Building Wealth Over Generations... Daily Research Reports Disclosures and Disclaimer : This report must be read with the disclosures in the Disclosure appendix, and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it. This document does not contain any investment views or opinions. A Legacy of Wealth Building Plan. Monday 06th July, 2015 Welcome Note Welcome to India Cements Investment Services Ltd works!! The world out there is uncertain. On this backdrop, the market volatility is bound to increase. Believe us, even the big investors’ sentiment will oscillate—and that is why it is important for us to safely navigate these difficult times. To do so, India Cements Investment Services Ltd brings you this daily market commentary which will help you to sharpen your instincts on investments in equity markets, gold, silver, crude-oil, USD/INR, the Dow Jones index, Hang Seng index, Euro-Dollar, etc. On the next few pages, you can learn more about the same. 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Best Regards, Team India Cements Investment Services Ltd Call Us: 044 - 28572600. www.icisinvest.com CONTENTS Title Page No. Top of the Morning Top Picks Daily Pivot Table (Equities) Compass & Navigator Top of the Morning 04-06 07-8 9 10-12 TOP PICKS COMPASS & NAVIGATOR Daily Pivot Table (Commodities) 13 Disclaimer 14 ICIS Invest “Top of the Morning” Top of the Morning ICIS Invest “Top of the Morning” newsletter provides insights and themes for Indian equity markets. We also try and cover international themes for the day. This newsletter is quite popular with traders as it covers the most preferred trading strategy for Sensex/Nifty for the day. In Chart of the day section, we recommend a stock which is likely to move significantly in the short term, clearly defining the supports, the resistances and bias for the stock. In a nutshell, ICIS Invest “Top of the Morning” covers themes and insights for the day. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. ICIS Invest “Top of the Morning” Greetings Earthlings, The numbers are in and the verdict is out… Yes, the breaking news this Monday morning is that “NO” vote leads in Greece Referendum. INDICES Index Last Dow 17703 -0.31% Change Yes, it confirmed that it is a big fat Greek no. Based on early counting, at least 61% of Greeks voted “no” to creditors’ demands on Sunday, an outcome that confirms that the country on a collision course with the rest of the eurozone. Nasdaq 4995 -0.36% Bovespa 53116 0.72% Sensex 28092 0.53% The referendum’s result indicate there was a larger-than-expected backing for the Greek government’s position in its stance against other European entities, as well as underscore questions about Greece’s future in the euro. Nifty 8484 0.47% SGX Nifty 8505 0.00% After years of living on borrowed money and paying the price with savage austerity. The voters in Greece have rejected the latest offer of financial help from Europe and the International Monetary Fund. So, no to more austerity, no to a bailout deal, and -- quite possibly -- no to the euro. The vote could lead to the country's exit from the eurozone within weeks. That's because Greece needs more money from Europe to stay afloat. On that backdrop, the euro fell sharply against its rivals in early trade. The Japanese stocks fell sharply out of the open, down 1.5% at the time of publish. But the message from your research desk is “Don’t panic”. Here is some catalyst why we say so: Outlook for the Day Negative open likely Nifty Outlook Short Term Neutral (8375-8515) Intermediate Positive (8050-8725) Long Term Positive (9500+) 1) This is a political crisis in Europe, not an economic one. 2) The market value of Greece’s gross national debt was only about $250 billion, give or take. That’s about 1% of the European Union’s annual output. Its very small a number. 3) Most of the debts are owned by the International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank, and hardly any Indian banks exposure. This event will throw out some very interesting buying opportunities. We strongly recommend staying tuned by following is on our SMS trading Alerts. Key Levels to Watch Nifty Support 8382 & 8284 Nifty Resistance 8517 & 8675 Sensex Support 27891 & 27321 Sensex Resistance 28250 & 28650 Stay tuned. Likely Range for the Day Outlook for Monday: Nervous open likely at Dalal Street…. Dalal Street is set to fall hard in early trades after Greek trades. Investor attention will swing back to quarterly earnings this week as another season starts off, heralded by the earnings report of TCS on Thursday. Meanwhile, investments by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) will continue to grab attention. Also commanding investors’ attention would be the progress of monsoon. We expect, Dalal Street may remain volatile on backdrop of uncertainty in rate hikes by the Fed. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. Nifty 8375-8515 Sensex 27871-28250 Pivot Level Nifty 8505 Sensex 28087 www.icisinvest.com ICIS Invest “Top of the Morning” Technical Strategy Helping sentiments at Dalal Street would be confidence of companies filing for initial public offerings (IPOs), Three companies --low-cost carrier IndiGo, staffing firm Teamlease and e-retailer Infibeam--filed papers with Sebi to raise an estimated Rs 3,000 crore. Plus Cafe Coffee Day, Matrix Cellular and RBL Bank -had approached the regulator last week. Motherson Sumi Action Buy Well, this shows that there were enough investors willing to put money into India. Target 551 Keep an eye on Crude-oil Oil futures which fell on Friday, in response to concerns over resilient U.S. crude production. Well, on that backdrop our preferred bets continue to be HPCL, BPCL & IOC. Positive Stocks: Ashok Leyland, Britannia, SKS Micro, Amar Raja Battery, TVS Motors, Motherson Sumi, Cholamandalam Finance, Balkrishna Industries, SML Isuzu, OFSS, SRF. Negative Stocks: Hindalco, Infosys Technology (below 987), Vedanta, etc. What Technical Tells Us on Nifty: The short term technical landscape of Nifty shifts to neutral amid overbought conditions. The must-watch intraday level on Nifty is at 8284-8311 zone. Below 8284, Nifty has supports at 8150 zone. Hurdles now at 8501 mark and then major hurdles are at 8675-8701 zone. Preferred trade on Nifty & Bank Nifty: Nifty (8484): Buy between 8350-8375 zone, targeting 8501 and then 86508701 zone with stop below 8271. Bank Nifty (18729): Establish long positions between 18300-18400 zone, targeting 19000 and then 19400-19500 zone with strict below 17990. Daily chart of Nifty: 527.5 Motherson Sumi ended last week’s trading session on a strong note, up 2.58%. The stock price is signaling a break out from a higher consolidation zone on the daily charts. The momentum oscillators are clearly in buy mode and recent increase in volumes are indicating a sharp up move. A larger rebound works on cards as the stock has spiked from a 38.2% Fibonacci level on daily charts. Key support at 507. Confirmation of major strength above 535. The stock also appears attractive with long term perspective. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 517522 zone, targeting 535 and then aggressive targets located at 550-555 zone. Stop 507. Supports – 507 & 495 Resistance – 535 & 551 Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. www.icisinvest.com TOP PICKS (F & O) It's like having investment binoculars ! There are always flowers, for those who want to feel them. ICIS Invest Top Picks: It's like having Investment binoculars!! When we want to see what's happening far off, we will reach for the binoculars. The binocular helps us to steer out of danger and also accurately spots our targets. When it comes to trading / investing, that's exactly how ICIS Invest Top Picks helps us to identify the best five momentum stocks for the week. This daily newsletter introduces to the momentum stocks from the list of Future & Option segment, defining their support and resistance levels, and attempts to forecast their movement with a short /medium term perspective. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. TOP PICKS (F & O) It's like having investment binoculars ! Oracle Finance (OFSS): The technicals are aggressively bullish. Targets at 4180. STOCKS ASHOK LEYLAND FEDERAL BANK MOTHERSON SUMI ORACLE FINANCE (OFSS) HCL TECH LTP 72.75 154.55 527.6 3870 964.9 S1 71 149 512 3829 941 S2 67 140 495 3650 909 R1 77 155 535 4000 982 Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. R2 81 170 551 4250 1042 BIAS TRADING STRATEGY Positive The recent sequence of higher highs/lows is intact on daily charts. Momentum oscillators continue to be in buy mode. The stock is signaling a move above a higher consolidation zone on monthly charts. Interweek Strategy: Establish long positions between 71-73 zone, targeting 80-81 zone. Stop below 69.25. Positive The interweek/intermonth outlook is on the upside, as long as 140 support zone is held. A larger rebound on cards above 155, targeting 170 mark. The stock ended on a firm note in yesterday's trade, 1.52%. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 149-151 zone, targeting 155 and then at 167-170 zone with stop below 147.50. Positive A larger rebound works on cards for Motherson Sumi as the stock is signaling a spike above its major hurdle at 535. Key intraday support at 507. A breakout play likely on daily charts. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 520-525 zone, targeting 535 and then aggresive targets located at 550-555 zone. Stop 509. Positive The recent sequence of higher high/low is intact for OFSS. Momentum oscillators continue to be in buy mode. The stock is all set to move above its all-time-high at 4180. Intermonth Strategy: Buy between 3829-3850 zone, targeting 4000 and then more aggressive targets located at 4225-4250 zone with stop below 3650. Positive HCL Tech firm in Friday's trade as well, up 1.09%. A breakout play on cards. Major support for the stock placed at 909. Interweek Strategy: Establish long positions between 945-952 zone, targeting 982 and then 1025-1042 zone. Stop below 936. www.icisinvest.com DAILY PIVOT TABLE Instrument S1 S2 R1 R2 8484.9 8395.33 8366.52 8542.53 8587.32 8376.07 8318.42 UP BANKNIFTY 18729.65 18453.05 18370.4 18894.95 19033.25 18064.23 18192.52 UP CNXINFRA 3321 3292.37 3273.73 3358.27 3372.58 3183.21 3256.53 UP NIFTY CNXIT Close Monday 06th July, 2015 200 Day SMA Reversal Point Trend 11198.65 11103.12 11071.23 11262.42 11310.18 11551.54 11325.93 DOWN CNXPSE 3569.6 3543.57 3523.08 3610.57 3623.58 3552.64 3518.71 UP NFTYMCAP50 3292.9 3252.57 3229.78 3338.47 3358.63 3320.06 3219.03 UP ABIRLANUVO 1878.4 1805.2 1783.4 1922 1958.6 1718.01 1778.64 UP ACC 1480.4 1451.73 1441.27 1501.33 1515.67 1498.11 1423.65 UP 91 88.77 87.03 94.47 95.58 515.71 97.25 DOWN ADANIPORTS 320.8 315.1 311.2 328.6 331.45 307.93 310.52 UP ADANIPOWER 28.9 28.07 27.43 30.17 30.58 44.61 27.69 UP AJANTPHARM ADANIENT 1587.25 1557.02 1536.03 1629.22 1644.33 1091.48 1526.37 UP ALBK 88.45 86.55 85.95 89.65 90.6 109.79 91.11 DOWN AMARAJABAT 880.9 864.9 857.85 895 903 789.82 886.76 DOWN AMBUJACEM 242.35 237.45 235.9 245.45 247.9 235.19 231.94 UP AMTEKAUTO 163.3 157.37 154.63 168.77 171.73 172.86 153.33 UP ANDHRABANK 68.85 67.95 67.35 70.05 70.5 80.57 71.21 DOWN APOLLOHOSP 1301.1 1263.83 1237.57 1353.63 1372.27 1224.22 1269.53 UP APOLLOTYRE 170.65 166.32 163.33 176.62 178.78 197.45 173.72 DOWN ARVIND 272.45 267.08 264.67 277.28 279.97 277.52 256.52 UP 72.7 71.47 70.53 74.57 75.18 60.27 71.66 UP ASHOKLEY ASIANPAINT 772.7 749.83 741.27 789.83 801.27 755.57 742.67 UP AUROPHARMA 1419.1 1379.83 1359.67 1459.43 1479.07 1154.81 1409.9 UP AXISBANK 585.95 577.65 574.3 592.65 596.8 516.31 563.05 UP BAJAJ-AUTO 2588 2556.67 2538.33 2624.67 2640.33 2322.06 2500.12 UP BAJFINANCE 5561.1 5400.5 5345.9 5670.3 5750.6 3783.15 5246.82 UP BANKBARODA 150.8 148.03 146.97 152.93 154.32 182.64 142.93 UP BANKINDIA 180.75 174.05 171.8 185.25 188.6 243.51 168.7 UP BATAINDIA 1083.55 1057.92 1048.78 1101.82 1114.63 1213.52 1036.03 UP BEL 3417.95 3370.72 3340.88 3477.62 3501.23 2950.66 3305.32 UP BHARATFORG 1074.55 1035.12 1000.13 1144.52 1164.23 1063.35 1053.65 UP BHARTIARTL 435.1 429.83 427.17 440.43 443.07 387.75 420.76 UP BHEL 259.1 254.77 252.03 264.57 266.73 248.46 247.53 UP BIOCON 473.3 453.23 446.37 487.03 497.07 450.17 455.76 UP BOSCHLTD 22988.3 22276.9 21843.2 23855.7 24211.4 20923.7 22049.12 UP BPCL 902.85 886.48 876.42 922.98 931.17 736.44 877.26 UP BRITANNIA 2770.7 2729.17 2709.33 2810.37 2831.13 1978.71 2663.67 UP CAIRN 183.2 179.87 176.88 189.17 190.83 241.85 177.6 UP CANBK 287.25 278.58 275.82 292.78 297.12 387.96 292.52 DOWN CASTROLIND 434.5 428.17 424.33 442.17 445.33 462.74 438.52 DOWN CEATLTD 708.65 689.35 673.9 739.55 749.2 795.88 672.98 UP CENTURYTEX 711.25 680.75 671 730.75 746 587.9 676.9 UP CESC 551.75 543.12 535.73 566.52 570.83 639.61 540.2 UP CIPLA 631.55 619.22 612.43 645.12 651.28 647.1 608.83 UP 417.5 409.5 404 428.5 432.5 370.61 408.97 UP COLPAL 2050.3 2021.43 2009.87 2073.43 2087.87 1896.1 1987.38 UP CROMPGREAV 165.55 161.32 158.23 171.72 173.83 180.84 160.22 UP DABUR 285.55 275.12 271.58 292.62 297.83 249.87 273.82 UP DHFL 419.65 407.62 398.68 437.52 443.53 424.18 417.79 UP DISHTV 106.2 103.93 102.37 109.33 110.47 74.94 108.57 DOWN DIVISLAB 1859.1 1837.1 1824.15 1885 1896 1753.32 1796.18 UP DJIA 17730.11 17609.74 17531.95 17885.68 17945.87 17678.82 17899.34 DOWN DLF 116 113.8 112.1 119.4 120.5 141.83 111.21 UP DRREDDY 3587.75 3529.32 3508.63 3629.12 3658.33 3339.11 3474.36 UP EICHERMOT 20275.6 19315.17 18435.33 22035.27 22515.48 15256.67 20020.96 UP ENGINERSIN 241.35 234.58 231.07 248.38 251.77 219.63 228.26 UP EXIDEIND 150.3 147.4 145.25 154.6 156.05 170.07 153.17 DOWN FEDERALBNK 154.55 150.25 146.65 161.75 163.9 138.56 148.78 UP GAIL 385.25 379.45 375.75 392.65 395.55 422.06 404.44 DOWN COALINDIA GLENMARK 1019.25 1000.28 989.17 1041.48 1050.97 806.79 981.89 UP GMRINFRA 14.35 14.02 13.78 14.82 14.98 17.41 13.69 UP GODREJIND 363.25 356.42 352.58 370.92 374.33 323.5 345.16 UP GRASIM 3506.75 3431.98 3406.67 3557.38 3594.77 3575.11 3395.75 UP HAVELLS 283.35 277.38 273.32 291.48 294.47 280.53 276.45 UP HCLTECH 964.9 928.97 917.93 986.97 1004.93 886.83 915.65 UP HDFC 1316.05 1261.35 1244.2 1350.35 1377.7 1193.08 1254.91 UP HDFCBANK 1074.25 1046.05 1038.05 1090.25 1104.35 982.33 1034.55 UP 93.2 89.6 88.3 95.8 97.6 95.3 97.25 DOWN HDIL 2576.65 2508.92 2487.83 2618.82 2652.68 2767.02 2589.29 DOWN HEXAWARE HEROMOTOCO 251.2 244.2 239.35 260.9 264.4 241.33 264.99 DOWN HINDALCO 110.6 108.77 107.88 112.37 113.28 144.52 115.46 DOWN HINDPETRO 771.9 758.67 748.38 792.47 799.08 594.39 748.25 UP HINDUNILVR 924.5 911.23 905.42 936.13 942.77 838.95 893.55 UP HINDZINC 161.65 159.05 157.05 165.65 166.95 168.06 169.04 DOWN IBREALEST 56 53.9 52.7 58.4 59.45 67.47 50.3 UP IBULHSGFIN 654.5 635.57 622.13 681.37 690.83 522.11 623.42 UP ICICIBANK 314.55 309.05 307.2 318.25 321 326.06 305.83 UP IDBI 62.45 61.65 61.25 63.25 63.65 70.42 60.03 UP IDEA 181.2 177.87 175.53 185.87 187.53 165.91 175.68 UP IDFC 150.45 148.52 147.28 152.92 153.88 158.14 153.84 DOWN IFCI 26.15 25.58 25.17 26.98 27.27 34.57 25.65 UP IGL 444.8 433.67 427.08 457.97 463.53 424.98 430.98 UP INDIACEM 95.3 92.5 90.35 99.6 101 97.48 90 UP INDUSINDBK 893.5 841.47 824.93 926.57 952.58 798.78 838.17 UP INFY 990.3 977.43 972.87 999.43 1005.87 1028.51 976.89 UP IOB 37.4 36.7 36.4 38 38.35 50.98 38.35 DOWN IOC 417.2 403.13 398.62 426.23 433.27 352.77 394.14 UP IRB 236.15 228.98 222.92 248.28 251.87 246.63 230.09 UP ITC 315.6 310.4 308.45 319.5 322.1 349.83 306.38 UP JINDALSTEL 84.55 78.65 74.1 93.65 96.6 152.74 92.58 DOWN JISLJALEQS 71 69.4 68.15 73.5 74.3 71.37 67.24 UP JPASSOCIAT 11.1 10.67 10.33 11.77 11.98 24.87 12.13 DOWN JPPOWER 6.45 5.85 5.45 7.25 7.55 10.98 7.28 DOWN JSWENERGY 95.55 93.42 91.68 99.02 100.08 100.16 102.68 DOWN JSWSTEEL 868.95 849.12 831.13 904.92 914.83 1034.4 864.8 UP JUBLFOOD 1914.05 1870.12 1847.68 1958.92 1980.88 1485.55 1853.85 UP JUSTDIAL 1250.8 1218.27 1194.03 1299.27 1315.53 1379.2 1216.59 UP KOTAKBANK 1428.85 1393.42 1368.53 1478.62 1496.33 1265.82 1380.44 UP KSCL 727.95 713.65 702.05 751.15 758.3 872.03 773.92 DOWN KTKBANK 149.65 144.88 141.92 155.58 157.97 132.99 141.44 UP L&TFH 67.05 65.72 64.78 68.92 69.58 66.61 64.88 UP LICHSGFIN 447.75 437.28 431.17 459.98 465.22 419.24 437.67 UP LT 1807.3 1775.77 1759.03 1840.77 1856.53 1632.51 1746.45 UP LUPIN 1900.95 1878.78 1865.22 1928.08 1939.17 1611.61 1835.33 UP M&M 1312.65 1294.95 1281.9 1338.75 1347.6 1256.4 1273.52 UP M&MFIN 282.65 273.72 269.43 291.22 295.68 277.67 265.4 UP MARUTI 3998.9 3955.77 3934.43 4041.57 4063.13 3489.09 3948.07 UP MCLEODRUSS 222.25 218.72 215.88 227.92 229.68 243.22 237.46 DOWN MINDTREE 1279.2 1243.73 1231.97 1302.73 1320.47 1279.37 1333.29 DOWN 527.5 517.77 513.68 535.67 540.53 454.82 505.95 UP MRF 34860.8 34368.34 34076.62 35444.23 35690.47 36097.57 33668.85 UP NHPC 19.6 19.37 19.28 19.77 19.88 19.82 19.41 UP NMDC 117.75 116.15 115.45 119.15 119.95 140.32 120.73 DOWN NTPC 138.85 134.62 133.13 141.82 143.93 143.12 134.94 UP OFSS 3878 3808 3756 3982 4017 3414.14 3765.86 UP 452.75 448.48 444.87 459.98 462.12 531.05 461.74 DOWN MOTHERSUMI OIL ONGC 309.2 305.67 302.98 314.57 316.33 348.41 318.37 DOWN ORIENTBANK 180.95 168.12 164.48 188.22 194.63 249.72 165.91 UP 15382.15 15054.05 14848.1 15794.05 15958.1 11835.45 14887.74 UP PETRONET 192.7 186.77 184.38 197.47 200.43 187.62 182.13 UP PFC 261.3 256 253.95 265.4 268.05 275.72 270.11 DOWN PIDILITIND 545.35 538.12 533.43 554.72 558.33 516.86 539.2 UP PNB 142.3 139.2 138.1 144.5 146.05 176.41 135.67 UP POWERGRID 141.5 139.2 137.9 144.1 145.25 142.98 143 DOWN PTC 70.55 68.92 68.23 71.92 72.73 83.31 66.81 UP PAGEIND RCOM 63.35 61.15 59.75 66.15 67.25 79.56 60.32 UP RECLTD 285.25 277.98 275.67 289.88 293.52 308.42 272.33 UP 361 353.73 348.42 371.63 375.27 451.53 349.24 UP RELIANCE 1007.2 997.27 991.48 1018.77 1023.73 914.99 984.65 UP RELINFRA 385.05 376.48 370.77 396.48 400.77 497.11 370.03 UP RPOWER 44.8 43.67 42.78 46.57 47.13 61.27 43.31 UP S&P500 2076.78 2063.58 2056.14 2091.66 2098.26 2053.92 2094.03 DOWN SAIL 63.15 61.18 59.77 65.98 66.97 73.96 61.19 UP SBIN 269.4 265.53 264.27 271.93 273.87 282.29 258.82 UP SIEMENS 1428.35 1403.65 1391.65 1452.35 1464.7 1123.54 1369.42 UP SKSMICRO 492.25 478.22 471.33 506.02 513.03 407.6 467.11 UP 24.4 23.5 23.1 25.2 25.65 26.3 23.33 UP 1252.15 1223.78 1206.42 1286.88 1301.07 917.63 1178.38 UP 906.7 881.97 861.63 947.37 959.73 1020.36 870.85 UP 1152.15 1124.38 1106.77 1187.38 1201.27 945.17 1113.13 UP 871 860.87 852.98 886.77 891.83 897.82 849.07 UP SUNTV 282.65 276.85 273.35 289.65 292.55 362.68 307.32 DOWN SYNDIBANK 100.9 98.9 98.05 102.6 103.6 115.78 102.63 DOWN TATACHEM 434.6 428.2 424.9 441.2 444.4 428.84 423.52 UP TATACOMM 445.4 434.8 428.35 458.3 463.6 418.62 429.12 UP RELCAPITAL SOUTHBANK SRF SRTRANSFIN STAR SUNPHARMA TATAGLOBAL 136.1 133.3 131.35 140 141.4 152.27 131.53 UP TATAMOTORS 433.15 427.65 424.85 438.75 441.5 514.74 421.85 UP TATAMTRDVR 259.85 255.48 253.62 263.58 265.77 327.47 267.87 DOWN TATAPOWER 74.3 73.27 72.53 75.77 76.28 81.93 72.18 UP TATASTEEL 301.2 294.53 289.52 311.23 314.57 389.89 295.35 UP TCS 2603.9 2554.63 2539.27 2634.63 2659.27 2570.79 2523.93 UP TECHM 471.6 461.2 453.4 487.2 492.4 636.68 502.13 DOWN TITAN 357.3 345.43 341.37 365.43 371.37 387.44 348.34 UP TVSMOTOR 257.65 252.28 248.57 265.08 267.77 252.95 247.19 UP 1019.25 888.15 842.65 1110.25 1175.8 884 929.84 UP 53.25 52.28 51.82 54.18 54.67 72.99 55.83 DOWN ULTRACEMCO 3064.65 3013.05 2993 3104.75 3130.55 2776.61 2939.24 UP UNIONBANK 161.75 149.68 146.27 168.58 174.62 189.47 146.59 UP 7.9 7.63 7.47 8.23 8.37 16.78 8.57 DOWN 547.4 536.2 528.4 563 568.6 411.66 529.6 UP 170.55 167.15 164.2 176.45 178.15 217.53 179.4 DOWN VOLTAS 317 309.2 303.1 329.2 333.1 273.04 337.56 DOWN WIPRO 549.55 544.25 540.5 557.05 559.7 583.04 566.69 DOWN WOCKPHARMA 1426.3 1380.63 1351.62 1484.33 1507.17 1231.39 1378.78 UP YESBANK 871.35 857.02 851.83 881.72 888.88 765.95 842.84 UP ZEEL 369.4 365.53 363.87 372.73 374.67 345.02 354.89 UP UBL UCOBANK UNITECH UPL VEDL All level indicated above are based on cash market prices. Pivot Point PP : Pivot Point : This is trigger point for weekly buy/sell based on the price range of the previous week. R1 : Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP. R2 : Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1. S1 : Support one : 1st support after PP. S2 : Support Two : 2nd support after S1. As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1. If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1. Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1. If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1. This is a trading tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. www.icisinvest.com Compass & Navigator Sailing Global & MCX Trends with IDBI Compass & Navigator Compass & Navigator is a daily newsletter that provides technical update on all the major instruments of the world like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, US Dollar Index and USD/INR. We define their support and resistance levels and attempt to forecast their movement with a short / medium term perspective. Also in the report, a trader will find bias for the mentioned instruments. This newsletter is also quite popular with a market participant who loves to have insight & theme on MCX Gold, MCX Silver as well MCX Crude-Oil. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. The Compass …Direction at a glance MCX Oil . Negative bias to continue. Sell on strength. Instrument LTP S1 S2 R1 R2 Bias TRADING STRATEGY MCX GOLD 26352 25854 25191 26550 26901 Negative MCX Gold was rangebound on Friday ahead of Sunday's Greece referendum. A subdued USD/INR was seen as a negative catalyst. Intraday Strategy: Sell between 26400-26500 zone, targeting 25854 and then 25200-25500 zone. Stop above 26901. MCX SILVER 36159 35150 34256 35650 37481 Negative MCX Sliver traded range bound on Friday, and in a holding pattern ahead of Sunday’s Greek referendum. Intraday Strategy: Sell between 36250-36500 zone, targeting 35150 and then 34250 zone. Stop above 36650. MCX CRUDE OIL MCX COPPER MCX NATURAL GAS USD-INR 3521 370 176.00 63.44 3445 358 169.00 63.05 3350 345 162.00 62.80 3625 382 194.00 63.75 3989 391 201.00 64.40 Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. Negative MCX Crude-Oil fell on Friday, in response to concerns over resilient U.S. crude production and in line with our negative bias. Interweek Strategy: Sell between 3650-3700 zone, targeting 3445 and then 3350 with stop above 3791. Neutral MCX Copper inched up in yesterday's trade amid oversold conditions. The near term bias continues to be neutral. Key intraday support at 358. Intraday Strategy: Buy between 361363 zone, targeting 377-382 zone. Stop 353. Neutral Natural Gas was range bound in yesterday's trade. The near term bias continues to be positive amid oversold conditions. Key support at 162. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 174-177 zone, targeting 194 and then 205 with stop below 169. Neutral Surging for the fourth straight day, the rupee gained 7 paise to end at 63.44 against the American currency on sustained dollar selling by banks and exporters amidst a soft greenback overseas. Intraday Strategy: Sell between 63.70-63.80 zone, targeting 63.05 zone and then 62.80 with stop above 64.45. www.icisinvest.com The Navigator …Sailing global trend Negative bias to continue for the yellow metal. Sell on any excessive strength. Instrument LTP S1 S2 R1 R2 Bias TRADING STRATEGY GOLD $ 1168 1152 1125 1176 1189 Negative Gold edged higher on Friday, ahead of Sunday's Greece referendum. Key intraday support seen at 1152. Expect volatile movements. Intraday Strategy: Sell between 1175-1180 zone, targeting 1152 and then 1125-1130 zone. Stop above 1189. Range 1155-1173. SILVER ($) 15.69 15.45 14.75 16.20 16.75 Negative Silver prices traded subdued in Friday's trade amid uncertainty in Greek debt issue. Intraday Strategy: Sell between 15.75-15.80 zone, targeting 14.75-15 zone. Stop above 16.75. Range 15.25-15.75. WTI CRUDE OIL ($ ) EUR/USD 55.52 1.1107 54 1.1045 52.5 1.0895 58.75 1.1309 60.5 1.5565 Negative Neutral Crude-Oil fell on Friday, in response to concerns over resilient U.S. crude production and in line with our negative bias. Interweek Strategy: Sell between 58-58.75 zone, targeting 54 and then at 52.50 with stop above 60.50. The dollar traded lower Thursday after the June jobs report revealed that the pace of employment growth has been lower than it was a year ago, even as the labor market has recovered from its first-quarter slump. The technical landscape for EUR/USD continues to be neutral/negative. DOW JONES 17730 17546 17250 18350 19001 Neutral Wall Street finished lower on the week following a soft jobs reports and investor anxiety over Greece. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index both declined 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.4% on the week. The near term bias shifts to neutral. Hurdles for Dow Jones at 18350. HANG SENG 26064 25901 25109 27356 28005 Neutral Chinese stocks tumbled further Friday morning amid a fresh wave of panic selling, as a flurry of recently released measures by the Chinese government and the central bank failed to bolster investor confidence. Hang Seng too ended with losses on that backdrop. Technically, bias continues to be neutral. Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. www.icisinvest.com DAILY PIVOT TABLE Monday 06th July, 2015 200 Day SMA Reversal Point Trend 109.9 115.82 106.21 UP 4368.67 4405.33 0 4130.4 UP 9003.33 9240.67 9285.33 10353 8871.8 UP 366.13 362.87 376.53 378.47 388.1 364.25 UP 3520 3432 3354 3676 3720 3806.19 3713.5 DOWN GAUR GUM 80970 79930 79670 81490 82010 27812.73 72414 UP NCDEX GAUR SEED 25080 24760 24680 25240 25400 8730.79 22437 UP NCDEX Gold 26352 26148.67 26080.33 26488.67 26590.33 26752.86 26606.9 DOWN NCDEX Jeera 15830 15413.33 15101.67 16453.33 16661.67 14448.4 15830 UP MCX Lead 112.15 110.92 110.03 113.92 114.53 120.35 114.27 DOWN MCX Mentha Oil 1061.5 1040.3 1032.5 1077.1 1087.7 808.66 1038.18 UP MCX Natural Gas 176.1 171.43 167.37 184.23 186.57 197.21 184.28 DOWN MCX Nickle 761.9 750.37 740.43 781.77 787.53 905.89 739.67 UP RM MUSTARD 4169 4091 4031 4289 4328 3783.54 4147.3 UP Silver 35515 35217.67 35038.34 35873.67 36022.34 37227.75 36257.2 DOWN NCDEX SOYA BEAN 3552 3450.67 3369.33 3714.67 3765.33 3463.24 3516.85 UP NCDEX SOYA OIL 583.9 581 578.9 588.1 589.55 602.06 590.64 DOWN NCDEX Turmeric 7160 7033.33 6926.67 7373.33 7436.67 7485.07 7296.9 DOWN ZINC 128.45 126.98 126.22 129.98 130.72 136 126.32 DOWN Exchange Commodity Close S1 S2 R1 Aluminium 107.45 106.35 105.4 109.35 NCDEX Chana 4310 4236.67 4207.33 NCDEX Chilli 9142 9052.67 MCX Copper 370 MCX Crude Oil MCX MCX NCDEX MCX MCX Transform your Investments. Elevate your life. R2 www.icisinvest.com India Cements Investment Services Ltd India Cements Investment Services Ltd #827, III Floor, DHUN Building, Anna Salai, Chennai - 600002. Tel: 044 - 28572600. Fax : 044 - 28414583. www.icisinvest.com DISCLAIMER: This is solely for information of clients of India Cements Investment Services Ltd and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and India Cements Investment Services Ltd its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. 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