Digging Deeper: Ensuring All Students Are College and Career Ready April 24, 2015 Dr. Lorna R. Lewis Superintendent Plainview-Old Bethpage CSD Where did this work begin? • 2012 Nassau County Superintendents (NCCSS) Curriculum Council began this conversation to respond to our need to define what is College and Career Ready? • Pioneer districts in the work include: Carle Place, HewlettWoodmere, Manhasset, Plainview-Old Bethpage, North Shore, Roslyn, East Williston We are more than numbers on a State Test Class of 2022 • Current 5th Graders • Must earn an 80 (79) on Algebra and 75 (74) on ELA to earn a Regents diploma • This is measured as the College and Career Ready (CCR) index • Should there be other measures of CCR being considered • Rigor of course work? Advanced Placement/ IB courses taken • How will districts meet these expectations for 2022? Class of 2014 • Enrollment: • Graduates: • Regents Diploma: • Advanced Regents Diploma: • Post- graduate College : • 4 year • 2 year • Average SAT Verbal: 543 369 365 ( 99%) 98% 77% 98% 86% 12% Math: 583 Writing: 550 Distribution of Plainview-Old Bethpage 2014 Graduates 12% 2% 86% 4 Year College 2 Year College Undecided, Employment, Pre-professional Sports, & Israel In 2012-13, the percentage of high schools offering the Regents coursework required for the Advanced Designation Diploma varied by need/resource group. Source :NYSED District CWR Dropout Rate Grad. Rate Adv. Reg. District CWR Dropout Rate Grad Rate Adv. Reg. Southampton 10.99 1.6% 83.9% 39.1% Brentwood 0.483 2.0% 70.3% 19.7% Great Neck 3.292 N/A 95.8% 79.9% Wyandanch 0.497 4.0% 57.9% 3% Manhasset 3.278 N/A 97.3 81.1% Hempstead 0.501 8.4% 35.5% 5.9% Cold Spring Harbor 2.994 N/A 100% 81.4% William Floyd 0.597 3.8% 77.4% 30.8% Locust Valley 3.591 N/A 97.5% 75.9% Roosevelt .636 3.0% 68.9% 2.6% Jericho 2.689 N/A 96.9% 86% Central Islip 0.665 5.6% 65.8% 9.6% Syosset 1.925 N/A 98.1% 83.9% Freeport 0.757 5.9% 69.8% 13.8% Westbury 0.887 5.0% 67.2% 14% Plainview-Old Bethpage Source: NEWSDAY 1.482 N/A 96.2% 77.8% At the July 2010 meeting of the Board of Regents, the Department presented research showing the relationship between Regents exam scores and students’ college readiness. These were all based on entering 200708 CUNY students. • Students who score below 80 on their math Regents exam are likely to be placed into remedial, non-credit-bearing courses. • Once in college, students who scored above 80 on their math Regents exam have more than a 60% chance of earning a C or better in their first college-level math course. • Students who score at least a 75 on their English Regents exam have more than an 80% chance of earning a C or better in Freshman Composition. • A Regents exam score of 75 is considered to be roughly equivalent to a 500 on the SAT, another common benchmark of college readiness. • Based on this research, the Department redefined “proficiency” on its grades 3-8 math and English assessments to mean that a student is on track to score an 80 or better on the math Regents exam and a 75 or better on the English Regents exam. Math A Regents Scores & Placement in CUNY Courses Statewide Crosstabs of Performance Levels on June 2014 Common Core Algebra I and Integrated Algebra Post Graduate Plans Source: Nassau BOCES Data Warehouse Source: NEWSDAY District CWR 2 Yr 4 yr CCR District CWR 2 yr 4 YR CCR Brentwood 0.483 55% 24% 21.9% Wyandanch 0.497 47.9% 16% 3.0% Hempstead 0.501 27.8% 30.2% 5.9% Southampton 10.99 24.7% 57.1% 46.6% Great Neck 3.292 11% 84% 74.5% Manhasset 3.278 6.8% 90.5% 85.6% Cold Spring Harbor 2.994 7.1% 91.7% 80.1% William Floyd 0.597 44.8% 27.2% 26.2% Locust Valley 3.591 12.4% 81.7% 62.7% Roosevelt .636 37.0% 34.3% 3.1% Jericho 2.689 2.8% 92.1% 89.1% Central Islip 0.665 54.8% 22.5% 22.6% Syosset 1.925 5.0 92.9% 82% Freeport 0.757 42.2% 27.2% 19.1% Westbury 0.887 48.9% 24.1% 15.5% Plainview-Old Bethpage 1.482 13.7% 82.6% 78.5% Freshmen Needing Remediation 1. Two Year College – 51.7% 2. Four Year College – 19.9% College Retention Rates Two-Year Colleges – 55.5% Four-Year Colleges – 65.2% Source: ACT College Remediation in NYS Over 50% of students in NYS two-year institutions of higher education take at least one remedial course. Remediation Rates for First-time, Full-time Undergraduates 60.0% 50.0% 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% All Institutions 2-Year Institution 4-Year Institution Source: NYSED Administrative Data for all Public, Independent and Proprietary 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education EngageNY.org 29 Remediation at Community Colleges • Nationwide, 60% of entering community college students who recently graduated high school are assigned to remediation. • A study of 250,000 students at 57 community colleges across the country found that 59 % were referred to developmental math and 33 percent were referred to developmental English (Bailey, Jeong, & Cho, 2010). • Less than 25% of students assigned to remediation go on to earn a community college credential, or transfer to a four-year college. Even students who pass the required remedial classes frequently drop out before continuing on to college-level classes—often due to weak academic skills, but possibly also due to frustration or discouragement. • Less than 50% of students assigned to remediation complete whole sequence and students designated as remedial are less likely to complete college (Bailey & Cho, 2010) • Many students are referred to multiple levels of remediation- up to five levels in some cases. This means 5 semesters of remediation before taking a college level course. Remediation is Costly • Every semester spent in Remediation costs the student financially and emotionally. • Students must pay tuition for remedial courses, but the credits they earn do not count toward graduation requirements. • The cost to schools of providing remedial instruction has been estimated at roughly $2.5 billion dollars annually. Resentful Demoralization • Students learn for the first time that they are in fact not ready for college, despite having met the college admissions criteria, and begin to feel resentful of their peers. • Information comes with emotional shock that damages motivation, self-confidence, aspirations, and long-term success. Students feel blindsided and frustrated when identified for Remediation. • Remediation comes with stigma, expense, and delays in the educational trajectory . • Never wanting to be in a remedial class in the first place and often feeling that they will never get to full-credit courses, many remedial students quit before completing the remedial sequence and never start a credit bearing college class. Belfield & Crosta (2012) College Dropout Rate 2012 First to Second Year Two-Year Colleges – 44.5% Four-Year Colleges – 34.8% Source: ACT Sum, Andrew; Khatiwada, Ishwar; and McLaughlin, Joseph, "The consequences of dropping out of high school : joblessness and jailing for high school dropouts and the high cost for taxpayers" (2009). Center for Labor Market Studies Publications. Paper 23. http://hdl.handle.net/2047/d20000596 Remediation: Bridge To Nowhere www.completecollege.org • Study with entering Cohort 2006 in 33 States • More than 50 percent of students entering two-year colleges and nearly 20 percent of those entering four-year universities are placed in remedial classes. • Nearly 4 in 10 remedial students in community colleges never complete their remedial courses. • Fewer than 1 in 10 graduate from community colleges within three years and little more than a third complete bachelor’s degrees in six years. • Frustrated about their placement into remediation, thousands who were accepted into college never show up for classes and eventually drop out. • Bailey, Jeong, & Cho, (2010) found that students who ignored a remedial placement and instead enrolled directly in a college level class had slightly lower success rates than those who placed directly into college level, but substantially higher success rates than those who complied with their remedial placement, because relatively few students who entered remediation ever even attempted the college-level course. Students are twice as likely to graduate if they complete at least three courses in their chosen programs of study in their first year on campus. Alternatives to Remediation: Workshops Work • A growing number of states have begun to require community colleges to allow more students with academic deficiencies to skip remediation and enroll directly in college-level courses. New research shows this approach can work, particularly if those students receive additional academic support. • Fain, P, Insider Higher Ed, August 21, 2014 https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2014/08/21/college-level-statistics-trumpsremedial-algebra-cuny-study#sthash.SXtzcICh Study: Mainstreaming Remedial Students in Introductory Statistics: Logue & Watanabe-Rose (2014) • CUNY Study : Fall of 2012 • 69% of the 18,434 freshmen assessed for remediation with COMPASS placement test • Only 38% of students in remedial algebra passed the course in 2012 • The need to pass remedial mathematics delays or prevents more students from graduating than any other specific cause. • Randomly assigned Fall 2013 freshmen from Three CUNY community colleges identified for remediation to one of three types of courses: traditional elementary algebra (remedial) , traditional elementary algebra with a weekly workshop, introductory statistic (credit bearing) plus a weekly workshop • 717 participants • Students placed in the college level introductory statistics with a weekly workshop passed at a higher rate (56%) than the other two groups. • Pass rate for the remedial course was 39% Class Size Total # Attending NCC % Students attending NCC completing Associate’s Degree % Students attending NCC Completing 4 year Degree % Students attending NCC with no degree Completed CLASS OF 2007 387 66 38% 12% 50% CLASS OF 2008 392 48 35% 6% 58% CLASS OF 2009 377 58 29% 2% 69% CLASS OF 2010 438 45 13% N/A 87% CLASS OF 2011 409 36 11% N/A 89% Special Education Average Students Honors • • • • • • Class of 2013 attending NCC (N=47) • Approximately 60% requiring some form of remediation • 10 Students assigned to Remedial English • 9 Students assigned to Remedial Reading • 16 Students recommended to take Remedial Reading (not mandatory) • 9 Students assigned to Remedial Math (Arithmetic based) • 2 Students assigned to Remedial Math (Algebra based) Accuplacer • Used by 62% Community Colleges nationally • Developed by College Board • Test includes a written essay exam, computer-adaptive tests in reading comprehension, writing/sentence skills, and several modules of math from arithmetic to trigonometry. • Cut-off scores vary among colleges • Students do not always take this test seriously. Often they take this in the summer when they are not really focused on college Accuplacer Sampler • Familiarize faculty with the NCC placement assessment • Share holistic scoring rubrics for essay • Writeplacer • Measures ability to write effectively • Prepare a multiple paragraph of about 300-600 words on a given topic • Reading Comprehension ( 20 questions) • Multiple choice on passages • Sentence Relationships • Arithmetic (17 questions) • Multiple Choice Basic operations , Decimals, Fractions, Percents, Whole numbers, Applications • E.g. 7.86 x 4.6 = • Algebra (12 questions) • Integers and Rationals, Algebraic Expressions, Equations, Inequalities and Word Problems Source: Accuplacer Program Manual- August 2014 Proficiency Statement for Arithmetic • Find equivalent forms of fractions • Estimate Computations involving fractions • Solve percent problems of the form p% of ? =r • Solve word problems involving the manipulation of units of measurement • Solve complex word problems involving percent, average and proportional reasoning • Find the square root of decimal numbers • Solve simple number sentences involving a variable Source: Accuplacer Program Manual- August 2014 Proficiency Statement for Elem. Algebra • Simplify Algebraic Expressions • Factor Quadratic Expressions where a=1 • Solve quadratic equations • Solve linear equations with fractional and literal coefficient • Solve linear inequalities with integer coefficient • Solve systems of equations • Identify graphical properties of equations and inequalities Source: Accuplacer Program Manual- August 2014 Proficiency Level 8 : Scoring Rubric • Effectively and insightfully develops a point of view on the issue • Addresses an appropriate audience and demonstrates a clear purpose for writing in the thesis statement • Demonstrates outstanding critical thinking, using effective examples, reasons and other evidence to support its positions • Is well organized and clearly focused, demonstrating clear coherence and smooth progression of ideas • Exhibits skillful use of language, using varied, accurate, and apt vocabulary • Demonstrates varied and effective sentence structure • Is free of major errors in grammar, spelling and punctuation Source: Accuplacer Program Manual- August 2014 Class of 2014 attending NCC (N=41) • Invited NCC on campus to give Accuplacer diagnostic assessment • 26 Students participated in project • Offered 6 Remedial Sessions • 12 Students attended Math Sessions • 12 Students attended ELA sessions • Placement tests (N=20) • • • • • 5 Students needed No remedial classes (24%) 4 Students of the 12 participants tested out of Remedial classes 10 Students needed English Remedial (48%) 8 students needed Reading Remedial 7 Students needed Math Remedial (38%) Class of 2014 Number Attending Percentage of NCC Percentage within Nassau Cohort the Graduating Community Class of 2014 College Hispanic 2 4.8% 3.2% Black 2 4.8% 0.5% Asian 4 9.7% 14.6% White 33 80.5% 81.5% Economically Disadvantaged 10 24.4% 7.5% • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Looking for Factors of Success Establish a 5 year database for graduating class • Name • Birthday • Student ID • ELL, SPED, F/R lunch • Regents scores on Math and ELA • Course grades and date taken for all Math and ELA • Question for NCC: Which of our students were remediated? • Identify our students who were remediated and graduated . Question to Explore • How is recency of math related to success in college (as measured by whether students were remediated)? • What courses are critical to avoiding remedial work at NCC? • Does the Aspirational index, as defined by NYSED : (80 for Algebra and 75 for ELA) define CCR? Implications for K-12 • More rigorous work aligned to Common Core Mile Wide to Inch Deep More non-fiction texts Selection of challenging texts for all learners Increased Frequency of Tier II and III vocabulary (no watered-down vocab) • Higher level questions- inquiry based • • • • • Articulation of curriculum across grade levels and discipline • Providing college level experience (AP/Syracuse/Adelphi) prior to Graduation • Paying attention to the data at the grass roots 3rd Grade Common Core Aligned Work Reading Study Summary Interquartile Ranges Shown (25% - 75%) Text Lexile Measure (L) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 High School College Literature Literature College High School Textbooks Textbooks Military Personal Entry-Level Use Occupations SAT 1, ACT, AP* * Source of National Test Data: MetaMetrics DISTRICT GRADE 1 FALL READING LEVELS H and Above 13% Double Dose Fundations and Levelled Literacy (LLI) F/G 14% C and Below 53% D/E 20% n = 339 DISTRICT GRADE 2 FALL READING LEVELS M and above 13% G and below 13% Double Dose Fundations and Levelled Literacy H/I 25% J/K/L 49% n = 375 Challenging Students - Cohort 2012 • Selected to take Algebra based Summer of 2012 • Results for Algebra: 100% • Results for Geometry • All Students on Algebra II / Trig • Goal of Algebra & Earth Science for All in 8th Grade • Providing more students with College Course experience before graduations ALGEBRA COHORT GRADE 7 MATH SCALE SCORES 2012 719-730 4% 731-741 4% 707-718 33% 695-706 59% All students scored a 4L Level 4 Range 695-785 n = 27 Algebra Cohort Integrated Algebra Regents v. Geometry Regents 100 Geometry Regents 95 90 85 80 75 75 80 85 90 Integrated Algebra Regents (2013) 95 100 AP Participation Rate 70.27% 69.60% 65.28% 64.40% 63.11% 61.50% 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2011 College and Career Readiness Occurs K-12 Everything we do prepares students for the future. Plans for 2015 and Beyond • Expand the study with other districts • Work with Community Colleges to develop common standards for identifying students for Remediation • Merge district database with Community Colleges • LIRACHE Quantitative group looking at the factors for success • Link to course grades, Regents exams and recency of study on mathematical concepts • Use data to develop a profile for success Acknowledgements • NCCSS Curriculum Committee • Laurie Lynn: Plainview-Old Bethpage Director of Guidance • Christian Bowen : POB Mathematics Chair • Jeffrey Yagaloff : POB English Chair • Jill Gierasch : POB Assistant Supt. of Curriculum • Chris Dorr: POB CIO • Lanette Richmond : Suffolk Community College: Statistician • Noreen Wade :Nassau Community College Coordinator of Testing • Michael Torres: Molloy College VP for Technology & Institutional Effectiveness References Engage NY : https://www.engageny.org/ Bailey, T., Jeong, D.W., & Cho, S-.W. (2010). Referral, enrollment, and completion in developmental education sequences in community colleges. Economics of Education Review, 29(2), 255–270. Bailey, T. (2009). Challenge and opportunity: Rethinking the role and function of developmental education in community college. New Directions for Community Colleges, 145, 11–30. Belfield, C., & Crosta, P. M. (2012). Predicting success in college: The importance of placement tests and high school transcripts (CCRC Working Paper No. 42). New York, NY: Columbia University, Teachers College, Community College Research Center. Cho, S. W., Kopko, E., Jenkins, D., & Jaggars, S. S. (2012). New evidence of success for community college remedial English students: Tracking the outcomes of students in the Accelerated Learning Program (ALP). New York, NY: Columbia University, Teachers College, Community College Research Center. Fain, Paul Workshop Work. Insider Higher Ed, August 21, 2014 https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2014/08/21/college-level-statistics-trumps-remedial-algebra-cunystudy#sthash.SXtzcICh Logue & Watanabe-Rose (2014) Mainstreaming Remedial Students in Introductory Statistics. SREE Spring 2014 Conference Abstract Nauer,K & Tainsh, P., Creating College Ready Communities: Center For New York City Affairs: September 2013 References Continued…. Remediation: Higher Education’s Bridge to Nowhere www.completecollege.org Scott-Clayton, J. (2012). Do high-stakes placement exams predict college success? (CCRC Working Paper No. 41). New York, NY: Columbia University, Teachers College, Community College Research Center. Sparks, Sarah D. Assessment Governing Board Defines 'College Prepared‘ August 2013 Education Week Vol. 33, Issue 1 http://www.edweek.org/ew/articles/2013/08/15/01nagb.h33.html Sparks, Sarah D. Can NAEP Predict College Readiness? September 2012 Education Week Vol. 32, Issue 03, Page 6 http://www.edweek.org/ew/articles/2012/09/12/03nagb.h32.html Sum, Andrew; Khatiwada, Ishwar; and McLaughlin, Joseph, "The consequences of dropping out of high school : joblessness and jailing for high school dropouts and the high cost for taxpayers" (2009). Center for Labor Market Studies Publications. Paper 23. http://hdl.handle.net/2047/d20000596
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