1. finance
2. bank

सप्र
ु भात
16 फरवरी 2015
ससेक्स-िन टी
के साथ 18,019 पर बंद हुआ। एसऐंडपी 500 भी 9 अंक की बढ़त हािसल कर 2,097 पर बंद
हुआ। वहीं नै डैक कंपोिजट 36 अंक या 0.75% ऊपर 4,894 पर आ गया।
वायदा बाजार
शुक्रवार को िन टी
यूचर का प्रीिमयम घट कर 36 अंक का हो गया। इंिडया िवक्स 0.27%
घट कर 20.10 पर बंद हुआ। पुट ऑ शन म सबसे यादा 42 लाख शेयर के सौदे 8600 पट
ु
के ह, जबिक कॉल म सबसे यादा 62 लाख शेयर के सौदे 9000 के तर पर ह। 8800 कॉल
म 6.90 लाख शेयर और 8900 कॉल म 4.03 लाख शेयर के सौदे घटे , जबिक 8800 पट
ु म
13.50 लाख और 8900 पुट म 2.50 लाख शेयर का इजाफा हुआ। आज िन टी म 88108815 के दायरे म खरीदारी सौदे कर के 8845 और 8865 के ल य रख और घाटा काटने का
तर ( टॉप लॉस) 8795 पर रख।
BSE(RHS)
शुक्रवार को मजबत
ू वैि वक संकेत के बीच िन टी ने सकारा मक शु आत की और इसके बाद
पूरे सत्र म बढ़त के साथ चलता रहा। अंत म यह 8800 के ऊपर बंद हुआ। इसने िपछले सत्र
की तल
ु ना म यादा बड़ी तेज कडल बनायी, िजससे ऊपरी चाल का पता चलता है । ता कािलक
झान सकारा मक है और उ मीद है िक आज के सत्र म भी मौजद
ू ा वापस उछाल जारी रहे गी।
हमारा मानना है िक िन टी ने िपछले ह ते के िनचले
सं थागत गितिविधयाँ
एफआईआई (नकद)
शद्ध
ु िनवेश (करोड़
ह त म िन टी हाल म बने उ चतम
एचडीएफसी बक
डॉ. रे डीज लैब
िवप्रो
तर 8470 पर एक मह वपण
ू र् तलहटी
करने से पहले एक ऊपरी तलहटी बनाता है । बीते ह ते के िनचले
तर 8470 से 900 अंक की उछाल के आधार पर 9370 का ल य बनता है । आज िन टी
तर 8770, 8730 पर ह।
िन टी पर नजर
कॉ ट ऑफ कैरी
िन टी
यच
ू र
(%)
बदलाव
% बदलाव
58.4
-1.0
-1.7
48.3
-0.4
0.5
36.6
0.1
14.2
SBI
307.1
8.0%
Wipro
660.4
2.2%
ICICI Bank
343.9
1.3%
Tata Power
84.3
0.7%
Hindalco
153.5
0.4%
Infosys
2296.4
-0.8%
उछाल लगभग 900 अंक की रही है , िजसके बाद यह ता कािलक नरमी के दौर म जाता है
िन टी ( पॉट)
मू य
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.5
-0.4
0.3
1.9
ससेक्स गितिविधयाँ
तर 8996 को पार कर लेगा और मौजद
ू ा ऊपरी चाल म
तर 8840, 8880 और समथर्न
95.82
11.7
इ फोिसस
डीआईआई
390.26
54.2
आईसीआईसीआई बक
यह आने वाले महीन म 9370 की ओर बढ़े गा। फरवरी 2014 से अब तक इसकी हर बड़ी
पॉट के बाधा
.)
एडीआर (डॉलर )
बना ली है और अब यहाँ से बजट-पूवर् तेजी के िलए तैयार है । हमारा अनुमान है िक आने वाले
और अगली बड़ी तेजी शु
NSE(LHS)
टाटा मोटसर्
तकनीकी राय
13-Feb
25000
11-Feb
26000
8000
9-Feb
27000
8200
5-Feb
आँकड़ से बाजार म उ साह रहा। डॉव ज स इंडि ट्रयल एवरे ज 47 अंक या 0.26% की बढ़त
28000
8400
3-Feb
वाली अ छी खबर , ग्रीस के ऋण पर बातचीत म सकारा मक संकेत और जीडीपी के मजबत
ू
29000
8600
30-Jan
तर पर बंद हुआ। िन टी 94 अंक यानी 1.08% बढ़ कर 8,805 के तर पर बंद
हुआ। अमेिरकी शेयर बाजार म भी मजबत
ू ी रही। क चे तेल की कीमत म विृ द्ध, यूरोप से आने
30000
8800
28-Jan
29,095 के
9000
23-Jan
और िन टी 8800 के ऊपर बंद होने म कामयाब रहे । ससेक्स 290 अंक या 1.01% बढ़ कर
21-Jan
शुक्रवार को शेयर बाजार म लगातार चौथे िदन तेजी दे खने को िमली, िजससे ससेक्स 29,000
19-Jan
भारतीय बाजार सपाट से सकारा मक खुलने की संभावना
M&M
1192.0
5.1%
ITC
378.1
2.0%
HDFC
1268.5
1.1%
Airtel
355.1
0.7%
Tata Steel
366.6
0.4%
HDFC Bank
1065.9
-1.1%
Jindal Steel
TCS
152.0
2538.7
3.4%
3.1%
Sun Pharma
Maruti
939.4
3612.7
1.8%
1.7%
Cipla
L&T
668.1
1661.8
0.9%
0.9%
Tata Motors
HUL
892.8
565.7
0.6%
0.5%
Dr. Reddy
Bajaj Auto
3336.0
2261.8
0.3%
0.0%
ONGC
BHEL
339.9
259.6
-2.0%
-3.1%
Coal India
377.5
2.4%
Hero Moto
2852.5
1.7%
RIL
917.2
0.7%
NTPC
143.0
0.5%
Sterlite
212.1
-0.2%
GAIL
406.3
-4.0%
िन टी वायदा खुले सौदे
पुट कॉल रे यो
पुट कॉल रे यो
िन टी एटीएम
मात्रा
आई.वी.
(ओआई)
ओ.आई.
वतर्मान
8806
8842
11.49
27179525
0.98
0.97
16.79
िपछला
8712
8752
12.17
26476250
0.90
0.84
17.24
1.07
1.02
-
2.66
-
-
-
% बदलाव
एक-िदनी (इंट्रा-डे) रणनीित
शेयर
जिु बलट फूडवक्सर्
पेट्रोनेट एलएनजी
सलाह
फरवरी
फरवरी
झान
रणनीित
ल य 1
ल य 2
यच
ू र खरीद 1645-1647 म
तेजी
वायदा खरीदारी
1659
1689
1631
250
यूचर बेच 186.50-187.00 म
मंदी
वायदा िबकवाली
185.25
182.50
188.75
2000
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
घाटा काट लॉट
Pankaj Pandey
Head – Research
[email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
[email protected]
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Pankaj Pandey Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately
reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Terms & conditions and other disclosures:
ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of
financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses
of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available
on www.icicibank.com.
ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates
might have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities
generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that
the analysts cover.
The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained
herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to
any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein
on a reasonable basis, ICICI Securitiesis under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may
prevent ICICI Securities from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance
with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities might be acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain
other circumstances.
This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or
completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of
offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this
report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal,
accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions
expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions
and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently
evaluate the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities
accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from
those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject
company for any other assignment in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the
date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or
other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services
from the companies mentioned in the report in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did
not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report.
Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Pankaj Pandey Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve
months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day
of the month preceding the publication of the research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies
including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report.
It is confirmed that Pankaj Pandey Research Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report.
ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies mentioned in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other
jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any
registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities
described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required
to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 2