REGIONAL DAILY December 26, 2012 MALAYSIA Malaysia Daybreak —————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— FBMKLCI Index Economic Update - Budget 2015 in review – boosting economic resilience 1,900 1,850 1,800 1,750 1,700 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 ——————————————————————————— 1750.11 FBMKLCI -3.20pts -0.18% Jan Futures Feb Futures 1746 - (0.00% ) 1745 - (1.00% ) ——————————————————————————— Gainers Losers Unchanged 420 388 290 ——————————————————————————— Turnover 2053.23m shares / RM2022.313m 3m avg volume traded 1768.61m shares 3m avg value traded RM1844.40m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI 1,750 3,334 5,166 1,535 23,951 ———————————————————————————————— Market Indices Close % chg YTD % chg FBMKLCI 1,750.11 (0.2) (0.6) FBM100 11,772.83 (0.1) (0.3) FBMSC 15,612.69 0.6 3.8 FBMMES 6,194.86 0.7 9.6 Dow Jones 17,515.23 0.0 (1.7) NASDAQ 4,654.85 0.4 (1.7) FSSTI 3,334.02 0.8 (0.9) FTSE-100 6,620.10 0.5 0.8 SENSEX 28,784.67 1.8 4.6 Hang Seng 23,951.16 0.9 1.5 JCI 5,166.09 0.3 (1.2) KOSPI 1,918.31 0.8 0.1 Nikkei 225 17,366.30 2.1 (0.5) PCOMP 7,452.81 (0.4) 3.1 SET 1,535.09 (0.0) 2.5 Shanghai 3,173.05 1.8 (1.9) Taiwan 9,251.69 0.8 (0.6) ———————————————————————————————— Top Actives Close % chg Vol. (m) KNM GROUP 0.505 6.3 127.7 SANICHI 0.100 0.0 74.4 SUMATEC 0.215 0.0 64.8 SYSTECH BHD 0.315 8.6 45.0 ASIA BIOENERGY 0.190 5.6 41.5 ETI TECH CORP 0.075 15.4 37.1 PDZ HOLDINGS 0.155 3.3 32.8 PERISAI 0.470 1.1 29.1 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics US$/Euro RM/US$ (Spot) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) OPR (% ) BR (% , CIMB Bank) GOLD ( US$/oz) WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 21 January 2015 ▌What’s on the Table… Key Metrics 1,650 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 | Close 1.1554 3.6075 3.7216 3.25 4.00 1,294.64 46.39 2,320.00 % chg 0.03 (0.04) 1.19 0.93 0.00 (0.06) (4.72) 0.43 The government announced new growth and fiscal deficit targets for this year, budget cuts to operating expenditure as well as various stimulus measures to bolster the resilience of the economy amid the steep fall in oil prices, volatile capital flows and fragile global outlook. Real GDP growth outlook was revised down to 4.5-5.5% (vs. 5.0-6.0% previously). The fiscal deficit target was lowered to -3.2% of GDP (vs. -3.0% under Budget 2015), while reaffirming that fiscal consolidation efforts remain on track. The revised deficit targets were no surprise as we expected the government to manage the deficit within a tight range through various means of revenue enhancements and expenditure cuts. The government’s proactive measures will help to allay some fears, though we expect the overall market sentiment to remain cautious. Strategy Flash Note - Marketing in Asia We spent the past two weeks marketing to 195 investors and 60 investment firms in Asia our 2015 macroeconomic and strategy outlook. Investors were mostly underweighted in Malaysia and cited the country's fiscal position, currency and large foreign fixed income holdings as their key concerns. We, too, share these concerns, which explains our end-2015 KLCI target of 1,800pts. There could be downside to the target if corporate earnings fall short of our 8% EPS growth estimate. Our preferred sectors include construction, transport and utilities. We also still like selected smaller caps with strong balance sheets, robust earnings prospects and solid business models. Construction - Risks from Budget cuts removed The Prime Minister's speech on the revised Budget 2015 today contained good news for the overall sector- the RM49bn development expenditure (DE) is intact despite the fall in oil prices. This confirms our stance that the government would keep public transport and other major infra contracts as priorities. This news should remove the overhang on construction share prices, most of which have declined since late-2014 due to fears of a major cutback in infra spending. We recommend investors to be selective. Gamuda remains our top big-cap pick due to its exposure to the MRT and Penang transport infra projects. Muhibbah continues to be our preferred small/mid-cap stock in view of the pending awards from Rapid and Pengerang. Maintain Overweight. Axis REIT - More acquisitions in 2015 CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust - Challenging 2015 expected Eastern & Oriental - Shares go ex for bonus and free warrants Eco World Development Group Bhd - Ex for 1-into-2 share split ▌News of the Day… —————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— • GST implementation is on track and will not be deferred • Fitters Diversified expects pipe-manufacturing to contribute RM90m in FY15 • MCIL denied rumours consolidation plan involving its four daily newspaper? • M’sia palm oil shipments Jan. 1-20 dropped 21.8% from 906,594 tons in Dec • China's economic growth weakest in 24 years, 7.4% in 2014 (+7.7% in 2013) ———————————————————————————————————————— Terence WONG, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9088 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Global Economic News The International Monetary Fund (IMF) sharply cut its 2015-2016 world growth forecast, saying lower oil prices did not offset pervasive weaknesses around the globe. The IMF said poorer prospects in China, Russia, the euro area and Japan will hold world growth to just 3.5% in 2015 and 3.7% in 2016, 0.3% pts lower than its previous forecast. US will expand by 3.6% this year, up 0.5% pts from the previous outlook. China will expand at 6.8% in 2015 - 0.3% slower than previously expected and 6.3% in 2016. Euro zone is expected to expand 1.2% in 2015, and 1.4% next year, while Japan is forecast to expand just 0.6% in 2015, and pick up to a still-sluggish 0.8% in 2016. (AFP) OPEC has no immediate plan to cut its output target for crude, and Iran is strong enough to withstand a deeper slump in prices even if the country must sell at US$25 a barrel, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said. “If the oil prices drop to US$25 a barrel, there will yet again be no threat posed to Iran’s oil industry,” he said. (Bloomberg) US National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo builder sentiment gauge fell to 57 in Jan from 58 in Dec. Readings greater than 50 mean more respondents report good market conditions. (Bloomberg) Governments in the euro area have cut their overall budget deficit to the smallest in six years, with the deficit shrank to 2.3% of GDP in 3Q14, coming to its narrowest since 3Q08 when it was at 1.9% of GDP. (Bloomberg) Bank lending standards in the eurozone eased during 4Q14 across all loan categories, making it easier for both households and companies to obtain credit, the European Central Bank (ECB) said, suggesting credit conditions in the region are slowly recovering. "Banks indicated a further considerable narrowing of margins on average loans, while reporting in net terms only a slight narrowing of margins on riskier loans," the ECB said. (WSJ) China's economic growth slowed to its weakest in 24 years, expanding 7.4% in 2014 (+7.7% in 2013), missing its official annual growth target of 7.5% for the first time in 15 years but came in line with Premier Li Keqiang’s target. In 4Q14, the economy grew 1.5% qoq (+1.9% qoq in 3Q14) and rose 7.3% yoy (+7.3% yoy in 3Q14). (BBC, Bloomberg) China’s industrial output climbed 7.9% yoy in Dec (+7.2% yoy in Nov). (Bloomberg) China’s retail sales increased 11.9% yoy in Dec (+11.7% yoy in Nov). (Bloomberg) 2 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 China’s fixed-asset investment (FAI) excluding rural areas expanded 15.7% yoy in 2014 (+19.6% yoy in 2013). China's income gap continued to narrow in 2014, with the Gini coefficient hitting 0.469, down from 0.473 in 2013. (WSJ) China's housing sales for the full year 2014 slid 7.8% yoy, totalling Rmb6.24tr (US$100.4bn) (-9.7% yoy in 11M14 to Rmb5.30tr). In Dec alone, housing sales was up 4.2% yoy (-12.0% yoy in Nov). (WSJ) China’s unemployment rate came in at 5.1% in Dec, a tick higher than the 5% rate the last time the number slipped out in Aug last year. (WSJ) China’s working-age population - those aged 16 to 59 - fell 3.71m in 2014 (-2.44m in 2013), the National Bureau of Statistics said. The first drop was in 2012 when the group - then also including 15-year-olds - decreased by 3.45m. (Bloomberg) Taiwan’s exports order climbed 4.5% yoy in Dec (+1.6% yoy in Nov). (Reuters) Bank Indonesia (BI) estimated that bad loans would decline to less than 2% of outstanding loans in 2015 due to Indonesia’s improving economy and greater loan expansion. Loan growth is also estimated to reach 15% to 17% this year, up from the estimated growth in 2014 of about 13% to 14%. BI also predicted that current account deficit would be relatively high at 3.3-3.5% of GDP in 2015 as imports, especially imports of capital goods, would remain high to follow the growing investment. (Jakarta Globe, Antara News) Philippines’ balance of payments (BoP) stood at a surplus of US$843m in Dec (US$314m deficit in Nov). (Bloomberg) Malaysian Economic News Prime Minister Najib Razak said the 2015 budget gap will be 3.2% of GDP, bigger than an Oct target of 3%, and growth will be 4.5%-5.5% from an earlier projection of as much as 6%. To maintain economic growth, the government announced a RM5.5bn cut in government spending (operating expenditure). Najib said without any fiscal measures, the deficit would rise to 3.9% of GDP, adding that the revised budget would assume a global oil price of around US$55 (RM198) a barrel. Malaysia’s economy isn’t in crisis, he said. He said the government is confident that over time, the ringgit's exchange rate will adjust to reflect Malaysia's strong economic fundamentals. (Bloomberg, Bernama, Financial Daily) For further details, kindly refer to our Economic Update 3 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Under the revision of budget 2015, the government would incur savings of RM1.6bn from the review of government overseas travel, events and functions, and use of professional service; RM3.2bn from review of transfers and grants to statutory bodies, GLCs and government trust funds; and RM300m from rescheduling procurement of non-critical assets. Besides that, people-economy projects (MRT Line 2, LRT 3 and the Pan-Borneo Highway) would not be affected. The government is to postpone electricity tariff hikes for industrial users. The National Service Programme for 2015 has also been deferred. The government has also retained public housing projects and allocated RM893m and RM5bn for flood mitigation projects and Services Sectir Guarantee Scheme for SMEs respectively. (NST) The government will implement strategies to ensure economic growth of between 4.5%-5.5% this year, says Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak. The first strategy would be to ensure a balanced, inclusive and sustainable economic growth to boost exports of goods and services. Other measures included a review of the levy on foreign workers and a waiver of visa fee for tourists from, among others, China, in a move to intensify the tourism industry. Besides, he said government-linked companies (GLCs) and government-linked investment companies (GLICs) were encouraged to invest domestically. The Prime Minister said the third strategy would be to assist the people and business community as well as rebuilding infrastructure damaged by the recent floods. (Bernama) The ringgit fell the most in emerging markets as Prime Minister Najib Razak revised the fiscal deficit target higher and lowered the 2015 economic growth forecast due to a plunge in oil prices. The ringgit was the worst performing Asian currency so far this month with a 2.9% loss against the dollar. Nine of Asia’s 11 most-traded currencies declined. The currency dropped the most against the greenback since Dec, a move that was compounded by the IMF cutting its global expansion estimate while upgrading its projection for the U.S. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose for a third day ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting and on speculation the European Central Bank will add to its bond purchases this week. (Bloomberg, Reuters) Efforts by the government to intensify promotions for "Made in Malaysia" goods will improve the purchasing power of Malaysians while increasing national revenue. Najib said the government would increase efforts to promote the campaign for "Made in Malaysia" products while increasing the frequency and extending the duration of the mega sales throughout the country. (Bernama) 4 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak said the flood disaster that hit the country recently caused infrastructure damage estimated at almost RM2.9bn. In view of the severity of the situation, Najib said the Government had provided an initial allocation of RM500m for rehabilitation works and welfare programmes for flood victims, bringing the total to RM787m. (Bernama) The revised fiscal budget for expenditure that was announced by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak will not affect the allocation for the welfare of the people. Minister in the Prime Minister's Department Nancy Shukri said the allocations for infrastructure and development was not affected, but instead the government has increased assistance to build houses for victims made homeless by the recent floods. (Bernama) The proactive strategies and adjustment measures taken by the government in view of changes in global economic scenario are not affecting the 2015 Budget principles approved by the Parliament, Deputy Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin said. He said the 2015 Budget tabled last Oct still stand and Najib, as the Finance Minister, could make the adjustment as it did not involve any extra expenditure. (Bernama) The operations and responsibilities of security forces to ensure the security of the country will not be affected following the government's decision to reschedule the purchase of non-critical assets. Najib said the government would reschedule all purchases of assets which were not critical especially office equipment, software and vehicles which could save the nation RM300m. (Bernama) The implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) is on track and will not be deferred, the government said. The treasury secretary-general said by enforcing GST, the government wouold gain a projected revenue of RM1bn, which Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said would buffer the shortfall in the fiscal deficit target. (NST) Government agencies should optimise the use of existing government assets in view of the move to reschedule the purchase of non-critical assets as announced by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak. An education minister said the existing assets only needed to be maintained well to ensure they could continue to be used. "This strategy is only temporary and many assets such as ministry buses which were eight years and older and should be replaced could instead be delayed for a while...the alternative is for us to maintain them well," he said. (Bernama) 5 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Political News Former Kelantan Mentri Besar Datuk Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat has been admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of Universiti Sains Malaysia Hospital (HUSM). His son, Nik Abduh, said in a Facebook post that his father was taken to HUSM on Monday night and was admitted to ICU on Tuesday afternoon. Nik Abduh said his father's health deteriorated since the recent floods. A source at HUSM in Kubang Kerian said Nik Aziz's condition was critical. It is learnt that the 83-year-old PAS spiritual leader suffered a stroke. His lungs and heart were also affected by pancreatic cancer. (Star) Corporate News The Associated Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry of Malaysia (ACCCIM) is urging Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB) to adjust the electricity bills to lessen the burden of businessmen, while improving the competitiveness of Malaysia industries. In a statement released yesterday, it said this is in line with the current substantial decline of international crude oil prices as well as with the continued fall of the international natural gas and coal prices."Many of our businessmen are having dual pressure in facing the rising cost of doing business and the decline of profit," it noted. On the announcement on waiver of visa fee for tourists from China, ACCCIM hopes the government would consider giving Chinese tourist a direct visa-free to Malaysia, to give a greater convenience for them. (Sun) Media Chinese International Ltd (MCIL), the country’s largest Chinese-language media group, has denied rumours it will undergo a drastic consolidation plan involving its four daily newspaper titles in Malaysia namely Sin Chew Daily, China Press, Nanyang Siang Pau and Guang Ming Daily. “The management would like to reiterate that in an attempt to improve and innovate further, the basic structure and operational set-up of the MCIL’s Malaysian businesses remain unchanged,” MCIL said. It said that Sin Chew Daily will continue to be the largest circulating Chinese daily newspaper in Malaysia. Meanwhile, its Nanyang Siang Pau will continue to be published as a premier daily, with a focus on business and economic news targeting the Chinese business community; while China Press will continue to be the second most popular Chinese daily newspaper, with large evening followers. The group further said Guang Ming Daily will continue to serve its readers in the whole of Peninsular Malaysia, besides maintaining its pole position in the northern region. The management’s clarification came after recent media news, which highlighted there will be a major shakeup of four Chinese-language newspapers under its stable in West Malaysia. MCIL management has stressed the publishing of the four newspapers titles will remain status quo, but employee re-allocation is still in the works. “Constant staff training and re-training, rationalisation and re-allocation of human resources for improved productivity and efficiency, are consistent initiatives undertaken by the management on a regular basis,” it said. (Financial Daily) 6 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd (F&N) is confident of maintaining high double digits growth for its financial year ending Sept 30, 2015 amid the downtrend in the ringgit and the upcoming Goods & Services Tax (GST). F&N CEO Lim Yew Hoe said the strengthening of dollar against ringgit favours the group's export business as its products was traded in US dollar. "We have export businesses and they are in US dollar, so that kind of helping us to mitigate the (impact on) depreciation of ringgit," he told reporters after the group's 53rd AGM yesterday. "Most of the exports (business) that we have are mainly from the dairy Malaysia, they consist about 20% of the dairy Malaysia sales," said Lim, who noted the group is currently enjoying the savings from its dairy products which is off from the historical price hikes. Commenting on the impact of GST to its business, he expects the impact would be only in short term as he sees its business a necessary commodity in which the demand will be constant going forward. (Sun) Tanjung Offshore Bhd said that it is extending its full cooperation to the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC) in relation to an ongoing inquiry. It was reported that Tanjung Offshore is being questioned over the acquisition of a UK property for RM58.07m. Early this month, it was reported that a group of minority shareholders said that Tanjung Offshore's acquisition of an office building in Birmingham should have been put to shareholders for approval as it exceeds the maximum 25% threshold. The company, however, claimed that shareholders' approval was not required. (sun) Malaysian palm oil shipments for Jan. 1-20 dropped 21.8% from 906,594 tons in Dec. 1-20, Societe Generale de Surveillance says. (Bloomberg) The risk of an El Nino in coming months dropped after indicators eased for the event that brings drought to Asia and heavier-than-usual rains to South America. “Since late 2014, most ENSO indicators have eased back from borderline El Nino levels,” the Bureau of Meteorology said on its website, referring to the El Nino Southern Oscillation by its initials. The bureau lowered its outlook for the event to neutral from alert. (Bloomberg) Fitters Diversified Bhd is expecting its newly added pipe-manufacturing business to contribute a maximum of RM90m to its revenue for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2015. “At full capacity with the three lines by June, the maximum we will be able to achieve is RM90m in revenue. We will be happy if we can do about RM70m to RM75m for the first year,” said managing director Datuk Richard Wong. He added that Fitters was looking at an average of 20% in profit margin. The company’s RM90m oriented-PVC (PVC-O) pipe manufacturing plant in Gebeng, Kuantan, which was commissioned in the fourth quarter of 2014, is currently running on two lines. (StarBiz) The Malaysia-China Kuantan Industrial Park (MCKIP) in on track to meets its targeted investment amount of RM10bn this year, having attracted RM7.2bn worth of investments to date. "Right now, RM4.2bn worth of investments have been secured from a steel mill. Including the expansion of Kuantan Port involving another RM3bn, we have reached RM7.2bn." ECER CEO Jebasingam Issace John said. The MCKIP will be linked to Kuantan Port, which will become a mega-sized port handling 52m tonnes/year. (Financial Daily) 7 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 The AirAsia Indonesia Flight QZ8501 plane that crashed last month was climbing at an abnormally rapid rate, before it plunged and disappeared from radar, Indonesia’s transport minister has said. Ignasius Jonan told parliament that radar data showed the Airbus A320 was climbing at about 6,000ft a minute before it disappeared on 28 December. “It is not normal to climb like that, it’s very rare for commercial planes, which normally climb just 1,000 to 2,000ft per minute,” he said. “It can only be done by a fighter jet.” He did not say what was believed to have caused the plane to climb so rapidly. In their last contact with air traffic controllers, the pilots of AirAsia flight 8501 asked to climb from 32,000ft to 38,000ft to avoid threatening clouds, but were denied permission because of heavy air traffic. Four minutes later the plane disappeared. No distress signal was received. An excessively rapid ascent is likely to cause a plane to go into an aerodynamic stall. In 2009, an Air France Airbus A330 disappeared over the Atlantic Ocean while flying from Rio de Janeiro to Paris. Investigators were able to determine from the jet’s black boxes that the plane began a steep climb and then went into a stall from which the pilots were unable to recover. (Guardian) Investigators examining the cockpit voice recorder of the crashed AirAsia QZ8501 jet said Tuesday they were considering whether human error or problems with the plane caused the accident, after ruling out terrorism. Indonesia's National Transportation Safety Committee (NTSC), which is probing the crash, said that it will release a preliminary report on 28 January. In initial analysis of the cockpit voice recorder, NTSC investigators said they did found no indication that terrorism had caused the crash and are now looking at other causes. "We didn't hear any other person, no explosion," investigator Nurcahyo Utomo told reporters, explaining why terrorism had been ruled out. He added that investigators were now looking at the “possibility of plane damage and human factors”, without giving further details. (AFP) 8 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 BMSB: Changes in shareholdings 20-Jan-15 EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Lembaga Tabung Haji Great Eastern Holdings Limited Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF EPF Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera Permodalan Nasional Berhad Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Lembaga Tabung Haji Lembaga Tabung Haji Lembaga Tabung Haji Lembaga Tabung Haji Lembaga Tabung Angkatan Tentera AIA BHD UMW HOLDINGS BERHAD Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc WCT HOLDINGS Date 24/12-9/1 15/1 15/1 12/1 15/1 13/1-14/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1-16/1 15/1 15/1 14/1-15/1 14/1-15/1 15/1 14/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 14/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 12/1-13/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 14/1-15/1 15/1-16/1 16/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 15/1 14/1-16/1 14/1-16/1 14/1-16/1 14/1 12/1-14/1 13/1 19/1 14/1 14/1 20/1 Type of transaction Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Disposed Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Acquired Shares Buy Back No of securities 4,513,600 3,338,500 3,000,000 2,512,200 2,000,000 1,627,800 1,486,700 1,431,000 830,700 646,500 586,300 578,500 252,800 114,900 71,000 32,600 11,700 1,500,000 436,600 275,000 106,900 1,209,100 500,000 149,500 2,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 716,800 550,200 496,800 484,000 394,400 256,600 171,800 131,200 116,200 98,500 95,900 93,300 61,200 60,400 18,000 6,500 6,104,700 3,544,600 3,305,600 3,000,000 670,000 200,000 3,028,200 1,300,000 142,200 125,000 860,400 289,500 86,000 1,400 32,600 1,130,000 1,000,000 9,000 2,600 37,300 Ave Price Company (RM) UMW OIL & GAS MALAYAN BANKING IOI CORPORATION AXIATA GROUP DIALOG GROUP MISC MAXIS SUNWAY BERHAD DIGI.COM SUNWAY REIT SIME DARBY IHH HEALTHCARE MBM RESOURCES TELEKOM MALAYSIA GAMUDA TAN CHONG MOTOR SHELL REFINING COMPANY SUNWAY REIT MMHE GAMUDA PRESTARIANG UNISEM (M) SALCON CIMB GROUP IOI PROPERTIES GROUP AIRASIA FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES IJM CORPORATION PUBLIC BANK CAHYA MATA SARAWAK AFFIN HOLDINGS AFG KPJ HEALTHCARE HOCK SENG LEE YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL PETRONAS GAS KOSSAN RUBBER INDUSTRIES HONG LEONG BANK TIME DOTCOM BIMB HOLDINGS HARTALEGA HOLDINGS TOP GLOVE IJM PLANTATIONS BIMB HOLDINGS TELEKOM MALAYSIA MAXIS SAPURAKENCANA PETROLEUM GAMUDA UMW HOLDINGS BIMB HOLDINGS SP SETIA POS MALAYSIA PETRONAS GAS MMC CORPORATION BORNEO AQUA HARVEST HAP SENG PLANTATIONS GAS MALAYSIA BOUSTEAD PLANTATIONS PRESTARIANG UMW OIL & GAS ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BAT WCT HOLDINGS 1.52 SOURCES: BMSB 9 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 BMSB: ESOS & others 21-Jan-15 SUNWAY BERHAD No Of New Shares 276,400 Date of Listing 21-Jan-15 Nature of transaction Exercise of Warrants-16 SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Off-market transactions 20-Jan-15 ASIABIO MAYBANK NATWIDE TDEX PBBANK MILUX TALIWRK REDTOE KAREX DIGISTA BORNOIL Vol 8,000,000 7,857,000 3,157,256 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,950,058 1,500,000 1,050,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 700,000 Notes:CN-Crossing deal on board lots, MN-Married deal on board lots, MO-Married deal on odd lots SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Entitlements & trading rights 21-Jan-15 MAH SING GROUP Ann Date 20-Nov-14 Ex-date 22-Jan-15 Entitlement Rights issue with Warrants Entitlement 26-Jan-15 SOURCES: BMSB, TE: Tax Exempt BMSB: Dividends Company Particulars BENALEC HOLDINGS Final dividend - single tier PAVILION REIT Final Income Distribution 2nd interim dividend - single tier BERJAYA SPORTS TOTO Final dividend - single tier FRASER & NEAVE Final Income Distribution AXIS REIT CAPITAMALLS MALAYSIA TRUST Final Income Distribution KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG Final dividend - single tier Gross DPS (Sen) 0.30 4.12 6.00 33.00 1.45 4.38 40.00 Ann Date 27-Nov-14 15-Jan-15 18-Dec-14 26-Dec-14 19-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 19-Nov-14 Ex-Date Lodgement 26-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 27-Jan-15 29-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 30-Jan-15 28-Jan-15 30-Jan-15 29-Jan-15 4-Feb-15 30-Jan-15 5-Feb-15 19-Feb-15 23-Feb-15 Payment 23-Feb-15 27-Feb-15 13-Feb-15 26-Feb-15 27-Feb-15 27-Feb-15 17-Mar-15 SOURCES: BMSB BMSB: Proposed cash calls & trading of rights… 21-Jan-15 ECO WORLD ASIA FILE CORP BUMI ARMADA BENALEC HOLDINGS TH HEAVY ENGINEERING TH HEAVY ENGINEERING MAH SING GROUP MALAYSIA AIRPORTS Ann Date 25-Apr-14 6-Aug-14 12-Sep-14 12-Sep-14 24-Sep-14 3-Oct-14 20-Nov-14 28-Nov-14 Proposed 1 Rights @ 2, 4 Free Warrants @ 5, Private Placement Bonus issue 3:5 1 Rights : 2 shares @ RM1.35 > RM200m of 7-year Redeemable Convertible Secured Bonds Private placement of up to 10% of the issued shares of THHE Rights issue with bonus issue, 1 bonus issue : 5 Rights shares Bonus issue 1:4 Right issue 1:5 SOURCES: BMSB 10 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Corporate Actions January 2015 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 1 New Year 2 3 Prophet Muhammad’s Birthday 4 5 6 7 Trade Balance, Imports, Exports, Foreign Reserves 8 Top Glove 1Q briefing & 16th AGM 9 IPI, Manufacturing Sales 10 11 12 13 14 15 Pavilion REIT 4Q 16 17 18 19 Axis REIT 4Q 20 CMMT 4Q 21 CPI 22 MPI 2Q, Tenaga 1Q, Foreign Reserves (mid-month data) 23 24 25 26 KLCC Property 4Q 27 28 KLCC Property 4Q briefing, BNM OPR 29 Bursa 4Q, Unisem 4Q 30 31 Source: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates SOURCES: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates 11 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 Corporate Actions February 2015 SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 1 2 3 Federal Territory Day Replacement Holiday Thaipusam 4 5 6 Trade Balance, Imports, Exports, Foreign Reserves 7 8 9 10 IPI, Manufacturing Sales 11 12 GDP, BoP Current Account Balance 13 14 15 16 17 18 CPI 19 Chinese New Year 20 Chinese New Year 2nd Day 21 22 23 24 Foreign Reserves (mid-month data) 25 Tan Chong 4Q 26 27 28 Source: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates SOURCES: Company, BNM, DOS, CIMB estimates 12 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 #05 DISCLAIMER This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. 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The delivery of this research report to any person in the United States of America is not a recommendation to effect any transactions in the securities discussed herein, or an endorsement of any opinion expressed herein. CIMB Securities (USA) Inc, is a FINRA/SIPC member and takes responsibility for the content of this report. For further information or to place an order in any of the above-mentioned securities please contact a registered representative of CIMB Securities (USA) Inc. Other jurisdictions: In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is only for distribution to professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions. Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (Thai IOD) in 2014. AAV – Very Good, ADVANC – Very Good, AEONTS – not available, AMATA - Good, ANAN – Very Good, AOT – Very Good, AP - Good, ASK – Very Good, ASP – Very Good, BANPU – Very Good , BAY – Very Good , BBL – Very Good, BCH – not available, BCP - Excellent, BEAUTY – Good, BEC - Good, BECL – Very Good, BGH - not available, BH - Good, BIGC - Very Good, BJC – Good, BLA – Very Good, BMCL - Very Good, BTS - Excellent, CCET – Good, CENTEL – Very Good, CHG – not available, CK – Very Good, CPALL – not available, CPF – Very Good, CPN - Excellent, DELTA - Very Good, DEMCO – Good, DTAC – Very Good, EA - Good, ECL – not available, EGCO - Excellent, GFPT - Very Good, GLOBAL - Good, GLOW - Good, GRAMMY - Excellent, HANA Excellent, HEMRAJ – Very Good, HMPRO - Very Good, ICHI - not available, INTUCH - Excellent, ITD – Good, IVL - Excellent, JAS – not available, JUBILE – not available, KAMART – not available, KBANK - Excellent, KCE - Very Good, KGI – Good, KKP – Excellent, KTB - Excellent, KTC – Good, LH - Very Good, LPN – Very Good, M - not available, MAJOR - Good, MAKRO – Good, MBKET – Good, MC – Very Good, MCOT – Very Good, MEGA – Good, MINT Excellent, OFM – Very Good, OISHI – Good, PS – Very Good, PSL - Excellent, PTT - Excellent, PTTEP - Excellent, PTTGC - Excellent, QH – Very Good, RATCH – Very Good, ROBINS – Very Good, RS – Very Good, SAMART - Excellent, SAPPE - not available, SAT – Excellent, SAWAD – not available, SC – Excellent, SCB - Excellent, SCBLIF – Good, SCC – Very Good, SCCC - Good, SIM - Excellent, SIRI - Good, SPALI - Excellent, STA – Very Good, STEC - Good, SVI – Very Good, TASCO – Good, TCAP – Very Good, THAI – Very Good, THANI – Very Good, THCOM – Very Good, THRE – not available, THREL – Good, TICON – Good, TISCO - Excellent, TK – Very Good, TMB - Excellent, TOP - Excellent, TRUE – Very Good, TTW – Very Good, TUF - Good, VGI – Very Good, WORK – not available. 16 Daybreak│Malaysia January 21, 2015 CIMB Recommendation Framework Stock Ratings Definition: Add The stock’s total return is expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months. Hold The stock’s total return is expected to be between 0% and positive 10% over the next 12 months. Reduce The stock’s total return is expected to fall below 0% or more over the next 12 months. The total expected return of a stock is defined as the sum of the: (i) percentage difference between the target price and the current price and (ii) the forward net dividend yields of the stock. Stock price targets have an investment horizon of 12 months. Sector Ratings Overweight Neutral Underweight Definition: An Overweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a positive absolute recommendation. A Neutral rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a neutral absolute recommendation. An Underweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a negative absolute recommendation. Country Ratings Overweight Neutral Underweight Definition: An Overweight rating means investors should be positioned with an above-market weight in this country relative to benchmark. A Neutral rating means investors should be positioned with a neutral weight in this country relative to benchmark. An Underweight rating means investors should be positioned with a below-market weight in this country relative to benchmark. *Prior to December 2013 CIMB recommendation framework for stocks listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange, Bursa Malaysia, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Jakarta Stock Exchange, Australian Securities Exchange, Taiwan Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India/Bombay Stock Exchange were based on a stock’s total return relative to the relevant benchmarks total return. Outperform: expected to exceed by 5% or more over the next 12 months. Neutral: expected to be within +/-5% over the next 12 months. Underperform: expected to be below by 5% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy: expected to exceed by 3% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: expected to be below by 3% or more over the next 3 months. For stocks listed on Korea Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange and China listings on the Singapore Stock Exchange. Outperform: Expected positive total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months. Neutral: Expected total returns of between -10% and +10% over the next 12 months. Underperform: Expected negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy: Expected positive total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: Expected negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months. 17
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