Why going global? Uwe R. Doerken – CEO DHL Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 2 Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 3 Why going global? Express business evolution In the old days: region = country international 4 Why going global? Express business evolution Today: region = continent interncontinental 5 Why going global? DHL markets are maturing Market Market Growth Growth Percent Percent Latin and Central America Market growth percent Africa Developing Asian markets Share express vs. total express and deferred (including deferred ground) Conceptual market maturity curve Eastern Europe 10 new EU members for 2004 will become mature markets much faster than other Eastern European markets Developed Asian markets Western Europe Due to the nature of competition and market evolution, WE is likely to replicate the shape of mature US market sooner than any other Region U.S. Express share is increasing in high growth rates Maturity/ size Market evolution Air express used for timecritical documents Day-certain parcel services emerge/WPS increase Fully integrated supply chains emerge No established supply chains Multi-party supply chains evolve Air express fully integrated in supply chain at service level/ price trade-off No domestic markets (mostly import/export) Domestic markets develop 6 Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 7 Areas with strong local presence Domestic capability Canada Canada Europe Europe US US Mexico Mexico 8 Areas with strong local presence Japan Japan US$ US$ 125m 125m •• 26 26 Service Service centers centers Infrastructure investment in Asia Pacific … South South Korea Korea US$ US$ 15m 15m •• Bonded Bonded warehouse warehouse at at New New International International Airport Airport •• Service Service centers centers China China US$ US$ 9m 9m •• 11 11 Gateways Gateways •• Pudong Pudong Gateway Gateway •• Beijing Beijing airport airport •• Service Service centers centers US$ US$ 200m 200m US$ US$ 58m 58m •• Will be invested Will be invested into into •• 5% 5% stake stake of of DHL-Sinotrans DHL-Sinotrans Sinotrans Sinotrans infrastructure infrastructure over over the the next 5 years next 5 years Hong Hong Kong Kong US$ US$ 82m 82m Taiwan Taiwan US$ US$ 30m 30m •• Express Express Logistics Logistics center center •• Service Service centers centers US$ US$ 100m 100m •• DHL’s DHL’s Central Central Asian Asian Hub Hub •• Gateway Gateway movement movement •• 44 Service Service centers centers US$ US$ 400m 400m •• joint joint venture venture with with Cathay Cathay Pacific Pacific and and Air Air Hong Hong Kong Kong India India US$ US$ 2m 2m Malaysia Malaysia US$ US$ 6m 6m •• EHU EHU facility facility •• Service Service centers centers US$ US$ 52m 52m •• Asia Asia Pacific Pacific Information Information Indonesia Indonesia US$ US$ 2m 2m •• Service Service centers centers Singapore Singapore US$ US$ 8m 8m •• Southeast Southeast Asia Asia Hub Hub •• Service Service centers centers Services Services (APIS) (APIS) Center Center … up to a total of US$ 1.1bn 9 Areas with strong local presence Japan Business Review Sapporo ? 300m in Revenue 19% Margin at EBITA 10.5 million shipment Gunma #2 market share after EMS (Japan Post) Saitama Re-branding completed Matsumoto Infrastructure Okayama Chiba Osaka Hiroshima 2 Gateways Tokyo 1 Distribution Center Fukuoka 25 Spare Parts Centers National Coverage Ibaraki Hokuriku 46 Service Centers and Express centers 606 vehicles Fukushima Hamamatsu Nagoya Okinawa Kobe Yokohama Kyoto 10 Areas with strong local presence DHL Express in China 11 Areas with strong local presence The relationship with Sinotrans has proven very successful... Existing Joint Venture with Sinotrans highly successful with revenues of >€200m and growth of >40% per annum. A 5% stake of Sinotrans has been acquired for the price of € 50m. 38% of the Sinotrans shares have been sold. 28% are in free float. 10% have been given to strategic investors (DPWN, Excel, UPS, Nissan Forwarding). DPWN objective: - Stabilization and protection of existing Sinotrans relationship - Improvement of DHL market position in China from cross-border to domestic service provider. 12 Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 13 World market for Express & Logistics Global market size Global Global market market revenue revenue (USD (USD B) B) Air 373 33 Ocean Air Road LTL Road TL Road Ocean 20% 0% Software Global mail* Total = USD703B Air 60% 40% 128 Dedicated contract carriage 80% 62 Express Freight Warehousing/supply chain services 100% 107 Air Logistics & Ocean FF Mail Note: Only 3rd party trucks are taken into account; Railway Freight market is estimated at USD114B Mail Source: Analyst Reports; Experts Interviews; Bain Analysis * Revenue Figures from 2000 14 World market for Express & Logistics Express market size Express market revenue (2002, USD B) The The global global Express Express market market is is estimated estimated to to be be in in excess excess of of USD USD 100 100 Bn Bn 100% 55.6 23.9 23.7 3.5 Total = USD107B 80% Road 60% 40% 20% 0% Air Americas Europe Region of origin Asia-Pacific RoW Source: Boeing Air Cargo Report, DPWN Internal Reports, Analyst Reports, UPS Company Reports, FedEx Company Reports, Bain Analysis 15 World market for Express & Logistics Express market share 20.5 20.8 Other Other Other Sagawa UPS DHL Yamato 0% Intra-Americas Intra-Europe UPS FedEx DHL 40% Nittsu UPS TNT FedEx TNT UPS Other TNT FedEx TNT 20% Market share UPS 26% FedEx 15% DHL 12% TNT 4% DHL DHL 60% TNT UPS FedEx DHL UPS UPS ABF DHL 80% Total = USD107 FedEx FedEx Express market revenue (USD B) 100% 52.4 3.8 2.6 3.0 3.5 Other Other Leadership Leadership varies varies by by sector sector MEA/ROW Americas-Europe Europe -Asia Americas-Asia Intra-Asia RMS 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Note: DHL includes Euro Express, figures estimated for 2002; Yamato, Sagawa, and Nittsu are domestic Japanese only, Express definition includes deferred ground packages Sources: FedEx, UPS, DHL, DPWN STAR presentation (Oct 2002), ACMG, The Colography Group, Bain Regional Analysis (US, LATAM, AP), Bain Estimates 16 Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 17 DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Worldwide subsidiaries and a global network 530 530 locations locations 13,000 13,000 employees employees 150 150 countries countries covered, covered, (2002 figures) corresponding corresponding to to 95% 95% of of worldwide worldwide GDP GDP Own subsidiaries/JVs Agents 18 DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Net sales 2004 budget Reflects the full effect of the acquisitions 45% 30% 5% 20% Note: DDAir&Ocean regions differ in parts from the DHL Express regions. The regions are re-grouped to reflect the DHL Express structure. 19 DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Leading market position Air freight % Ocean freight % DHL Danzas Air & Ocean 6.2 Kühne & Nagel 6.3 Exel 5.2 DHL Danzas Air & Ocean 4.9 Nippon Express 4.8 Panalpina 4.1 Schenker 3.3 Schenker 3.4 BAX Global 3.2 Exel 1.2 Kühne & Nagel 3.0 Panalpina 2.9 Market: USD 22.7 billion (IATA) Market: 16 million TEUs Source: Company estimates based on various sources. Air freight refers to IATA sales (2002), Ocean freight based on TEUs (2002) 20 DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Strategic alignment DHL DHL Danzas Danzas Air Air & & Ocean Ocean Across Across DHL DHL and and DPWN DPWN Customer-focussed Customer-focussed sales sales strategy strategy Implementation Implementation of of performance performance enhancement enhancement projects projects and and realisation realisation of of expected expected savings savings Strict Strict cost cost management management Cooperation Cooperation with with DHL DHL Express: Express: e.g. e.g. Sales Sales & & Marketing, Marketing, Air Air Freight Freight and and operations operations Support Support cross-divisional cross-divisional projects projects at at DPWN DPWN level level Partnering Partnering with with Global Global Customer Customer Solutions Solutions (GCS) (GCS) Integration Integration of of back back offices offices into into shared shared service service centres centres (e.g. (e.g. finance, finance, IT, IT, HR) HR) Overriding Goal To To expand expand the the leading leading market market position position in in air air and and ocean ocean freight freight under under the the new new brand brand 21 Overview Why going global? Areas with strong local presence World market for Express & Logistics DHL Danzas Air & Ocean Global Customer Solutions 22 Global Customer Solutions Designed to develop global customers across all DHL business units… Express Danzas Air & Ocean Solutions GCS GCL GCS approach Focus on cross-selling products and integrating customer approaches and processes across different business units GC Coordination GAC & Corporate Accounts MNC SOLS customer approach Existing approaches GCS The key success factor for GCS is to operate an effective and efficient customer development approach across multiple products/services (from sales to implementation and program management) GCL = Global Customer Logistics GAC = Global Advantage Customers [DPEE] Corporate Accounts MNC = Multi National Customers GC = Global Customers SOLS = Solutions 23 Global Customer Solutions …with a clear aspiration of adding value GCS GCS is is about about … … … … while while trying trying to to avoid… avoid… Emphasizing Emphasizing aa customer customer led led approach approach as as opposed to products and geographies opposed to products and geographies A A business business within within the the business business –– leading leading to to an an “us” and “them” syndrome “us” and “them” syndrome Being Being aa global global and and strategic strategic partner partner for for targeted targeted global global customers customers Unjustified Unjustified cost cost build-up build-up Enhancing Enhancing our our ability ability to to meet meet global global customer customer needs across the entire supply chain needs across the entire supply chain Expanding Expanding the the cross-BU cross-BU and and cross-regional cross-regional opportunity opportunity pipeline pipeline & & improving improving success success rates rates Ensuring Ensuring aa consistent consistent approach approach and and priorities priorities for global customers, leveraging global for global customers, leveraging global expertise expertise Ensuring Ensuring better better overall overall economics economics for for GCS GCS customers customers The The creation creation of of parallel/competing parallel/competing sales sales channels channels Increased Increased complexity complexity across across the the customer customer process process Jeopardizing Jeopardizing existing existing customer customer relationships relationships Increased Increased price price pressure pressure from from customers customers Missing Missing the the link link with with and and minimizing minimizing the the motivation motivation of of the the field field 24 Global Customer Solutions 25 26
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