March 15, 2015 NYSE: KBR KBR INC BUY A+ A A- HOLD B+ B Annual Dividend Rate $0.32 B- C+ C Annual Dividend Yield 2.12% SELL C- D Beta 1.38 Sector: Industrials KBR BUSINESS DESCRIPTION KBR, Inc. operates as an engineering, construction, and services company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Technology & Consulting, Engineering & Construction, and Government Services. D+ D- E+ E E- F Market Capitalization $2.2 Billion Sub-Industry: Construction & Engineering Weekly Price: (US$) SMA (50) SELL 52-Week Range $14.65-$28.42 RATING SINCE 03/10/2015 Price as of 3/12/2015 $15.05 Source: S&P SMA (100) 1 Year 2 Years 38 35 33 30 28 STOCK PERFORMANCE (%) 3 Mo. Price Change -1.38 1 Yr. -45.67 25 3 Yr (Ann) -25.16 23 20 GROWTH (%) Last Qtr -15.66 -2,116.07 -2,155.26 12 Mo. -11.76 -1,782.66 -1,842.00 3 Yr CAGR -11.24 NA NA RETURN ON EQUITY (%) KBR Q4 2014 -133.97 Q4 2013 3.04 Q4 2012 5.66 Ind Avg 10.48 13.69 11.29 S&P 500 14.59 13.97 13.23 Revenues Net Income EPS 18 15 Rating History HOLD BUY HOLD BUY HOLD Volume in Millions 25 2014 0 2015 COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History P/E COMPARISON RECOMMENDATION We rate KBR INC (KBR) a SELL. This is driven by a few notable weaknesses, which we believe should have a greater impact than any strengths, and could make it more difficult for investors to achieve positive results compared to most of the stocks we cover. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its deteriorating net income, disappointing return on equity, weak operating cash flow, generally disappointing historical performance in the stock itself and feeble growth in its earnings per share. n/m 18.49 19.50 KBR Ind Avg S&P 500 HIGHLIGHTS The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Construction & Engineering industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 2116.1% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from -$56.00 million to -$1,241.00 million. Q3 0.21 Q4 -8.57 Q2 -0.06 Q1 -0.29 Q4 -0.38 Q2 0.61 Q3 -0.32 Q1 0.59 Q4 0.20 Q3 -0.55 Q2 0.70 Q1 0.61 EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) Return on equity has greatly decreased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of major weakness within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Construction & Engineering industry and the overall market, KBR INC's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500. Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to -$8.00 million or 103.70% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing to the industry average, the firm's growth rate is much lower. 2012 2013 2014 NA = not available NM = not meaningful 1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental data items. Despite any intermediate fluctuations, we have only bad news to report on this stock's performance over the last year: it has tumbled by 45.67%, worse than the S&P 500's performance. Consistent with the plunge in the stock price, the company's earnings per share are down 2155.26% compared to the year-earlier quarter. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy. KBR INC has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. The company has reported a trend of declining earnings per share over the past two years. However, the consensus estimate suggests that this trend should reverse in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, KBR INC swung to a loss, reporting -$8.71 versus $0.50 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($1.10 versus -$8.71). This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: March 15, 2015 PAGE 1 March 15, 2015 NYSE: KBR KBR INC Sector: Industrials Construction & Engineering Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $0.32 Annual Dividend Yield 2.12% PEER GROUP ANALYSIS 35% ACM V FA AB OR R VO FA GRAM MTZ DY GVA LE AB -15% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) LE PWR CBI KBR -15% Market Capitalization $2.2 Billion 52-Week Range $14.65-$28.42 Price as of 3/12/2015 $15.05 INDUSTRY ANALYSIS The Construction & Engineering industry includes firms that design, manufacture and install products for the residential & commercial construction and automotive markets. The industry is cyclical in nature, driven by the overall health of the US economy. The level of new construction, renovation and re-sales of houses, interest rate environment, labor costs and the cost of raw materials are predominant factors influencing growth. REVENUE GROWTH AND EBITDA MARGIN* TPC JEC EME Beta 1.38 The US real estate market witnessed dramatic expansion, which translated into radical growth for the building products industry. The strength of the residential market led to a robust M&A environment. However, since the market collapsed, building activity slowed and the industry was sent into turmoil. Nevertheless, worldwide demand for building products is still strong, led by growth in emerging economies and the U.S. real estate market is slowly recovering. Existing home sales in the US plummeted as the sub-prime mortgage crisis dragged down the value and demand for housing. After rising for many years, prices of existing houses that witnessed a sharp decline since the beginning of 2007, a bottoming in 2010, have modestly rebounded. The combination of a slowly improving economy and tight credit has resulted in existing home sales continuing to slowly recover. These factors significantly influence building products demand. 15% EBITDA Margin (TTM) Companies with higher EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates are outperforming companies with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market capitalization between $1.1 Billion and $5.7 Billion. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. *EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization. New home starts and permits also slowed considerably during the real estate recession. Excess office and retail space weaken demand for new non-residential construction. International demand for engineering remains steady, enabling companies with exposure to foreign markets to withstand the effects of the US housing market. Building products sub-sectors face challenges from high shipping costs and timely delivery of products. However, volatility in the housing market, tepid consumer spending and uncertainty in the US economy are bound to effect spending in the home improvement and auto markets in the foreseeable future. Also, the rise in the cost of raw materials, driven by higher energy prices and labor costs, will likely hurt profit margins. REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD 35% PEER GROUP: Construction & Engineering ACM V FA AB OR LE PWR CBI DY R VO FA KBR -60% TPC MTZ JEC EME GVA LE AB -15% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) GRAM 20% Earnings Yield (TTM) Ticker KBR PWR JEC CBI ACM EME MTZ DY GVA GRAM TPC Recent Company Name Price ($) KBR INC 15.05 QUANTA SERVICES INC 28.14 JACOBS ENGINEERING GROUP IN 43.63 CHICAGO BRIDGE & IRON CO 47.28 AECOM INC 29.58 EMCOR GROUP INC 45.10 MASTEC INC 20.25 DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC 45.13 GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC 33.13 GRANA Y MONTERO SA 8.67 TUTOR PERINI CORP 21.66 Market Cap ($M) 2,180 5,744 5,598 5,107 4,599 2,840 1,658 1,535 1,298 1,145 1,054 Price/ Earnings NM 20.84 17.18 9.49 29.00 17.48 14.26 28.93 53.44 11.12 9.85 Net Sales TTM ($M) 6,366.00 7,851.25 12,813.27 12,974.93 10,588.94 6,424.97 4,614.84 1,859.83 2,275.27 2,393.46 4,492.31 Net Income TTM ($M) -1,262.00 296.71 334.46 543.61 69.96 168.66 115.64 54.62 25.35 102.33 107.94 The peer group comparison is based on Major Construction & Engineering companies of comparable size. Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield and high revenue growth are generally more attractive than companies with low revenue growth and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter plot have revenue growth rates between -11.8% and 30.9%. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: March 15, 2015 PAGE 2 March 15, 2015 NYSE: KBR KBR INC Sector: Industrials Construction & Engineering Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $0.32 Annual Dividend Yield 2.12% Beta 1.38 Market Capitalization $2.2 Billion 52-Week Range $14.65-$28.42 Price as of 3/12/2015 $15.05 COMPANY DESCRIPTION KBR, Inc. operates as an engineering, construction, and services company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Technology & Consulting, Engineering & Construction, and Government Services. The Technology & Consulting segment offers various services and solutions, including licensing, engineering and design, proprietary equipment, plant automation, catalysts, and related consulting services to hydrocarbons, chemicals, and fertilizer markets. This segment provides field development and planning, technology selection and optimization of capital spending, offshore integrity management, and structural analysis for production platforms; and feasibility and revamp studies, as well as planning activities related to the development and construction of refining, petrochemical, chemical, and fertilizer complexes. This segment also offers technology related services to semi-submersible hull design and monohull vessels, as well as drillship and floating production, storage, and offshore vessels; technologies for conversion of heavy hydrocarbon streams to fuels in the refining markets, and technologies for the conversion and production of olefins; and ammonia process technology solutions for the ammonia and fertilizer markets, as well as clean coal gasification technology. The Engineering & Construction segment provides engineering and EPC services for the development, construction, and commissioning of projects in the offshore, onshore and liquefied natural gas, and gas-to-liquids markets; and liquefaction, regasification, floating LNG, and floating storage and regasification units. The Government Services segment offers construction, refurbishment, operations and maintenance of housing, and other facilities for military personnel, as well as operations support, embassy and other life support programs, heavy equipment transportation, and police facilities management integration services. KBR, Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. STOCK-AT-A-GLANCE Below is a summary of the major fundamental and technical factors we consider when determining our overall recommendation of KBR shares. It is provided in order to give you a deeper understanding of our rating methodology as well as to paint a more complete picture of a stock's strengths and weaknesses. It is important to note, however, that these factors only tell part of the story. To gain an even more comprehensive understanding of our stance on the stock, these factors must be assessed in combination with the stock’s valuation. Please refer to our Valuation section on page 5 for further information. KBR INC 601 Jefferson Street, Suite 3400 Houston, TX 77002 USA Phone: 713-753-3011 http://www.kbr.com THESTREET RATINGS RESEARCH METHODOLOGY FACTOR SCORE 0.5 Growth out of 5 stars weak Measures the growth of both the company's income statement and cash flow. On this factor, KBR has a growth score better than virtually none of the stocks we rate strong 0.5 Total Return out of 5 stars weak Measures the historical price movement of the stock. The stock performance of this company ranks at the bottom of the companies we cover. strong 0.5 Efficiency out of 5 stars weak Measures the strength and historic growth of a company's return on invested capital. The company ranks at the bottom of companies we review for income generated per dollar of capital. strong 1.0 Price volatility out of 5 stars weak Measures the volatility of the company's stock price historically. The stock is less volatile than 10% of the stocks we monitor. strong 2.0 Solvency out of 5 stars weak Measures the solvency of the company based on several ratios. The company is more solvent than 30% of the companies we analyze. strong 4.0 Income out of 5 stars weak Measures dividend yield and payouts to shareholders. The company's dividend is higher than 70% of the companies we track. strong TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: March 15, 2015 PAGE 3 March 15, 2015 NYSE: KBR KBR INC Sector: Industrials Construction & Engineering Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $0.32 Annual Dividend Yield 2.12% Consensus EPS Estimates² ($) IBES consensus estimates are provided by Thomson Financial 0.17 Q1 FY15 1.10 E 1.30 E 2015(E) 2016(E) Market Capitalization $2.2 Billion 52-Week Range $14.65-$28.42 Price as of 3/12/2015 $15.05 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS KBR INC's gross profit margin for the fourth quarter of its fiscal year 2014 has significantly decreased when compared to the same period a year ago. Sales and net income have dropped, although the growth in revenues underperformed the average competitor within the industry, the net income growth did not. KBR INC has average liquidity. Currently, the Quick Ratio is 1.16 which shows that technically this company has the ability to cover short-term cash needs. The company's liquidity has decreased from the same period last year, indicating deteriorating cash flow. At the same time, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has significantly decreased by 61.75% from the same quarter last year. Together, the key liquidity measurements indicate that it is relatively unlikely that the company will face financial difficulties in the near future. STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com. INCOME STATEMENT Net Sales ($mil) EBITDA ($mil) EBIT ($mil) Net Income ($mil) Beta 1.38 Q4 FY14 1,417.00 -206.00 -223.00 -1,241.00 Q4 FY13 1,680.00 -41.00 -60.00 -56.00 Q4 FY14 987.00 4,199.00 73.00 942.00 Q4 FY13 1,107.00 5,438.00 88.00 2,463.00 Q4 FY14 -10.23% -14.53% -15.74% 1.52 -30.05% -133.97% Q4 FY13 1.55% -2.44% -3.57% 1.33 1.37% 3.04% Q4 FY14 1.26 0.07 NA NA Q4 FY13 1.53 0.03 2.00 -30.00 Q4 FY14 145 0.08 -8.57 6.50 NA 2,250,946 Q4 FY13 148 0.08 -0.38 16.62 NA 2,201,340 BALANCE SHEET Cash & Equiv. ($mil) Total Assets ($mil) Total Debt ($mil) Equity ($mil) PROFITABILITY Gross Profit Margin EBITDA Margin Operating Margin Sales Turnover Return on Assets Return on Equity DEBT Current Ratio Debt/Capital Interest Expense Interest Coverage SHARE DATA Shares outstanding (mil) Div / share EPS Book value / share Institutional Own % Avg Daily Volume 2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to use of median consensus estimates. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: March 15, 2015 PAGE 4 March 15, 2015 NYSE: KBR KBR INC Sector: Industrials Construction & Engineering Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate $0.32 Annual Dividend Yield 2.12% RATINGS HISTORY Our rating for KBR INC was recently downgraded from Hold to Sell on 3/10/2015. As of 3/12/2015, the stock was trading at a price of $15.05 which is 47.1% below its 52-week high of $28.42 and 2.7% above its 52-week low of $14.65. SELL: $14.99 BUY: $34.32 HOLD: $29.87 HOLD: $30.70 BUY: $31.20 HOLD: $31.24 2 Year Chart $30 To Sell Hold Buy Hold Buy Hold RATINGS DEFINITIONS & DISTRIBUTION OF THESTREET RATINGS (as of 3/12/2015) 47.24% Buy - We believe that this stock has the opportunity to appreciate and produce a total return of more than 10% over the next 12 months. 29.44% Hold - We do not believe this stock offers conclusive evidence to warrant the purchase or sale of shares at this time and that its likelihood of positive total return is roughly in balance with the risk of loss. 23.32% Sell - We believe that this stock is likely to decline by more than 10% over the next 12 months, with the risk involved too great to compensate for any possible returns. Research Contact: 212-321-5381 Sales Contact: 866-321-8726 2 3 Price as of 3/12/2015 $15.05 4 5 KBR NM Peers 18.49 • Neutral. The absence of a valid P/E ratio happens when a stock can not be valued on the basis of a negative stream of earnings. • KBR's P/E is negative making this valuation measure meaningless. 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 premium 4 5 Price/Sales 1 2 premium 3 4 5 Price to Earnings/Growth 4 5 discount 1 2 3 premium 4 5 discount KBR NA Peers 7.47 • Neutral. The PEG ratio is the stock’s P/E divided by the consensus estimate of long-term earnings growth. Faster growth can justify higher price multiples. • Ratio not available. Earnings Growth 1 2 3 4 lower 5 higher KBR -1842.00 Peers -82.25 • Lower. Elevated earnings growth rates can lead to capital appreciation and justify higher price-to-earnings ratios. • However, KBR is expected to significantly trail its peers on the basis of its earnings growth rate. Sales Growth discount KBR 0.34 Peers 0.47 • Discount. In the absence of P/E and P/B multiples, the price-to-sales ratio can display the value investors are placing on each dollar of sales. • KBR is trading at a significant discount to its industry on this measurement. 3 KBR 12.82 Peers 25.20 • Discount. The P/CF ratio, a stock’s price divided by the company's cash flow from operations, is useful for comparing companies with different capital requirements or financing structures. • KBR is trading at a significant discount to its peers. discount KBR 2.31 Peers 1.81 • Premium. A higher price-to-book ratio makes a stock less attractive to investors seeking stocks with lower market values per dollar of equity on the balance sheet. • KBR is trading at a significant premium to its peers. 2 premium discount KBR 11.58 Peers 13.48 • Average. An average price-to-projected earnings ratio can signify an industry neutral stock price and average future growth expectations. • KBR is trading at a valuation on par with its peers. Price/Book 1 Price/CashFlow discount premium Price reflects the closing price as of the date listed, if available TheStreet Ratings 14 Wall Street, 15th Floor New York, NY 10005 www.thestreet.com 1 premium Price/Projected Earnings From Hold Buy Hold Buy Hold Hold 52-Week Range $14.65-$28.42 VALUATION SELL. This stock’s P/E ratio is negative, making its value useless in the assessment of premium or discount valuation, only displaying that the company has negative earnings per share. Conducting a second comparison, its price-to-book ratio of 2.31 indicates a discount versus the S&P 500 average of 2.75 and a premium versus the industry average of 1.81. The current price-to-sales ratio is well below the S&P 500 average and is also below the industry average, indicating a discount. After reviewing these and other key valuation criteria, KBR INC proves to trade at a premium to investment alternatives within the industry. Price/Earnings 2014 MOST RECENT RATINGS CHANGES Date Price Action 3/10/15 $14.99 Downgrade 12/18/13 $29.87 Downgrade 10/28/13 $34.32 Upgrade 8/8/13 $30.70 Downgrade 5/13/13 $31.20 Upgrade 3/12/13 $31.24 No Change Market Capitalization $2.2 Billion $40 $20 2013 Beta 1.38 1 2 3 lower 4 5 higher KBR -11.76 Peers 5.20 • Lower. A sales growth rate that trails the industry implies that a company is losing market share. • KBR significantly trails its peers on the basis of sales growth DISCLAIMER: The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but TheStreet Ratings cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon. Data is provided via the COMPUSTAT® Xpressfeed product from Standard &Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., as well as other third-party data providers. TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes, or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Your use of this report is governed by TheStreet, Inc.'s Terms of Use found at http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: March 15, 2015 PAGE 5
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