MARKETBEAT RETAIL SNAPSHOT HYDERABAD, INDIA Q3 2014 A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Positive macro-economic factors reflect revival of the economy. India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 5.7% in first quarter 2014-15 versus 4.6% registered during the previous quarter. This was India’s fastest quarterly growth in two years. The manufacturing sector bounced back from a contraction of 1.4% in fourth quarter 2013-14 to an expansion of 3.5% in the current quarter. However, quarterly agricultural growth slowed down from 6.3% to 3.8%. HSBC’s Composite Output Index for India was recorded at 50.6 in August, almost on par with the 50.7 recorded in May. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August was noted at 7.8%, dropping from 8.3% in May 2014. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had guided for an 8% CPI by January 2015. However, considering that threats to high inflation still loom large, the RBI continues to be watchful and did not lower interest rates at the end of September. Mixed impacts of 2014 budget announcements on the retail sector. The government earmarked INR5,000 crores for developing warehouses, which will undoubtedly bring in greater efficiencies to the retail sector. Introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) in 2015 will lead to a more mature taxation regime, with positive linkages to the retail industry. Though the government has stated that it will not allow Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail, it has not actually taken any steps to repeal the policy; hence, some ambiguity continues. RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW Influx of new mall supply. In the third quarter of 2014, a new mall measuring 500,000 square feet (sf) commenced operations in Kukatpally. The mall became operational with a high occupancy of 97%, which resulted in lowering the city’s overall mall vacancy by 0.9 percentage point to 7.4%. Mall rentals remained stable. With moderate demand and limited churn only in one mall in Madhapur, rentals remained stable across all submarkets from the quarter. A few international brands in the apparels, food & beverage (F&B), and footwear categories took up space in Madhapur. Main streets rentals remained steady. However, Jubilee Hills Road No. 36 witnessed a drop of 3.9% in rentals due to parking issues and congestion caused by the ongoing metro construction. Apparels and sporting goods retailers leased spaces in main streets such as Jubilee Hills Road No 36 and Banjara Hills. Other main streets such as Madhapur, Kukatpally and Himayathnagar also witnessed transactions across various segments. OUTLOOK Expected mall supply influx, rentals to remain stable. A mall measuring 200,000 sf is likely to become operational in Attapur during the next quarter. Mall rentals are likely to remain stable. Cushman & Wakefield (India) Pvt. Ltd. No 111, 1st Floor, Maximus 2B Mindspace IT Park, Hi Tech City Madhapur, Hyderabad – 500 081 +91 40 4040 5555 www.cushmanwakefield.co.in For more information, contact: Siddhart Goel Director – Research Services, India Tel: +91 22 6657 5555 [email protected] Main street rentals are expected to remain stable. Going forward, main street rentals are likely to remain stable across the city with the exception of Jubilee Hills Road No. 36, where it may decline further due to waning retailers’ interest. ECONOMIC INDICATORS NATIONAL GDP Growth CPI Growth 2013 4.7% 9.5% 2014F 5.8% 8.2% 2015F 6.0% 7.0% Private Final Expenditure Growth Govt. Final Expenditure Growth 2.3% 2.9% 4.9% -0.5% 5.7% 5.1% Source: Roubini Global Economics PRIME RETAIL RENTS – SEPTEMBER 2014 MAIN STREETS M.G. Road S.P. Road/ Begumpet Raj Bhavan Road/Somajiguda Banjara Hills Abids Himayathnagar Punjagutta Ameerpet Jubilee Hills Kukatpally NH.9 A.S. Rao Nagar Madhapur MALLS NTR Gardens Himayathnagar Banjara Hills Madhapur Panjagutta Somajiguda Kukatpally INR SF/MTH 110 110 EURO SF/YR 17 17 US$ SF/YR 22 22 Q-O-Q CHANGE 0.0% 0.0% Y-O-Y CHANGE 0.0% 0.0% 90 14 18 0.0% 0.0% 130 110 135 20 17 21 26 22 27 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 155 125 125 140 120 100 INR SF/MTH 125 150 260 235 140 140 180 24 19 20 22 18 15 EURO SF/YR 19 23 40 36 22 22 28 31 25 26 28 24 20 US$ SF/YR 25 30 51 46 28 28 35 0.0% 0.0% -3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Q-O-Q CHANGE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Y-O-Y CHANGE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NA NA NA Note: Asking rent (INR/sf/month) on carpet area of ground floor Vanilla stores is quoted Conversion Rate: US$1= INR 60.85 and Euro 1 = INR 78.11 SIGNIFICANT LEASING TRANSACTIONS PROPERTY Standalone Standalone LOCATION Kothapet Begumpet TENANT Taruni Mochi SQUARE FEET 6,000 3,000 SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTY M Cube Mall Maruthi InfinityMall LOCATION Attapur Chandanagar SQUARE FEET 200,000 195,000 COMPLETION DATE Q4 2014 Q1 2015 This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman & Wakefield on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. ©2014 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
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