Asia Pacific Equity Research | Singapore MARKET PULSE Key Idea Key Singapore Indices Close 3344.9 Chg 6.5 % Chg 0.2 Catalist Finance 143.4 881.1 -0.7 0.6 -0.5 0.1 Property Electronics 768.6 423.5 0.3 -2.4 0.0 -0.6 1286.0 910.6 -310.4 -353.8 -19.4 -28.0 Close 17640.8 Chg -96.5 % Chg -0.5 Nasdaq S&P500 4664.7 2028.3 -39.4 -16.6 -0.8 -0.8 FTSE KLCI 6501.4 1735.1 0.3 2.6 0.0 0.2 24026.5 17197.7 106.5 30.6 0.4 0.2 SET KOSPI 1531.2 1921.0 1.8 -3.8 0.1 -0.2 TWSE 9178.3 -37.3 -0.4 STI Vol(m) Val(S$m) World Indices Dow Jones Hang Seng Nikkei Morning Call 13 Jan 2015 SPH REIT: Stable performance SPH REIT reported its 1QFY15 results which were in-line with our expectations. Revenue inched up 1.8% YoY to S$50.6m on the back of higher rental income. Distribution to unitholders and DPU grew 2.9% and 2.3% to S$33.5m and 1.33 S cents, respectively, with the latter constituting 24.4% of our full-year projection. Overall rental reversions of 12.4% were achieved for its portfolio in 1QFY15, driven largely by Paragon (+12.5%). Asset enhancement initiatives at Paragon will create additional space and provide incremental rental income to SPH REIT upon completion. Looking ahead, headwinds facing the retail sector will continue to pose challenges to the operating landscape. Nevertheless, average prime retail rents in Orchard Road still managed to increase marginally by 1% on a YoY and QoQ basis to S$34.55 psf pm in 4QCY14, according to CBRE. We maintain our HOLD rating and S$0.99 fair value estimate on SPH REIT, as we believe its current valuations look fully priced More reports: - Lian Beng: Boost from sale of hotel development Market Statistics (SG) STI 52-week range 2,953 3,388 No. of gainers No. of losers 195 278 No. of unchanged 170 3-mth S$ SIBOR 3-mth US$ SIBOR Crude futures (US$) Cheung Woh Technologies' 3Q15 revenue rose 51.2% YoY to S$24.4m and net profit increased 178.5% YoY to S$4.3m due to higher sales of its components. Qian Hu Corporation's FY14 net profit was up 29.8% YoY to S$0.4m, due to stable contributions from Dragon Fish sales in China and export of accessories. Economic Statistics S$/US$ Yen/US$ News Headlines 1.3 118.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 46.1 -2.3 Research Team (65) 6531 9800 e-mail: [email protected] DeClout Limited acquires OSINet International for ~S$14.2m, enabling its subsidiary to hold the required licence for end-to-end cloud services provision. Universal Resource and Services proposed the acquisition of a 57.64% stake in HongKong New Wing Energy Development for US$49.99m. Singapore eDevelopment will acquire a 197-acre planned unit development in Frederick County, US for US$15.65m. It has secured pre-sales commitment for 89% of the project's GDV. A subsidiary of Technics Oil & Gas accepted a LOI for the proposed sales and leaseback of its property in Loyang at a cash consideration of S$100m. Global Logistic Properties leases 20,000 sqm to Suning Commerce, one of China's largest retailers and e-commerce companies in Southern China. Sources: MasNet, Bloomberg, Business Times, Straits Times and other media Please refer to important disclosures at the back of this document. MCI (P) 006/06/2014 OCBC Investment Research Market Pulse 13 Jan 2015 SPH REIT: Stable performance Lian Beng: Boost from sale of hotel development 1QFY15 DPU grew 2.3% YoY Positive rental reversion of 12.4% Valuations not cheap Lian Beng announced 1HFY15 PATMI of S$35.5m, up 105.2% YoY mostly due to its share of results of associates and joint ventures improving from a loss of S$9.6m in 1HFY14 to a profit of S$21.5m in 1HFY15, as the group divested its stake in the hotel development at Middle Road and recognized profits from its stakes in residential property projects at Newest, KAP Residences and The Midtown. We judge these results to be within expectations and 1HFY15 PATMI now constitutes 54.6% of our full year forecast. In terms of the topline, 1HFY15 revenues also increased 26.1% YoY to S$367.6m with increased contributions from the construction segment and worker’s dormitory business, partially offset by a decrease in revenues from the group’s ready-mixed concrete segment. An interim dividend of 0.1 S-cents has been proposed. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$0.65. (Eli Lee) 1QFY15 results came in within our expectations SPH REIT reported its 1QFY15 results which were in-line with our expectations. Revenue inched up 1.8% YoY to S$50.6m on the back of higher rental income. This formed 24.6% of our FY15 forecast. Distribution to unitholders and DPU grew 2.9% and 2.3% to S$33.5m and 1.33 S cents, respectively, with the latter constituting 24.4% of our full-year projection. Healthy rental reversions achieved Both SPH REIT’s Paragon and The Clementi Mall remained fully leased. Overall rental reversions of 12.4% was achieved for its portfolio in 1QFY15, driven largely by Paragon (+12.5%) and marginally by The Clementi Mall (+2.3%), although the latter had only one lease renewal during the quarter. In terms of asset enhancement initiatives, the chiller decanting project at Paragon will create an additional 5,000 sq ft of NLA when it is completed by FY16. Tenancies for the new space have already been committed and are expected to contribute an incremental rental income of close to S$1m per annum. Management is also carrying out planning works to create another NLA of 5,000 sq ft at Paragon. This would be phased in from FY16. . Maintain HOLD Looking ahead, headwinds facing the retail sector will continue to pose challenges to the operating landscape. Nevertheless, average prime retail rents in Orchard Road still managed to increase marginally by 1% on a YoY and QoQ basis to S$34.55 psf pm in 4QCY14, according to CBRE. This highlights the attractiveness and value of assets which are strategically located in good catchment areas. We maintain our HOLD rating and S$0.99 fair value estimate on SPH REIT, as we believe its current valuations look fully priced. The stock is trading at FY15F P/B of 1.1x and distribution yield of 5.2%, versus its retail peers’ forward P/B of 1.0x and distribution yield of 6.1%. (Wong Teck Ching Andy) . . . . . 2 . . . . OCBC Investment Research Market Pulse 13 Jan 2015 Calendar of key events 12-Jan-15 13-Jan-15 14-Jan-15 15-Jan-15 16-Jan-15 SPH REIT 1QFY15 SG 4Q GDP US Dec Retail Sales First REIT 4Q14 SG Dec NODX SPH 1Q15 US Dec CPI US Dec Ind Production 19-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 22-Jan-15 23-Jan-15 M1 4Q14 MIT 3QFY15 SGX 2QFY15 Results KepCorp 4Q14 Tigerair 3QFY15 MLT 3Q15 Mapletree Industrial Trust 3Q15 Mapletree Commercial Trust 3Q15 Sabana REIT 4Q14 CapitaMall 4Q14 K-REIT 4Q14 Kep T&T 4Q14 KepLand 4Q14 Ascott Residence 4Q14 SG Dec CPI Soilbuild REIT 4Q14 Ascendas 3QFY15 Fortune REIT 4Q14 FCOT 1QFY15 Kep Infra Trust 4Q14 Suntec REIT 4Q14 26-Jan-15 27-Jan-15 SG Dec Ind Production MGCCT 3QFY15 28-Jan-15 Cache Logistics 4Q14 SMRT 3QFY15 SG Dec Money Supply US Jan FOMC Rate Decision SG Dec Bank Loans and Advances SG 4Q Unemployment rate US Dec New Home Sales US 4Q GDP 03-Feb-15 04-Feb-15 US Jan ISM Mfg SIAEC 3QFY15 US Jan ISM Non Mfg Composite 05-Feb-15 06-Feb-15 SIA 3QFY15 Cn Jan Mfg PMI US Jan Chg in Nonfarm Payrolls CN Jan Non Mfg PMI US Jan Unemployment Rate 10-Feb-15 11-Feb-15 12-Feb-15 13-Feb-15 CN Jan New Yuan Loans ComfortDelgro 4QFY14 Wilmar 4Q14 SG Dec Retail Rate US Jan Retail Sales Notes: 30-Jan-15 US Dec Durable goods orders 02-Feb-15 09-Feb-15 29-Jan-15 Sourced from Bloomberg All US Tech results dates have been adjusted to Singapore dates. 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