MARKET UPDATE WHY THE MARKET WILL BE FLAT & WHY THAT’S GOOD Q2 MARK IWAMOTO, MBA, Chief Investment Officer 2015 IN THIS ISSUE 1 WHY THE MARKET WILL BE FLAT (THIS YEAR) AND WHY THAT’S GOOD 1 THE NUMBERS 1 APRIEM WEBSITE 2 THE ESSENCE OF ESTATE PLANNING 2 2015 WOW CALENDAR 3 APRIEM CARES 4 AROUND THE OFFICE There’s a lot going on in the world financial markets this year but the one constant is that everyone’s favorite stock market index, the S&P 500, is still grinding higher. After falling by two-thirds from 2007-2009, the S&P has been on a tear as indexing has regained its popularity even after investors rode the index down during the Great Recession. As performance chasers keep piling into the S&P attracted by the well-known names in the index, its recent success, and the strong U.S. dollar, we see the index at somewhat of an inflection point. That does not necessarily correlate to a bearish stance on the S&P, but it does mean that many of the other indices that have not kept up with the S&P in the past six years may well begin to play catch-up. And this phenomenon would be a healthy overall scenario for stocks in general. One noteworthy positive scenario we outlined in my last write-up. And so far that seems to be happening. Through April 24th of this year, the S&P has been the laggard while performance of other indices dwarf its year to date return. While the first 100 days of 2015 does not indicate a trend, longer term trends gather momentum as discrepancies in returns increase in magnitude. THE NUMBERS As of 04/28/2015 R e f INDEX YTD Return e r S&P 500 +2.71% e n MSCI EAFE +9.62% c BLOOMBERG e -2.17% COMMODITY s : I n U.S. TREASURY YIELDS t e 5 YEAR 1.30% r a 10 YEAR 1.97% c t 30 YEAR 2.67% i v e References: Interactive Data, MSCI Barra, Dow Jones and S&PD a t a , M S C I A broadening out of more stocks participating in gains in the market in the future makes for a more sustainable and durable advance. So could the S&P 500 actually stall out or maybe even fall back as other indices post gains? Absolutely. Many of the large cap market leaders are now over owned by institutional investors and mutual funds. While this over allocation has been working, there will come a time that prudent rebalancing of portfolio risk and portfolio diversification takes place. And this usually happens when investor (Continued on Page 3) APRIEM WEBSITE REVISITED BENJAMIN LAU, CFA, Portfolio Manager Have you been our website recently? On April 15, 2015 we changed the layout to make it more interactive and easier to navigate. Beyond that, you can now read our blogs to get updated with what’s going on with the markets and around our office. We also added a dedicated page for Women Of Wisdom (WOW). www.apriem.com WEALTH PLANNING WOMEN OF WISDOM (WOW) THE ESSENCE OF ESTATE PLANNING 2015 WOW CALENDAR WILLIAM PUGH, CFP®, Wealth Manager We updated our calendar of events to give you more timely and relevant educational seminars. Since none of us know the exact day and time we will die, time is the essence of a good estate plan. MEGAN PIERPONT, Wealth Manager May 13 Having a good estate plan requires the self-realization that we will not live forever. So given this fact, what will happen to all of our stuff, and who is going to take care of my overall wellbeing if I am not able? As you ponder this thought, either a sense of angst or peace will follow. If you have angst then you probably need to do an evaluation of your current estate plan. May 27 1. “Just do it!” as the popular shoe company would say. Creating a well thought out estate plan can be overwhelming and like most overwhelming tasks in life, it's easy to procrastinate. The hard truth is that the absence of a plan will put loved ones in a very burdensome reality. The basic estate planning documents include a Living Trust, Wills, Power of Attorney, and Health Care Directives. In the event of death or incapacity without these documents, the state will step in and begin a probate proceeding or a conservatorship. These proceedings are costly, time consuming, and stressful for the family. Jul. 10 Jun. 9 Jun. 16 Aug. 13 Aug. 27 Sep. 17 Sep. 24 Oct. 14 2. Funding the trust as is important as drafting the trust document itself. A trust is ineffective if your assets (property and investment accounts) are not titled in the name of the trust. This is a common mistake made by many so it's important to make sure all your assets are titled correctly. 3. Conduct a review of your retirement accounts and life insurance policies to make sure that your primary and contingent beneficiaries are named properly. Play out differing scenarios to make sure that you understand exactly how these assets will be treated both from a succession plan and a tax planning perspective. Doing so could save the family from additional stress and unnecessary taxes. 4. Death is not the only reason to create a plan. An unexpected or long term disability can have a bigger impact on your personal and financial affairs. Prepare for who might raise your children, who will handle your finances, and who will make health care decisions if you were to become incompetent or disabled. You can do this by having a Health Care Directive and proper Durable Power of Attorneys in place. 5. In naming your successor trustees, it is important to make sure that they are trust worthy, capable, and willing to help. For example, you should place control of your assets in the hands of a person who is financially healthy themselves and has an understanding of the roles and responsibilities of a successor trustee. If you cannot determine a competent individual successor trustee, it may make sense to name a corporate trustee to assume the role of trustee after you pass. 6. Planning ahead will help ensure that your estate tax exemption amount will be fully utilized to your advantage. Under the current estate tax law for 2015, each individual can pass on up to $5.43 million dollars of assets to their heirs, estate tax free. Amounts in excess of this can be subject to taxation of approximately 40%. (Continued on Page 3) Oct. 23 Nov. 10 Nov. 19 “Spring Cleaning your Finances” over High Tea Megan Pierpont, Wealth Manager “Driving Solo” Susan Alpert, Author Medicare Overview Jeffrey Rodriguez, Social Security Administration & Susan Zajfen, Council of Aging of Orange Investments 101 Benjamin Lau, CFA®, Portfolio Manager Economic Update Mark Iwamoto, Chief Investment Officer/Principal Alzheimer’s Research Update Linda Scheck, Director with UCI Mind Budgeting 201 Rhonda Ducote, Senior Wealth Manager Estate Planning over Wine & Cheese Tiffany Chiu, Estate Attorney & Harmon Kong, CFP®, Principal/Chief Wealth Manager Investments 101 Benjamin Lau, CFA®, Portfolio Manager College Planning and Funding Amy Mendelson, M.A., College Counselor Overview: Total View/Apriem/Schwab websites Shawn Covarrubias, Operations Manager Social Security Overview Jeffrey Rodriguez, Social Security Administration Holiday Celebration Jeff Brooks, Macy’s Corporate Sales Manager To RSVP, please call our office or email Shawn Covarrubias, Operations Manager at [email protected]. Here’s an overview of some of our previous WOW events. January 22, 2015 Economic Update with Benjamin Lau, CFA, Principal/ Portfolio Manager held at Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse in Newport Beach. He gave you some market updates and our economic outlook for 2015. February 12, 2015 Senior Identity Theft & Financial Scams with our guest speaker Kathleen Weidner, Esq. from the Council on Aging OC. If you missed this event, read Megan Pierpont’s, Wealth Manager blog in our website apriem.com. February 26, 2015 Budgeting 101 with Rhonda Ducote, Principal/Senior Wealth Manager who taught you how to create a budget and stick to it. March 11, 2015 Charitable Planning with our guest speaker Julia Gordon, Senior Relationship Manager from Schwab Charitable who taught you how to reach your charitable goals with tax-smart investing. Women Of Wisdom focuses on the unique financial needs of women just like you. We invite you to participate so you can become more CONFIDENT and expand your knowledge of financial issues and topics. We are all UNIQUE but share one desire to grow as women in wisdom. Come let us celebrate, encourage, embrace and educate you. APRIEM CARES SPIRIT OF VOLUNTEERISM JENNIFER NECIR, Financial Analyst Here at Apriem Advisors, volunteerism is part of our corporate culture and we encourage and support our employees to give back to their communities. Here are some of the highlights in the early part of 2015. April 14, 2015 William Pugh, CFP®, Wealth Manager received the OneOC 2015 Spirit of Volunteerism Award for his inspiring contribution to the Leadership Board for Seneca-Orange County, a non-profit organization that focuses on helping children find permanency. The event was held at the Grand Ballroom at Anaheim’s Disneyland Hotel. This is the largest gathering of nonprofit supporters in Orange County. Congratulations, Bill! Apriem is proud of you. BILL WAS NAMED THE 2015 SPIRIT OF VOLUNTEERISM AWARDEE March 28, 2015 Rhonda Ducote, Principal & Senior Wealth Manager and Shawn Covarrubias, Operations Manager attended the Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation Dream Gala. This night is dedicated to raising funds to help find a cure for Type 1 Diabetes. March 28, 2015 Harmon Kong, CFP®, Principal & Chief Wealth Manager attended the Jessie Rees Foundation NEGU Gala. This organization is dedicated to encouraging kids and families fighting cancer to Never Ever Give Up. (L-R: Bill Pugh, OneOC President/CEO Daniel McQuaid, and Seneca-OC Regional Director Allison Maxon, Seneca-OC Leadership Board Member Carl Neisser, and Seneca-OC Leadership Board Chair Albin Gess.) Continued from Page 4 Continued from Page 2 Continued from Page 1 Around the Office Wealth Planning March 16-18, 2015 Rhonda Ducote, Senior Wealth Manager went to the 2015 RIA Summit held in Westin Lake, Las Vegas, NV. This summit unites an exclusive group of Registered Investment Advisors and CIOs of Family Offices with top economists, analysts, solution partners, and innovators in the field. 7. Tax law as well as personal circumstances change. It's important to review your plan periodically for potential changes with a competent estate attorney or advisor that has expertise in this area. Market Update euphoria starts to dissipate and fear starts to outpace greed. March 18, 2015 Jennifer Necir attended the 2015 Schwab Investment Outlook, a conference held at the Balboa Bay Club in Newport Beach. She heard from speakers Greg Valliere of Potomac Investment Research Group talk about his view of Washington and Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab’s Senior Vice President & Chief Investment Strategist share her economic and market perspective. The event was moderated by Trish Regan of Fox Business News. March 27, 2015 Rhonda Ducote, Megan Pierpont, Shawn Covarrubias, and Julie These are just a couple of topics to be aware of. Other topics might come up and being proactive and partnering with a good financial planner can ensure that you are well informed and well prepared. This scenario of an unwinding of the over owned S&P 500 index does not have to end badly as long as one is diversified within other asset classes and other nonU.S. equities and fixed income. Now is the time to begin looking elsewhere for alpha generation in one’s portfolio. Alpha is used to measure performance on a risk adjusted basis. As an investor, we want to know if we are being compensated for the risk taken. The return of investment might be better than a benchmark but still not compensate for the assumption of risk. Muramoto¸ Administrative Assistant attended the 2015 Women of Influence forum held at Irvine Hilton. This annual event brings together women of influence, to learn from each other’s triumphs, challenges, and tools for rising to the top. Apriem Advisors is an official sponsor of the event. In other words, as the S&P 500 continues to attract more investment, the risk versus reward equation begins to become more unbalanced in favor of a greater amount of risk being taken on to achieve the same returns as before. Keeping some portion of one’s portfolio in bonds, precious metals, REITs, international investments, and even zero interest cash, makes sense even when one area of the market steals the headlines. AROUND THE OFFICE SHAWN COVARRUBIAS, Operations Manager January 2015 The Investment Team met with Fund Managers as part of our due diligence process. Benjamin Lau, CFA, Portfolio Manager and Landon Yoshida, CRPC®, Wealth Manager met with DoubleLine to hear about their 2015 market outlook (14th); met with Schwab ETF to get updated on the Schwab One ETF offerings (16th); and First Trust to get updated with their lineup of ETFs (21st ). February 2015 The Investment Team met with the following fund managers. Benjamin Lau and Jennifer Necir, Financial Analyst met with Natixis/Oakmark Funds to get their 2015 market outlook (5th); with William Blair Funds to get some updates on their family of funds (17th). February 4, 2015 Megan Pierpont, Wealth Manager celebrated her birthday. Happy birthday, Megan! February 23, 2015 Shawn Covarrubias, Operations Manager celebrated her birthday. Happy birthday, Shawn! February 24, 2015 Jennifer Necir attended a webcast hosted by Deutsche X-trackers to get their view on the international markets. March 2015 The Investment Team, met with the following fund managers. Benjamin Lau, Landon Yoshida and Jennifer Necir met with Center Coast to get an update on their MLP Focus fund and their family of funds (5th); with First Trust in a conference call to get an update on their Specialty Finance fund (6th); with RiverNorth about their Strategic Income fund (9th); with DoubleLine via webcast where they heard DoubleLine’s Founder, Jeffrey Gundlach provide his quarterly update of the Total Return bond fund (10th); with Eaton Vance to discuss their outlook for the U.S. municipal bond market (18th); with Western Asset to hear about their Core plus bond fund (19th); and Vanguard to get the quarterly update on their family of funds (31st). March 5, 2015 Jennifer Necir and Shawn Covarrubias attended a seminar titled Understanding Financial Aspects of Divorce held at Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse in Newport Beach. They learned about the financial professional’s role, division of assets, and impact to social security benefits, health insurance benefits, life insurance, taxes and other considerations in a divorce. March 12, 2015 Jenifer Necir attended an educational webcast hosted by Schwab with discussion on the investing implications of a strong U.S. dollar. (Continued on Page 3) 19200 Von Karman Ave. Suite 1050, Irvine, CA, 92612 p 949.253.8888 p 888.253.0288 f 949.253.8891 Advisory services offered by Apriem Advisors, a registered investment adviser. To unsubscribe from our mailing list, please email [email protected]
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