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सप्र
ु भात
25 फरवरी 2015
भारतीय बाजार सपाट खुलने की संभावना
ससेक्स-िन टी
नये ह ते के पहले िदन भारतीय शेयर बाजार म िगरावट जारी रही। ससेक्स 256 अंक या
29-Jan
ऊपर 4,961 पर आ गया।
BSE(RHS)
वायदा बाजार
कल िन टी
यच
ू र 3 अंक की छूट (िड काउं ट) पर बंद हुआ। इंिडया िवक्स 1.7% बढ़ कर
21.36 पर बंद हुआ। पुट ऑ शन म सबसे यादा 43 लाख शेयर के सौदे अब िखसक कर
8700 पट
ु के हो गये ह, जबिक कॉल म सबसे
यादा 77 लाख शेयर के सौदे 9000 के
तर
पर ह। कल 8900 कॉल म 7.7 लाख, 8800 कॉल म 11.03 लाख और 8700 कॉल म 6.47
एफआईआई (नकद)
शद्ध
ु िनवेश (करोड़
एडीआर (डॉलर)
8750 के ल य रख और घाटा काटने का
डॉ. रे डीज लैब
तर ( टॉप लॉस) 8822 पर रख।
कल िन टी ने सकारा मक शु आत की, मगर इससे आगे बढ़ पाने के बदले यह दोपहर तक
8830-8865 के दायरे म अटक गया। दोपहर बाद िबकवाली का दबाव बढ़ गया, िजसके चलते
िन टी 8736 तक िफसलने के बाद अंत म 8755 पर बंद हुआ। इसने शक्र
ु वार की तल
ु ना म
बड़े आकार की मंद कडल बनायी, िजससे िबकवाली का दबाव तेज होने का संकेत िमलता है ।
जैसा िपछले अंक म बताया गया था, इससे िपछले चार सत्र म 8793 के पास बनी एक समान
एचडीएफसी बक
अंक की रही है , िजसके बाद यह ता कािलक नरमी के दौर म जाता है और अगली बड़ी तेजी
तर 8470 से 900
तर
िन टी पर नजर
कॉ ट ऑफ कैरी
िन टी
यच
ू र
(%)
% बदलाव
54.2
0.4
0.1
0.2
-0.8
0.6
11.0
-1.9
0.2
-1.9
0.7
13.6
M&M
1261.2
1.0%
Coal India
383.9
0.3%
Infosys
2270.7
-0.6%
Cipla
668.8
-0.9%
Bajaj Auto
2184.8
-1.1%
ONGC
325.1
-1.9%
सकारा मक ही बना हुआ है । हमारा मानना है िक िन टी आने वाले सत्र म हाल म बने
उ चतम तर 8996 को चुनौती दे ने के िलए आगे बढ़े गा। मौजद
ू ा ऊपरी चाल म यह इसके
आगे 9370 की ओर बढ़े गा। फरवरी 2014 से अब तक इसकी हर बड़ी उछाल लगभग 900
िन टी ( पॉट)
बदलाव
-2.0
-0.2
-1.2
ससेक्स गितिविधयाँ
जायेगा। इसिलए मौजूदा नरमी को बड़े ऊपरी झान का फायदा उठाने के िलए खरीदारी के नये
मौके की तरह इ तेमाल करना चािहए। अभी कुल िमला कर म यम अविध का झान
तर 8730, 8700 पर ह।
मू य
36.2
िवप्रो
िन टी अनम
ु ान के मुतािबक ही जरा ठं डा होने के दौर से गुजर रहा है । हमारा मानना है िक
8470 से 8913 तक की उछाल की 50% वापसी यानी लगभग 8700 के पास मौजद
ू ा नरमी
पूरी हो जायेगी। हम नहीं लगता िक अभी मुनाफावसूली आने पर िन टी 8700 के नीचे
पॉट के बाधा
-163.79
49.0
आईसीआईसीआई बक
डीआईआई
601.91
59.8
इ फोिसस
तलहटी को तोड़ने के बाद िबकवाली का दबाव बढ़ा। सात सत्र म 400 अंक की उछाल के बाद
8790, 8820 और समथर्न
.)
टाटा मोटसर्
तकनीकी राय
शु करने से पहले एक ऊपरी तलहटी बनाता है । बीते ह ते के िनचले
अंक की उछाल के आधार पर 9370 का ल य बनता है । आज िन टी
NSE(LHS)
सं थागत गितिविधयाँ
लाख शेयर के सौदे बढ़े , जबिक 8800 पट
ु म 11.7 लाख और 8900 पुट म 6.13 लाख शेयर
की कमी आयी। आज िन टी म 8802-8807 के दायरे म िबकवाली सौदे कर के 8770 और
23-Feb
25000
19-Feb
इंडि ट्रयल एवरे ज 24 अंक या 0.13% की नरमी के साथ 18,117 पर बंद हुआ। एसऐंडपी
500 लगभग सपाट रह कर 2,110 पर बंद हुआ। वहीं नै डैक कंपोिजट 5 अंक या 0.10%
16-Feb
26000
8000
और सीनेट म फेडरल िरजवर् के प्रमुख के बयान से पहले असमंजस म रहे । डॉव ज स
12-Feb
27000
8200
10-Feb
झान िदखाया। बाजार म हाल म आयी मजबत
ू ी के बीच कारोबारी हाउस
अंत म िमला-जुला
6-Feb
28000
8400
4-Feb
29000
8600
2-Feb
30000
8800
27-Jan
9000
0.88% की िगरावट के साथ 28,975 पर बंद हुआ। वहीं िन टी 78 अंक या 0.89% िगर कर
8,755 पर बंद हुआ। सोमवार को अमेिरकी बाजार ने एक दायरे के अंदर उतार-चढ़ाव के बाद
Sterlite
219.5
0.9%
Maruti
3549.9
-0.1%
Dr. Reddy
3381.0
-0.6%
BHEL
272.9
-0.9%
ITC
390.2
-1.5%
SBI
296.3
-2.0%
TCS
2695.1
0.8%
Wipro
649.2
-0.2%
Sun Pharma
908.7
-0.7%
Airtel
346.7
-0.9%
HUL
886.1
-1.6%
Tata Steel
367.1
-2.0%
L&T
1686.0
0.5%
Hero Moto
2646.8
-0.5%
ICICI Bank
329.0
-0.7%
Hindalco
154.8
-1.0%
Jindal Steel
190.8
-1.6%
GAIL
399.9
-2.2%
NTPC
146.1
0.4%
HDFC Bank
1066.6
-0.6%
Tata Motors
574.0
-0.8%
Tata Power
85.1
-1.0%
HDFC
1309.8
-1.8%
RIL
851.2
-2.5%
िन टी वायदा खुले सौदे
पुट कॉल रे यो
पुट कॉल रे यो
िन टी एटीएम
मात्रा
आई.वी.
(ओआई)
ओ.आई.
वतर्मान
8756
8753
-2.08
27023300
0.86
0.83
20.82
िपछला
8834
8849
10.92
27376525
0.94
0.96
17.03
% बदलाव
-0.88
-1.08
-
-1.29
-
-
-
एक-िदनी (इंट्रा-डे) रणनीित
शेयर
मिहंद्रा ऐंड मिहंद्रा
केनरा बक
सलाह
फरवरी
फरवरी
झान
रणनीित
ल य 1
ल य 2
यच
ू र खरीद 1248-1250 म
तेजी
वायदा खरीदारी
1265
1280
1235
250
यूचर बेच 406-407 म
मंदी
वायदा िबकवाली
402
398
410.50
1000
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
घाटा काट लॉट
Pankaj Pandey
Head – Research
[email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
[email protected]
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