chambal fert at 70 & target given was 83……… We have given a buy call on SEL MFG at 453.40 on 12.05.08 for target 497 …then also told SEL MFG’s delivery again at 517 for Continue on ...2 Weekly Trading’s Hot Scripts for Week (16.06.08 To 20.06.08) Sr.No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Name BEL Bharat Forge Telco BHEL NALCO Closing Price 1142.00 260.50 500.00 1545.00 467.20 Stoploss 1104 252 487 1517 456 Target 1 1173 265 509 1566 474 Target 2 1191 270 520 1584 485 Target 3 1208 277 532 1604 494 BSE Index Prediction for Week (16.06.08 To 20.06.08) Index BSE Closing Price 15189.62 Support 14883 Stoploss 14747 Target 1 15338 Target 2 15573 Nifty Future’s Prediction for Week (16.06.08 To 20.06.08) Index Nifty Closing Price 4482.10 Support 4365 Stoploss 4333 Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 4523 4591 4680 Nifty Future’s Hot Scripts for Week (16.06.08 To 20.06.08) Sr. No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Name Chambal Fert. RPL RNRL R Power IDEA Closing Price 90.40 178.65 89.00 186.60 107.85 For Delivery Based Investment Hot Midcaps/ Smallcaps for Week (16.06.08 To 20.06.08) Target 15972 Stoploss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 85 170 84 179 101 94 185 96 196 114 97 190 101 205 122 100 196 109 217 127 Sr. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Company Name Hotel Leela MRPL Deccan Aviation Hind.Oil Aptech Aftek Info Surya Pharma ASCL Hind.Copper Super Spinning Salzer Electro Timex Tutis Tech Zensar Tech Assam Co. Bse Code 500193 500109 532747 500186 532475 530707 532516 532853 513599 521180 517059 500414 532311 504067 500024 Closing Price 39.80 70.40 102.45 127.00 210.20 41.05 101.10 48.55 256.70 12.80 74.10 19.90 15.30 136.00 28.95 Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 47 77 117 138 227 49 111 60 275 16 84 23 18 149 33 52 86 128 150 243 57 122 73 298 20 93 27 21 160 36 60 95 139 165 265 66 130 88 323 25 102 30 24 177 40 LONG TERM INVESTORS HAVE TO START INVESTING IN SOUND SCRIPTS SLOWLY 1) EDUCOM (3450.90 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 3443 and buy with the stop loss of 3435 on the upper side first target is 3457 then Rs. 3463 - 3468 to 3474. 2) JINDAL SAW ( 535.80 ):- In this scrip near term support at 528 and buy with the stop loss of 524 on the upper side first target is 542 then Rs. 548 - 553 to 558 . near term support at 835 and buy with the stop loss of 829 on the upper side first target is 848 then Rs. 854 - 862 to 869. 6) ULTRATECH ( 632 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 628 and buy with the stop 5) ONGC ( 841.25 ) :- In this scrip 8) SUN PHARMA. ( 1471.05 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1465 and buy with the stop loss of 1456 on the upper side first target is 1476 then Rs. 1484 - 1492 to 1500. 9) ABAN OFFSHO ( 3720.40 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 3713 and buy with the stop loss of 3705 on the upper side first target is 3727 then Rs. 3734 - 3742 to 3753 . 3) IND INFOLINE ( 617 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 612 and buy with the stop loss of 605 on the upper side first target is 623 then Rs. 629 - 634 to 642. 4) TATA POWER ( 1252.45 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1246 and buy with the stop loss of 1238 on the upper side first target is 1258 then Rs. 1264 - 1271 to 1276. and buy with the stop loss of 577 on the upper side first target is 593 then Rs. 600 - 607 to 615. loss of 622 on the upper side first target is 637 then Rs. 644 - 649 to 656. 7) CENTURY TEXT .( 588.15 ) :In this scrip near term support at 583 10) ONMOBILE. ( 611) :- In this scrip near term support at 606 and buy with the stop loss of 602 on the upper side first target is 616 then Rs. 623 - 629 to 636 . 11) TATA TEA ( 773.60 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 768 and buy with the stop loss of 760 on the up- per side first target is 778 then Rs. 784 - 790 to 797. 12) LANCO INFRA ( 358.10 ) :In this scrip near term support at 354 and buy with the stop loss of 349 on the upper side first target is 362 then Rs. 367 - 374 to 378. 13) REL.CAP. ( 1130.35 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 1122 and buy with the stop loss of 1115 on the upper side first target is 1138 then Rs. 1144 - 1149 to 1156. 14) BAJAJ AUTO (505.50) :- In this scrip near term support at 502 and buy with the stop loss of 496 on the upper side first target is 513 then Rs. 521 - 528 to 534. 15) COLGATE ( 369.50 ) :- In this scrip near term support at 366 and buy with the stop loss of 361 on the upper side first target is 374 then Rs. 378 - 383 to 388. Continue on ....2 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 4 RESISTANCE IS AT 15189.62 FOR BSE SENSEX AND 4571.1 FOR NIFTY Bse Sensex(15189.62) and and sell Call Option Of June Nifty(4517.1) closed approxi- Month Strike Price 100 @1.6 mately 2.5% down each last week .Higher inflation at 8.75 Premium Received by selling v/s 8.24 brought some worries.Market will take cue from development of monsoon and Q1 advance tax nos. in coming week.Support for Sensex is 14750 and for Nifty 4400.Market may take support and move towards resistance level of 15750 for Sensex and 4750 for Nifty.Export duty cut for some steel products may Narendra Naynani (M)9898162770 boost sentiment. [email protected] Nifty put-call ratio is 1.11 and highest open interest is build up at Nifty 4200 put call=1600*1.6=2560 Rs. option.Chambal fertizer and Profit-100Idea added significant open in- Maximum 94.35=5.65*1600=9040+2560=11600 terest while Bombaydying and Lanco Infra sheded the open in- Maximum Loss=Unlimited terest. Portfolio Ideas Strategy for Future & Option players 1)Idea(108.15)Buy this stock in portfolio at every price. 1)MTNL(94.35)-Lot Size-1600 2)RPL(179.15)Buy this stock in Buy One Lot of [email protected] portfolio at every price. BULLET Trend indicator for major stocks STOCK ICICIBANK.NS INFOSYSTC.NS ITC.NS MARUTI.NS RELIANCE.NS SAIL.NS SATYAMCOM.NS SBIN.NS TATASTEEL.NS TCS.NS TREND NO OF DAYS Trend Weekly Monthly Trend Bulllish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bulllish Neutral Bearish Bulllish Neutral Bulllish Falling Falling Falling Falling Falling Rising Falling Falling Falling Falling 2 5 6 1 3 1 5 3 1 1 Rising Rising Falling Rising Falling Falling Rising Falling Rising Rising MFI=MONEY FLOW INDEX RSI=RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX ADX=DIRECTIONAL MOMEMNTUM INDEX Useful Technical Figures for major stocks. STOCK MFI-21 RSI-14 ADX-14 ICICIBANK.NS 43.06 40.63 19.92 INFOSYSTC.NS 61.69 51.74 20.32 ITC.NS 41.73 35.87 18.92 MARUTI.NS 43.43 36.79 14.59 RELIANCE.NS 28 37.62 26.71 SAIL.NS 50.67 41.73 24.38 SATYAMCOM.NS 50.03 47.83 17.76 SBIN.NS 28.66 29.63 43.96 TATASTEEL.NS 41.52 48.49 20.65 TCS.NS 60.17 44.78 18.9 Fogelson. Crest Animation Studios Ltd titled “First Indian animated 3D feature finds its voice. ALPHA AND OMEGA is currently in production, with pre and post-production taking place in Los Angeles and key animation at Crest Animation Studios in India. Lionsgate will distribute the film in North America and the UK. Mandate International will be launching international sales at the upcoming Cannes film festival for the rest of the world, excluding India. Alpha and Omega, the first animated Hollywood film by an Indian company, will feature the voices of Justin Long (Live Free or Die Hard) and Hayden Panettiere (Raising Helen). Long and Panettiere will lend voices to the lead lupine pair in the movie, a love story about two kidnapped wolves trying to get back their pack. 2010 Theatrical Release Planned LIONSGATE® (NYSE: LGF), the leading independent filmed entertainment studio, announced on April 04, The deal was negotiated for Lionsgate by Wayne Levin, Executive Vice President, Corporate Operations, Ken Katsumoto, Wendy Jafte, Executive BSE Code : 526785 Vice President CREST ANIMATION Legal & BusiCurrent Price : Rs. 59.00 ness Affairs, 52 Week high : 162.00 Acquisitions 52 Week low : 44.70 and Co-Producand Larry Miller (Bee Movie, Ant 2008 that it tions, Sean Bully) will also lend their voices to will launch its multi-picture partnerthe film being directed by Anthony ship with Crest Animation Produc- Kisker, Vice President, Strategic Bell (Rugrats) and Ben Gluck tions with the CGI animated theatri- Planning; and for Crest Animation (Brother Bear 2). cal family film ALPHA AND Productions by Ramanna and OMEGA. Lionsgate and Crest are Fogelson. Alpha and Omega is being co-pro- co-financing and co-producing ALLIONSGATE duced and co-financed by the PHA AND OMEGA, which is ABOUT Mumbai-based Crest Animation Stu- scheduled for theatrical release in Lionsgate is the leading independios Ltd and Lionsgate, the US-based 2010. The announcement was made dent filmed entertainment studio, distributor of hits like Rambo, Fahr- by Lionsgate’s Executive Vice Presi- winning the 2005 Best Picture enheit 9/11 and Meet the Browns. dent of Lionsgate Family Entertain- Academy Award® for CRASH, Crest and Lionsgate have a contract ment Ken Katsumoto and Crest Ani- and the Company is a premier proto make three animated feature films. mation Production’s CEO Noah Continue on ...10 The animation for the entire film will be generated inhouse at Crest Studios. Christina Ricci (the upcoming Speed Racer), Danny Glover (Lethal Weapon), Dennis Hopper (Speed) Market talk Crest is among the top five Hollywood companies operating in the 3D CGI animation genre. Mr. Richard Rich, former Disney director of movies such as Fox and the Hound, calls it the ‘Disney Studios’ of India. It has under its belt over 200 half hours of television and home video titles, working for such clients as Mike Young Productions, Mark Brown, Classic Media, Marathon, O’ Entertainment and Nickelodeon. Jukers!, its first 52-episode animated TV series, won an EMMY as well as a BAFTA for children’s programming. From 2011, Crest plans to produce and release one CGI animation film every year. CGI animation is currently the most profitable film-making genre in the US. Production for Alpha and Omega is under way at Crest Animation Production Services, Crest’s California subsidiary, as well as at Crest’s Ghatkopar studio. The film is targeted to release in 2010. LIONSGATE AND CREST ANIMATION PRODUCTIONS LAUNCH MULTI-PICTURE PARTNERSHIP WITH CCI ANIMATED FAMILY FILM ALPHA AND OMEGA Cast Includes Justin Long, Hayd Panettiere, Christina Ricci, Danny Glover, Dennis Hopper, Larry Miller. Inflation surged to an over seven-year high on soaring manufactured product and primary article prices, stoking speculation that the central bank may step in to tighten monetary policy further after this week’s rate hike. Faced with the tough job of balancing growth, which is showing signs of slowing down, and inflation, which is threatening to rise, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to use the twin tools of market stabilisation schemes (MSS) and cash reserve ratio (CRR). While the Government has already taken some measures by restricting export of essential food commodities and fiscal measures like cutting duties on certain commodities, it is now the central bank’s turn to do its bit. The next two important turning points occurred exactly 8 years thereafter, in ‘1992 and ‘2000. Both these turning points were marked by stock market scams, wherein the leaders of the rally had extremely difficult time later. For example, ACC, the leading stock of ‘1992 bull market, remained below its highs till end of ‘2004. Similarly, the IT stocks, which were leaders of ‘2000 rally, had lost as much as 90% of their top valuations by the year ‘2003. This year, we are sitting on this very important cycle, which therefore, may throw up similar possibilities. Oil prices going up and staying at USD 130 per barrel is problematic. If it stays at USD 130 per barrel for the rest of the year, the whole world will be in a problem. In market watch out next week Network 18,PSTL,MOSER BAER, TCS, RPL for good Investments.Try to cash pot pull back rally in DLF from last four days delivery rose quite high. Somebody accumulate shares very well.it loks like we may see rallt of Rs. 200.00 from here. there is clear resistance at Nifty 4,400 despite bad news in the public domain. The markets may have touched some level of bottom for the moment. Sentiment will remain weak as long as the bad news flows continue.The next key resistance for the Nifty is 4,600. The market can go up to 4,750 at the top end of range. The downside would be limited to 4,280 and in the worst-case scenario at 3,560. The key Nifty support is at 4,440. It can go up to 4,740 if that level is held. 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 5 WEEKLY REPORT CARD [16th to 20th June 2008 ] PRIMARY MARKET BUZZ 1. THE HEIGHT OF POSSIBILITY! Sensex-11192.46 which was in august 2006 Nifty future-3896.90 which was in April 2007 Mcx gold-8739 which was on august 2007 Us dollar-43.44 which was on April 2007 Mcx crude oil-3765 which was on February 2008 SENSEX-index has strong “double bottom” support at 14645 –below that levels index has strong support of “gap” at 14455-if index close below both levels then be ready to another blood bath in to coming days. While on up side every move will have resistance –on of the big resistance at 15500-if index close above this levels then expect to rally up to 16100 and 16271. NIFTY FUTURE-index has strong support at 4460 and below those levels at 4432 which is the double bottom support –if index breaks these levels with heavy volume and close below this levels then expect 4191 and 4040 kind of levels. There is lots of resistance on both daily and weekly charts. Strong resistance on daily charts is 4550 and 4591 if successfully close above that levels then will rally to 4654 this is strong resistance on weekly charts . TABLE OF IMORTANT LEVELS: INDEX TANCE 15500 16100 16271 SUPPORT R E S I S Sensex 14645 14455 13409 nifty fu 4332 4191 4040 4550 4591 4654 STRATEGY – after two week of falling and consolidation we are expecting some kind of recovery due to short covering in the third week of the month-some retail and hni”s will short cover and Dow Jones is giving some kind of recover on RSI so we may see some fire works in to coming days and this will be golden opp for swing traders to go long and then go short on higher levels –lets see our strategy for the next week. ! Buy nifty fu with SL of 4460 and 4420 and target are 4550 and 4591. ! B u y aurbindo pharma –short term a n d intermedia t e charts a r e improving one can incite fresh long positions at current price with SL of 315 and target are 350-360 in short term. ! Buy nirma limited stock has formed triple bottom at 143 we are seeing bounce of 20 to 25 rupees and keep SL of 143 and go long. ! Buy gokul for Monday trading call with SL of 209 and target of 223-225. è Buy anu lab in Monday’s trading call with SL of 320 and target of 350-360. GLOBAL MARKET TREND: Dow Jones –strong support of 12095 –sharp recovery can be seen in to coming days and it can rally up to 12489 and 12768 this are the two most resistance . NASDAQ –remember our word weekly close below 2439 all USA trader will rush to short .and iron resistance at 2508. Nikkei- strong resistance at 14568 and close above will take to 15000 while support at 13612 and 13222. Hang sang-big resistance between 23098 -23178 above that levels it will fire to 24004 while support at 21472. Shanghai-one strong up move on card resistance at 3140. 2. 3. 4. 5. Niraj Cement Structurals Ltd IPO was open on May 26, 2008 and closed on May 30, 2008. IPO was oversubscribed by 1.74 times (3.8053 times in retail).IPO Allotment Status is now available online for Niraj Cement Structurals Ltd IPO. Sejal Architectural Glass Limited IPO finally oversubscribed 9.90 times (7.9791 times in retail). First Winner Industries Ltd IPO revised the price band to to Rs 115/- to Rs 125/- per share. Issue will now close on Jun 17, 2008. First Winner IPO subscribed 0.74 times (0.6356 times in retail) on its 5th day. Archidply Industries Limited IPO subscribed 0.09 times (0.1884 times in retail) on its 3rd day. Issue is closing on June 17, 2008. Lotus Eye Care Hospital Limited IPO subscribed 0.25 times (0.0048 times in retail) on its 2nd day. Issue is closing on June 17, 2008. BONUS DECLARED IN LAST FEW DAYS Company Name Ratio XBonus Date Bank of Rajasthan 1:05 NA Larsen & Toubro 1:01 NA JM Financial 2:03 NA Kamanwala Housing Construction 1:01 NA Sundaram Finance 1:01 NA Opto Circuits India 7:10 NA Housing Development & Infrastructure 2:07 NA Aro Granite Industries 1:02 NA Kaashyap Technologies 1:06 NA Elf Trading & Chemicals Manufacturing 3:01 NA Sesa Goa 1:01 NA Biocon 1:01 NA IL&FS Investment Managers 1:02 NA Thakker's Developers 1:01 NA CG Impex 2:01 NA Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation 1:01 NA Silicon Valley Infotech 1:02 NA 3:1 means, 3 bonus shares for one share held BONUS DECLARED IN DIVIDENDS DECLARED IN LAST FEW DAYS Divi's Laboratories 200 NA Sanghvi Movers 150 NA Sulzer India 100 NA High Energy Batteries (India) 25 NA Peninsula Land 40 NA Ultramarine & Pigments 150 NA Seshasayee Paper & Boards 40 NA Emmsons International 20 NA Rajeswari Foundations 10 NA Hindustan Oil Exploration Company 10 NA Kovilpatti Lakshmi Roller Flour Mills 20 NA Shivalik Bimetal Controls 12.5 26/6/2008 Sundram Fasteners 45 NA Ponni Sugars (Erode) 6 NA IVP 10 NA Modern India 10 NA Netlink Solutions (India) Limited 4 NA Orbit Corporation 25 NA Marathon Nextgen Realty 16 NA Bhoruka Aluminium 12 NA Royal Orchid Hotels 60 NA Vijay Textiles 15 NA Valson Industries 25 NA KDDL 10 NA AIA Engineering 40 NA DLF 100 NA Rolcon Engineering Company 40 NA Indian Card Clothing Company 60 NA Thirumalai Chemicals 100 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 6 F.I.I. STILL PLAYS DEVIL’S ROLL IN THE WEEK Friday, 13 June 2008,M A R K E T BREACHES 2008 LOW:Local markets tumbled to register 2008 lows in the week end as soaring crude oil prices, rising inflation and weak global cues dampen the spirits. Also heavy offloading from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) played the spoil-sport, leading the market register its fourth straight weekly loss. Indices settled lower in three out of five trading sessions. BSE Mid-Cap and BSE Small-Cap indices outperformed the Sensex. The BSE Sensex declined 382.56 points (2.45%) to 15,189.62 in the week ended 13 June 2008. The S&P CNX Nifty fell 110.70 points (2.39%) to 4,517.10 in the week. The Sensex is down 6,017.15 points (28.37%) from its alltime high of 21,206.77 hit on 10 January 2008. The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 121.98 points (1.92%) to 6,228.17 and the BSE Small-Cap index shed 114.33 points (1.48%) to 7,581.72, in the week. F.I.I. IN DEVIL’S ROLL: Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) pressed heavy sales in the backdrop of a weakening rupee against the dollar, noticeable fall in share prices. In June 2008, FIIs dumped shares worth Rs 6463.20 crore (till 13 June 2008). FII outflow in calendar year 2008 totaled Rs 21832.60 crore (till 13 June 2008). On the other hand, domestic funds were net buyers amounting to Rs 894.89 crore in the month of June 2008. Monday, 9 June 2008 Trading for the week started on a bearish note as key indices slumped on as surging global crude oil prices along with setback in US stocks played the spoil-sport. The 30-share BSE Sensex tumbled down 506.08 points (3.25%) at 15,066.10 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty shed 126.85 points (2.74%) at 4,500.95, on that day. sales) RCom. Tuesday, 10 June 2008 - NEW BOTTOM FORMED Ranbaxy Laboratories surged 11.86% to Rs 566.90 in the week. Ranbaxy founders Malvinder Singh and Shivinder Singh inked a deal to sell there combined 34.8% stake to Japanese drug maker Daiichi Sankyo at Rs 737 a share. Daiichi also seeks to acquire majority of the voting capital of Ranbaxy. The total transaction value is expected at about Rs 14740 crore to Rs 19800 crore depending on the response to a mandatory 20% open offer that Daiichi will be making to Ranbaxy shareholders. WIPRO The market extended losses, as a result of weakness in global markets weighed on the domestic bourses. The 30-share BSE Sensex lost 176.85 points (1.17%) at 14,889.25 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty was down 41.25 points (1.14%) at 4,449.80. On the very same day both the key indices registered 2008-year lows, which was 14,645.31 for the BSE Sensex and 4369.80 for the S&P CNX Nifty. Thursday, 12 June 2008, Improved April 2008 IPD (industrial production data), firm European markets and higher US futures markets triggered gains for domestic bourses on Thursday after an earlier sharp intra-day fall. The 30share BSE Sensex gained 64.88 points (0.43%) at 15,250.20 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty rose 15.75 points (0.35%) at 4,539.35. Friday, 13 June 2008, The market remained volatile and settled slightly lower on Friday, as inflation surged to a seven-year high to 8.75%. The 30-share BSE Sensex declined 60.58 points (0.40%) at 15,189.62 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty shed 22.25 points (0.49%) at 4,517.10 EVENTS THAT MOVED THE MARKET RANBAXY LABORATORIES India’s largest drug maker - (by Wipro declined 5.38% to Rs 477.85. It is reportedly bidding for 12 contracts worth at least $100 million each as it seeks bigger clients. LARSEN & TOUBRO - India’ largest engineering and construction firm (by sales) Larsen & Toubro (L&T) was up 1.05% to Rs 2,710.15. L&T has decided to delay the listing of its software business unit L&T Infotech to 2009-10, because of the unfavorable market conditions. The firm had earlier decided to go for L&T InfoTech’s IPO in the second half of this financial year. Wednesday, 11 June 2008, However the market recovered on Wednesday, as investors resorted to bargain buying after recent sharp fall in share prices, taking cue from firm Asian markets. The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 296.07 points (1.99%) at 15,185.32 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty jumped 73.8 points (1.66%) at 4,523.60. - India’s third largest IT exporter (by sales) ICICI BANK (We recommended this stock to buy early in month of January ’08.remember it.) RELIANCE INDUSTRIES India’s largest private sector firm by market capitalization and oil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 1.29% to Rs 2268.30. RIL Chairman Mukesh Ambani said in the company’s AGM (annual general meeting) that RIL will pursue Greenfield investment in polyester. RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS India’s second largest telecom services provider (by sales) Reliance Communication (RCom) slipped 0.63% to Rs 543.55. As per reports, RCom and the South African telcom company MTN will decide the share swap ratio at which Anil Ambani will transfer his stake in RCom to get stake in MTN. Both the companies have reportedly agreed for the deal, which will result in RCom promoter viz. the Anil Dhirubhai Group (ADAG) emerging as the single-largest shareholder in MTN and the foreign company becoming the holding firm of - India’s largest private sector bank (by net profit) ICICI Bank shed 0.78% to Rs 764.80. sources says it is cutting about 1000 jobs at different levels. reports say the job cut is part of the company’s attempt at cutting cost, mainly in segments such as retail, rural and agri-credit. HDFC - India’s largest dedicated housing finance firm (by operating income) HDFC slumped 9.11% to Rs 2133.30. on the chairman’s words that the company will take a decision on raising interest rates on home loans by end of this month. TATA MOTORS - India’s largest commercial vehicle maker (by sales) Tata Motors lost 4.42% to Rs 516.20. As per reports, it plans to raise an additional $1 billion in the international market to fund its expansion plans, which include strategic alliances and acquisitions. GRASIM - diversified Company Continue on ...7 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 7 MARVELOUS RESERCH Grasim Industries fell 3.56% to Rs 2182.30 after the companys statement “that it sold its sponge iron business ‘Vikram Ispat to Welspun Power and Steel’ for Rs 1000 corer plus.” THE OTHER COUNTERS IN LIME LIGHT GHCL (up 41.52% to Rs 71.75), Aurobindo Pharma (up 16.98% to Rs 329.95), Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals (up 13.09% to Rs 91.15), Fortis Healthcare (up 16.03% to Rs 82.50), Zenotech Laboratories (up 11.85% to Rs 109.45) surged. And many more ….. GREAT CONCERNS FOR THE MARKETS Conti. from .....6 terest rates may delay expansion plans of corporates, which in turn may impact future earnings growth. India’s economic growth has slowed down as fall in consumer demand caused by rise in interest rates. Market to remain under pressure; advance tax figures eyed Local market is likely to move in sync with global markets in the coming week. Markets across the globe suffered severe setback triggered by rising global commodity prices led by crude oil. Also healthy corporate advance tax payments for the first installment that falls due on 15 June 2008, may boost sentiment. The advance tax payment by the corporate sector will give a cue on Q1 June 2008 results. Trigger’s for bulls will come in the form of well-distributed Inflation based on WPI (wholesale monsoon Inflation – (the bear for the market) price index) rose to 8.75% in the 12 months to 31 May 2008, as per the government data released on 13 June 2008, showed to be highest since 2001 The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised short-term lending rate viz. the repo rate, by 25 basis points to 8% to control inflation expectations. CONCERNS FOR NEXT WEEK “ HIGHER INFLATION GOOD ADVANCE TAX FIGURES BY THE CORPORATES - GOOD MONSOONS” Fears of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) hiking interest rates to check soaring mutli-year inflation, which could choke overall growth of the economy, will continue to bother investors. Earnings downgrades by brokerages amid rising input and interest costs for India Inc and drying up of global liquidity due to credit crisis remain major concern for the Indian stock market. A further hike in rates would impact bottom line of Indian companies. Also high in- - which will encourage food production, helping quench inflation. Agricultural output in India depends on good rains. The forecast - the 2008 monsoon rains would be near normal. BROKERS RECOMMENDATIONS Broking house HDFC Securities Angel Broking Karvy Stock Broking Karvy Stock Broking Religare Securities Hem Securities Religare Asit C Mehta Morgan Stanley Sharekhan Emkay Merrill Lynch Emkay Hem Securities Karvy Stock Broking PINC Ambit Capital Religare HDFC Securities Karvy Stock Broking Karvy Stock Broking India Infoline Morgan Stanley Emkay Emkay Action Buy Buy Outperformer Outperformer Buy Buy Buy Buy Overweight Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Market Performer Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Market performer Sell Overweight Buy Buy Price (Rs) 629.00 536.00 418.00 418.00 391.00 294.00 210.00 152.00 4,913.00 3,002.00 990.00 825.00 546.00 300.00 101.00 85.00 49.00 1,833.00 245.00 138.00 1,600.00 1,240.00 1,050.00 875.00 780.00 (1) 4462.76 (2) 4369.80 (4) 3821.44 TATA STEEL- (841.35) TREND BULISH RESISTANCE 861-830836 SUPPORTS 790-787 KEY SUPPORTS FOR IN12738.19/3821.44 RECOMMNDATION’S (IN- DICES DICES AND A GROUP A GROUP SCRIPT’S TO STOCK’S): - SMALL CAP AND MID CAP STOCK BSE SENSEX (15189.62) RESISTANCES (1) 15329.79 15669.24 SUPPORT’S 14677.24 (2) 14579.79 12738.19 (4) 12503.57 11552.33 (6) 9863.32. SUPPORTS ARE FAR COMPARED TO RESISTANCE N I F T Y (4517.10): R E S I TANCES 4548.38 4578.20 4652.34 4686.86 4 7 7 4 . S (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) 9 6 (2) (1) (3) (5) SUPPORTS 4448.50 (3) 4342.81(5) Company + Nitin Fire Protectio + Madhucon Project + Tata Chemicals + Tata Chemicals + PVR Ltd. + Tata Sponge Iron + Garware-Wall Rop + Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn + Aban Offshore Ltd. + Grasim Inds. + Tech Mahindra Ltd. + HDIL + Thermax Limited + Guj. Fluorochemi + Inox Leisure + Visa Steel + Karuturi Global Ltd. + Divi’s Lab + Amara Raja Batt. + Indraprastha Gas Ltd + Divi’s Lab + Bharat Heavy Ele + Maruti Suzuki India + Great Offshore Ltd. + Tata Motors Ltd. WATCH RANBAXI LAB(566.90) TRENDBULLISH RESISTANCE 625-650 SUPPORTS 5 6 4 5 5 7 DR.REDDY (728.55) TREND BULLISH RESISTANCE 735760 SUPPORTS 715 McLeod RUSSEL- (77.35) ACCUMELATE BETWEEN 71 – 77 GOOD SHORT, MIDIUM AND LONG TERM PICK BULLISH HARAMI CROSS OVER SEEN MAY TEST 95-109 IN COMING DAY’S SO MANY OTHER SCRIPT’S READY FOR SOAR IN THIS BEAR PHASE OF MARKET FOR INVESTER. MARVELLOUS SMS CLUB MEMBERSHIP INTRADAY, BTST & POSITONAL SAM CALLS SCHEME 1: F&O and CASH SCHEME 2: CASH ONLY Period Fees you your Period Fees you your Rs. Sav.Rs. saving % Rs. Sav.Rs. saving % 1 MONTH 6 MONTH 12 MONTH 30000 120000 180000 NIL 60000 180000 0 1 MONTH 10000 33.33 6 MONTH 40000 50 12 MONTH 60000 NIL 20000 60000 33.33 50 CONTACT : LALIT SHAH- 098250 56396 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 8 TOP 30 BY STOCK PICK MEGHA Hear in this article we are recommending 30 stock for long term investments –this stock are having god fundamental and having good management and good track record of the co- fundamental is alone not important for investments we had added flavor of the technical analysis .below recommended stock has been carefully chosen buy us and that kind of technical theories are not used in India or rarely used in India we advise to invest in dip for long term. we were recommending mundra at 550 levels with tgt of 1085 in January panic and suddenly it jump 80% and in January we have given buy call in ranbaxy at 350 it jump 70% Scrip name Mundra port Adani enter Gremch infra Feddors lyod Aurbindo pharma Arvind mills Raymond J p associates Videocon ind Mah seamless Kirlosker ele Bgr Gei ind Abg shipyard Aban off Vimta lab Unity infra Itd cementaion Saregama Rico auto Unitech Viceroy hotel Heg ltd Dlf Bharat forge{at decline } Clutch auto Tata motors Punjab national bank Sobha developers Pentaloon retail {at decline} MARKET OUTLOOK Conti. from ...1 comfortable in Rajasthan can worsen the situation in the days to come as it would not be an end but beginning of many such equal tribes to seek special recognition for apparent benefit it could reap in several ways. But the demand for crude oil in Commodity Markets has almost doubled between 2007 and 2008 since the trades that click on these markets is 10 times the actual requirements of all countries put together. If for example the need for crude on daily basis is 89 Billion $ the trade s are at 900 Billion dollars which was just half in 2007. This clearly shows and perhaps endorses the statement made by Saudi Arabia’s Chief OPEC Members that the prices have risen be- Projected target 1085 1030 411 129 700 127 510 421 550 521 329 725 127 871 4382 185 916 621 261 61 474 100 455 945 425 103 927 604 721 735 cause of speculation and geopolitical reasons and not on demand alone. If this is true and most punters hedge their money by taking a forward call in crude, this avoidable menace of artificial demand shall stay for sometime unless they realize that this method of hedging is not only expensive but the value of their money can got down the drain in a short span of time if world economy collapses!! But fact remains that Stock Markets world over have not remained a lucrative source of investment and with Indices getting nose dive every alternate day has shaken the confidence to several million investors who have opted for a small and safe return. This vicious cycle could dampen the economic growth further and many lead to stagflation if not recession!! So far as we are concerned, the economic outlook for 2008-09 has already been curtailed and the GDP figures are at already low of 7. to 8 % as against 9% boldly claimed by the authority in power!! The results of First Quarter of 2008-09 shall be the key barometer of progress by frontline blue chip companies and may be next week the figures of advance tax may provide rejoice or gloom as the case may be!! But looking at short term for next week, which would be perhaps more ideal in present scenario, the NIFTY has not breached 4500 at closing and so Sensex has remained closed above 15000 indicate hidden strength. The mentality to short at every bad news did not reward as it did in January and March this year and hence short cover at every close became a routine exercise. Well the figures published on SEBI website about FIIs pulling out their money from Indian Stock Market are very apparent as they have sold more than Rs.5500 crores till June 11th compared to sell of Rs.4672 for the whole of May 2008. Beginning January 2008 they have sold stocks worth Rs.20935 crores or close to FIVE Billion dollars as against its total purchase of Rs.17000 crores for the whole of 2007!!!! Thus the factor which was considered dangerous for Indian Equity Bourses when inflow was there last year, exactly the reverse is happening now and that too in just less than six months. The remaining 61/2 months are still away and if this trend continues unabated, one has to interpret the market according to his on intelligence!! Moreover the increase in Excise Duties of Mid Segment cars from 14th June 2008 by GOI, when the Auto Industry is reeling through high input cost shall be more in hot water and with increase in Petrol Diesel Prices recently and more to come coupled with higher Interest rates soon, this sector may have to be forgotten for the time being as investment destination even for long term!! But the silver line to the dark clouds is the good closing of US Markets on Friday Night…..at least we shall not have sleepless nights for couple of days!! But Auto and Banking sector may face some rough weather for the days to come. If RIL and R Com dispute has anything to add it would only add only fuel to the fire and MTN deal would definitely be looked upon with a shadow hanging. So in conclusion what one would do best is to “Wait & Watch” for market to settle as no indications give clear signal on either side Blood bath in future market Stock Market-As per Astro-technical calculations this week is expected to open volatile note in Indian stock market. Financial astrology says that whole week is expected to show mix result. Stars do not permit one side movement of bulls or bears. Therefore traders are advice to keep booking both side timely profits. Big traders who are trading in future and options are advice hedge their positions for taking both side profit. Financial astrology says that l 18th June may be favorable for bulls other wise whole week may remain under influence of bears in Indian stock market. Our advance predictions made in previous week has gone correct whole previous week was full of uncertainty and confusions, our nifty levels also proved correct. .Crude oil was also moved as per our predictions. Hope all our readers must have enjoyed both side (Long as well as short posi- bull run. Sugar, Software, auto sector is looking attractive at lowest levels for short term investment. Oil and gas sector may also be kept under observations. Selling pressure expected in SBI, L&T, Hind oil exp, Therefore traders may take care in above stocks. Indian rupee may remain under pressure against US dollars further depreciations may take place in currency market. Stars say that Combinations of Mars and Ketu, Sun and Venus may bring heavy down ward corrections in world future market, heavy all round profit booking may be seen in commodity, stock market. Bullion world stock market from wall street to Nifty Level Nifty support levels: (1) 4466 (2) 4333 (3) 4210 Nifty Resistance levels (1) 4566 (2) 4644 (3) 4700 Investors may trade in Nifty according to these levels tions) by using hedging tools in future market. Stars say this week may show yearly low levels in Indian stock market. Traders may take care in long positions in future market. Fear of Influction data, increase in interest rates may add the fuel in Fire. You may once again see Mr. mark feber on TV by saying that Indian stock market is still expensive. My sincere suggestions that traders may carry on day trading but mid term investors may wait further for investment buying. We shall try to update you just before the end of bears grip and begainng of whether to buy on dip or go short on bad global market clues. If you are a day trader, work with strict discipline of “Stop Loss” and do not venture to carry excess load than your shoulder can bear for even a short distance. Well the stock look forward would be certainly “Ranbaxy” as the acquisition is to come through secondary market by Dai Ichi Sankyo for an avoidable tax problem for the promoter to avoid off market deal. The price has to reach Rs.737/in secondary market or plus minus 2%!!! If you have enough risk appetite close this script very carefully!!! Dalal street every where bears may dominate. I shall be very happy IF MY THIS ADVANCE PREDICTIONS MADE ON FRIDAY( 13 TH June 2008 around 1600hrs ) GO WRONG AND SAVE OF INVESTMENT OF INVESTRS CommoditiesCrude Oil: As per stars crude oil is expected to show volatility trend this week. Crude oil resistance levels US$ 139 to per barrel and support levels USD 128 or 122 per barrel in world future market. Down ward movement is expected during week. our advance predictions made in previous news letter on same web site proved correct in crude oil, Levels of crude oil also gone as per our predictions .Hope our readers must have taken benefit of unique system of predictions. Metal- Mixed movement are expected in copper, Zinc during this week Profit or Loss for You Red Alert for those investors who born in March 1978, September 1979 and September 1981, need to be Alert in big trading since stars does not support them . 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 9 GOOD LONGTERM BET CROMPTON GREAVES CROMPTON GREAVES A GOOD LONG TERM BET !!! Crompton Greaves, part of the Thapar Group, was incorporated in 1937. It is one of the largest players in India in the electrical equipment and engineering industry. The company is mainly engaged in the manufacture, distribution and sale of electrical and electronic equipment systems. The company makes a wide range of transformers, switchgear, motors, lighting products, fans, railwaysignaling equipment, and undertakes turnkey engineering projects. The company is organized into three business groups viz. Power Systems, Industrial Systems, Consumer Products. In addition the company also undertakes turnkey projects from concept to commissioning. Its manufacturing plants are spread across Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka. Apart from the local markets CG exports its products to countries, which includes the Southeast Asian and Latin American markets. INDUSTRY OUTLOOK The electrical equipment sector is in the growth phase with production of motors, generators and power transformer recorded a healthy rise. The industry looks attractive due to large expansion and capex plans in power sector along with the strong growth in infrastructure sector. The industry is also witnessing huge surge in the export sale of motors and generators. The present economic scenario and upcoming budget are expected to energize the sector with the companies in the sector are growing both organically and inorganically thereby lightening the future growth of the sector. Therefore, with the enormous potential for growth in this sector, we are bullish on this sector in medium to long term while betting on the company like Crompton Greaves. LANCO INFRATECH LANCO INFRATECH - FASTING GROWING INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR LANCO Infratech Ltd (LITL), one of the fastest growing corporate entities in India, has more than two decades of experience operating in the core sectors of Power Generation, Power Trading, Construction & EPC, Infrastructure and Property Development. As of now, the operating capacity of LANCO's power projects stands at 518 MW and on the pipeline are a number of power projects to generate a total ca- BSE Code : 500093 Current Price : Rs. 249.50 Equity : 73.31 Crore INVESTMENT RATIONALE "The company has tied up with Dutch firm Lemnis Lighting for launching LED lighting products. The alliance with Lemnis Lighting in the area of solid-state lighting would usher in latest technology from the house of Lemnis supplemented by the strength of Crompton Greaves in application engineering and integrated solutions. The use of solidstate lighting has innumerable benefits and also addresses the issue of energy conservation. The company alliance with the Dutch firm will provide new state of technology which will help the company in strengthening its product line. "The company through its 100% subsidiary CG International BV, Netherlands, has acquired 40% stake in PT Pauwels Trafo Asia, Indonesia, its joint venture partner. This step of the company will provide it with the complete autonomy in working and management. "The company turnaround strategy begins by gaining global presence by acquiring companies that had strong business expertise and were cash - starved. The company is expected to follow the same strategy in future by acquiring companies that are strategically fit and which have potential to synergize the company operations. Sales and NP for year ended 06 - 07 were 3875.76Cr. & 313.92Cr. Sales and NP for latest Quarter 1159.53Cr & 103.07Cr. On YOY basis NP has increased by 67% & based on quarter latest its increased by 47% Dividend during year ended 06 - 07 was 80% One can buy this stock at current price for a gain of 50 - 60 % in medium to long term. BSE Code : 532778 Current Price : Rs. 351.00 Equity : 222.36 Crore pacity of 15,000 MW by 2015. With a proven record in integrated infrastructure development, LANCO constructs, develops and operates projects in power, roads and other infrastructure. The construction and EPC wing has so far executed Rs 2,000 crore worth projects and has an order book worth more than Rs 7,500 crore. Notably nearly all the construction and EPC works are done for LANCO's power and infrastructure projects. The construction industry is vast and complex, calling for specialisation in different sectors. It also calls for enormous skills to master the intricacies of the works in the field. LANCO Infratech Ltd (LITL), established in 1993, is one of the few companies which have developed the art of developing diverse projects and managing them. LITL, the holding company of LANCO for Power, Realty and Infrastructure sectors, intends to leverage its expertise and experience to exploit opportunities in this emerging sector by developing large infrastructure projects in highways, ports, bridges and SEZs. As part of streamlining its expanding operations, two divisions have been created to oversee and execute Infrastructure and EPC works. The two divisions are: Infrastructure & Construction Division and EPC Division. LANCO's proven expertise in power en- PRAJ INDUSTRIES PRAJ INDUSTRIES - BUILDING ON BIOFUELS. Praj Industries Ltd. (Praj) is a leading Biofuels Technology company with a number of processes and systems for ethanol and biodiesel production to its credit. Praj provides end-to end solutions, backed by years of research and development, in 40 countries across 5 continents. It offers one of the largest resources to support the biofuels industry. Praj offers innovative solutions to significantly add value in ethanol, bio-diesel and brewery technology and related wastewater treatment systems for customers, worldwide. It provides customized engineering and manufacturing solutions, systems and services with a strong infrastructure in design and engineering, which enables response to specific needs of output in accordance with process needs. Praj is a knowledge-based company with expertise and experience in bioprocesses and engineering. The company has designed and supplied plant and equipment for a number of industries including Chemicals, Agrochemical, Power, Distilleries, Breweries, Fruit/Food Processing, Pharmaceutical and Dairies. Praj is amongst the world's single largest supplier of molasses-based distillery technology, plant and equipment. The company's principal activity is to manufacture turnkey plants and equipment for fermentation and distillation systems, worldwide. Distillery (Ethanol) plants and equipment and related wastewater treatment systems continue to form compasses conventional as well as nonconventional sources of energy such as gas, coal, biomass, hydro and wind. Currently generating 518 MW of power in six operational independent power projects, LANCO plans to have an installed capacity of more than 4000 MW by 2010. Sales and NP for year ended 06 - 07 were 541.7Cr & 73.1Cr. Sales and NP for latest Quarter 382.2Cr & 38.9Cr. On YOY basis NP has increased by 648% & based on quarter latest its increased by 92% During this correction, this scrip has come down sharply. One can buy this stock at current price for a gain of 50 60 % in medium term. BSE Code : 522205 Current Price : Rs. 192.40 Equity : 36.63 Crore more than 85% of the revenues. Whereas, brewery and other process equipment account for the balance 15%. The R&D wing of Praj, dedicated to ethanol technology, offers a competitive advantage over other players. Its foray into biofuels technology will also offer a sizeable potential growth, given that most countries are major diesel consumers and nearly 60% of the incremental growth in world transport fuel is diesel-based. Currently, revenue contribution from the export market is likely to scale up, owing to the increasing business opportunities in Europe and the UK, the US and Brazil. Opportunities in biofuels: World ethanol production, as per industry estimates, is expected to surpass 90 billion liters by 2010. Globally, over 300 to 400 ethanol plants are likely to be installed over the next three to four years. Countries, which are not very high gasoline consumers, like Peru and Colombia in South America, Philippines and Indonesia in Asia or even OPEC countries like Nigeria have also announced ethanol programs, while large users of gasoline like USA, China, Japan and EU nations, continue to promote ethanol. Thus, in order to keep pace with the growing demand, companies, including Praj, are investing into identifying newer energy crops like sweet sorghum and the next frontier of ethanol, cellulosic raw materials, new micro-organisms, new plant models Continue on ....10 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 10 Lion’s Roar Conti. from ...1 to BUY comes when the best of companies are facing bad external circumstances, even when their growth prospects remain intact. This is the time when no one wants to buy and that is right time to cherry pick your stocks at very reasonable levels. I think one would do well to watch for Sensex 14200 to 13700 levels for picking their stocks. STORY OF THE WEEK. IIP Numbers are the only figures which has been able to provide support to the market. After the release of unexpected figure of 7 % of April as compared 3% of March, there was deep sigh of relief. This helped the market bounce back from the lows. Monetary tightening measures like Interest rate hike and fuel price hike will act as a sword hanging on the head of IIP figures. Repo Rate Hike has been made by RBI for 25 Basis points which makes total interest rates to 8% and makes the fund more costly. This will tighten the supply of funds. Costlier fund will help slow down the demand which will help to rein in the Inflation. This is the first time Repo Rate has been hiked since March 2007. This may signal further hikes in the interest rate by the RBI in coming time. Inflation Figures again has given a hard punch to the market it has reached a 7 year high of 8.75% v/s 8.24% last week. Hiked prices are going to be added in the next week so hold your hearts, big figures of inflation are awaited. NEWS FROM CORPORATE HOUSE - MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS. DAIICHI ADOPTS RANBAXY - Indian MNC Ranbaxy now has become Japanese subsidiary as DAIICHI bought the stakes in Ranbaxy. It has bought 34.8% stake from the promoter Singh family at Rs.737 per share, which adds up to Rs.10,000 cr. They are planning to add 9.4% from preferential allotments. To increase its stake further it will have to make an open offer in the market. This Deal will make Indian promoters think and may want them to sell out and take home the cash, instead of being attached emotionally. This deal has already sparked a rally in the Indian pharma sector. MTN-RELIANCE COMM - R.COMM is the second largest mobile operator in India and is in advance talk with MTN a South African telecom company. If this deal goes through successfully, than RCOMM will be able to expand its network world wide and will have its presence in almost two dozen countries. This will be a big land mark for RCOMM and will mark its entry into the global telecom arena. SPICE TELE MERGES WITH IDEA CELLULAR - Spice Communications will be merged with Idea Cellular. First, Telekom Malaysia, which holds more than 39% of Spice, will buy a stake in Idea. This will be followed by Idea buying out the Modi group's 40.8% stake in Spice and finally Spice will merge with Idea. The price of Rs. 150 for each share of Idea was fixed as the Birlas wanted a premium of almost 45-50% over the scrip's current price. which gives buying breakout. client base in America. BUY Zuari industry 257 SL 251 Target 269-284. It has broken out of a downward sloping channel and managed to close above 50 DMA. Hence we recommend to buy this stock. Praj has also formed a joint venture with Brazil's Jaragua Equipamentos Industriais, a leading Brazilian engineering major, wherein Praj will hold 54% stake. This venture will help Praj tap the huge ethanol production market in Brazil. TECHNICALS: The Government's decision to blend ethanol with petrol is a welcome move. With sugar prices on a downturn, sugar companies could rely to a greater extent on byproducts such as ethanol for revenues and profits. Hence, capex in this segment is likely to continue and will also attract additional investment in further improving technology and infrastructure as well as in setting up appropriate processes. This would augur well for Praj. SENSEX and NIFTY: Technically both Sensex and Nifty have breached their previous lows and are looking weak. The indicators are showing further decline. Any rally will be sold into very aggressively. Last week we said the formation of dark cloud cover in the month of May in the monthly charts of Sensex and the ongoing downfall is a result of that formation. Nifty strikes of 4600 and 4700 have seen lot of call writing which will provide resistance going forward. Lot of Put writing is visible at 4400 and 4200 strikes which will act as support to the market. Sensex will find resistance at 15337-15572-15771. Nifty will find it difficult to cross 4627. Support for the Sensex will be at 14850-14215-13779. Nifty will find support at 4414-4369-4280 WHAT TRADERS AND INVESTORS SHOULD DO? Since the market is trading below the critical support every rise in the market will give selling (shorting) opportunity. So at every resistance levels a trader should go short and at lower levels should cover those positions. Traders can buy stocks in the pharma, fertilizer and selected IT companies and hedge their positions by selling OTM calls or adopt Protective PUT strategy. BUY Chambal Fertilizer 91 SL 87 Target 102-111. It has given triangle breakout with vol- Nearly 60% of the world's transport fuel growth will come from diesel, which can easily be replaced by biodiesel. This opens up vistas of opportunity in the biodiesel industry, especially in US and Europe regions, which are now pursuing biodiesel earnestly. Praj is planning to capitalize on its presence on these regions. Sales and NP for year ended 06 - 07 were 701.63Cr & 154.62 Cr. Sales and NP for latest Quarter 212.62 Cr & 58.66 Cr. umes. SELL KARNATAKA BANK 172 SL 182 Target 160-148-134 On YOY basis NP has increased by 79 % & based on quarter latest its increased by 117% Dividend during year ended 06 - 07 was 99 % During this correction, this scrip has come down sharply. One can buy this stock at current price for a gain of 40 - 50 % in medium term. Market priview Conti. from ...4 LAST WEEKS HOT STOCKS: Last week we hit BULLS eye when we ASKED YOU TO SELL DLF AND EDUCOMP. BOTH COLLAPSED AND TRADERS EARNED IN MILLIONS. DLF 518. SELL WITH THE STOPLOSS OF 541 FOR TARGET OF 490-460. REACHED. EDUCOMP 3501. SELL WITH STOPLOSS 3586 FOR TARGET OF 3280-3120. REACHED 3215. HOT STOCKS FOR UPCOMING WEEK: BUY Glenmark Pharma 710 SL 694 Tgt It has formed the bearish head and shoulder which gives the sell signal. BUZZING STOCK Conti. from ....9 which will be more energy efficient. Praj has set up a manufacturing unit at the Kandla Special Economic Zone (SEZ). The commissioned area is about 75,000 sq. ft., which has a capacity to manufacture 3500 tonnes of equipment. The facility is equipped with state-of-theart machinery and a very high level of automation in welding and other processes. The SEZ facility was an outcome of the company's pursuit of global business of biofuels projects, which involve supply of larger dimensioned equipment. A major benefit of this unit is its proximity to the Port, which will in itself cut down on transportation/logistics cost. Further, the tax benefits availed by the company will also boost the profit margins of PRAJ. 754-792. Crossed strong trendline line resistance Praj's acquisition of an US-based company, CJ Schneider, an equipment provider, is also likely to expand the PRAJ's ducer and distributor of motion pictures, television programming, home entertainment, family entertainment and video - on - demand content. Its prestigious and prolific library of nearly 12,000 motion picture titles and television episodes is a valuable source of recurring revenue and a foundation for the growth of the Company’s core businesses. The Lionsgate brand is synonymous with original, daring, quality entertainment in markets around the globe. Buy this company around Rs. 60.00 & wait for a year.buy only for long term . ATTENTION The material contained in the Economic Revolution is based on Fundamental and Technical analysis & other scientific methods and also the knowledge and belief of author. Error can not to be rulled out. The information given is of advisory nature only. The Editor, the Publisher and the Author does not take any consequences arising out of it. All rights reserved. Reproducing to whole or in part of any matter including featurs without permision is not permitted. Letgal jurisdiction is Ahmedabad only. The material given in the Economic Revolution is the views of author only, it not means that Editor is agree with it, so Editor, the Publisher and the printer is not resposible for the contains in writers article. Devlaxmi Joshi Editor, The Economic Revolution. 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 Madhav Ranade (M) 09371002943 or email : [email protected] You have seen the trading levels last few weeks and how good they worked …….. Full list covers about 60 stocks. These levels will be available only to my yahoo group paid members. 11 Trading levels for 16 th /20 th June 2008 . . . period of 15/20 minutes. Also breaching of the level in the opening / last 15 minutes of trade should not be considered at all. As expected we have seen a new low on both sensex and nifty. We Today, I have given levels for 8 may have a sharp bear market rally stocks, 4 commodities and 5 impor- this week which could be upto tant world indices. This should give about 4700. you some indication about the shape of things to come. Please call me if you have any Position trading entry levels as well doubts or you need levels for some as stoplosses should be considered other stock. I am available on or on as triggered when the level is con- 09371002943 sistently breached for a minimum [email protected] Stocks Commodities WEEKLY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS ANURAG GUPTA MOBILE : 9255191643 SYMBOL CLOSE NF JUNE 4484.80 ADLAB FUTURE 551.95 ABB FUTURE 945.60 ACC FUTURE 636.10 BANKBARODA FUTURE 229.85 BEL FUTURE 1138.85 BEML FUTURE 980.40 BHEL FUTURE 1549.00 BOMDYEING FUTURE 728.90 BPCL FUTURE 266.40 CANBK FUTURE 196.30 CENTURYTEX FUTURE 590.15 CIPLA FUTURE 211.50 DABUR FUTURE 98.25 DIVISLAB FUTURE 1517.30 DRREDDY FUTURE 712.55 GAIL FUTURE 378.30 GRASIM FUTURE 2158.15 HCLTECH FUTURE 284.70 HDFC FUTURE 2130.95 HDFCBANK FUTURE 1111.70 HDIL FUTURE 570.15 HEROHONDA FUTURE 755.45 HINDUNILVR FUTURE 224.90 IDFC FUTURE 132.40 IDBI FUTURE 77.75 IFCI FUTURE 57.05 HINDPETRO FUTURE 187.70 I-FLEX FUTURE 1325.10 ICICIBANK FUTURE 760.25 INDIACEM FUTURE 161.10 INFOSYSTCH FUTURE 1868.60 IOC FUTURE 374.30 ITC FUTURE 197.00 IVRCLINFRA FUTURE 373.75 LT FUTURE 2711.80 M&M FUTURE 566.45 MARUTI FUTURE 716.50 MTNL FUTURE 94.70 NDTV FUTURE 369.75 ONGC FUTURE 835.35 ORIENTBANK FUTURE 155.90 PARSVNATH FUTURE 165.90 PRAJIND FUTURE 185.65 PUNJLLOYD FUTURE 267.00 PATNI FUTURE 238.80 RANBAXY FUTURE 567.00 RELINFRA FUTURE 1019.85 RELCAPITAL FUTURE 1126.75 RELIANCE FUTURE 2269.80 RNRL FUTURE 90.10 SATYAMCOMP FUTURE 480.35 SOBHA FUTURE 398.65 SBIN FUTURE 1315.75 TATAMOTORS FUTURE 501.95 TATAPOWER FUTURE 1255.75 TATATEA FUTURE 772.10 TCS FUTURE 898.50 TATASTEEL FUTURE 842.40 TITAN FUTURE 1070.90 UNITECH FUTURE 187.30 TATACOM FUTURE 413.65 WIPRO FUTURE 457.95 ZEEL FUTURE 218.55 FROM 16 June TO 21 June, 2008 TREND BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BULLISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BULLISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH RES2 4673.47 605.85 1016.87 681.10 255.92 1191.92 1073.47 1746.07 827.63 304.43 209.23 658.38 235.83 104.22 1675.63 750.58 395.03 2309.65 316.03 2424.98 1250.40 636.72 822.35 237.73 147.20 85.18 66.28 212.10 1455.03 804.08 172.97 2050.20 412.63 219.97 402.52 2889.93 597.35 778.17 99.57 412.88 970.85 164.97 179.30 209.95 290.33 284.60 650.63 1108.08 1243.58 2418.60 100.27 518.58 440.88 1417.92 540.65 1389.25 809.97 1012.13 907.20 1198.80 210.07 505.55 507.25 238.05 Email : [email protected] RES1TRENDLEVEL SUPP1 SUPP2 4579.13 4455.67 4361.33 4237.87 578.90 542.95 516.00 480.05 981.23 958.17 922.53 899.47 658.60 625.30 602.80 569.50 242.88 225.97 212.93 196.02 1165.38 1118.47 1091.93 1045.02 1026.93 978.47 931.93 883.47 1647.53 1491.57 1393.03 1237.07 778.27 703.63 654.27 579.63 285.42 272.98 253.97 241.53 202.77 191.43 184.97 173.63 624.27 587.88 553.77 517.38 223.67 211.83 199.67 187.83 101.23 96.17 93.18 88.12 1596.47 1480.73 1401.57 1285.83 731.57 700.78 681.77 650.98 386.67 372.63 364.27 350.23 2233.90 2182.95 2107.20 2056.25 300.37 289.28 273.62 262.53 2277.97 2143.98 1996.97 1862.98 1181.05 1130.65 1061.30 1010.90 603.43 569.72 536.43 502.72 788.90 748.95 715.50 675.55 231.32 227.28 220.87 216.83 139.80 127.50 120.10 107.80 81.47 76.28 72.57 67.38 61.67 58.88 54.27 51.48 199.90 192.80 180.60 173.50 1390.07 1273.03 1208.07 1091.03 782.17 743.08 721.17 682.08 167.03 161.07 155.13 149.17 1959.40 1879.20 1788.40 1708.20 393.47 366.73 347.57 320.83 208.48 201.27 189.78 182.57 388.13 363.17 348.78 323.82 2800.87 2655.93 2566.87 2421.93 581.90 563.45 548.00 529.55 747.33 728.17 697.33 678.17 97.13 93.57 91.13 87.57 391.32 378.18 356.62 343.48 903.10 847.05 779.30 723.25 160.43 152.82 148.28 140.67 172.60 167.30 160.60 155.30 197.80 182.85 170.70 155.75 278.67 259.33 247.67 228.33 261.70 244.10 221.20 203.60 608.82 552.18 510.37 453.73 1063.97 1021.98 977.87 935.88 1185.17 1106.58 1048.17 969.58 2344.20 2227.60 2153.20 2036.60 95.19 88.97 83.88 77.66 499.47 482.88 463.77 447.18 419.77 403.88 382.77 366.88 1366.83 1298.92 1247.83 1179.92 521.30 493.15 473.80 445.65 1322.50 1261.25 1194.50 1133.25 791.03 777.02 758.08 744.07 955.32 903.18 846.37 794.23 874.80 833.50 801.10 759.80 1134.85 1076.05 1012.10 953.30 198.68 184.92 173.53 159.77 459.60 435.05 389.10 364.55 482.60 466.35 441.70 425.45 228.30 216.50 206.75 194.95 PLEASE UNDERSTAND BEFORE YOU TRADE TRADING GUIDELINES (or how to trade using this sheet): World indices Continue on ...8 1. This model is based on the premise that the TREND LEVEL is the most important price level that decides the intraday trend. Much like how the door or a window hangs by a hinge and sways in the wind, the intraday trend also hangs by this TREND LEVEL and swings because of the demand-supply, volatility and market sentiments prevailing in the market. Hence its importance in intraday trading. 2. Opening Price is considered around close of previous day. Avoid BUYING if Prices open abnormally High and Avoid SELLING if prices open too low. 3. If the market price is stable above the TREND LEVEL, then GO LONG. and book profit near the resistant level (res1 and res2) 4. If the market price is stable below the TREND LEVEL, then GO SHORT. and book profit near the support level (sup1 and sup2) 5. STOP LOSS: Since you are aware of the ‘potential returns’ at the time of initiating an intraday trade (difference between the entry price and profit targets), you should set up an appropriate STOP LOSS around 1% above below of the trade price to protect yourself if the market turns and goes against you. 6. ALTERNATE STRATEGY: If you have already initiated a trade with clear-cut profit targets and a stop loss level, and find during the course of the trading day that the market turns and goes the other way and crosses the TREND LEVEL, then trade again: .For instance, if your first trade was a LONG trade and the market price drops through the TREND LEVEL to lower price levels, then GO SHORT. . And, if your first trade was a SHORT trade, and the market price rises through the TREND LEVEL to higher price levels, then GO LONG. 15-6-2008 to 21-6-2008 12 INTRODUCTION : Shri Antaryami is connected with Stock Market since last many years and giving right guidance to many people among the country and out side the country also. He has great experience and knowledge of the Stock Market and he is counting as a leader analyst in Gujarat. He is connected with Stock Market research and it becomes his profession. Due to personal circumstances, he do not want to share his introduction, but he always remain well wisher of small investors and thinks for them and always catch the opportunity to guide them. It is his pleasure to help and guide small investors. BUY NIFTY FO @ 4517 SL4460 TGT @ 4620 BEFORE JUNE 2008 SENSEX – 15189 as on 13/06 /08 Dear Friends, Sensex has resistance at 15250 Level with highly Volatile Market likely to gainin the next week Trend; above which other resistance levels are at 15355 In downside support levels are at 15150 levels; below 14900 level, other support levels are at 14750 levels. I am negative for next week below 14800 but be with the trend. Let the market decide further moves. As we are saying from many days Buying is suggested in falls only... and its still a better strategy in the given scenario...Regarding long term positions, it is preferable to remain cautious now...!! If sensex crosses. 15800 again then the upper side target is quite high and it may touch 16200 before June 2008!!! One can go for buy at those levels also, but in absence of that its time to book profits. This is a pessimistic outlook but that’s DIAMOND STOCKS FOR THE WEEK 1. DCW : (18) : Buy at Rs17 levels considering minor support of Rs16 and stoploss of Rs 15 for an upper target of Rs 23 levels. Below Rs. 15 it can slide upto RS 14 and RS 12 levels. 2. Garware Wall : (107 ) : Operator based buying has been there in this stock. It is suggested to buy at RS 105 with SL of RS 99 for the target of Rs 120; below RS.98 it can fall up to RS 90 88 levels. If it crosses Rs 122 level than expect non stop rally up to Rs 130 3. Aiswarya Tele: (54) : This stock is looking very good to buy at Rs 50 with SL of RS 45 for the target of RS 70 levels below Rs. 45 stock shall witness free fall. 4. Prajay Engi. : (138 ) : Buy delivery of this stock at current levels with SL of Rs 132 for the target of Rs 148 level. It is very good for long term position also. 5. Spice Mobile: (19) : Buy at Rs.17 with SL of Rs .15 for the target of Rs .25 levels below Rs.15 it can show further fall. 6. Ete Network : (230 ) : Technically accumulation in this stock has been at these levels. Buy at Rs 225 with SL of RS. 220 for the target of RS 250 levels. It is very good for short to medium term. 7. Indus Ind Bank : (75) : Buy at Rs 72With SL of RS 70 for the target of RS.85 level. It is very good for medium to long term investment. 8. Nagarjuna Ferti : ( 46) : Buy at Rs 44 with SL of Rs 42 for the target of RS 55 levels. It is very good for medium to long term investment. 9. Bajaj Hind (172 ) : Buy at Rs .170 with SL of RS.168 for the target of RS 178 - 182 levels . It is very good for medium to long term investment. 10. Ashiana Housing (67) : Buy delivery of this stock at current levels with SL of Rs 65 for the target of 75 level. It is very good for long term position also. 4580Level with highly Volatile Trend, In Downside support levels are at 4460 Levels; below4420 level, other support levels are at 4375 levels. I am negative for next week below 4350 but be with the trend. Let the market decide further moves. As we are saying from many days Buying is suggested in falls only...and its still a better strategy in the given scenario...!!! the way we tend to be, in this market. NIFTY FO – 4517 as on 13.06.2008 NIFTY FO has resistance at 4560 Level ; above which other resistance levels are at Regarding long term positions, it is preferable to remain cautious now...!! If NIFTY crosses 4820 Level, again then the upper side target is quite high and it may touch 5050 Level before JULY – 2008...!!! Here is given Some GLODEN STOCKS for the week FUTURE-PLATINUM 1 2 3 4 5 Chambal Ferti : (91) : Buy at Rs. 88 with SL of RS. 85 for the target of RS. 100 level below Rs. 84 it can show further downfall. Bharat Forge : ( 261) : Buy at Rs 255 With SL of RS 250 for the target of RS 270 level below Rs.248 it can show further downfall up to Rs. 239 Bhel : (1557 ) : Buy at Rs.1540 with SL of RS.1520 for the target of RS 1580 -1620 levels below Rs. 1520 it can show further downfall up to RS 1480 RPL: (180) : Buy at Rs.177 with SL of RS.172 for the target of RS.191 levels below Rs. 170 it can show further downfall up to Rs.165 Nagarjuna Ferti : ( 46) : Buy at Rs 44 with SL of RS 42 for the target of RS 53 levels below Rs.41 it can show further downfall. SMALL SAVING STARS 1. Vaibhav James : (55) : Buy at 52 with SL of RS.50 for the target of RS. 62. 2. IFCI: ( 57) : It is suggested to buy with SL of RS 52 for the target of RS.65 below at RS 50 it can slip up to RS .48 level. Crossover above Rs.68 evel will take the stock to Rs 72 3. Menon Bearing : ( 47) : Buy at Rs.45 with SL of Rs. 42 for the target of Rs.56 levels below Rs.40 it can show further downfall. 4. RCF : (65) : Buy at Rs.62 with SL of RS. 60 for the target of Rs. 75 levels . It is very good for long term position also. 5. IDBI: (77 ) : Buy at Rs 75 with SL of RS 72 for the target of Rs 85 levels below Rs.70 it can show further fall. Try to exit at higher level.
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