Delphi Scenario F, 1st Round

MECH 896 Winter 2015 Workshop 8: Scenario F Round 1 (rev1)
MECH 896
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Oral
Presentation
Template
Project
Report
Template
(Mar 24
and 26)
(due Tues,
Mar 24,
12:30pm)
Posted on
Assignment page
MECH 896
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Delphi Scenario F (multi, 15 wks, $50k, 85%)
Simulation Workshop
Senior management expects you to release a new printer that
contains an advanced feature involving new technology (scope is
multi). This new technology exists but it is in a nascent state and is
still in flux. Your R&D team is working on refining it, but there’s still a
lot you don’t know about it (need for prototyping warning). To make
matters more complicated, you think your main competitor might also
be working on incorporating this technology into their new offering
(increase in scope warning), though your market intelligence on
exactly what they’re doing is incomplete and probably unreliable.
Schedule is tight on this project (15 weeks), since management would
like to release the printer containing this advanced feature before the
competition, but your budget is also substantially higher due to
expected development complications ($50k).
MECH 896: Week 6 (Mar 12)
Scenario F: Round One
Meeting Budget and Schedule
3
3
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Scenario F, Round One – maximize score
4
4
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Result after Week 1
For Mar 12, in 10 runs or less, maximize your score (and try to
meet target cost). Everyone starts with Week 1 conditions.
Scoring: scope=300, schedule=200, cost=400, process=100
Events
1) Car accident (wk7)
2) Technology failure (wk10)
3) More tasks (wk11)
4) Materials shortage (wk 14/15)
15 x $3,333 = $50k
or
$50k/200 = $250/task
5
1
MECH 896 Winter 2015 Workshop 8: Scenario F Round 1 (rev1)
MECH 896
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Scenario F: Round One - Scoring
In written submission, include screen shot of your
best run (and state the score, 496 in this case)
3 students
got above
700
Max 744
Avg 666
Min 572
8
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Scenario F: Round One - Cost
2 students
got below
$50k
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Scenario F: Round One - Schedule
Max $80.7k
Avg $61.9k
Min $47.9k
Max 23
Avg 17
Min 10
Target $50.0k
9
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Highest Score
Lowest Cost
10
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Apoorv’s Strategy (744 highest, $47.9k lowest)
12
12
2
MECH 896 Winter 2015 Workshop 8: Scenario F Round 1 (rev1)
MECH 896
Queen’s University
2nd Highest Score
2nd Lowest Cost
MECH 896
Queen’s University
Samta’s Strategy (714 as 2nd , $49.8k as 2nd)
14
14
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Queen’s University
MECH 896
Homework next week (Wed March 18 @ 11pm)
1) Resubmit H8, with enough detail in Adopted Response
column of the table, such that a fellow student could
reproduce the score of your submitted best run in H8.
Different strategies,
but same result ?
2) Write 1000 words (“word count” from Review tab in Word)
a) lessons learned from simulation
b) weaknesses in simulation (anything misleading ?)
Formal template to be posted on March 17, along lines of:
•
•
•
•
•
How to stay on budget
How to stay on schedule
Team productivity and morale
Contingency planning
Relationships between all of the above
3