HSS-CP.B.9 STUDENT NOTES & PRACTICE WS #1/#2 1 Counting Principles In calculating probabilities we often need to determine either the total number of possible outcomes or the total number of successful outcomes. In many cases the outcomes are easy things to count… red aces, blue marbles, coin flips, etc.. but sometimes determining these values can be a little more complex. For example, Jimmy remembers the first 3 digits of Randy’s phone number but not the last 4. How many different possible numbers are there? 248 - ____ ____ ____ ____ There are 10 different digits 0 – 9 for each spot so there would be 10 • 10 • 10 • 10 = 10,000 different phone numbers. So Jimmy has a 1 / 10,000 chance of getting the number correct….. Good Luck Jimmy!!! As mentioned in an earlier objective, the fundamental counting principle is a powerful tool to helping us with problems like this. FUNDAMENTAL COUNTING PRINCIPLE If you can choose one item from a group of M items and a second item from a group of N items, then the total number of two items choices is M • N. The FCP allows for the use of the same item to be used more than once. For example, in the telephone example above 248 – 1212 is a perfectly fine result. It is for this reason that we multiply 10 • 10 • 10 • 10 because the numbers 0 – 9 can be used for all four spots if necessary. This is not always the case, sometimes when we use a number or an item it cannot be used again, for example, if there are four people and we want to know how many different ways that they could finish a race, a person cannot come in 1st and in 4th. Thus 4 • 4 • 4 • 4 doesn’t make sense – once a person places they cannot be used again. Permutation (Order Matters) Let’s try a little different problem. Four bands are going to perform at the Friday Night Jam Session. How many different ways could the schedule for the night be arranged? The way I make sense of this is 4 different bands could go first, since one has been picked 3 different bands could go in the next place, then 2 and then finally 1…. 4 • 3 • 2 • 1 = 24 different ways. In mathematics when we multiply n (n – 1) (n – 2) …. We call that a FACTORINAL AND IT IS WRITTEN, 6! = 6 • 5 • 4 • 3 • 2 • 1 = 720 3! = 3 • 2 • 1 = 6 1! = 1 n! and by definition 0! = 1 The band problem has a few important characteristics that our earlier fundamental counting principle problems didn’t have: 1. NO ITEM IS USED MORE THAN ONCE 2. THE ORDER OF THE ARRANGEMENT MAKES A DIFFERENCE. When these two conditions are involved in the arrangement it is called a PERMUTATION. HSS-CP.B.9 STUDENT NOTES & PRACTICE WS #1/#2 2 When does ORDER MATTER? This is an important question!! Order matters when the sequence means something. Jack is runner J, Sally is runner S and Randy is runner R so if they finish the race SJR the order matters because Sally was 1st, Jack came in 2nd, and Randy came in 3rd. If they have finished RSJ, they would receive different prizes and awards. In contrast, if these three runners had been selected to get a $10 gift certificate for finishing in the top three, it wouldn’t have matter if they finished SJR or RSJ – they would all get the same prize and the order wouldn’t matter at all. Order matters when the value or meaning of the location is somehow different from the other locations. When order matters 123, 132, 213, 231, 312 and 321 are all different possible arrangements for the situation. If order didn’t matter 123, 132, 213, 231, 312 and 321 are all the same arrangement for the situation. In the below examples, note that no items can be used more than once and that the order matters. Thus these are examples of PERMUTATIONS. If you have 4 books. How many different ways can you arrange these books assuming that the order matters to you? ? 4 ? x 3 ? x 2 There are 10 people in the race. How many different ways could they finish 1st, 2nd and 3rd ? ? ? x 1 ? 10 = 24 x ? 9 x 8 = 720 We see a nice pattern forming through this intuitive approach to solving the problem. Each time one less option is available because an item cannot be used more than once. Also if there are more items than things that we are choosing then we only do that many locations. The above method for calculating permutations is a very intuitive method (but very effective). There is a powerful formula that summarizes exactly what we have been doing above. n! P = n r (n − r )! 10 P3 = 10! 10! = (10 − 3)! 7! 10 • 9 • 8 • 7 • 6 • 5 • 4 • 3 • 2 • 1 7 • 6 • 5 • 4 • 3 • 2 •1 10 • 9 • 8 • 7 • 6 • 5 • 4 • 3 • 2 •1 7 • 6 • 5 • 4 • 3 • 2 •1 10 • 9 • 8 = 720 n is the total number of elements and r is the number of items being chosen. So in our second example above n = 10 and r = 3, we read this notation to be the Permutation of n choose r or in this specific question, we would read it the permutation of 10 choose 3. ? 10 ? x 9 ? x 8 = 720 HSS-CP.B.9 STUDENT NOTES & PRACTICE WS #1/#2 3 Combination (Order DOESN’T Matters) Let me introduce another type of problem. A teacher wants to pick 2 students to get the textbooks from the other room. If there are 5 students, how many groups can be formed? What is different about this question from the Permutation questions earlier? ORDER DOESN’T MATTER!! There is no difference to being chosen 1st or 2nd. In this situation, Mike and then Joe is the same as picking Joe and then Mike… the pair of students selected for the group is still Mike and Joe This is known as a COMBINATION. 1. NO ITEM IS USED MORE THAN ONCE 2. THE ORDER OF THE ARRANGEMENT MAKES A NO DIFFERENCE. (Picking 123 is the same as picking 231 or 321 or 213… etc…. there are always fewer combinations than permutations because combinations divide out the ‘repeated equivalent’ groups.) We will introduce formulas soon but for now a combination is determined by finding the permutations (all arrangements) and then dividing out the duplication by dividing by r!, where r is the grouping size. From 7 students a committee of 3 is being formed. How many different groups of 3 could be formed? ? 7 ? x ? 6 x 210 3! 5 books lay on a table. Jeff needs to pick two to read for an English assignment. How many different groups of 2 could be formed? 5 ? 5 = 210 210 = 6 ? x 20 = 35 2! 4 = 20 20 = 2 = 10 We notice that this is the same process as determining a permutation EXCEPT WE DIVIDE OUT THE DUPLICATION. This helps us to alter the formula for permutations into one that will calculate the combinations. n! C = n r (n − r )!r ! 7! C = = 35 7 3 (7 − 3)!3! n is the total number of elements and r is the number of items being chosen. Notice the slight difference to the permutation formula, we are also dividing by r!, to take out all the duplication. ? 7 ? x ? 6 x 210 We read this notation to be the Combination of n choose r or in this specific question, we would read it the combination of 7 choose 3. 3! 5 210 = 6 = 35 = 210 HSS-CP.B.9 STUDENT NOTES & PRACTICE WS #1/#2 4 Determine if the following situations are (F)undamental Counting, (P)ermutations or (C)ombinations. a) In how many different ways can 3 people finish a race? b) How many 4 digit passcodes are possible? PERMUTATION FUNDAMENTAL d) 5 questions on a multiple choice quiz and each question has 4 possible answers. How many different possible ways could you answer the quiz? e) 20 old video games are in a bin. The sign says pick any 4 for $5. How many different groups of 4 are possible? c) In how many different ways can a 2-person committee be selected from 10 people? COMBINATION f) 4 bands are performing on the program. How many different ways could they be arranged? PERMUTATION COMBINATION FUNDAMENTAL Now solve the above questions. a) 3P3 b) (10)(10)(10)(10) = 10,000 =6 d) c) e) (4)(4)(4)(4)(4) = 1024 10P2 = 45 4P4 = 24 f) 20C4 = 4845 Permutations & Combinations with a Calculator Most graphing calculators have these relationships pre-programed into the calculator. Let me show you were these special probability operations can be found. EXAMPLE – TI-84 CALCULATOR The probability relationships are found under the MATH button on your calculator. Use the Right Arrow to Scroll to PRB (Probability) They are all here…. To use the permutation or combination formulas you must (1) first enter the number of elements, n, and then (2) choose which operation you want, permutation or combination, and then (3) finally enter the number of items being chosen, r. This will calculate the permutation or combination completely. HSS-CP.B.9 WORKSHEET #1 Name: _____________________________ Period ______ 1 1. Read the questions from #2 and then determine their type of question. (F) Fundamental Counting Principle, (P) Permutation or (C) Combination. a) F or P or C b) F or P or C c) F or P or C d) F or P or C e) F or P or C f) F or P or C g) F or P or C h) F or P or C i) F or P or C j) F or P or C k) F or P or C l) F or P or C 2. Calculate the total number of possible outcomes. a) In how many different ways can five students be seated in a row of five desks? _________ b) From a wardrobe of 10 sweaters, 8c) In how many different ways can a jeans, and 4 pairs of shoes, how many3-person committee be selected from different outfits consisting of a 6 people? sweater, jeans, and a pair of shoes can a student choose? _________ _________ d) In a random drawing, three names e) In how many different ways can f) In how many different ways can the first, second, and third prize winners letters in the word FACTOR be are chosen to win the same computer. If 30 names are entered inbe chosen in a random drawing if 50 scrambled? the contest, how many different sets people entered a contest? of winners can be chosen? _________ _________ _________ g) A student, taking a true-false test, h) The telephone numbers in a i) How many ways can you choose randomly guesses at every one of the certain area of the city all start with two jellybeans from a bag of 15 10 answers. How many different sets865, and end with four more digits. (order matters & no-replacement)? of answers could be produced? How many possible phone numbers are there in this area of the city? _________ j) How many groups of 3 toys can a child choose to take on a vacation from a toy box containing 11 toys? _________ _________ k) There are 24 students in the class and 5 desks in the front row. How many different ways could the front row be filled out? _________ _________ l) A video store has 27 new release movie posters. How many ways can the manager choose a group of 4 for a prize? _________ HSS-CP.B.9 WORKSHEET #1 2 3. Calculate the total number of possible outcomes. a) In how many different ways can the letters in the word PRIZE be scrambled? b) Each morning a boy chooses his own type of cereal and eggs for breakfast. If he has three types of cereal and four types of eggs from which to choose, how many different breakfasts can he choose? c) A committee of 3 students is to be selected from a d) At a restaurant there are four types of beverages and group of 10 to be on a committee to plan a school trip. six types of sandwiches. How many different orders How many different combinations can be selected? consisting of one beverage and one sandwich are there? e) A map is to be colored using exactly four colors. If f) Each of the entries in a contest is marked with a twoseven different colors are available, in how many groupscharacter code, a letter followed by one of the digits from 0 to 9. How many different character codes are of four colors can be chosen? possible? g) A restaurant menu features 5 different appetizers andh) 10 Standbys are hoping to get on a plane. If there is room for only 3 to make it on the flight. How many 3 different main dishes. A diner decides to order 2 appetizers and 1 main dish. How many such different different groups of 3 could be formed? orders can he make? i) A game contains 15 cards, numbered 1 to 15. How many different ways can you deal out 5 cards if the order they are dealt matters to the game? j) Jeff has 5 T-Shirts, 3 pants, and 4 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits could he make with these items? k) A police lineup of 5 suspects is being created. How many different ways can you arrange these 5 people? l) There are 20 people in a raffle. First pick gets $50, second gets $25 and third gets $10. How many different arrangements of winners could there be? I I I I HSS-CP.B.9 WORKSHEET #1 it Nome: #4- period 1. Read the questions from #2 and then determt^ (F) Fundamental Counting Principle, (P) Permutation a)F or@or c b)F or P or C c)F or P or@ d)F or P or C e)F or@or C f) F or P or C 8@or P or C h)F or P or C i) F or@or C k)F or@or c l) F or P or C j) 2. or (C) Combination. F or P or C Calculate the tota! number of possible outcomes. a) ln how many different ways can b) From a wardrobe of L0 sweaters, I c) ln how many different ways can a five students be seated in a row of jeans, and 4 pairs of shoes, how man 3-person committee be selected fror five desks? different outfits consisting of a 6 people? sweater, jeans, and a pair of shoes C?_ can a student choose? ! 6 3 5 /,a l7-o d) ln a random drawing, three name: e) ln how many different ways can f) ln how many different ways can th are chosen to win the first, second, and third prize winners letters in the word FACTOR be computer. lf 30 names are entered i be chosen in a random drawing if 50 scrambled? the contest, how many different sets people entered a contest? of winners can be same \-- chosen? g)A student, taking a true-false test, randomly Buesses at every one of thr L0 answers. How many different set of answers could be produced? ? gb , ll1,(m a h)The telephone numbers in i) How many ways can you choose certain area of the city all start with two jellybeans from a bag of L5 865, and end with four more digits. (order matters & no-replacement)? How many possible phone numbers are there in this area of the city? JN T ttL alo Prq j) How many groups of 3 toys can a k)There are24 students in the class l) A video store has 27 new release child choose to take on a vacation and 5 desks in the front row. How movie posters. How many ways can from a toy box containing 11 toys? many different ways could the front the manager choose a group of 4 for row be filled zqfs out? a prize? D,uo,,rtro H SS.CP, 3. 8.9 WO RKSH EET # 7 Calculate the 2 total number of possible outcomes. a) ln how many different ways can the letters in the word PRIZE be scrambled? ?. =@ 5 5 b) Each morning a boy chooses his own type of cereal and eggs for breakfast. lf he has three types of cereal and four types of eggs from which to choose, how man' different breakfasts can he choose? \-s- c) A committee of 3 students is to be selected from a d) At a restaurant there are four types of beverages anc group of L0 to be on a committee to plan a school trip. six types of sandwiches. How many different orders How many different combinations can be selected? consisting of one beverage and one sandwich are there Mof - @@ to be colored using exactly four colors. lf f) Each of the entries in a contest is marked with a twoseven different colors are available, in how many group character code, a letter followed by one of the digits of four colors can be chosen? from 0 to 9. How many different character codes are e) A map is *r=@Possibre? @ g) A restaurant menu features 5 different appetizers an h) 10 Standbys are hoping to get on a plane. lf there 3 different main dishes. A diner decides to order 2 room for only 3 to make it on the flight. How many appetizers and 1 main dish. How many such different different groups of 3 could be formed? orders can he make? S ?=@ i) A game contains 15 cards, numbered i. to 15. How many different ways can you deal out 5 cards if the order they are dealt matters to the game? rsPs is j) Jeff has 5 T-Shirts, 3 pants, and 4 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits could he make with these items? :@@ k) A police lineup of 5 suspects is being created. How many different ways can you arrange these 5 people? l) There are 20 people in a raffle. First pick gets 950, second gets S25 and third gets $t0. How many differer arrangements of winners could there be? r 5'5 / l2o
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