Prague Office Market – Q3 2014 Stock and Supply Overall Statistics Following a strong second quarter, with completions exceeding 2,963,823 m2 Total office stock in Prague at the end of Q3 2014 73,000 m2, no new office buildings were completed within the Prague office market in Q3 2014. 0 m2 / 77,121 m2 New supply completed in Q3 2014 / Q1-Q3 2014 Currently, there is almost 290,000 m2 of office space under 147,284 m2 Forecasted new supply to be completed in 2014 construction. Out of this number, approximately 70,300 m2 is scheduled for completion during Q4. Altogether, approximately 147,000 m2 of office space should be completed in 2014, representing a ca. 88% increase in comparison to last year’s volume and will be the strongest result since 2009. The majority of new office space in 2014 will be delivered to Prague 1 (26% of the 2014 estimated supply in five projects), followed by Prague 8 (25% in four 289,366 m2 Office projects under construction as of Q3 2014 92,434 m2 (55.7 % of renegotiations) Gross office take-up in Q3 2014 221,198 m2 (43.5 % of renegotiations) Total gross office take-up Q1-Q3 2014 projects) and Prague 5 (23% in three projects). 14.04 % Average vacancy rate as of Q3 2014 During Q3, no new office schemes commenced construction. 13.3 % / 16.2 % New built / Refurbished vacancy rate as of Q3 2014 Preparatory works have begun on City Deco which was purchased by S+B Gruppe in H1 2014. 15.7 % Forecasted vacancy rate for year-end 2014 Source: JLL, September 2014 COPYRIGHT © Jones Lang LaSalle IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 1 Pulse • Prague Office Market • Q3 2014 At the end of Q3 2014, the modern office stock in the capital city recorded an increase in the share of renegotiations as totalled 2,963,823 m2. The largest office districts remain to be approximately 55.7% of all transactions were renewals of contracts. Prague 4 (26.6% of the total stock), Prague 1 (16.5%) and Prague 5 (15.4%). The highest level of leasing activity in Q3 2014 was recorded in Prague 4 with 41% of all closed transactions, followed by Prague 8 New market structure based on volume of m2 5% with over 16% and Prague 1 with almost 14%. Between Q1 – Q3 9% 2014, as can be seen on the pie chart below, the situation was 10% slightly different with Prague 4, Prague 8 and Prague 5 being the most active districts. These three districts have altogether recorded almost 70% of all take-up transactions in Prague. 18% Take-up in Q1 – Q3 2014 32% 1% 4% 13% 3% 21% 26% AAA AA A BBB BB B 3% 3% Source: JLL, PRF, September 2014 The share of A class projects stood at 67%, with the remaining 33% 31% being refurbishments. Top quality projects on the market, i.e. AAA 15% class buildings, reached approximately 9% of the total stock calculated in square meters and 3% based on the number of buildings. Prague 1 Prague 2 Prague 3 Prague 4 Prague 5 Prague 6 Prague 7 Prague 8 Prague 9 Prague 10 Source: JLL, PRF, September 2014 Planned schemes for Q4 2014 Completion Size (m2) The majority of leases in Q3 2014 were signed by insurance Property District Jungmannova 15 Prague 1 – CC Q4 2014 6,781 K71 Prague 8 – IC Q4 2014 1,773 The Blox Prague 6 – IC Q4 2014 16,286 Quadrio Prague 1 – CC Q4 2014 16,206 ArtGen Prague 7 – IC Q4 2014 22,040 Property Riverview Prague 5 - IC Q4 2014 6,178 Česká Česká Pojišťovna build. Pojišťovna 24,100 Renegotiation/ renewal Unibail Rodamco Office Prague 4 - OC Q4 2014 1,026 Atrium Flora ExxonMobil 8,649 Renegotiation/ renewal Pankrác II Česká Pojišťovna HQ Česká Pojišťovna 8,100 Renegotiation/ renewal Demand River Garden II NCR ČR 3,745 New occupation In Q3 2014, we have recorded very strong demand. Despite the Florentinum Manpower Group 2,025 New occupation generally weaker third quarter results, Q3 gross take-up reached Source: JLL, PRF, October 2014 CC = City Centre, IC = Inner City, OC = Outer City Source: JLL, PRF, September 2014 companies (34.9% of all transactions, but again strongly influenced by ČP deal), followed by manufacturing companies (14.6%) and professional services (14.5%). Top 5 Transactions of Q3 2014 Occupier Size (m2) Type of deal 92,445 m2 which represents q-o-q and y-o-y increases of 54% and 76% respectively. Such a result has been possible largely thanks to Net take-up in Q3 2014 amounted to 40,973 m2. This represents a the large renegotiations of Česká Pojišťovna in CPI’s premises in q-o-q increase of ca. 14.5%. In Q3, new leases were strongest in Pankrác which exceeded 32,000 m2. In Q3, we have therefore Prague 8 (31.5% of net take-up in Prague) and Prague 1 (30.5%). COPYRIGHT © Jones Lang LaSalle IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 2 Pulse • Prague Office Market • Q3 2014 Vacancy Rental levels As predicted, the vacancy rate has decreased. Thanks to no new Due to strong competition, the perception of the highest achievable speculative completions in Q3 2014, the market absorbed some rents in Prague registered a mild drop over the last 12 months. vacant space and the vacancy rate in Prague declined by 58 basis During Q3 2014, prime headline rents in the city centre remained points to its current 14.04%. A bigger hike of vacancy is expected in stable in the range of €18.5 – 19.5 m2/month. Inner city rents were the three upcoming quarters with the completion of more, mainly at €15.0 – 16.0 m2/month in Pankrác (Prague 4) and at €15.0 – 17.0 speculative, projects on the market. m2/month in Smíchov (Prague 5) and Karlín – Florenc (Prague 8). Rents in the Outer City remained at €13.0 – 14.5 m²/month. All of By the end of 2014, the vacancy rate might approach the level of these numbers refer to prime levels achieved in a limited number of 16%. The vacancy rate is also likely to increase in H1 2015 with prime properties. In general there are ca. 1-3 properties in each potential stabilization starting in H2 2015. As net-take up is driven submarket which achieve these levels as they are usually brand mainly by relocations of existing tenants within the current stock into new, above standard quality and/or very well located. modern premises, vacancy will increase mainly in lower quality buildings. Over the past two years, the vacancy rate of B class stock Second hand products stand at approximately €1.5 below the afore has increased by ca. 3.8 percentage points, despite almost all new mentioned ranges. The ability to request incentives differs from completions being A class schemes. property to property, depending on both the situation in the submarket and the length of the vacant period within the property itself. In Q3, the lowest vacancy rate remained in the biggest office district of Prague 4 (6.3%), followed by Prague 10 (7.3%) and Prague 3 (11.9%). Conversely, the largest share of available space remained in Prague 7 (26.6%) and Prague 9 (24.4%). Compared to the previous quarter, we have recorded an increase in available space in six of the Prague districts. The largest vacancy rate decline has been recorded in Prague 6 where the vacancy rate decreased by 2.8 percentage points. A significant amount of office space has also been absorbed in Prague 1, mainly due to several large new leases signed on Florentinum and Myslbek. Net Absorption * * (Net absorption/demand is the difference between the square meters of companies that moved-in and expanded and companies that moved-out or decreased their rented space in the same period of time.) In Q3, the Prague office market absorbed 17,149 m2 of office space. After a negative result from the first quarter, net absorption returned to positive figures. Between Q1 – Q3 2014, absorption reached ca. 35,000 m2. We expect net absorption to remain positive and to reach ca. 45,000 – 55,000 m2 in 2014. Prague Office Market 120 000 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 -20 000 -40 000 Quarterly supply Vacancy rate - average Vacancy rate - underperforming market Net absorption - average Vacancy rate - outperforming market Source: JLL, September 2014 COPYRIGHT © Jones Lang LaSalle IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 3 Contacts RESEARCH: Ondřej Novotný Jana Krajčíková Associate Director Head of Research Research Analyst JLL Czech Republic +420 724 829 648 [email protected] JLL Czech Republic +420 602 697 845 [email protected] OFFICE LEASING: Eduard Forejt Petr Kareš Jan Mechl National Director Head of Office Leasing National Director Head of Tenant Representation Associate Director Head of Office Agency JLL Czech Republic +420 724 503 764 [email protected] JLL Czech Republic +420 602 303 115 [email protected] JLL Czech Republic +420 724 007 899 [email protected] COPYRIGHT © Jones Lang LaSalle IP, INC. 2014. 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