Energiamurros ja luova tuho
19.3.2015
Prof. Jarmo Partanen
LUT Energy
[email protected]
+358 40 5066564
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Electricity Market, targets
Competitive
ness
Sustainab
ility
€
Technical requirement; keep power balance in every second
Production = consumption
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system
?
Sustainability
?
Renewable based production
and subsidies
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Security
?
Solar power in Germany
Installed capacity 37 760 MW (31.1.2015)
http://www.sma.de/en/news-information/pv-electricity-produced-in-germany.html
”Power to the people”
Feed-in tariff (nowadays reduced)
Price of PV-cells, more than 60 % reduction per 5 years
Wind power in Germany; 33 GW, 47 TWh/a (2013)
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Impact of subsidied renewables
on market price of electricity
demand
This price will be paid by ??
Money
Real cost
price
supply
Lower market price,
problematic for many
producers
quantity
RES is always first in the market
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
5
Power Production in Germany, January 2014
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Power Production in Germany, May 2014
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system
?
Sustainability
?
Renewable based production
and subsidies
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Security
?
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
Sustainability
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
Renewable based production
and subsidies
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Security
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation,
new challenges in intermittency,
lack of controllable production,
lack of inertia
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
How to solve the problem ?
When ?
Storages
Low price of
electricity –
incentives for
investments ?
Sustainability
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
X
Renewable based production
and subsidies
How?
Demand response
Profitability?
Controllable
production
Security of supply
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation, new challenges
in intermittency, lack of
controllable production, lack of
inertia
Acceptability?
New transmission lines
Capacity Market?
Payments of readiness to produce electricity or reduce consumption
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Energiavarastot
Akkujen hintakehitysarvio,
oppimiskäyrä; -20 % per kapasiteetin tuplaus
1 000 000 MWh on 500 milj. 20 kWh akkua a’ 2000 €
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Sustainable gas – power to gas ?
O2
Electricity
Electrolysis
Water
Heat
H2
Methanation
CO2
Lähde: Neo-Carbon, Tutkimushanke, VTT, LUT, Turun yliopisto
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
CH4, LNG
E to gas, seasonal storage & clean fuel
System level view
Lähde: Neo-Carbon, Tutkimushanke, VTT, LUT, Turun yliopisto
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Renewables, security of supply and efficiency
Electricity Market + CO2-price
Efficient operation of system
Shorter operation times,
different running ranking,
worse economics
Sustainability
More renewable based
production, excellent sustainability
Renewable based production
and subsidies
Security
More uncontrollable renewable
based production having high
output variation,
new challenges in intermittency,
lack of controllable production,
lack of inertia
Liiketoiminnan haasteita uudessa energiajärjestelmässä ja
liiketoimintaympäristössä
• Perinteisen sähköntuotannon kannattamattomuus suuressa mittakaavassa,
alhainen hinta - alempi kuin muuttuvat kustannukset
• Kuluttajat vaativat sustainable tuotteita – myös tuotantoketjun osalta –
hiilisähkön tulevaisuus?
• Hiilikupla yhtiöiden pörssiarvossa?
-> Valtavia uusia globaaleja liiketoimintamahdollisuuksia
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Smart Grid & Customer Gateway at
Lappeenranta University of Technology
LUT Energy
Electricity | Energy | Environment
Winner of the International Sustainable
Campus Network (ISCN) Excellence
Award, 2013
Creating the future with green technology and business
Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT)