Feasibility of ZARA in Peru Market Seeking Opportunity Erin Bereit Tarun Hingorani Matthew Raffa Taras Sanow Jonathan Solis For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 1 Peru represents the next logical step in our strategy for the Americas ZARA Macroeconomic Stability Stable exchange rates and low rates of inflation. Continuous GDP growth per capita. Existing Footprint We have operated in South America since 1998. Distribution centers in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. Local Demand for Goods Lima population over 8 million. Target customers annual clothing and footwear expenditure $390 million in 2010 and doubling in 10 years. Profitable Store profitable within first 2 years of operation. Total net benefit of $13.0 million over the first 7 years of operation. For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 2 Overview of Inditex / ZARA Inditex ZARA HQ in Arteixo, Spain $14.7 billion in operating revenues (2009) 4,607 stores, 8 brands, 74 countries ZARA Flagship brand of Inditex First Store in 1975. 1,680 stores in 72 countries (2009) $9.1 billion in operating revenues (2008) Goal of 80% of stores outside of Spain in 2020 (Current 55%). For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 3 ZARA Inditex has been operating its ZARA brand in South America since 1998. Country ZARA Stores (FY 2008 Year End) Argentina 7 Brazil 25 Chile 6 Colombia 7 Uruguay 2 Venezuela 11 Total 59 Regional Distribution Center(s) Argentina Brazil Mexico Source: Inditex FY 2008 Annual Report. For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 4 ZARA Inditex has been operating its ZARA brand in South America since 1998. Country ZARA Stores (FY 2008 Year End) Argentina 7 Brazil 25 Chile 6 Colombia 7 Uruguay 2 Venezuela 11 Total 59 Regional Distribution Center(s) Argentina Brazil Mexico Source: Inditex FY 2008 Annual Report. For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 5 Why invest in Peru? ZARA Lima is 4th largest city in Latin America Bilateral free trade agreements e.g. US, China, and EU (currently negotiating) Political stability Legal environment conducive to investment Investment grade bond rating Largest GDP growth in region in 2010 (6%) For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 6 Macroeconomic stability leading to… Balance of Payments 2000 - 2009 (% GDP) (Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru) 10 Current Account balance ZARA Capital Account balance Balance of Payments 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -5 Inflation Level Annual Percentage Change 2000 - 2010 (Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database 2009) Public Debt as % of GDP 2000 - 2009 7.8 (Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru) 6.8 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 5.8 4.8 3.8 2.8 1.8 0.8 -0.2 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2000 2001 For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 7 ZARA Increasing FDI For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 8 ZARA will operate in a unique, sustainable position within the Peru Clothing and Footwear Marketplace Mango Expensive ZARA ZARA ZARA Topitop Generic Domestic Retailer Fashionable Plain Mango HQ in Spain Currently 5 retail stores in Lima (6 total in Peru) Currently pursuing a move in market position. Topitop HQ in Peru Inexpensive semifashionable retailer General Domestic Retailer Provide service to mass market Cheap For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 9 ZARA – Resources & Capabilities Competitive Advantage Effective Team of Designers Presence at High-end Retail Locations ZARA Fashion & Cost Conscious Customers Latest Trends Spotting Team Low Advertising Costs Frequent Apparel Updates 10,000 Designs Per Year Appearance of Scarcity Quick to Market Selective Outsourcing of Basic Manufacturing Production in Europe Predominately Company-owned Distribution System Fast Fashion Image For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 10 Proposed Operating Plan ZARA 1Q 10 Company owned store Locate in Lima’s upper end shopping district (Larcomar) Country management team Local employees for day-to-day operations Utilize existing regional distribution centers Open 3Q 2011 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 Recommend Market Expansion Country Management Team Real Estate Contracting Permitting Strategy 1Q 11 2Q 11 3Q 11 Local Staff Construction Stocking Implementation Zara in Peru 11 For Internal Discussion Purposes Only ZARA in Lima will break-even in 2 years and total net benefit of $13.0 million over the first 7 years of operation. Scenario Market Shares for Total Clothing and Footwear Spending Annual Profit After Taxes & Tariffs $40,000,000 Peru - Conservative Mexico Market Share Chile Market Share $35,000,000 ZARA $30,000,000 Peru Conservative Current Mexico Current Chile 2011 0.1% 0.9% 1.4% 2012 0.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2013 0.35% 1.8% 2.7% 2014 0.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2015 0.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2016 0.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2017 0.4% 1.8% 2.7% $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $2011 $(5,000,000) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Key Assumptions COGS is 43 percent of sales revenue. Average cost of new store in new market is $1.6 million. Size of store = 1,380 square meters (firm’s system-wide average). SGA is 20 percent of sales revenue. Corporate tax rate (existing and future) is 30 percent of profit. Annual cost of prime real estate in Lima is $37 per square meter ($51,000 per year). Tariff rate is 17 percent of the value of imports (merchandise) Ninety (90) employees are needed to service Peru. Cost of capital is 6 percent. Avg. monthly salary per employee is 3,500 Nuevo Sols ($1,100) Amortization period is 20 years. For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 12 ZARA Questions? ¿Preguntas? Thank You Gracias 13 For Internal Discussion Purposes Only ZARA Sources Inditex. (2008). Inditex 2008 annual report. Retrieved f rom http://www.inditex.es/en/shareholders_and_investors/investor_relations/annual_reports Tiplady, R. (2006, April 4). Zara: taking the lead in f ast-f ashion. Bloomberg Businessweek, Retrieved f rom http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/apr2006/gb20060404_167078.htm?chan=innovation_branding_brand+prof iles Zara. (2010, April 2). Retrieved f rom http://www.zara.com/ Zara. (2010). Wikipedia. Retrieved (2010, April 28) f rom http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zara_(clothing) [1] Kumar, N. (n.d.). How Zara worked on its supply chain to bring low-cost high f ashion to the shelves - at high speed. Businessworld, Retrieved f rom http://www.businessworld.in/index.php/Spanish-season.html Cia the world factbook - peru. (2010, April 16). Retrieved f rom https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-f actbook/geos/pe.html Fmi: perú crecerá cerca del 6 percent en 2010 y será la envidia en la región. (2009, October 29). La Republica. Ministerio de comercio exterior y turismo del peru. (2010, April 17). Retrieved f rom http://www.mincetur.gob.pe Central bank of peru. (2010, April 28). Retrieved f rom www.bcrp.gob.pe U. S. Department of State - Background Note: Peru. Accessed at http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35762.htm on May 1, 2010. Perspectives on the Peruvian Economy”. Ipsos APOYO. January 2010. Accessed at http://www.livinginperu.com/blogs/business/1246 on April 23, 2010. About Doing business. (2010, April 22). Retrieved f rom www.doingbusiness.org Valez, P. (2009, December 16). Peru wins third investment grade rating. Reuters, Retrieved f rom http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1611592020091216 Vasquez, I. (2007, December 5). Peru may become latin america’s next success story. Retrieved f rom http://www.cato-atliberty.org/2007/12/05/peru-may-become-latin-americas-next-success-story/ Perspectives on the peruvian economy. (2010, January). Retrieved f rom http://www.livinginperu.com/blogs/business/1246 Ghemawat, P, & Nueno, J. (2003). Zara: Fast Fashion. (2003). Boston, MA: Harvard Business School. Mng by mango. (2010, April). Retrieved f rom http://www.mango.com/pv/index.html China remains mango's biggest challenge. (2010, April 8). Fibre 2 Fashion, Retrieved f rom http://www.f ibre2f ashion.com/news/fashion-companynews/newsdetails.aspx?news_id=84474 14 For Internal Discussion Purposes Only ZARA Sources Topitop. (2010, April). Retrieved f rom http://www.topitop.com.pe/home_retail.aspx?grp=2&len=2 Lima . (2010). Wikipedia. Retrieved (2010, April 1) f rom http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lima#Economy South America: Peru. (2010). The World Factbook. Retrieved (2010, April 18) f rom https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-worldf actbook/geos/pe.html Zara. (2010, April 2). Retrieved f rom http://www.zara.com/#/en_GB/shops/Store percent20Finder/ Inei: peru's economy up 3.63 percent in january. (2010, March 16). Andean Air Mail & Peruvian Times, Retrieved f rom http://www.peruviantimes.com/inei-perus-economy-up-3-63-percent-in-january/165328 Peru: incidence of total poverty. (2010, April). Retrieved f rom www.inei.gob.pe Cia the world factbook - peru. (2010, April 16). Retrieved f rom https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-f actbook/geos/pe.html Metropolitan lima: average monthly income from principal occupation. (2010, May 2). Retrieved f rom www.inei.gob.pe World bank development indicators. (2010, March). Retrieved f rom www.worldbank.org/data Peru: Clothing & Footwear. Euromonitor. Retrieved (2010, April 18) f rom https://login.library.lausys.georgetown.edu/login?url=http://www.portal.euromonitor.com/Portal/DocumentView.aspx 15 For Internal Discussion Purposes Only Market Expansion Considerations Macroeconomic stability ZARA Urban economic development Relative ease of market entry Local demand for clothing Cost of doing business (taxes & tariffs) Accessibility of distribution centers Availability of prime retail space Profitability within two years of operation For Internal Discussion Purposes Only 16
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