OUTLINE (Public) Health Economics o What is economics o What is health economics o Why health economics is important o Three basic economic problems in any health care system o Health care system : objectives, basic questions o Efficiency and equity o Wants, demands and needs o Is health care different o Economic evaluation WORALUCK HIMAKALASA MARCH 25, 2015 CONSUMERS PRODUCERS AND GOVERNMENT WHAT IS ECONOMICS Limited Resources Choice Efficiency Government Limited Unbalance Unlimited Resources Goods and Services Human Wants Economics : the study of how people choose to allocate scarce resources to satisfy their Behavior unlimited wants Producers Goods and Services Consumers Profit Maximization Rational Behavior Utility Maximization THE THREE BASIC ECONOMIC QUESTIONS ECONOMIC SYSTEM Economic System Limited or scarce resources Capitalism • Free - Enterprise System or Market System • An economy in which most economic decisions are made by private households and firms. • The basic coordinating mechanism is price. (price theory) The three basic question What to Produce? How to Produce? Resource allocation determines the quantities of various goods that are produced. Which of the available methods of production is used to produce each of the goods • Labor Intensive • Capital Intensive For whom to Produce? Who gets a lot, who gets a little, and why? HEALTH ECONOMICS : WHAT ? The application of economic theory, models and empirical techniques to the analysis of decision making by individuals, health care providers and governments with respect to health and health care. Mixed Economy Central Planning System • Command Economies • Most economic decisions are made by a central planning authority HEALTH ECONOMICS : WHAT ? Health care resources are limited or scarce at a given time, and wants are limitless. o Health economics is defined in terms of the determination and allocation of health care resources. Health care resources are limited or scarce at a given time, and wants are limitless. o Health care resources consist of Medical supplies : pharmaceutical goods, latex rubber gloves, bed linens Personnel : physicians, lab assistants Capital input : nursing home and hospital facilities, diagnostic and therapeutic equipment and other item that provide medical care services Source : Morris S. Devlin N. and Parkin D. , Economic Analysis in Health care, West Sussex, England, 2007 p.2 Source : Rexford E. Santerre and Stephen P. Neue, Health Economics : Theories, Insights and Industry Studies, Irwin, Chicago, 2007 p.4 INPUT : Selected Indicators Of Health Expenditure Ratios WHY HEALTH ECONOMICS IS IMPORTANT INPUT Increasing Health Care Cost and Expenditure o Health care expenditure as a percentage of GDP o Medical price index vs. consumer price index PROCESS OUTPUT Difficulties of Access o Special problem : by particular groups in society e.g. the poor o General problem : by reason of location Discrepancy of Health Levels o Within a nation o Among nation country Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Lao P.D.R Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Total expenditure on health as % of GDP General government expenditure on health as % of total expenditure on health Per capita total expenditure on health (PPP int. $) 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 3.0 6.3 2.0 3.3 3.0 2.1 3.2 2.7 3.4 5.3 2.2 5.6 2.9 2.8 3.8 1.8 4.4 4.2 4.1 6.8 86.5 20.5 36.1 35.1 55.8 14.2 47.6 45.0 56.1 30.9 92.0 22.6 37.9 49.4 55.2 15.9 36.9 33.3 77.7 45.2 1,274 59 47 39 282 12 76 954 168 72 1,179 129 132 75 619 23 182 2556 372 227 Source : World Health Statistics 2014 OUTPUT : Probability Of Dying And Life Expectancy At Birth (Year 2012) Probability of Dying (Per 1000) country Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Lao P.D.R Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Infant Undermortality five mortality rate rate 7 34 26 54 7 41 24 2 11 18 8 40 31 72 9 52 30 3 13 23 Between ages 15 and 60 years Life Expectancy at Birth (Years) Healthy life expectancy (HALE) at birth Males Females Males Females Males Females 104 212 178 202 172 242 258 68 182 191 71 161 124 163 89 184 138 42 90 69 76 70 69 64 72 64 65 80 71 71 78 75 73 67 76 68 72 85 79 80 68 59 61 56 63 56 57 74 63 62 69 63 64 58 66 58 63 77 68 69 THREE BASIC ECONOMIC PROBLEMS IN ANY HEALTH CARE SYSTEM WHAT ? What types of medical goods and services should be produced ? Should the most expensive tests (such as angiograms) be performed without regard to cost ? What treatments (such as balloon angioplasties) should be provided? HOW ? What inputs should be used to produce the medical goods and services ? Should the hospital use high-tech medical equipment, a large nursing stuff, or both ? FOR WHOM ? Who should receive the medical goods and services ? Would a person receive care merely because he/she is a citizen, or would he/she recive care only if he/she worked for a large company that provides health insurance for its employees ? Source : Rexford E. Santerre and Stephen P. Neue, Health Economics : Theories, Insights and Industry Studies, Irwin, Chicago, 2007 p.3 Source : World Health Statistics 2014 OPPORTUNITY COST Opportunity cost : example Choice Trade-offs Opportunity cost Opportunity cost Is this good value for money UK : recommendation by the NICE that the NHS (National Health Service) should fund in-vitro fertilization (IVF) services for infertility One course of IVF : NHS pays around £2700 The resources devoted to each IVF patient could instead by used to provide the following. One-third of a cochlear implant the benefits forgone from those same resources not being used in their next best alternative One heart bypass operation Efficiency Equity Eleven cataract removals 150 vaccination for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) Half a junior school teaching assistant for a year 2,000 school dinners Source : Morris S. Devlin N. and Parkin D. , Economic Analysis in Health care, West Sussex, England, 2007 p.3 HEALTH CARE SYSTEM : OBJECTIVES Source : Morris S. Devlin N. and Parkin D. , Economic Analysis in Health care, West Sussex, England, 2007 p.4-5 ECONOMIC SYSTEM AND THE BASIC QUESTIONS Market system Choice Trade-offs Opportunity cost Efficiency Equity What, How For whom Economic (or health care) system Efficiency Price serves as a rationing mechanism Goods and services are distributed in market based solely on each person’s willingness and ability to pay Problem : financial barrier to obtaining goods and services Central Planning System Equity Ensuring everyone receives an equal share of goods and services Problem : fewer goods and services may be available for distribution EFFICIENCY Market system + Central Planning System Mixed system Efficiency + Equity Allocative Efficiency : what is the best way to allocate resources to different consumption uses? What mix of nonmedical and medical goods and services should be produced in the macroeconomy? What mix of medical goods and services should be produced in the health economy? Production Efficiency : society is getting the maximum output from its limited resources What specific health care resources should be used to produce the chosen medical goods and services? A capital- or labor-intensive manner? meeting a given objective at least cost producing exactly what society wants Source : Rexford E. Santerre and Stephen P. Neue, Health Economics : Theories, Insights and Industry Studies, Irwin, Chicago, 2007 p.4 WANTS, DEMANDS AND NEEDS EQUITY Equity vs. Equality ‘ … equity, like beauty, is in the mind of the beholder… ’ Want vs. Demand Demand : the willingness and ability to pay WANT DEMAND (Mclachlan & Maynard, 1982) Equity means a fair distribution, with the implication that it may not Health & Health Consumers always be fair to be equal. services ????? Pure market system vs. perfect egalitarian system Horizontal equity / Vertical equity Horizontal equity : the equal treatment of equals Vertical equity : the unequal treatment of unequals Demand for Health Demand for Health services Need for Health services Demand & Need ????? DEMAND FOR HEALTH DEMAND FOR HEALTH SERVICES According to Michael Grossman, consumers have a “demand for health” for 2 reasons : 1. Health is a “consumption” commodity 2. Health is an “investment” commodity Demand of Health it makes the consumer feel better Demand of Health Services derived demand The quantity of good or service which an individual or group desires at the ruling price or other relevant factors. Quantity Demanded for Health Services prices of substitutes and complements, tastes and and quality of care) medical care 1. Normative need : occurs where people have a standard of health care below that which the health care expert defines as desirable. This desirable standard may vary between experts. 2. Felt need : occurs where people want health care; ie., it relates to the individual’s perceptions as regards health care, which clearly may conflict with others’ views of their wants, e.g. hypochondriacs. 3. Expressed need : is felt need converted into demand by seeking health care from a doctor. 4. Comparative need : occurs where on group in society with given health characteristics does not receive health care whereas others with identical characteristics are in receipt of care. f (out-of pocket price, real income, travel and time costs, preferences, rate of health depreciation, stock of health, using a variety of means: diet, exercise, lifestyle choices and NEED FOR HEALTH SERVICES = CONSUMERS PRODUCERS AND GOVERNMENT Limited Resources Government Producers Goods and Services Consumers Profit Maximization Rational Behavior Utility Maximization COMPETITION IS HEALTH CARE DIFFERENT PERFECTLY COMPETITIVE MARKET Market structure Kenneth J. Arrow, “Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical 1. Many buyers and many sellers in the market Care”, American Economic Review, Vol. 53, 1963, p. 941 – 73 2. Homogeneous Product 3. Freedom of entry or exit 4. Free mobility Special characteristics of the medical-care market 5. Perfect knowledge IS HEALTH CARE DIFFERENT (cont.) Special characteristics of the medical-care market The Government intervention nature of demand : Irregular and Unpredictable Expected behavior of the physician : Agency Relationship HEALTH CARE SYSTEM : OBJECTIVES Scarcity Choice Trade-offs Opportunity cost Product Uncertainty : recovery from disease is as unpredictable as its incidence Supply conditions : entry to the profession is restricted by licensing Pricing practices : extensive price discrimination by income : occur when a third party receives some benefit or suffers some loss without explicitly choosing to do so Efficiency Externalities Source : Kenneth J. Arrow, “Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care”, American Economic Review, Vol.53, 1963 p.941-73 Economic Evaluation Equity ECONOMIC EVALUATION Measurement of cost and consequences in economic evaluation Type of Study Measurement/valu ation of costs in both alternative “ The comparative analysis of alternative courses of action in terms of both their costs and consequences” (Drummond et al, 2005) Economic evaluation is not Cost minimization analysis (CMA) Monetary units Identification of consequences Measurement/valuation of consequences None None Cost-effectiveness Monetary units analysis (CEA) Single effect of interest, common to both alternatives, but achieved to different degrees Natural units (e.g. life-years gained, disability-days saved, points of blood pressure reduction etc.) Cost-utility analysis Monetary units (CUA) Single or multiple effect, not Healthy years (typically necessarity common to both measured as qualityalternatives adjusted life-years) Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) Single or multiple effect, not necessarily common to both alternatives “choosing the cheapest” Monetary units Monetary units Source : Drummond et al.(2005) I. COST (MINIMIZATION) ANALYSIS (CMA) I. COST (MINIMIZATION) ANALYSIS : EXAMPLE Involves comparison between two or more alternative interventions Lowson et al.(1981) ; the comparative costs of three methods of providing whose outcomes are assumed to be exactly the same Therefore economic evaluation is based solely on comparative costs. The option that has the lowest costs will be preferred Highly constrained and infrequent long-term oxygen therapy in the home : oxygen cylinders, liquid oxygen, and the oxygen concentrator the relative effectiveness of the three methods was not a contentious issue Cost Analysis Cost-of-illness e.g. economic cost of obesity (BMI ≥ 25 kilogram/metre2), alcohol consumption, HIV/AIDS, drug abuse, … II. COST - EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS (CEA) In CEA, outcomes are measured in natural or physical units e.g. diseases cured, diseases prevented, lived saved, Years of lives saved, heart attacks avoided, case detected … Cannot be used to compare interventions - most suitable when interventions with the same health aims are being compared Result : Ratio cost per unit of effect (e.g. cost / LY gained) effect per unit of cost (e.g. heart attacks avoided / cost) III. COST - UTILITY ANALYSIS (CUA) II. COST - EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS : Example Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hypertensive Elderly Service: Outpatient Department and Primary Care Unit of Hua Hin Hospital in Prachuap Khiri Khan Province, Thailand (Sasithorn Suratannon et al., 2009) Effectiveness : the average reduction in the systolic blood pressure Results Outpatient Department C/E ratio = 75.05 Bt/mmHg Primary Care Unit C/E ratio = 32.60 Bt/mmHg III. COST - UTILITY ANALYSIS : Example Cost / QALYs ( 1990, £ ) In CUA, the outcomes are measured in healthy years, to which a value has been attached CUA is multidimensional and incorporates considerations of quality of life as well as quantity of life using a generic outcome Generic outcome, e.g. quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) Healthy years equivalent (HYE) Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) Useful for health treatments or programs that extend life only at the expense of side-effects (e.g. chemotherapy for certain types of cancer) Result: Cost per healthy years (e.g. cost/QALY) Cholesterol and diet therapy 220 Neurological intervention for head injury 240 GP advice to stop smoking 270 Hip replacement 1,180 Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), severe angina 2,090 Kidney transplant 4,710 Breast cancer screening 5,780 Heart transplantation 7,840 Home haemodialysis 17,260 Hospital haemodialysis 21,790 Neurosurgical malignant intracranial tumor 107,780 IV. COST - BENEFIT ANALYSIS (CBA) CBA requires program consequences to be valued in monetary units, so as to make them commensurate with the costs Useful for comparing interventions with many diverse outcomes most appropriate for economic evaluation of intersectoral interventions Result : Net benefit or cost-benefit ratio. CBAs rarely used in health care Health economics plays, or should play, an important role in policy and IV. COST - BENEFIT ANALYSIS : Example Rubella vaccination program young children aged of 2 years Cost : $ 6,000,000 Benefit : $ 46,000,000 Net Benefit = $ 40,000,000 B/C ratio = 7.7 only girls aged of 12 years Cost : $ 3,000,000 Benefit : $ 73,600,000 Net Benefit = $ 70,600,000 B/C ratio = 24.5 REFERENCES operational decisions regarding, among others: the appropriate role of government, markets and the private sector in the health sector; resource allocation and mobilization that affect the equity and efficiency of public spending on health; resource transfer mechanisms to hospitals and health care providers and the incentive systems that underlie them; health system organizational structures and linkages between the levels; health facility organizational structures; and mechanisms to change behaviors of the population and health system providers in order to achieve better health. Source: worldbank.org Drummond, M. F. et al. (2005) Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programmes. Oxford : Oxford University Press. Gray, Alistair M. et al. (2010) Applied Methods of Cost-effectiveness Analysis in Healthcare. Oxford : Oxford University Press. Kenneth J. Arrow. (1963) “Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care”. American Economic Review, Vol.53. p.941-73. Morris S. Devlin N. and Parkin D. (2007) Economic Analysis in Health care. West Sussex, England. Muennig, P. (2008) Cost-effectiveness analyses in health : a practical approach. Imprint San Francisco : Jossey-Bass. Rexford E. Santerre and Stephen P. Neue. (2007) Health Economics : Theories, Insights and Industry Studies, Irwin, Chicago. Thailand Health Profile Report 2008 - 2010 World Health Statistics 2014 รายงานภาระโรคและการบาดเจ็บของประชากรไทย พ.ศ. 2554
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