The Future of IT Services Bryan Britz Managing Vice President June 2014 © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner di sclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity." Torrential Changes and a Confidence Crisis will Reshape Service Provider Landscape "My business and its IT organization are being engulfed by a torrent of digital opportunities. We cannot respond in a timely fashion, and this threatens the success of the business and the credibility of the IT organization." 70% CIOs will change their technology and sourcing relationships in the next 2 to 3 years for a variety of reasons. 46% Need to work with new categories of partners, e.g.: Source: Gartner December 2013) n = 2,339 Taming the Digital Dragon: The 2014 CIO Agenda (G2643926) © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Mobility Cloud Digital Agency Big Data Analytics Social The 3rd Era of Enterprise IT IT Craftsmanship IT Industrialization Digitalization Technology Processes Business Models Capabilities Programming, system management IT management, service management Digital leadership Engagement Isolated, disengaged internally and externally Treat colleagues as customers, unengaged with external customers Treat colleagues as partners, engage external customers Sporadic automation and innovation, frequent issues Services & solutions, efficiency & effectiveness Digital business innovation, new types of value Focus Outputs & Outcomes © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Top Trends Privacy and Security Awareness Cloud Cognitive Automation Anti-Globalization Policies and Protectionism Internet of Things Gen Y Leaders Analytics Economic Fluctuations and Rise of Emerged Emerging Markets Mobile Social Portfolio Rationalization Business Buying Center Shift Just-In-Time Service Supply Chain Ecosystems Crowd Sourcing Consumerization Digital Business Transformation Reducing Labor Arbitrage Advantage Magnitude of impact Business OutcomeBased Value and Pricing Models Disruptive New Competitor Types Re-Insourcing © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 3 New World Providers will Win Industrialized Capabilities Access New World Social Mobile Information Cloud Contracted for Effort Old World Labor-Based © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Dedicated Assets Outcome-based Consumption CIO’s Top Technology Priorities in 2014 Continue to Bridge Old and New Worlds Ranking Based on How Many CIOs Cited Each as a Top-Three New Spending Priority for 2014 Source: Gartner December 2013) n = 2,339 Taming the Digital Dragon: The 2014 CIO Agenda (G2643926) © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 15 Bi-Modal IT Emerges Agile development Waterfall development Known vendors Innovative partners Stuck in the middle Strong governance Lightweight "Just good enough" governance Minimized risk Managed risk "Fit for no one" Technology teams Traditional Mode Multidisciplinary teams Nonlinear Mode © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 27 Service Providers Must Expand their Sphere of Influence and Impact 38% of IT Spending is Decentralized; 62% is Centralized Other, 8% Legal/Regulatory/C ompliance, 1% Customer Service and Experience, 3% Human Resources, 3% Supply Chain/Logistics, 3% Sales, 3% Marketing and Communications, 4% Centrally Managed IT Spending, 62% CFO/Finance, 4% Chief Operating Officer/Operations, 8% Source: Gartner (June 2013) n = 1,523 IT Metrics: A Critical Evaluation of Decentralized IT Spending and Digital Enterprise Readiness (G2529215) © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 7 Physical “things” exploding growth into 2020 Installed “things” by 2020 Internet of Things 30B Personal Devices 7.3B © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Assumption: The component cost of IoT-enabling consumer things will approach $1, and "ghost" devices with unused connectivity will be common. Digital Business Scenario: The Car Crash 1.Smart Phone detects sudden deceleration. 6. Estimates for repairs sent to smart phone from different companies. Negotiations ensue to get best price and delivery. 8. Smart phone notifies next of kin via text messages and Facebook. 2. Smart phone interrogates passenger clothing for vital signs. 7. Meanwhile, smartphone interrogates nearby video cameras to collect digital evidence of the car crash as it occurred. 9. Smart phone sends information portfolio to law firms for assessment. 3. Smart phone sends information to medical emergency first responders and opens up communications lines for survivors.. 4. Smart phone interrogates vehicle systems for damage report. 5. Damage report sent to fire, police, towing, and insurance companies. © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Service Provider Approaches to Digital Business • Digitization through technology - Nexus of forces applied to add value - Evolution of “Renovate the Core” from a technology perspective • Run to Digital Transformation - Evolutionary approach to business transformation - Renovate the core to achieve business operational improvement to improve profitability of business operations • Advise to Digital Transformation - Business strategy transformational approach to Digital Business - Top down redesign of entire functional areas to achieve competitive business differentiation and grow revenue © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 10 Digital Use of "Crowds" as an "Accessory" • Consumer goods companies in touch with customers • Better crowdsourcing technology • Affinity for culture and style of the consumer Flags Why? By 2017, over half of consumer goods manufacturers will employ crowdsourcing to achieve fully 75% of their consumer innovation and R&D capabilities. • Increase in crowdsourcing applications in online consumer goods platforms in 2014 • Crowdsourced revenue boost What to do? CIOs must focus on building the right culture to support bottom-up contribution. Without it — and without employees who care — these initiatives are likely to fail. Authors: Don Scheibenreif and Michael Shanler © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Digitalization's Effect on Labor Grows • Digitization <> more jobs • Kodak's 130,000 people versus Instagram's 13 • Lower labor Content • Lower pay per hour Flags Why? By 2020, the labor reduction effect of digitalization will cause social unrest and a quest for new economic models in several mature economies. • Another "Occupy Wall Street" type of movement by the end of 2014 • Bartering-based systems and voluntary roles rise by 2015 in areas such as patient care. What to do? CEOs and boards must avoid using old economic models in the new digital reality. Authors: Gregor Petri © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Service Industrialization Meets Consumerization Added Benefits Enablement 2 3 5 7 Pm Au Ai Pe Process Maturity Automation Advanced Insights Personalization Cost Reduction Enablement © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Prevention-Based Mass Configurability Your Needs ? ? ?? ?? ? ? ? Others Like You © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2 3 Pm Process Maturity ? ? ? ?? ? ? ? Au Automation 5 7 Ai Advanced Insights Pe Personalization May We Suggest The Next “Next Gen” of Managed and Professional Services Next Generation Industrialization 2 3 Future Advancements in the Next, Next Gen 11 17 Pm Au Dp Sb Process Maturity Automation Dynamic Pricing Sub-branding 5 7 13 19 Ai Pe Jt Mt Advanced Insights 2008 Personalization Just in Time Supply Micro-transactions 2013 © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2018 2025 © 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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