Senegalese wrestling champ. Photo Demba Membede DISBOOK #5 | NOVEMBRE 2014 Africa’s Sporting Chance Africa’s Sporting Chance By Bob Jenkins DISBOOK #5 | NOVEMBRE 2014 Despite a reach of 100 million TV homes, a glut of channels and a pool of internationally renowned athletes, the market for sports programming in Africa remains complex and relatively untapped. At the heart of this paradox is the dominance of sports rights and broadcasting by a relatively small number of pay TV platforms – approximately 50 in Africa compared to the continent’s 2,000 free-to-air and satellite channels and a growing number of DTT channels. Yet there are few dedicated sports channels, and almost all of those can be found on pay TV. The business of sports broadcasting in Africa is about to undergo radical changes that promise to unleash explosive potential. To coincide with the DISCOPRO Workshop, “Homegrown Sports Content,” taking place during DISCOP Africa 2014, Disbook examines the findings of a major report entitled “The African Sports TV Market,”(*) compiled by leading research house Balancing Act, and looks into the future of this dynamic sector. 20 To date, the production of home-grown sports programming has been very limited, although, there are signs that this is about to change, and it is a key focus for Sports News Africa, a new company run by former SuperSport head Gary Rathbone. The timing for this move could be perfect as there is growing evidence that a considerable percentage of the African television audience wants to watch local sports and the report “The African Sports TV Market” finds there is a growing global interest in quality sports TV from Africa. The report also found that “over the past 10 years, there has been a huge gap between the expensive sports’ premium content rights offer and what African TV buyers can afford”. The effect of this imbalance has been exacerbated by a number of other factors such as the lack of regular and detailed audience measurement in most African countries. It’s something that has greatly inhibited the ability of FTA channels to attract advertising and sponsorship, and which contributes to a lack of understanding of the supply side of sports events by many of the FTA broadcasters. The result is an inability to attract events of significant caliber and interest to local audiences. Still, the report is confident this is about to change for the following reasons: (*) “The African Sports TV Market” is a 2014 extensive study of the supply and demand dynamics of the market, by Balancing Act. For details: www.balancingact-africa.com 1 Didier Drogba playing for the Ivory Coast team in the final of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations DISBOOK #5 | NOVEMBRE 2014 Africa’s Sporting Chance “the African Middle class will fuel a rise in sports consumption” “largely depend on the attitude of all the key stakeholders involved in the value and supply chains of sports content distribution, sports development and sports broadcasting, including both international and African federations, other rights holders, broadcasters and, to some extent, sponsors and other partners”. - As economic conditions, TV Advertising and content distribution revenues grow across the continent, the sports TV rights market will also grow. - The Free To Air sports TV market in sub-Saharan Africa (worth US$ 400 million in 2013) will grow by 60% over the coming fifteen years to reach a total value of US$1 billion ; - The transition to national DTT in Africa will lead to more local sports productions. These predictions are exciting. But they also beg the question “how are we going to get from the current state of affairs to this happy Nirvana?” To answer that questions DISBOOK spoke to Themba Ndlwana, one of the authors of the report “The African Sports TV Market”. “For sure”, asserts Ndlwana, “the demand for sport on television in sub-Saharan Africa will increase, 2 and, when that happens, it is obvious that opportunities will open up for new sports to enter the television market”. Ndlwana’s certainty of the positive future for televised sport in the region is based, primarily, on the rise of the African Middle class, which he asserts, “will be one of the major drivers fuelling a rise in sports consumption by the African television audience, and which will surely give rise to a broadening of the spectrum of sports broadcast”. Ndlwana’s confidence in the coming rise of the African middle class seems well placed. Research by the respected management firm McKinsey, predicts that, by 2020, 128 million Africans will have an annual disposable income in excess of US$ 5,000 and that 52% of all Africans will have a disposable income of some sort. However, Ndlwana has a warning for those eyeing this enticing future. “Exactly how this will play out, and which sports will come through and benefit will”, he cautions, “In some parts of Africa basketball definitely rivals soccer in popularity” The danger, as Ndlwana sees it, is that, “federations and other rights holders will seek to use soccer as the benchmark for pricing rights to their events. If they do this, they will likely kill off the opportunity before it has fully developed”. He goes on to explain, “the reason for this is that soccer is Gorgui Dieng (Senegal) during Croatia v Senegal, 2014 FIBA Basketball World cup, Sevilla currently so dominant a sport on African television it commands an artificially high price. In addition”, he continues, “it is important to remember that, dominant though soccer is, the market for it in Africa is currently very far being saturated. Most broadcasters are currently priced out of the very top soccer competitions, such as The Champions League and the EPL, and, to a certain extent, Spain’s La Liga. But competitions such as Serie A and the Bundeslegia are not as widely broadcast and do have scope to increase their market penetration. So,” he continues, “for sports wishing to enter the African market, it is very important that those charged with marketing the rights take a long view and look to work with broadcasters and other partners to build their brand, rather than just looking at the bottom line and seeking to make as much money as they can, as quickly as they can. The future,” he concludes, “will definitely be a case of long-term development versus immediate bottom line”. Despite these cautionary words, Ndlwana remains confident that, “there will certainly be an opportunity in the immediate future for new sports to enter the sub-Saharan broadcast market. And this opportunity will, undoubtedly, be driven by the emergence of the new African middle class”. Ndlwana’s belief that this will be the case is based upon more than the predicted increase in demand for, and consumption of, televised sport; he also believes it will change the nature of sports participation in sub-Saharan Africa. His reasoning is this: “The African middleclass”, he asserts, “will, because of their sizeable disposable income, be able to participate in sports requiring investment on the part of participants; sports like 3 THEY — DISBOOK #4 | 2014 DISBOOK #5 | NOVEMBRE 2014 T 4 Our audiences demand sport; but we haven’t the financial muscle to compete with the rights fees Pay can afford, and so we do the best we can, but struggle to make a profit. What we need is a coming together of interested parties. FTA channels across Africa could come together and negotiate as a single entity. The current situation in which all broadcasters act individually drives rights costs up, and sponsorship revenues down. Collectively, we have the advantage of a mass audience. ” ” Holger Sircoulomb “ General Manager at One Africa TV, Namibia The two most popular sports in Namibia are soccer and boxing. But they also attract large license fees, which make it very difficult to liquidate the cost of sports coverage with the available advertising revenue - and so, recently, One Africa has been reducing its carriage of sports programming – despite the audience demand. It might be possible to promote other local sports, but it would require significant investment to promote awareness of the sport and local sports personalities. Sports broadcasting in Africa will continue to be dominated by Pay TV because of their ability to offer a large variety of sports. YOU For decades the television broadcast of sport in Africa has been a cosy little party for a select few – whether those few be broadcasters, federations and rights holders, or the tiny minority of Africans able to afford to watch a sport in which they have even the remotest interest. It is clear that all that is going to change very quickly and that this change will generate opportunities that are exciting for all. KNOW ? And what is true of Basketball is also true of many other sports – wrestling in West Africa, motor sports in East Africa and rugby and cricket in Southern states are just a few of the new kids on the block eager for their big break. DID A focus on these newly emerging sports will be a key element of the recently launched Sports News Africa. Producer Gary Rathbone’s sincerity in this matter is beyond doubt. Prior to launching his new series, he worked with Kenyan triple play operator Zuku to establish a University Basket Ball league. Although Rathbone is no longer involved, the league had a highly successful first year in 2013 and is “ A But 2015 is scheduled as a year of significant change in sub-Saharan broadcasting. It is the deadline, albeit a deadline that many regional countries will miss, imposed by the International Telecommunications Union for the switch to digital. When that happens, whenever that might finally be, If that seems like a “no-brainer”, Ndlwana sees another such that also augers well for the future of sport on African screens. “All of this”, he insists, “is a win-win for advertisers and sponsors because as the broadcast market for sports diversifies, it is creating a new consumer base of the very people advertisers are so keen to reach – giving them an effective new tool with which to reach a very desirable new consumer base”. The problem is money – or the lack of it! Very few people are able to afford a Pay TV subscription. This is why we show only amateur sports. Another problem is the poor management. This combination of lack of money, poor administration and amateur sports makes it almost impossible to attract interest from advertisers and sponsors. If sport other than soccer is to flourish then those sports need airtime and, if soccer really is ‘the beautiful game’ then that beauty needs to be shared with other sports, and people need to be educated to enjoy and want to play other sports. Channel Manager at AIT International, Nigeria TH Ndlwana sees other factors as also positively impacting the future of sports broadcast in Africa. As we saw earlier there are, currently, relatively very few niche sports channels and almost all of those that do exist are on Pay TV platforms - only reaching approximately 10% of all African households. Ndlwana is confident that “the arrival of DTT will see the emergence of many new niche channels, some dedicated to sport. These new sports channels will”, he observes, “need content and this content will be in the form of newly broadcast sports”. Innocent Emokhor, id tennis and golf requiring investment in infrastructure, maintenance of that infrastructure and personal equipment such as rackets and clubs in order to create and maintain suitable environments for the sport and facilitate participation. The African middle class will seek to differentiate itself by involvement in sports such as these. This rise in participation levels will also enhance the potential television audience for such sports, thereby creating a virtuous circle of participation and viewership”. “ From Telesports, Togo A “The transition to national DTT will lead to more local sports productions” currently administered and promoted by Mike Finley, managing director of Miles and Associates, who is adamant that, “FTAs are certainly missing out by not covering hugely popular sports such as basketball. In some parts of Africa sports such as basketball definitely rival soccer in popularity and”, he reveals in a possible harbinger of what is to come as well as the present difficulties faced, “we have already expanded the Kenyan league into Uganda and are looking to expand into more Africa nations in the future. Our real aim is to get these leagues onto FTA channels, but it is a chicken and egg situation, as many of these broadcasters need to be convinced that these leagues will work for their audiences, and, of course, that can’t happen if they don’t take the plunge and air them. But” he insists, “we are confident that, if they do take that plunge the games would prove very popular and would quickly produce a virtuous circle in which the games’ popularity would grow the popularity of the sport which would, in turn, feed the demand for more games from the FTA channels”. S Ules Assima ” ADVERTISER EYEBALLS TOP 5 MOST POPULAR TELEVISED SPORTS IN AFRICA TOP 5 MOST COMMONLY TRANSMITTED SPORTS 1 1 1 2 Soccer Soccer Soccer Athletics 2 2 3 4 Basketball Boxing Athletics Basketball Advertisers and sponsors account for 100% of broadcasters’s income for televised sports. About the 10 most valuable are: 3 3 5 6 Basketball Rugby Rugby Wrestling 4 4 7 8 Boxing Boxing Cycling Tennis 5 5 9 10 Rugby Golf Motorsports Cricket Source: Balancing Act, “The African Sports TV Market”, 2014 5 DISBOOK #5 | NOVEMBRE 2014 SPORTS FROM AN AFRICAN PERSPECTIVE Africa’s Sporting Chance SPORTS NEWS AFRICA: Gary Rathbone and Damien Naughton want everyone talking about African sports Explaining the impetus that lead to the formation of Sports News Network, Rathbone insists, “the first thing that needs to be appreciated about African sports broadcasting is that the vast majority of African sports fans are watching Free To Air broadcasters because they can’t afford Pay TV. But, as the majority of major events are on Pay TV this means that there is a massive fan base with a huge appetite for sport that is not being serviced, because FTA services cannot compete with the financial muscle of Pay TV”. But Rathbone and Naughton won’t be bidding mega bucks for major events. They have an entirely different strategy planned. Rathbone explains: “Televised sport works on two levels – live events and conversations about live events. The rights to the events themselves are prohibitively expensive, but conversation is free and that’s what we’re going to provide – a platform to engage with audiences all around Africa in conversation about their favourite sporting events”. The difference between international sports magazine shows and Sports News Africa is that it will focus on topics that appeal to, and resonate with an African audience. “We will”, Rathbone continues, “achieve this in two ways. Firstly, we will look at international sport from an African perspective. Secondly, we will be looking to raise the awareness of sport in Africa – to raise the profile of African sports events and athletes and raise them to the same level as international sporting events”. Naughton makes clear that, “We will be able to offer advertisers a genuinely mass market, because we will be on FTA and that’s where the mass market is. It’s great for an advertiser to be associated with the coverage of a major, prestigious, event. But, if that coverage is on Pay TV, then the number of eyeballs making that association is very, very small. Not only are we going to offer advertisers a much larger audience, but also a show that lasts a lot longer than the 90 minutes or so of the event itself – in fact for days both before and after the event. And lastly”, concludes Naughton, “we are, and always will be, very flexible with our business models – we are very happy to work with advertisers, federations and broadcasters in any way that makes sense for all concerned”. 6 Producing the half-hour show six days a week from a single production hub in London adds a whole new dimension to the quality. Rathbone explains that “it gives us both, a much better access to major names and also a much broader range of well known sports personalities than would be possible with a show produced in Africa by a local broadcaster. When this is allied to input from the extensive network of local stringers we have put together as well as footage we can, and will be, buying in, SNA will have a deeper, more rounded and varied offering than will be available from any other source in the market”. Producing the show from a hub in London also means that they will be able to tailor editions to the specific needs of individual broadcasters or advertisers. For instance, they will be able to be on several different FTAs in the same market - reinforcing the original positioning about the valuable size of market to offer to advertisers. About local sports, African events and athletes, Rathbone underlines that, “Many, if not all, African FTAs have taken the attitude, ‘well, if we can’t have the Champion’s League or the EPL, then we might as well not bother with sport’ – and that’s a nonsense. It is a nonsense that ignores the huge potential of local sport that exists on their doorstep”. Expanding on his thesis Rathbone points to basketball, which, he says, “is huge in Africa. In many countries it is probably second only to soccer in popularity. Major games can attract crowds of five or six thousand, and yet no one is covering it. And”, he continues, “the same is true of motor sports in East Africa, and there are many other examples”. Rathbone has no doubt that, if SNA can build a television audience for these sports, then, once broadcasters see how well they work, they will want to start covering live events. Sports News Africa isn’t the only program the company is producing, either. Production has commenced on “The Conversation,” a half-hour show, produced three times a week, previewing and reviewing the key sporting events of the week. As always, it will be told from an African perspective. 7
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