DENMARK 1. Key indicators and benchmarks (age 18-24) 2. Tertiary educational attainment (age 30-34) ET 2020 Benchmarks 3. Early childhood education and care (4-years-old until the starting age of compulsory education) 4. Basic skills Reading Low achievers (15 year-olds; Mathematics Level 1 or low er in PISA study) Science Initial vocational training (IVET) 5. Learning mobility Higher Education a. Students participating in Leonardo da Vinci programmes as a share of vocational students at ISCED 3 b. Erasmus inbound students as % of student population in host country c. Inbound international degree mobile students as % of student population in the host country 2010 2013 11.0% 8.0% 41.2% 43.4% Europe 2020 target / EU28 average Trend Denmark Europe 2020 headline target 1. Early leavers from education and training 2010 2013 ▼ 13.9% 12.0% ▲ 33.6% 36.9% Benchmark EU target: 10% National target: <10% EU target: 40% National target: >40% 91.9% 09 98.3% 12 ▲ 92.1% 09 93.9% 12 95% 15.2% 09 14.6% 12 ▼ 19.7% 09 17.8% 12 15% 17.1% 09 16.8% 12 ▼ 22.3% 09 22.1% 12 15% 16.6% 09 16.7% 12 = 17.8% 09 16.6% 12 15% 0.9% 0.9% 12 = 0.6% 0.7% 12 - 2.4% 12 : - 1.2% 12 7.5% 8.1% 12 ▲ 6.0% 6.9% 12 6. Employment rate of ISCED 3-6 recent graduates (age 20ISCED 3-4 83.5% 81.9% ▼ 77.4% 75.5% 82.0% 79.0% ▼ 72.1% 69.5% ISCED 5-6 84.8% 84.3% ▼ 82.7% 80.9% 32.5% 31.4% ▼ 9.1% 10.5% 8.1% 7.9% 12 ▼ 5.5% 5.3% € 8,584 € 7,492 11 ▼ €6,063.74 e €6,297.16 11, e € 9,162 € 8,205 11 ▼ €7,022.35 e €6,650.87 11, e € 14,593 € 15,987 11 ▲ €9,764.30 e €9,474.80 11, e 34) having left education 1-3 years before reference year 7. Adult participation in lifelong learning (age 25-64) 82% b 15% Other ET 2020 Indicators a. General government expenditure on education (% of GDP) b. Annual expenditure on ISCED 1-2 8. Investment in education and training public and private ISCED 3-4 educational institutions per pupil/student in € PPS ISCED 5-6 78.8% 07 79.8% 11 ▲ 60.7% 07 64.7% 11 31.0% 09 42.0% 12 ▲ 25.0% 09 26.0% 12 : 7.8% 12 : : 16.9% 12, EU17 : 38.7% 12 : : 33.2% 12, EU13 : : : : 42.3% a, EU18 : : 11 : : 43.5% 11, EU13 83.5% 81.6% 12 ▼ 60.6% 63.0% 11 : 15.7% 12 : : 19.9% 12, EU17 : 49.9% 12 : : 43.3% 12, EU17 : 14.2% 12 : : 23.6% 12, EU17 : 54.7% 12 : : 40.9% 12, EU17 High qualification : +10.8% : : +12.4% Medium qualification : -10.1% : : +2.1% Low qualification : +13.9% : : -13.2% : 37.0% : : : : 86.4% : : 84.6% EU19 46.5% 46.1% 50.1% 50.4% 12 Digital competences Problem solving in technology rich environments 9. Transversal competences a. Pupils in grade 4 (ISCED 1) using computers at school Entrepreneurial competences Foreign language skills Literacy b. Individuals aged 16-74 with high computer skills 1 c. Low achievers (no or insuff. computer experience) 2 d. High achievers (PIAAC level 2 and above) e. Individuals aged 18-64 who believe to have the required skills and knowledge to start a business f. ISCED 2 students at proficiency level B1 or higher in first foreign language3 g. ISCED 2 students learning two or more foreign languages Low achievers (< PIAAC proficiency level 2) High achievers (PIAAC proficiency level 3 and >) 10. Basic skills of adults Low achievers Numeracy (< PIAAC proficiency level 2) High achievers (PIAAC proficiency level 3 and >) 11. Skills for future labour market Projected change in employment 2010-2020 in % 12. Teachers 12 a. Teachers aged >50 teaching in public and private at ISCED 2-3 - as % of total teachers teaching in ISCED 2-3 4 b. Percentage of teachers who undertook some professional development activities in the previous 12 months 13. Vocational Percentage of vocational students at ISCED 3 education and training 12 12 ▼ 12 Source: Cedefop: 11 / EAC: 5ab / European Survey on Language Competences (ESLC): 9f / Eurostat (COFOG): 8a / Eurostat (ISS): 9b / Eurostat (LFS): 1, 2, 6, 7 / Eurostat (UOE): 3, 5, 8b, 9g, 12a, 13 / Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: 9e / IEA TIMSS: 9a / OECD (PIAAC): 9cd, 10 / OECD (PISA): 4 / OECD (TALIS): 12b Notes: 07 =2007, 08 =2008, 09 =2009, 10 =2010, 11 =2011, 12 =2012, a= unweighted average, b= break, e= estimate, p= provisional. = having carried out 5-6 specific computer related activities. Caution is advised when interpreting comparability over time, due to developments in the implementation of questions related to computer skills, 2= results cover people who have no computer experience or failed the ICT test, 3= average of skills tested in reading, listening, writing, 4= in some Member States, ISCED 3 includes level 4 (CZ, EE, ES, IE, NL, FI, UK), while in others (IT, LU, NL) only public institutions figures are reported. 1 2 DENMARK Figure: Position in relation to highest (outer ring) and lowest performers (centre) Source: DG Education and Culture calculations, based on data from Eurostat (LFS 2013 and UOE 2012) and OECD (PISA 2012). Note: all scores are set between a maximum (the highest performers visualised by the outer ring) and a minimum (the lowest performers visualised by the centre of the chart). 2. Main challenges Denmark is one of the EU’s best performers regarding the headline target on tertiary attainment, and also the early school leaving rate remains below the EU average. However, in other areas such as students' basic skills, education outcomes are only average despite the generous budget allocation. Sources of concern include relatively high drop-out rates from upper secondary vocational training and education, and insufficient apprenticeship places although they make up a strongly integrated component of the dual vet system in Denmark. The 2014 European Semester country-specific recommendation (CSR) on education and training focused on: (i) improving educational outcomes, in particular for young people with a migrant background, and the effectiveness of vocational training; (ii) facilitating the transition from education to the labour market, including through a wider use of work-based training and apprenticeships. 3. Improving resource efficiency and effectiveness 3.1 Investment in education Denmark’s expenditure on education is high. General government expenditure on education as a proportion of GDP stood at 7.8 % in 2012 compared with a 5.3 % EU average. Public expenditure per student1 is also well above the EU average at every level of education. As education outcomes are no better than in comparable countries that spend less, the government is taking a number of measures to improve spending efficiency. To speed up completion of tertiary studies and save costs, the new ‘Grants and Loans Scheme (SU) and the framework for higher education programmes are being implemented gradually from 1 July 2014 to 1 January 2016. This includes incentives to stimulate early entry to higher education, more stringent criteria regarding progress in studies for receiving state education support (SU) and a new framework for higher education programmes that supports the active completion of studies and a bonus for faster completion. Overall, the reform is expected to produce a net benefit for the public finances of DKK 2.2 billion by 2020 — assuming an expected increase in labour supply of around 5 900 people. In 2013 the government proposed a reform of vocational education and training (‘Skilled for the future — better and more attractive vocational education and training programmes’), which will be implemented in 2014-16. The suggested increase in government spending of DKK 3 billion for 2014-20 is aimed at increasing completion rates so that two out of three students complete vocational education and training (VET) courses in 2025. In 2013 the government also reached an agreement on a reform of state provided compulsory education (primary school), which will take effect in the school year 2014-15. The reform will mainly be implemented by making better use of existing resources in the municipalities. Municipalities’ total budgets will be raised by DKK 204 million in 2014 and the DKK 407 million yearly from 2015, and by 1.8 billion DKK from 2014 to 2017 to 1 Measured in purchasing power standard. 3 DENMARK cover extraordinary expenses. The reform includes DKK 1 060 million in separate funding for competency development of school leaders, teachers and pedagogues. 3.2 A focus on teachers The 2013 OECD Teaching and Learning International Survey (TALIS)2 provided the following main findings for Denmark: • Denmark has the highest proportion of teachers in the EU using information and communications technology (ICT) for student projects or class work (74 %). Only 15 % of teachers work in schools whose school leaders report a shortage of qualified staff (compared to an EU average of 36 %). In terms of selfassessment of effectiveness, a high proportion of teachers feel they can motivate students who show low interest in school work (82 % compared to a 71 % EU average). • While the proportion of teachers who are never formally appraised (9 % according to their school leaders) is below the EU average (16 %), the number who have never received feedback in their current school is slightly above the EU average (22 % compared to 17 %). The proportion of teachers who have undertaken some professional development activities in the last 12 months (86 %) is on a par with the EU average. The same applies to the perceived status of the profession: 18 % of teachers think their profession is valued in society. • By contrast, the proportion of teachers taking part in a formal induction programme during their first regular employment (27 %) is well below the EU average (49 %). Less than 30 % of teachers reported undergoing any formal induction training at the beginning of their career in Denmark. Male school leaders are clearly in the majority in Denmark (68 % compared to an EU average of 69 %).3 As part of the agreement on improving academic standards in folkeskole (municipal primary and lower secondary schools) in 2013, the government has allocated DKK 1 billion in 2014-20 to boost the supplementary training of 4 educational staff in folkeskole. 4. Increasing employability 4.1 Work-based learning, apprenticeships and adult learning The level of participation in vocational education and training (VET) by upper secondary students is slightly below the EU average (46.1 % as against 50.3 % in 2011). The high drop-out rate from vocational education and training (almost 50 %)5 is linked to the lack of apprenticeship places and inadequate basic skills among students. The transition from school to the labour market has become more challenging for young people. In 2013 the employment rate of recent upper secondary graduates6 decreased to 81.9 % (82.7 % for those born in Denmark and 74.8 % for those born abroad). There has been an increase in the number of young people neither in employment, education or training (NEETs), although the level of 6.0 % (15-24 years) in 2013 is still low by European comparison. Denmark is the EU leader in adult participation in lifelong learning with a rate of 31.6 % in 2012 compared with an EU average of 9 %. More women participate in lifelong learning (37.8 %) than men (25.4 %). There is no significant difference between people born in Denmark (31.6 %) and those born abroad (31.5 %).7 The Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC8) shows that adults (aged 16-65) in Denmark perform significantly above the EU average in numeracy and above the EU average both in literacy and in problem solving in technology-rich (ICT) environments. The proportion of adults with no ICT experience is very low (2 %, compared to an EU average of 12 %). The performance of young people (aged up to 29) with upper secondary education is almost as good as that of those with tertiary education. However, the gap is quite large in literacy proficiency between people born in Denmark and abroad compared to the EU average. Access to enterprise-provided vocational training is also 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 http://www.oecd.org/edu/school/talis.htm. TALIS 2013 http://www.oecd.org/edu/school/talis.htm. Denmark’s National Report 2014 on the implementation of Education and Training 2020. ‘Faglært til Fremtiden — Bedre og mere attractive erhvervsuddannelser’, Danish Ministry of Education, October 2013. People aged 20-34 leaving education 1 to 3 years before the reference year. Eurostat, LFS 2011. Volume I of the Education and Training Monitor (chapter 6) provides an overview of the results of the survey. Skills levels are presented either in terms of average scores or the proportion of adults at a given proficiency level in literacy or numeracy (level 1 to 5) or problem solving in technology-rich (ICT) environments (level 1 to 3 or no ICT experience). 4 DENMARK high, with 85 % of enterprises reporting having been offered such courses (compared to an EU average of 66 %).9 The previously mentioned reform ‘Skilled for the future — better and more attractive vocational education and training programmes’ focuses on improving the quality of teaching in schools providing vocational education and training through application of the European Quality Assurance Framework (EQAVET), making the education environment more attractive to young students, clarifying entry requirements and offering specific courses for those who do not meet the admission standards. The reform also strengthens the role of guidance centres and trade committees to better match vocational education and training with labour market needs, provides special incentives to increase the number of training places in companies and provides better access to further education and new vocational education and training programmes for adults. More graduates from vocational education and training will be able to move on to higher education programmes. In 2013 the Danish government concluded an agreement with social partners aimed at reducing the high dropout rate in vocational education and training programmes, increasing the number of students who get apprenticeship places in industry and improving standards. Fifty placement centres were established and teacher training in companies is being supported. The agreement will be closely monitored, e.g. through an indicatorbased surveillance system. Under the agreement, DKK 3.1 billion is being allocated over the 2013-16 period.10 In 2013, the ‘Leo Larsen report’ presented 12 recommendations on how employment services and the education system can: better prepare in identifying the skills needed for 200 000 jobs to be created in the next 20 years via public investments (in the metro system, construction of hospitals, a tunnel to Germany); work more closely with recruiting companies; and provide direct programmes for job seekers. In 2013 the government proposed a new package stimulating job rotation, apprenticeships and vocational education in order to combat youth unemployment. DKK 300 million was allocated for education for the unemployed who lost their unemployment benefits in 2013 and DKK 600 million to tackle youth unemployment between 2012 and 2016. Political agreement on ‘Growth Plan DK’ in 2013 meant that DKK 1 billion was earmarked for 2014-17 to significantly upgrade the skills of the labour force, partly in an effort to keep manufacturing enterprises and jobs in Denmark.11 The Danish Youth Guarantee Implementation Plan presented to the European Commission in April 2014 focuses on youth up to the age of 29 years, and includes measures such as education, help with the transition to jobs and the upgrading of skills in preparation for an ordinary education. 4.2 Modernising and internationalising higher education Denmark’s tertiary education attainment rate is well above the EU average (43.4 % compared to 36.8 % in 12 2013). More young women (51.8 %) than men (35.2 %) have a tertiary education. The employment rate of recent tertiary graduates13 was 84.3 % in 2013 compared to an EU average of 80.7 %. The government set a national target for 60 % of young people (30-34 years old) to complete at least one tertiary education programme by 2015 (25 percent of these should be long-term degrees). The Agreement on the 2012 Budget Bill for 2012 resulted in DKK 420 million being allocated for higher education in 2012 and DKK 630 million in 2013. Lengthy study periods at tertiary level are a long-standing characteristic of the Danish higher education system. Denmark also has some of the longest average transition periods from lower secondary to upper secondary level and from higher education to work (on average tertiary graduates were nearly 28 years old before they started work in 2011; in 2001 this figure stood at nearly 29 years).14 In June 2013, the Danish government launched an action plan to promote internationalisation in higher education. The plan sets an ambitious target — that a minimum of 50 % of graduates from Danish higher education institutions will have studied abroad or have had an internship abroad by 2020. The plan also focuses on ways to attract and retain the best international students. 9 10 11 12 13 14 Source: Eurostat, CVTS 2011. Denmark’s National Report 2014 on the implementation of Education and Training 2020. Danish National Reform Programme 2014. Source: Eurostat (LFS). People aged 20-34 leaving education 1 to 3 years before the reference year. Report of Dansk Industri and AE — Arbejderbevægelsens Erhvervsråd: ‘Kortlægning af veje og omveje i uddannelsessystemet’. 5 DENMARK On 1 July 2013, Denmark introduced a new accreditation system, which is based on the accreditation of entire institutions rather than individual education programmes. A Quality Expert Committee was set up in 2013 to produce recommendations at the end of 2014 on improving the quality of higher education. The first report, published in April 2014, states that: the quality of teaching and study programmes in higher education should be raised; all students should acquire competencies that can be translated into relevant employment (especially in the private sector); and there should be greater coherence in higher education, so as to prevent overlaps in the education system, wasted time and duplicating education. 4.3 Transversal competences, skills relevance, learning mobility, new ways of teaching and new technologies Computer use in schools in Denmark is comparatively high (78.8 % of students in their fourth year of formal school education use computers at school (the average for countries for which data is available is 60.7 %). Likewise, the ICT skills of the population are above the EU average. As regards entrepreneurship, the proportion of the population that believes it has the required knowledge to start a business is 31 % (against an EU average of 42 % in 2012). According to a Cedefop forecast, the Danish employment pattern up to 2020 will see an increase in demand for high- and low-skilled jobs, whereas the demand for medium-skilled jobs would fall significantly. This forecasted employment pattern is in marked contrast to the overall EU forecast of a positive demand for medium-skilled people and a negative trend for the low-skilled. The Danish qualifications framework for lifelong learning (NQF) was referenced to the European qualifications framework (EQF) in 2011. The national implementation of the qualifications framework was completed in 2013, e.g. with information about the framework on the Education Guide, and an indication of NQF/EQF levels on diplomas, and certificate and diploma supplements. 15 Validation of non-formal and informal learning takes place in all parts of the Danish education system, and Denmark already largely complies with Council Recommendation 2012/C 398/01. The government has allocated DKK 500 million in 2012-15 for strengthening and increasing the use of ICT in folkeskole. The main focus will be on developing the market for digital learning materials to make more highquality products available to support the integrated use of ICT in teaching. As part of the agreement on improving academic standards in the folkeskole, Denmark’s ‘EMU’ educational portal will be developed into a dynamic knowledge portal for school education. As part of the folkeskole reform, a number of initiatives are being introduced to ensure more and earlier teaching of foreign languages. All measures will take effect at the start of the 2014 school year: students will learn English from their first year of school (currently not introduced until the third year). There will be one weekly lesson in the first and second years. In order to strengthen the teaching of a second foreign language, German or French will be moved forward to the fifth year of education and made mandatory.16 5. Tackling inequalities 5.1 Starting strong: improving early childhood education and care and tackling early school leaving The early school leaving rate remains below the EU average (8 % compared to 11.9 % in 2013) and has decreased significantly in recent years (from 11.0 % in 2010). Denmark does not have a specific early school leaving strategy but a set of preventive and compensatory measures, e.g. the provision of early childhood education and care, an attendance detection system, and assistance for students with learning problems. Nevertheless, upper secondary school completion rates were 41.3 % in 2013, below the 46.7 % EU average, and drop-out rates high, especially in vocational training and education.17 Denmark has a high rate of participation in early childhood education and care (97.9 % in 2011 compared to an EU average of 93.2 %). In 2013, the development, pilot and research programme, ‘Fremtidens Dagtilbud’ (early childhood education and care of the future) was initiated. The objective of the programme is to obtain new knowledge about the effects of 15 16 17 Denmark’s National Report 2014 on the implementation of ET 2020. Denmark’s National Report 2014 on the implementation of Education and Training 2020. At present German language classes are offered to students as an elective subject in form levels 7-9. As an alternative to German, individual students may be able to select French language classes as an elective subject in form levels 7-9, Source: Eurypedia. Commission Staff Working Document ‘Assessment of the 2014 national reform programme and convergence programme for Denmark’. 6 DENMARK targeted educational work in childcare and daycare facilities. Under the 2014 Finance and Appropriation Act, KK 280 million has been allocated over a period of four years for preventive action regarding vulnerable children and young people. DKK 55 million of this amount will be spent on initiatives targeted at vulnerable children in ECEC. The projects will be launched in 2015.18 In September 2013, the Danish government set a number of targets in the area of social affairs, e.g. that at least 50 per cent of vulnerable children and young people were to have completed a youth education programme by the age of 25. From 2012 to 2014, the Ministry of Education completed two successful initiatives to reduce the drop-out rate: ‘The Quality Patrol’ and ‘The Retention Caravan’. ‘The Quality Patrol’ focused on the educational measures in individual vocational schools that had a positive impact on the drop-out rate. 5.2 Basic skills of students The results in the 2012 OECD Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) 19 show that the proportion of low achievers is around the EU average in science (16.7 % compared to 16.6 %), and lower in reading (14.6 % compared to 17.8 %) and maths (16.8 % compared to 22.1 %). Performance in all three fields remained broadly stable between 2009 and 2012, but performance in maths is worse than in 2003 and 2006. Boys still slightly outperform girls in science, although the gap was less than in 2009. There is a very large performance gap between students born in Denmark and first-generation migrants, and even larger between those born in Denmark and second-generation migrants. As mentioned in section 3.1, in 2013 the government reached an agreement on a reform of primary school education, which will enter into force as in the school year 2014/2015. The reform introduces more teaching hours in core subjects such as Danish, English and maths, and complements them with practical lessons, e.g. art, music and activity-based education, physical exercise and other social, personal and digital skills. There will be targeted in-service training of teachers and professional development of school leaders. 18 19 Denmark’s National Report 2014 on the implementation of ET 2020. http://www.oecd.org/pisa/keyfindings/pisa-2012-results.htm. 7
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