May 2015 Standard Life Investments Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust May 2015 The Standard Life Investments Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (the “Trust”) is invested primarily in the Standard Life Investments Global SICAV Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund (the “fund”) which aims to provide positive investment returns in the form of income and capital growth in all market conditions over the medium to long term. The fund is actively managed, with a wide investment remit to target a level of return over rolling three-year periods equivalent to cash plus three per-cent a year, gross of fees. It exploits market inefficiencies through active allocation to a diverse range of market positions. The fund uses a combination of traditional assets (such as bonds, cash and money market instruments) and investment strategies based on advanced derivative techniques, resulting in a highly diversified portfolio. The fund can take long and short positions in markets, securities and groups of securities through derivative contracts. Absolute Return Monthly The value of investments within the fund can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed – you may get back less than you pay in. The fund may use derivatives for the purpose of efficient portfolio management and to meet its investment objective. The value of overseas assets held in the fund may rise and fall as a result of exchange rate fluctuations. Fund Manager Multi-Asset Investment Team Buy/Sell Spread* Buy 0.26%/Sell 0.26% Launch Date 2 June 2014 ARSN Number 125 896 988 Base Currency AUD APIR Code ETL0134AU Benchmark Bloomberg AusBond Bank Bill Index *This is the current buy / sell spread and it is reviewed monthly. If you wish to confirm the buy /sell spread, please contact the Investment manager on (02) 9947 1500 prior to making an investment or redemption. This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else. Strategy Information as at 31 March 2015* Stand-alone risk contribution by strategy grouping Return contribution by strategy grouping Stand alone volatility (%) Q1 Contribution (%) Credit 0.72 Credit Cross Market 0.65 Cross Market Curve 0.35 Curve -0.25 Duration 0.92 Duration -0.10 FX 0.61 FX Inflation 0.54 Inflation -0.06 Volatility -0.07 Cash 0.00 Total stand-alone volatility: 3.79 Cash Diversification: 1.97 Residual -0.27 Overall Volatility: 1.83 Total 1.42 Top 10 risk contributions by strategy 0.87 0.02 1.19 0.08 Top 5 Return Contributors by strategy Stand alone volatility (%) Top Contributors Q1 Contribution (%) Short US Duration 0.95 Long US Dollar vs Euro 0.48 Brazilian government bonds 0.56 Long Indian vs Euro 0.43 UK v Swedish interest rates 0.47 Brazilian government bonds 0.25 US v UK forward-start inflation 0.46 European forward-start Interest rates 0.24 Australian v UK duration 0.43 Long US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar 0.24 Portuguese v European duration 0.43 US butterfly 0.35 High Yield Credit 0.35 Korean government bonds 0.32 Long Indian rupee v Swiss Franc 0.32 Bottom Contributors Q1 Contribution (%) Short US duration -0.54 US butterfly -0.25 Portuguese v European duration -0.14 Long European payer swaptions -0.07 Long US forward-start inflation -0.07 *The strategy information is updated on a quarterly basis (31 March, 30 June, 30 September & 31 December). Strategy Performance 130 130 125 125 120 Figures quoted are calculated on a redemption basis over periods to 31 May 2015. The SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (ARSN 125 896 988) commenced on 02 June 2014. For information purposes, we show the historical performance of the underlying master fund, the SICAV Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund [in GBP share class converted from Sterling to Australian Dollar from inception (30 March 2011) to 18 October 2012; then Australian Dollar Share class from 18 October 2012 to 2 June 2014]. 115 110 105 100 Total Return Index 120 115 110 105 Source: State Street Australia Limited / Standard Life Investments (Trust) and Thomson Datastream (Benchmark) SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (Gross) Index @ Inception = 100 May-15 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Mar-12 95 Mar-11 95 Sep-11 100 Bloomberg AusBond Bank Bill Index Cumulative Performance Source: State Street Australia Limited / Standard Life Investments (Trust) and Thomson Datastream (Benchmark) YTD (%) 1 month 3 months (%) (%) FYTD (%) 1 Year (%) 3 Years (% p.a.) Since Launch (% p.a.) SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (Gross) 1.83 0.37 -0.77 2.98 2.65 4.98 5.46 SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (Net) 1.51 0.31 -0.96 2.28 1.89 4.30 4.79 Bloomberg AusBond Bank Bill Index 1.04 0.19 0.58 2.41 2.65 2.89 3.43 Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust (ARSN 125 896 988) commenced on 2 June 2014. For information purposes, we show the historical performance of the underlying master fund, the SICAV Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund [in GBP share class converted from Sterling to Australian Dollar from inception (30 March 2011) to 18 October 2012; then Australian Dollar Share class from 18 October 2012 to 2 June 2014]. Investment Review and Outlook Market Review The most striking feature of bond markets in May was the sharp spike in European bond yields. This set a turbulent scene for the month, albeit the tempo of selling slowed in the latter half. The moves were triggered in part by rising inflation expectations and also fears that, with core European sovereign yields dipping towards -0.2%, the European Central Bank would ease off on further bond purchases. As a result, 10-year German sovereign yields bounced off their record lows, with Italian and Spanish yields increasing by similar magnitudes. Nervousness across European bond markets spilled over to other regions, with yields in the US and UK also jumping, although less markedly than across Europe. This shift in yields had repercussions for other assets, many of which price off sovereign bonds. Thus, equity, currency and commodity markets were also thrown into flux, as investors reappraised their positions and reallocated risk budgets. Reflecting the moves in underlying sovereign bonds, credit likewise delivered negative returns and yields rose. High yield issues generally fared better than investment grade. Global economic data were mixed. In Europe, for instance, Spain and Italy reported solid first-quarter growth, while German business confidence registered a sharp month-onmonth decline. Eurozone consumer confidence also worsened for the second consecutive month in May. In Japan, meanwhile, the economy grew between January and March for the second straight quarter, exceeding market expectations. Activity In May, we added a short UK real yields and inflation strategy. Amid the recent bond sell-off, UK real yields have performed significantly better than other bond yields, rising less markedly. This is due to the strong performance of UK inflation breakeven rates. As a result, the spread between UK real yields and inflation breakeven rates has become stretched. This strategy should benefit if, as we expect, the spread between these two measures moves to a more normalised level. We also closed our French forwardstart inflation strategy. We would expect this position to perform poorly in the event that European growth surprised on the upside and have therefore removed it to protect the portfolio. Performance Our long Indian rupee versus New Zealand dollar currency pair made a positive contribution, owing primarily to weakness in the New Zealand dollar, which in May was the weakest G10 currency. Having started the month on a downward trend, the NZ dollar was undermined by the announcement of new prudent macro measures and lacklustre data relating to dairy prices and PMI. Furthermore, commodity-sensitive currencies Investment Review and Outlook generally struggled. After a month of relative weakness in April, the US dollar gained renewed momentum in May, bolstered by firmer economic data. This was positive for our long US dollar versus euro position. Quantitative easing by the European Central Bank has driven down European sovereign yields in recent months. However, yields in both the US and Europe moved sharply higher in May, as investors reassessed the inflation and growth outlooks for these regions, amid signs their respective economies were improving. This environment negatively impacted our Japanese versus Europe payer spread strategy, but benefited our UK versus Swedish interest rates strategy, which was among the top performers. Also positive was our exposure to Brazilian government bonds. The market is moving on from the Petrobras scandal, focusing instead on the sound fiscal policies being pursued by the government and the anchoring of inflation expectations. hand, the US appears to be nearing a tighter monetary regime, whereas economies like Europe and Japan continue on a looser monetary path. Geopolitical tensions remain high and on many metrics asset prices appear expensive. We seek to exploit the opportunities that these conditions present by implementing a diversified range of strategies using multiple asset classes. Outlook Our central expectation is still for modest global growth, albeit with regional variations. A growing divergence in central bank monetary policy will remain an important driver of asset returns. On the one Standard Life Investments Limited is registered in Scotland (SC123321) at 1 George Street, Edinburgh EH2 2LL. Standard Life Investments Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Calls may be monitored and/or recorded to protect both you and us and help with our training. www.standardlifeinvestments.com © 2015 Standard Life, images reproduced under licence Equity Trustees Limited (EQT), ABN 46 004 031 298 and Australian Financial Services Licence Number. 240975, is the Responsible Entity of the Fund. Standard Life Investments Limited (SLI) has prepared this material for information purposes only. It does not contain investment recommendations nor provide investment advice. Neither SLI or EQT nor its related entities, directors or officers guarantees the performance of, or the repayment of capital or income invested in the SLI Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Trust. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Professional investment advice can help you determine your tolerance to risk as well as your need to attain a particular return on your investment. You should not act in reliance on the information contained in this material. We strongly encourage you to obtain detailed professional advice and to read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) in full before making an investment decision. Applications for an investment can only be made on an application form accompanying a current PDS which can be obtained by contacting SLI. To find out more about our fund range, visit our website, contact us at [email protected] or alternatively speak to your usual contact at Standard Life Investments. http://australia.standardlifeinvestments.com/institutional Standard Life Investments Limited (ABN 36 142 665 227) is incorporated in Scotland (No. SC123321) and is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence under paragraph 911A(2)(l) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (the ‘Act’) in respect of the provision of financial services as defined in Schedule A of the relief instrument no.10/0264 dated 9 April 2010 issued to Standard Life Investments Limited by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission. These financial services are provided only to wholesale clients as defined in subsection 761G(7) of the Act. Standard Life Investments Limited is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority under the laws of the United Kingdom, which differ from Australian laws. M0515
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