REGIONAL DAILY December 26, 2012 MALAYSIA Malaysia Daybreak —————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— FBMKLCI Index Berjaya Sports Toto - Slowing NFO sales 1,900 1,850 1,800 1,750 1,700 1,650 1,600 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 ——————————————————————————— FBMKLCI 16.04pts Jan 15 Futures 1712.5 - (0.29% ) 1715 - (1.00% ) ——————————————————————————— Losers Annualised 1HFY04/15 net profit of RM178m was slightly below, at 93% of our full-year forecast on slower NFO sales. 2Q interim dividend of 6 sen brought 1H dividends to 11.5 sen, in line with our full year DPS forecast. We lower FY15 EPS by 3.6% as we lower our NFO sales forecast to -4% yoy from -3% yoy. Our DDM-based target price falls marginally as a result. Maintain Hold on BST. The consumer discretionary spending momentum is clearly decelerating in Malaysia and we remain concerned about the strength of the illegal market. BST’s share price will continue to be supported by its solid dividend yield and share buyback programme. 0.94% Dec Futures Gainers 22 December 2014 ▌What’s on the Table… Key Metrics 1715.99 | Unchanged ▌News of the Day… —————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 611 252 277 ——————————————————————————— Turnover 1867.45m shares / RM2214.135m 3m avg volume traded 1999.44m shares 3m avg value traded RM1976.69m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI 1,716 3,280 5,145 1,514 23,117 • Surprise dividend in store for MISC shareholders • Auto sector likely to soften in 1H2015 • Construction sector likely to remain attractive next year • Taliworks to takeover expressway for RM265m • “Palm oil-free” labels may be damaging for Malaysia • 7-Eleven plans new push to boost growth • Proton is ready to collaborate on Asean car project ———————————————————————————————— Market Indices Close % chg YTD % chg FBMKLCI 1,715.99 0.9 (8.1) FBM100 11,542.40 1.1 (8.3) FBMSC 14,846.81 1.1 (5.4) FBMMES 5,603.33 1.5 (1.3) Dow Jones 17,804.80 0.1 7.4 NASDAQ 4,765.38 0.4 14.1 FSSTI 3,279.53 1.1 3.5 FTSE-100 6,545.27 1.2 (3.0) SENSEX 27,371.84 0.9 29.3 Hang Seng 23,116.63 1.2 (0.8) JCI 5,144.62 0.6 20.4 KOSPI 1,929.98 1.7 (4.0) Nikkei 225 17,621.40 2.4 8.2 PCOMP 7,125.63 1.4 21.0 SET 1,514.35 (0.2) 16.6 Shanghai 3,108.60 1.7 46.9 Taiwan 8,999.52 1.4 4.5 ———————————————————————————————— Top Actives Close % chg Vol. (m) MINETECH 0.100 11.1 91.3 SUMATEC 0.220 (4.3) 64.3 BUMI ARMADA 1.160 0.0 38.0 SYSTECH BHD 0.250 6.4 35.6 PERISAI 0.465 1.1 35.0 ASIA BIOENERGY 0.125 (3.8) 34.2 GLOBALTEC 0.065 18.2 34.0 SAPURAKENCANA 2.240 0.0 33.0 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics US$/Euro RM/US$ (Spot) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) OPR (% ) BLR (% , CIMB Bank) GOLD ( US$/oz) WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) CPO spot price (RM/tonne) Close 1.2285 3.4635 3.5695 3.04 6.85 1,198.07 54.11 2,118.00 % chg (0.02) (0.04) 0.14 0.00 0.00 (0.05) (4.18) (0.75) ———————————————————————————————————————— Terence WONG, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9088 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 Global Economic News The US Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams affirmed that he believes any increase in short-term interest rates is unlikely to happen until the middle of next year, and said that market views on the timing of rate increases appear to be "relatively reasonable." (WSJ) US Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Narayana Kocherlakota said the persistent weakness of inflation in the US economy calls into question any move by the Fed toward raising interest rates. The fact that the Fed is edging toward higher rates "creates an unacceptable downside risk to inflation and inflation expectations," he said. (WSJ) US Philadelphia Fed leader Charles Plosser renewed his criticism that the Fed may be behind the curve on raising rates, saying that "waiting too long to initiate a gradual increase in rates could result in the need for more aggressive policy in the future, which could lead to unnecessary volatility and instability." (WSJ) Eurozone's current account balance recorded a surplus of €20.5bn in Oct (€32.0bn in Sep). (Dow Jones) The European Union (EU)'s investment plan by European Commission (EC)'s new president Jean-Claude Juncker, totalling €315bn, provides an opportunity for "a renewed push towards structural reforms," European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi said. He said it could contribute to raising confidence in the euro zone, something he said was certainly needed. (WSJ) The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced its decision to leave its monetary policy unchanged in its Dec meeting, deciding by a 8-1 vote to raise the monetary base at an annual pace of about ¥80tr. The economy is expected to continue a moderate recovery as the effects of an Apr sales-tax increase dissipate, the BOJ said in a statement. Inflation expectations appear to be rising from a longer-term perspective, it said, but BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the slide in oil could weigh on consumer price gains in the first half of the year starting in Apr. (RTT, Bloomberg) Japan’s all industry activity dropped slightly by 0.1% mom in Oct (+1.4% mom in Sep). In Oct, the leading index dropped to 104.5 (104.0 estimated earlier) while the coincident index rose to 109.9 (110.2 estimated earlier). The lagging index also rose to 118.6 in Oct (118.2 in Sep). (RTT) Japan’s corporate income tax may be cut by more than 2% pts next year and reduced to less than 30% within five, Economy Minister Akira Amari said. He also said the government will aim for wages to rise faster than inflation next year. (Bloomberg) 2 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 China announced that its economy was 3.4% larger in 2013 than previously thought--chiefly due to a more accurate counting of services and their impact on economic output. The new calculation added Rmb1.92tr (US$308.3bn) to the size of China's economy in 2013, bringing it to a total of Rmb58.80tr. (WSJ) India’s Conference Board leading index rose 1.2% mom in Nov (-1.0% mom in Oct) while coincident index climbed 4.4% mom in Nov (-5.7% mom in Oct). (RTT) Hong Kong’s current account recorded a surplus of US$43.3bn in 3Q14 (US$8.08bn deficit in 2Q14). Overall balance of payments (BOP) surplus was US$68.02bn in 3Q14 (US$12.22bn surplus in 2Q14). (Bloomberg) Philippines' balance of payments (BOP) swung to a deficit of US$314m in Nov (US$24m surplus in Oct). (GMA) Philippines’ outstanding external debt amounted to US$57.7bn in 3Q14 (US$58.1bn in 2Q14). (Philippines Star) Malaysian Economic News Government may initiate measures to improve revenue, optimise expenditure. The government may introduce new measures next year to boost its coffers and improve expenditure to meet the 3.0% fiscal deficit target for 2015, says Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar. The move will be reviewed by early next year, he said, adding that for this year, Malaysia should be able to meet the targeted fiscal deficit of 3.5%, from 3.9% of the gross domestic product (GDP) in 2013. “For 2015, apart from the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and expected higher income tax collection from improved compliance, the lower revenue from oil and gas (O&G) will, to some extent, be mitigated by savings in fuel subsidies of about RM11bn. Furthermore, the government can initiate other measures to improve revenue and optimise expenditure in order to meet the 3.0% fiscal deficit budgeted for 2015,” Wahid said. (NST) Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said Malaysia should focus more on its strong economic fundamentals to ensure fast recovery from the backlash of weakened Ringgit and slow global economic trend nowadays. He added that Malaysia had made the right move to implement the Goods and Services Tax (GST) by Apr next year in view of the uncertainties in the global economy and that it could give the much needed support should the country's revenue is affected. Furthermore, he urged the Finance Ministry to focus on two other aspects — namely to decrease the country's Gini coefficient gap between the poor and the rich and to boost the country's revenue based on higher productivity. (NST) All projects and allocations listed under Malaysia’s Budget 2015 will be executed as scheduled, said Treasury Secretary General Tan Sri Mohd Irwan Serigar Abdullah. He added that there is no necessity at the moment to revise the allocations under Budget 2015. “All allocations under the Budget 2015 stay. Also, projects slated for implementation for next year will continue as per the schedule,” he said. (Malaysian Reserve) 3 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 The retail price of RON95 and diesel may go below RM2 a litre from 1 Jan next year if global oil prices continue to fall, said Deputy Finance Minister Datuk Ahmad Maslan. "If the downtrend in global oil prices continues over the next ten days to come, I am confident, RON95 and diesel can be fixed at below RM2 a litre," he said, adding that with the decline in oil prices, businesses and companies would reduce prices of their products. He said the Ministry of Domestic Trade, Cooperatives and Consumerism would take action if the companies refused to bring down their prices. (Malaysian Insider) The government will focus on the twin aspects of increasing income based on productivity and reducing income disparity in the quest towards driving the nation to developed status. Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak said Malaysia's economy needs to be based on the majority of the people being able to feel that their income is increasing in tandem with improving productivity. "Only with rising income, does the term, 'developed nation', have meaning for the people. If the income disparity between the poor and rich is wide, it will create a feeling of dissatisfaction among the people," he added. (Malaysian Reserve) The Customs Department has dispelled talk that private healthcare charges would rise by 5% with the Goods and Services Tax (GST), saying that it is expected to go up by just between 1% and 2%. They said that room charges and food provided at private hospitals were now liable for a 6% service tax but that the tax would be scrapped as both items did not come under GST. A total of 2,900 medicines have also been listed as zero rated for GST. (Star) The Finance Ministry said service charges by banks will be subjected to GST, and as such customers will have to pay the extra 6%, adding that the actual amount involved in the transaction such as the amount withdrawn and the interest paid for loans will not be affected by the tax. Customers would also be charged GST on fees charged for insurance or cheque books, on provision of bank statements, loan processing, standing instruction services and maintenance services in relation to buying and selling of shares. (Star) Trade associations are projecting a challenging year ahead, with many expecting growth to be “conservative” at best. The goods and services tax (GST) that takes effect in Apr 2015 is the oft-mentioned concern. Business owners believe the new tax system will burden consumers and add to the already high cost of doing business, despite repeated assurances from the government that its impact will be minimal. (Financial Daily) Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (KWAP) has been a net buyer of the securities during this month’s selloff in developing nations, Wan Kamaruzaman said in an interview. The retreat in Malaysian stocks and bonds, which saw the benchmark share index drop to a 20-month low and 10-year government debt yields rise to the highest since January, is temporary and the market will recover in the first quarter, he predicted. It is reducing cash holdings and buying more of the nation’s bonds and stocks, said Chief Executive Officer Wan Kamaruzaman Wan Ahmad, adding that he sees little risk in emerging markets. “Trust me, there’s not going to be a rout in emerging markets, or a fiasco,” Wan Kamaruzaman said. “I will put my money in,” he said. (Bloomberg) 4 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 The Domestic Trade, Cooperatives and Consumerism Ministry has announced the ceiling price for 12 controlled items under the Christmas Festival Price Control Scheme, which will be enforced for five days beginning Dec 23 during which traders were required to sell the affected items based on the stipulated price and to tag them with the special pink tags. The items included live chicken, standard chicken, super chicken, bone-in local mutton, imported bone-in and boneless lamb, imported bone-in lamb thigh, Grade A, B and C chicken eggs, tomato and green Bengal chili, he said. He assured sufficient supply of all essential items during the festive and that there was no reason for traders to hike the price of the food items concerned. (Bernama) Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng has welcomed a statement by the Royal Customs Department that the Goods and Services Tax (GST) will not be imposed on users of the Penang and Johor bridges. He said the DAP-led state government accepted it as an official statement and hoped the matter would not be disputed in the future. To further boost bilateral trade and investment in Malaysia, Russia is keen to tap business opportunities in sectors like biotechnology. A number of Russian businessmen had shown interest in undertaking fertiliser and biotechnological projects with Malaysian partners. "The prospects for an increase in trade and investment between Russia and Malaysia are good and we hope to go beyond the current limited scope of trading," said the outgoing Russian ambassador to Malaysia. It was previously reported that Malaysia-Russia trade for 2012-2013 rose by 66.6%. (Bernama) Political News Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad has come under more criticism from the opposition over his claims that Malays have been reduced to beggars due to their weakened political dominance, and have to rely on support from other races to remain in power. DAP national vice chairman Teresa Kok said the former prime minister’s tactic of using the purported loss of Malay dominance to rally Malays into supporting Umno is a bogey that will not work. She said Dr Mahathir knows well that Malays have not become beggars in Malaysia and will remain politically dominant. (Malaysian Insider) Malays can be strong, but they must stop voting along race or religious lines and instead choose a political party that will improve the government, former de facto law minister Datuk Zaid Ibrahim said. The Malay community could not work in isolation and needed other races for it to strengthen itself, Zaid said in a rebuttal to Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad's claim that Malay political power was weak that they had to "beg" from other races to win support. (Malaysian Insider) 5 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 Corporate News MISC Bhd, an energy shipping as well as oil and gas services provider, may reward its shareholders with a “surprise” dividend for FY14, following an extraordinary gain from the recent sale of its 15.7% stake in port operator, NCB Holdings Bhd, for close to RM222m in cash. The Petronas subsidiary has been disposing of its non-energy related businesses in a bid to become a leaner corporation focusing on energy-related operations. Earlier in March this year, the shipping group announced it was disposing of its entire equity interest in wholly-owned MISC Integrated Logistics Sdn Bhd to Golden Age Logistics Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Utusan Printcorp Sdn Bhd, for RM250m cash. (StarBiz) Celcom Axiata Bhd is optimistic that the completion of its information technology (IT) transformation exercise will greatly help improve efficiency and maximise growth opportunities. Celcom on Friday announced a RM493m net profit for its third quarter ended September 30, down 12% from RM562.4m a year ago. Revenue for the quarter eased 4% to RM1.93bn from RM2.02bn previously. Its chief executive officer Datuk Sri Shazalli Ramly said Celcom managed to achieve healthy, consistent and sustainable growth in mobile data amid competitive market challenges. (BT) Malaysia Airlines (MAS) is set to celebrate the arrival of the carrier's 100th Boeing 737. The aircraft, a next-generation of Boeing 737-800, was delivered to MAS in Seattle on Friday. MAS group chief executive officer Ahmad Jauhari Yahya said the 737 had and would continue to be an amazing aircraft for the airline with its consistent reliability, unmatched economics and innovation in passenger comfort. "We used a 737 for our very first flight in 1972 and we are excited to take delivery of our 100th airplane of its type," he said in a statement. (StarBiz) Bursa Malaysia has issued a new framework for the opening of trading and securities accounts for both retail investors and corporate clients. Bursa said the framework provides greater flexibility to participating organisations (POs) of Bursa Securities and authorised depository agents (ADAs) of Bursa Depository in opening accounts. POs and ADAs are now able to allow individual investors to open the accounts through electronic mediums, it added. Bursa CEO Datuk Tajuddin Atan said the new framework’s objective is to facilitate a simpler and smoother account opening process, with proper checks in place. (BT) Dialog Group Bhd's wholly owned subsidiary, Dialog Equity (Two) Sdn Bhd (DET), has entered into a shareholders agreement with PRPC Utilities and Facilities Sdn Bhd (PRP-CUF) and Vopak Terminal Pengerang BV to undertake the Pengerang Terminal Phase 2 Project (PTP2) at a approximate total project cost of RM6.3bn. In an exchange filing last Friday, the company said the agreement involved the development, construction and operation of the facilities required for the handling, storage and distribution of the crude oil, petroleum, chemical and petrochemical feedstock, products and by-products to and from the Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development (Rapid) complex at Pengerang Johor. (Malaysian Reserve) GHL Systems Bhd is in the middle of finalising arrangements for several third-party acquirer (TPA) to launch its electronic data capture (EDC) in Malaysia, as the country offers many potentials to tap. Group CEO Raj Lorenz said the EDC terminal population in Malaysia numbers around 240,000 units, adding that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has already set a target of 800,000 units to be deployed by 2020. "A wide network of e-payment acceptance points 6 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 are critical to allow consumers to move from cash to e-payments," he said. (Malaysian Reserve) 7-Eleven Malaysia Holdings Bhd plans to keep up its current double-digit sales growth for the next few years with key strategies to boost sales and profitability. CEO Gary Brown said the company has lined up new initiatives to be implemented by year-end to increase sales moving forward. He said the company remains positive on 2015 despite the impending introduction of GST in April 2015. "We can never determine how the market is going to react. But generally, we are expecting good January and February sales and March sales to be extra good," he said. Brown said 7-Eleven aims to attract more traffic into its stores through the introduction of bill payments at 7-Eleven stores. From January next year, the public will be able to pay their Telekom Malaysia and Astro bills at 7-Eleven stores, with more payment channels to be added in the future, said Brown. (Malaysian Reserve) The spreading of “No Palm Oil” or “Palm Oil Free” campaign, first in Europe and now in Singapore, is potentially damaging for Malaysia, said National Association of Smallholders (Nash) of Malaysia. “It has come to this part of the world,’’ Nash secretary-general Zulkifli Mohd Nazim said, showing photographs of infant milk cans taken at a supermarket in Singapore with highly visible “Palm Oil Free’’ signages on them. He said the public is being misled into believing that saturated fats in palm oil are bad when in reality they are necessary in a balanced diet. Since December 13, the European Union Food Information for Consumers Regulation mandates specification of vegetable oils (i.e. palm, rapeseed, sunflower, soya) on the ingredient list. But food firms had also inserted “No Palm Oil” on the labels, which falsely insinuates palm oil is bad that has to be avoided. In Europe, these discriminatory labels are being promoted by chocolate maker Galler and supermarket chain Delhaize. (NST) Standard and Poor’s (S&P) expects the top 41 banks in the Asia-Pacific region, including three Malaysian banks, to enjoy stable prospects next year even as the slowdown in China remains a hot spot. Although credit costs may rise, they will be at a gradual pace due to the region’s relatively high gross domestic product growth compared with global standards. The three local banks in S&P’s good books are: CIMB Bank Bhd (A-/Stable/A-2; axAA/axA-1), Malayan Banking Bhd (A-/Stable/A-2; axAA/axA-1) and Public Bank Bhd (A-/Stable/A-2; axAA/axA-1). Major banks in the Asia-Pacific region are expected to step up cross-border expansion, given the region’s increasing economic linkages and the banks’ persistent appetite for higher yields, the credit rating agency said. (BT) The construction sector is expected to remain attractive next year amid a weaker domestic currency due to lower demand for commodities and the general public apprehension over the Goods and Services Tax (GST). Malaysia Building Society Bhd president and CEO Datuk Ahmad Zaini Osman said he expected the property market to remain sustainable, with the demand not much affected, even upon the GST implementation in Apr. "Furthermore, I think, our building materials, in term of currency, won't be much affected as most of our products is local. We no longer bring in imported products. Hence, I foresee that the property sector will remain sustainable next year," he said (Bernama). 7 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 Automotive players expect the sector to soften in 1H15, as uncertainties over the impact of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), rising living costs and bleak global economic outlook may cause consumers to be careful with their spending. Proton Holdings Bhd CEO Datuk Abdul Harith Abdullah said Proton sees a lot of potential in providing new models in their respective segments. However, he said, Proton is also cautious and mindful of the market outlook for next year with the impending introduction of the GST. The current weakening of the ringgit against major currencies may not help either, as imports become more expensive, resulting in higher car prices, Abdul Harith said, adding that the first half of next year could be very soft. Perodua also foresees a challenging 2015. Its president and CEO Datuk Aminar Rashid Salleh expressed hope for a slightly better year than this year. (Bernama) Malaysian carmaker Proton Holdings Bhd says it is ready to collaborate in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) car project. Proton chief executive officer Datuk Abdul Harith Abdullah said Asean is the next largest growing market in the world after China, and Asean countries should protect their own market territory by producing their own homegrown products. “We would be very happy to extend our market deeper into other Asean countries with their collaboration, in expanding our brand further,” he said when asked to comment on the Asean car project, which was discussed by Malaysian and Indonesian leaders in October. On October 20, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said the project would be a dream come true as newly-elected Indonesian President Joko Widodo had expressed interest in pursuing the idea mooted by Malaysia. After meeting Jokowi in Jakarta following his inauguration as the Indonesian president, Najib said Proton is expected to be involved in the project. (BT) Petronas Refinery and Petrochemical Corporation Sdn Bhd (PRPC) has selected US-based LyondellBasell's Spherizone and Spheripol polypropylene process technologies for a 900-kilotonne per annum polypropylene (PP) plant. The plant is to be constructed within the Petronas' Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development (RAPID) complex in Pengerang, Johor. PRPC Project RAPID Deputy Project Director for Petrochemicals Datuk Nur Iskandar A Samad said selection of both the Spherizone and Spheripol process technologies will provide Petronas with a wide range of premium-quality and differentiated PP products, used in many application areas, across industries, from automotive to household products. (Bernama) Santos, a leading oil & gas producer in Australia, has secured a three-year, A$1bn bilateral bank loan facility from ANZ Bank, two weeks after abandoning a Euro debt raising believed to be worth 500m euros. "This facility provides a substantial buffer over and above the company's funding needs in the current uncertain oil price environment," said CEO Andrew Seaton. Santos, which has links with Petronas, recently slashed planned spending by A$700m and is considering asset sales in response to the weakest oil prices in five years, the Australian Associated Press reported. But the company, which is due to begin production at Gladstone liquefied natural gas project in Queensland next year, insists its finances and underlying performance are strong. (Bernama) 8 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 The Johor Entrepreneurial Development Centre (EDC) is spearheading efforts spur the growth of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) by exploiting the spillover of the Iskandar and Pengerang development. Johor Education, Information Entrepreneurial Development and Cooperative Committee chairman Md. Jais Sarday said EDC would formulate a five-year strategic plan to assist SMEs in seizing business opportunities. The plan is expected to be unveiled under the Johor Strategic Growth Plan in 1Q15. Md Jais said although Johor has the third biggest number of SME companies after Selangor and Kuala Lumpur, their contribution to the GDP was merely 8.4% compared with that of Selangor (28.3%) and Kuala Lumpur (29.1%). He attributed the low percentage to Johor's SMEs concentration in the services and agriculture sectors, apart from financing constraints. (Bernama) Taliworks Corp Bhd's 70%-owned indirect subsidiary Jejak Melewar Sdn Bhd has received a letter of award from the Malaysian government to take over the New North Klang Straits Bypass Expressway (NNKSB) for RM265m. In a filing with the stock exchange, Taliworks said the acquisition includes the assets and concession rights to the NNKSB. It will make the appropriate announcement upon the signing of the relevant agreements and documents and any other developments relating to this in due course. (Sun) Mulpha Land Bhd’s third largest shareholder, Perfect Portal Sdn Bhd has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the property developer. In a filing with Bursa Malaysia today, Mulpha Land disclosed that Perfect Portal had disposed of 5.07m shares or 2.22% in the company on Dec 15. This brings its total stake to 7.5m shares or 3.29% now. Perfect Portal’s stake in Mulpha Land is held by three individuals – Augustone Cheong Kwok Fai, Choong Kam Peng and Yeow Soo Hiang. Mulpha Land’s two largest shareholders are Mulpha International Bhd with a stake of 61.93% and Pasukan Sehati Sdn Bhd, which owns 8.6%. (Financial Daily) Shareholders of KNM Group Bhd today aired their concerns on the company's operations going forward following the sharp drop on crude oil prices. In the four-hour long EGM, shareholders raised issues pertaining to declining crude oil prices, Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas)-related contracts and the RM2.1bn Peterborough project in UK. KNM assured shareholders that the process equipment manufacturer is 'less impacted' by the declining crude oil prices as it is principally involved in onshore downstream activities. The group also assured shareholders that its work package contract for the Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) project is secured despite Petronas' announcement it will cut 15% to 20% of its capital expenditure next year. (Financial Daily) NTPM Holdings Bhd’s net profit plunged 43% to RM9.2m for its second financial quarter ended Oct 31, 2014 (2QFY15) from RM16m a year ago, mainly due to higher cost of raw material, labour and utility. Revenue for 2QFY15, however, rose 3% to RM138.1m from RM133.7m in 2QFY14, thanks to increased sales of baby diapers. Earnings per share (EPS) for 2QFY15 dropped to 0.8 sen compared with 1.4 sen in 2QFY14. For the six months period to Oct 31 (6MFY15), net profit plunged 42% to RM16.2m from RM28m a year ago, but revenue rose a marginal 2% to RM270.3m from RM265.4m in 6MFY14. EPS for 6MFY15 stood at 1.4 sen, 9 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 down from 2.5 sen in 6MFY14. Going forward, NTPM expects a more competitive business environment due to mounting costs pressure and keen competition. (Financial Daily) Plastic packaging products maker CYL Corp Bhd saw its net profit surge more than four-fold to RM1.2m for the third financial quarter ended Oct 31, 2014 (3QFY15) from RM271,000 a year ago, bolstered by higher demand for its products and a nominal acceptance to its higher pricing. It also no longer needed a provision for writedown on its packaging inventories. Revenue rose 28% to RM19.9m from RM15.6m in 3QFY14. Earnings per share (EPS) stood at 1.19 sen from 0.27 sen in 3QFY14. For the nine-month period (9MFY15), CYL Corp's net profit jumped almost three-fold to RM3.79m from RM1.3m a year ago, while revenue grew 18.6% to RM57.1m from RM48.1m. Going forward, CYL Corp said it foresees the marketplace to remain competitive, especially with the increase in labour cost and electricity tariff that affect the group’s profit margin. (Financial Daily) Despite the fear of a property glut, especially of condominium units in Iskandar Malaysia, Shanghai-based property giant Greenland Holdings Group remains confident of its two ventures in the economic region. The first is coastal Jade Palace serviced condominium luxury project at Danga Bay measuring 5.65ha, while the other is a 51.2ha integrated mixed development in Permas Jaya. “We believe that in the next three to five years a lot of factories in the republic (Singapore) will shift their operations to Iskandar Malaysia, and this will have a spillover effect on the economic region and even help long-term development in the state,” Greenland Group’s general manager for Malaysia Wu Shaohua said after the official opening of the company’s show gallery at Menara Landmark here. Last week, Greenland Malaysia signed a sales and purchase agreement with Iskandar Water- front Holdings for the Permas Jaya land parcel. The site will be turned into Southeast Asia’s leading urban development featuring, among others, a snow world theme park and an opera house. (BT) Malaysia continues to strive towards its 28m tourist target in 2014 despite the twin tragedies involving Malaysia Airlines (MAS) flights MH370 and MH17 earlier this year. Tourism and Culture Minister Datuk Seri Mohamed Nazri Abdul Aziz said his ministry has not lost sight of the target despite what had befallen the country. "Despite the double tragedies that we've seen, we're still on target to receive the 28m tourists we're aiming for during Visit Malaysia Year 2014. (Bernama) Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) expects to increase its oil recovery from the existing 35% to 45% by 2018, in line with the full integration of the Pengerang Integrated Petroleum Complex (PIPC). According to Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd head of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) programme technology Norhayati Hashim, the target will mainly be supported by Petronas’ in-house geo-imaging technology, one of the components of the company’s EOR development project. “EOR has the opportunity to further improve oil recovery to more than 45% for Malaysia in order to ensure sustainability in the country’s national oil production,” she said in her presentation entitled “Technology for New Lease of Life” at the recently-held International Petroleum Technology Conference. She added that the results of the experiment are expected within the first quarter of next year and if successful, the new technology will be beneficial 10 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 across Petronas’ upstream endeavours, particularly in mature oil fields. According to Norhayati, geo-imaging technology and the company’s overall EOR segment is not here to compete with existing service providers like Schlumberger, but for the overall benefit and growth of the company. (BT) Unilever Food Solutions Malaysia will likely maintain its product prices ahead of the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) next Apr. "We are currently studying the trends. In terms of pricing, we expect there will be not much change, it could probably remain or decrease slightly, and any changes will be announced by the end of Feb or Mar," said national sales manager Eric Chong. In response to a question on changes to product prices with the GST implementation, Chong said the general trends could only be seen after six months of implementation. Among Unilever food products in Malaysia are Wall's, Lipton, Knorr, Lady's Choice and Planta, while its non-food products include Dove, Lux, Clear, Lifebuoy, Ponds, Breeze, Ekonomi Handalan, Sunsilk, Fair & Lovely and Rexona. (Bernama) Dancomech Holdings Bhd, which supplies process control equipment and measurement instruments, expects to be listed on the Main Market on Bursa Malaysia in the second quarter of next year (2QCY15), said managing director Daniel Aik Swee Tong. "We are still finalising pricing issues and other matters. Hopefully, we can complete the prospectus soon and submit it to the regulator by next year," he told the Edge Financial Daily recently. According to Dancomech's draft prospectus, the group is expected to issue 26.8m new shares which will enlarge its share capital to 276.8m shares. There will also be an offer for sale of 44m existing shares. The issue of new shares accounts for 9.68% of its enlarged share base, while the offer for sale accounts for another 15.95%; collectively they make 25.63%. (Financial Daily) 11 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 BMSB: Changes in shareholdings 19-Dec-14 EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Great Eastern Holdings Limited Great Eastern Holdings Limited Genesis Investment Management, LLP Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Vertical Capacity Sdn Bhd Apollo Asia Fund Limited BIZURAI BIJAK (M) SDN BHD Davos Investment Holdings Private Ltd Date 25/11-16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 11/12-16/12 12/12 12/12 12/12 15/12 12/12 17/12-18/12 15/12 15/12-16/12 11/12-15/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 16/12 15/12 15/12 16/12 16/12 15/12-16/12 15/12-16/12 12/12 10/12-11/12 12/12 12/12 12/12 16/12-18/12 11/12-18/12 16/12-17/12 15/12 Type of transaction Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired No of securities 2,728,100 892,100 873,300 687,200 500,100 396,700 359,800 300,000 204,800 167,500 150,000 36,000 10,300 581,000 500,000 162,300 94,300 1,000,000 4,400 1,300,000 663,500 8,935,700 7,322,300 5,408,600 3,000,000 3,000,000 2,079,300 2,000,000 1,850,000 1,796,300 1,421,000 1,324,300 1,286,300 978,700 933,000 901,300 750,000 551,900 500,000 429,000 400,000 276,700 245,600 217,700 148,600 100,000 80,000 67,400 25,000 10,000 1,900 161,500 161,500 1,000,000 509,000 153,800 115,100 18,000 4,616,200 489,400 900,000 266,500 Ave Price Company (RM) AFFIN HOLDINGS MBM RESOURCES KPJ HEALTHCARE FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES SIME DARBY EASTERN & ORIENTAL UMW HOLDINGS SAPURAKENCANA PETROLEUM UEM SUNRISE TOP GLOVE SHELL REFINING COMPANY EVERSENDAI CORPORATION TAN CHONG MOTOR TENAGA NASIONAL FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES BIMB HOLDINGS POS MALAYSIA SALCON STAR PUBLICATIONS 7-ELEVEN MALAYSIA CIMB GROUP MALAYAN BANKING TENAGA NASIONAL DIALOG GROUP AXIATA GROUP DIGI.COM BUMI ARMADA YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL GAMUDA PUBLIC BANK TELEKOM MALAYSIA SUNWAY BERHAD IHH HEALTHCARE CAHYA MATA SARAWAK HONG LEONG BANK MAH SING GROUP IJM CORPORATION AMMB HOLDINGS CAPITAMALLS MALAYSIA TRUST SUNWAY REIT PETRONAS GAS AFG AIRASIA POS MALAYSIA BIMB HOLDINGS KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG IJM PLANTATIONS MISC PPB GROUP AXIS REIT NESTLE (MALAYSIA) KLCC REIT KLCC PROPERTY GAMUDA PRESTARIANG TIME DOTCOM PETRONAS GAS WCT HOLDINGS IOI CORPORATION DAIBOCHI PLASTIC 4.27 BERJAYA SPORTS TOTO MALAYSIAN PACIFIC INDUSTRIES SOURCES: BMSB 12 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 BMSB: Changes in shareholdings 19-Dec-14 T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc TOP GLOVE MAGNUM WAH SEONG CORPORATION SIGNATURE INTERNATIONAL EKSONS CORPORATION DAIBOCHI PLASTIC Date 12/12 19/12 19/12 19/12 19/12 19/12 19/12 Type of transaction Acquired Shares Buy Back Shares Buy Back Shares Buy Back Shares Buy Back Shares Buy Back Shares Buy Back No. of securities 720,100 620,000 90,000 50,000 40,000 17,900 5,000 Company ASTRO MALAYSIA TOP GLOVE MAGNUM WAH SEONG CORPORATION SIGNATURE INTERNATIONAL EKSONS CORPORATION DAIBOCHI PLASTIC Ave Price (RM) 4.43 2.70 1.23 1.74 1.24 4.24 SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Off-market transactions 19-Dec-14 ABFMY1 PERWAJA XINGHE FREIGHT MEDAINC BORNOIL KRONO HARBOUR BENALEC INSAS Vol 26,000,000 11,500,000 7,000,000 5,800,000 5,000,000 3,951,400 2,500,000 2,000,000 800,000 500,000 Notes:CN-Crossing deal on board lots, MN-Married deal on board lots, MO-Married deal on odd lots SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Dividends Company MALAYSIA AIRPORTS ASTRO MALAYSIA SUPERMAX UMW OIL & GAS KPJ HEALTHCARE UCHI TECHNOLOGIES BERJAYA AUTO UMW HOLDINGS BERJAYA FOOD MY E.G. SERVICES GAMUDA TOP GLOVE BENALEC HOLDINGS BERJAYA SPORTS TOTO KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG Particulars Interim dividend - single tier 3rd interim dividend - single tier Interim dividend - single tier Interim dividend - single tier Interim dividend - single tier Interim dividend - single tier 2nd interim dividend - single tier 2nd interim dividend - single tier 1st interim dividend - single tier Final dividend - single tier 1st interim dividend - single tier Final dividend - single tier Final dividend - single tier 2nd interim dividend - single tier Final dividend - single tier Gross DPS (Sen) 2.00 2.25 4.00 1.00 2.00 5.00 3.25 15.00 2.50 2.00 6.00 9.00 0.30 6.00 40.00 Ann Date 8-Dec-14 11-Dec-14 7-Nov-14 24-Nov-14 25-Nov-14 12-Dec-14 8-Dec-14 17-Dec-14 9-Dec-14 24-Nov-14 16-Dec-14 11-Nov-14 27-Nov-14 18-Dec-14 19-Nov-14 Ex-Date Lodgement 22-Dec-14 24-Dec-14 24-Dec-14 26-Dec-14 26-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 26-Dec-14 30-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 29-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 2-Jan-15 6-Jan-15 5-Jan-15 7-Jan-15 6-Jan-15 8-Jan-15 6-Jan-15 8-Jan-15 12-Jan-15 14-Jan-15 12-Jan-15 14-Jan-15 26-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 30-Jan-15 19-Feb-15 23-Feb-15 Payment 22-Jan-15 12-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 22-Jan-15 27-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 22-Jan-15 30-Dec-14 28-Jan-15 29-Jan-15 23-Feb-15 13-Feb-15 17-Mar-15 SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Proposed cash calls & trading of rights… 22-Dec-14 ECO WORLD ASIA FILE CORP EASTERN & ORIENTAL BUMI ARMADA BENALEC HOLDINGS TH HEAVY ENGINEERING TH HEAVY ENGINEERING MY E.G. SERVICES MAH SING GROUP MALAYSIA AIRPORTS Ann Date 25-Apr-14 6-Aug-14 5-Sep-14 12-Sep-14 12-Sep-14 24-Sep-14 3-Oct-14 30-Oct-14 20-Nov-14 28-Nov-14 Proposed 1 Rights @ 2, 4 Free Warrants @ 5, Private Placement Bonus issue 3:5 Bonus issue 1:10, Free Warrants 1:5 1 Rights : 2 shares @ RM1.35 > RM200m of 7-year Redeemable Convertible Secured Bonds Private placement of up to 10% of the issued shares of THHE Rights issue with bonus issue, 1 bonus issue : 5 Rights shares Bonus issue 1:1 Rights issue with Warrants; Bonus issue 1:4 Right issue 1:5 SOURCES: BMSB 13 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 Corporate Actions December 2014 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 1 2 3 4 5 External Trade, External Reserves (month-end data) 6 7 8 Berjaya Auto 2Q 9 SapuraKencana 3Q, Berjaya Food 2Q 10 Eco World 13-mths results & briefing 11 12 Astro 3Q & conf. call, Industrial Production 13 14 15 16 SP Setia 4Q, Gamuda 1Q, Top Glove 1Q 17 CPI 18 B-Toto 2Q 19 20 21 22 Foreign Reserves (mid-month data) 23 24 25 Christmas Day 26 27 28 29 30 31 Money Supply Source: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates SOURCES: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates 14 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 Corporate Actions January 2015 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 1 New Year 2 3 Prophet Muhammad’s Birthday 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 BNM OPR 30 31 29 Source: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates SOURCES: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates 15 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 #05 DISCLAIMER This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. 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United States: This research report is distributed in the United States of America by CIMB Securities (USA) Inc, a U.S.-registered broker-dealer and a related company of CIMB Research Pte Ltd, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad, PT CIMB Securities Indonesia, CIMB Securities (Thailand) Co. Ltd, CIMB Securities Limited, CIMB Securities (Australia) Limited, CIMB Securities (India) Private Limited, and is distributed solely to persons who qualify as "U.S. Institutional Investors" as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934. This communication is only for Institutional Investors whose ordinary business activities involve investing in shares, bonds and associated securities and/or derivative securities and who have professional experience in such investments. Any person who is not a U.S. Institutional Investor or Major Institutional Investor must not rely on this communication. The delivery of this research report to any person in the United States of America is not a recommendation to effect any transactions in the securities discussed herein, or an endorsement of any opinion expressed herein. CIMB Securities (USA) Inc, is a FINRA/SIPC member and takes responsibility for the content of this report. For further information or to place an order in any of the above-mentioned securities please contact a registered representative of CIMB Securities (USA) Inc. Other jurisdictions: In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is only for distribution to professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions. Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (Thai IOD) in 2014. AAV – Very Good, ADVANC – Very Good, AEONTS – not available, AMATA - Good, ANAN – Very Good, AOT – Very Good, AP - Good, ASK – Very Good, ASP – Very Good, BANPU – Very Good , BAY – Very Good , BBL – Very Good, BCH – not available, BCP - Excellent, BEAUTY – Good, BEC - Good, BECL – Very Good, BGH - not available, BH - Good, BIGC - Very Good, BJC – Good, BLA – Very Good, BMCL - Very Good, BTS - Excellent, CCET – Good, CENTEL – Very Good, CHG – not available, CK – Very Good, CPALL – not available, CPF – Very Good, CPN - Excellent, DELTA - Very Good, DEMCO – Good, DTAC – Very Good, EA - Good, ECL – not available, EGCO - Excellent, GFPT - Very Good, GLOBAL - Good, GLOW - Good, GRAMMY - Excellent, HANA Excellent, HEMRAJ – Very Good, HMPRO - Very Good, ICHI - not available, INTUCH - Excellent, ITD – Good, IVL - Excellent, JAS – not available, JUBILE – not available, KAMART – not available, KBANK - Excellent, KCE - Very Good, KGI – Good, KKP – Excellent, KTB - Excellent, KTC – Good, LH - Very Good, LPN – Very Good, M - not available, MAJOR - Good, MAKRO – Good, MBKET – Good, MC – Very Good, MCOT – Very Good, MEGA – Good, MINT Excellent, OFM – Very Good, OISHI – Good, PS – Very Good, PSL - Excellent, PTT - Excellent, PTTEP - Excellent, PTTGC - Excellent, QH – Very Good, RATCH – Very Good, ROBINS – Very Good, RS – Very Good, SAMART - Excellent, SAPPE - not available, SAT – Excellent, SAWAD – not available, SC – Excellent, SCB - Excellent, SCBLIF – Good, SCC – Very Good, SCCC - Good, SIM - Excellent, SIRI - Good, SPALI - Excellent, STA – Very Good, STEC - Good, SVI – Very Good, TASCO – Good, TCAP – Very Good, THAI – Very Good, THANI – Very Good, THCOM – Very Good, THRE – not available, THREL – Good, TICON – Good, TISCO - Excellent, TK – Very Good, TMB - Excellent, TOP - Excellent, TRUE – Very Good, TTW – Very Good, TUF - Good, VGI – Very Good, WORK – not available. 19 Daybreak│Malaysia December 22, 2014 CIMB Recommendation Framework Stock Ratings Definition: Add The stock’s total return is expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months. Hold The stock’s total return is expected to be between 0% and positive 10% over the next 12 months. Reduce The stock’s total return is expected to fall below 0% or more over the next 12 months. The total expected return of a stock is defined as the sum of the: (i) percentage difference between the target price and the current price and (ii) the forward net dividend yields of the stock. Stock price targets have an investment horizon of 12 months. Sector Ratings Overweight Neutral Underweight Definition: An Overweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a positive absolute recommendation. A Neutral rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a neutral absolute recommendation. An Underweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a negative absolute recommendation. Country Ratings Overweight Neutral Underweight Definition: An Overweight rating means investors should be positioned with an above-market weight in this country relative to benchmark. A Neutral rating means investors should be positioned with a neutral weight in this country relative to benchmark. An Underweight rating means investors should be positioned with a below-market weight in this country relative to benchmark. *Prior to December 2013 CIMB recommendation framework for stocks listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange, Bursa Malaysia, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Jakarta Stock Exchange, Australian Securities Exchange, Taiwan Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India/Bombay Stock Exchange were based on a stock’s total return relative to the relevant benchmarks total return. Outperform: expected to exceed by 5% or more over the next 12 months. Neutral: expected to be within +/-5% over the next 12 months. Underperform: expected to be below by 5% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy: expected to exceed by 3% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: expected to be below by 3% or more over the next 3 months. For stocks listed on Korea Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange and China listings on the Singapore Stock Exchange. Outperform: Expected positive total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months. Neutral: Expected total returns of between -10% and +10% over the next 12 months. Underperform: Expected negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy: Expected positive total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: Expected negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months. 20
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