Control Charts for Attributes p-chart: A chart used for controlling the proportion of defective services or products generated by the process. p = p(1 – p)/n Where n = sample size p = central line on the chart, which can be either the historical average population proportion defective or a target value. – Control limits are: UCLp = p+zp and LCLp = p−zp – z = normal deviate (number of standard deviations from the average) Hometown Bank Example The operations manager of the booking services department of Hometown Bank is concerned about the number of wrong customer account numbers recorded by Hometown personnel. Each week a random sample of 2,500 deposits is taken, and the number of incorrect account numbers is recorded. The results for the past 12 weeks are shown in the following table. Is the booking process out of statistical control? Use three-sigma control limits. Hometown Bank Using a p-Chart to monitor a process n = 2500 p= p = p = 147 = 0.0049 12(2500) p(1 – p)/n 0.0049(1 – 0.0049)/2500 p = 0.0014 UCLp = 0.0049 + 3(0.0014) = 0.0091 LCLp = 0.0049 – 3(0.0014) = 0.0007 Sample Number Wrong Account # Proportion Defective 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 12 19 2 19 4 24 7 10 17 15 3 0.006 0.0048 0.0076 0.0008 0.0076 0.0016 0.0096 0.0028 0.004 0.0068 0.006 0.0012 Total 147 Hometown Bank Using a p-Chart to monitor a process Example In class Problem Control Charts Two types of error are possible with control charts • A type I error occurs when a process is thought to be out of control when in fact it is not • A type II error occurs when a process is thought to be in control when it is actually out of statistical control These errors can be controlled by the choice of control limits Process Capability • Process capability is the ability of the process to meet the design specifications for a service or product. • Nominal value is a target for design specifications. • Tolerance is an allowance above or below the nominal value. Process Capability Nominal value Process distribution Lower specification 20 Upper specification 25 Process is capable 30 Process Capability Nominal value Process distribution Lower specification 20 Upper specification 25 Process is not capable 30 Process Capability Ratio, Cp Process capability ratio, Cp, is the tolerance width divided by 6 standard deviations (process variability). Cp = Upper specification - Lower specification 6 Process Capability Index, Cpk Process Capability Index, Cpk, is an index that measures the potential for a process to generate defective outputs relative to either upper or lower specifications. Cpk = Minimum of =x – Lower specification 3 Upper specification – x= , 3 We take the minimum of the two ratios because it gives the worstcase situation. Intensive Care Lab Example The intensive care unit lab process has an average turnaround time of 26.2 minutes and a standard deviation of 1.35 minutes. The nominal value for this service is 25 minutes with an upper specification limit of 30 minutes and a lower specification limit of 20 minutes. The administrator of the lab wants to have three-sigma performance for her lab. Is the lab process capable of this level of performance? Upper specification = 30 minutes Lower specification = 20 minutes Average service = 26.2 minutes = 1.35 minutes Intensive Care Lab Assessing Process Capability Example Cpk = Minimum of Cpk = Upper specification = 30 minutes Lower specification = 20 minutes Average service = 26.2 minutes = 1.35 minutes = x – Lower specification 3 3(1.35) Cpk = Minimum of 1.53, 0.94 3 , 26.2 – 20.0 Minimum of = Upper specification – x , = 0.94 30.0 – 26.2 3(1.35) Process Capability Index Intensive Care Lab Assessing Process Capability Example Cp = Cp = Upper specification - Lower specification 6 30 - 20 6(1.35) = 1.23 Process Capability Ratio Does not meet 3 (1.00 Cpk) target due to a shift in mean (Note variability is ok since Cp is over 1.0) Before Process Modification Upper specification = 30.0 minutes Lower specification = 20.0 minutes Average service = 26.2 minutes = 1.35 minutes Cpk = 0.94 Cp = 1.23 In Class Problem In Class Problem Effects of Reducing Variability on Process Capability Nominal value Six sigma Four sigma Two sigma Lower specification Upper specification Mean What it means to operate at 6-sigma Range Population in range Expected frequency outside range Approx. frequency for daily event μ ± 1σ 0.682689492137 1 in 3 Twice a week μ ± 2σ 0.954499736104 1 in 22 Every three weeks μ ± 3σ 0.997300203937 1 in 370 Yearly μ ± 4σ 0.999936657516 1 in 15,787 Every 43 years (twice in a lifetime) μ ± 5σ 0.999999426697 1 in 1,744,278 Every 5,000 years (once in history) μ ± 6σ 0.999999998027 1 in 506,842,372 Every 1.5 million years Six Sigma • 3.4 defects per million • Cpk = 2 • Impact of number of parts or production steps on yield: – 6 sigma • • • • 1 100% 5 100% 10 100% 100 99.97% 4 sigma 3 sigma 99% 97% 94% 54% 99% 71% 50% 0% Designing in 6-sigma • Reduce the number of parts in a product • Reduce the number of steps in a process Six Sigma • Six Sigma is a comprehensive and flexible system for achieving, sustaining, and maximizing business success by minimizing defects and variability in processes. • It relies heavily on the principles and tools of TQM. • It is driven by a close understanding of customer needs; the disciplined use of facts, data, and statistical analysis; and diligent attention to managing, improving, and reinventing business processes. Six Sigma Improvement Model 1. Define Determine the current process characteristics critical to customer satisfaction and identify any gaps. 2. Measure Quantify the work the process does that affects the gap. 3. Analyze Use data on measures to perform process analysis. 4. Improve Modify or redesign existing methods to meet the new performance objectives. 5. Control Monitor the process to make sure high performance levels are maintained. Six Sigma Implementation Top Down Commitment from corporate leaders. Measurement Systems to Track Progress Tough Goal Setting through benchmarking bestin-class companies. Education: Employees must be trained in the “whys” and “how-tos” of quality. Communication: Successes are as important to understanding as failures. Customer Priorities: Never lose sight of the customer’s priorities. Six Sigma Education • Green Belt: An employee who achieved the first level of training in a Six Sigma program and spends part of his or her time teaching and helping teams with their projects. • Black Belt: An employee who reached the highest level of training in a Six Sigma program and spends all of his or her time teaching and leading teams involved in Six Sigma projects. • Master Black Belt: Full-time teachers and mentors to several black belts. International Quality Documentation Standards ISO 9000 ISO 14000 A set of standards governing documentation of a quality program. Documentation standards that require participating companies to keep track of their raw materials use and their generation, treatment, and disposal of hazardous wastes. Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award Named after the late secretary of commerce, a strong proponent of enhancing quality as a means of reducing the trade deficit. The award promotes, recognizes, and publicizes quality strategies and achievements. 1. 2. 3. 4. Category 1 ─ Leadership Category 2 ─ Strategic Planning Category 3 ─ Customer and Market Focus Category 4 ─ Measurement, Analysis, and Knowledge Management 5. Category 5 ─ Human Resource Focus 6. Category 6 ─ Process Management 7. Category 7 ─ Business Results 120 points 85 points 85 points 90 points 85 points 85 points 450 points
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